Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Dodgers outfielder Matt Kemp and Rockies catcher Yorvit Torrealba face short suspensions after a skirmish in the eighth inning that was born more of frustration than animosity.
In the top of the eighth, Torrealba got a close fastball near the chin. In the bottom of the eighth, with two out, Kemp struck out on a pitch in the dirt. The ball bounced so that Kemp was in Torrealba's path to the ball. Torrealba pursued the ball with maybe a little extra force in trying to push through Kemp, while Kemp's back foot kicked up against Torrealba's helmet. Kemp turned and shoved Torrealba and then stood facing him, and then Torrealba shoved Kemp with two hands into the throat. And then a bench-clearing wrestling match of almost no moment started, though in the moment you're always scared something catastrophic might occur. I was with Vin Scully in feeling that you just hate to see that happen, even if there was never really much unadulterated venom.
In interviews after the game, members of both squads seemed to feel little if any latent hostility, and Kemp himself was pretty much contrite.
"He kind of shoved me, and I shoved him back," he said. "It was a lot of frustration ... and it was stupid. Not a good decision on my part.
"It was dumb on both of our parts. ... It was frustration, no excuse to act like that."
It's impossible for the players not to be punished, but I would imagine it would be on the lighter side of brawl banishments. What Kemp did was less hysterical than how Larry Bowa acted when challenged earlier this year about being outside the third-base coaching box, but of course Bowa is not a starting player and therefore more expendable.
In Kemp's absence, whenever that comes, Delwyn Young, who had two doubles tonight as the Dodgers were being shut out on six hits and two walks, should get more playing time.
Brad Penny had a somewhat deceptive quality start: six innings with two runs allowed, but he ran up his pitch count early and ended up throwing 116. He also balked (for the first time since 2003, according to The Associated Press). Colorado had six hits and four walks. However, it's hard to blame this one on anyone but the offense. Dodger shortstops haven't had a hit since the Coolidge administration.
* * *
Eric Stults, 28, is having a fine season in Las Vegas. After a slow start, the lefty has a 3.64 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 71 2/3 innings. Since May 1, he has allowed 13 earned runs in 44 2/3 innings (2.62 ERA) with 42 strikeouts.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/photos?photoId=1941546&gameId=280603119
The only thing consistent about the Dodger offense these days is their inconsistency!!! Enough said, Goodnight!!
>>Dodgers center fielder Matt Kemp struck out on a pitch in the dirt from Taylor Buchholz for the third out in the bottom of the eighth inning, and the ball rolled a few feet to the right of catcher Yorvit Torrealba, who accidentally made contact with Kemp from behind before picking up the ball and tagging him lightly in the chest.
The frustrated Kemp, who was 0-for-4 with two strikeouts and two groundouts, then shoved Torrealba -- who retaliated by shoving Kemp in the face with both hands. In no time, they were wrestling on the infield grass as both benches and bullpens emptied. Order was quickly restored without any further incidents. Kemp and Torrealba both were ejected.<<
No doubt taking their cue from Silent Cal.
LOL at accidentally made contact. That was about as non-accidental as it comes.
I blame this critical reading error on gary bennett (credit: A. Shimmin)
I also agree that it doesn't matter much.
Chin Lung Hu.
huh?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calvin_Coolidge
Anyway, you've been warned. Our chief weapon is surprise...surprise and fear...fear and surprise.... Our two weapons are fear and surprise...and ruthless efficiency.... Our three weapons are fear, surprise, and ruthless efficiency...and an almost fanatical devotion to the wikipedia.... Our four...no... Amongst our weapons.... Amongst our weaponry...are such elements as fear, surprise.... I'll come in again.
http://tinyurl.com/54js2a
Hey! My favorite president! :-)
http://tinyurl.com/5fb4hg
http://tinyurl.com/5dvagp
Phillies who would lead the Dodgers in home runs -
21 - Chase Utley
15- Ryan Howard
14 - Pat Burrell
9 - Jayson Werth
8 - Pete Happy
6 - Chris Coste
maybe that'll get some coversation going with you Westies...
Batting Average
Werth: .260
Pierre: .279
Hits
Werth: 34
Pierre: 48
Stolen Bases
Werth: 7
Pierre: 21
Runs Scored
Werth: 22
Pierre: 23
Advantage: Pierre
Doesn't Jon look foolish...
Yes, Sushirabbit is in Nashville. And in your brief drive through Arkansas, you were about an hour east of me. Although actually, I was in Memphis on Saturday, so who knows?
Actually, the Smokies are really Sushirabbit territory. I've spent alot of time in those mountains (and rivers). And I was in Knoxville visiting my Dad over Memorial day weekend. Glad you had a relaxing time!
Speaking of which: high temperatures here in Durham from today through Tuesday are supposed to range from 95 to 99.
36 Really from Ned's point of view:
Pierre: fast, classic lead-off man, has ring.
Werth: Nope.
He's a fourth outfielder at best, and he's proven it time after time. And when I hear some lame talk of how hard he works, I press the mute or FFWD button.
(DISCLAIMER: I say this not to defend Torre, but rather to offend the managerial position itself).
What are some examples of how Torre could show amazing leadership/get the most from players, and how could those things reasonably be expected to improve team performance?
Agree, but Kemp's push was to the chest (pad) not the throat.... but either ways it was stupid and it was good to see him say so.
The debate of whether players are people or number generators is seemingly boundless (and I can't generate the numbers to figure out what effect people have.)
Is your observation that Torre hasn't done a good job based on our record, or something else?
I really did read your post. My interpretation of your post before reading 55 was that Kemp over responded but Torrealba started it. After reading 55 I think I misunderstood what you were saying. From my view of the video 55 is correct.
10HR. .202 BA, .270 OBP, .505 SLG.
Ross' 10 HR have come in 109 AB. Werth + Ross= 19 HR. The Dodgers' as a team= 39, last in the league. Next lowest? Giants, 43.
Ross' .202 BA probably would be the focus for some folks...
Travis Denker now has 3 (including a homer).
Are we really upset we effectively traded Delwyn for Cody Ross? If Ross was still around, we wouldn't have room on the roster for Delwyn, since it's not like Cody Ross is going to stop you from signing Pierre or Jones.
I thought Denker's HR made him 4 for 13. Still less than Sweeney though.
No. We're upset that Ned pays the Pierre-Joneses huge amounts of money (over multiple years) for production less than or equal to that of the Werth-Rosses that Ned gives away for nothing, and who make no money by MLB standards.
Yes.
Besides, Ned would just spend the Pierre money on something stupid anyway.
It's all about OPS---i.e OPS has a higher correlation to runs scored than does OBP by itself, or SLG by itself.
A competant GM doesnt sign Pierre in the first place, but having a guy with pop that can play CF (like Cody Ross) would have given the team even more reason to not sign Pierre.
And at the time of the deal (which is what you have to look at---so many other things down the line could have changed the roster)---> It was Jason Repko for Cody Ross.
Repko's doing nothing in Vegas.
Ross would lead the Dodgers in homers.
Not a good decision when it was made, and even worse now.
It walways looked like Ned was trying to purge the team of all the DePo players around that time. When you look at Pierre/Druw/Ethier, and compare their cost/production with Werth/Ross/Bradley---> looks really bad.
Are there stats you can show me to back this up? Ross wins OPS and EQA...
I agree the original Repko for Ross decision was a bad one, but Ross guy would have been gone by now anyway. (And probably Delwyn too, because Repko would be on the team now since he would be out of options).
It's all about OPS---i.e OPS has a higher correlation to runs scored than does OBP by itself, or SLG by itself.
Your second statement doesn't address your first. In other words, the fact that OPS is a better predictor of runs than either OBP or SLG says nothing about the relative importance of OBP and SLG.
But maybe you knew that.
Yes. EQA factors in SBs.
Are there good stats that factor in defense that show Pierre coming out on top, or are you just basing your conclusion on your own observations?
Pierre's arm is horrible, and Cody Ross was known as one of the best outfielders in the Dodgers organization when he was in it.
Ross's career line is .250/.320/.499
There's no way anybody should want Pierre over those numbers. No matter how good Pierre "runs the bases"....Seriously, regairfield is sounding like an old school scout these days ;).
Ross's .270 OBP this year is distorted because he's gotten very unlucky on BABIP. He's only K'ed 19 times in 109 ABs, yet he's only batting .202
In other news, this "situation" makes me miss Milton Bradley just a little.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=6845
The numbers show Pierre is about an average defender overall (slightly above average defense, dropped to average by his arm) which should convert to a strong corner outfielder. Ross doesn't really have enough play time for numbers to mean much, but scouting reports are pretty down on his ability to play center.
It's hard for me to believe that taking the extra base once in a while and average defense make up for huge OPS and EQA deficits, but if you think that, then I probably should too.
It's as if you've built a man from straw.
Lets compare Cody Ross to Juan Pierre:
Cody Ross has a .270/.505/.775 OPS
Juan Pierre has a .351/.324/ .675 OPS.
I just cant see how it makes sense mathematically to choose Pierre if everyone agrees that OPS has a higher correlation to runs scored, than either individual component.
First of all, you need to recognize that the correlations observed between runs and OBP, SLG, and OPS are average correlations. In other words, while it may be true that "On average, when a player's OPS increases, so does the number of runs scored by his team", that doesn't mean that every single increase in OPS would necessarily increase runs scored, or that every single decrease in OPS would decrease runs. The relationship is an average, which doesn't necessarily apply to every case.
Second, if it's true that OBP is more important than SLG, than it's a pretty easy mathematical task to show that it's theoretically possible for a player with a higher OBP but lower OPS to have a more positive impact on runs scored than a player with a lower OBP but higher OPS.
it's a pretty easy mathematical task to show that it's theoretically possible for a player with a higher OBP but lower OPS to have a more positive impact on runs scored than a player with a lower OBP but higher OPS
I don't mean that ANY combination of higher OBP/lower OPS will trump lower OBP/higher OPS: I just mean that at least one combination (and probably, an infinite number, if you use enough decimal places) would do so.
He hasnt K'd 9 yet this season in a game. He's had 8ks twice.
He may be on a pitch count, so it could be difficult to have a high strikeout game.
ago, you assured me that its total lack of movement was due to it bein' tired and shagged out following a prolonged squawk.
Owner: Well, he's...he's, ah...probably pining for [Cody Ross].
Mr. Praline: PININ' for [Cody Ross]?!?!?!? What kind of talk is that?, look, why did he fall flat on his back the moment I got 'im home?
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=7615
>>It's no secret that the Dodgers are also very high on Hicks, who plays in their back yard. With Hicks likely already gone by the time they pick, there has been a lot of speculation about the Dodgers going the college closer route, and their scouting department has been seen in attendance of Texas Christian closer Andrew Cashner's late-season games. The problem is that kind of safety selection just doesn't fit with the Dodgers' philosophy. High-ceiling high school players do, and the best one on the board at this point could be two-way Florida prep star Casey Kelly, the son of a big leaguer who has first-round talent as an infielder and as a pitcher, while also having a scholarship to play quarterback at the University of Tennessee clouding his signability, a factor which contributes to people having him going anywhere from seventh to 30th
Selection: Casey Kelly, SS/RHP, Sarasota HS (FL)<<
I think they're looking at Hicks, Collier, Kelly, Martin and Friedrich, and it will be one of those guys, but not sure what order they prefer each of them.
Kuo, Stults, McDonald, & Meloan all should've been considered before Kershaw.
I'm finding I disagree with almost everything Colletti & Torre have done this year.
Along those lines, has anyone been able to recreate Depo's "OBP is 3X more important than SLG" factoid?
I've never been able to produce this result. In fact, I usually find that SLG is more important than OBP.
Dodger Thoughts: Where the elite meet to discuss fleet feet.
Just doesnt seem a Logan White type pick at all.
http://tinyurl.com/5jvo4h
I couldn't agree more, why they would want to burn out an arbitration year on a 500 team when he wasn't even dominating at Jacksonville while we had so many other good options seems to be nothing more than a public relation move. What will they do if he struggles over his next 3 or 4 outing? Calling up Kershaw this year (aside from a possible September cup of coffee) seems to involve way too much downside risk, with very limited upside. Hopefully Kershaw and the Dodger will make me eat my words.
I assume Kemp appeals any forthcoming suspension, hoping to get it reduced to one game, but life has taught to never assume anything (see UnderSeige 2 with Steven Segal for a defination of assumptions)
First off, they're not burning an arbitration year. Kershaw will not become arb eligible until after the 2011 season. His ML debut was late enough that "Super Two" won't be a factor.
Secondly, how is a 2.28 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, and 3:1 K:BB ratio for a 20-year-old in Double-A not dominating?
104 - Saw that, too. May be a turn off. Hard to know. I still think they'd prefer Collier if Hicks is gone. And maybe even Martin, too.
"John Smoltz has said that he'll be content if he never throws another pitch. Now, just two days after he attempted to alleviate stress on his shoulder with a move to the bullpen, the Braves veteran pitcher finds this to be a more defined possibility.
Smoltz will visit noted surgeon Dr. James Andrews on Tuesday in Birmingham, Ala., and it is likely he will then undergo season-ending surgery on his right shoulder.
"I can't compete against my body anymore," Smoltz said on Wednesday"
There is an outside chance Kershaw will be a Super Two. He was called up on May 24, so if he stays on the big club (or Major League DL) the rest of the year he accumulate 128 days of service time. This will put him on the low end of possibly qualifying as a Super Two in 2011.
As for today, I wish him the best and all that good stuff. Underdog, enjoy away!
Aw. I was always a big Smoltz fan. Now the only player linked to the great 90's teams is Chipper Jones.
Linked, as in continuously a Brave since the 1990s? Because otherwise Glavine would count.
Maybe we could help them out with that...
2008 WAR:
Cody Ross:
Offensive WAR: -0.95
Pos Adj: 1.5
Def Adj: 0.5
BaseRun Adj: -0.15
Total WAR (Playing time adjusted): 0.68
Juan Pierre:
Offensive WAR: -2.09
Pos Adj: 1.5
Def Adj: 0.2
BaseRun Adj: 0.75
Total WAR (Playing time adjusted): 0.27
I gave both players an equivalent playing time adjustment of 0.75. Defensive and base running adjustments are my best estimates.
vr, Xei
Poor Ozzie. Kenny hurt his feewings.
I keep forgetting that Glavine went back to the Braves. Yep, he should count too.
highlight: Travis Denker's first major league home run.
lowlight: watching Omar Vizquel attempt to start a 6-3 double play and fail to record an out
That is all.
HAHhahahahahah! Seems like McCourt's kind of guy.
If trying to win the division this year smacks of desperation then I hope they smack away...... if the kid is mature enough and were not over using him I have no problem with getting a boost from Kershaw. The "maybe next year" rally cry is getting really old for the Ds. At some point you need to go all in and try to have a winning season. Again, as long as they keep close tabs on his innings and psyche Lots of young players helping teams in baseball this year.
Oh I forgot one other noteworthy item. Obnoxious Mets fan friend wore his Mets cap and is white. In the BART train, some random dude walked up to him and said, "You look like David Wright. That's kinda cool."
Obnoxious Mets fan friend, whose favorite player is David Wright, was glowing the rest of the way back home.
I believe the last time someone rushed a Texan was when Robin Ventura got humiliated by 67 year old Nolan Ryan! I shudder to think what would happen to poor Willy Taveras if he were to lock horns with the Minotaur.
Zito got out of the inning. After the first 2 guys reached base in the next inning, on pitch #9, Zito gave up a double to Carlos Beltran. LI = 2.35, WPA = .162. And that was that.
Okay, time to get some work done so I can take a Minotaur break later.
All 30 major league teams simultaneously announce via conference call that they are not interested in signing Barry Bonds.
Now about that hot Adam Dunn rumor . . .
Hey I'll admit his numbers this year were more impressive than I thought but given that he has all of what 6 starts in 2008 in Jacksonville (no I won't count 1 innings starts) it certainly would qualify as a small sample size. Others have addressed the super two issue and while I certainly jumped the gun on assuming that he would lose an arbitration year you appear just as guilty in assuming that he won't. Anyway since you didn't give an option on his promotion to the bigs, should I assume that you are in agreement with the rest of my post?
Penny, Lowe, Kudura, Billingsly, Kershaw - that's a rotation I could live with; though I'm open to seeing Lowe (and/or Penny, if he doesn't improve) replaced by Kuo
I was told during a softball practice that I look like Jeff Kent. I was not glowing.
I could just grow the mustache and complete the look
Then the rotation will have at least three K's in it, which seems to be more than Penny can give us per game these days.
Add the possibility of Schmidt in a month and that's a pretty good rotation.
Now we just need Raffy back and for the other guys to hit more consistently and the Dodgers will make us all feel less grumpy.
Don't Guo there ;)
Pierre LF
Kemp CF
Ethier RF
Martin C
Loney 1B
DeWitt 3B
Maza 2B
Hu SS
Kershaw P
And with that, Jon secures a spot on The Obelisk.
Just kidding.
2005: 4.10
2006: 3.72
2007: 3.97
2008: 3.49
Interestingly enough, he also has his lowe-st G/F ratio as a Dodger. I would have guessed the opposite.
Not totally in agreement. You mentioned that we had "so many options" but in reality, there were only two: Kuo and Park. If it were up to me, Kuo would be in the rotation, but Colletti and Torre already said they prefer him in the pen. So, if it comes down to Park or Kershaw, obviously I'll take my chances with our top prospect.
Furcal and LaRoche, when the former is ready, will be 1000% improvement over Hu and Maza. That day can't come soon enough.
Of Hu and Maza, Hu will be the first one sent down, whether it is when Furcal comes back or LaRoche comes up. One of the two (or insert veteran middle infielder here) will be on the team all year since the club will need a backup SS.
I would imagine LaRoche's callup will be linked to Mark Sweeney's DFA. Vegas is off today, but LaRoche has played the last 4 games at 2B, so that's something. At least.
I have the same stocky body type, so I could sort of see it if I have not shaved and have a Dodgers hat on. But I do smile a whole heck of a lot more.
Talk about coming back to earth. Arizona has been awful. In other matters baseball, Prince Fielder hits the prettiest homers in baseball. His opposite field shots are amazing to watch.
I'm expecting a Kershaw special today. After watching what Francis can do with his arsenal watching the Kershaw/Kuo duo should be entertaining.
Last year, there were some complaints about Chris Young's suspension since he did it around the all-star break which meant he did not miss a start.
The next time the Dodgers are back east is August when they play in Philly and WDC.
I would imagine Park is the long man today, since Kuo threw 63 pitches on Sunday. Park hasn't pitched since Kershaw's last start, on Friday.
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