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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 50-35 (.588)
When Jon attended: 9-5 (.643)
When Jon didn't: 41-30 (.577)
Dodgers at home: 795-635 (.556)
Jon attended: 302-238 (.559)*
Jon didn't: 498-404 (.552)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2009 Salaries
(updated November 14)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$10,000,000 Hiroki Kuroda
*$475,000 Chad Billingsley
*$415,000 Clayton Kershaw
*$405,000 Eric Stults
*$400,000 James McDonald
*Total: $11,695,000
Bullpen (7)
*$2,500,000 Takashi Saito
*$1,300,000 Scott Proctor
*$1,500,000 Jonathan Broxton
*$425,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
*$420,000 Cory Wade
*$410,000 Ramon Troncoso
*$400,000 Scott Elbert
Total: $6,955,000
Also on 40-man roster
Mario Alvarez
Yhency Brazoban
Greg Miller
Justin Orenduff
Starting Lineup (8)
$17,100,000 Andruw Jones
*$3,000,000 Russell Martin
*$2,500,000 Andre Ethier
*$600,000 Matt Kemp
*$600,000 James Loney
*$500,000 Angel Berroa
*$410,000 Blake DeWitt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
Total: $25,110,000
Bench (5)
$10,000,000 Juan Pierre
*$600,000 Jason Repko
*$410,000 Delwyn Young
*$400,000 Danny Ardoin
*$400,000 Chin-Lung Hu
Total: $11,810,000
Note: Team can buy out Ozuna's 2009 option for $200,000
Also on 40-man roster
A.J. Ellis
Lucas May
Xavier Paul
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
Also Paying ...
$2,000,000 Brad Penny (buyout of $9,000,000 option)
$50,000 Gary Bennett (buyout of $900,000 option)
Note: Kansas City is responsible for $500,000 buyout of Angel Berroa's $5,500,000 option for 2009.
Working total: *$68,020,000
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
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When Matt Kemp lined a perfect hit-and-run single the opposite way to right field in the sixth inning tonight, I beamed. I felt so proud of him. And I began to believe the Dodgers might actually beat Brandon Webb, straight up. Derek Lowe had thrown six shutout innings, retiring 10 of the past 11 batters. Russell Martin and James Loney were coming up to bat.
But even after Martin's infield quail bounced in front of second baseman Orlando Hudson's glove, allowing Kemp to reach second and Juan Pierre to score the first run of the game, the Dodgers couldn't hold on. Conor Jackson lined a fat fastball from Lowe leading off the seventh for a double, and Mark Reynolds and Chris Snyder followed with hits to give Arizona the 2-1 lead.
Still, the Dodgers had more chances. In the eighth, pinch-hitters Andre Ethier and Mark Sweeney singled, and Pierre bunted them to third. (I don't really mind the strategy when you're just trying to get one run to stay alive, though Pierre probably would have been a good bet to at least generate a productive out swinging away.)
Kemp came up, and quickly got in the hole 0-2 against Webb. But then he got wood on a changeup and lined it to Jackson in left field. Ethier tagged up, and I really thought he'd make it home. Jackson's throw was even slightly up the line. Ethier knew to slide on the opposite side of the plate. But he went in head-first, leaving his upper body close enough to the plate for Snyder to tag him on the face. Deflation.
And still it wasn't over. Despite throwing under 100 pitches, Webb didn't come out for the ninth inning - I suppose because of the shaky eighth. Arizona turned Webb's game over to Brandon Lyon again, just as the Diamondbacks did in their recent loss to the Dodgers. Lyon quickly got two out, but then gave up a single to Casey Blake.
Up came Andruw Jones. Jeff Kent stood in the on-deck circle to bat for Angel Berroa, and you were faced with the reality that you would rather see Kent/Berroa then Jones/Kent. Nonetheless, Jones it was, on the day that his $36.2 million signing officially became a failure.
Jones made contact. But even when Jones makes contact these days, he almost never generates any power. He hit a playable fly to left field, ending the game.
Manny Ramirez arrives Friday, amid speculation about whose place he will take in the starting lineup. Kemp is safe. Who plays among Ethier, Pierre and Jones?
Look, it should be Ethier. We all know it should be Ethier. He's the only one of the three that remotely threatens a pitcher. Pierre's a gnat; Ethier's a hitter. And yet, Ethier's the easiest guy for an Old School manager to rationalize benching against Johnson. Jones bats right, making him a candidate, but Pierre has actually been outperforming Jones against lefties in 2008. It's not as if Jones' wins many of these kinds of comparisons this season. And the fact of the matter is, you don't acquire Ramirez if you think Jones is going to amount to anything.
I don't think Friday's starter is necessarily going to be an indication of who the No. 3 outfielder is. We may continue to see Jones against lefties, but I believe he'll play the least. Ethier vs. Pierre? That's an open question, though I think we'll see a lot of Ethier at least in the late innings. I do think Ethier could come away with the third starting job, but I won't promise it.
* * *
This quote on Diamond Leung's blog at the Press-Enterprise stirred some reaction:
Logan White spoke with Andy LaRoche and Bryan Morris, and he said LaRoche was excited to go to Pittsburgh. Asked if White was sad to see LaRoche go, he said, "Not at all."
I asked Leung to give the context of White's response, and Leung replied that White meant in terms of "Look who we got back."
* * *
Alex Eisenberg of Baseball-Intellect.com offers a scouting report on Ramirez.
* * *
We broke every Dodger Thoughts visitation record today, including the 2,000-comment barrier. And it was really a great day in the chat - filled with lively debate that included plenty of healthy but well-tempered disagreement. Not everyone is happy with what went down today, but I hope most of you who participated enjoyed coming here to talk about it.
I'm shocked that tinyurl was available! :)
And if Pierre and Manny start a game together, whoever else is playing better drink a lot of coffee that day.
July is gone and August arrives with many reasons for hope in Dodgerland.
The starting and relief pitching have been fantastic and the offense finally has a chance to produce the kind of runs that make winning easy, given how our arms have been performing. Kemp is starting, Manny is in Dodger blue, Martin is Martin, and I believe Ethier will secure his place in the lineup in the coming days.
Martin
Ethier
Kemp
Manny
Loney
Kent
Black
Berroa
Pitcher
Fellas, that is pretty darn good. Things have not been perfect this year, or close to it, but when have they ever been? Let's agree on the notion that the Dodgers finally are ready to make some noise, specifically the kind of noise that brings a smiles to fans faces. It's going to be a fun couple of months.
I need odds!
"The movie or the planet?"
"And you are starring ... as the human."
"It's the part I was born to play baby!"
"I hate every ape I see from Chimp-pan-a to Chimp-pan-zee."
"Oh my god, I was wrong. It was earth all along."
"Down in front!"
1B Loney
2B DeJesus
SS Hu
3B DeWitt
LF Pierre
CF Kemp
RF Ethier
Go hardcore with pitching (money from all the expiring contracts should go to Sabathia and Sheets). Decline Penny's option.
Sabathia
Billingsley
Sheets
Kershaw
Kuroda
And this only goes for Jon, I don't want any other DTers asking for money that day, it is enought that I am making breakfast.
That's pretty harsh.
14, That would be exciting but no way we sign both CC and Sheets and I doubt we won't sign at least one FA bat.
game is still an option.
~$800K (Manny, Kemp, Ethier)
Sitting on the bench - ~$27M (Pierre, Jones).
To answer your question from previous thread:
I said earlier that I think Kim and Logan are no longer free from criticism. If we make a change in management, I want a complete change.
I don't think Dejesus is going to be ready to start next year.
1b Loney
2b Hu
ss Furcal (1 year deal)
3b Dewitt
RF Ethier
CF Kemp
LF Manny
I have no idea what happens to Jones and Pierre but that team isn't that expensive and should be defensively sufficient enough.
An aside to trainwreck, I saw Coach Walker in June and he told me how taken aback he was by all the support he got from everyone.
I'll be at some of the practices next week so I'll you posted on what is going there.
Aren't the Dodgers in a position to be contenders for a decade? Kemp, Martin, Loney, Ethier, Billingsly, Kershaw, Broxton - that sounds like a pretty solid core of guys to build around.
I think the better analysis is that the team has done pretty much all it can with respect to building from within and now must build through free agency. There's still a chance for Hu, DeJesus, or DeWitt to become part of the core, but not all of them (one likely). Time for better decisions on the free agency front.
The problem with that, however, is that the sample size for the remainder of the season is so small that a "net-wins" analysis is far more likely to be wrong than right (in either direction). What we need is beyond me, other than to say that as I thought it out, that we need it is further evidence of how awful this trade is.
Basically, long term, what we did was trade LaRoche and Morris for two top-50 draft picks. That is a trade that is clearly stupid.
The remainder of the trade is some increased probability of winning our division this year. As we stand today, before the trade and before tonight's loss, we had a 35ish% chance to make the playoffs (for the Dodgers, making the playoffs and winning the division are so close to the same thing as to consider them identical). So, what will our probability be tomorrow, before the game starts? I don't know. The math is beyond me. What I do feel, however, is that it just can't be that great an amount.
I also feel very certain that by merely playing the right players (forget all year - just start doing it now) would have meant more than the acquisitions of Blake and Ramirez. There is a substantial possibility that the Ramirez acquisition could mean very little (assume he replaces Either) and certainly a non-zero chance that it hurt us (assume he replaces Either day-to-day and several more games are Ramirez-Jones-Pierre).
Given what Torre has shown us all year, I don't see how the conclusion can be that the right choices will be made. But, even if they are, I just don't see this move as likely to move us from 35% to 60+% to make the playoffs. Maybe someone more capable can do the math and convince me I am wrong.
Don't forget Blake and Kent in the infield.
Manny-Pierre OF.
Atrocious.
Sweet, thanks. DeWayne's not long for UCLA, so we got to appreciate him while we can. Same for Chow obviously. Hopefully they can lay down the foundation for the future.
We really know how to waste money.
I think he meant for a spot for Jones or Pierre..
vr, Xei
w/Cleveland (1993-2000)
4095 PA, .313/.407/.592, 152 OPS+
w/Boston (2001-2008)
4682 PA, .312/.411/.588, 155 OPS+
Manny/Kemp/Ethier
OR
Manny/Jones/Kemp
OR
Manny/Pierre/Kemp (though starting Pierre over Kemp in center is a terrible idea)
The only way Pierre plays with Manny in the lineup is in center field.
We can talk about stats, and all that, but the reality is that 'playing the right players'(who I assume you mean the majority of the younger players) wasn't going to happen. Management would never allow that to happen unless massive injuries happened to all the Vets on the team like Kent, and Pierre, and even then, they would go sign a vet from the scrap heap like Ozuna, and Berroa. Getting Manny means that this current team is greatly improved that what it was 24 ago, and he instantly becomes our best player. Yes, even Matt Kemp who I love, but is still only 23 and might actually learn a thing or two to become a better player from one of the best in Manny.
But to say this trade was stupid just because you want to simplified the trade for LaRoche, and Morris for Two draft picks, that is your precognitive. But you're seriously underrating the impact Manny has on this team, and might have on future years since McCourt has shown he is a huge spender in the offseason. McCourt is the same owner who allow Ned Coletti to give Andruw Jones a $36 million contract, Juan Pierre $54 million, Jason Schimdt $39 million. And McCourt doesn't even like those guys. McCourt's still a Red Sox fan at heart and with Manny's he's going to vote with his heart. He's going to pay Manny whatever he wants. Anyway, that's my two sense.
Bill Madlock, 1985
34 G, .360/.422/.447, 147 OPS+ Dodgers are 22-13 when he starts
Steve Finley, 2004
58 G, .263/.324/.491, 112 OPS+, 13 HR, 46 RBI, Division-winning slam
Marlon Anderson, 2006
25 G, .375/.431/.813, 208 OPS+, 7 HR, "The Marlon Anderson Game" (before it got renamed)
Personally, I think his whining his way back up to the Dodgers after his rehab stint hurt his stock with Torre
When did LaRoche do this? He never bashed the organization in interviews, and for the most part said all the right things when asked about his demotion.
He earned his way back to the club by hitting in AAA.
And no, you will not get a percentage.
Well, it's out there on the interwebs now, unless of course Bob comes along and deletes it, vigilante that he is.
If that's true, then Joe Torre is a little girl.
In a frilly pink dress.
Of course, to actually explain the decision, in addition to allowing for the possibility that Colletti et al., way overestimate the marginal 2008 on-field impact of Ramirez, you have to consider:
1. The marginal impact on butts-in-seats, and the attendant concessions, parking, etc.
2. The marginal impact on Colletti's future stream of income, either from McCourt or Peter McGowan, or whomever.
Both of those numbers are big, I would imagine, or at least perceived to be big, which would explain, if not excuse the decision.
Colletti made the 3rd base decision Torre-proof with the Casey Blake pickup and LaRoche demotion/exile. But he really screwed up the OF choice set, and increased the probability that Torre will choose to leave win shares on the bench. And like you, I have no faith that Torre will avoid the mistake of wasting one third of the outfield at-bats.
Don't get me wrong - I'm very excited to see Ramirez bat as a Dodger. But then I enjoyed having Sheffield here. I love to watch great hitters hit. But I still think this was a mistake, unless they dump Pierre AND Jones this winter and play them precious little between now and then.
I'm also going to root very hard for Andy LaRoche in Pittsburgh. Who knows - maybe we'll take him back as a free agent once he's all veterany and stuff.
The key thing is that Pittsburgh felt that he and Morris were enough when addded to Boston's prospects to give up Bay.
Jayson Stark's early review of this deal is that Pittsburgh again went with quantity if not a big sure thing prospect after talking to other scouts. I will repeat what I have said about Andy for months now, if we cannot take his work in the minors and rely upon that for any kind of prediction in how he will do in majors than we should just promote guys straight out of Rookie Ball because Andy had the best work than the guys who remain in Dodger Blue today.
That is why there is some concern about the deal.
That said, given all the alternatives, if you are going to get a 2 month rental, the price was reasonable and you can't really dispute Manny's credentials. But even when they produce like Teixeira did for Atlanta, that doesn't mean you will achieve your ultimate goal.
And that is how this deal will be measured since Manny will be gone the second the last out of the Dodger season is made.
When was Nomar's last game? He has to sit out 15 days after that. We can always bring up Hu on Tuesday and send a pitcher down then until Nomar is ready but then we are left with the same dilemma.
It was interesting to see Martin at third and Blake at second. Those kind of moves could leave Ozuna out of a job if Nomar is really ready to go soon. But we can't count on his health for sixty days, can we?
Does someone like Jones develop a phantom injury and then has to rehab in Vegas until the end of August?
Lost in all of this is what to do with Delwyn when he comes off the DL. He is out of options. Does he get traded for Maddux or Jack Wilson or David Eckstein or just DFA'd?
It was always hard for me to say push DeWitt out because really if he was one of the other guys (and mean any of them), everyone here would be pleased that the management was giving him time to work things out.
It didn't happen and once they went another way, they sent DeWitt down to play everyday.
LaRoche never got that opportunity that I think this staff was ready to give him back in ST. That's unfortunate but because his value remained high, the Dodgers did not have to give up one of their young regulars nor a better lower level prospect than Morris.
I think that is the most likely thing.
http://losangeles.dodgers.mlb.com/team/player.jsp?player_id=120903
And there are currently 26 players on the active roster.
And you don't want to risk that type of injury anyway. A bad swing can reaggravate it.
I enjoyed it all ... up until 541 & 542 of the previous thread. I'd hope both the comments and author get deleted soon. There has to be a violation or seven in there somewhere.
Also, I'm a D'backs fan, so, I'm happy LaRoche is out of the division. I just wish you'd had to give up Kershaw, too.
Nationals released catcher Paul Lo Duca.
Lo Duca, who was given a $5 million contract over the winter, hit .230/.301/.281 in 139 at-bats for the Nationals. While there was no interest in him at his current salary, he figures to be pretty popular once he becomes available for the minimum. The Astros, Dodgers and Reds could consider him.
Because we need a no power slug like Lo Duca again.
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
How do you know we won't resign Manny?
But since I was so negative at the report of the trade, I will try to be positive and hope we can win a playoff series and justify trading him away. I like Manny Ramirez, even if he is lazier than I am.
All I want is Joe to start the right outfield and I will give Ned & Co. leeway for a bit. I am willing to be reasonable for a little bit, so the ball is in your court Dodgers. Please do not let me down, like you have pretty much done the entire time that I can remember being on this planet.
Hey Lo Duca could be Martin's caddy. Ardoin seems to actually know how to play defense so I'm in no rush to see it, but it would make a nice little story for Mr. "heart and soul" to come back and finish his career here mentoring the next heart and soul of the Dodgers. That of course assumes he's willing to accept being a backup, and doesn't hate us over the trade.
To me, that doesn't really dispose of the issue. Of course White's excited to get Ramirez. We never doubted that.
The point is that he says nothing positive about Andy. Normally in these situations someone in White's position would say something like, "Yes, we're sorry to see Andy go, but we're excited to get Ramir