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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 40-30 (.571)
When Jon attended: 6-3 (.667)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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It was an ugly day in the comments. It happens every few months. In retrospect, with Paul DePodesta under the microscope, I should have expected it - and prepared for it.
So after the fact, and for the future, please do me the favor of reading the following.
I've got some serious reminders for everyone to keep the Dodger Thoughts community functional. With more than a year of comments behind us, I'm a little less panicked than I have been in the past that catfights like today's will become a permanent feature, but I would appreciate all readers - old and new - to heed the following to make sure of it.
Respect all commenters. No one has cornerned the market on intelligence or stupidity, right or wrong.
Respond to the comment, not the commenter. No personal attacks. Don't fire the first shot, and don't fire the second shot either. I don't care how stupid you think someone is. I don't care how much they've offended you. I don't care. No personal attacks. Find a tactful way to defuse the situation, or let it go. And for god's sake, realize how nasty sarcasm can read.
If you have any respect for me or this site at all, you'll pour water on the fire and not fuel. In the middle of the fight, the one time I could check in, I politely asked people to just back away to defuse the situation. I was greatly ignored. Really appreciated that - thanks. If you are in one of these fights, no matter how right you might be, you are violating the ethics of this site. The only role anyone should have in one of these fights should be peacemaker.
And one other thing. This site does not endorse a particular view at the expense of others. I have my views, but the comments are specifically designed to allow other viewpoints. And I welcome those other viewpoints.
Today, I read some commenters who indicated that they didn't feel their views were welcome. To some extent, I believe people don't sometimes recognize the difference between being unwelcome and simply being in the minority. Just because many people disagree with you on some issue doesn't mean you're unwelcome.
But today, people really were made to feel unwelcome. That is simply intolerable.
The kinds of personal shots people took today, as most of you know, do not belong here under any circumstance. They're completely unnecessary to any discussion of the Dodgers. And as this site is the closest thing to my baby other than my actual babies, you can imagine how much it hurts me to see them from anyone.
Overall, I think the thing that was most disappointing today was to see longtime commenters who should know better exacerbate the sniping and also in some cases, tell people that their views were not welcome here.
The people who feel that they are in the minority on any given issue must feel welcome to express their opinions. I feel that I have gone out of my way to try to make that clear. And I ask that everyone support me on this. This site's only agenda is thoughtful discussion. Supporting a particular Dodger player or executive is not this site's mission.
I'm not going to lie to you. This could go without saying, but I'll say it. There have been some comments on this site that in my personal opinion have been total crap. But there has not been a single commenter - not one - who hasn't had something thoughtful to contribute. There is not one commenter who should be dismissed out of hand.
So all of you who participated in the fight today, I ask you to get off your high horses. Please do it, so I don't have to get on mine and write posts like this. Do it so that we can learn from each other and above all, have fun.
I have lived long enough to have learned these three things:
1) I never will have learned enough.
2) I learn more from people who have a different opinion than those who agree with me.
3) I learn nothing from sarcasm and insults.
"No outs, you have runners at first and second and the big bats coming up, it was the right thing to do.
"I don't think I would have hit into a double play. I would have hit it or struck out."
Tell that to Tracy, Milton. In 240 plate appearances this year, Bradley has grounded into 2 double plays.
I was a jerk yesterday. I'm sorry. Won't happen again.
I apologize to those to whom I spoke, and those whom I spoke for. Just understand that it was a gut reaction. Apparently days like this happen occasionally, but this is the first time I have seen it to this extent here so I wasn't ready for it.
Now, that being said, somebody please fire Jim Tracy.
In my mind there is much to critiscie Tracy for this year but not this decision. The Dodgers are both a flawed and badly injured team and each game they lose illustrates that
How about keeping the rule that anybody you add to your major league roster after Sept 1st can't go on your playoff roster, but besides that anybody can trade whoever they want whenever they want?
I haven't been thinking about this idea for more than a minute so there are probably some valid reasons why it's a bad idea, but I'd be interested in hearing them.
I think that in the whole squabble over "who fired first" - and I agree with Jon that regardless of who did fire first the response should be to make the discussion civil rather than fire back - we (the pro-SABR, pro-DePo, anti-Tracy majority on this site) overlook ways in which our common rhetoric and running jokes can be inflammatory for those who have the opposite opinion.
Words like "heart and soul", "chemistry", and even "clutch" have become derogatory terms to many of the more cynical sabermatricians at this site. Now, I think all of those words are overrated and no way to evaluate talent in running a baseball team. But in an atmosphere of near-constant sarcastic jibes at the "scrappy" school of thought and its followers, it's not hard to see how people on the other side of the fence could come in thinking that they are being personally attacked from the get-go. I think one of the keys in seeing eye-to-eye with the other side is realizing this.
Now, that absolutely doesn't mean I think it should stop. This place would absolutely lose a lot of its character (some of its "heart and soul", so to speak) without the "scrappy" jokes and the snide Plaschke rejoinders and the FJT! chants.
What it does mean is that the anti-Moneyballers are going to have to resist the natural urge to get too acidic even when it seems that everyone else is already against you and already being snide about it, and the pro-Moneyballers are going to have to learn to recognize when someone offers a different perspective, to respond rationally and analytically instead of emotionally (after all, that's what we pride ourselves on , right?), and to tone down or shut off the jokes and sarcastic remarks and, as Jon said, pour water and not fuel on the fire.
Hell, if Google Boy and Logan White can reconcile their differing perspectives and philosophies and move forward in a constructive and civilized manner, there's no reason why we shouldn't be able to.
"He said he talked to more than a dozen teams. He said they offered to throw in money to complete one of the deals. He said he was close on three different things.
"We offered some of our biggest guys," he said. "In the right deal, we talked about just about anybody."
But he seems reluctant to part with members of the Jacksonville Five, the Double-A prospects who include pitchers Chad Billingsley and Edwin Jackson, infielders Joel Guzman and Andy LaRoche and catcher Russell Martin.
If the Dodgers stay close, he may regret that decision."
so is that the consensus nickname for our blue chip prospects? its kind of catchy. what happens when they move up though?
Interesting that Plaschke refers to Billy Beane as "dreaded" though.
It could be worse. We could be Mets fans. Now there's an unhappy group.
It's interesting that Plaschke isn't in Acceptance. Because he was on Opening Day. Actually he was in Acceptance a year ago after the Lo Duca trade.
The Mets attempts to deal seem truly media-driven. They are four games out of the wild card and have four teams ahead of them.
But back in the world of the NL West:
1) Can the DBacks hold on to a lead when they are -79 in runs scored?
2) Will the Padres ever get any confidence back?
3) Why did the Giants acquire Randy Winn?
4) How many losses for Colorado?
Re: 12 -- I'd add this to your comment: The Dodgers are a losing ballclub, regardless of their pennant chances. Losing sucks. Jon calls this site his "outlet for dealing psychologically with the Los Angeles Dodgers
and baseball." Many fans deal with losing by flaying the current regime. DePo has rationalized the current state of the team, and the majority of the posters on this site basically agree with his conclusions: This isn't the team he planned, injuries wrecked that team, but if addressing the injury-created holes means giving up the best of the team's prospects, forget about it and be patient. Nobody finds that satisfying, but to some fans, accepting that rationale amounts to unconscionable toadying to the current regime. The motto of most Dodger fans, not just here but everywhere I go, is "question authority." That's why I love 'em.
Sometimes, like yesteday, that questioning can be aggressively illogical. The culture of this site has usually been: defend your arguments, and do so rationally. But this site is also an "outlet" for Jon and other fans to express their rage, and rage is not supposed to be rational. This site should have room for both great analysis and rage. Best of all is when they come together; when its hit your lips, it's sooo good.
No kidding. I'm afraid to turn on WFAN at lunch today. It's going to be rant city. I heard they're boiling tar and collecting feathers down at Flushing Meadows.
I'm going to take responsibility for the loss yesterday, because I was the one who didn't turn on Gameday until I went to check the score, and noticed it was 5-5 in the bottom of the ninth. No sooner had the window come up when Olmedo hit into the DP. Then I didn't close the window until Alvarez loaded the bases. It's my fault. Sorry, all.
Jon, I missed yesterday's thread, so I have no idea what was said, but as someone who mostly lurks anyway, I do appreciate this site and its regular posters a lot, even though I tend to be pro-Tracy (although I think he had a real bad day yesterday), and am still not really sold on either DePo or Choi. It's witty, intelligent conversation, even when I don't agree with what's being said.
Please don't blow it people. Don't make all of Jon's (and yours!) hard work for naught.
And that's all I have to say about that.
DePo: please fire JT asap!
I'm glad Ledee redeemed himself, but why pull Perez to begin with? Maybe JT knew Weaver needed some batting practice and extra innings with the Cardinals was as good a time as any?
What about Jim Leyland or Davey Lopes?
BC
Anything in particular here that I missed, or just unhappy in general?
Just look at a Mets thread over at Baseball Think Factory. It'll give you a good idea of the attitude that Mets fans have.
You're swimming against a cultural tide here - and I congratulate you for doing so. Was 'gonna take the hit-and-miss opportunity to post the other day, and after doing the one-day catch-up I allow myself, decided I didn't want to be part of it. I've tried, on more than one occasion, to indicate there's a vast middle-ground in the basic majority-minority conflict here, and that folks who might be identified with a "side" can still offer surprising insight on a particular issue. I've also tried to indicate that the folks who are most thoughtful about the new ways of seeing the game tend to understand better than newer converts the limitations attached to them -
just as the old ways of seeing, now better understood as limited, are not absolutely useless.
I see myself as hybrid (liked Paul's hiring conceptually, now think, though it's not set in concrete yet, he's working the Peter principle hard, as opposed to his mentor up north) - yet occasionally feel unwelcome here; my consistent absences mostly have to do with other priorities, but this weekend was not the first time I've turned away.
Just one more thought: "sarcasm" comes in many shapes and sizes and colors. You've sometimes employed a fairly civilized brand yourself, and so have some of my favorite posters. Don't toss baby with bathwater.
Finally, hope your message has a long-term impact, to match your long-term patience.
As for all you other blue gals and guys, as always, be well.
You are right. And to think I was talking about how he would be a great manager just last week. I think he would be and do great back in Dodger blue.
BC
Piazza might retire after this year, how about him? He'd blast some AC DC in the clubhouse, create a loose atmosphere, which must be a good thing. His game time decisions couldn't be any worse than Tracy's, right? Plus, he really likes the deli right by my workplace. That's a plus.
The sad thing is that I don't know if I'm joking.
I picture Piazza as an into-the-sunset sort of player not really interested in managing.
I was thinking of Yeager simply because we could usurp Plaschke's Jacksonville 5 with Jacksonville 6.
I thought it curious that Piazza didn't get moved this weekend, although the Mets were undoubtedly preoccupied. He was, reportedly, available for a mid-tier prospect, and yet no takers. Will be interesting to see if he is involved in a waiver deal after the Mets officially fall out of the pennant race.
As for our non-moves, at least it's comforting to know that DePo (love him? hate him?) recognizes how not-very-good we are. The spin, however, in today's Times ... I guess people will believe whatever they want to believe about whether he's being truthful (pursued lots of players, have no financial restraints) or not.
Jon, well said, but I suspect its been building to whatever happened yesterday for a while...I recall people taking personal shots at me and others periodically for quite a while.
Everyone seems to forget, its just a game for us, maybe not for the players and coaches and GMs, but for us, it is just spectator sports...and our livelihoods do not depend on the outcomes.
I've been a die hard Dodger fan since the late 50s. Its been more hard times than good times, but that never stopped me from rooting for the old home team. I have always felt the players and management did the best they could to put a winning product on the field. Sometimes their best may not be good enough, at least for my taste, but at the level they are at, it has to hurt them terribly not to win.
Can we win this year? Sure we can, given the division we are in.
Is the local newspaper skewed against the Dodgers? Sure it is.
Are we playing poorly day in and day out? Of course we are.
So what, I still love baseball and the Dodgers.
I enjoy this site and most of the commenters. In this day of increasing isolation due to the internet and being further and further away from friends geographically, this site is a welcome outlet for the frustrations arising from the play of our boys in blue.
As long as we all remember, its just a game.
I'm sorry Jon.
I don't think that's the case. They might be healthy skeptics - which, given the evidence presented so far, seems appropriate - but they probably do more than their fair share of Dodgers puff pieces (see Oscar Robles profile) than any other outlet.
"Assuming that the National League West winner will still have to play at least .500 baseball, is this a team that can play 11 games over .500 for the rest of the season?
Of course it isn't.
DePodesta said that adding Milton Bradley, Jose Valentin, Dioner Navarro and Jonathan Broxton in the last two weeks is like adding new players.
Of course it's not."
"Of course" it's not like adding new players, you see, when players that were not on the team for several months are now on the team it is nothing like adding new players. When players who have never been on the team, join the team; that is not like adding new players either. What are those players then Billy boy?
April: 15-8; May: 11-17; June 11-17; July 10-17. However, I think the remaining schedule is favorable. If the Dodgers can handle their division by going 6-3 vs. Colorado, 4-3 vs. SF, 4-2 vs. SD, and 4-2 vs. AZ that will get them 18 wins. Most of these games will be in September when Drew is back. I believe they can win 5 of 7 from Pittsburgh, which gets them to 23. This means they will need to get 11 more wins from WA, NY Mets, Phil, Atl, Florida, Hou, and the Cubs. For fun I will give them 4 of 6 vs. WA and the Mets for some early momentum. This means they only have to take about one game from each of the remaining east/midwest teams. The math is there. Anyone with me?
McCourt buys the Dodgers and the LA area rights for $430mm and he is cheap and miserly....Moreno buys the Angels and Anaheim/Orange County for a fraction of that, lays claim to adjoining territories, he is the big spender, sharing the wealth.
No bias here... No skewed reporting here...
Is that online? I'd want to read that.
#41,
I think you're right. There are plenty of fair criticisms of DePo et al to make without resorting to cheap shots and stereotypes.
Is anyone else sick of Plaschke beginning at least one sentence every article like this:
It says here that....
On the deadline yesterday, the story was the non-story. No "big" deals going down, however 2 players that were traded that I think could've greatly helped the Dodgers and I'm disappointed that Depo wasn't able to make anything happen.
1. Matt Lawton to the Cubs for Jody Gerut. Jody Gerut? Would this be akin to a Jayson Werth?
2. Farnsworth to the Braves for 2 AAA pitchers (one was 2-7, the other 1-5 w/ a era above 5).
I would've really like to have seen Depo make a move for these two. I'm not really sure what to think with the inactivity. Are we giving up on the season? Are we sure this team is good enough to reel in the two teams ahead of us, not to mention the playoffs?
I would've liked to see some veteran help come in (veterans that can pitch - unlike the AARP crew we run out there every game). Guardado and Farnsworth were my top two choices. Obviously the M's didn't part with Eddie, so he wasn't an option. I think that we could've easily trumped Atl's package though.
Same with Lawton. He would've given us a legit OFer and leadoff hitter. Drew sounds like he's done for the year - something about the wrist not healing exactly right, which would've been necessary for him to think about coming back this year. Now we're going with Repko/Ledee, Werth, and Bradley.
These two would've cost about $3.5M this year, then become FA's.
I'd rather see what Broxton can do than get Farnsworth, altho he is having a nice season.
Wow.
where did you hear about drew's wrist?
"Jul 27 Dodgers.MLB.com's Mark Thoma reports Los Angeles Dodgers OF J.D. Drew (wrist) is slow to heal from his broken wrist. Doctors said there's a 60 percent chance the wrist will not heal correctly and ligaments would be at risk of coming detached from the bone. "It doesn't feel good," Drew said. "Slow progress now, mobility and trying to get your strength back." "
Lawton
APerez
Bradley
Kent
Choi
Werth/Ledee
Navarro
Izturis
10 games at least.
I'd feel a lot better if we just brought some kids up and let them bat around Kent, Bradley and Izzy. A whole lot better.
Actually, as I remember the original story on Drew's wrist that quoted the 60% figure, I think the meaning was that there was a 60% chance Drew wouldn't even make it to the stage where he is now--beginning rehab. The wording was a bit murky, though.
Well, I guess Raffy's a pretty good actor. His denial before Congress was supposed to be quite a performance, although I don't actually remember it right now.
I personally think this will sink his HoF chances.
WWSH
I'm inclined to agree about the HoF. His performance has been pretty underrated by many (never had a "dominant" season. blah blah blah) to the point where he may have been a borderline HoF. Now... who knows.