Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Without giving this a tremendous amount of deep thought, I offer this: Ethics, as much as we might like them or believe them to be divorced from emotions, rarely are.
If it weren't so early in the morning, I'd have tried to make that funny.
If you define cowardice as running away at the first sign of danger, screaming and tripping and begging for mercy, then yes, Mr. Brave Man, I guess I'm a coward.
What is intriguing to ponder is the Braves and Dodgers fans have virtually the same information on the Furcal situation. If a poll was taken today, perhaps 80 percent of Braves fans would describe Kinzer as unethical, while only 20 percent of Dodgers fans would do the same.
Life is never as clearcut as we would like.
Happy holidays to all.
We have more mathematical indicators to tell us what should happen and how the players should perform, except when they don't. But it's ok if it's to your team's benefit.
We expect everyone to act morally and ethically, and they always do, except when they don't. But it's ok if it's to your team's benefit.
We expect loyalty to our team, or to our city, or to us, the fans. And when we don't get that, we are disappointed every time, we never learn. But it's ok if it's to your team's benefit.
The one constant here is baseball. Or as Norm once said (to paraphrase)...baseball, you can't live with it...pass the beer nuts...
I almost fear he will be discovered to have some organic disease.
Furcal's agent says that the Braves made an offer and he responded with a conditional acceptance, that condition precedent being Furcal's approval. Furcal did not approve and, instead, accepted the Dodgers' offer.
Based on Furcal's agent's account, this was a routine, offer-and-acceptance scenario of the kind played out millions of times daily in sports and business.
Assuming that Furcal's agent's account is untrue -- that he accepted the Braves' offer unconditionally and that he was vested with the legal authority to do so -- then the Braves might contemplate a lawsuit. It would be silly for them to seek specific performance of the contract as this would force Furcal to play for the Braves against his wishes. In the alternative, the Braves could seek damages against Furcal and his agency.
That the Braves have not threatened legal action, that they have simply vowed never to deal with Furcal's agent again, suggests that Furcal's agent's account is true.
Whether that account is true or false, no Dodger fan need feel any pangs of conscience about the matter. There has never been any suggestion that the Dodgers conspired with Furcal to breach any oral contract he had with the Braves.
Our team offered Furcal a lot of money to play for them; Furcal accepted.
I learned very early in life to believe that something is not going to happen, until it actually happens.
Did the Braves have Furcal signed, sealed, and delivered? No. So it never happened. Grow up and move on. Things happen in life.
And this whole "we won't do business with them anymore" is childish as well. You have a deal when the player is signed. Until then, you don't. End of story.
As to Howard's point. I would not feel any worse had it been the other way around.
Lastly, I keep reading where its the player who has the final say in negotiations. I kept reading in the transcripts of what transpired, that the agent said over and over again "I haven't heard back from Raffy yet."
Well, that should have been a red flag to the Braves and they should have waited till they had heard from Furcal that he was going to sign before they jumped the gun.
The bottom line is the Braves had their feeligs hurt publicly. And they don't like it. But to further the mess by acting childish isn't helping them.
the way it used to be, not too long ago, a person's word was his bond...I still remember when a handshake was all people operated on, that a deal was a deal, and you didn't need teams of lawyers and reams of legalese to have a deal
I work in a library with nearly 220 years worth of Supreme Court rulings in print. And about 150 years worth of California Supreme Court rulings.
Somebody must have needed a lawyer.
Branch Rickey, despite his reputed adherence to a strict moral code, used a rather dubious way to get George Sisler to play for him.
And that's just one example. It could go on and on.
Don't forget about the 220 years of Supreme Court opinions. That's the big draw. Especially labor cases from the 1890s.
Yeah. Millions of Americans across the country are having to choose between keeping their Westlaw subscriptions or feeding their children.
The first time he tried this, he didn't have the spell correct and he was visited by an old and troll like creature. That turned out to be Roger Taney.
The second time he tried it, another troll like creature came out and it turned out to be one of the trolls that lives in the National Archives, making minimum wage organizing the Census Records from 1940.
The third time, the incantation worked. John Marshall told Sam, "The Nats don't have enough money to sign Mark Teixeira" and then disappeared in a column of fire and left behind a wake of slip opinions.
Don't count you're chickens before they're hatched...
My head
You seem to have missed the part, or are ignoring it, where the agent finally phoned and said "Raffy is good with it. Send the term sheet." See - eventually he said - "We have heard back from Raffy."
Now, because he said this in a voice mail message, not directly to a human being who could, confirm, query and receive a re-confirmation, it's not exactly the same as an old-fashioned handshake. That's what's missing here. It's neither in writing, nor a two-way verbal handshake. It's a one-way verbal one-hand-shaking.
people hired agents who "spoke" for them...now it appears they are just messengers/buffers...it used to be that a deal with an agent was the same as a deal with his client
And incidentally, if one hand claps in a primeval forest, can a one eared man hear it. Or something like that.
I would definitely go with the older model and upgrade the RAM to 4GB. Crucial memory is a great place to upgrade the ram, and it would only cost about $40 more.
If you happen to have a discount or know someone that works/goes to Caltech, they are selling the exact same model for $1199 while supplies last. Yep, you saw that right. I lost the plea for the new laptop even with my Vegas winnings. Stupid 4 year old powerbook that doesn't need replacing.
Brilliant, Bob!
No need for a comma there. :)
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/8963362/Dodgers-a-big-letdown-this-winter
Sounds to me like Raffy's agents had a deal with the Braves that they liked and agreed to it before talking to Raffy. When they did speak to Raffy and the issue of playing 2B came up, Raffy said no thanks.
I used to work as an A&R in the music industry...More often than not, the band's management and the band themselves had completely different ideas of what they wanted. I'd imagine player negotiations are no different.
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/8963778/Teixeira-will-get-his-payday,-but-is-he-really-worth-it?
But you have to keep in mind that the agent works for the player, not vice-versa. So even in cases like this where an agent has a deal in place that they feel is solid, the player can come in and blow everything up.
That is an awesome price. You will love it!
If an agent is just relaying messages and not actively advising the player, then why pay them 12%?
12% seems shysterish to me. I think agents typically receive something like 3-5% at least on contractual salary, and possibly more (~10% or more) on endorsements.
From that article:
But this particular team is a big market club with a substantially diminished payroll
It's unfair to criticize any team at this point since there are still so many free agents still to be signed. It's still fairly obvious that the Dodgers will sign at least one starter (and perhaps two).
Kreigel's criticism of the Dodgers' offer to Manny is weak, considering:
1) To date, the Dodgers are the only team to have made a contract offer to Manny, so why offer more?
2) Even if other teams end up bidding on Manny, the Dodgers can still improve their offer
If they re-sign Manny, the payroll will be somewhere in the $110-$120m range again. I won't mind an article like this from Kriegel in February, but it's way too early in the game for such criticism now.
4chan strikes again. This time making up a rumor about Erin Andrews and David Wright, and seeing if anyone bites.
Good point.
How about: does anyone else think Tex is going to be overpaid?
Furcal's acceptance of the terms -- in writing -- was required before there could be an enforceable contract.
My guess is that Furcal's agent may have been careless in his choice of words. A lot of dollars were at stake here. He should have personally delivered the term sheet and obtained Furcal's written acceptance.
But, again, I don't think this is an ethical question that should bother Dodger fans.
I assume Furcal was in his offseason home in the Dominican Republic. Not the easiest place to get to whenever you want.
Is it just me, or is Tex going to be way overpaid for his numbers at 1B?
He's pretty sweet, both offensively and defensively.
His WARP1 the last few years, per Baseball Prospectus:
2005: 8.7
2006: 6.9
2007: 6.9
2008: 10.0
That's an average of 8.1 WARP1 per season.
I'm not sure what the updated value is for Marginal Value Over Replacement Player (MORP) from Baseball Prospectus, but for 2007 the value was $1.2m(WARP^1.5)+$380k. I changed the $380k to $400k since that is the minimum salary for 2009. Using this formula, an 8 WARP player is worth roughly $28m. A WARP of about 6.4 or so is worth approximately $20m.
I had my front tooth extracted yesterday. You know the rule about not drinking any alcohol for 24 hours? Well, the dentist didn't prescribe me any vicodin, so that rule went out the window.
So, I'm basically going to resemble Alfred E. Neuman for the next couple of weeks. But I'm going to make the best of it. I'm Going to my cousin Mark's place in Montreaux for Christmas. It's a real ritzi, gated community. And the gate guard is a real jerk name Larry. When I went there a year ago to pick up some furniture my boss was giving me, I had the temerity to ask Larry for directions. and he said "oh, yeah, I'm sure his highness would like to to have accurate directions!".
A couple of years before that, Mark's younger brother was going to Mark's place to do some work, and the same Larry wouldn't let him in the main entrance. "You'll have to go to the worker's entrance". "But I'm his brother!", Neil replied. "Doesn't matter", says Larry.
So. I'm hoping Larry is on duty Christmas. If so, I'm going to pull up to the guard shack and say: "Hi, I'm Jim Hitchcock, here for the Gunderson hillbilly reunion!", and give him the widest gap-toothed smile I can manage.
Thanks for the breakdown, Eric.
51
That sounds fun. I can picture the grin already
Hard to tell until we see the actual numbers. The numbers being bandied about regarding years and amount seem excessive. Not bad coin for a guy who only once finished in the top ten in MVP voting.
Is Swisher the next Ben Grieve?
vr, Xei
50
What would the Dodger payroll be based on 2008 WARP1 assuming Manny is a Dodger and they sign Randy Johnson?
Manny's WARP1 in 2008 was 9.8, and using the possibly-outdated MORP formula, his salary should be $37.2m. Although that might seem low to Boras, I'm guessing he can be had for less than that. :)
The Unit posted a 4.9 WARP1 last year, putting his salary in the $13.4m region.
I have no knowledge or insight into the actual events, but consider this made-up scenario:
1) Agent deals with Braves, thinking they have the best package. Says he has to take it to Furcal.
2) Agent and Furcal talk in the middle of the night. The conversation is brief and perhaps shaded by the fact that both could be tired -- it's the middle of the night. But Furcal agrees to the dollars in Atlanta's deal.
3) Agent leaves voicemail asking to fax the term sheet.
4) It's the morning. Braves assume that means a) he's talked to Furcal and b) they have a deal. Term sheet is faxed.
5) Agent faxes term sheet to Furcal... who asks about his position (2B?) and/or whether agent ever got the Dodgers back on the phone after their initial offer.
6) So the agent calls the Dodgers. And yes, they can match the Braves' offer, and yes, Raffy can play short.
7) Agent says, oh, no, this is gonna be messy, and calls the Braves to update them.
Again, I made all that up, but it shows a situation where all four parties -- the Braves, the Dodgers, the agent, and Furcal -- all acted transparently and in good faith and ethically, and still, the hurt feelings are justified.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hl8H-rm6kt4
(Or the Lego version:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kFFeE7FbZms)
www.kongregate.com
Bloon Tower Defense 3 is awesome
Remember that brohaha over NBA players jumping ship to Europe? Well, it looks like they're jumping right back to the NBA.
vr, Xei
I'd guess there's a decent chance Pujols ends up extending with the Cardinals before his deal is up. Who knows, though...3 years is a long time.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teMlv3ripSM
Wolf wants to come back to the Dodgers.
I really think he will give STL a discount to stay
Yankees
Mets
Red Sox
Angels
Dodgers
I'm hoping with the last two. :(
Jack Handey's a real person...?
vr, Xei
If Teixeira signs for at least $20m per year right now, there's no reason for Pujols to accept anything less than that. I can envision Pujols giving St Louis a discount, but for him that means in the range of $20-25m per year.
If you meant 2012 in the sense that this is the 2009 offseason, then yes. Pujols is under contract through 2010, but has a $16m option for 2011, with a $5m buyout.
vr, Xei
My bad on syntax...it's a club option. The only way the Cards don't exercise that option is if they use that year to start Prince Albert's new deal.
SP
Billingsly
Kuroda
Kersner
Possible 4 & 5 from within organization.
Kuo - Would he be better as a starter? Perhaps less wear on his arm -- He did not make it through the 08 without a breakdown as primarily a relief pitcher.
Troncoso - Only 84.2 innings between the minors, LA and DWL. Excellent K/BB ratio 3:1, GO/AO ratio 3:1, worked in DWL as starter 15 innings in 3 games with a 1.80 era. Is it time to use him as a number 5 starter?
McDonald - Starter in the minors. Had 147 innings pitched this last year. Excellent performance in playoffs. Poor GO/AO ratio .65 (minors). Good K/BB ratio 2.66:1 (minors). Not enough innings to really evaluate ML performance. He should be an excellent 4 or 5 rookie starter.
Stultz - He is 29 years old. He pitched inconsistently last year. Torre appeared to loose confidence in him after he gave up
3 runs in 3+ innings in Colorado, However, his ML era was only 3.49. His K/BB ratio was 2.3:1. He only averaged
5.4 innings per ML start(7). Torre appeared to have a very quick hook on Stultz when compared to other starters. He is
a good hitting pitcher.
Schmidt - He is on the roster but will he be ready? Not many think so and even if he is will he be better than our other
options?
Possible Free Agents
Sheets - For the last five years his ERA has been under 4.00 - 2.7, 3.3, 3.8, 3.8, 3.1 (rounded) he has been injured a number of times, in 2005 and 2006 he had only 156 and 106 innings pitched. iIn 2008 he pitched 198 innings, however; he had arm problems at the end of the season. His GO/AO ratio is 1.03:1. His WHIP for his career is a very respectable 1.2 and his K/BB ratio is 3.85 (career) also an excellent ratio. The question is the same as it is for all pitchers will he stay healthy?
Johnson: At the end of his career. Looking to get enough wins to reach 300 (needs 5). Started slow last year but was effective later in the season. 3.91 ERA with 30 games started and 184 innings. His WHIP WAS 1.24. His K/BB ratio was 3.93. He is 45 years old. He pitched in a hitter's park. Pitching at Dodger stadium should be a plus for him.
The problem with rookies is you never know what you are going to get.
The problem with free agents is you sometimes get damaged goods (Schmidt) and they cost a lot of money as well as blocking your ability to evaluate your young talent. Other than Brown for a short period big name free agent pitchers have not done well in LA - especially those from the American League.
As for trading: If you trade for prospects you are taking a chance. compare who you might get with what we have on our 40 man roster and that above is it that much better? Trading just to be doing something is generally counter productive. If we have a hole to fill and there is no help in house then trading makes sense. If we can get a super player like a Koufax then yes it should be considered. Or we should just do what many of us have been screaming for -- develop from within. Historically when the Dodgers have won the world series they have been teams that were built in the farm system. There are some exceptions : For example when the Dodgers Got Olsteen and he helped them win in 65.
vr, Xei
A potential person capable of that has a trial set to start on March 2.
You'll feel left out during the Patty Cakes portion of next year's Dodger Thoughts picnic.
The Lowe signing was a spectacular success.
vr, Xei
the Hunch Arm of Taiwan
I like that nickname
"Is this the five minute argument or the half hour?"
86 I feel like the Dodgers need to bring in one more pitcher because as we've learned you can never have too much starting pitchers due to the inevitable injuries that take its toll over the course of a season. As much as I like our kids, too, they will have their ups and downs in the growing process. There are definitely a lot of in-house options, you're right, but I wouldn't mind one more pitcher for stability.
And yeah we have no idea what Schmidt will bring if anything. If he's healthy and effective, that's a pleasant surprise at this point and we'll take it. The more the merrier.
I've been an advocate of signing Randy Wolf so I'm pleased to hear it's at least a possibility.
I always enjoy those year end posts of theres
(Aside from the obvious that likely no one would steal them, but nevertheless?
If I had a choice I'd go with Wolf...
RJ (at his age) is an injury risk...
vr, Xei
Lowe pitched four excellent years for the Dodgers, and the numbers back this up. Maddux was his teammate for less than four months total.
RJ (at his age) is an injury risk...
Yet, the year we had Wolf, when he was two years younger, he missed half the season with an injury.
I really like the idea though.
Yeah, haha. Ned says he won't go after Randy or Sheets, but he goes after Wolf, who gets hurt a lot.
Juan Rivera officially-ish re-signs with the Angels.
I approve, incidentally. I just wonder what's bringing so many people around.
That's true. The crazy thing also is that RJ has had back issues since I was a young teen & still manages to rack up innings!
115. No. Pierre was not put on waivers because it would make our GM look bad. Sorry if what I wrote was confusing.
vr, Xei
Lowe never seemed to want to be a Dodger and it seemed the only times he really pitched well was when we added Maddux
Lowe actually did pitch better with Maddux, but he pitched well without him too. I looked up the numbers, and they are quite startling (although it's silly to think Maddux is the main reason for the pitching improvement):
Lowe w/o Maddux: 116 starts, 41-46, 3.90 ERA, 0.91 HR/9, 2.37 BB/9, 6.06 K/9.
Lowe w/Maddux: 20 games, 19 starts, 13-2, 1.79 ERA, 0.21 HR/9, 1.64 BB/9, 5.36 K/9.
vr, Xei
C'est bon.
Randy Wolf could want more than one year, which again the Dodgers may not want to do.
I would put the choices for another pitcher as Johnson (performance-based 1 year contract); Wolf, if he'll sign a one year deal, after that, a whole lot of NRIs.
Where do you think they'll go, between he, Pennington and other options?
I'm waiting for the Catfish Stew post! ;-)
Lowe is probably among the 12 or 15 most successful pitcher free agent signings in the history of baseball.
"Pittsburgh Pirates SS Jack Wilson thinks the team needs more players to have a chance to compete next season"
I just classify [Lowe] as OK
Derek Lowe has the 5th best ERA+ by a starter in LA Dodger history (minimum 400 IP). He was an absolute, unqualified, no-doubt-about-it successful signing.
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/Y43S
There have been a little over 30 years of free agency, off the top, Greg Maddux is my best guess as the most successful free agent signing.
I just did a double take noticing that Tim Belcher's Dodger ERA+ (118) was higher than Orel Hershiser, and many others.
I think Randy Johnson is an easy #2 choice. 4-year deal, 4 Cy Youngs, 164 ERA+, 1 championship
Maddux's 5-year deal included 3 CYA, a 198 ERA+, and a championship.
Another thing is that you're discussing Lowe's "Maddux" time as if it deserves an asterisk, or shouldn't count in his favor. It should. Even if the Maddux effect was real, Lowe still pitched those games and won them. The games did occur and the team did derive a benefit from them.
Take a look at the best starters from 2005-2008, as ranked by ERA+ (minimum 600 IP):
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/RVwR
Let's assume for a moment that the Dodgers only got the non-Maddux Lowe. So he pitches at a 3.90 ERA for all 4 years. Over that time period, the league ERA adjusted for league and Dodger Stadium was 4.38 (I got this looking at Lowe's overall 3.59 ERA as a Dodger and his 122 ERA+).
So the non-Maddux Lowe would be at a 112 adjusted ERA+.
Take a look at that list again. There are only 25 pitchers ahead that have achieved a higher ERA+ over that time span.
Even if you take it year by year, here are the number of pitchers with a 112 ERA+ while qualifiying for the ERA title:
2008: 46
2007: 40
2006: 31
2005: 42
That's an average of 40 pitchers per year achieving Maddux-less Lowe's level of success. Since there are only 30 teams, by definition the non-Maddux Lowe was at worst a upper-to-mid #2 starter. Which of course is extremely valuable.
Heyman says the Mets are targeting Lowe, and Oliver Perez after Tex signs with somebody. And then Wolf if they can't sign either of them.
Pedro Martinez joined the Red Sox as part of a trade if that's what you're getting at.
He's only signed as a free agent with the Mets.
190 over 7 seasons. But of course, he wasn't a free agent. :)
148 And Billingsley has the same ERA+ as Koufax.
I don't think you have offended anyone; some just think you are wrong.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2008/writers/ben_reiter/12/19/reiter.underrated/?eref=sircrc
He sort of lost me at "Mark Hendrickson..."
Lowe's success as a Dodger was a welcome surprise.
Not impressed with Pennington. I'd rather watch Petit than Crosby. I think Beane makes a trade.
If I were to propose an A's-Dodgers trade, I'd say gimme Andruw + DeJesus for Crosby. Gives us a SS for the future, and gives you money to sign Manny. The A's only have six players making over minimum wage, so they can afford to eat someone else's salary.
And then you'd say, not DeJesus, but you can have Hu. And then I say, you're lucky I didn't ask for both.
I was mad, not because I did not think he was good, but because of his crock chop at the A's in the playoffs.
Now I can go back to not likely him.
I need to eat some food.
I seem to remember Miguel Tejada's Rule 1 violating reaction to that being caught by a microphone and aired on live TV.
When I first heard of the Lowe signing, I was in Oakland, near the airport, about to board a BART train. Not sure why I remember that.
And I hope the Dodgers don't make that trade. I'd rather be stuck with Jones and keep DeJesus than be stuck with Crosby, that would be pointless from the Dodgers standpoint, even with some money off the books. I'd rather do Hu for a pitcher, but you will in turn say, no way, and then we agree to part company realizing neither of us are GM.
Below.
Jamie Moyer be damned.
http://tinyurl.com/4cuzbk
My next question is, what do you want out of following Dodger baseball? I'll answer that first. I want the Dodgers to be a realistic annual contender and win a World Series now and then, the sooner the better.
I get no pleasure out of watching mediocre Dodger teams, while waiting for the "pieces" to come together down the road. My "down the road" is now, because I have been waiting since way back then.
But it just seems that there are many here who watch McCourt's payroll like it's their own money. For example, I want Manny back. We have no realistic chance without him. If it takes a 4-year contract to get 1 or 2 good years of realistic WS chances, so be it. I say do it, most of you say don't.
But it just seems that the prevailing sentiment here is for the Dodgers to save its money, make safe and conservative roster changes, watch the "youngsters" mature, hope for more wins than losses, watch other teams play the WS, come back the next season and do it all over again.
Last Sept/Oct were a magical Dodger time, thanks to Manny. Yet I got the distinct feeling that not all here were thrilled about his presence. Manny seemed to threatened their safe and predictable baseball world.
We should be unanimous in wanting Manny back at any cost to McCourt, but opponents outnumber proponents by a wide margin. And that prompts my question: exactly what do you want out of Dodgers baseball?
Certainly, all things being equal, I would have no problems signing every player that would help the Dodgers (or any team I follow win). But, right now, it does appear that the offer the Dodgers made over a month ago to Manny is the only one he has received and unlike CC, Burnett or Tex, there really hasn't been alot of rumblings about anymore offers.
I support your enthusiastic support and I agree, last August and September saw some great moments (and I witnessed several) with Manny and I would proudly wear a Manny t-shirt if and when he is signed up.
I think you misread the sentiment here, the main thing I have gathered in my years reading and posting on DT is that for the most part, DTers want to Dodgers to win and to do things smartly and effiecncy.
From where I sit, this might be the first off-season in a couple of years where the vast majority have had no major complaints thus far.
I think you misread the sentiment here, the main thing I have gathered in my years reading and posting on DT is that for the most part, DTers want to Dodgers to win and to do things smartly and efficiently.
From where I sit, this might be the first off-season in a couple of years where the vast majority have had no major complaints thus far.
The Dodgers have only won two WS in the free agency era ('81 and '88). The 60s still had the reserve clause, no arbitration, and no free agency, which makes a big difference.
The Dodgers teams that made the WS or playoffs in the FA era may have featured homegrown talent (e.g., the famous 70s infield) but outside acquistions played huge roles in the success as well: Wynn, Messersmith, John, Hooton, Baker, R. Smith, Gibson, Reuss, Downing, etc.
The '81 team had 5 position players (not counting Pedro Guerrero who was acquired while still a minor leaguer) and its pitching staff outside of Fernando was made up veteran pick ups sprinkled with some youngsters.
In '88, there were more vet pickups, Marshall, Sax and Scioscia were the key home-grown guys with Orel and more farmhands in the pen.
Certainly, this current core group is more like the '70s teams but they will need to have additions from other organizations to win.
In '88, there were more vet pickups, Marshall, Sax and Scioscia were the key home-grown guys with Orel and more farmhands in the pen
I remember when Orel got the save in Game 4 of the NLCS!
If we hadn't signed Loretta I would have traded A Jones / Hu / Josh Bell for Crosby. The 12 million saved would go a long way to improving this years team and Crosby could have fought it out with DeWitt for the lions share of the time at 2nd base. For example with the $12 Million you could sign Sheets and the trade is really A Jones / Hu / Josh Bell for Crosby and Sheets with plenty of money to sign Manny and keep the payroll right around $115 Million.
However we have Loretta so another scenario but not as good for me is to deal A Jones / Hu to the Reds for Arroyo. We get back around $8 Million in that scenario and that gives us enough to sign Manny without taking the payroll over $110 Mill. Arroyo is no Sheets but he will eat innings and he's only under contract until 2010 with a small $2Mill buyout for 2011. Arroyo had a dreadful 1st half in 2008 due to his home run rate and command. In the 2nd half he cut his home runs in half and improved his command by dropping his dominance. The Reds need a CF as Bruce is really a RF and while they may not be looking to add payroll they would enjoy the flexibility of losing A Jones in 2010 and not have Arroyo on the books.
For us to add Manny and a pitcher we are going to have make some kind of deal where we say good bye to A Jones. I expect A Jones will be easier to deal because of the one year deal left on his contract compared to Pierre.
The Ned Special Contract (tm) is a fantastic strategy for a large market budget with a cost-controlled talented player core. It's just been applied to the wrong players.
Amazing how much luck went into turning around the franchise. I guess they were also "lucky" that Shields turned into a stud, that Iwamura could play 2nd base, that Hinske had something left to offer, and that Garza just happened to blossom with them. Love that luck.
Cahill, Anderson, Inoa, and Cardenes. Inoa wasn't drafted out of high school because he's only 16. How did the A's end up signing the best international prospect in baseball? Anytime the Yankee's don't get these guys I root for them. I liked it when the Yankee's kept spending money on the Cuban defectors.
Given Crosby's recent offensive and injury history, I wouldn't trade him for Hu straight up. Hu right now is a better glove, and is much, much more likely to stay healthy.
http://www.sportshubla.com/2008/12/18/penny-pitching-dodger-style/
Sure, I just don't call it luck when you out smart an opponent. Is it luck to beat an opponent in chess if they are inferior to you? Luck was having the Pirates pick Bullinger instead of Upton.
Skills are not being factored in. In that scenario it is strictly a salary dump to remove A Jones off the payroll.
I know. But he's gonna get paid no matter what, so the best we can do is make him come to the park everyday, suit up, and then sit on the bench all game, every game, with that stupid looking grin on his face.
Andruw can be our bat boy.
Even more degrading.
I like it.
At the moment they probably have some of the brightest bulbs working for them. Not everything turned to gold. They traded Lugo for JtD and got zip and even lost out on some draft picks. I'm sure that is one deal they wish they hadn't made. The idea they have fleeced Ned everytime we have traded should be put to rest. Most of the time, but not every time.
Damn those Sports Hub LA writers who write about the Dodgers! Damn them all!
Or he could play, hit, and catch like he's being paid to do while giving us that big grin that I like.
I thought it was funny since I had asked in an earlier column if anyone knew what an ace was in this town. Evidently they still don't.
At this point, letting him play is letting him win.
Actually, he's gonna win either way. But we can at least reduce his victory a little bit by shaming him in front of the nation for 162 games.
Why do you follow sports if overpaid athletes bother you so much? I know plenty of people who stopped following sports because of the salaries but they don't spend their time on baseball blogs.
Of course he could recover some ability, but that would take a while to demonstrate.
To the extent that I still follow sports (which is much less than I used to), I do so to be entertained.
Entertainment can take on many forms (e.g. joy, grief, humor, annoyance, bemusement, etc. etc. etc.)
And the time I spend on this baseball blog is done more for entertainment than for baseball talk, though those two are not mutually exclusive.
Can someone do a check on this - I'm not positive about these numbers.
I really don't get that. The game is still the same. Who cares how much someone makes? They get whatever the market has decided their services are worth. So what?
They really liked sports so much better when Walter O'Malley was hoarding all the money instead of giving the profits to the people who actually made them?
I've never understood it myself. If they stopped playing hard because of the money I could understand but everyone still plays to win no matter how much they make. Maybe it is just an excuse they use when the magic of the game has lost the luster it once had for them as kids.
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/hnqv
The Dodgers scored
0 runs 10 times
1 run 16 times
2 runs 8 times
3+ runs 14 times
According to John Fay of the Cincinnati Enquirer, the Reds are now focused on three outfielders: Jerry Hairston Jr., Rocco Baldelli, and Willy Taveras. They had some interest in Juan Rivera but didn't want to do three years.
--
If they sign any of those guys there goes our fantasy of trading them Juan Pierre. Taveras' availability made that idea in general a bit harder but once he signs somewhere they can hone in on a few teams perhaps.
Dodger scored:
2 runs 2 times
1 run 6 times
0 runs 2 times
Of course, if he's like everyone else, he's probably lost 30-40% in his portfolio over the last year, so maybe he's huffing and puffing in the gym as I write this.
Plus, no Pierre.
Also, I don't just want ponies, I want magic flying ponies.
There, there.
I heart strawberries as well.
magic. flying. ponies.
(Sorry, game thread withdrawal).
No sir, I've just been busy, I mean lazy this week. I'll probably post something on both sites tonight.
... Ed Delahanty?
I'm down to only 13 needed now, thanks to the awesome Garvey Cey Russell Lopes blog. I will update that as well tonight.
Thanks a lot!
For the salary you are getting paid I thought we had exclusivity. Didn't Kinser read you the term sheet.
The post on the 1987 Donruss blog will be something to the effect of "for more of my ramblings, point your browsers to True Blue LA." I hope the servers can handle those extra 4 readers!
The old days when players were mistreated economically by the owners were, in some ways, more fan-friendly. At least that's an arguable point, I think. I don't wish them back, because it wasn't right.
I can get behind that
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/news/story?id=3782228
I finally read your link. For some reason after every quote I think of Andrew Shimmin which is strange because I don't think of Shimmin as funny but I'm LMAO right now.
Classic KCAL tape delay for east coast games. Higher ratings for them. More anger for Angelinos.
He could come in handy this year when we need a Loogy, as Eric said we didn't have anyone else that needed to be protected.
Mom: Dear, we would love to get you a pony, but it just wouldn't fit in the basement.
Dad: Son, now that you are 45, perhaps you could get your own place, and I'll throw in a pony.
Now, if D4P got a pony, he would put it on his yacht and ride it around the deck.
"The gang situation is a problem at USC a lot bigger problem for the players then what people are led to believe or what gets out publically. Hazelton for example has had a few run-in's with them, as have severaal other players such as Allen Bradford. Fans hear what is reported you don't always hear the stuff that is swept under the rug." From Bob Lichtenfels.
I've used that line here before, right...?
http://www.cowboylyrics.com/lyrics/lovett-lyle/if-i-had-a-boat-872.html
If I had a boat
I'd go out on the ocean
And if I had a pony
I'd ride him on my boat
And we could all together
Go out on the ocean
Me upon my pony on my boat
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/866524.html
I have no idea who that guy is.
I seem to remember some Padres' pitchers not being his biggest fans. Also, there was his fight with Big Z in Chicago.
That said, if he can be had for under $1m I wouldn't mind him.
Anything else involving the Hazelton's and USC probably isn't for this board, but I'm just saying the Hazelton's and Bob L have axes to grind.
I just saw that quote on a board and I knew I could get feedback from SC fans I respect here.
Randall Carroll apparently did not answer the door for Rick's in-home visit.
Did he call ahead of time? Maybe Rick Neuheisel shouldn't go recruiting while carrying around copies of "The Watchtower." People won't want to open the door.
No one can solicit like Rick.
That is where I heard he favors.
I know Cal is getting new facilities soon, but if any recruit actually saw them now, they would never go there.
Where is it being played at?
Allentown!
The physical must have been interesting. Gurnick mentions that Gurnick "suffered setbacks both before and after July 3 surgery for a bugling disk". I wonder who played the bugle. Or the bug.
I wonder what physical tests are used on ones back, and if they can really tell much of anything. I'm pretty sure a physical still means "stick out your tongue", and "turn your head and cough" and "OK, get out of here".
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/prospects/prospect-diary/2008/267206.html
Forgive me if this was discussed above, I have not read the thread. I understand how the CBA can prohibit a team from boycotting a particular player but how can that apply to the agent. For example, Braves relief pitcher Peter Moylan is a Wasserman client. Can't Schuerholz simply say I will negotiate directly with Moylan but not with anyone from Wasserman? That shuld not run afoul of the CBA.
I'm sure this horse has been kicked to death but adding my two cents, the Braves got screwed. Yes, they did not have a contract. Yes, it was stupid to fax the term sheet. But I believe Kinzer and Tellem shopped the term sheet to up the Dodger offer. Scum bag move.
Moylan would wonder why the heck the Braves are going to him to talk about any contract or extension, that's why he has agents.
"If the Association has notified the Office of the Commissioner that a Player has designated a certified Player Agent or Agents to act on his behalf for the purposes described in this Article IV, no Club may negotiate or attempt to negotiate an individual salary and/or Special Covenants to be included in a Uniform Player's Contract with any Player Agent(s) other than such Player Agent(s)."
So I don't think they can negotiate with a player in lieu of his agent.
Whether or not a particular team can refuse to deal with a particular agent is a different question.
My non-expert guess is that an arbitrator would find that a team cannot formally blackball an agent because it would interefere with the players' right to choose whatever agent they want. That is a right given in the CBA: "Player, if he so desires, may designate an agent to conduct on
his behalf, or to assist him in, the negotiation of an individual salary and/or Special Covenants to be included in his Uniform Player's Contract with any Club."
CBA here: http://tinyurl.com/5wzrsf
Now if a team informally decides not to deal with a particular agent, it'd be hard for the players to prove a violation of the agreement, I'd guess. But what Atlanta is talking about here seems pretty problematic to me.
As for the Atlanta mess, Furcal said he had no idea how the situation unfolded because he was in the Dominican Republic and just waiting to hear from his agentshe said "we were always going back to the Dodgers," probably meaning that he had instructed the agents to check back in with L.A. to give the Dodgers a chance to match any offer from Atlanta, though this wasn't clear.
"I'm so happy to be a Dodger again," Furcal said. "I know the Braves are a great organization, but I'm so happy to come back to the Dodgers and be a Dodger again, and that's what I can say. I'll let my agent talk to you guys about (the Atlanta situation). ... I wanted to come back here because with the team we have, we can make it this year.
Said Colletti: "As far as I know, it was above board. I don't have any idea what transpired with any other club."
Sorry for the huge quotes, but I wanted to show that Furcal's going to let his agent take the blame, accurate or not.
Why?
What's the ethical difference between showing the Dodgers a document displaying the terms and merely telling the Dodgers what the Braves have offered? Aren't the FA negotiations structured kind of like an auction, where the idea is to top the last offer? Most agents shop around their other offers, or what they claim to be other offers. The only difference here is Furcal's agents had documentary proof of their last offer, but even if they hadn't, they could have described it to the Dodgers.
That's why I said, way up the thread, that while the faxing of a term sheet might have some secret-handshake sort of customary meaning, it is not a contract, especially if Kinzer explicitly told him Furcal was "sleeping on it," an idiomatic phrase that means, "my client wants one more day to make a decision."
Many times I've told someone I have to sleep on a decision, and then come back and said, "no." To "sleep on it" means the decision is not yet made, the sale isn't closed. The Braves are acting as if it meant "yes, but I just don't want to say so yet." Like it was some kind of superstitious ritual. But that's not what Kinzer meant, clearly.
That's simply not true. You're about the 5th person (at least) here to ignore the fact that, after several iterations of Kinzer saying "I haven't manged to reach Raffy yet", he then phoned one last time to say (in a voice mail, since it was the middle of the night) "Raffy is good with it. Send the term sheet." At least according to Wren.
Wren got that message in the morning, construed it, as anyone would, that Furcal had finished sleeping on it and had given it the OK. In my view, it was stupid of him to rely on a voice mail as gospel. He should have phoned Kinzer back to verify that this really and truly was confirmation. And then ask for it in writing. Nevertheless, IF that's what Kinzer had said, then it's natural to take it at its word.
It's very true what most people have said - that it's not legally binding until it's in a legally proper, written, signed contract. Nevertheless, if Kinzer and Tellem wanted to maintain any credibility, they shouldn't say "Raffy is good with it", if they're still shopping around. Of course they'd want to present it tp teh Dodgers, if that's where Furcal prefers to play. So they should say "We've just got to offer it to the Dodgers - we'll get back to you." Or at least "Raffy's still thinking about it. We'll get back to you."
By saying (if he did) "Raffy's good with it. Send the term sheet." Kinzer ensures that no one will believe anything he says in future. Which makes it a little harder to negotiate, so he shouldn't be surprised if other agents beat him to the punch. But since he'll still sometimes have players in demand, GMs will go on working with him, and won't believe what he says until it's written. As Wren should have done too.
http://www.baseballamerica.com/blog/prospects/
344 - you've been missed around here, man.
Consider the daffodil. And while you're doing that, I'll be over here, looking through your stuff.
'Send the term sheet' sounds to me like a customer saying 'send me a memo outlining your proposal.' But maybe in Baseballtown, those words constitute a kind of secret handshake. Perhaps Kinzer violated a customary understanding by continuing to negotiate with another team after saying those magic words. But an outsider like me who brings general business experience to bear on judging the situation has a harder time seeing what Kinzer did as "scummy." From my perspective, Wren should've sought clarification because Kinzer was not making what I would've interpreted as a clear declaration of his client's intent. There's a long distance in the non-baseball world between: "I like you, your terms are fair" and: "We have a contract."
After everyone has had a chance to read it, could someone please show me the part where Furcal says he's good to sign or agrees with the contract terms and will sign with the Braves.
Because, again I don't see it.
I do see the part where the agent says he has not yet heard back from Raffy, but that "we're good". I don't think you need to be a rocket scientist to understand that if the agent hasn't yet heard back from the player, he can't possibly know if the player is "good with it".
I also read the part about Wren receiving a voice-mail asking to put a term sheet together, but again, nothing that says the voice-mail relayed that Furcal was "good" with it.
The only think I can gather in all of this is that perhaps the Braves felt it was "understood" that asking for the term sheet meant the player was good with it.
Well, all I can answer to that is to use the line from George Kennedy in the movie Cool Hand Luke:
"You may be good at writing checks and passing bad paper and all that, but us country folk ain't entirely stupid! When it come to the law, NUTHIN is Understood!"
Here is Wren's take. What did I miss or ignore?
*According to Wren, this is how the situation played out:
Wren reached agreement on the terms of a contract with Furcal's agent, Paul Kinzer, on Monday night, pending the approval of Furcal. (Kinzer works for an agent group headed by Tellem.)
Between 8 p.m. and 10 p.m. ET Monday, Wren spoke with Kinzer three or four times, negotiating the dollar amount, the years and terms of the vesting option, and other contractual details.
Wren and Kinzer spoke again around midnight Monday. Kinzer told Wren that he had not yet heard back from Furcal, but that Furcal was excited and that "we're good." ????
On Tuesday morning, Wren woke up to a voicemail from Kinzer telling him to put a term sheet (the standard baseball term for an official contract offer) together.
Wren went into his office in Atlanta, put the term sheet together and signed it.
Shortly thereafter, Kinzer began "backpedaling," saying he promised the Dodgers he would talk to them.*
The Kuroda signing might be even better than the Lowe signing was for the Dodgers.
Here's another thing I don't get. What's Wren doing sleeping during the final hours of a negotiation as sensitive and important as this one? That conveys an absence of vigilance. If he really needed some shuteye, he should've had his cell phone next to him in bed.
If he wasn't available to take a call from Furcal's agent at that point, I tend to discount everything else he says about their communications, and find myself suspicious that Wren might be what you call a b.s. guy, a "dog ate my homework" kind of executive. Maybe Wren should be working at a bank.
"I never said anything," Furcal said.
http://www.latimes.com/sports/baseball/mlb/dodgers/la-sp-dodgers20-2008dec20,0,2750336.story
Thanks to reaching a few incentive clauses for games pitched, Joe Beimel beat Saito by $45,000 last year.
I agree though, I don't see Juan Cruz as an option for LA. I can see the club spending on a Trevor Hoffman, which would cost more money but of course without surrendering a draft pick.
I guess it depends if we sign a starter, or a relief pitcher with where a pitcher like McDonald ends up next year. We sign Randy Johnson, McDonald likely ends up in the bullpen. Sign Hoffman, and McDonald has the inside track to the 5th spot.
Wow... I just made a winning bid for two Laker Tickets here:
http://www.nba.com/media/lakers/sect.102.jpg
It says row one... for a 1/19 game against the Cavs... I have a nagging voice that says I can't afford it. What to do..?
The cost was the equivalent of two Dugout Club seats. I pulled a "Big Bang Theory Time Machine Bid". Hoo boy...
Well, you picked a good game. Those seats look sweet!
"The Yankees, having made CC Sabathia and A.J. Burnett wealthy, would enhance their lineup with Teixeira in front of Alex Rodriguez, but even they have some limits. In their ideal scenario, Teixeira returns to the Angels and Manny Ramirez goes back to the Dodgers. "
They really are... I could literally throw a piece of paper at Jack's head. Kinda scary if you think about it.
My guess is, I'll give StubHub a ride and see if any Real Estate Tycoon will bite. I'll spend some time to think about it.
RIP Doc
May you trip balls in the afterlife.
At this point, Stephen Hawking would probably pass a Dodger team physical.
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