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Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 50-35 (.588)
When Jon attended: 9-5 (.643)
When Jon didn't: 41-30 (.577)
Dodgers at home: 795-635 (.556)
Jon attended: 302-238 (.559)*
Jon didn't: 498-404 (.552)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2009 Salaries
(updated November 14)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$10,000,000 Hiroki Kuroda
*$475,000 Chad Billingsley
*$415,000 Clayton Kershaw
*$405,000 Eric Stults
*$400,000 James McDonald
*Total: $11,695,000
Bullpen (7)
*$2,500,000 Takashi Saito
*$1,300,000 Scott Proctor
*$1,500,000 Jonathan Broxton
*$425,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
*$420,000 Cory Wade
*$410,000 Ramon Troncoso
*$400,000 Scott Elbert
Total: $6,955,000
Also on 40-man roster
Mario Alvarez
Yhency Brazoban
Greg Miller
Justin Orenduff
Starting Lineup (8)
$17,100,000 Andruw Jones
*$3,000,000 Russell Martin
*$2,500,000 Andre Ethier
*$600,000 Matt Kemp
*$600,000 James Loney
*$500,000 Angel Berroa
*$410,000 Blake DeWitt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
Total: $25,110,000
Bench (5)
$10,000,000 Juan Pierre
*$600,000 Jason Repko
*$410,000 Delwyn Young
*$400,000 Danny Ardoin
*$400,000 Chin-Lung Hu
Total: $11,810,000
Note: Team can buy out Ozuna's 2009 option for $200,000
Also on 40-man roster
A.J. Ellis
Lucas May
Xavier Paul
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
Also Paying ...
$2,000,000 Brad Penny (buyout of $9,000,000 option)
$50,000 Gary Bennett (buyout of $900,000 option)
Note: Kansas City is responsible for $500,000 buyout of Angel Berroa's $5,500,000 option for 2009.
Working total: *$68,020,000
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Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
The wait (if you were waiting) is all but over. Greg Maddux, baseball pitching legend and guru-in-action, benefactor of large parks and fine defenses, is unofficially on his way to the Dodgers for a player or players to be identified in times hence.
I've written about this before: Petco Park has been hiding some of Maddux's decline, leaving him arguably no better than the Dodgers whose innings he will take. That doesn't mean he can't or won't help, any more than we know whether the trade will be worth it while we're ignorant of whom the Dodgers gave up.
maddux + manny + blake - andruw = chemistry = wins.
Somewhere, the phrase "heart and soul" is going to be used and I will be ashamed I even asked this question.
Manny Ramirez vs. Greg Maddux:
2 for 11 with a double.
Hence, this:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4kYayO4KCSY
Imagine if your favorite T.V show lost it's theme song. No sir I will not!
Maddux can't do much worse than a sore-armed Penny, I shouldn't think.
Xavier Paul and Justin Orenduff or Greg Miller.
You have to be kidding me.
X Paul is a decent guess. The Padres like college players now, so it could also be somebody like Pedroza or Orenduff.
Paul is a good OF prospect who also doesn't fit into the teams plans.
Stults could be sent back down for Maddux. And Strutze or JJJ could be waived when Wade comes back.
*Stults optioned
*Proctor to 60-day to make room for Maddux
Also, if Furcal comes off the DL you have to clear room for him off the 40 man as well, correct?
Yes, someone will need to be moved to the 60-day DL (Saito?) or DFA'd if Furcal comes back.
Kuroda 7-8 3.88 1.22 (5.6 k/9) (2.1 bb/9) (0.7 hr/9)
Maddux 6-9 3.99 1.22 (4.7 k/9) (1.5 bb/9) (0.9 hr/9)
Those are pretty similar numbers.
On another note, one of the things I remember from Maddux '06 was that he was on a limited pitch count, only going 5-6 innings. I wonder what effect this is going to have on the bullpen, that has already show some wear the last few days sans Cory Wade. Anyone have access to how many pitches he's averaged per start? I know he's averaged 5.9 IP per start. I guess the question is will he save the bullpen more than Stults, Johnson, or McDonald?
This is true. Although I would have thought that the biggest effect Petco would have had would have been to keep the HR down. However, he's actually allowed 9 HR at Petco (0.9 hr/9) and 7 HR away from Petco (also 0.9 hr/9).
How can CC (a) win MVP playing ~3 months, and (b) win MVP but not win Cy Young?
Gresh said Sabathia wins MVP, but can't win Cy Young because he hasn't been there all year. My head just exploded.
Also: Maddux BABIP splits (if I figured them out with with late night math):
HOME: .236
AWAY: .353
TOTAL: .291
I guess either way, I believe it comes down to who was going to tax the bullpen the worst. With McDonald probably being on a IP limit (already at 134 ip), I'd think that Maddux is the best option out of Maddux/Stults/Jason Johnson.
Maybe Andruw Jones has just become Val Pascucci.
But it looks like I will be able to now though!
>>Although Kershaw is a power lefty and Maddux is a command and control righty, the rookie plans on learning all he can from Maddux.
"If he does get to come, I definitely would ask him as many questions as I can," Kershaw said. "Hopefully he likes answering questions, because I'm definitely going to be doing a lot of that.
"He obviously has a lot to teach. He's been out there so long. He knows a lot more about the game than I do right now, so I'm definitely going to just try to listen to him, pick his brain."<<
The PTBNL normally can be on the 25-man roster, but the rule is he has to switch leagues, so in this specific case it would have to be someone not on the active roster.
"The Dodgers will be paying at least a part of the remaining portion of Maddux's contract, making him the first of four trade acquisitions this season whose entire salary isn't being picked up by his former club."
So, the two PTBNL can't be of much significance if we're paying some money.
.315/.411/.410
Also...
68 walks
14 steals in 16 attempts
He is the YOUNGEST player on the team.
1. Deal must be complete within 6 months of trade.
2. Player(s) cannot have played in the same league at the time of the trade.
Rule 2 means that in trades within the same league, the player to be named later cannot be on the active roster at the time of the trade.
The usual procedure is the trading team provides a list of players that the receiving team uses to make its choice.
If the player is on the 40 man roster, he must clear waivers or they will wait until after the season to make the trade. If the player is not on the 40 man roster, that player does not need to clear waivers.
Age 21:
Furcal (A/A+): .322/.387/.389
DeJesus (AA): .315/.411/.410
Not much power but really good hitters who could work the count. Biggest difference is Furcal had an incredible 96 SBs that year.
55 Me, too. It actually reminds me of mummification, but that involves a hook, not a pick.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/features/agechart.html
Disregard 62 , since it was based on the incorrect date listed on his minor league BB-Ref page.
40 There are dozens of players that rake in AAA and can't hit in the bigs. Hence, the "Quadruple A" tag.
Maybe Andruw Jones has just become Val Pascucci
. . . or Andy LaRoche.
8/23 - @ Philadelphia
8/28 - @ Washington D.C.
9/2 - San Diego
9/8 - @ San Diego
9/14 - @ Colorado
9/19 - San Francisco
9/25 - San Diego
376, 386 - Passage ... out?
Maddux last pitched on Friday against the Phils, although it was at Petco Park and not Citizens Bank Launching Pad. He did pretty well, going 7 IP, allowing only 5 hits and taking a hard-luck loss on a 7th inning solo HR to Pat Burrell.
Maddux's next start was scheduled to be Thursday, so I'm hoping he ends up pitching at home against Colorado that day. That would put Lowe in Philadelphia on Friday and Kershaw on Saturday.
AZI: FLAx3, StLx3, CINx3, SFx1, @StLx4
LAD: SDx3, @PHIx4, @WASx3, @PITx4
In all other respects, the schedule is identical (plus 6 HtH games, split evenly at three at each stadium).
Although I don't think Dan Whitney could have pulled Alyssa Milano.
Come to think about it though, if Maddux plans on beginning round 2 of his Dodger career the same way he began round one, I wouldn't be very disappointed watching him shut down the Phils in person minus the rain, of course.
(The fact that I have tickets to Saturday's game has in no way influenced my opinion on this.)
But it would be tough to turn down.
The Dodgers are going to be in a very bad position because of Schmidt, Jones, and Pierre. Free Agents are Nomar, Kent, Furcal, Penny, Lowe, Blake, Manny. Right?
It's primarily a cost saving move. If they can save $500k to $1m (depending on how much of the ~$2.25m the Dodgers are paying) they will do it.
Also, they will be adding two prospects that will at least add depth to their farm system.
Penny has a club option at $9.25m, with a $2m buyout, so there's a chance he won't be a free agent just yet.
http://tinyurl.com/6bzo7k
Really the only two places Maddux would sign to play are LA and San Diego, and I doubt the Padres would sign Maddux if they had to give up their 2nd round draft pick (their 1st rounder will be too high to surrender).
It wouldn't be the worst thing in the world if Maddux accepted arbitration. The best case scenario is for Maddux to be a Type B free agent so he can sign with the Padres and net a supplemental draft pick for the Dodgers.
Anyone with a Santana statistical update? He was older for he league he was playing in so my wonder was if his value was a bit inflated.
Santana has made a Smooth transition to the Hi-Class A Kinston Indians, hitting .368/.442/.605 in 19 games.
I forgot Beimel as well. He will be a free agent as well, probably a Type B.
Whether he's cash poor or he simply doesn't want to give Ned any more of his money to light on fire, the message is clear: no more salaries in 08.
I still think the odds of the Reds saying "here, have Adam Dunn and two draft picks, we don't want them" were near zero.
That's not true. Per Article B(4)(c) of the MLB Collective Bargaining Agreement:
A Type A or B Player shall be subject to compensation only if (i) he signs a contract with another Club prior to December 1; or(ii) he is offered salary arbitration by his former Club on or before December 1 pursuant to Section B(3) of this Article XX and signs a contract with another Club
I agree. There was no risk associated with blocking Dunn.
The problem with expecting Ned to block Dunn is that such an expectation assumes that Ned would believe that Dunn would help the DBacks, when in fact, it's more likely that Ned thinks Dunn will hurt them.
I mean, if the Dodgers claim him, so be it, but if they don't, the D-Backs claim him, the Padres would probably have to pull him back because he has a no-trade clause (similar to Giles) and then the Dodgers can't get him.
Ned: "Gee what would we do with another outfielder? Pierre's agent keeps calling me as it is."
Kim: "Okay, should we put a claim on Maddux?"
Ned: "No, let's wait to see if we need a starter down the stretch."
Kim: "But if we do that, won't the Padres be able to ask for more?"
Ned: {sigh}.
I wasn't clear in that 2nd paragraph of 85 , but I meant that's what the Padres would give up if Maddux was a Type A. That's why I mentioned the best case would be for Maddux to be a Type B free agent, so the Padres could sign him without giving up anything but cash.
Billingsley
Lowe
Kuroda
Maddux?
414 408 I realize that...it's just the quick way to figure the magic number.
Let's look at the end of the 1996 NL West. Going into the final 3 games of the season (Padres at Dodger Stadium), the Dodgers held a 2 game lead, 90-69. The Padres were 88-71. At that point, the Padres' magic number was 6 (Dodgers could finish 93-69, so the Padres needed 6 wins to beat 93), meaning they had to sweep to win the division. Which of course they did.
Actually, the Padres' magic number was 2. Why 2? Because the magic number is determined with reference to the team at the top of the standings. Which in this case was the Dodgers. And any combination of Dodgers wins and/or Padres losses totaling 2 would have eliminated San Diego. So if one had looked at the standings at the beginning of that series the number in the Magic Number column opposite San Diego would have been a 2.
In more ways than one. Like I said: it's very unlikely that Ned thinks Dunn is a good player.