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Wilson-mania
2003-09-24 08:44
Out of nowhere - which I guess is appropriate - Wilson Alvarez has hurled himself into National League Comeback Player of the Year candidacy. Who's your pick? Wilson Alvarez, 2002: 23 games, 10 starts, 75 innings, 36 walks, 56 strikeouts, 5.28 ERA Kevin Brown, 2002: 17 games, 10 starts, 63 2/3 innings, 23 walks, 58 strikeouts, 4.81 ERA Okay, it's still Brown - and by the way, there are no other candidates outside of these two. But Alvarez has been incredible. He continues to lead the league in post-All Star Game ERA, at 1.17. John Wiebe at John's Dodger Blog e-mailed me overnight with this: Wilson Alvarez : 2003 :: Terry Adams : 2001I'm writing this before John's Wednesday morning post, but with that caveat, I definitely agree about the surprise part, but I'm not sure about the fluke part. Why? Hideo Nomo's ERA, year-by-year Wilson Alvarez's ERA, year-by-year Both pitchers went through a dead-arm period. Both pitchers are now operating in perhaps the best pitching environment in baseball. No, I wouldn't expect Alvarez to return in 2004 with a sub-2.00 ERA. And few pitchers in this day and age deserve a contract beyond two or three years. I'm no fan of bidding wars, but I'd certainly want to sign Alvarez for two years if the price were right. He's a year and a half younger than Nomo, his strikeout rate is at a career-high 7.95 per nine innings, and he has much fewer innings under his wide belt in the past four seasons. As for Terry Adams, he was a career reliever who was converted (forced by circumstance) into being a starter. I don't know that he's as valid a choice for comparison.
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