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Quotebook Quibbles
2008-05-18 09:11
by Jon Weisman

There's hyperbole, and then there's just being fascinatingly wrong.

I just read Mark Whicker's column in the Register from Saturday, which someone previously mentioned in the comments. But I don't think they mentioned this quote from general manager Ned Colletti:

"We could have eight Furcals out there and it wouldn't help us, with the (starting) pitching the way it's been," he said.

Putting aside what it would mean to have eight Rafael Furcals, I really think the complaining about the starting pitching has become overwrought. There are disappointments and there are concerns, but when your worst starting pitcher of late has been Brad Penny (whose next start will come at least a day later than scheduled), when your team ERA is fifth in the National League, when your team fielding independent ERA is second in the NL, when your 12th pitcher has hardly needed to be used, when you have the luxury of bringing Hong-Chih Kuo out of the bullpen, doesn't that start to overshadow the fact that your starting pitchers average 5 1/3 innings instead of six?

I'd rather the Dodgers carried 11 pitchers instead of 12, but either way, the 25th man on the roster doesn't make or break a team's fortunes. And there's nothing wrong with using pitching depth as an asset.

In seven weeks this season, Takashi Saito has thrown 17 1/3 innings, Jonathan Broxton 17, Joe Beimel 13 2/3 and Scott Proctor 20 1/3. None is averaging more than three innings per week, nor are they having an overload of pitches wasted in the bullpen - when they warm up, they usually have to come in. This does not meet the definition of being overworked.

Sucking up innings are Hong-Chih Kuo (who has not pitched with fewer than two days rest), Chan Ho Park (never used on consecutive days) and Cory Wade (used on consecutive days once, in April). Should any of these falter, there are plenty of candidates in the system to replace them.

The Dodgers' starting pitching has been mediocre overall, but the bullpen has mitigated that.

Meanwhile, the Dodger starting left fielder has an equivalent average of .269 and falling (.271 on-base percentage and .228 slugging percentage since leaving Denver), the center fielder has an EQA of .201 and the starting second baseman is at .228. I'm sure Colletti didn't mean for his "eight Furcals" comment to be taken literally or even seriously, but the fact that he could even say it as a throwaway line is kind of strange.

The Dodgers have had incredible performances from some players, good performances from others, inconsistent performances from others and downright dreck from a few. The starting pitching should be better than it is, but it's not killing the team - not by itself, anyway.

* * *

Juan Pierre went 0 for 4 with a hit-by-pitch Saturday. Still, he was worthy of sidebar praise in the eyes of Tony Jackson of the Daily News.

After using his speed to reach base on a momentary bobble by Angels second baseman Maicer Izturis ...

He's fast, but he still reached first base only because of an error ...

Pierre stole second by sliding headfirst into the back of the bag, even though the throw from catcher Jeff Mathis had beaten him badly. ...

He should have been out a second time, but he wasn't. Seriously, credit him with a good slide ...

He then tagged and took third on Andre Ethier's fly ball to deep center, after which the Angels intentionally walked Russell Martin.

Then on a 3-1 pitch to James Loney, Martin broke for second, only to have Mathis' throw beat him by some 45 feet. At that point, Martin engaged the Angels in a rundown, and Pierre waited for his moment.

When it took a second throw to get Martin - shortstop Erick Aybar to first baseman Casey Kotchman to Izturis - Pierre scampered home uncontested ...

The key to Pierre scoring was that the Angels blew a rundown play, as manager Mike Scioscia would acknowledge in his postgame comments ...

... scoring what turned out to be a crucial run in the Dodgers' 6-3 victory.

The crucial run? The team led by two already ...

At that point, the Dodgers clung to a 4-2 lead they had seemed destined to blow just a couple of innings earlier. But Pierre's run - his second in a game in which he had no hits in five plate appearances - made it 5-2 and seemed to erase any doubt for the Dodgers.

Yes, Pierre's speed helped the Dodgers get a run. Still, I don't see how that can be more impressive than Andre Ethier, who after his two-run homer Friday, singled in the Dodgers' third run off Ervin Santana, helping to hasten the departure of a pitcher whose ERA entering the game was 2.63.

I'm looking at Ethier's 2008 gamelog and still trying to figure out where the slump is.

* * *

Dodgers at Angels, 12:35 p.m.

 

Comments (346)
Show/Hide Comments 1-50
2008-05-18 09:26:08
1.   Vishal
there has always been a lot of seeming going on in tony jackson's world, and that's what he bases his opinion on, rather than facts and/or data. i have incredibly little respect for his work.
2008-05-18 09:26:29
2.   Disabled List
I am shocked, SHOCKED to discover that beat writers play favorites and carry water for the guys on the team they like, giving their readers a blatantly biased and misleading interpretation of events.

I am likewise shocked to discover that more and more fans are getting their sports news/analysis from sources outside the traditional media.

2008-05-18 09:27:21
3.   Vishal
by the way, i went to the rockies game last night. coors field is quite nice.
2008-05-18 09:29:04
4.   bryanf
It's posts like this that make me wonder about the possibilities of Jon being hired as manager.

When you're right, you're right.

2008-05-18 09:29:07
5.   Vishal
a sidenote on coors, though: the concessions in my section were not very good in selection or in quality, and the aramark staff working the stands were extremely incompetant and apathetic. the atmosphere and view, the crowd, and the game were all good though.
2008-05-18 09:30:16
6.   Greg Brock
I'm looking at Ethier's 2008 gamelog and still trying to figure out where the slump is.

Andruw Jones borrowed it and hasn't given it back.

2008-05-18 09:31:34
7.   bryanf
1 In fairness to Tony, I have found that I get quite a bit of "breaking news" from his blog. He seems to often be the first with the lineup and often has news on injuries and such before anyone else. The LA Times blog sometimes does as well, but that is the value I get out of those blogs. That's where the "media credentials" come into play.

As for analysis, however, they can't compare to "alternative sources" outside traditional media. :)

2008-05-18 09:33:17
8.   Jon Weisman
7 - Yeah, I'm (nit)picking on Jackson's article, not on Jackson himself.
2008-05-18 09:33:54
9.   Jon Weisman
And there are plenty of times he could do the same with stuff I've written.
2008-05-18 09:36:26
10.   Vishal
7 yeah, i should have been clearer: i was referring to his analysis. his straight reporting is fine, and it's good that he's quick and responsive in dispensing it. i think his opinion statements are mostly bunk, however.
2008-05-18 09:36:30
11.   Indiana Jon
I have one more thing to add to the discussion in the last thread. I don't believe Dewitt will outhit Kent this year either. A move to 2nd would make since for next year only in my opinion.
2008-05-18 09:39:08
12.   PalmdaleSteve1
When, not if, JP is gone, will DT become an equal opportunity slag fest for Andruw Jones or Jeff Kent, or any other player on the roster?

It seems that no matter what JP does, he's the goat. Never mind that many of the overpaid "stars" in the game given the same sort of disrespect that JP has this season would be sulking and causing club house problems along with sucking in the field, not JP. He straps it on, plays his game the same way he's played it for years for better or worse.

If you don't think JP's game is not being noticed by other teams, you'd be wrong. He will be traded sometime this year to a team that wants his game and then who will people have to slag?

2008-05-18 09:43:44
13.   GMac In The 909
Thanks to Tony Jackson I have a very strong prejudice against the Daily News. I believe that their sports department is a breeding ground for monsters.
2008-05-18 09:44:03
14.   bryanf
12 I can't speak for everyone, but my problem doesn't rest with Juan Pierre himself, but rather management's insistence on playing him even when better options are available. In Anaheim with the DH, we have four outfielders, so great, start them all. But why would Pierre play over Ethier? (For that matter why play Sweeney over Kemp......?)

There is a lot of JP bashing for sure, but I don't think Jon's post did that so much as it tried to debunk arguments in favor of Pierre's "type of play."

2008-05-18 09:44:03
15.   Jon Weisman
12 - "It seems that no matter what JP does, he's the goat."

I wasn't making him the goat. I was pointing out that he was getting praised for doing very little. When the same thing happens with Kent and if it ever happens with Jones, I point it out too.

You don't need me to point out that Jones is doing poorly. Everyone does that.

And by the way, Pierre was sulking when he was on the bench.

2008-05-18 09:47:46
16.   Greg Brock
Pierre sulks all the time. Watch him when he's trying to swipe a bag and the pitch gets fouled off.

Pierre is the biggest closet I GUY on the club.

2008-05-18 09:49:25
17.   bryanf
From Josh at ITD:

...don't forget to tune into the Sunday night show on KABC 790 from 7-10 p.m. tonight. Wes Parker is the 60s guest of the week...

Sounds interesting, but I think I'd rather have Jon and Steve Lyons guest host again...

2008-05-18 09:51:17
18.   PalmdaleSteve1
15

"Sulking on the bench", YIKES. I watched JP last year, every shot the TV coverage gave of him. JP usually sits up by camera well, usually by himself, maybe that is the sulking you are reporting.

But face facts, there is story there for the media types to sell, including TV directors, the fourth outfielder sulking in the dugout. Quick, get me a shot of JP sitting by himself sulking, cut to it, that's the "story" we are selling. Any shots of Ether when he's sitting, any story line of him "sulking", somehow I doubt it.

2008-05-18 09:58:48
19.   PalmdaleSteve1
16

Maybe JP can get together with Andruw and learn how to have that little smirk on his face when ever things don't go right, like chasing low and outside. I can see it now, JP gets this goofy smirk every time a ball gets fouled off, people will think he's happy, happy, happy, joy, joy, joy that he did not get a chance to steal a bag.

2008-05-18 10:02:04
20.   Jon Weisman
PalmdaleSteve, are you actually suggesting that the off-field side of Pierre has been treated unfairly? The guy gets praised up, down and sideways for his character, even when he tells the media how unhappy he is to be on the bench. I'm not saying he should be happy, but clearly he hasn't been.

Ethier has definitely gotten worse treatment. Please.

And remember, you're the one who brought up the sulking issue regarding players being benched, not us.

2008-05-18 10:08:35
21.   underdog
Vishal, pick me up a Broncos souvenir while you're there. ;-)

I found the discussion about DeWitt and LaRoche compelling in previous thread, though it sort of bothers me a bit because there's some misconceptions being bandied about, about what DT posters "want" or "don't want." I've been reading the comments here pretty consistently every day and don't recall anyone advocating LaRoche because of his lineage. That seriously made me laugh.

I also -- and I won't presume to speak for everyone here -- but I'm just tickled to death about how surprisingly solid DeWitt has been for the Dodgers so far. I really appreciate it and respect the heck out of how he's handled himself. I don't know where we'd be without him, given all the other injuries.

Like many people here at this point, I don't see sending him down either, and have been asking about the concept of having LaRoche play some second to give the team more of a reason to call him up.

My liking of and expections for LaRoche have zero to do with my liking of DeWitt and hopes for him.

I just don't like the idea of LaRoche being Wally Pipped before he even knew what hit him. My expectations and hopes for him have everything to do with observing him as a player in LA and Las Vegas (and little to do with his batting average in a pretty short stint in the majors, but in his patience at the plate, his power potential, and his eye. Again, this has NOTHING to do with DeWitt, whom I also really like at this point.

I don't like the idea of pitting one of them against the other any more than I like the idea of pitting one DT poster against another, beyond all reason.

There's room for them both. But it's up to the Dodger brass to really see things a little differently than they've been seeing things. That is MY opinion, but I may speak for a few others here at least.

2008-05-18 10:10:15
22.   Indiana Jon
I don't have a problem with sulking. I sulked when Kemp wasn't playing early in the year. I sulk when Pierre plays over Ethier. I've been sulking for days that Laroche hasn't been called up. I sulk when we start Loiaza or Park instead of Kuo. I've spent half or more of my career as a Dodger fan sulking. I have no problem with sulkers. I just want the best players to play.
2008-05-18 10:10:45
23.   bryanf
What is it about Pierre that has the media in general praising him? Why do so many people seem to want to come to this guys defense? I feel like this year after he lost his "starting job" on opening day, everyone just starting defending the guy and praising him. I don't feel like the same thing happened last year...wasn't he crucified for his lack of production a lot more last year?
2008-05-18 10:10:47
24.   Bluebleeder87
great way of breaking things down Jon, great right-up.
2008-05-18 10:12:26
25.   PalmdaleSteve1
20

I did indeed bring the topic up, and you responded, I guess we disagree and would like to see "The hunt for Ether sulking" go just as forcefully.

Putting on my Oliver Stone hat, perhaps some of the positive coverage in the media is part of the media subtlety helping package JP for a trade, who knows.

As to Ether and worse treatment, that's part of the game really. Veterans with big contracts are always given the nod over younger players, unless the veteran player is really terrible, and unless the team goes completely young, aka Diamondbacks. I'd go as far as saying Grady lost the club house last year because of that tension, and a refusal to make the hard facts clear to everyone. Joe T. is playing who he thinks are the best 9 players every day, and I doubt ether veteran players or "the kids" are going to challenge Joe.

2008-05-18 10:15:16
26.   bryanf
Joe T. is playing who he thinks are the best 9 players every day

That's exactly what disturbs me so much about Torre so far this year...

2008-05-18 10:17:57
27.   PalmdaleSteve1
26

I'm not so sure that Joe knows these guys all that well. He's been with most of them sense what, Spring training. It's not like he knows these guys like he knew the boys in pin stripes but that will change over the season.

2008-05-18 10:22:23
28.   kngoworld
When Nomar is healthy and ready to be a BACKUP third basemen, it will be the perfect time to trade away Juan Pierre and combine him with LaRoche or DeWitt.

Teams won't complain so much about Pierre's high price if they are receiving such a hot prospect. I love both DeWitt and LaRoche and wish they could both play every day for the Dodgers, but it does not seem feasible. Also, we could probably get something very nice in return with a trade like that.

2008-05-18 10:23:45
29.   Kevin P
The idea of an either/or when it comes to LaRoche and DeWitt makes very little sense to me. What makes even less sense to me is believing that the team is better off to call up Maza rather than LaRoche (which the actions of the club would certainly seem to indicate). Was not Dewitt a shortstop? Can't most guys easily handle second if they can play short? Doesn't that mean DeWitt could fill in for Furcal and Kent? Couldn't we also stick Young (who is rotting on the bench for no good reason) at second to rest Kent, play DeWitt at short with Furcal down and have LaRoche at third? Hu could then go down to Vegas and work on hitting with less pressue. When Fucal is healthy we then mix and match LaRoche and DeWitt. Why do these Captain Obvious moves take so long to come to fruition with this team? Well, I guess I should learn to be content with having both Hu and Maza up here...
2008-05-18 10:24:48
30.   bryanf
28 Yeah maybe we could get a journeyman reliever...like another Scott Proctor or something.

I'm not sure I trust Ned to make a trade. He seems at his best when he is, um, not really dealing. His best moves as GM so far have been not making trades.

2008-05-18 10:26:57
31.   Howard Fox
I never thought Joe was the answer for us. I could have managed the Yankees the way he did. List the players in order of annual salary and play the top 9.

Not a lot of thought involved there.

The only reason there will be competition for 3B of Kemp/Ethier in the OF, is their salaries.

Jones plays, Pierre plays, Nomar when healthy plays, Kent if he feels like it plays, Furcal plays (ok, at least he deserves it)...after that Joe has to evaluate the players because none of them make anything (figuratively speaking in relation to others).

Does anyone here really believe Bennett catching and Martin at third is a better option than Martin catching and anyone else at 3B?

2008-05-18 10:27:58
32.   Howard Fox
I meant 3B...or....Kemp/Ethier....
2008-05-18 10:32:12
33.   PalmdaleSteve1
31

What is the longest period of time Nomar has been injury free sense coming to the Dodgers?

A month or is it six weeks?

Nomar is not a durable 162 game player, and needs to be gone when his contract is up.

2008-05-18 10:32:48
34.   Kevin P
30 Thank you!

Let's please not make the same move that we did a couple of years ago. Navarro could be Martin's back up right now. Instead we have Bennet and his lob.

There is no reason to purge the team of DeWitt or LaRoche. Third base has been a gaping hole for us since Beltre, why then would we send one of our 2 promising stars packing? I should stop myself now... that definitely sounds like a Colletti move.

2008-05-18 10:35:55
35.   kngoworld
30 Ned is not the worse trader around. It is his free agent signings which are more of a concern. It is obvious the team has a jam at two positions now and unless management and players are willing to learn how to play new positions, including the role of bench player, a trade must take place.

For clubhouse atmosphere concerns, I hope a trade is coming soon.

2008-05-18 10:38:12
36.   Howard Fox
35 I agree, the old v young divide is not far away, Joe or no Joe...Kemp and Ethier both know neither of them should be sitting
2008-05-18 10:39:33
37.   kngoworld
34 I dont see how DeWitt and LaRoche can be on the same team and play everyday. It appears DeWitt has proven himself as an everyday player and LaRoche we already know should be. I would rather trade away one and not have the log jam at third.

By the way, wouldn't it be worth trading one away if it rid the team of Pierre at the same time?

2008-05-18 10:40:13
38.   bryanf
Is Pierre really tradable? That's a serious question. I don't think he is, but I could be wrong. If we can trade him, great, but I am not in favor of trading our young players just because we have jam of positions...especially when that jam is created by veterans who should not be around longer than the rest of this year (or next).
2008-05-18 10:40:53
39.   Kevin P
35 Point taken on his choice of free agents. But what do you mean for clubhouse atmosphere concerns? How will trading LaRoche or DeWitt enhance our clubhouse? I've heard no stories of either of them causing any problems.

Also, given the small major league sample size for both players, who would you choose to get rid of? Would you flip a coin? DeWitt has been fielding balls at short, he's obviously willing to play other positions. Kent is gone next year. Raffy's back is troublesome. We need both DeWitt and LaRoche on this team and we need them both now.

2008-05-18 10:42:25
40.   Greg Brock
It appears DeWitt has proven himself as an everyday player

The DT mantra is dead.

2008-05-18 10:44:44
41.   PalmdaleSteve1
35

Everyone is traceable, if the deal is right and the Dodgers are willing to eat some salary. After all, ARod before his big mistake was being paid a big chunk of change in part by the Texas Rangers, deferred salary and all that.

Ned just has be willing to admit to Parking King Frank that he goofed up on the JP signing.

2008-05-18 10:47:56
42.   underdog
I haven't heard any stories of a poor clubhouse atmosphere this season, either. I sometimes feel like people actually want there to be, as a sort of self-fulfilling prophecy, to prove the point that there should be a clubhouse divide and therefore, ergo, etc. And I agree with 30 , whether there's a place for LaRoche right this moment or not, I seriously hope the team doesn't feel it needs to trade him right now, for anything, or we'll have given away youth a la Navarro and Jackson again. Keep him and use him.
2008-05-18 10:48:08
43.   kngoworld
39 When Nomar is healthy he will most likely be taking at-bats away from DeWitt. DeWitt was sent down when Nomar came back from the DL last time. DeWitt should not be happy about that and like 36 said, Ethier and Kemp can not stay quiet sitting on the bench forever.

I understand we need healthy young players this year and even more importantly next year, but we do have a lot of players that can play many infield positions. (Hu, DeWitt, LaRoche, Abreu, Young) Trading away one wont hurt the teams future.

DeWitts value has got to be very high right now, and like you said it is a small sample size, he would be my first choice to trade away.

2008-05-18 10:48:27
44.   sweepstakes
I think a big part of media praise for Pierre has to do with society's tendency to root for the little guy.
2008-05-18 10:48:40
45.   Kevin P
37 It'd be great to see Pierre go but losing LaRoche would be terrible. I read a few people yesterday who said they're most excited when it's DeWitt's turn to bat. I agree with them. He's got a great glove and he's also the most patient Dodger hitter. We have another guy with a great glove, possibly even more patience at the plate and a track record for more power. His name is LaRoche. Having both of them in our line-up would be incredible.

Send Pierre with Delwyn (we never play the poor guy) and a pitching prospect.

2008-05-18 10:49:32
46.   Linkmeister
Hey, that gamelog shows that Ethier hasn't gotten on base via catcher's interference. He's a failure, I tellya!
2008-05-18 10:49:36
47.   underdog
33 Nomar will be gone when his contract is up. I guarantee it. You can save this comment number in this thread and throw it back in my face if I'm wrong. Which I won't be. :-) (Who knows, he could retire and become a coach for them or something, but he won't come back again as a player.)
2008-05-18 10:52:25
48.   underdog
Was this posted in the previous thread? Sorry if redundant. From Tony Jax:

>>Jason Schmidt made his second rehab start fr Single-A Inland Empire last night against Lake Elsinore and did very well, getting 2 1/3 innings out of his allotted 30-45 pitches (he threw 34). He gave up one hit, walked one batter and struck out three. Not sure yet what the next step is. ... <<

2008-05-18 10:53:43
49.   Greg Brock
44 The common man ruins everything.
2008-05-18 10:53:59
50.   kngoworld
My whole point has been lost a little I guess. I want Juan Pierre traded and grouping him with DeWitt or even LaRoche might make it easier to accomplish.

Keep him and use him. How can the dodgers use him and not bench another player who fans will be asking to see? Average fans want to see DeWitt, Kent, and even a healthy Nomar play.

Show/Hide Comments 51-100
2008-05-18 10:55:16
51.   Kevin P
43 I understand what you're saying. I guess I've kind of given up on Abreu, Hu looks completely over-matched and it doesn't look like Young will ever be given an opportunity. With that being said, I'd be far more willing to part with Abreu, Hu and Young (probably in that order) over LaRoche or DeWitt.
2008-05-18 10:58:02
52.   PalmdaleSteve1
51

But a more far reaching question, will the Dodgers go full youth movement or stay with this mixed Youth/Vet hybrid?

2008-05-18 10:58:31
53.   underdog
50 I get that, I just don't think it's worth it. My point is there's still room for him - especially Kent clearly near his end of days and needing many more days off than usual. IF LaRoche can play 2nd then there's a place for him, especially with Hu a possibility to be sent down. That's all I meant. But perhaps the Dodgers will see it the same way; there's no room for both DeWitt and LaRoche and ergo we need to trade one of them in a package for... But for who exactly? I fear what Ned might get or want in return.
2008-05-18 11:06:25
54.   Ranma
0 Apparently Ned is also not much of a magician since that lackluster effort at misdirection failed to convince just about anyone that this team's current struggles has more to do with it's overall mediocre starting pitching than it does with the mismanagement of playing time of its players, especially those of the over-priced and well-aged variety.

My lengthy contribution to the LaRoche-DeWitt debate was LAT'ed in the last post, but I will refrain from cut-and-pasting it here unless I notice the discussion steering heavily towards that avenue. I'll just assume anyone interested in that discussion will go to the last thread and start with Dodger Jack's catalyst at 381 . I will say though, that I'd much prefer to have this discussion be less about pitting Blake vs. Andy and more about how to incorporate both in the lineup over the likes of Kent and Mr. Hamm.

2008-05-18 11:07:58
55.   ChicagoDodger
Perhaps the Dodgers can ask Kent to go on the DL. Who would argue that given his play?Maybe he'd get mad and retire? As for DeWitt and LaRoche? Is it completely inconceivable that either is not capable of playing 2nd?

Maybe Ned and Joe can get upset with all this old versus young talk, and in an attempt to shut up all the young-wanting fans goes with an exclusively young lineup till the All-star break to show they cannot win.

No wait, because of injuries a few years back, the Dodgers were forced to go with youth (Kemp, Martin, etc) and the Dodgers rattled off like 18 wins in 19 games.

Scratch that! Bad idea!

2008-05-18 11:08:21
56.   Kevin P
52 Given our track record, I wouldn't be surprised to see the Dodgers trade Pierre and Wade for Edmonds and DeWitt and Young for Eckstein.

"We added two proven leaders to our team today, "said Colletti. "Both of these top of the tier players are winners and they know what it's like to win a championship ring. Their experience will help guide our younger players."

2008-05-18 11:10:19
57.   Howard Fox
55 yes and after proving themselves, now Kemp rides the pine...
2008-05-18 11:10:48
58.   regfairfield
55 And replace Kent with what, Maza?
2008-05-18 11:12:34
59.   ChicagoDodger
56 I'd do the Pierre/Wade deal for Edmonds in a heartbeat if the Cubs would eat all the Pierre salary. I'd release Edmonds as soon as the deal was completed.
2008-05-18 11:12:57
60.   Bob Timmermann
Was Gary Bennett's wild throw on a strikeout unprecedented in that a runner ended up on third?

Hardly.

http://griddle.baseballtoaster.com/archives/988515.html

2008-05-18 11:14:11
61.   ChicagoDodger
58 I asked in the post if LaRoche or DeWitt can play 2nd. Absent that, can't Young or Maza hit .236?
2008-05-18 11:14:47
62.   regfairfield
The Dodgers were far more successful before Kemp and Loney got called up and Luis Gonzalez was playing every day last year.

I'm not saying that most of our answers aren't in our farm system, but it's no guarantee that calling them up will produce results, even if they are better players.

2008-05-18 11:16:25
63.   regfairfield
61 They can't. Where the heck did the idea that Andy LaRoche can play second come from anyway? He's never played the position in his life as far as I know.
2008-05-18 11:17:20
64.   ChicagoDodger
62 I somewhat agree with you, but if playing the older players is not likely to yield results either, then why play them? It's not as if any or most of the old players will be around when/if the Dodgers do finally win.
2008-05-18 11:18:50
65.   Bob Timmermann
This is going to be a very long day and I will be very grateful to be at work.
2008-05-18 11:19:52
66.   ChicagoDodger
63 I'm not exactly sure where the idea came from, but I'm guessing it has something to do with wanting to see those 2 bats in the lineup a heck of a lot more then wanting to see Kent's bat in the line-up, so 2nd seemed one of the logical spots to place one of them there.
2008-05-18 11:20:40
67.   Greg Brock
I'm grateful that swamp coolers are relatively inexpensive and energy efficient.
2008-05-18 11:22:22
68.   Jon Weisman
40 - What DT mantra would that be?
2008-05-18 11:23:12
69.   Greg Brock
68 Small sample size.
2008-05-18 11:23:25
70.   Bob Timmermann
So has anyone seen the new State Farm commercial with Torre in it? It has many cliches about life in L.A., but its worthwhile to see Torre stumbling over a yoga mat and paddling a surfboard wearing a wetsuit and a Dodgers cap.
2008-05-18 11:24:17
71.   Samhain
LaRoche has had excellent minor league stats.
I don't disagree that he potentially is a better ML player than DeWitt.
That is, IF LaRoche could stay healthy...which I don't think he can.

A friend who was a Roto junkie in the late '70s used an expression that I believe applies to LaRoche:
injuries are part of his card.

I would not trade either of them away unless and until LaRoche demonstrates over at least a hundred or so games that his brittleness--unprecedented in my memory in such a highly regarded Dodger prosepect--is just an ugly coincidence.

2008-05-18 11:24:26
72.   Ranma
63 Anyone, feel free to correct me on this, but I was under the impression that LaRoche did play some 2B early in his minor league career. I know DeWitt has with less-than-desirable results, but I was under the impression that Andy did better in that experiment than Blake. Also, IIRC there was talk of moving Andy LaRoche to 2B to spell Kent on the big league roster not too long ago when it became apparent that Loney deserved 1B and Nomar would be handling 3B for a while (or so we thought at the time).
2008-05-18 11:26:00
73.   Bob Timmermann
The Cubs put old friend Daryle Ward on the DL and called up Micah Hoffpauir.

I really want to know how you pronounce "Hoffpauir".

2008-05-18 11:26:02
74.   Samhain
Obviously those hundred games would seem to have to be over a couple of seasons...
2008-05-18 11:26:06
75.   regfairfield
72 He never did.
2008-05-18 11:27:10
76.   MollyKnight
You know who I really wish we had at second base? Dustin Pedroia.
2008-05-18 11:30:38
77.   jasonungar07
News flash Coletti says stupid things and his veterans are destroying another season yet it will be blamed on the youth.
2008-05-18 11:30:49
78.   Bluebleeder87
I think a big part of media praise for Pierre has to do with society's tendency to root for the little guy.

According to Dodgers Dot Com Pierre is 5'11

2008-05-18 11:32:19
79.   Linkmeister
76 Grins. As long as we're wishing, why not Kent as he was about ten years ago?
2008-05-18 11:32:35
80.   Bob Timmermann
If the Dodgers blamed their disappointing performance in 2007 on youth, then why were all the young players brought back?
2008-05-18 11:35:16
81.   Ranma
80 I'll go with the ever-increasing influence of Logan White for my answer to that query.
2008-05-18 11:35:20
82.   Greg Brock
I blamed last year on the trash can.
2008-05-18 11:36:31
83.   guy clinch
Great post. Sorry if someone already noticed this, but Furcal's RC/G on baseball reference is 11. I know Ned is very proud of his ability to gleam knowledge without the use of fancy stats and computers, but come on!
2008-05-18 11:36:53
84.   Ranma
Also, it didn't hurt that fans and media alike were clamoring for a full commitment to the youth movement in light of success experienced in Colorado and Arizona.
2008-05-18 11:38:40
85.   ChicagoDodger
75 LaRoche played SS for Grayson County College. Concern about his range caused the Dodgers to move him from SS to 3rd base.

So, he never has played 2nd, but having played SS, is it inconceivable he could at least try 2nd in the minors?

I don't see DeWitt continuing this current streak anyway, so LaRoche should end up at 3rd in the long run, providing he can stay healthy.

2008-05-18 11:48:08
86.   Kevin P
anyone find today's lineup?
2008-05-18 11:50:29
87.   Bob Timmermann
I left today's lineup in my other pants.
2008-05-18 11:52:05
88.   Greg Brock
LaRoche had more than 400 AB's in 2004, 2005, and 2006.

A couple of injuries and all of a sudden he's fragile guy?

2008-05-18 11:52:05
89.   Eric Enders
It was mentioned when we signed LaRoche that while he probably wouldn't stick at shortstop, he did (according to scouts) have the range and ability to play second base and the Dodgers were supposedly considering moving him there.

Also, it's kind of interesting that when LaRoche and DeWitt were drafted, each was mentioned as a possible candidate for conversion to catcher.

Anyway, put me down in favor of the idea of having one of them play second base. Particularly DeWitt, since he's played the position already, and his bat in the long term is likely to be more of a second baseman's than a third baseman's. Yeah, he might stink, but so what? We've had a second baseman who stinks defensively for a while. It hasn't wrecked the team or anything.

2008-05-18 11:52:19
90.   gpellamjr
86 From Jackson's blog:

DH Pierre
LF Ethier
C Martin
2B Kent
1B Loney
RF Kemp
3B DeWitt
CF Jones
SS Hu

2008-05-18 11:59:25
91.   Bluebleeder87
talking about Jacksons... Edwin Jackson is pitching today against the Cardinals 1-0 Rays 2nd inning I think.
2008-05-18 12:00:55
92.   Eric Enders
Has any National League team made less efficient use of its DH than the Dodgers this weekend? Or ever? (That's a rhetorical question, by the way, since I find it inconceivable that the answer could be "yes.")

Let's sum up, shall we:

Game 1: Your DH, ladies and gents, is 10-time Gold Glove winner Andruw Jones. Brilliant! Especially since it enables Juan Pierre to play in the field.

Game 2: Your DH is Mark Sweeney, he of the fork marks in his back, who goes 0-for-4 as his average plummets from .143 to .125.

Game 3: Juan Freaking Pierre.

Meanwhile, a guy who would probably be one of the better DHs in baseball, Delwyn Young, doesn't have an at bat in the series. It makes me want to claw my eyes out. No, check that, it makes me want to claw Joe Torre's eyes out.

2008-05-18 12:06:09
93.   Kevin P
How foolish of me! I actually thought Delwyn would get a shot today.
2008-05-18 12:06:21
94.   kngoworld
Is Joe Torre Fireable?

I understand Ned must love him, but what if Frank M. tires of Ned and a new GM wants a new Manager. Then could Torre be fired or is that still impossible because he is Joe Torre?

2008-05-18 12:06:54
95.   jasonungar07
At least we don't have that "terrible" manager Grady Little anymore.

I think point 3 should also note that our DH has a .178/.229/.200/.429 as our leadoff guy.

2008-05-18 12:07:16
96.   Sam DC
92 Gak!
2008-05-18 12:07:23
97.   underdog
Just be glad you didnt have to navigate thru the drunken fringes of Aay to Breakers today. That would put you in an even grouchier state. It sure did me.
2008-05-18 12:11:21
98.   Eric Enders
Well, looking on the bright side, at least this series is only three games and not five games, so we've been spared the spectacle of Luis Maza and Hiroki Kuroda as the next two DHs.
2008-05-18 12:13:18
99.   underdog
Or bay to breakers, that is.

Btw that lineup is about as good as i couldve hoped for - except for dh. Agree with eric about the waste that is dh spot this wknd.

2008-05-18 12:15:19
100.   milkshakeballa
sigh....when will delwynn young EVER get a chance? i hope we trade him for the sake of him! my god
Show/Hide Comments 101-150
2008-05-18 12:16:03
101.   Eric Enders
Tony Jackson also reports that Nomar has "hit a wall" in his rehab. I don't know if he ran into it or punched it, but I guess that's good news for anybody who likes the Dodgers' third baseman to actually be able to do things like hit and field.

Oy. Don't know why I'm so grouchy today. Anyway, I will now commence relaxing and enjoying our one-game winning streak.

2008-05-18 12:16:35
102.   milkshakeballa
As a young good prospect, I would CRINGE, absolutely CRINGE at playing for the Dodger orginization right now. Wouldn't you? This could really affect future drafts of a player on the fence about signing/college if we aren't careful...
2008-05-18 12:17:01
103.   Howard Fox
they don't want to play Young so he doesn't injure himself, that way when he is traded at his "high" present value, the trade will go through
2008-05-18 12:17:36
104.   goofus
70 Isn't it terrible that the Dodgers are so cheap that their 67 year old manager has to take a day job as a clown in commercials? Has he no dignity?

Jackson says Nomar has hit a wall, needs more tests. Looks like they're building up to retirement. Think we could help that along by starting a movement to make him a coach? It would be an easy out for everyone.

2008-05-18 12:19:03
105.   Greg Brock
Nomar could take Bill Mueller's job in the front office!
2008-05-18 12:20:48
106.   ucladodger
I just feel really badly for Delwyn. We know he can hit at this level, he knows he can hit at this level. And for him to never play and see his AB's go to guys like Mark Sweeney and Juan Pierre must be incredibly disheartening. Being in the majors is great and all, but just sitting there watching inferior players has to take its toll on you.
2008-05-18 12:22:05
107.   goofus
105 Nahh, he can take Mike Easler's job as hitting coach, end this silly business of taking pitches...
2008-05-18 12:22:23
108.   Eric Enders
102 Pessimistic as I can be, I don't think I buy that last part. I have a hard time believing that decisions to sign/go to college are about anything but cold, hard cash. Anyway, with the turnover rate in MLB the way it is, there's always a very good chance that the GM and manager when a high school player is signed will both be gone by the time that player is ready for the major leagues. (As has been the case for every single one of the Dodgers' current young players.)
2008-05-18 12:24:25
109.   milkshakeballa
True, maybe I am a little past pessimestic right now :(
2008-05-18 12:30:00
110.   Bob Hendley
Torre has a Pee Wee problem.
2008-05-18 12:31:18
111.   Howard Fox
we'll be alright, nothing wrong with us that a change of GM, manager, and 40% of our roster couldn't fix...
2008-05-18 12:34:50
112.   LAT
105. Have to give Nomar a contract extension first.
2008-05-18 12:36:53
113.   Bob Timmermann
Since NL DHs came in to today's game batting 4 for 28, I can't say that the Dodgers DHs have been all that much worse than anyone else's.
2008-05-18 12:37:03
114.   Ken Noe
I just read Ned's comments on pitching and immediately wondered what pitcher he's getting ready to deal for, and who he'll give up in addition to Abreu.
2008-05-18 12:39:28
115.   LAT
I am willing to cut Kent slack. JP is playing the way he always plays. This is his game. Andruw is clearly in decline and after 2007 this may be all there is of him. Kent, on the other hand, has been one of the most productive 2B of all time. He has never had a season like this and although he older than Moses I will give him a chance based on past performance. Past performance is what we horse players live for.
2008-05-18 12:39:49
116.   Bob Timmermann
The Brewers are batting their DH in the #9 hole. And it's Tony Gwynn Jr. The Nats are using Dmitri Young. Houston is using Lance Berkman. San Diego's lineup isn't posted, but it will likely be Tony Clark.
2008-05-18 12:40:13
117.   Bob Timmermann
The Mets used Damion Easley as a DH yesterday.
2008-05-18 12:41:15
118.   LAT
In yesterday's thread someone asked why Torre never uses Yhancy. Does framilarity breed contempt. Joe presumably knows Yhancy from his NY days. I wonder what it is Joe doesn't like.
2008-05-18 12:41:43
119.   LAT
So will Jackson write about that CS.
2008-05-18 12:41:50
120.   bryanf
Juan Pierre: Speed Kills.
2008-05-18 12:43:10
121.   kngoworld
119 No, because got on base.
2008-05-18 12:43:50
122.   Bob Timmermann
How much would Torre remember about Brazoban from his Yankee minor league days? At best he would have seen him in a spring training game or two four years ago.
2008-05-18 12:44:30
123.   Bob Hendley
114 - There was a dodger thought that it was misdirection and that he is not going to do anything about anything. Unless, picking up Maza is his first foray into trying to field eight Furcals.
2008-05-18 12:45:07
124.   bhsportsguy
Tony Jackson did blog about Pierre swinging at the first pitch the other day.
2008-05-18 12:47:07
125.   Ken Noe
On second thought, Ned's comments strike me as those of a man simply worried about his job. "Don't blame me, or Jones, or Pierre, it's the pitching--I didn't sign the top three in the rotation.'
2008-05-18 12:50:43
126.   LoneStar7
well although it was an unfortunate first with juan getting nailed, im glad we finally have our strongest outfield out there today. Lets hope for a little run production and some consistency from D lowe, I'll check in later..go blue!
2008-05-18 12:55:30
127.   bhsportsguy
102 I agree with Eric, baseball draft picks are so far away from playing in the majors that they would not even have those type of thoughts.

And baseball is set up against young players anyway, the way teams hold your rights for 4-5 years until you have to be on the MLB roster and then they you cannot be free agent for another 6 years.

2008-05-18 12:55:31
128.   bryanf
So relieved to hear Vin's voice today.
2008-05-18 12:57:43
129.   Greg Brock
Man, that's the livliest 92 mph ever. That ball is on the batter in no time.
2008-05-18 12:58:03
130.   ucladodger
Ever since his hot streak ended, Matt has looked pretty poor at the plate.
2008-05-18 12:59:06
131.   ucladodger
129

Weaver's fastball has always had a little jump to it. It just seems that halfway to the plate it gains some velocity and hits another gear. It is similar to Saito's. Straight, but with good velo and that little jump.

2008-05-18 13:03:59
132.   Jon Weisman
If I were a high school kid, the only thing that would worry me about being drafted by the Dodgers would be all the great young players in the starting lineup ahead of me. On any given day, there are four-five kids starting for the Dodgers: Martin, Loney, DeWitt, Ethier/Kemp if not both, plus a pitcher.

Kids play for the Dodgers. It mighttake longer than we like, but they play, and they're still kids.

2008-05-18 13:04:25
133.   LogikReader
Just to interrupt for a moment:

ABC caught a shot of Tom Brady at today's Celtics game sporting a Giants baseball Cap. Just for that, Brady has scored 1000 brownie pts for me! I am very pleased to see Brady stay true to his homeland in NorCal and not bandwagon onto the C's the way, say, Curt Schilling would.

2008-05-18 13:04:59
134.   ucladodger
That was hideous.
2008-05-18 13:06:17
135.   LAT
. . . and they're still kids.

Exhibit A: James Loney

2008-05-18 13:06:29
136.   Greg Brock
Watch your lips! Flying bat!
2008-05-18 13:07:48
137.   bryanf
Ouch.

Anyone think Lowe is tradable?

2008-05-18 13:08:03
138.   Andrew Shimmin
That's not a nice word, Mr. Lowe.
2008-05-18 13:09:13
139.   PalmdaleSteve1
136

Do they get to keep the bat?

2008-05-18 13:09:34
140.   Ricardo
137. Very! Colletti should trade him to the desperate Yankees.
2008-05-18 13:09:54
141.   LAT
Do those all become earned runs becasue you can't presume the DP on Loney's throw?
2008-05-18 13:09:58
142.   MollyKnight
SAD FACE.
2008-05-18 13:10:19
143.   JoeyP
If the Dodgers dont go hard after Teixera, they are nuts.

Loney is not the answer.

And DePo's probably right when he said the Dodgers would probably regret Lowe's 2008 season when he was signed to that 4yr deal in 2005.

2008-05-18 13:10:50
144.   bhsportsguy
141 You can presume one out.
2008-05-18 13:10:53
145.   ucladodger
Lowe cant keep the ball out of the middle of the plate. Terrible.
2008-05-18 13:10:58
146.   regfairfield
Trading your number two starter is the mark of every successful team.
2008-05-18 13:11:23
147.   LAT
If Torre wants Loney and Bennett to get some exercise does he just have them play catch together?
2008-05-18 13:12:01
148.   fiddlestick
Hu must take a different route to 2nd on the 3-6-3.
2008-05-18 13:12:25
149.   Greg Brock
139 The attendants take them until the end of the game, I think.
2008-05-18 13:12:30
150.   JoeyP
Billz is the #2 on this staff.
Not Lowe, at least not anymore.
Show/Hide Comments 151-200
2008-05-18 13:13:02
151.   MSarg29
Hu could of been standing at 2b instead of standing 3 feet off the bag.
2008-05-18 13:13:13
152.   Andrew Shimmin
147- You're probably going to hell for that, but it was funny.
2008-05-18 13:13:14
153.   fiddlestick
Different from Furcal I mean.
2008-05-18 13:13:35
154.   Icaros
Loney's throw was over the bag. Hu looked like he wasn't there in time.
2008-05-18 13:14:00
155.   bhsportsguy
148 He overthrew Furcal back in Arizona.
2008-05-18 13:14:15
156.   Alex41592
That throw was more on Hu than Loney, Hu was probably thinking about the throw that almost killed him yesterday.
2008-05-18 13:15:15
157.   LAT
143. I wonder if psychologically the A. Jones and Schmidt debacles will affect Frank's willingness to go after the big guns.
2008-05-18 13:15:23
158.   bhsportsguy
So now we are blaming the SS instead of Loney.
2008-05-18 13:15:31
159.   fiddlestick
151-- It's an easier throw for the 1B when he's already coming in to hit the SS on the inside of the base vs. throwing to the bag where the runner is in that path.
2008-05-18 13:15:35
160.   Ricardo
Joey, do you think Penny is the ace? In my opinion, Chad is the best pitcher on the staff and it´s not even close.
2008-05-18 13:16:04
161.   regfairfield
When the SS isn't anywhere near the bag, yep.
2008-05-18 13:16:13
162.   Greg Brock
So I guess Weaver is going to deal and this game is toast. I can watch Boston/Cleveland!

18-3 at the end of one quarter, you say? Ouch.

2008-05-18 13:16:36
163.   ChicagoDodger
Error should have gone to Hu, not Loney. Anyway, Lowe shows his mental inabilities yet again by not being able to hold himself together. 4 runs, 4 hits & a walk in 2 innings.

#2 starter stuff? I guess by default, but not by talent!

2008-05-18 13:17:05
164.   Andrew Shimmin
158- As always, I blame Gary Bennett.
2008-05-18 13:17:56
165.   PalmdaleSteve1
And Andreu chases down and away, comes up smiling....what a guy.
2008-05-18 13:18:08
166.   LAT
While Hu looked late to the bag, Loney threw to the wrong side.
2008-05-18 13:21:38
167.   JoeyP
160--Thats true. Based on peripherals and potential, I'd probably take Billingsley ahead of Penny right now and for the next couple season.

The reason Penny has been so good is his mysterious skill at preventing homers, despite not being that much of a ground ball pitcher. Not sure if he can keep up that skill.

2008-05-18 13:21:51
168.   Bob Timmermann
143
Things that James Loney is not the answer to:
1) Who kidnapped the Lindbergh baby?
2) Who killed Davey Moore?
3) Boxers or briefs?
4) What was the name of the fifth vice-president of the United States?

End of list.

2008-05-18 13:22:15
169.   underdog
To think that Hu would have the only decent at bat of the past 6 for the Dodgers.

This could be a long (or short) game.

Sooooo....

I'm actually starting to miss the drunken hordes at Bay to Breakers.

2008-05-18 13:22:15
170.   LAT
Ned GMs like I play blackjack. Wins all the liitle hands, gets brazen, puts up the big money and loses.
2008-05-18 13:22:35
171.   LAT
I love that wimeriner commercial.
2008-05-18 13:22:57
172.   PalmdaleSteve1
Blake DeWitt does it again, that catch would have put Nomar on the DL list for the nth time.
2008-05-18 13:23:18
173.   underdog
I think what the Dodgers need today is an anti-gravity machine. Can someone requisition one?
2008-05-18 13:24:57
174.   LAT
152. Small price to pay if it got a chuckle.
2008-05-18 13:26:45
175.   LAT
BH, I have class in an hour. Today is stocks. Nice day to spend 4 hours in the kitchen don't you think? At least I won't miss much of a Dodger game.
2008-05-18 13:26:56
176.   underdog
According to Stan Conte (according to Tony Jackson in his comments), Jason Schmidt was hitting 92-93 at times in his last rehab start.
2008-05-18 13:27:41
177.   JoeyP
170--He's lost the little hands too, if you consider throwing away Werth and Ross for nothing. Or Roberto Hernandez, Gary Bennett, etc..
2008-05-18 13:28:49
178.   underdog
Weaver almost punched himself in anger for missing that play.

That's just the kind of Scrappy McDribbler hustle-bustle we expect from our battlin' DH!

2008-05-18 13:31:51
179.   underdog
Argh, what was Andre swinging at there?
2008-05-18 13:32:27
180.   PalmdaleSteve1
178

Nope, that was Scrappy, McSlappy Happy's aura of on baseness effecting Weaver. JP appealed to Jobu before the game to put the fog over Weaver.

2008-05-18 13:32:32
181.   ucladodger
Please do something positive, Kent.
2008-05-18 13:33:02
182.   underdog
Today's 4th inning will be watched exclusively by underdog and brought to you by Amazon Books.
2008-05-18 13:33:45
183.   dzzrtRatt
I wonder if Jeff Kent remember how much he hates Jeff Weaver. He needs to pretend he's hitting off that damn hippie instead of Jered.
2008-05-18 13:33:50
184.   Ricardo
179. Andruw teached him some lessons.
2008-05-18 13:36:30
185.   ucladodger
Wow. thank you for swinging at that 3-1 pitch.
2008-05-18 13:37:01
186.   MollyKnight
Jeff Kent likes to hit the ball hard when there are runners in scoring position.
2008-05-18 13:37:01
187.   underdog
Well, there we go - this game is at least... a game now.
2008-05-18 13:37:08
188.   dzzrtRatt
Lucky hits sometimes banish slumps.
2008-05-18 13:37:33
189.   underdog
185 Well, thank him for swinging at that 3-2 pitch, though. ;-)
2008-05-18 13:39:12
190.   skybluestoday
Vin says Kent's shot was not hit well, but my goodness, I will still take it. Happily.
2008-05-18 13:39:15
191.   LAT
Nice save by Kotchman
2008-05-18 13:39:22
192.   JoeyP
You have to wander what's going through Jered Weaver's head when he throws over to 1st to keep Jeff Kent from stealing.
2008-05-18 13:40:31
193.   MollyKnight
I feel like something good is about to happen.
2008-05-18 13:40:33
194.   skybluestoday
No question about Loney's, though. Nice!
2008-05-18 13:40:33
195.   regfairfield
Loney's glasses are hideous.
2008-05-18 13:40:37
196.   underdog
Hah. I love Crazy Eyes' sunglasses -- makes him look more like a fly. But nice bit of hitting there.
2008-05-18 13:40:57
197.   LogikReader
Is "hit with a man on base" a sufficient answer from James Loney?
2008-05-18 13:41:35
198.   ucladodger
Man, Kemp was late aagin on a 2-0 fastball. Sit on it, Matt!
2008-05-18 13:41:41
199.   LAT
Stay away from the DP Matt
2008-05-18 13:43:02
200.   JoeyP
Kemp's been having better Abs ever since he started taking pitches and working deeper into the count.
Show/Hide Comments 201-250
2008-05-18 13:43:12
201.   LAT
Here comes your pitch Matt. FB just wait on it.
2008-05-18 13:44:47
202.   regfairfield
I think Kemp is just sitting on breaking balls.
2008-05-18 13:44:51
203.   underdog
70 pitches for Weaver already thanks to this inning.
2008-05-18 13:45:27
204.   Ken Noe
James Loney and the Kingdom of Dodger Thoughts
Chapter 1: Loney Must Go!
Chapter 2: Hurrah for Loney!
2008-05-18 13:45:40
205.   ucladodger
Swung at ball 4. Great.
2008-05-18 13:45:58
206.   underdog
Well, that was a great at bat. Except for how it ended.
2008-05-18 13:46:28
207.   ucladodger
202

He must be because he cant catch up to any fastball. Its not just Weaver, who has a good fastball. He hasnt hit fastballs all year this year.

2008-05-18 13:46:39
208.   underdog
204 I just skipped over chapter 1 of that book. I'm already at Chapter 3, "Dig My Crazy Sunglasses!"
2008-05-18 13:48:01
209.   LAT
Kent must be withering out in the sun for so long. SPF 40, Jeff.
2008-05-18 13:49:24
210.   JoeyP
Paul Pierce is having the game of his life.
2008-05-18 13:50:10
211.   skybluestoday
Loney the Human Fly!

(OK, bad nickname)

2008-05-18 13:54:11
212.   bhsportsguy
I think Kemp is trying not be overly pull conscious so he waits on the outside fastball and can't get his timing yet.

Despite the Celtics hot play, its still a 10 point game so it will still be a game in the 2nd half.

2008-05-18 13:54:32
213.   imperabo
DeWitt looks quick enough to play second to me.
2008-05-18 13:56:33
214.   JoeyP
It'd be nice if Lucas May develops into the Dodgers version of Mike Napoli.

Napoli has 35hrs in 574 career ABs.

2008-05-18 13:56:40
215.   Andrew Shimmin
Keep running on Martin, it's bound to work eventually!
2008-05-18 13:57:20
216.   bhsportsguy
LAT - stocks, sounds very serious.
2008-05-18 14:07:38
217.   underdog
The Angels' announcers {heart} Juan Pierre.

---

Ah well, there was some hope for this game for a brief period of time but now, not so much. So perhaps we will see Yhency today?

2008-05-18 14:08:30
218.   JoeyP
Sit down Vlad!
2008-05-18 14:11:20
219.   underdog
Man, just when it looked like Lowe was going to get out of that inning...
2008-05-18 14:12:25
220.   nick
this may be Yankee fan bias, but I've never seen a ballclub who over a period of years could get cheap singles like the Angels--you'd swear getting cheap singles was an ability....
2008-05-18 14:12:32
221.   underdog
How on EARTH was Matthews not nailed at the plate there? Looked like he was dead to right (from left) on Ethier's throw. Wha' happen!!?
2008-05-18 14:13:54
222.   bhsportsguy
I think Lowe is hurt. Ever since he went out of the game on April 23rd where he had tightness in his arm, he has not pitched well.

I know Jon does not like the focus on the starting pitching and perhaps it will even out as the season goes on but the reason the pitchers are still averaging 5+ innings a start is basically Torre not wanting to blow out the pen, both Lowe and Penny pitched 5 and 6 innings despite giving up a number of runs.

2008-05-18 14:14:13
223.   underdog
220 I sometimes feel that way too, and was just thinking they got lucky on two singles that inning. But that's a part of baseball; the Dodgers had a few cheap singles in yesterday's win. But it can feel more apparent or exacerbated if the Angels often beat one's team, as they have with the Dodgers and Yankees over the recent years.
2008-05-18 14:17:22
224.   underdog
222 I'm a little worried, too, though he was pitching on 3 days rest today so I wasn't expecting much. But he hasn't been the same consistent effective pitcher he usually is, since then, you're right. The starters have generally been better the past 4 games before today, so there was some hope, but between Penny's iffy status and erratic results so far, and Lowe, the 1-2 punch for the Dodgers is a little worrisome. Bills and Kuroda have been much more effective. All the more reason to hope that Schmidt can come back and to hope that Kershaw can work out the kinks and be up soon.
2008-05-18 14:18:29
225.   Tom Meagher
It is hard for me to tolerate Colletti when he says things like the above. He could have spent 45 minutes on Baseball-Reference.com to confirm that he was wrong, as I have just done.

The Dodgers' SP have allowed 5.23 runs per 9. Only the Phillies, Rockies, and Pirates have allowed more. The league average is 4.89. However, this seems to be about timing, not talent. Using any run estimator shows the Dodgers' SP, by components, have been among the best in the league. The run estimator at tangotiger.net/markov.html is dead on in getting NL starters as a whole with a 4.89 RA. It gives us 4.44 for the Dodgers, which suggests that they've given up an extra 20 runs relative to the amount you'd expect from the hits, walks, etc. that they have allowed. So the Dodgers' SP components indicate a .544 winning% with average offense, but in practice they have been .469. This early in the season, the significance is just under 2 wins.

Instead of using Tango's estimator for each individual team, I just used linear weights to do a quick estimate of who was outperforming/underperforming their components. (SP lwts + (lg R/PA)*(SP PA)). I then compared that to actual runs allowed. The Dodgers are the worst by this measure, at +18, and the Dbacks are +17. After them, no one else is above +6. The Astros and Brewers have been -14 and -10, respectively.

So before even talking about the defense, we have a solid case that the Dodgers' SP have endured bad luck.

The Dodgers' szERA, which is simply (K - BB) per plate appearance scaled for ERA (the equation is 5.4 - 12*(K-BB)/BFP), is 4.51 against a league average of 4.49. However, if we add the third "true outcome" to our analysis, the Dodgers skyrocket, as they've allowed the fewest SP HR in the league. The league gives up 1.052 HR/G. The Dodgers have yielded .674 HR/39 PA, or .669 per 29 batted balls. The Braves are second with .786/.803, and the Marlins third with .906/.874. So the Dodgers are way ahead of the competition in HR allowed, giving them the third-best SP FIP in the league at 3.93 (ARI 3.86, ATL 3.89, league 4.48, MIL 5.19). That implies a win% of .560 with league average offense.

Let's check out a couple more simple run estimators that will moderate the impact of the Dodgers' luck on HR as well as take into account the expected value of their balls in play. Nate Silver's QERA and Tango's siERA (my name for it) both use K, BB, GB, and FB to estimate ERA - the former is exponential and the latter linear. In QERA, the Dodgers beat the league, 4.38 to 4.47. In siERA, it's 4.28 against 4.48.

Looking at balls in play, it is clear that the defense has been a problem. The Dodgers' SP have a BABIP of .311, lower only than the Pirates'. What is more is that the Dodgers have a below average number of XBH per ball in play. So the issue with the defense has been singles (and times reached on error). The league average for (1B + ROE)/(BIP - XBH) is .218, and the only teams north of .228 are LA (.240) and PIT (.248).

However, we would expect the Dodgers to yield more singles since they have a GB-heavy staff. Let's compare the Dodgers' SP to rest of the league on balls in play (relievers included, unfortunately, but Dodger SP excluded). For every 1000 BIP, the NL has 450 GB, 333 FB, 189 LD, and 28 bunts. The Dodgers SP are 497/317/168/18 thus far, so they have many more GB overall and a slightly low LD/FB ratio (a good thing). Here are the singles per BIP for the league first and then LA:

GB: .241, .258
FB: .059, .091
LD: .519, .590
Bu: .184, .308

So, across the board, the Dodgers have yielded more singles, which suggests a combination of poor defense and bad luck. Had they equaled the league average in singles/BIP for each type, they would give up 6 fewer GB 1B, 7 FB 1B, 8 LD 1B, and 2 Bu 1B. The run value of the difference between those singles and converting them into outs is 17 runs.

The obvious knock on the Dodger SP is that they don't last long enough into games, averaging only 5.4 IP/GS and 23.83 BFP/GS. The former is last in the league, the latter second to last. However, the Dodgers have also employed a tandem starter arrangement 7 times, with the nominal SP going a total of 22 innings. The rest of the staff has started 35 times and gone 205 innings, for 5.86 IP/GS, which is well above the league average of 5.69. The tandem starters have faced only 119 batters - meaning on average they haven't faced the #9 slot a second time. The big 4 is thus 25.2 BFP/GS against a league average of 24.8. What's more is that part of the reason the pitchers are being pulled and not accumulating innings is because the fielding has been poor. If we were to give the pitchers an extra 7 IP for the 22 singles that could have been converted into outs, then the IP/GS increases to 5.57, or 6.03 for the big 4.

Colletti's statement does not make sense regardless of how good the starting pitching has been, but his implied assessment of the starting pitching is thoroughly ridiculous.

I don't know what Colletti means by a team of Furcals, so let's try to answer a different question. Let's say the goal is 93 wins, which would pretty safely assure a playoff spot. If we remove relievers from the equation entirely, how good does LA need to hit to be a .574 team with the performance it has gotten from its SP? Below are the runs per game as well as the winning percentage that such an offense would have if paired with a .500 defense and a rough avg/obp/slg.

Actual RA: 6.13, .603, .290/.365/.480
Markov RA: 5.23, .531, .270/.340/.440
FIP: 5.05, .515, .267/.338/.430
siERA: 5.50, .554, .280/.348/.448

So if Colletti means "If Furcal was our only hitter and got the results he's had thus far this season, our SP is so lousy it wouldn't matter," he is clearly wrong. If he means actual Furcal, which is basically 4.9 to 5.0 runs per game, then he's only of "no help" in the sense that they would be a 76-win team with the SP's actual R/G; they're between 84 and 91 wins with run estimators and normal Furcal. Given the team's excellent bullpen, I don't know what universe Colletti's statement makes sense in. In fact, the Dodgers' offense has hit just like we expect Furcal to hit - .273/.347/.405.

Seriously:
"I want to see us win six out of 10, seven out of 10. We're not playing consistent baseball, mainly because our starters aren't pitching consistently."

What kind of complaint is this? Is he flat out expecting his team to win six of ten on average?

2008-05-18 14:24:10
226.   JoeyP
So after 4 months, Bynum is going to have surgery.
2008-05-18 14:24:35
227.   Tom Meagher
Those numbers don't include Lowe and his 8 singles + 1 ROE today, fyi.
2008-05-18 14:26:02
228.   nick
223 Rule #13 violation on your part: excessively measured, reasonable response :)
2008-05-18 14:28:16
229.   bhsportsguy
226 I have to think there was a lot of hesitation by Bynum to have surgery since this basically means that the Lakers won't offer an extension this off-season.
2008-05-18 14:32:41
230.   Bob Timmermann
I guess Mike Napoli will be the guest on the postgame show and be given FOUR $20 books of Union Oil Auto Scrip to boot!
2008-05-18 14:33:57
231.   nick
225 didn't somebody do a fielding study puporting to show that Kent was world-historically bad these days at 2nd?
2008-05-18 14:41:16
232.   MollyKnight
An honest question: At one point, if Andruw Jones it still hitting .165, will he be benched for good? June 1? June 26?

I'm not looking for snark, here. I'm serious. A $36 million loss is better than a $36 million loss and an an automatic out in the line-up.

2008-05-18 14:46:02
233.   Bob Timmermann
I would assume that it's more likely that Andruw Jones will come down with case of Isringhausen's Disease first.
2008-05-18 14:46:05
234.   dzzrtRatt
232 Does Don Mattingly make himself available to coach Jones more regularly after schools let out in Indiana? Is he freed up to travel, maybe with his kids, during the summer?

I get the feeling Jones benefits from having Mattingly around.

But otherwise...yeah, I think Torre will bench him sometime in June, assuming the Dodgers' place in the standings is roughly like it is now -- still in contention, but with ground to make up.

2008-05-18 14:46:20
235.   Linkmeister
232 I dunno, but I suggest he be sent to AAA to work on his eye and swing. Maybe some cheap home runs would help his confidence, too.
2008-05-18 14:46:52
236.   Ken Noe
232 At some point, Bowa said they'd know if he could pull out of it at 200 ABs--that's around June 6. But what happens at that point is anyone's guess.
2008-05-18 14:48:40
237.   Chiron Brown
232 I hope not. Because that would mean, instead of just playing who we have including some playing time for Young or Repko, Ned would go shopping for yet another overpriced, underperforming center fielder.
2008-05-18 14:49:48
238.   JoeyP
Where have you gone Ghame Over?
2008-05-18 14:50:29
239.   underdog
Yhency B looks like a Not Ready for Primetime Player today. Maybe it's the rust.

Ugh.

2008-05-18 14:51:55
240.   ChicagoDodger
At least we are getting a chance to see Brazoban. Who was it that was asking why he wasn't he being used? I think we are getting our reasons! In the form of 2-baggers!
2008-05-18 14:52:15
241.   underdog
237 Uh, even Colletti will not dip into that well once more. I can't believe he would try yet another outside-the-organization centerfielder with Pierre and Jones both his signings. I don't think McCourt would let him. "Fool me once, shame on you..." etc. I think it's time to phantom DL Jones and have him go where Mattingly is for a time, I agree.
2008-05-18 14:52:17
242.   Ken Noe
237 Can you sign a $36 million center fielder, let him be benched at .165, and survive to make future deals?
2008-05-18 14:52:45
243.   ChicagoDodger
And there goes the bullpen era!
2008-05-18 14:55:23
244.   ChicagoDodger
241 Well, we have had a fool me once (Pierre) and a fool me twice (Jones). So you are saying, no chance for a fool me 3 times? We can only hope!
2008-05-18 14:56:19
245.   Bob Timmermann
But Brazoban is the only Dodger pitcher who can solve the Napoli Conundrum.
2008-05-18 14:57:02
246.   bhsportsguy
If the Dodgers were really concerned about just playing 3 outfielders, they would trade one of the 4 players. Which would basically mean trading either Ethier or Kemp.

Once the season started and they had those 4 guys, it seem destined that they were periods of time when one would sit and while the other 3 played.

Now, had Furcal been available, I don't think Pierre would have played non-stop for the last 3 weeks. But Kemp and Ethier platoon splits could allow Torre to sit them occasionally against certain pitchers.

I always thought Pierre was untradeable until at least next year where the Dodgers might be more favorable to eat some salary and he's now a 3 year contract as opposed to a 4.

2008-05-18 14:57:45
247.   dzzrtRatt
Scioscia's got to be loving this. Beating up on two of his sworn enemies, combined in one uniform. Arte Moreno gets to be LA's best owner for another year. Plaschke doesn't have to edit the column he already stored in his computer in February for release tomorrow.

The Dodgers and Dodger fans simply do not hate Anaheim enough. Most of the fans are like me: I kind of like the Angels. I root for them in the American League. I like it when they beat the Yankees in the playoffs, and the Giants in the Series. If the Dodgers couldn't get Guerrero, I'm glad the Angels did. Etc. etc.

Interleague play probably means we have reconsider this appeasement policy against Anaheim. We play them almost as much as we play some NL East teams. We can't afford to be charmed by their scrappiness anymore. We need to HATE what is happening to the Dodgers today, and swear revenge.

Maybe we should throw Juan Pierre into a live volcano in expiation.

2008-05-18 14:58:14
248.   ChicagoDodger
242 The rule states that you can, but only if you previously signed a $45 million center fielder and then replaced him with said $36 million center fielder while keeping the $45 million center fielder on the team.

But only then! Otherwise, no you cannot survive it!

2008-05-18 15:00:47
249.   bhsportsguy
Lebron James should not be shooting 3s.
2008-05-18 15:02:17
250.   underdog
247 I hate the Angels, if it's any consolation? It's none for me, of course.

Sigh.

Revenge when they come to LA -- the real LA -- in June would be nice, at least.

Show/Hide Comments 251-300
2008-05-18 15:03:02
251.   dzzrtRatt
We need one of those cheesy science fiction machines that exchange brains between two bodies. I'd like to see a centerfielder with the body of Andruw Jones and the ridiculous self-confidence and work ethic of Juan Pierre.

One thing for sure, Juandruw would lose some of that weight.

2008-05-18 15:03:38
252.   JoeyP
Lebron and Pierce both have 37.
2008-05-18 15:05:12
253.   PalmdaleSteve1
248

So the Ned Colleti dead pool starts about All Star break when Andru fails to break the Mendoza line?

2008-05-18 15:07:08
254.   bhsportsguy
247 Why is Arte Moreno the best owner, because his twosome of Mathews and Hunter is better than Jones and Pierre.

The Angels outside of this series were averaging less than 2000 a game than last year, the Dodgers are down about a 1000 right now.

But Moreno has not had to put any money into the Angel Stadium since he took over, he's been involved in litigation with the City of Anaheim over the name change, he's pulls the Angels onto a station that is hardly doing any advertising to publicize that fact.

2008-05-18 15:07:09
255.   ChicagoDodger
253 Must it really take that long?
2008-05-18 15:09:41
256.   bhsportsguy
I'll say this on May 18, 2008.

The Dodgers could finish in last and Ned Colletti will still be the GM. But he will be a lame duck GM in 2009.

2008-05-18 15:12:29
257.   PalmdaleSteve1
255

Sadly yes.

Parking Lot Frank needs time to get rilled up about Jones and Schmidt. I doubt Frank gets as riled up at JP as DT does, as JP is delivering the same game he has for years.

At the All Star game while all the other owners are picking on Parking Lot Frank, he'll get mad enough to do something about Ned, and there will be an opportunity to do a little GM shopping while everyone and their dog is at Yankee stadium and surrounding hotels.

2008-05-18 15:14:18
258.   Bob Timmermann
Again, I ask,

Why does anyone care what Bill Plaschke writes about the Dodgers or Angels? If the McCourts choose to heed Plaschke's "advice" that's their funeral.

2008-05-18 15:14:20
259.   JoeyP
256--Why are you so adamant about that?

After McCourt dumped DePo even when DePo had a 5yr deal...what is stopping him from doing the same thing to Ned?

Even Frank has to look at how his money is being spent and be upset.

2008-05-18 15:19:08
260.   bhsportsguy
259 Because, I don't think he views things the same as he did in 2005. He also has 5 years of results showing that how the team performs on the field has no reflection on box office or other marketing oppurtunities.
2008-05-18 15:19:43
261.   JoeyP
Lebron with 44.
89-88 Celtics with 2 minutes left.
2008-05-18 15:20:37
262.   Andrew Shimmin
Sweeney for Loney. It's called playing the percentages.
2008-05-18