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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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This is the Game 4 I wanted the Dodgers to get - facing Oliver Perez.
Okay, probably not.
i'm guessing the odds are slim right
WWSH
I don't feel much of a sting from our exit as it was fully deserved. To beat the Mets we had to play to our capabilities and we didn't hence the Mets were able to get by relatively cheaply. If anything the tables are now turned and the Mets must realize that the level of play that got them past us is not going to bare fruit against the Cardinals.
http://tinyurl.com/yn7rt9
gringos i tell ya! ;o)
anybody but NY!!
I have thought about several orgs. I have worked for, and in every case several people on the D's would have been fired immediately. I will think about this.
Oh ok. Well thankfully you are safe and everything is fine.
Will the Mets and Cards both outscore the Raiders?
what's a Raiders?
it's that bad, wow.
Just ONE thing resulting in ONE more Dodger win would have meant playing St. Louis in the first round.
Who knows what might have happened then? Yeah, the Dodgers were 0for the season vs. the Cards. So we probably were due....
And no one's leaving the stadium early, of course...
still not smoking Andrew?
Which is more than I can say for some people.
By "The Office" I assume you mean "Becker"
http://tinyurl.com/ybalot
"I don't like strikeouts," he said. "I'd give up home runs for (fewer) strikeouts."
We had the 4th fewest K's in the league- 15th in HR- need an OF. I smell a trading partner. Ethier + ____ = Dunn?
Trading 30 HRs for 125 Ks (plus more since you're proposing a package) is just not a good idea. Especially when Ethier and Dunn had an identical OBP and were only .013 apart on SLG. Not to mention a .074 difference in batting average.
If I were so inclined, I would just pour the free liquor and get ready for the flight home.
do you say free liquor!
Yes! Ethier > Dunn
There is free liquor, free beer, free pretzels, and on the TV you can watch "Free Willy".
I disagree. Striking out requires a minimum of 3 pitches from the pitcher, often more. Guys like Dunn who strike out a lot and walk a lot force the pitcher to throw a lot of pitches, which helps tire the pitcher out faster and helps Dunn's teammates see the pitcher's repertoire. Dunn is routinely among the league leaders in P/PA, and has a career average of 4.24
Seeing a lot of pitches (even if you strike out) may not get a fancy productive out name like "Olney," but it can make a positive contribution nonetheless.
40 Hr's, 100 walks, right around 100 rbi's, every year.
I think I'm the only guy here in a UCLA sweatshirt that's done yeoman duty on this trip and a Team South Africa Cap.
Go Fighters!!
if we did get Dunn & his K's i'd be banned from Dodger thoughts for cursing to much.
The only downside is that Bob might not get to see another run at the LOB record.
Two problems. First, Ned has a middle relief fetish of his own. Second, Dunn is the kind of player Ned would probably trade rather than trade for.
57 - the home runs are impressive, sure, but the Dodgers proved this year that you don't need them to win. And while he goes for 40 HRs, 100 BB, and 100 RBIs (a number that is inflated because of his 40 HRs), he's a career .245 hitter and has had more strikeouts than hits every season of his career.
Not directly, but long ABs likely have a positive impact on scoring runs later in the game. If you only compare strikeouts to other kinds of outs (e.g. groundouts and flyouts) and conclude that the latter are unambiguously better than the former, without also looking at P/PA, you are likely missing an important aspect of the whole picture.
Taking 10 pitches to strikeout may very well be more "productive" than grounding out on the first pitch.
I don't think we should give up too much for him, but if Colletti can use his dumpster diving predilection for good, instead of evil, why not?
Hafner
Ortiz
Giambi
Beltran
Howard
Thome
Pujols
Man Ram
Berkman
Dunn
Most of these characters make $15-19M and/or are 30+. And this is Dunn in an off year. Last year he was 2nd in the majors.
For the strikeout haters- here are the top 10 this year in K's:
Dunn
Howard
Granderson
Hall
Soriano
Bay
Sexson
Sizemore
Peralta
Swisher
Again hardly an unproductive bunch. Howard is only a week younger than Dunn. Did anyone complain about his 181 K's this year?
Not so sure about that first part. Say you have two players, both with a .400 OBP, one hits .330 and the other hits .280. While the second walks more, the first gets more hits. And we all know walks are great, but singles are better. Of course, this theory is complicated when the .280 hitter hits a lot of homers.
Unless, you're playing devil's advocate, in which case, you're still wrong, because Dunn mashes.
Ethier 6.0 RC/27
Ethier hit .360 on balls in play this year. Dunn hit .278. So this discrepancy would only get wider. In 2005 Dunn put up 7.5 RC/27 sandwiched between Cabrera and Berkman at 16th in the majors. The guy is instant offense. Bat him 5th behind Drew/Kent and let him mash.
In other words, increasing Ks has no effect on runs scored, and decreasing Ks has no effect on runs scored. They appear to be independent of one another.
If the question is, what's better, a single or a walk, a would be surprised to find anyone who answer that it's the latter.
Nomar (6.5) - fewest k's
Pierre (4.8)
LoDuca (5.4)
T Walker (5.3)
Eckstein (4.5)
Hatteberg (6.2)
Lofton (5.3)
Johjima (5.2)
Vidro (4.8)
Pujols! (9.9)
i wouldn't give up some top notch rook pitchers for him.
You also have to factor in the one swing, three runs that a masher like Dunn provides. I really don't care if somebody thinks a bases empty single is better than a walk. It's not.
productive outs don't exist to you Xeifank?
Ok, yeah, a bases empty single and walk are the same. The only thing that a single does that a walk doesn't is produce the chance for an error. Or at least that's the only thing I can think of.
IMO he's a legit power bat
As far as OBP goes, I must admit, I'm still rather new to understanding a lot of the more "non-traditional" stats (I know what they mean) but I don't know what's poor/average/good. Is a career .380 OBP really that good? More importantly, looking at the trend line, Dunn's OBP has been slipping since he became a full time player (his .400 OBP year he only played 116 games instead of the 160 he's averaged the rest of the way).
By the way, I heard a rumor that only one of the eight teams in the playoffs this year had a park factor over 1.00. No points for guessing which one.
However, if you strike out, you can't ground into a double play, which is far more costly at .839 runs. So, if a guy strikes out 150 less times, but grounds into 10 more double plays (which seems likely) then they've cancelled each other out. So, overall, I'd say both types of outs are about the same in the end.
Dunn's batting average fluctuates a lot, but his peripherals are pretty strong. This was an off year for him. Could be the beginning of the end, or it could just be an off year.
#9: J.D. Drew 21 (near his career year)
#10 Adam Dunn 20 (in a down year)
Is his 1B defense anywhere near as bad? How bad is Loney's LF?
I hope so.
metric schmetric trust your baseball mojo.
Using the assumption that BABIP should be .120+line drive percentage, his BABIP should have been .355, not .278. He actually had far more line drives this year, than in years past. If you just assume that those hits would have been singles, Dunn's line improves to .276/.399/.532. Since it's Adam Dunn, there's probably more doubles in there, to improve the slugging.
SABR vs. Metric Schmetric
I'm assuming you're talking about Ethier.