
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
Dodger Thoughts T-Shirts
On sale through February 16, 2008


Click here to order.
* * *
The Best of Dodger Thoughts
A 325-page book featuring the top selections from this website from 2002-2005.
Click here for more information.
* * *
Or, just make a donation to support the site. Many thanks.
"Dodger Thoughts, like TiVo, is one of those things you can completely do without until you start using it."
- Fanerman
SI.com
NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
Colletti and Depo
World Baseball Classic
Minor League Broadcasters
Slow Starts
Eric Gagne
Groundball Pitchers
Dodger Prospects
Albert Pujols
Humbled Angels
You Be the Manager
Eric Gagne II
Unreliable Relievers
Revived Angels
It's Okay To Sell
Dodger Turnaround
Andre Ethier
Padres-Dodgers Showdown
NL Final Weekend
Mets-Dodgers NLDS
Postseason ratings
NL Wish Lists
Manny vs. J.D.
McGwire Controversy
Dodger Offense
Trainers Matter
Variety
Will Arnett
John C. McGinley
Laura Dern
Imelda Staunton
SAG Awards
Ellen Pompeo
Grey's Anatomy
2004-05 Rookie Dramas
Anthony Hopkins
NATPE
Scrubs
Award Shows
Topher Grace
Ashton Kutcher
Writing on Improv Shows
Rainn Wilson
T.R. Knight
Guest Actors
Animation Guests
Joey Carson and Tennis
Donald Trump and Golf
2006 Emmys Nominees*
*Comedy Series
*Comedy Director
*Comedy Writer
*Comedy Actor
*Comedy Supporting Actor
Blue's Clues
Lizzy Caplan
Ann Donahue
CMT: Giants
CMA Awards
Little Miss Sunshine
Actor-Directors
Freshman Series
Clint Eastwood
Showrunners vs. Censors
Little Children
Breaking and Entering
Tartikoff Legacy Awards
Jackie Earle Haley
Knights of Prosperity
Office Online
2007 Screenplay Noms
Friday Night Lights
Robert Benton
ABC Fridays
Rookie Actors
Global Casting
2007 Pilot Casting
Sublime Slime
Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Abreu
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Beimel
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Bennett
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Billingsley
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Brazoban
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Broxton
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube DeWitt
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Ethier
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Furcal
ESPN BR BP Cube Garciaparra
ESPN BR BP Cube Hu
ESPN BR BP Cube Jones
ESPN BR BP Cube Kemp
ESPN BR BP Cube Kent
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuo
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuroda
ESPN BR BP Cube LaRoche
ESPN BR BP Cube Loaiza
ESPN BR BP Cube Loney
ESPN BR BP Cube Lowe
ESPN BR BP Cube Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube May
ESPN BR BP Cube McDonald
ESPN BR BP Cube Meloan
ESPN BR BP Cube Miller
ESPN BR BP Cube Orenduff
ESPN BR BP Cube Park
ESPN BR BP Cube Paul
ESPN BR BP Cube Penny
ESPN BR BP Cube Pierre
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Repko
ESPN BR BP Cube Saito
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmidt
ESPN BR BP Cube Stults
ESPN BR BP Cube Sweeney
ESPN BR BP Cube Troncoso
ESPN BR BP Cube Wade
ESPN BR BP Cube Young
ESPN BR BP Cube Alomar
ESPN BR BP Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR BP Cube Aybar
ESPN BR BP Cube Baez
ESPN BR BP Cube Bako
ESPN BR BP Cube Beltre
ESPN BR BP Cube Bradley
ESPN BR BP Cube Cabrera
ESPN BR BP Cube Carrara
ESPN BR BP Cube Carter
ESPN BR BP Cube Chen
ESPN BR BP Cube Choi
ESPN BR BP Cube Cora
ESPN BR BP Cube Crosby
ESPN BR BP Cube Cruz
ESPN BR BP Cube Dessens
ESPN BR BP Cube Dreifort
ESPN BR BP Cube Drew
ESPN BR BP Cube Encarnacion
ESPN BR BP Cube Edwards
ESPN BR BP Cube Erickson
ESPN BR BP Cube Falkenborg
ESPN BR BP Cube Finley
ESPN BR BP Cube Flores
ESPN BR BP Cube Gagne
ESPN BR BP Cube Grabowski
ESPN BR BP Cube Green
ESPN BR BP Cube Guzman
ESPN BR BP Cube Hanrahan
ESPN BR BP Cube Hernandez
ESPN BR BP Cube Hundley
ESPN BR BP Cube Ishii
ESPN BR BP Cube Izturis
ESPN BR BP Cube Jackson
ESPN BR BP Cube Karros
ESPN BR BP Cube Ketchner
ESPN BR BP Cube Ledee
ESPN BR BP Cube Lima
ESPN BR BP Cube Lo Duca
ESPN BR BP Cube Lofton
ESPN BR BP Cube T. Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube Mayne
ESPN BR BP Cube G. Mota
ESPN BR BP Cube Mueller
ESPN BR BP Cube Myrow
ESPN BR BP Cube Nakamura
ESPN BR BP Cube Navarro
ESPN BR BP Cube Nomo
ESPN BR BP Cube Osoria
ESPN BR BP Cube A. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube O. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube Phillips
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Roberts
ESPN BR BP Cube Robles
ESPN BR BP Cube Romano
ESPN BR BP Cube C. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube D. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube Sanchez
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmoll
ESPN BR BP Cube Sele
ESPN BR BP Cube Seo
ESPN BR BP Cube Shuey
ESPN BR BP Cube Stanley
ESPN BR BP Cube S. Stewart
ESPN BR BP Cube Thompson
ESPN BR BP Cube Thurston
ESPN BR BP Cube Valentin
ESPN BR BP Cube Venafro
ESPN BR BP Cube Ventura
ESPN BR BP Cube Weaver
ESPN BR BP Cube Werth
ESPN BR BP Cube Wilson
ESPN BR BP Cube Wunsch
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
Wednesday was the first day in my memory that I read all the comments on Dodger Thoughts as they passed but didn't participate once. The primary reason was that I was a bit burned out from the previous day's discussion on the Mark Hendrickson trade, which many of us found worth examining to a degree beyond its importance to the Dodgers' immediate fortunes. Sort of the way we examine the Dodgers to a degree beyond their importance to our living and breathing. We just do.
As the day went on, there were a couple of places where I felt I could jump in and say something without it sending me to bed with a cold compress on my forehead, but each time I was on the verge, I found myself in love with the idea of continuing my fast. Many times, comments are like Lay's potato chips and you can't stop at one.
So instead, I silently digested another Dodger wipeout at the hands of an American League team, digested Odalis Perez's latest outing, digested Cesar Izturis' OPS finding its home below .700. I rooted for the Dodgers to make a game of it - just make a game of it - and Olmedo Saenz heard me with his three-run double.
My father-in-law, a Mets fan, made a joke about which one of us will be unhappier reading the papers following Wednesday's games. I courtesy laughed. Clearly, I would be unhappier, given that his team is in first place by a lot.
I watched the bottom of the first inning of the morning's game on TiVo after the kids were in bed and decided that Perez probably couldn't reach the infield grounder that set up Minnesota's grand slam, no matter how much effort he might have made. All along, I thought about writing something, but I never did.
For my first three decades as a Dodger fan, that's pretty much how it went. I would have mostly an interior dialogue. Dodger Thoughts came about when I saw an opportunity to stop talking to myself all the time. While there hasn't been a day that has gone by when I haven't been grateful that outlet, Wednesday was nicely nostalgic, nicely peaceful. It was nice to have some alone time.
And today, the Dodgers are still the Dodgers.
Yup. And Lays is still making chips. Munch as many or few as you want. They'll make more whatever you decide.
My optimism about Hendrickson is partly due to the fact that he's spent his whole career in the AL so far -- the AL East, for that matter, which has traditionally been the best of the best (although I think the Central passed them this season.) Hendrickson will come over here and face a steady diet of San Diego, San Francisco, Arizona, Pittsburgh, Washington, etc., and he'll feel like he's back in AAA. Every NL lineup except the Mets and the Cardinals has holes. What team presents any NL pitcher with a lineup approaching what the Yankees, Red Sox and Chisox put out there?
In the event Hendrickson does well and catches on with the fans, do you think they'll start selling fake beards at the souvenir stands?
The bag or your pants...?
I like both.
And the relationship is probably causal.
And Jon, living on the East Coast, I know what it's like to talk to yourself about the Dodgers.
No on Escobar until he deletes that MySpace page.
Grab Nate...Grab like something that grabs very well. A claw, maybe. Yeah, grab like a claw.
I believe the technical term is "Fat Tub of Goo"
I didn't realize Mark Hendrickson was EVIL. If I didn't know any better I'd have to guess that most of the posters think Hendy's Lucipher himself. LOL.
And to think Hendy's been lucky all season while OP has been unlucky all season. It was hard to just type that.
You people fail to realize that Seo and Beaz, on paper, are good trades, just like the Hendy deal.
Lets examine the Seo/Hamulak for Schmoll/Sanchez deal.
Seo was something like 8-2 with a sub 3 ERA in the 2nd half last season. Thats a sub 3 ERA in a lot of innings. Why would anyone expect that to double? Schmoll is complete trash who will never dawn a major league uniform again. Sanchez is the only person Midas has ever traded away that hurts a bit.
Trading for Baez made all the sense in the world. He proved he could close out ball games. He saved over 40 the year before. Midas was being proactive. He wasn't going to wait for Gagne to get hurt. He went and got him a 40+ save man. Not too many have that on the ol' resume. And look what he gave up. 2 pieces of garbage. Jackson is TERRIBLE and Tiffany is a BUST. The Drays made a TERRIBLE trade. They could have had so much more for Baez at the end of last year. They got stuck with trash. LOL. Carter was a no risk throw in that didn't pan out. Big deal. He was thrown into the trash bib in Vegas where he belongs.
And now the boys in blue get Hendy and the majority of you act like the franchise is crumbling. LOL. Navarro is overweight garbage. He's a scrubby Mike LaValliere. Good riddance to bad rubbish. Hendy has to just keep pitching like he's pitching and the boys in blue will win 60% of his starts.
:)
It's gotten to the point where I don't even realize I'm doing it.
He may be crazy. But it just might be a lunatic we're looking for...
Gagne's save streak is meaningless itself. It was his ungodly K and BB rates that made him great, not the fact that he didn't blow any three-run leads in the ninth-inning for two years.
Jon's post once again reminds me of the great puzzle of baseball fanship. Why in heaven's name do we care so much? On a rational level, this stuff really doesn't matter, but, well, that's not the way it works.
Anyhow, I don't like the trade, but as some others have said, even in baseball terms, it isn't the end of the world. I still like DePo more, but Choi's and Perez's struggles only show what DePo himself said--baseball GMship is as much art and science. I liked my chances with him more, and I have my worries about Ned, but the net affect on the team this season won't be huge.
WWSH
Andre is a nice player, a fourth outfielder. That does not mean we should trade him. All times need solid role players.
Same thing with Aybar, he is no future all-star, but a decent back-up, that does not mean we have to scrub him to some other team.
Let us keep our guys, enjoy the season, and look for solid free agent help in the future.
The Hendricks trade was not that BAD, just a little pointless. In the end, I do not think he is going to be any better or worse then Seo or Odalis.
I still think (and hope, alot), that Odalis can pitch atleast at a league average level.
I am the ultimate lurker around here. I've checked the board basically every day for over two years. I bet I've read 95% of the comments in that time. I feel like I know all the regulars like good friends. Things that happen at work will remind me of people from the board. At this point I can read through the posts without looking at the subject lines because I know immediately by tone and content who most of the posters are. When I'm arguing with someone in real time about the Dodgers I'll frame both sides of my own argument and think to myself "nate would say" etc... My mom even reads the board and we regularly refer to posts in our discussions.
How strange is it that if I were to have approached the group at the game no one would have any idea who I was? Does this make me selfish? Am I missing out? It's such a strange social phenomenon. And I wonder how many more there are like me on this board?
There are times I would like to open the bag of chips and even feel that I have some sort of duty to do so. But then again, there are others who know more about just about everything that has to do with baseball. For someone reason on this off day I feel the need to wax poetic and say thanks for being so great Jon (and everyone at DT). It has been such a pleasure to be (however quietly) a part of this community for the past few years. Perhaps I will now put down the chips and receded back to the corner and try not to laugh too hard at Bob's next joke. Or maybe the chips will be too good...
One of the things that pushed me over the top to participate was the passing of my #1 "Dodger Friend". He and I would discuss the Dodgers and baseball at length, with his death, I miss the discussions.
This place has had an even greater meaning to me in the last few months.
And welcome aboard :)
I don't know if this relates, but to whatever extent people are afraid to comment because they're afraid of being ragged on too hard ... I'd like people to keep that in mind when they respond to things they don't agree with. This place isn't supposed to be a playground where only the toughest survive. It should be a place where, as corny as it sounds, everyone gets to play if they want.
Dialing down the hyperbole whenever we can is one idea I have. I think we can have plenty of fun without exaggerating things. And in general, there's still too much mocking of other people, on all sides of the conversation. There's still too much mocking of opposing points of view instead of responding respectfully.
Just something to keep in mind. We're pretty good, but we can do better.
I still think (and hope, alot), that Odalis can pitch atleast at a league average level.
GIVE UP ON OP. He's garbage. Period. It doesn't matter that he was league average in the past, he's a league offensive slump buster now.
Also, I would have more hope for Hendrickson to pitch near, or a little below league average, especially looking at what he does on the road.
31 - Humbling, isn't it?
I think there is some medical truth in that statement. I myself have been suffering from depression for many years now and I know that the bi-polar disorder known as the Dodgers has contributed to many of the pharmaceutical companies profits. I think maybe the Dodgers should be a sponsor for Lexipro.
I also am really strongly committed to the belief that the pitchers we picked up in the off-season were competent pitchers and that Grady Little's misuse of the bullpen created a trickle down effect that caused both psychological and mechanical problems. I still have no logical explanation for his abnegation of the spot lefty. He has rarely, if ever, used it all opting instead to use his lefties in righty type situations. Also, I do think that one of his fatal character flaws is his fear of going out to the mound due to the Donnie Moore/Bill Bucknerish nature of his destruction in game 7/ALCS. Not to excuse the pitching performances but this has been a big contributing factor to the staffs continued problems.
I really think to myself, can this guy really have slipped this much and how much of it has to do with bad luck?
I am not expecting much from Odalis, but hey, we are Dodger fans, we can always hope.
BA against by year.
2003 - .229
2004 - .237
2005 - .244
2006 - .298
OPS against by year.
2003 - .673
2004 - .685
2005 - .674
2006 - .749
41 saves in 49 opportunities including 7 of 7 against the Yankees. (But there's no pressure pitching against the Yanks. LOL)
I guess Baez was just "LUCKY" over the course of 3 full seasons. ::rolls eyes::
I think there is some medical truth in that statement. I myself have been suffering from depression for many years now and I know that the bi-polar disorder known as the Dodgers has contributed to many of the pharmaceutical companies profits. I think maybe the Dodgers should be a sponsor for Lexipro.
I also am really strongly committed to the belief that the pitchers we picked up in the off-season were competent pitchers and that Grady Little's misuse of the bullpen created a trickle down effect that caused both psychological and mechanical problems. I still have no logical explanation for his abnegation of the spot lefty. He has rarely, if ever, used it all opting instead to use his lefties in righty type situations. Also, I do think that one of his fatal character flaws is his fear of going out to the mound due to the Donnie Moore/Bill Bucknerish nature of his destruction in game 7/ALCS. Not to excuse the pitching performances but this has been a big contributing factor to the staffs continued problems.
The last thing I'd say is that Little has been perfect, but I think mainly the problem is that the starters get pounded half the time.
You guys can rag on me later, but I think Baez will turn things around.
No, he will never be Eric Gagne, but I think he will give us a better performance before all is said and done.
WHO will be available in the free agent market, that is what I want to know. We have some rookies priced below their worth the next few years, we need to take advantage of this situation and sign some good players. I just hope there are guys out there, especially arms.
And the angel fans are giddy over their 7 games under team?
But in all honesty, he has to be a contender for Manager of the year in the NL for keeping this ship afloat with the decimating injuries we've had.
All eyes are now on Ned, I suspect. But is there really any motivation for him to do anything more than get "enough" to win the west?
vr, Xei
What does the Dodger GM, Ned, need to do to make this team an A level squad?
Thank God Ned was able to coax Furcal, Tomko, Alomar, Mueller, Martinez, etc. to hop on board the Dodger train.
That seems weird to say in light of his recent history but, man, was he fun to watch at the plate.
If this were New York, which has a savage press power, any recalcitrance on the part of the PR guy (my apologies Mr. Rawitch) would be met with a loud boot to the posterior and out onto Fordham road or Steinway. There is none of that pressure in sunny LA
vr, Xei
Have we all become Goody Two-Shoes? ;)
"Man, that poster is so eloquent and has been hesitant to post here. How am I ever going to post?"
So I say, for one post, on an off-day, Lurkers Unite.
"My name is Bonnie and I'm a Lurker and a DT addict"
Unlurker Day!
njr and El Dios Azul, welcome and bienvenidos. No more shyness, please.
I think a higher percentage of commenters here were DePo supporters because there were few other places for them to go without being attacked in ways more vicious than I would ever allow here.
Conversely, there are plenty of places for Ned supporters to go, so it seems like there are fewer of them here.
Beyond that, I think most people here look at the moves both GMs have made and like some and dislike others. The idea that we will defend one transaction to the death because of who made it is, as was implied in 44 and 46, is completely false. Example: Do you not see the many people criticizing Odalis who by and large liked DePodesta?
To which I reply:
Where's the problem? Heck, I rely on the fact someone is going to make a better case than me. Then, I take the information I get from this site and sound smart to my friends.
My secret? I don't do research. It's tiring, sometimes confusing and gets in the way of my snack and snooze time. So, I contribute by bizarre obsessions with fringe first basemen with the aural power to change the fate of a team by his mere presence (this player really, really, REALLY needs no introduction).
Seriously, welcome aboard. If your first post is any indication, my role as resident nutcase is secure in the DT firmament while you'll have plenty of company in the house of reason. Just know that the crazies on the DT board (there are a few) get stared at more at the DT outings. It's a nice little perk.
Whether those kids pan out or not, they all had value beyond what the Dodgers received in return. Baez blew eight saves last year, Carter is a marginal middle reliever (now in AAA), Hall is a career backup, and Hendrickson is a below league average pitcher (this year's anomaly not withstanding).
I don't think Colletti got blown out of the water in any of those trades, and I don't think the anger is justified for this most recent trade, I just don't think it's a good sign of things to come.
Ethier is doing very well in his rookie year. Remember Repko? So many ragged on him after (and during) his first season.
I say that you will not know what he has until he plays a few seasons. Do the Dodgers have the patience to see if he is an above average hitter?
for 3 pieces of GARBAGE in Jackson, Navarro, and Tiffany any day of the week.
76--
I miss him too. I remember the first time