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NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
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Unreliable Relievers
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2006 Emmys Nominees*
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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
Kevin Baxter of the Times checks in with Dodger shortstop Rafael Furcal:
"It's tough when you've got a bad injury and you can't even stand up at home plate. I felt so disappointed with myself."
For the most part, however, he suffered in silence. Although the Dodgers' trainers and confidants such as infield coach Mariano Duncan knew he was in pain, few others, even teammates, knew how badly he was hurt.
Is this a joke? Furcal's ankle injury was one of the most obvious, most talked-about maladies of any Dodger season. He was clearly limited in his ability, clearly in need of an extended rest.
His wife, Glenny, knew because Furcal's silence spoke volumes.
"When he feels hurt, he never says anything. He just stays quiet. But at the same time, I know that he was expecting more and he was getting frustrated," she says, sitting in the living room of the couple's sprawling two-story, 11th-floor penthouse.
"He wanted to do more [but] he was scared to say something because he felt like maybe people wouldn't believe that he was hurt," Glenny remembers of the long, quiet nights in their La Canada home. "It was really bad. He would come home sad. When Raffy can't play well, he gets frustrated."
No offense to Furcal, none at all, but this is just delusional. Everyone saw him get hurt or read about it the next day. Everyone knew he was hurt. This was not a case for Sherlock Holmes. This was not the big "Rosebud" reveal.
The rest that Furcal has gotten since September 30 is the rest Furcal needed on March 30. It didn't help the Dodgers that he postponed it.
Instead, you can score another phyrric victory for baseball's macho, headgame culture. Is there anyone out there who can conquer the better-to-play-at-50-percent-than-heal, I'd-rather-play-poorly-than-make-excuses mentality?
Do you know where TMYLM supposedly takes place? (I've read where it's filmed, but can't quite figure out where it's supposed to be. My guess in the midwest somewhere).
BTW: We've started watching "Big Love". It's very good.
4 - That's good, but it's a longer list than that. You guys should be able to fill in more :)
http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/hr/tools_data/production_listings/index.jsp
It shows locations, production start dates, etc.
4- Also, the word: meme.
Or is it?
:)
(end snark alert)
Maybe he did...
But a suburb, right? We've never seen a big city environment. Carolyn's law firm and May's office seem to be in the "downtown" area, which is relatively small.
I can't find any news on when the second season is supposed to start.
Just as you might hope a manager might be clued into the fact, the center fielder your playing every single bloody day is not very good and you have other options and helping a lousy player continue a games played in streak is an affront to baseball itself.
this phrase would work just as well if it you had said "i'd-rather-play-poorly-THEN-make-excuses-mentality", because though they might not want to make excuses at the time for not playing, inevitably after playing through the injury, and thus playing poorly, that's what happens. articles like these blaming the injury and using it as an excuse. well, if it wasn't allowing you to play well, WHY DID YOU PLAY?
it kind of IS about dealing with jon's angsts :)
For those of you who saw him play regularly how obvious was the injury? Shouldn't the trainers have noticed it and said something to Grady? Was his defense impacted? He still attemted 31 SB's. Perhaps it was injured and began to heal and playing everyday he reinjured it a few times along the way.
Any insights?
at least that's what i think i remember hearing.
Is HGH use that has been prescribed by a doctor banned...?
I think the context of Furcal's injury begins to answer your question. In this context I wish he had not played at all until he was healed. He was such a catalyst in 2006 that it would have been tremendous to have him come back to the top of the order in full form. Now, if we are talking a pennant race or the playoffs, than it's a different story.
I wonder if Repko and Furcal hung out at all this year?
Grady Little had no business penciling his name into the lineup card, I am so glad that pinhead is gone.
Why should we discount that it's an 80% made up excuse for a mediocre-to-poor season?
I think this injury excuse happens alot. Especially in the form of, "oh I didn't want to say anything...". You're a grown MAN, SAY SOMETHING!
It just strikes me as a lot of bologne sometimes. And I'm not buying the wife bit either.
I'm just wondering what the deal is.
http://tinyurl.com/33zvag
I for sure dont remember seeing any 11 story penthouses in the forest though.
I'll go back into my corner now and be quiet.
I'm not really a licensed sports injury therapist. But I did sleep at a Holiday Inn Express last night.
It is ingrained into sports from a very early age. You hear things like, "Rub some dirt on it." You hear stories of Wally Pipp. You come to believe that you are helping the team by playing hurt because the team needs you.
There is also the fact that pro athletes love what they do (for the most part) and most will choose to play, even when hurt, because it is better than not playing. And then you get stories like Byron Leftwich at Marshall, being carried down the field by his o-linemen; Shilling and the magic bloody sock; Jordan dropping 40 with the flu, and guys figure if these guys can do it, then they should too.
Coaches can't be expected to sit players because, for the most part, they are former players and grew up with the same understanding.
There's also the slippery slope problem. Where do you draw the line on what injuries require the player to go to the DL when he can still play (even if at 50%)? It's one of the reasons that JD Drew got so much flack here in LA (that and his apparent desire to take a walk rather than get a hit).
It's probably very close to the Glendale line.
Don't you have an errand to run?
La Canada does have some impressive properties.
And I didn't read Marty's comment then, so I compounded the error.
"I don't think any lineup would be productive without the leadoff hitter being able to get on," Dodgers General Manager Ned Colletti said.
Non-Roster Invitees
Rick Asadoorian
Gary Burghoff
Fernando Desgue
Brian Falkenborg
Greg Jones
Mike Koplove
Chan Ho Park
Brian Shackelford
Tanyon Sturtze
If baseball players suffered from mental or developmental retardation from a hormone disorder, then I'm all for doctors prescribing HGH. Or maybe acromegaly.
Thanks.
That is where you need trainers and medical staff to overrule the player (and a manager/coach that will listen).
These, "I had a bad year but its only because of injuries"---> after the season, seem nothing more than excuses, especially when the player never goes on the DL.
http://www.laobserved.com/archive/2007/12/fitzsimons_farewell.php#more
I wonder if Sam Zell likes Plaschke?
But to consistently play a subpar player in the regular season, that's another story.
This is all because Kerry Strug snubbed you isn't it?
Instead of playing winter ball, why on Earth wouldn't he just give the ankle another three months rest AND rest his apparently hurt shoulder at the same time? Wanna bet we hear about Furcal's ankle and shoulder bothering him during the 2008 season?
Anyway, in the case of Furcal, I still hold the position that he did the right thing and that while the "macho" problem is real, this is not a case of it.
As you said Jon, everyone knew about this. This is not some case of an athlete hiding his injury. Furcal was completely open about the situation and I can recall several times last year when Little said that Furcal was suffering at the plate, but not on the field. The Dodgers made a choice to have an Izturis equivalent play rather than letting Furcal heal.
Should the Dodgers have let Hu play and rested Furcal since they all knew Furcal was not likely to hit well? Probably. But that choice - right or wrong - was made rationally. Furcal's "machoism" had nothing to do with it.
No defensive metric puts Loney at anything better than slightly above average.
Furcal lead the team in VORP in 2006 by a huge margin, and was behind only the elite shortstops in VORP for the season. Combine this with amazing defense and you have one heck of a player when he's healthy. Maybe Hu and Abreu's peak production will equal Furcal, but there's no way you can just pencil them in for the same numbers. Furcal is not, by any measure just PVL. Players over 25 actually can be useful, believe it or not.
http://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/886007.html
I dont understand how people were giving Grady the benefit of the doubt before Torre came over. A manager has to be able to spot that and take action if the player is not performing. Grady switched Juan to leadoff like twice and then the story about Furcal being the leadoff hitter came out and that was it.
i dont doubt Furcal wanted to earn his 13 million bucks with a good season, then say "Hey, that was nothing, I was injured the whole time." Instead he flopped, and now he has to resort to asking his wife to vouch for his competitiveness.
http://www.theagencyspeakers.com/speakers.php?id=16
His signing was Ned's only really outstanding move (in fact, one of only a few that I would not call bad). I don't think penciling in Hu is by any means the automatic thing to do. Ned should, in fact, be thinking about a 2-3 year extension on Furcal (though, again, that is not a no-brainer).
Thanks - I guess I could have searched myself but then everyone would not know how lazy I am.
Of course he's a proven veteran leader. It doesn't always have to be a bad thing.
66 A man named Wilson Betemit.
Abreu was able and ready to play SS. If you recall he was brought up to play 3rd which he had never done before. He had extensive training at SS. He would not have done any better then Furcal during the time he played but he might have given Furcal the time to heal so when he did play again he would have played like the Furcal of 2006 not 2007. This is not hindsite, this discussion took place all season long. I agree with Paul that management did know the extent of his injury and decided a hurt Furcal was better then the other options. I think they were wrong. All these choices effected our season. Those who didn't follow closeley(Mark Donohue) and only look at the final standings evidently don't remember that until that fateful doubleheader in Sept we were in the thick of the race.
Furcal's arm strength allows him to make up for any lack of range (perhaps caused by injury) or positioning mistakes. Take away Furcal's ability to make strong, accurate throws to first base - and Rafael is a liability on defense playing shortstop.
In his time with the Dodgers, Rafael has had knee surgery (prior to the start of the 2006 season), a severe ankle strain for all of the 2007 season, and perhaps now a potential problem with his lower back (disk?).
Shortstop is the 2nd most demanding defensive position (catching being #1 and excluding pitchers). In 2008, the Dodgers must be careful how they manage the inevitable aches & pains of their two key players - Rafael Furcal and Russell Martin. This is the type of managerial problem that Joe Torre needs to handle better in 2008 than Grady Little did in 2006 & 2007.
The fact that Joe Torre played Betemit at 2nd and SS last year bought a smile to my face.
Haren is going from the second most pitcher friendly park to the fifth worst. ESPN shows the following numbers for the two parks:
Rank
Chase Field 5
Oakland 29
Runs:
Chase 1.111
Oakland 0.833
HR:
Chase 1.112
Oakland 0.786
Since being traded or going free agent, Mulder, Hudson, and Zito have yet to show the kind of dazzle they had when they played in Oakland. I know that there have been injuries, but still none of them have been the same domanent pitchers they were with the As.
Haren has a gopher ball problem and it is only going to get worse when he moves to one of the most hitter friendly parks in the game.
Dan Haren is a VERY good pitcher, just don't expect him to put up the same kind of numbers he had with the As and definitely do not expect him to post better numbers.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/online/highschool/features/265353.html
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=7004
But what about the other end of the spectrum. Which of the two leagues has the weakest teams? Are the top AL teams so great because the AL bottom dwellers are more pathetic than the weakest teams in the NL?
I can't fathom that their ownership thinks their management has done a good job.
NL (2007): .266/.334/.423
AL (2007): .271/.338/.423
NL WHIP/ERA: 1.40/4.43
AL WHIP/ERA: 1.41/4.50
The leagues are even, the elite teams in the AL may be better than the elite teams in the NL (are there any elite teams in the NL?), but as a whole, the leagues are within half a run and a hit per game.
The Florida Marlins should be a lot of fun to watch this season, too.
As I read it, I thought about the Cal Bears football season and Nate Longshore's ankle that never healed.
A 2010 rotation of Kazmir, Shields, Price, W Davis, and either Garza or McGee will give David a shot at bringing down Goliath.
Even if they don't trade Blanton they should be one of the worse teams in baseball. They were going to be a lousy team even with Haren. When Ha