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Top Prospects, 1990-2005
2005-03-04 10:00
by Jon Weisman
Note: The Dodger Thoughts blog has moved to the Los Angeles Times.

Baseball America published its annual Top 100 propsect lists dating back to 1990.

Looking at just the small sample of Dodgers, membership on the list would appear to give you a better-than-average chance of becoming a major league starter - 17 out of 29 Dodger names succeeded in that fashion - but it indicates nothing about your ability to become a regular at the All-Star Game.

Still, with those odds, one wonders if the Dodgers have might have five or mroe front-line players out of the 10 TBDs below.

Anyway, here are the named players, divided ever-so-simply into five categories ...

Nothing (8)
Kiki Jones, Braulio Castillo, Jamie McAndrew, Dan Opperman, Rick Gorecki, Mike Judd, Angel Pena, Chin-Feng Chen

Next to Nothing (4)
Karim Garcia, Wilton Guerrero, Onan Masaoka, Dennys Reyes

Something (14)
Jose Offerman, Tom Goodwin, Eric Karros, Jose Vizcaino, Raul Mondesi, Henry Rodriguez, Roger Cedeno, Darren Dreifort, Chan Ho Park, Todd Hollandsworth, Antonio Osuna, Paul Konerko, Adrian Beltre, Kazuhisa Ishii

Lots (3)
Pedro Martinez, Mike Piazza, Eric Gagne

TBD (10)
Ricardo Rodriguez, James Loney, Jonathan Figueroa, Edwin Jackson, Greg Miller, Franklin Guiterrez, Joel Guzman, Chad Billingsley, Andy LaRoche, Russell Martin

Dodger prospects on the list, year-by-year
1990: Kiki Jones (6), Jose Offerman (10), Tom Goodwin (30), Braulio Castillo (34), Eric Karros (84), Jose Vizcaino (99)

1991: Offerman (4), Raul Mondesi (14), Henry Rodriguez (29), Jamie McAndrew (40), Jones (43), Dan Opperman (71), Karros (94)

1992: Pedro Martinez (10), Mondesi (21)

1993: Mike Piazza (38), Martinez (62), Mondesi (82), Roger Cedeno (85)

1994: Darren Dreifort (11), Chan Ho Park (14), Todd Hollandsworth (27), Cedeno (38), Mondesi (51), Rick Gorecki (75)

1995: Hollandsworth (13), Antonio Osuna (15), Cedeno (26), Paul Konerko (38), Park (41), Karim Garcia (98)

1996: Garcia (7), Park (18), Konerko (42), Hollandsworth (44), Cedeno (57), Wilton Guerrero (61)

1997: Konerko (11), Garcia (20), Adrian Beltre (30), Guerrero (49), Onan Masaoka (95)

1998: Konerko (2), Beltre (3), Mike Judd (59), Dennys Reyes (91)

1999: Angel Pena (41). That's all - time to reboot.

2000: Chin-Feng Chen (17), Eric Gagne (49),

2001: Chen (86). Still rebooting.

2002: Kazuhisa Ishii (35), Chen (64), Ricardo Rodriguez (69)

2003: James Loney (34), Jonathan Figueroa (35), Edwin Jackson (99)

2004: Jackson (4), Greg Miller (8), Franklin Guiterrez (31), Loney (42)

2005: Joel Guzman (5), Chad Billingsley (19), Jackson (30), Loney (62), Andy LaRoche (74), Russell Martin (89), Miller (100)

Noteworthy:

  • Two appearances by Kiki Jones, including the glory year of 1991 that saw him, Jamie McAndrew and Dan Opperman all grace the ranks of the most coveted.

  • Pedro Martinez and Raul Mondesi both slipped after the 1992 season. Down is not necessarily out.

  • Mondesi and Cedeno made the list four years in a row.

  • Anyone know what went wrong with Figueroa? He's averaging 10 strikeouts per nine innings for his career and had a knockout 2002, but had an ERA of nearly seven in 2004.

  • Folks, they nearly got me with Braulio Castillo. I had to think back really hard.

    Update: John Manuel of Baseball America posted a detailed look at how the publication puts together its lists.

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