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This Space Reserved for PECOTA
2005-01-26 12:15
by Jon Weisman
Note: The Dodger Thoughts blog has moved to the Los Angeles Times.

Don't have time to do a long post, but I wanted to open up discussion of the release of the Baseball Prospectus player projections for 2005, via the site's PECOTA system.

Just off the top (OBP/SLG/VORP):

Milton Bradley (.365/.441/27.1)
Hee Seop Choi (.374/.493/29.2)
J.D. Drew (.393/.516/44.5)
Cesar Izturis (.304/.353/9.5)
Jeff Kent (.341/.498/38.7)
Dave Ross (.317/.420/10.4)
Jose Valentin (.312/.445/17.2)
Jayson Werth (.335/.469/17.2)

Adrian Beltre (.337/.486/30.9)
Shawn Green (.363/.486/26.7)

To me, PECOTA is a mixed bag. (Here's a piece I wrote a year ago.) I don't put too much weight in the projections, but they offer a fun starting point for discussion. So discuss!

P.S. Noticed this from the comment thread on last year's PECOTA post:

If Mota can pitch well in the first half of the season, but the Dodgers don't appear to be playoff-bound I can see him being perfect trade fodder for DePodesta.

Some team is going to be a desperate for a setup man and will overpay for him.

Posted by: Bob Timmermann at February 27, 2004 11:30 PM

Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.