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Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
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Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.

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Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000

Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000

Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000

Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000

Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000

Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725

Working total: *$113,268,725

*Rough salary estimate

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Garciaparra Press Conference Today
2005-12-19 08:56
by Jon Weisman

The Dodgers scheduled their press conference to announce the signing of Nomar Carciaparra for 2 p.m.

If the Dodgers send Hee Seop Choi off to a new home, does that eliminate the last hot-button issue from 2005? Jim Tracy, Milton Bradley, the shrinking Dodger payroll and Choi probably make up the top four.

The most that would be left from this year would be the debate over the value of some long-term contracts for J.D. Drew, Derek Lowe and others.

Update: Five scouts talk to Scott Miller of CBSSportsline.com about where they would play Garciaparra in the field.

Update 2: "You go out and play (the position) asked of you," Garciaparra says at the press conference. So what position(s) will that be? Unbelievably, it appears no one has asked for on-the-record clarification. So we'll have to wait for the post-press conference stories to find anything out.

But we do learn that Garciaparra ate French dips from Phillipe's before going to Dodger games as a kid.

Advertisement
Comments (340)
Show/Hide Comments 1-50
2005-12-19 09:08:54
1.   Ben P
If we really are going to jettison Choi, then I'd also like to hear management's plan for Izturis. Assuming Nomar stays healthy, Kent stays at 2B and Cesar becomes a super-utility guy, right? Hindsight is everything, but it's a shame we didn't trade him when his value was probably overinflated (before the injury, obviously).
2005-12-19 09:10:39
2.   Robert Daeley
Don't forget player names on the uniforms. ;)

Actually IIRC, there was an interview with Jamie McCourt (T.J. Simers maybe?) in which this subject was brought up. She basically said she thought it was a mistake, but that because of MLB rules they wouldn't be able to change the unis back until season after next, so 2007.

(Take that with a grain of salt because I don't have a link to the story, but I'm pretty sure I remember it correctly.)

2005-12-19 09:12:44
3.   Bob Timmermann
We'll have another year of dealing with anonymous players.

In 2007, they'll be anonymous too, but they'll just have names on their uniforms.

2005-12-19 09:14:13
4.   blue22
1 - One of Robles or Izturis will be sent packing come midseason. Robles is cheaper, but will there be a market for Izturis?

Does Robles have options left?

2005-12-19 09:23:00
5.   Bob Timmermann
I'm not sure how Robles contract works now since he came from the Mexican League. The Dodgers bought his contract outright. But he's already been in the minors before, although I don't think he was on anyone's 40-man roster.
2005-12-19 09:26:16
6.   Ben P
Buster Olney (ESPN Insider only) has an interesting take on the Dodgers' offseason.

http://tinyurl.com/d8xv9

His argument is that Colletti overpaid for Furcal but that such a bold move helped convince other free agents (Mueller, Garciaparra, Lofton) that the Dodgers were going in the right direction. He also says:

"But what's interesting about what Colletti has done, in changing the direction of the organization, is that the Furcal signing, in the big picture, has helped the Dodgers into a better financial position. The commitments to Mueller and Garciaparra and Lofton are all modest, one year or two years.

This buys the necessary time for the forthcoming wave of highly regarded prospects from L.A.'s strong farm system to develop. Mueller, Garciaparra and Lofton are part of the bridge to the future. By 2008, the team will probably belong to players like Chad Billingsley, Andy LaRoche and Joel Guzman. This is smart business."

2005-12-19 09:29:59
7.   blue22
Come July, LA could have Robles, Aybar, and Izturis all competing for the IF utility role (maybe 2 spots). Izturis contract/injury status could make him difficult to move, though he should be the guy they actively shop. If Robles can spend some time in AAA, that would help bide some time until they can find a taker for Cesar.
2005-12-19 09:31:41
8.   Sam DC
Well, I think bunting JD Drew still sits pretty high on the list of past controversies that remain open for 2006.
2005-12-19 09:32:11
9.   jasonungar05
Free agent arms that are left.

Brian Anderson 33
Tony Armas 27
Pedro Astacio 36
Kevin Brown 40
Roger Clemens 43
Shawn Estes 32
Gary Glover 29
Kazuhisa Ishii 32
Jason Johnson 32
Byung-Hyun Kim 26
Al Leiter 40
Jose Lima 33
Joe Mays 30
Kevin Millwood 30
Ramon Ortiz 32
Brett Tomko 32
Ismael Valdez 32
Jarrod Washburn 31
Jeff Weaver 29
Jamey Wright 30

2005-12-19 09:34:18
10.   blue22
Let's bring Estes and Tomko in, and sign Sanders and Lofton.

The name "PacBell Park" is available too.

2005-12-19 09:35:15
11.   scareduck
6 - Olney gets one right, for a change. But that said, this is a very, very old team.

9 - Washburn signed with the Mariners.

2005-12-19 09:35:53
12.   Bob Timmermann
Washburn will likely sign with Seattle soon.

If Al Leiter joined the Dodgers, someone better make sure the 5-day waiting period for gun purchases in California is enforced rigorously.

2005-12-19 09:39:11
13.   SMY
This buys the necessary time for the forthcoming wave of highly regarded prospects from L.A.'s strong farm system to develop. Mueller, Garciaparra and Lofton are part of the bridge to the future. By 2008, the team will probably belong to players like Chad Billingsley, Andy LaRoche and Joel Guzman. This is smart business."

Yet when DePodesta was doing the same thing, Olney couldn't figure out what on earth he was doing. Since Colletti's doing it with recognizable names, it must be a genius master plan.

2005-12-19 09:39:25
14.   Bob Timmermann
If Al Leiter joins the Dodgers, I'm going to ride on a sled through six lanes of traffic with a sign on my neck saying "No one gets my organs" as Moe did in last night's "Simpsons".
2005-12-19 09:40:30
15.   blue horseshoe
Current lineup: furcal, mueller, drew, kent, nomar, navarro, (then pick 2: choi, ledee, cruz jr, werth)

old lineup: izturis, werth, drew, kent, bradley, choi, valentin, navarro

Seems to me we're upgrading with proven guys and signing them to short term deals while the prospects are developing. I like the strategy, especially in this division.

120-thousand people have voted on Nomah's potential if he stays healthy on the ESPN poll.

2005-12-19 09:42:28
16.   bearlurker
9--Thanks for posting this info. Not a very impressive list but not completely horrible. I guess I'd prefer Kim for MR and Tomko, Mays and/or Johnson...whomever we can get relatively cheap. Mays intrigues me because he'd be coming to us from the Homerdome, Tomko still throws gas and had awful run support last year and Johnson has been stuck on bad teams.
2005-12-19 09:48:08
17.   JJoeScott
15 - Plus it looks like Lofton is coming too, according to the Az. Republic.

So new lineup: Furcal, Lofton, Drew, Kent, Garciaparra, Mueller, Cruz/Werth platoon, Navarro ... that'll work.

2005-12-19 09:48:45
18.   Jacob L
I'm becoming increasingly disillusioned with this off season, with one major caveat - we haven't touched the farm, and arguably improved it with the Bradley trade.

Until we add at least one decent pitcher, though, these moves makes us look like we're trying to compete without actually making us any more competitive.

Jon's usual warning about not jumping to conclusions obviously applies. Its only December 19, but right now, we're the Mets.

2005-12-19 09:48:56
19.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
11 - The team may be old, but we ony have to watch one season of Geriatrics on Grass.

6 - I agreed with Olney. An outbreak of hives ensued.

2005-12-19 09:48:58
20.   Jon Weisman
8 - I predict no bunts for Drew in '06.

I think Buster's right, and I think 13 is right with the critical difference in the eyes of the media being, Colletti has not let any division-winning heroes leave.

11 - The team isn't so much old as brittle. Outside of Kent and Mueller (and I guess Lofton), guys are basically in their 20s or early 30s. But yeah, along the lines of 13, it certainly isn't a more physically sound team than what DePodesta was constructing.

2005-12-19 09:52:43
21.   Bob Timmermann
As of now, these are Kenny Lofton's transactions (not counting DL stints) according to Retrosheet:

June 1, 1988: Drafted by the Houston Astros in the 17th round of the 1988 amateur draft.

December 10, 1991: Traded by the Houston Astros with Dave Rohde to the Cleveland Indians for Willie Blair and Eddie Taubensee.

March 25, 1997: Traded by the Cleveland Indians with Alan Embree to the Atlanta Braves for Marquis Grissom and David Justice.

October 28, 1997: Granted Free Agency.

December 8, 1997: Signed as a Free Agent with the Cleveland Indians.

November 5, 2001: Granted Free Agency.

February 1, 2002: Signed as a Free Agent with the Chicago White Sox.

July 28, 2002: Traded by the Chicago White Sox to the San Francisco Giants for Felix Diaz and Ryan Meaux (minors).

November 4, 2002: Granted Free Agency.

March 14, 2003: Signed as a Free Agent with the Pittsburgh Pirates.

July 23, 2003: Traded by the Pittsburgh Pirates with Aramis Ramirez and cash to the Chicago Cubs for a player to be named later, Jose Hernandez, and Matt Bruback (minors). The Chicago Cubs sent Bobby Hill (August 15, 2003) to the Pittsburgh Pirates to complete the trade.

October 30, 2003: Granted Free Agency.

January 6, 2004: Signed as a Free Agent with the New York Yankees.

December 3, 2004: Traded by the New York Yankees to the Philadelphia Phillies for Felix Rodriguez.

The Dodgers would be team number 10. Lofton has been to the postseason with 5 different teams.

2005-12-19 09:53:13
22.   Jon Weisman
Players who will be above the age of 32 in April 2006:

Derek Lowe (33 in June)
Sandy Alomar (40 in June)
Jeff Kent (38 in March)
Bill Mueller (35 in March)
Nomar Garciaparra (33 in July)
?Kenny Lofton (39 in May)

Five to six guys on the 40-man roster. I wouldn't call that an old team yet.

2005-12-19 09:53:44
23.   blue22
9 - The most interesting names on that list are Tomko and JJohnson. Neither strike out as many as they should, but Johnson is more of a groundball pitcher than Tomko. Tomko is a flyball pitcher who's had the luxury of pitching in SF recently (~1.0 G/F last 2 years). Those flyball outs could turn into homeruns in LA.

Johnson has had the same ballpark benefit of playing in Comerica, has given up about the same number of HR's as Tomko, but at least keeps the ball on the ground for the most part (~1.7 G/F last 2 years).

2005-12-19 09:54:08
24.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
18 - Is Mueller not an upgrade over Perez, Valentin, Nakamura, Edwards and the others who manned third base?
Is Lofton not an upgrade over Repko?
Is Furcal not an upgrade over Izturis and Robles?
About the only point I can argue is what everone else argues, whether Garciaparra > Choi + Saenz.
2005-12-19 09:57:46
25.   Jesse
18- We be the Mets if we'd given up the farm. If the Mets were doing what we're supposedly doing, I'd tip my cap to them. Choi is unfortunate from both a potential standpoint and a financial one, but if lofton, mueller, and furcal get on base like they should and nomar gets back a bit of his former glory, we should have a fun year.
2005-12-19 09:58:15
26.   blue22
24 - It seems that Ned's stopgaps have at least been more media-friendly, but they've also been more expensive. I'm not sure how up-to-date the $85M payroll is on the right here, but if it doesn't include Nomar, Lofton, or another starting pitcher, the payroll could be well into the $90M's.

Whether Depo was not allowed to increase the payroll last year, or he chose not to, it certainly seems that Ned is being given the financial freedom to bring in some names.

2005-12-19 09:58:32
27.   bigcpa
The order of our FA signings is giving me headaches. If we hadn't signed Mueller, wouldn't Nomar have been penciled in for 3b? If we knew Nomar would play 1b, would we have signed Saenz? Would Colletti have signed Lofton instead of Cruz Jr. if given the choice?

I don't see much downside in offering Choi arb and taking a month to sort out the lineup. I'd prefer we trade Saenz but the list of DH-types seeking work is getting long- Thomas, Piazza, Lecroy, Sanders, Durazo, maybe Craig Wilson.

2005-12-19 09:59:34
28.   blue horseshoe
Nomar's career BA is 320 and his ops are, dramatic pause, 9-1-1.
2005-12-19 09:59:50
29.   Jon Weisman
Two confusing things in this Randy Youngman column?

1) Is it possible to overhaul a shredded nucleus?

2) Why would you want to reacquire Steve Finley?

http://www.ocregister.com/ocregister/sports/columns/article_903305.php

2005-12-19 10:03:51
30.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
27 - That struck me as well, the lack of discernable order.
Then again, perhaps Ned didn't want to get in a situation where he signed guys under false pretenses. "Nomar, we brought you in to play third... Never mind, we just signed Mueller."
2005-12-19 10:04:06
31.   regfairfield
24 Is Lofton an upgrade over Werth/Cruz?

The reports of the Lofton signing, if true, started giving me a Bill Stoneman vibe about Colletti. He's wiling to nuture the minors, but not enough to let them play.

We three talented young players in Werth, Aybar, and Choi, and two of them are guaranteed to lose their jobs, possibly all three. See the stories of Jeff DaVanon, and the developing saga of Casey Kotchman. When DaVanon was called up, he had a 1.030 OPS in AAA. He was given 30 at bats in 2001, then banished from the team to return as a bench player in 2003 and 2004. By the time he was given a starting job, he was 31.

Young players with an upside don't stay that way forever, if Werth and Choi are left to languish this year, it could have a very bad effect on the rest of their careers.

2005-12-19 10:04:25
32.   Vishal
[24] sure, but it appears that colletti has an $20 million that depodesta apparently didn't have, and that's not even taking into consideration the dead weight of dreifort and green.
2005-12-19 10:05:45
33.   Peanuts in My Shoes
Is there anyone (an arm, especially) the Yanks could send back that the Dodgers would want for Choi/Sanez?

"Nomar Garciaparra's decision to sign with the Dodgers leaves the Yankees for now with unproven players in two positions in the lineup. In addition to Bubba Crosby, who will be in center field unless the Yankees can find an upgrade, Andy Phillips is currently set to share first base and designated hitter with Jason Giambi. The Yankees have expressed interest in free agent Eduardo Perez, late of Tampa Bay, for a similar role. Cleveland, San Diego, Florida, Tampa Bay and the Cubs are also believed to have contacted Perez."
-- Newark Star-Ledger

2005-12-19 10:05:45
34.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
30 - (Hit "Submit" too soon.)
Doing so seems like a sure-fire way to anger your new players.
2005-12-19 10:06:31
35.   Vishal
[32] well maybe not $20M but more, certainly.
2005-12-19 10:07:10
36.   blue22
Would Colletti have signed Lofton instead of Cruz Jr. if given the choice?

I think so, since Cruz Jr. can play RF (assuming Drew is insistant on playing CF), whereas Lofton cannot. Werth could play RF when he comes back.

Saenz is a strange one since he, along with Choi, loses a lot of value if not starting. He's strictly a RH bat off the bench now, with minimal defensive capabilities. At least Choi is left-handed (something LA lacks off the bench).

2005-12-19 10:09:16
37.   Bob Timmermann
29
Shredding a nucleus tends to lead to things that make mushroom clouds.
2005-12-19 10:09:49
38.   SMY
If Drew plays CF, why sign Lofton at all? I'm confused about the OF.
2005-12-19 10:10:45
39.   blue22
32 - The payroll ended up being about $88M last year. This year it looks to be in the mid-$90Ms.

Did McCourt authorize a higher amount last year, but Depo just didn't see the added value that increasing payroll would give (diminishing returns?)? Or was Depo held under stricter financial limits than Ned now has?

2005-12-19 10:14:07
40.   Vishal
[39] i thought it was around $83M? i guess there were different interpretations, depending on your accounting methods.

i figure if we're still going to get an outfielder and a pitcher, it'll bump us up to almost $100M.

2005-12-19 10:14:08
41.   blue22
38 - Lofton plays left. Lofton/Drew/Cruz seems to me the best defensive alignment. Ledee/Repko on the bench and Werth coming later in the season.

Seems that Ned would rather find playing time for Lofton than Choi/Saenz.

2005-12-19 10:14:51
42.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
39 - My guess is, the higher payroll reflects the fact MLB is flush with cash.
2005-12-19 10:14:55
43.   blue22
40 - i thought it was around $83M?

That could certainly be correct.

2005-12-19 10:15:17
44.   King of the Hobos
Tim Brown said Tomko is one of the few pitchers that we're interested in. Padres want him too

And if you wanted Steve Karsay or Danny Graves, they are no longer available

2005-12-19 10:15:32
45.   Jon Weisman
37 - Right. So how do you overhaul that?

33 - Choi in the New York media - that would lead to more shredded nuclei.

2005-12-19 10:16:17
46.   SMY
41 I guess I could see that. Although Lofton doesn't strike me as the type to move out of CF easily.
2005-12-19 10:17:57
47.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
All this talk about Werth, what's his health status? Last I heard, wasn't he expected to sit through spring training?
As much as I like the guy, you can't expect Werth to stay healthy - and that can be said for much of the roster. Keeping that in mind, what appears to be a roster surplus now may come in quite handy.
2005-12-19 10:18:04
48.   Ben P
It's entirely possible that McCourt authorized a higher payroll this year than he had originally planned because he has taken such a beating from the media recently. And if that was his strategy, it worked. Everyone is talking about the Dodgers' aggressive moves now instead of the previous dysfunction.
2005-12-19 10:19:09
49.   slackfarmer
24 Mueller is comparable with Perez and Aybar, not an upgrade except in cost and injury risk. His fielding is average and his hitting has benefited greatly from Fenway.

Lofton is a downgrade from Bradley and compareable to Werth/Cruz.

Furcal is an upgrade to Izzy/Perez/Robles, but at the cost of $13 mils per year. His fielding is as good as Izzy and his bat as good as Perez. Their respective WARP numbers will come in around 6 for Furcal, 4 for Izzy (if healthy), 2 for Perez. That's a marginal cost per win of $3 to $5 mils -- very expensive.

Garciaparra is a wash to a downgrade at 1B from Choi/Sanez. All Nomar's big numbers come from Fenway and occurred many injuries ago. He hasn't played 1B before, so he likely won't be an improvement on D. And he costs many mils more (depending on what incentives kick in).

2005-12-19 10:19:33
50.   King of the Hobos
43 That figure either did have Green's pay or Dreifort's entire salary (we weren't eligible for the insurance money until August), or both, I can't remember. But it was only correct if you count players who actually played, but it is not correct
Show/Hide Comments 51-100
2005-12-19 10:20:32
51.   blue22
46 - I looked it up and Lofton has played the overwhelming majority of his time in CF recently. Surprising given his somewhat nomadic behavior over the last 5 years. Maybe he will stick in CF, Drew in RF, and Cruz in LF. Cruz hasn't played LF regularly since 2002.
2005-12-19 10:21:03
52.   SMY
Hey, Lofton's career OPS at Dodger Stadium is .505. He fits right in with Mueller and Furcal. Small sample sizes are fun.
2005-12-19 10:24:16
53.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
49 - His fielding is as good as Izzy and his bat as good as Perez.
Until baseball adopts football's two-platoon system, it's misleading to compare any player with the best half of another.
2005-12-19 10:25:17
54.   KLV
I wonder how much our somewhat redundant signings are a reaction to the spate of injuries we had in 2005, which left Dodgers fans with psychological scars that will not heal ("Starting in LF and hitting 7th, Mike Edwards"). One thing I will say for Colleti is he's stocking the 06 club with quite a bit of depth that will put us in a position to weather injuries. This may seem quite prescient come August.
2005-12-19 10:26:38
55.   SMY
Choi's Dodger Stadium OPS is .830. Too high.

Nomar is .517, but only 3 games.

2005-12-19 10:26:42
56.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
49 - His fielding is average and his hitting has benefited greatly from Fenway.
Mueller's OPS+, which is park-adjusted, in the last three seasons: 140, 106 and 112.
2005-12-19 10:27:03
57.   regfairfield
Remember when Steve Phillips said we'd get Nomar, Mueller, and Randa?

Maybe he was on to something.

2005-12-19 10:27:11
58.   slackfarmer
53 I think it's very useful to compare when evaluating. I didn't say that Perez could DH for Izzy. It's just a way to illustrate that Furcal is the complete (albeit expensive) package while Izzy and Perez are someone one deminsional.
2005-12-19 10:28:33
59.   blue22
49 - Mueller is comparable with Perez and Aybar, not an upgrade except in cost and injury risk. His fielding is average and his hitting has benefited greatly from Fenway.

Mueller is definitely an upgrade defensively over those 2. Aybar, in limited time, was a poor defender at 3B. Perez was slightly better than Aybar at 3B (still below average based on rate2), but rumor has it that he was not thrilled with playing there (he preferred 2B, where he put up Soriano-like numbers in the field).

Mueller has been consistently above average at 3B for a number of years now.

Agree or not, but it is apparent that defense is a priority for the new regime. Mueller, Lofton, and Furcal are all above-average to excellent defenders, in addition to being offensive contributors.

2005-12-19 10:30:42
60.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
54 - Yep.
2005-12-19 10:30:44
61.   Blue in SF
The myth of Lo Duca begins in New York: http://tinyurl.com/9klya
2005-12-19 10:31:59
62.   rageon
54 It's the same old debate about whether you would want a superstar and two minor leaguers for $15M, or three $5M players. I lean heavily towards the former. I believe Depo does/did as well. Ned seems to be signing a lot of guys who fall into the later. Yes, our team is much deeper than last years, but at what cost? I'd rather turn Lofton, Werth, and Ledee into a single good outfielder, rather than having 3 mediocre ones.
2005-12-19 10:33:22
63.   FirstMohican
54 - "One thing I will say for Colleti is he's stocking the 06 club with quite a bit of depth that will put us in a position to weather injuries."

You need about 1900 abs from the outfield, so lets see where we're at:

Werth 337
Lofton 367
Drew 252
Cruz Jr 370
Ledee 237

Total 1563

Well if the outfield matches their 05 abs all the dodgers need is some contributions from a 6th outfielder and toss in a sept. call up or two and that outfield is solid!

2005-12-19 10:34:52
64.   Bob Timmermann
61

Nobody reads my Lo Duca posts.

http://griddle.baseballtoaster.com/archives/305602.html

2005-12-19 10:36:05
65.   Bob Timmermann
Hmm. My mock HTML tags in 64 got subsumed into the post.

There were was supposed to be sarcasm around my comment.

2005-12-19 10:37:18
66.   Blue in SF
57: Remember when Steve Phillips said we'd get Nomar, Mueller, and Randa? Maybe he was on to something.
---
He also thinks we need a catcher and predicts we will get Molina http://tinyurl.com/98psn (Insider Only):

Updated: Dec. 15, 2005

Los Angeles Dodgers Need: Catcher
The Dodgers have talked about going with Dioner Navarro and Russ Martin behind the plate. Both players are young and inexperienced, which is a risky proposition for the Dodgers, as they still might be able to compete in baseball's worst division.

The catchers' free-agent market just disappeared on Bengie Molina. He had visions of signing a contract in the area of four years and $8 million per season, but when the Mets traded for Paul Lo Duca and the Diamondbacks traded for Johnny Estrada, two clubs that were thought to be big players in the catching market were eliminated. Ramon Hernandez signed with the Orioles, and then Brad Ausmus re-signed with the Astros. The Mariners also took themselves out of the catching hunt when they signed Kenji Johjima. The Padres also further reduced the market by trading for Doug Mirabelli. To add insult to injury, the Angels did not offer arbitration to Molina. Thus, the simple law of supply and demand has caught up with Molina.

He likely will take a one-year deal and try to score bigger in next year's free-agent market. He is a perfect fit in Los Angeles, but this time with the Dodgers.

2005-12-19 10:37:42
67.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
62 - I'd rather turn Lofton, Werth, and Ledee into a single good outfielder, rather than having 3 mediocre ones.
IMO:
Lofton = good
Ledee = above average
Werth = good, but prone to injury
I don't think of those three as mediocre, not at all.
2005-12-19 10:38:14
68.   Jon Weisman
64 - Hurts, doesn't it?
2005-12-19 10:38:30
69.   popup
If I recall correctly Drew played some center last year when Milton had his hand injury, and Drew ended up having to sit out some games because of his knee. No way playing center is less stress on the body than playing a corner outfield spot.

Should be an interesting year. I will go on record as saying I would not construct the team the way Colletti has, but if Kent's wrist injury is not serious and he can get one more solid season out of his 38 year old body (neither of those are a given) and if Drew can play in the outfield for 140 games with his usual career production and if Nomar can play 140 games and return to his historical production, the 2006 Dodgers will score some runs. I don't like the starting pitching past Penny and Lowe, but the bullpen looks very good. I am sure I will be criticized for saying this, but it may be that the worst thing for the long term success of this franchise will be for all of Ned's moves to work. If the Dodgers go into 2007 with a World Series ring on their fingers, there is no way McCourt and Colletti will turn the roster over to the kids.

Stan from Tacoma

2005-12-19 10:40:32
70.   KLV
59

I'd be careful about taking defensive statistics as gospel truth of true defensive abilities. It's still an inexact science that people are working hard on improving. Also, FWIW, the defensive "gurus" on Baseball Primer put very little stock in the Prospectus rate 2 numbers.

The most-respected measure is probably UZR, but the guy behind that system (Mitchell Lichtman) got hired by the Cardinals a few years back and his numbers are no longer publicized, although he does occasionally disclose some numbers here and there on Primer threads. UZR had Mueller as a slighly below-average fielder from 2000-20003. Now take that with a grain of salt, as fielding stats are not like hitting stats, but I think our defense at 3B is an open question. At the very least, we'll have a 3B who is comfortable at the position, and is not trying to learn a new position on the job (like Perez or Valentin).

2005-12-19 10:40:35
71.   rageon
I'll throw Cruz into my jumble of mediocre OF's we have, as I forgot him the first time around...

Lofton: not good. A .350 OBP isn't "good" for a corner OF, and a .350 slugging is terrible for a corner OF. Not good. Not good at all.

Ledee: above average production + inability to play everyday = mediocre

Werth: (see Ledee)

Cruz: (see Ledee)

2005-12-19 10:41:00
72.   SMY
If the Dodgers go into 2007 with a World Series ring on their fingers, there is no way McCourt and Colletti will turn the roster over to the kids.

Personally, I don't think there's much danger of that happening, but I could be wrong.

2005-12-19 10:42:16
73.   Marty
After reading that Loduca article, it's nice to know cosmic forces are the explanation for why he's a Met.
2005-12-19 10:42:42
74.   FirstMohican
69 According to Drew, stopping hard to avoid the seats next to right field is what bothers his knee. I don't think he cares for baseballs on his wrist either.
2005-12-19 10:43:20
75.   slackfarmer
56 I grant you that Mueller had a great year in 2003, but his numbers in 2004 and 2005 are only slightly above average; in fact, probably right about average for a corner IF. Perez's numbers in 2005 were comparable (Muller EQA .275, Perez EQA .274).

59 Muller's career Rate2 at 3B is 99. That is the definition of average -- not above average to excellent like Furcal and Lofton.

2005-12-19 10:43:51
76.   regfairfield
72 I think that it's still a safe bet, since our rotation is still "Penny and Lowe, then pray for snow."
2005-12-19 10:44:22
77.   Dark Horse
72--It's not likely, although it never is. I'd wager the chances are better than last year's though, and by a good margin.
2005-12-19 10:46:49
78.   Scanman33
The Los Angeles Giant Sox of San Boston will be a force to be reckoned with this year.
2005-12-19 10:47:47
79.   rageon
74 That's because JD Drew is a wuss. A real gamer wouldn't let a tiny little baseball tossed his way break any bones. And even if it did, it shouldn't prevent him from missing any time. After all, Biggio has been hit like 8000 times and you don't see him missing time, do you? But it's ultimately Depo's fault. With his history of knee injuries, it was almost certain that he would break a bone in his hand. After, he's injury prone.

Right?

2005-12-19 10:49:46
80.   bhsportsguy
49, 59 - Last year Mueller had nearly identical splits on home/road in about the same number of at bats.

Home 258 at bats .283/.358/.450/.808
Away 261 at bats .307/.380/.410 .790

He batted mostly 8th in Boston's lineup, with the Lofton signing, I see him batting 7th, when he played for Grady in 2003, he split between 2nd, 7th, and 8th.

It does appear that with these signings, nationally, the perception about the Dodgers has improved. In terms of the impact to Werth, Aybar and Choi, Werth probably has the best perceived value but with his off-season surgery, there was no certainity about his availability when spring training started. My hunch about Aybar is that the view from White, Ng, etc. is that he is projected as a utility player at best, and with Choi, well who knows, maybe only DePo supported him (like Antonio Perez), I still don't think he will be non-tendered but we'll know more today.

2005-12-19 10:51:48
81.   Gold Star for Robot Boy
71 - Where to start...
1. Lofton is playing CF, no??
2. Lofton's has never slugged lower than .365 in a full season. And that was in 1992.
3. Lofton's OBP last season was .392.
4. He's a great, not good, fielder.
5. In the last three years, Lofton stole 59 bases at an 80 percent clip. That's good.
2005-12-19 10:53:15
82.   bearlurker
61--

Bob, I read your post at the Griddle. Keep up the good work. I'll continue to monitor the situation at the Griddle.

2005-12-19 10:53:29
83.   FirstMohican
79 None of Colletti's aquisitions have suffered injuries yet. Coincidence?
2005-12-19 10:54:29
84.   popup
72, I don't think it is likely either. Actually, instead of the World Series comment, I should have said if the 2006 Dodgers are successful, I don't see McCourt/Colletti going to a youth movement in 2007.

The beuaty of baseball