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Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
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* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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All even, 66-game season, thanks to Friday's happy ending...
Maybe we should have DeWitt close. Now there's a ballplayer.
Rafael who?
But let's be real here. We can't expect to be successful with two sub 700 ops guys manning traditional power positions. It's just not going to happen. DeWitt backers, feel free to wake up any minute.
I can't find any stats in the minors on him? Is he hurt?
http://tinyurl.com/59brwu
Should I also be scared that they now sell DeWitt jersey shirts at Walmart?
vr, Xei
To be clear: I don't hate DeWitt. Far from it. He's been a terrific story, and I'm glad we got him (unlike Juan Pierre). But LaRoche could be the big power hitter we so desparately need, and he's not doing what he needs to do to get playing time.
It's been one of many frustrations this season.
14
Not sure I understand the preference for LaRoche over DeWitt.
This year LaRoche has been hitting .178, last year (in majors) he hit .226.
Blake's hitting .262 (baseball reference), so why do you prefer LaRoche?
Let me in on the secret.
14 How true. I think LaRoche needs to be plugged in and played until it works, and he may never get a chance like that on a team like the Dodger. It is frustrating.
LaRoche has not performed well yet in the majors (other than showing exceptional patience), in part because of injuries.
Batting Average isn't everything.
Heart.
Soul.
And.
I don't think anyone here dislikes or doesn't want DeWitt on the team, we just want Andy to be given consistent at-bats instead of playing the role of bench player. His minor league numbers suggest a power/patient approach, which is what this team needs!!
It's true. He's always been the best hitter of that entire free-swinging, marginally-powerful bunch (Martin doesn't free-swing, of course).
And he's the only one of them to not ever get an everyday chance.
Anyway, it'll be fun to post his numbers here when he's hitting 30 HR for another team while our 3B keeps everyone impressed with an empty .260 batting average.
Back when Eric Stephen (I think) did his poll in mid-May (I think), asking who DTers thought should be the starting 3B now that LaRoche was healthy and in Vegas, I was a DeWitt backer. Yes, I acknowledged, LaRoche has the greater potential. But at the time, DeWitt was (a) in the majors and (b) performing well. So long as he is keeping it up, I felt, there is no reason to shake things up. Why not let's see what DeWitt can do, and if (when!) he slumps, be ready to replace him with LaRoche?
So I wake up six weeks later to find that the first part of my plan was implemented and the second part ignored.
Unfortunately for familial harmony, Mrs. Kavula is a DeWitt fan. "He'll figure it out," she reasons, even though there's no reason to believe that he will.
not every minor leaguer with great power numbers automatically produces in the majors you cant just sit on 2-0 fastballs in the bigs. I'll take a future gold glove at third DeWitt's numbers will improve he seems to make adjustments. My vote is for DeWitt over LaRoche until he proves otherwise when given a chance
And who's to say that young, mediocre minor leaguers won't be great major leaguers?
That's what's so great about this game: you just never know! It's a complete crapshoot!
And there's a very good chance that will constitute a 2-shot lead.
27 I think the players would be very happy to just +5 at the end of the day.
Compared to LaRoche and Martin, yes. They've never had a ton of BA/OBP separation throughout their careers. Not saying they're like Jeff Francouer or anything.
Looked like a different team.
Gotta love the key hits. =)
No wonder the hooligans break beer bottles over each other's heads.
People will remember the play in the big situation-- but does that mean that that play was more important than the fact that he had gone 0 for the game? LaRoche is a better hitter, so it is more likely that he would have gotten a hit to put the Dodgers ahead earlier in the game. And all signs point to his being at least as good a defensive 3B as DeWitt, so it is also likely that he would have made that play in the 9th.
I think that all the pro-LaRoche people around here would agree with you about numbers not telling the whole story, 'cause these are the numbers:
24yr, 165 PA: .210/.341/.319/.660
22yr, 296 PA: .262/.328/.369/.697
Thank you for illustrating my point.
Andy LaRoche current stats. Forget his batting avg., just look at his slugging and On base percentage, this is the guy you're all promoting?
Also, one of the reasons why I think Torre plays DeWitt over LeRoche is because of LeRoche's complaining about not being called up after rehabbing ahead of schedule, and Torre thinking he was trying to whine his way back up. Thus Torre sitting up down and only using him as an occasional Pitch Hitter.
I don't care who wins the DeWitt or LeRoche battle, but LeRoche's situation is that he has to basically force his way into the lineup with great performances or hope DeWitt breaks an ankle. And er, LeRoche isn't forcing himself into the lineup with a .288 OBP.
The point being, LaRoche never gets a chance to go out and play, and DeWitt does.
Most Pro=-LaRoche fans feel if Andy were given the same oportunity this year as DeWitt has, his stats would be better then DeWitt's, and ver the course of their careers the same would play out.
The stats you display show no evidence to the contrary.
Make that more then 1 PA in 1 of his last 6 games.
And I thought 38 was one of the funniest comments in a while.
Using that logic, why isn't DeWitt forcing himself OUT of the lineup? He's been killing us with the bat for 2 months now. And we've got one of the most highly regarded prospects in baseball serving as his bat boy.
I'm sorry you have a problem. Ethier and Loney chase more pitches. That's all.
Majors:
.262/.328/.369/.697
Minors:
.279/.333/.444/.777
What Dodger fan wouldn't want that?
However, and this is the biggest problem many Dodger fans and baseball fans in general have. And that is: there is insufficient evidence to determine whether Dewitt or LaRoche (insert other young players here for other fans) is being overestimated or underestimated.
It amazes me how such concrete determinations can be made about a players career in 165 PA or 296 PA.
Call me crazy, but if a player is considered a good player with promise, I'd like to see between 1200-1600 PA's before making strong deteminations about that players future career possibilities. But that's just me.
Alex41592 said that numbers don't tell the whole story in his defense of DeWitt.
I argued that pro-LaRoche people would argue when looking at MLB numbers that those numbers do not tell the whole story with regards to LaRoche (using DeWitt's numbers as a comparison).
Since you would qualify LaRoche's numbers by pointing out the inconsistency of his PA's, I would suggest that you are supporting my argument.
There also will be a two-acre water feature/lake in the complex that contains reclaimed water and local architectural features, a Walk of Fame for the Dodgers and White Sox that leads to the main stadium and 130,000 square feet of clubhouse space.
Because DeWitt's defense keeps himself in the game. Torre doesn't expect much from DeWitt other than to make sure 3rd Base isn't a problem when fielding. On this team, the power should come from Kent, Nomar, Kemp, Ethier, and Martin. DeWitt's main job is to make sure that balls going his way is caught and flung to Loney for the quick out.
This team is flawed, but the DeWitt-LeRoche argument is way down the list from the problems the Dodgers have such as Andruw Jones or Jeff Kent.
Also, T.J. Simers said it would be a mistake if the Dodgers traded Matt Kemp, and then because its the Dodgers, they would do it.
There are reasons to think LaRoche is: his total minor league stat; high marks from scouts for the last three or four years. There are a couple of reasons to think he isn't: his injuries; his not particularly great for LV numbers last year.
Maybe LaRoche isn't going to be as good as we hoped/expected. But I can't see what the expectations that DeWitt is good enough, right now, for that spot are based on. Maybe Nomar can hold together for the rest of the year and not be a disaster (offensively) at SS. But it's not looking good for at least one outfield spot, and there's no guarantee that it won't be two spots. Kent's been bad (about as bad as DeWitt). Loney and Kemp are sophomore slumping. 3.5 is rounded down, but he's not lighting the world on fire.
Russ Martin is the only solidly above the cut offensive player, by position, on the team right now. That's a problem for a team with playoff hopes. Especially for one depending on Stults and Park to not turn into pumpkins.
Also for comparison:
LaRoche has 138 PA over 07-08 with BA of .210
Jones this year has 167 PA, BA .162
Pierre wasn't on the field for BP either, I was going to try to take a video of him running.
Best part of the game was after Loney's HR, everyone was despondent, yet nobody left because it was fireworks night, so it was just a completely silent 11th inning.
If there was any forward thinking in the 'brain trust' DeWitt would be working out at 2B, since Kent looks to have lost a 1/2 step and his eye. Essentially torre is jacking LaRoche around the same way lasorda did with Konerko, putting him in as the occasional PH or giving him a rare start then when he doesn't do well pointing to it to justify why he doesn't play more.
I mean, he's only had 71 games at AA and none at AAA. And his hitting numbers there were pretty weak: .280/.306/.466 in his last stint, with 7 walks in 178 ABs. There's just no reason to think that the April version of DeWitt is the real one.
Almost no one thought DeWitt would be more than a stopgap when he came up. We shouldn't let an impressive month blind us to why we felt that way.
Do you really think that Jeff Kent is one of our biggest problems? What is your list of the teams problems? mine would be:
1. 3rd base is a black hole at the plate (forget who is playing there) we are getting no offense from 3rd
2. Andrew Jones, this would be number 1 but I think he maybe going back to the DL, so I guess this problem is that I think we need a better option in the OF
3. Loney is not pulling his weight, last nights HR does not change this, however he had a solid June so there is reason to be hopeful that he will pick it up in the 2nd half
4. Bullpen, yes I know the bullpen has been lights out but with Sammy out I think this become a worry
5. I don't know, maybe Kent's decline, but he has been playing better since June and as long as we bring in a defensives sub this does not stike me as a big problem to have. Personally I would put Torre here as he doesnt strike me as a good talent evaluator.
LaRoche career OBP .341
Dewitt career OBP .328
I'm sure everyone would agree that OBP is way better stat than BA.
LaRoche is no more than a glorified pinch hitter right now, not having started more than 2 games in a row this season while Dewitt's been in there day in and day our despite being horrible at the plate for more than half the season. He was on the bench the game after each time he's hit a HR this season. How do you expect a guy to get into a groove like that?
[ http://tinyurl.com/5qwhhh ]
[ http://tinyurl.com/6fsmqh ]
DeWitt is doing an incredible job though, we can't take that away from him.
sigh.
I'm very sorry for letting all of you down. I could prevented all of this.
(You know, if when I was younger I didn't actually suck)
Couple that with his gawdy .319 slugging from 3 hole or .431 from clean up and for me, it's why were not blowing the rest of the division away. Put a real middle of the order bat in there and we wouldnt blame Kemp anymore..
LaRoche will get traded for a reliever. He will then have a Paul Konerko-type career. And we will all, all get to say I told you so.
(sigh)
Man, I hope I'm wrong.
So the guy who is OPSing .709 as our clean-up hitter and is too old to play everyday is not as a big a problem as the 24 year old who is OPSing .803 and leads our team in total bases?