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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 35-27 (.565)
When Jon attended: 4-3 (.571)
When Jon didn't: 31-24 (.564)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
It's still February, which means that a lot could change - including some cobwebs shaking loose in my brain - but I offered some preliminary thoughts about the 2008 National League West in a discussion at Baseball Analysts.
Looks like the Dodgers might be underdogs this year: None of the four participants in the online chat picked them to win the division, though three (including myself) picked them to finish second.
There's no reason for Russell Martin, or any of our young players who are nearing arbitration, to accept a long term deal at any type of discount. Martin can easily point to Howard's deal and ask for $6 million or so in arbitration. With four years of arbitration coming up, how much does Martin stand to make for 2009-2012?
After doing some research on arbitration award patterns, Grant finds that Martin could command annual salaries of $6 million, $10.1 million, $15.1 million and $18 million over the four seasons (2009-2012) before he becomes a free agent.
This adds up to four years, $49.2 million. Still a very reasonable deal for one of the top players at his position, but compared to his peers he's getting massively overpaid. In those years, Brian McCann will get $24 million, while Joe Mauer, who has one more year of service time, will get $33 million in the last four years of his contract. Grady Sizemore, who I think we can agree is better than all of these guys, will get $20.7 million over a comparable timespan.
All this adds up to is that Dodgers missed the boat in signing Martin to a long-term contract. Ned Colletti says he offered an extension that Martin's agent turned down but unless it was at least in the ballpark of Mauer's deal, he wasn't really trying. The Ryan Howard ruling gives Martin zero incentive to sign for any less than $40 million over the next five years, and he could probably ask for more. This is why you need to wrap up your young stars sooner, rather than later, because you never know when the Phillies will come along and ruin everything for everyone.
Update: Leung reports that "Tony Abreu will be shut down for a few days due to discomfort with his surgically repaired abdomen."
Tony Abreu has been shut down for a few days, Leung says.
ethier 0-1
so that's settled.
Don't get the Bison angry, you wont like the Bison when hes angry.
Doesn't it seem like Repko has amazing spring trainings every year?
ethier 0-2
it's really settled now.
vr, Xei
Neat.
McDonald's getting hit a bit hard but that's to be expected - nerves and so forth.
33 Yes!
35 John Ford Griffin.
There are plenty of fish that are bad at baseball in the sea.
47 How many people get career ruining injuries a year? The argument "what if he gets hurt" can be used against doing anything, ever.
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
Not really, 99.9% of the population doesn't have to worry about a broken finger on every pitch, a 250 pound 1st baseman coming home who won't slide, or any number of things a professional baseball catcher has to worry about. The reason they don't have long peaks is because of the wear and tear on the position. Even a simple 1st baseman like Floyd had his career ruined on a simple play at 1st base. No need to take the chance when your still going to get millions. These guys don't sign long term deals for any other reason then the security it provides them.
And any given year multiple players will suffer an injury that will negatively impact their career, not one or two.
"You got a better chance coming off the bench as a veteran player," Torre said. "You can slow the game down. Young players put more pressure on themselves. Nomar's experience certainly plays into this thing."
Veterans "slow the game down." Maybe that's generally true, but has Torre ever seen Nomar play? The most notorious 1st pitch swinger in my lifetime?
LaRoche, by contrast, is very patient. So if this is the reason that Torre starts LaRoche and "Olmedos" Nomar, then it's the wrong reason. Still, I hope he does it.
vr, Xei
I apologize If this video of the '86 Dodgers has already been posted. If it hasn't I REALLY apologize for directing you to it.
Maybe the career 367 batting average on the 1st pitch is what he's referring to. You do what works best for you and Nomar's best average other then 2-0 and 3-0 is on the 1st pitch.
http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=garcino01
I don't necessarily agree with the reasoning this way either, I just don't think he meant "slows down" as in takes a lot of pitches.
59, 61 - That video has been posted about a half-dozen times now :)
Why do you not agree? Most of you would agree that whatever profession your in, that as you gather experience things that used to cause anxiety at work or life is replaced by the calm knowledge that you'e seen it all before and that solutions are at hand.
I would not be surprised at all to find that pinchhitters less then 25 do not perform nearly as well as those who are greater then 25. A kid < 25 is always trying to impress because they are still searching for playing time. A veteran like a Dave Hansen knows his chance for a full time gig came and went so he can just concentrate on doing the job.
You wonder if they like you," Ethier said.
Abreu, 23, also spent a significant portion of last season on the bench.
"Psychologically, it's difficult because you've been playing every day for so many years," Abreu said. "When you're in the dugout for so long, you feel uncomfortable."
http://tinyurl.com/2bdx85
It's not just old coaches who think this way.
As for search, you can try the search box on the sidebar, since that picks up a lot of the comments. Also, you can just use control-F or command-F.
Also, look at when the link you're passing along was posted and how prominently it was posted. For example, if you got it from Tony Jackson's blog, that means it's been up for more than 24 hours at a place a lot of DT readers go. (Putting aside the fact that Sons of Steve Garvey posted it months ago.)
Just some tips to help ... ultimately, no harm done ... The only thing that tends to bug me is when people post links to things I've already mentioned in my main post.
Derek Jeter, for one, is hitting .372 in more at bats than Nomar.
I dislike threaded message boards.
Mike Matheny, Cory Koskie, and many other promising players were just toodling along when bamm. Now they are toast
I don't know if Koskie & Matheny are the best examples. Corey Koskie got hurt in his age 32 season, but he already signed a contract taking him through his first two FA years. He made $26.3m in his career (per Baseball-Reference.com)
Mike Matheny felt the effects of his concussions in his age 35 season, and made $18.7m in his career through 2006 (not sure how the final $4.25m of his contract with the Giants was handled.
For Martin, he really only needs to worry about 2008. His 2009 contract, even if it's a one-year deal, is likely enough to set him for life (who couldn't parlay a $5m+ salary into a retirement fund?). Security would be nice, to be sure, but he can make quite a bit more going year to year.
If he plays his cards right, he can secure half of Alyssa Milano's empire! :)
In any case, we shouldn't get carried away by looking at this question backward. The point is not to find the best pinch-hitter. The point is to find the best third baseman. I think LaRoche would be a better third baseman than Nomar and a better pinch-hitter than Nomar - but LaRoche can only be one.
You think concussions only happen to older players?
Plus, dont arbitrators look at what other players (of the same position) get? I dont think Ryan Howard getting 10 mils is that big of deal. Howard's a 1st basemen. These arbitrators arent looking at VORP, they are sitll looking at the traditional baseball stats to assess value across position. Plus years of service with regards to what other players (at the same position) were awarded.
Its not a big deal not L-terming Martin.
I particularly hate it when Astros is shortened to 'Stros. You've saved one letter.
/rant
No, they just happen. But:
(a) I don't think concussions & long-term injuries are such an epidemic that every young star should sign a long term deal ASAP
(b) It's not like we are looking at Matheny & Koskie -- who made a combined $40m+ in their careers -- as some tragic "what could have been" tale.
There isn't going to be a substitute Russell Martin that comes along for a long time, so why not lock him up? It's not like I'm saying hold on to him until age 35, just keep him up until age 29 or 30.
M'rty is 100% correct.