
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
Dodger Thoughts T-Shirts
On sale through February 16, 2008


Click here to order.
* * *
The Best of Dodger Thoughts
A 325-page book featuring the top selections from this website from 2002-2005.
Click here for more information.
* * *
Or, just make a donation to support the site. Many thanks.
"Dodger Thoughts, like TiVo, is one of those things you can completely do without until you start using it."
- Fanerman
SI.com
NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
Colletti and Depo
World Baseball Classic
Minor League Broadcasters
Slow Starts
Eric Gagne
Groundball Pitchers
Dodger Prospects
Albert Pujols
Humbled Angels
You Be the Manager
Eric Gagne II
Unreliable Relievers
Revived Angels
It's Okay To Sell
Dodger Turnaround
Andre Ethier
Padres-Dodgers Showdown
NL Final Weekend
Mets-Dodgers NLDS
Postseason ratings
NL Wish Lists
Manny vs. J.D.
McGwire Controversy
Dodger Offense
Trainers Matter
Variety
Will Arnett
John C. McGinley
Laura Dern
Imelda Staunton
SAG Awards
Ellen Pompeo
Grey's Anatomy
2004-05 Rookie Dramas
Anthony Hopkins
NATPE
Scrubs
Award Shows
Topher Grace
Ashton Kutcher
Writing on Improv Shows
Rainn Wilson
T.R. Knight
Guest Actors
Animation Guests
Joey Carson and Tennis
Donald Trump and Golf
2006 Emmys Nominees*
*Comedy Series
*Comedy Director
*Comedy Writer
*Comedy Actor
*Comedy Supporting Actor
Blue's Clues
Lizzy Caplan
Ann Donahue
CMT: Giants
CMA Awards
Little Miss Sunshine
Actor-Directors
Freshman Series
Clint Eastwood
Showrunners vs. Censors
Little Children
Breaking and Entering
Tartikoff Legacy Awards
Jackie Earle Haley
Knights of Prosperity
Office Online
2007 Screenplay Noms
Friday Night Lights
Robert Benton
ABC Fridays
Rookie Actors
Global Casting
2007 Pilot Casting
Sublime Slime
Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Abreu
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Beimel
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Bennett
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Billingsley
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Brazoban
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Broxton
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube DeWitt
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Ethier
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Furcal
ESPN BR BP Cube Garciaparra
ESPN BR BP Cube Hu
ESPN BR BP Cube Jones
ESPN BR BP Cube Kemp
ESPN BR BP Cube Kent
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuo
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuroda
ESPN BR BP Cube LaRoche
ESPN BR BP Cube Loaiza
ESPN BR BP Cube Loney
ESPN BR BP Cube Lowe
ESPN BR BP Cube Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube May
ESPN BR BP Cube McDonald
ESPN BR BP Cube Meloan
ESPN BR BP Cube Miller
ESPN BR BP Cube Orenduff
ESPN BR BP Cube Park
ESPN BR BP Cube Paul
ESPN BR BP Cube Penny
ESPN BR BP Cube Pierre
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Repko
ESPN BR BP Cube Saito
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmidt
ESPN BR BP Cube Stults
ESPN BR BP Cube Sweeney
ESPN BR BP Cube Troncoso
ESPN BR BP Cube Wade
ESPN BR BP Cube Young
ESPN BR BP Cube Alomar
ESPN BR BP Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR BP Cube Aybar
ESPN BR BP Cube Baez
ESPN BR BP Cube Bako
ESPN BR BP Cube Beltre
ESPN BR BP Cube Bradley
ESPN BR BP Cube Cabrera
ESPN BR BP Cube Carrara
ESPN BR BP Cube Carter
ESPN BR BP Cube Chen
ESPN BR BP Cube Choi
ESPN BR BP Cube Cora
ESPN BR BP Cube Crosby
ESPN BR BP Cube Cruz
ESPN BR BP Cube Dessens
ESPN BR BP Cube Dreifort
ESPN BR BP Cube Drew
ESPN BR BP Cube Encarnacion
ESPN BR BP Cube Edwards
ESPN BR BP Cube Erickson
ESPN BR BP Cube Falkenborg
ESPN BR BP Cube Finley
ESPN BR BP Cube Flores
ESPN BR BP Cube Gagne
ESPN BR BP Cube Grabowski
ESPN BR BP Cube Green
ESPN BR BP Cube Guzman
ESPN BR BP Cube Hanrahan
ESPN BR BP Cube Hernandez
ESPN BR BP Cube Hundley
ESPN BR BP Cube Ishii
ESPN BR BP Cube Izturis
ESPN BR BP Cube Jackson
ESPN BR BP Cube Karros
ESPN BR BP Cube Ketchner
ESPN BR BP Cube Ledee
ESPN BR BP Cube Lima
ESPN BR BP Cube Lo Duca
ESPN BR BP Cube Lofton
ESPN BR BP Cube T. Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube Mayne
ESPN BR BP Cube G. Mota
ESPN BR BP Cube Mueller
ESPN BR BP Cube Myrow
ESPN BR BP Cube Nakamura
ESPN BR BP Cube Navarro
ESPN BR BP Cube Nomo
ESPN BR BP Cube Osoria
ESPN BR BP Cube A. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube O. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube Phillips
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Roberts
ESPN BR BP Cube Robles
ESPN BR BP Cube Romano
ESPN BR BP Cube C. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube D. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube Sanchez
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmoll
ESPN BR BP Cube Sele
ESPN BR BP Cube Seo
ESPN BR BP Cube Shuey
ESPN BR BP Cube Stanley
ESPN BR BP Cube S. Stewart
ESPN BR BP Cube Thompson
ESPN BR BP Cube Thurston
ESPN BR BP Cube Valentin
ESPN BR BP Cube Venafro
ESPN BR BP Cube Ventura
ESPN BR BP Cube Weaver
ESPN BR BP Cube Werth
ESPN BR BP Cube Wilson
ESPN BR BP Cube Wunsch
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
It is rare, my friends, rare that I have plans that prevent me from catching even a single pitch of a Dodger game in person, on radio or on television.
Almost as rare as a Matt Kemp cue shot that spins just inside the baseline and then makes a left turn under Jered Weaver's glove for an error.
Almost as rare as the Dodgers winning a game without a hit.
I'm catching up on the highlights now, but man. I am deflated and elated. What a game. What a memory I won't quite have.
I've seen unofficial and official no-hitters by Fernando Valenzuela, Mark Gardner, a perfect Dennis Martinez and Kent Mercker. But this would have been a nice one for the thumb.
But of course, I'm thrilled the Dodgers were on the right side of this one. They were on the right side, right? Right.
* * *
Update: I wrote this in the comments below, but I'm moving it up here. This stuff about Major League Baseball not calling the game an official no-hitter is just stupid. I understand not giving someone a no-hitter when they allow a hit in extra innings. But if a team allows no hits over a complete game, it's a no-hitter. I don't even understand why that would be in question.
Sorry you missed it - there's always the MLBTV archives right? Or someone surely taped it. Or... well, I guess you had to be there.
Baseball's a crazy game. Dodgers have been on the frustrating, wrong end of things quite a few times this season; nice to be on the right end for once.
Game Year Pitcher(s) Team
2008 J. Weaver, J. Arredondo Angels
1992 Matt Young Red Sox
1990 Andy Hawkins Yankees
1967 S. Barber, S. Miller Orioles
1964 Ken Johnson Colt .45's
Tonight was only the third game in Dodger Stadium history in which the Dodgers did not get a hit (Mercker, Martinez).
Besides, you have a perfect monument to this game in the last comment thread. Many's the time I missed a special game, but got to experience it vicariously through the words of our little DT-Town's denizens.
And as I also said before but this time mean it, night all! Go Minotaur.
This stuff about not calling it a no-hitter is just stupid. I understand not giving someone a no-hitter when they allow a hit in extra innings. But if it's no hits over a complete game, it's a no-hitter.
"I'm pretty excited. It's like we're going to the playoffs or something."
But I do kind of see the point here about not calling it a no-hitter. The Dodgers did not make 27 outs. They made 24. If a pitcher pitches no-hit ball for eight innings and comes out of the game, he hasn't pitched a no-hitter. I don't know that I agree with it, but I'm just making the point.
Does your generosity of spirit in the update above extend as far as this?
http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/BOS/BOS200610010.shtml
Would you say the Dodgers play in "Blushing Meadows"?
Still, i suspect the dodgers and snakes will separate themselves from the rest and might actually catch up in the wild card race.
Maybe the rule can be amended to reflect if the game itself was 9 innings or more, which would allow for road complete games of 8 innings.
Personally, this is the closest to a no hitter I've ever watched live. Now I just gotta see an official one once.
289 "I'll give credit to Kemp for have the skill set of Pierre. But he made the play at the plate much closer than it should have been. If he continues to play that casually he's going to have a moderately successful career in Kansas City or Pittsburgh."
Well, maybe. But the thing you're criticizing Kemp for is something that affected the game not one whit. And thus doesn't support an argument that Kemp didn't help win the game.
Should Kemp have run harder on the sac fly? Yeah, maybe. I don't think the play was as close as you seem to think it was. Guerrero made the best throw humanly possible and still there was no semblance of a play at the plate. Kemp had zero chance of getting thrown out on that play.
And the notion that Kemp isn't a hustler is false, anyway. "Casually" is the word that best describes the exact opposite of Kemp's playing style. When was the last time he didn't bust his butt on an actual play? The guy hustles. A lot. More than most guys on the team. And often hustles too much for his own good. The idea that lack of hustle will land him in Pittsburgh or Kansas City is laughable. His attitude, if it gets worse, might land him in one of those places. His poor plate discipline might, also. But a lack of hustle? Not a chance in the world.
(Our man, incidentally, just got referred to on SportsCenter as "Matt Camp.")
The important thing is not that we didn't get a hit but that we have won two games in a row against an AL team, a division leading AL team, the best road record in baseball AL team, our interleague rivals, and we did it by holding them to zero runs over two games.
Good thing because Lackey might throw a real no no at us.
Just my opinion though.
The rule already says exactly that, actually. "A game of at least 9 innings." The official interpretation of which is, games like tonight's don't count. But it's just another of the hundreds of examples of baseball rules that are poorly or ambiguously written.
They need to blow up the whole rule book and start over, basically.
that said, I agree with 25 's logic.
10 Jon, why is it "stupid"? In both instances, the pitcher is being "punished" for his hitters not having scored enough so that he might simply do his 9 and be done with the thing. The "lost the no-no in extras" has a better case since, well, how many no-hitters have been lost in the 9th?
"Lost in the Ninth
No-Hitters Broken Up in the Ninth Inning Since 1961"
http://milkeespress.com/lostninth.html
http://milkeespress.com/lostninth.html#summary
Is a dog with three legs not a dog? Do the Angels get .889 losses tonight? No. It's a game. They allowed no hits. It's a no-hitter.
And unless they change the rule to prevent complete games and shutouts being allowed for games less than nine innings, there is truly no argument that a no-hitter should be nine innings.
As for it being a rare achievement, it's not as if baseball would be flooded with no-hitters that weren't nine innings.
Having watched Kemp in person instead of on TV I have seen him NOT bust his butt more then once. Tonight was just another example. That run was to important to be so casual about it.
He can do a 10 minute Mickey Rivers shuffle walk to the dugout after he scores the run for all I care.
Just focusing on shortstop and Furcal, some quick and dirty numbers indicate that if Furcal plays about 65-70 games and has about 250 AB's-decent probabilities, and hits 300 during that time, he would have 75 hits and based on his career ratio of hits to extra base hits his extra base hits would equal 25. It would then work out to about 14 2b, 7 HR and 4 3b's. I am not factoring in walks.
If he even comes close to these numbers, even 10% less this is a big upgrade over the current SS situation. If Jones can just add some power and Nomar can add a total of 25-35 hits as a PH and utility, hopefully replacing Sweeney, the Dodger hitting improves dramatically without doing too much damage to the team.
Obviously the outfield will be the most complicated, and JP will still get too many AB's, but if Jones were to hit 15 HR's in the remaining 60 or so games he will play that would be a net plus for a team that is power starved!
That brought back the memories of Dave Steib's back-to-back heartbreaks:
9/24, Dave Stieb, Toronto at Cleveland, Julio Franco (2 out-1 hit total)
9/30, Dave Stieb, Toronto vs. Baltimore, Jim Traber (2 out-1 hit total)
I forgot to mention the Steib games were in 1988.
In my mind, shutouts and complete games should have to go 9 innings as well. I'm not sure why they are not for the same reasons I list for a no-hitter.
Ten since 1956, to be exact. Tonight was actually the first time it's happened and the pitcher hasn't finished the game.
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/VJgX
Jon will keep on fighting the good fight to restore the Perez brothers to their rightful place in the baseball universe.
Kind of like a rule about how we can't say no hitter but we get over it without calling it stupid.
Sorry I don't mean to be testy but the odds are high that if 27 batters were faced it would not be a no hitter. Just think of all the no hitters that have been broken up in the 9th inning.
Has Weaver commented on coming out yet? Not that he would have ever been in the position, but Jeff Weaver would have had a tizzy if he were taken out in that situation.
"Since 1961, approximately 50 percent of no-hitters carried into the ninth made it through the ninth. After the first out of the ninth is recorded, the percentage increases to between 60 and 65 percent. And no-hitters that are still alive with two out in the ninth have a survival rate of nearly 80 percent"
Free Harvey Haddix!
You can't give up a hit and pitch a no-hitter. It's, like, a rule or something.
and boy do I love beating the angels
Look, if it bothers people that I call the rule stupid, I apologize. But it is a big inconsistency in the rulebook. You guys talk about fairness, but it's an unfair rule. You're penalizing a pitcher or a pitching staff who did everything possible to not allow a hit.
see 53
I suppose you're right, but my lord. 36 up, 36 down. Wow.
I'm on the side of calling it a real no hitter if the game goes the official distance or more precisely the winning team gets 27 outs. No rain-shortened no-hitters but in my opinion this one should count.
This may sound low, but it's not something that should be unexpected. Assuming the average hitter gets a hit 26-27% of the time, the chance of a hit in a given inning would be around 60%. Of course, given that the pitcher made it to the ninth without giving up a hit, it is more likely that they are a good pitcher, so 50% sounds about right and history shows evidence of that.
- - -
Haddix walked Hank Aaron intentionally to face Joe Adcock. The righty slugger finally collected the Braves' first hit when he launched a walk-off homer over the fence, making Haddix the hardest-luck loser of all time. Adcock's hit was confusing, however, because County Stadium had two fences, one that served as the outfield fence and another behind it. Aaron "saw the ball hit a fence and thought it was the front fence and assumed the ball was still in play," Burdette recalled. Thinking he could stop running once the winning run scored, Aaron peeled off toward the dugout. Adcock was thus called out for passing him on the bases. Instead of 3-0, the official score became 1-0.
A few observations and shout outs, met Ken Noe and his wife and son, Ken was wearing his official gear. We had a nice chat at the Top of Deck store. I'll let his describe his first thoughts as entered Dodger Stadium for the first time, all I can say is that it would be something for me to capture that first feeling I had when I saw it.
The Dodgers did do a good job of working the count and seeing pitches against Weaver through the first 4 innings, the inning they scored actually went pretty fast.
I mentioned this to a few folks but I'll repeat here for everyone, as some may know, today the Dodgers had their salute to the 1970's Dodgers and several were at the game (and an earlier lunch).
One who was not at the earlier event was Bobby Welch. When they introduced the players, they all went out to their positions, and some of them as they walked out, they would wave towards the visitor's dugout since several members of the Angel's coaching staff are former Dodgers.
So Bob Welch walks toward mound to greet the other 70's pitchers and then he makes right turn and starts walking toward the Angels' dugout.
I'm watching this from my seat and I notice a figure clad in a red jacket, walk out of the dugout and meet Bob Welch a few feet onto to the field. It was Mike Scioscia, who proceeded to give Welch a huge bear hug and Mike was genuinely happy to see Welch. Welch greeted Ron Roenicke and the others and then he went back onto field.
I was really touched by that gesture by Mike Scioscia and it will be lasting memory of seeing Mike hugging Welch that I will take away from today's game.
I also saw Bill Russell greet Duncan before heading out onto the field.
I just feel that it's unfair to a pitcher who gives up a hit in the 9th to lose a no-hitter when another pitcher lucky enough not to have to pitch 9 innings does get credit for one. And I'm simply waiting for evidence that would refute that feeling.
To me it's akin to Weaver pitching 8 no hit innings tonight and leaving after 8 innings (leading 5-0) because of a high pitch count and still getting credit for a no-hitter whatever the outcome of the 9th were to provide.
I really don't see anything unfair about the rule. 27 outs is 27 outs not 24. If you want to say you pitched a no-hitter then you need to get 27 outs and if you are unable to face 27 hitters because your team couldn't win a game in which you didn't allow a hit, to bad.
And who cares, he only pitched six innings so your feeling bad for a guy who was only able to pitch 6 innings. 6 innings. A gazillion pitchers have pitched a no hitter for 6 innings. A combined no - hitter should mean squat. Hardly an accomplishment.
Evidently Nolan doesn't fall into the 50% group.
Did Don Sutton have any broken up in the 9th? I seem to remember he pitched several one hitters.
No, the name of the game is to win and knowing he was going to be facing Broxton and Saito who struck out all six batters last night, he knew he needed to score now. Seemed like a no-brainer to me.
-- Kemp's squib could have been fielded and Weaver could have thrown him out. He didn't because Weaver took his eye off the ball watching Kemp race to the bag. If it had been a slower runner, Weaver could have made the play with time to spare. It was an error, but an error forced by a baserunner's skills.
-- As great as Vlad is, he had no chance whatsoever to catch Kemp. Kemp ran fast enough to assure the run, and wouldn't have needed to slide.
To sum up:
Official scorer: Correct
Kemp: Manufactured the run with speed and aggressiveness.
DeWitt: Hit the fly ball far enough so that Kemp's run was unavoidable.