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More Other People's Words
2003-09-16 11:47
This next one isn't a letter, but it certainly fits in the rubric of the headline above. David Pinto at Baseball Musings is "flabbergasted" by the stats of tonight's Dodger starter, Kazuhisa Ishii, against tonight's Dodger opponent, Arizona. The first thing I saw was that Ishii had a career record against the DBacks of 3-0 with a 1.22 ERA. But then I noticed the context. He's pitched 37 innings against the DBacks, and has walked 24 men! That's almost six per nine innings. How does that jibe with a 1.22 ERA?I myself have long had my own brush with confusion over Ishii's success despite walking so many. I analyzed it back in May, when I discovered that against Ishii, opponents were:
I also wrote that in 2002, Ishii allowed only two home runs before May 31 - same as in 2003. In 2002, however, while his walks remained constant, Ishii allowed 18 home runs after May 31 (and until his season-ending injury in September 8). This season, he has allowed 11. Ishii and Hideo Nomo are sixth and fourth in the league in walks allowed. But they are also highly ranked in lowest slugging percentage allowed. They simply do not appear to be giving into hitters, and hitters by and large have not been able to make them pay. Essentially, they're playing a game of chicken with the batters and winning.
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