Here it is a review of the 71-91 Dodgers. Watch your step. (Explanations for the various acronyms appear at the bottom.)
| Catcher | PA | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | Rate2 | VORP |
|---|
| Dioner Navarro | 199 | .729 | 96 | .264 | 98 | 9.7 |
| Jason Phillips | 434 | .650 | 73 | .230 | 86 | 2.3 |
| Paul Bako | 47 | .662 | 81 | .250 | 111 | 1.2 |
| Mike Rose | 46 | .586 | 56 | .205 | 68 | -0.7 |
Navarro emerged as the clear choice here, with the only question being what will happen once Russell Martin reaches the majors.
Phillips turned 29 as he finished his second consecutive poor season. On the theory that an organization should have three catchers ready to play,
Bako might be worth resigning, though it might already make sense for Navarro and Martin to play 81 games apiece in the majors. If people believe Bako would be a good tutor, I'm willing to listen - but isn't that what coaches are for? Tampa Bay claimed
Rose claimed on waivers after he failed to emerge as a reliable backup in Los Angeles, offensively or defensively.
| First base | PA | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | RF (9.64) | Rate2 | VORP |
|---|
| Olmedo Saenz | 352 | .804 | 113 | .276 | 9.08 | 83 | 16.7 |
| Hee-Seop Choi | 368 | .789 | 110 | .274 | 10.29 | 95 | 14.0 |
| Brian Myrow | 25 | .610 | 68 | .239 | 6.74 | 76 | -0.1 |
In the end, the offensive numbers of
Saenz and
Choi almost matched with Choi the more reliable defensive player (by statistic as well as by observation, if you ever saw Saenz around the bag). Saenz turned 35 in October and would be smart to move to the American League. One presumes that Choi will get his shot under a Paul DePodesta-hired manager, unless DePodesta has some major tricks up his sleeve.
Myrow is 29 and a fringe pinch-hitter candidate at best, even if the Dodgers don't acquire another left-handed hitting bat.
| Second Base | PA | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | RF (4.98) | Rate2 | VORP |
|---|
| Jeff Kent | 637 | .889 | 136 | .306 | 5.27 | 95 | 60.5 |
Simply a fantastic season for
Kent, his best since 2002. He turns 38 in Spring Training and a decline seems inevitable unless, ironically, he mirrors Barry Bonds' late-30s improvement. In any case, his bat is of tremendous value at second base, especially if the Dodgers remain without power at third.
| Shortstop | PA | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | RF (4.51) | Rate2 | VORP |
|---|
| Oscar Robles | 399 | .700 | 88 | .244 | 4.28 | 101 | 7.1 |
| Cesar Izturis | 478 | .624 | 68 | .222 | 4.61 | 108 | 0.7 |
Both these guys had better seasons than Alex Cora, but that's about all you can say that's both good and relevant.
Robles is steady in the field and not hopeless at the plate, but unless he's a No. 8 hitter, you're stretching him.
Izturis probably deserves a mulligan for being hurt - his EQA in 2004 was .253 and could conceivably provide a midseason infusion when he returns from surgery.
| Third Base | PA | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | RF (2.77) | Rate2 | VORP |
|---|
| Antonio Perez | 287 | .758 | 104 | .274 | 2.90 | 96 | 15.7 |
| Willy Aybar | 105 | .901 | 143 | .325 | 2.64 | 89 | 11.4 |
| Mike Edwards | 258 | .639 | 71 | .227 | 2.38 | 87 | -2.2 |
| Jose Valentin | 184 | .591 | 62 | .231 | 3.04 | 91 | -4.5 |
| Norihiro Nakamura | 41 | .350 | -6 | -.039 | 3.00 | 115 | -5.1 |
Perez emulated Choi's 2004 finish, going 15 for 77 (.194) with three extra-base hits (including the one against Pedro Martinez) and seven walks in limited playing time after August 1. He will have to work to have Jose Offerman's career and not Wilton Guerrero's, and has been supplanted by
Aybar among the powerless Dodger third-base candidates.
Were it not for the fact that he had one at-bat in August. Aybar might have been one of the top September callups in Dodger history. His OPS was not batting-average dependent he drew more walks than Edwards and Jason Repko in fewer than half the plate appearances. Anecdotally, his extra-base this came from doubles down the line and not deep balls in the gaps, so it remains to be seen whether there's any power there.
Edwards had no business taking innings from Perez Edwards had some nice hits here and there, but it's not as if he looked good in the field at all. Valentin had more walks than hits. By virtue of his glove, Nakamura probably deserved more than 16 percent of Edwards' at-bats, but unlike with Scott Erickson, DePodesta decided to land this flyer before the crash got too big.
| Left Field | PA | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | RF (1.94) | Rate2 | VORP |
|---|
| Ricky Ledee | 266 | .778 | 107 | .275 | 1.34 | 87 | 12.3 |
| Jayson Werth | 395 | .711 | 91 | .262 | 2.27 | 103 | 8.7 |
| Chin-Feng Chen | 8 | .500 | 35 | .163 | 1.64 | 101 | -0.5 |
| Jason Grabowski | 124 | .495 | 33 | .173 | 1.69 | 90 | -8.5 |
Ledee satisfies one's needs for a reserve outfielder, but the Dodgers need to do better in the starting lineup.
Werth doubled his doubles but halved his homers from 2004 to 2005. Thanks to his speed, he's about a league average offensive player but at a position that demands above-average offense. Right now, he rates as a No. 7 hitter in the lineup.
Chen finally got his first major-league hit, but his minor-league stats were his worst since 2001, perhaps out of boredom and frustration.
Grabowski seems like a nice guy. He's a potential 20-home run hitter the way Rob Deer was a 30-home-run hitter. But there's too much dead space between those home runs.
| Center Field | PA | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | RF (2.51) | Rate2 | VORP |
|---|
| Milton Bradley | 316 | .835 | 121 | .290 | 2.68 | 109 | 23.7 |
| Jason Repko | 301 | .665 | 76 | .237 | 2.53 | 108 | 0.1 |
| Jose Cruz, Jr. (ARI) | 245 | .783 | 101 | .268 | 1.91 | 86 | 7.3 |
On the field,
Bradley has been a fine center fielder. He's more of a streak hitter than people seem to realize he had one month of .517 OPS mixed in with two months of .900 or better. His anger doesn't hurt the Dodgers. He is sincere in his commitment to the community. His physical and personal issues keep his salary down. He has only played more than 101 games once in his career. If the Dodgers take a stand against him based on the domestic violence issues that surround him and to be clear, the 911 tapes neither convicted nor exonerated him they have to be willing to take that stand against quality players for crimes such as drunk driving. Long a supporter of Bradley before reconsidering amid the domestic violence reports, I am coming back to the idea of checking to see whether another one-year deal like that of 2005 is viable but in all likelihood, this will be a place where DePodesta does invite his owner's and/or his future manager's direct input. If Bradley somehow does return, a move to a corner outfield spot is possible.
A comparison between Repko and Werth illustrates the difference between mediocre and completely replaceable. As Grabowski proved in 2004, one month with four or five home runs does not a major-leaguer make. Repko does have a future as a bench player, but ideally a new Dodger acquisition would push him back to the minors at least on Opening Day. Cruz mainly played center field before joining the Dodgers this year it was apparently his defense that got him in trouble there. The Arizona stats remind us not to get carried away with his nice late-season Dodger run, but also show the damage that can harm all a player's numbers when he plays through pain.
| Right Field | PA | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | RF (2.10) | Rate2 | VORP |
|---|
| J.D. Drew | 311 | .932 | 148 | .323 | 2.03 | 104 | 31.0 |
| Jose Cruz, Jr. (LA) | 179 | .923 | 145 | .314 | 2.53 | 108 | 17.6 |
| Cody Ross | 26 | .392 | 6 | .092 | 2.41 | 118 | -2.8 |
Remember way back when people considered
Drew a disappointment even when he was playing. Ludicrous. The guy is an expert with the bat, and if the problem is that he is selective at the plate, go cry to Ted Williams. Drew remains a better defensive outfielder than Shawn Green, but keep an eye out for slippage. (Drew's left wrist, broken on a hit-by-pitch in July, will not need surgery, according to Allison Ann Otto of the
Press-Enterprise.) It's a testament to how amazing
Cruz was in Los Angeles that he matched Drew's OPS even with the Drew-like slow start. Cruz is older than Drew and almost as beaten up his Dodger future mainly depends on how popular he is to other teams, though he would seem to want to return.
Ross is not this bad, but that doesn't mean he would even leapfrog Repko.
| Starting Pitching | IP | H/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | HR/9 | VORP | ERA | RA+ |
|---|
| Brad Penny | 175.3 | 9.50 | 2.10 | 6.26 | 0.87 | 31.2 | 3.90 | 1.10 |
| Jeff Weaver | 224.0 | 8.84 | 1.73 | 6.31 | 1.41 | 28.5 | 4.22 | 0.98 |
| Derek Lowe | 222.0 | 9.04 | 2.23 | 5.92 | 1.14 | 25.3 | 3.61 | 0.96 |
| Odalis Perez | 108.7 | 9.03 | 2.32 | 6.13 | 1.08 | 8.7 | 4.56 | 0.90 |
Baaseball-Reference.com has the 2005 Dodger Stadium park factor at 96, favoring pitchers just as it has in the past. So once again, we must review pitching statistics guardedly. All four principal starters had fine control, but none could avoid getting hit. Because he kept the ball in the park at least until the final month or so Penny emerges as the Dodgers' only above-average starter. His value is mainly "where would they be without him?" because he is barely above-average overall and his strikeout numbers are borderline for an elite pitcher.
Weaver, it bears noting, was below average even with his second-half resurgence. He allowed homers at an ungodly rate strange because his career HR/9 is 1.0. Though Tracy often left Weaver in games inexplicably long, Weaver did allow 29 of his homers in the first 90 pitches.
Lowe had to work at the end to make his numbers respectable.
Perez had a remarkably unremarkable season. Not anyone's idea of a strikeout pitcher unless his arm gets a second wind, we'll have to find out if he's able to pitch smart.
This is a staff of pitchers that will give you six innings a game but put great pressure on your offense. Re-signing Weaver at market rates is pointless his innings should be replaced with a cheap veteran. Better to pay $2 million for five decent innings than $10 million for six.
| Swingmen | IP | H/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | HR/9 | VORP | ERA | RA+ |
|---|
| Derek Thompson | 18.0 | 8.00 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 0.00 | 4.2 | 3.50 | 1.25 |
| Elmer Dessens | 65.7 | 8.63 | 2.60 | 5.07 | 0.82 | 10.5 | 3.56 | 1.07 |
| D.J. Houlton | 129.0 | 10.12 | 3.63 | 6.28 | 1.47 | 1.1 | 5.16 | 0.80 |
| Wilson Alvarez | 24.0 | 11.62 | 2.62 | 6.00 | 2.62 | -0.2 | 5.62 | 0.78 |
| Scott Erickson | 55.3 | 10.08 | 4.07 | 2.44 | 1.95 | -2.7 | 6.02 | 0.73 |
| Jonathan Broxton | 13.7 | 8.56 | 7.90 | 14.49 | 0.00 | -2.6 | 5.93 | 0.61 |
| Edwin Jackson | 28.7 | 9.73 | 5.34 | 4.08 | 0.63 | -4.2 | 6.28 | 0.64 |
Thompson would probably have gotten a second look in August or September if he hadn't re-injured himself he was wild but showed promise. He is now a free agent but would likely return to the organization.
Dessens continues to cement a reputation as someone who is good when not overused. Hard to imagine he could command much more than his $1.3 million mutual team-player option for 2006 on the open market or find a better pitching environment so he may well return.
Houlton works with the point with Weaver above. Weaver is probably the better pitcher, but not by an enormous amount wouldn't it make more sense to put Houlton in the rotation at about $400,000 and spend $9 million somewhere demonstrably better? Why did
Alvarez retire with a year left on his contract, but not Darren Dreifort? Because Alvarez was hurt enough to be ineffective but not hurt enough to be out for the season. And perhaps because Dreifort, like the Angels' Tim Salmon, will try one more comeback so that he can go out, as Alvarez did, on his own terms.
Erickson lost out in his quest to notch more home runs than strikeouts allowed. Broxton pitched in relief in the majors in 2005, but he started much of his minor-league career and could be considered a dark horse for the 2006 rotation, which desperately needs someone of his strikeout abilities (though his walk numbers are bizarrely high). And Jackson, well, I'm not ready to give up despite his tough times. But for all the publicity his mental approach has gotten, it's not clear that his problems are not physical.
| Relief Pitching | IP | H/9 | BB/9 | SO/9 | HR/9 | VORP | ERA | RA+ |
|---|
| Eric Gagne | 13.3 | 6.75 | 2.03 | 14.85 | 1.35 | 4.2 | 2.70 | 1.63 |
| Duaner Sanchez | 82.0 | 8.23 | 3.95 | 7.79 | 0.88 | 14.2 | 3.73 | 1.11 |
| Giovanni Carrara | 75.7 | 7.73 | 4.52 | 6.66 | 0.71 | 11.3 | 3.93 | 1.05 |
| Franquelis Osoria | 29.7 | 8.49 | 2.43 | 4.55 | 0.91 | 4.1 | 3.94 | 1.03 |
| Kelly Wunsch | 23.7 | 7.61 | 5.32 | 8.37 | 0.76 | 2.5 | 4.56 | 0.96 |
| Steve Schmoll | 46.7 | 9.06 | 4.24 | 5.59 | 0.77 | -0.5 | 5.01 | 0.79 |
| Yhency Brazoban | 72.7 | 8.67 | 3.96 | 7.56 | 1.36 | -1.6 | 5.33 | 0.77 |
| Hong-Chih Kuo | 5.3 | 8.44 | 8.44 | 16.88 | 1.69 | -0.7 | 6.75 | 0.65 |
| Buddy Carlyle | 14.0 | 10.29 | 2.57 | 8.36 | 2.57 | -4.4 | 8.36 | 0.53 |
Let's hope they got the medical stuff right with
Gagne.
Sanchez increased his strikeout rate 61 percent from 2004 to 2005 it'd be nice to know why.
Carrara, frankly, surprises me to have numbers this strong. A 1.62 ERA in September helped. Turning 38 in 2006, he's not likely to be an asset.
Osoria appears a dangerous pitcher to fall in love with his strikeout numbers are so low. But he allowed only three homers in 55 innings in Las Vegas, and had a groundout/flyout ratio of 3.29 with the Dodgers.
Wunsch, now a free agent, is a pitcher who does well against lefties, and it's not entirely clear that the Dodgers have enough of those. He could make a difference in a tight game. If the Dodgers can find 11 pitchers better than him, great we'll see how the offseason goes.
Schmoll won a lot of hearts in April but was very inconsistent. He should have to earn his spot again next year.
Brazoban, as disappointing as he was, seems a better bet.
Kuo has Dreifort's ability but will have to prove he doesn't have Dreifort's medical future.
Carlyle is the 2005 Dodger pitching version of Cody Ross: a borderline player with a chance to contribute, who just didn't.
Current Lineup
Aybar, 3B
Choi, 1B
Bradley, RF
Drew, CF
Kent, 2B
Navarro, C
Cruz, LF (free agent)
Robles, SS
Current Rotation
Penny
Lowe
Perez
Houlton
Billingsley/Jackson/Broxton
Logical Priorities
1. A 155-game, .875-OPS outfielder.
2. A 220-inning, 3.25-ERA pitcher.
3. A backup (or frontup) plan on the left side of the infield in case Aybar-Robles can't cut it.
PA: plate appearances
OPS: on-base percentage plus slugging percentage
OPS+: OPS relative to the league average, accounting for park factors, with 100 being average
EQA: According to Baseball Prospectus, EQA is "a measure of total offensive value per out, with corrections for league offensive level, home park, and team pitching. EQA considers batting as well as baserunning, but not the value of a position player's defense." The average is .260.
RF: Range factor on defense, with league average at the given position in parentheses.
Rate 2: According to Baseball Prospectus, "a way to look at the fielder's rate of production.
A player with a rate of 110 is 10 runs above average per 100 games.
Rate2 incorporates adjustments for league difficulty and normalizes defensive statistics over time."
VORP: Value Over Replacement Player, or the number of runs contributed (for pitchers, prevented) beyond what a replacement-level player at the same position would if given the same percentage of appearances.
IP: innings pitched
H/9: hits allowed per nine innings
BB/9: walks allowed per nine innings
SO/9: strikeouts per nine innings
HR/9: home runs allowed per nine innings
ERA: earned run average
RA+: Runs (earned and unearned) allowed relative to a league average of 1.00, taking park factors into account.
Statistics courtesy of Baseball-Reference, Baseball Prospectus and ESPN.com.
vr, Xei
I would guess that the Dodgers would have to offer much more than the Yanks to pry him away, so add another year an 12M to that contract and you're paying Matsui almost 50M for 4 years. I'd be down so long as he didn't pull a Fred McGriff.
Just give me Giles.
Jon, great job. My only comment right now is: How did Drew and Cruz post the same OPS in the same ballpark and end up with different OPS+ numbers?
All due respect, that is incorrect.
Much more than this garbage on the Dodgers "strange managerial search" on Scout.com (http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=citadel-2_455035_283&prov=citadel&type=story) which is full of mistakes and strikes entirely the wrong tone.
But anyway... back to the team... I agree with the needs. The manager to be will have some say in who stays and who they need, I presume, too.
I'm still not convinced Houlton's any more than a "hold your breath and hope for 5" kind of pitcher, but you're right that overpaying for Weaver won't make much sense (although he is an innings eater). But can they rely on him. They need one frontline dangerous pitcher, a potential Oswalt out there somewhere? Maybe one of their kids can come through as such in a year or 2... But they have money to spend this time and I'd guess a one big FA signing (and maybe only one given the thin pool), and one trade is what we'll see.
Seems like Navarro and Bako to start, Martin to come up later, at C. And hopefully the Jason Phillips experiment is over.
Thanks again.
udog
Sexy/risky/expensive/tough to pry loose:
Jenkins or Lee MIL
Dunn CIN
ManRam BOS
ARod or Sheff NYY
Abreu or Burrell PHI
Avail, though probably not a fit:
Wells TOR
Hunter MIN
Delgado FLA
Less sexy, more attainable:
Wilkerson or Guillen WAS
Mench TEX
Nixon BOS
Possible options:
Austin Kearns - The Reds have their heads up their asses and don't know what to do with him; could be had in a trade. However he doesn't fit the health requirment.
Reggie Sanders - A free agent, I don't know if the Cards want him back/he wants to return.
Matt Lawton - Not quite the hitter the Dodgers need, but he's an option nonetheless.
2. A 220-inning, 3.25-ERA pitcher.
This is gonna be the hardest to find of course.
Kevin Millwood - Going to want a ton of money.
AJ Burnett - Too expensive, too injury prone.
Jarrod Washburn - Would be a nice coup to sign him away from the Angels, but bidding might be too high.
Paul Byrd - The smartest move perhaps. He's not going to command a lot of money, and he's realtively healthy.
Matt Morris - Could wind up being one the outside in big contract musical chairs, ala Millwood last year. He's dropped off the past two years, but he gives you innings.
3. A backup (or frontup) plan on the left side of the infield in case Aybar-Robles can't cut it.
Bill Mueller - Is a free agent and the Red Sox don't need to bring him back. The only option out there for 3B that would be a starter.
Wes Helms wouldn't be a bad backup/platoon option. Joe Randa is out there too, but I don't see him as a realistic option.
Besides, didn't they place him on waivers 2 years ago?
One other possibility could be Soriano for Manny though.
-------------
Yeah, but what pitching? The BEST-case scenario for Boston would be replacing Manny with A.J. Burnett, which would result in the Sox moving from second place to third, or perhaps fourth.
I have no doubt the Red Sox will explore Manny trades, but I also don't think they'll just give him away without getting good value in return.
20M w/ 11 going to Burnett/Millwood and 9 going to ______.
It's harder for me to assume that the BoSox would be worse off w/o Manny.
How much of his $19M would Boston have to cover? $7M?
Plus Papi is due for an extension/big-time raise.
Hunter wouldn't require much. He's getting on in years, is expensive, and is coming off a major injury.
Kevin Millwood is a free agent.
Probably, not necessarily - and I'm sure GMs explore every possibility.
Texas included $9M per year to move ARod.
Because NYY had no prospects. Dodgers do.
Now you have to pay full market value for him, and I still see him as an injury question mark.
If we can't accomplish that, then I'd tell DePo to reverse course, trade Kent for some OF and pitching prospects, trade Navarro for more of the same (his trade value must be off the charts), trade Perez just to get him outta my face, and tell the fans, it's a rebuilding year, watch our kids grow. Penny, Drew and Gagne might get frustrated, but it will pay off in the years to come, and they might enjoy being part of the rebound. Or, if it looks like they're going to bolt, trade them at deadline time for some more 2007 pieces.
We won't have to worry about Plaschke or Keisser anymore; their heads will simply explode.
Of course, I'm hopeful that a sell-off won't be needed. But be prepared for DePo to have to overpay (in dollars, not prospects) for the pieces we need if we're going to compete in '06.
Dodgers reportedly interested in giving Nomar a one year deal. That's probably a good risk.
http://tinyurl.com/aro6u
Nomar is nowhere near as good a hitter as the general public thinks he is, but he's still probably a better option than anything else.
And if he breaks, we have Aybar.
And if Bradley is let go, Cruz/Werth/Ledee should be able to cover his production to a certain extent, but a thumper is absolutely required in that situation.
I pray that Gagne will teach Jackson how to strike somebody out and Billingsley will be ready by midseason. Is Ted Lilly a free agent?
Plus there's the whole California native/McCourt Red Sox fetish angle. Makes too much sense not to happen.
-----------
-Nomar has a good season.
-Dodgers make playoffs, Nomar becomes L.A.'s darling. You thought the fans liked Lima?
-Plaschke et al take DePo to the rack to resign Nomar.
-McCourt caves, orders DePo to give Nomar a long-term deal.
Other than that admittedly remote possiblilty, I can't really see a downside.
I'd love Giles but I don't know if he's a realistic option for the Dodgers. I hope he is.
Nice writeup Jon.
2005 could be the fourth year in a row that a Wild Card team becomes world champs. That fact is not being lost on teams like the Reds, Jays, Indians, Twins, Tigers, A's, Mariners, Rangers, Brewers... All these teams are buyers now, along with the Yankees, Bosox, Cardinals, Padres and Angels, who don't want to slip.
To be able to dangle Jeff Kent, Dioner Navarro, Milt Bradley, Jason Werth, Odalis Perez or Eric Gagne as trade bait into this kind of market, the Dodgers might be able to stock up and make the 2007-and-beyond era period really interesting.
To try to do the reverse, and build our not-quite-solid enough core into a contender might be too much of a stretch. We could overpay like mad, and still fall well short of meeting all the Dodgers' needs.
Jon: disagree somewhat on Drew. He's sabermetrically correct, but his two-out and RISP hitting approaches were simply terrible this year. That is, there was a reason to be unhappy with his performance; it wasn't just something manufactured. That said, past performance is likely to be caused by (a) the jitters which seem to happen to lots of free agents in the first year of a big contract, and/or (b) small sample size (55 AB produced .218/.370/.364 in RISP situations this year). He will get better.
1. Aybar/Perez platoon, 2B
2. Bradley, CF
3. Drew, RF
4. Ramirez, LF
5. Garciaparra, 3B
6. Choi, 1B
7. Navarro, C
8. Robles/Izturis, SS
With Lowe, Ramirez, and Nomar on the team, I'm sure McCourt would be pleased.
Drew was very close to being completely successful. In only 55 AB, just four more hits would raise that batting average to .291, which everyone would find acceptable, I think.
Beyond that, it seems likely, even on the small sample size, that teams pitched around Drew with RISP. Should Drew chase pitches out of the strike zone? Is that likely to be very helpful?
As it stands, he provides good production at two positions the Dodgers need help: short and third. He can play short until Izturis comes back, and then hand the job over in the mid season.
I know in government and publicly traded businesses, you don't tend to do that.
Arod's deal courtesy of http://www.mlb4u.com/nyy.html
- + will make 22M in 2001, 2002, 2003 and 2004 and then 26M in both 2005 and 2006 and then 27M in 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010
- + Bonuses he can receive for awards: 1st MVP: 500K 2nd: 1M 3rd+: 1.5M; MVP Voting 2-5: 200K MVP Voting 6-10: 100K; All-Star selection: 100K; Top Vote Getter in All-Star: 100K; Media Awards/All-Star Selections: 100K; WS MVP-200K; LCS MVP-150K; DS MVP-150K; Gold Glove-100K; Silver Slugger-100K
- + - + bonuses he has earned: 100K for 2005 All-Star selection
- + he can void deal after 2007, 2008 or 2009
- + he has a guaranteed salary increase for 2009 and 2010 by the higher of the following: 5M or 1M greater than average annual value of the position player w/ highest annual average salary
- + 5M of 2001 salary is deferred and 4M each year of 2002, 2005, 2006, and 2007 salaries deferred - + 3M of 2003, 2004, 2008, 2009 and 2010 salaries deferred at 1.75% interest and paid each June 15 between 2016-25
- + the 36M in deferred money became an assignment bonus after trade to the NYY from TEX, which is paid: 5M + interest in 2016, 4M + interest in 2017 and 3M + interest in both 2018 and 2019, then 4M + interest in 2020, 2021 and 2022, and then finally 3M + interest in 2023, 2024, and 2025
- + Texas pays a total of 67M of his salaries from 2004 to 10: 3M in 2004, 6M in both 2005 and 2006, 7M in 2007, 8M in 2008, 7M in 2009 and 6M in 2010
Manny's deal:
Manny Ramirez: 8-year worth 160M- will make 18.067M in 2005, 19M in 06, 18M in 07 and 20M in 08- deal includes 2009 and 2010 Team Options worth 20M- + 3M of 2001 salary deferred and 4M of 2002 thru 2008-
If we could get him from the Braves--trade Kent, trade from our surplus of pitching prospects, whatever, I'd be willing to give up solid talent to get him, he's only 27 or 28--it would put us in a great position to sign his brother Brian Giles.
Other than that,he'll probably provide power at 3B for the 75 games that he'd be able to play.
If you are really looking for a Black manager, you would give Davey Lopes a call but he's still waiting by the phone.
Jerry Royster is black. What a stupid article.
He's definitely got a Portuguese name.
That's about all you can say definitively.
But I'm sure he's been dead a long time.
Anyway, I skipped that link the first time around, but after looking at it now... holy cow. He's like Plaschke except without any writing ability whatsoever.
-------------------
Factual errors in bold:
"The Dodger's search for a new manager has taken a number of unusual twists and according to General Manager Paul DePodesta, perhaps a dozen or more candidates are still waiting in the wings. The latest candidate, Atlanta's Terry Pendleton, declined an offer to interview, saying he didn't want to leave his native Georgia. Yet he did interview for the Tampa Bay job. Well, that is closer to Atlanta.
So the Dodgers had a manager with a full year left on his contract leave the club to manage Pittsburgh (Pittsburgh?) and a candidate who would rather interview for the Tampa Bay (Tampa Bay?) job than for the Dodger position, once the premier post in the National League.
Which brings one to ask, why would anyone want to take he rudder of a ship that is careening wildly across the National League West without a sail, a compass or a map?
The club dumped Jim Tracy who had been as successful as anyone could possibly be, considering the conditions he had to work under. He apparently would not used the players he was ordered to use (Hee-Seop Choi, Antonio Perez) because of their obvious weaknesses -- Choi didn't hit and Perez could not catch the ball.
Of course, a general manager should be able to build an organization that feels comfortable to him, but the Dodgers have changed GMs as easily as Brittany Spears changes husbands, with the resulting "this is my people" changing right along with them.
So tell me, why would you want to manage a club in such disarray, knowing when (not if) things went south, you would be hung out to dry like Tracy was?
So our five basic candidates are 55-year-old Bobby Valentine, championed by Tom Lasorda in a campaign that has lasted for more than a few years; unknown qualities like Giants bench Ron Wotus and minor leaguer Torey Lovullo; and former major league rejects Terry Collins and Jerry Royster*,*
Pendleton's rapid retreat from the pending interview does not seem too important since it seemed as if he was the obligatory African-American candidate insisted upon by the owner's main man Bud Selig.
If you are really looking for a Black manager, you would give Davey Lopes a call but he's still waiting by the phone.
Dodger fans are salivating in anticipation of Kirk Gibson or perhaps Orel Hershiser -- very darkhorses at best -- taking over the stumbling team. But you can not comprehend either of those strong-minded men signing on to be only a guy in the dugout who plays the lineup sent down from the front office.
Don't mistake what was just said: Both Gibby and Bulldog would be superb in the skippers seat. But, as any good manager must be, each is his own man and would be hard-put to be merely a liaison to the executive suite.
And of course, there is the problem of the team itself.
To improve, the club must spend some money on free agents, an action that the general manager and/or the owner seems loath to do, despite their protestations, or make a trade for the needed parts."
- Manny. Boston would probably let a team take him for nothing in return if it meant getting rid of all, or at least nearly all, of his contract. If Drew is worth $11M, isn't Manny worth $18-20? And Manny is durable, which is a must for any potential OF. Honestly, if taking Manny's contract was all we did this offseason, I'd be happy, because I think it would make us contenders.
- I'd be happy with Cruz or Werth at an OF corner if we had at least durable big-time hitter at another spot, which we don't. Cruz must be a free agent, right? I'm not sure a researve OF is worht $4.5M/year, but given Bradley and Drew's healthy history, it might not be a bad idea. I would probably offer him arbitration though. Certainly those two would be the top 4th/5th OF combination in baseball.
- Matsui will get a lot of money, probably 4/50 or so. It might be worth it. He's a great hitter and 100% durable. Besides, as we've all seen with Nomo, a popular Japanese player brings in a lot of money himself, which offsets a lot of the contract cost. I think Ichiro is probably a $20M+ player because of this. So I wouldn't complain if we overpayed for Matsui.
- Giles doesn't excite me. Not exactly a spotless health history with him. Pass.
- Nomar has been rumored to like LA for a while now. We basically need a 1 year solution on the left side of the infield, and he looks to be in line for another 1 year deal, so it seems like a decent fit to me.
- I've already said this before, but if getting Dunn takes a ton of prospects, that's fine with me. IF we can get him without giving up Billingsley and Guzman, do it. LaRoche's stock, in my opinion, if never going to be higher. Throw him and a pitcher at Cinci and see if they bite.
- I think DePo has to seriously consider that we will end up having to trade for a OF that can hit, because I don't see any of the free agents as likely.
Of course, asking him the time is also a good way to get your head bitten off.
"Dodger fans are salivating in anticipation of Kirk Gibson or perhaps Orel Hershiser -- very darkhorses at best -- taking over the stumbling team"
If youve ever heard Louis Black's old standup special on Comdedy Central, he talks about stupid statments and how they are the real cause of anyuerisms; he's talking about statements like "very darkhorses at best". wow
This scares me.
I keep reading that we might contact Kirk Gibson. I guess I always assumed it was because he would be Trammell's choice for a hitting coach and DePo wanted to make sure they would be on the same page. The fact that Gibson keeps coming up tells me that Trammell is among the favorites to get the job. Though I could be wrong.
Of the potential LF solutions, I think Manny is the best one, assuming that we can really give up very little in return in exchange for taking on most if not all of his salary. If we have that kind of money to spend, then I definitely think we should use it.
As for starters, with the free agent market so thin, I'd be willing to go into April with what we have now and a few bargain veterans, hoping that either a has-been or a prospect pans out. If not, we can always make a move at mid-season--none of the current first-rank options like Burnett or Millwood looks terribly desirable.
WWSH
Abe and I have the same last name. That makes me sad.
Astros Runs/Game: 4.25
Dodgers Runs/Game: 4.23
Astros record when scoring exactly 3 runs: 12-10
Dodgers record when scoring exactly 3 runs: 3-19 (last year 10-9)
Number of pitchers on Dodgers comparable to Clemens, Pettite, Oswalt, and Lidge: 1 and only for a few weeks.
While that's probably true, I doubt the purposes of the Dodgers Marketing Department would be suited by signing a bad player to a big contract, thereby increasing the likelihood of a losing season.
Or was it a TRO? Did a higher court lift it? Did it go all the way up to the Supreme Court because of its extreme Federal significance?
Ultimately, that won't pay off much.
Everybody knows the Twins most valuable outfielder is Shannon Stewart. He would have been the AL MVP twice over in Jayson Stark's world.
Nomar would certainly throw a wrench in that plan, though.
It's fun to speculate, but won't the manager come first?
He could also go by Hee Seop or Heeseop. There isn't a standard.
So sayeth my Korean boss, who just runs both names together in her case.
Especially if Russell Martin makes the team, as well as Mike Rose and Edwin Jackson as call ups.
I would like to throw Julio Lugo's name into the ring if we are talking about replacements at SS. Quietly he had a better offensive season than Furcal and is much more durable than Nomar. Defensively, the metrics claim hes as good as Izturis (above average), but not as good as Furcal, who easily deserves the Gold Glove this year. He's currently the property of Tampa Bay, which is why his performance went under the radar and currently has one team option ($4.95m) year on his contract left before free agency. Now, even though he's been trending upwards the past couple years, its unlikely that he'll match 2005 offensive numbers, but he should come close with something like 285/340/400, huge compared to Izturis or Robles.
I think he adds some speed to the roster and is a good stolen base %'s. Im not saying he's the best option, but considering the risks with the other options (performance-robles, price-furcal, durability-nomar) I think that for the right trade (I'm assuming TB would pick-up his option, but this is TB we're talking bout), he would be nice option. opinions?
It's funny. Somtimes he seems dumb from the way he is covered in the media, but he most certainly wasn't to me back then. Of course, this would have been in the '80s. And all I need to do for prespective is look at a picture of myself. :-)
--------
Speaking of Marketing Department Wet Dreams
Presenting the Domestic Violence all-stars!
Leading off and playing shortsop, Julio Lugo!
Batting second and playing center field, Milton Bradley!
The starting pitcher, warming up in the bullpen, Scott Erickson!
In Lugo's case the charge is not in dispute, either. As I recall, he slammed his wife's head into her car hood in front of witnesses.
However, Venezuelan Spanish is really hard for me to pick up. There was a Venezuelan woman I worked with here and when she would go into Spanish, I felt like I was getting hit by a torrent of words. And I think Guillen is probably from a much different economic class than the woman I worked with.
This is from the previous thread. I understand Wotus has a thin line to walk, but isn't this exactly wrong. The Giants and their AARP line-up are built to win now. We have more of a "still in diapers" line-up which although may contend in an awful division, is still two years away.
It really bothers me that I can't come up with a good acronym based on the POTUS/FLOTUS used for the president and first lady. There just aren't enough words that start with 'W', I guess. So for that reason alone, he's got a strike against him in my book.
Which, as a web content editor myself, causes me to furrow my brow so much I'm temporarily blinded.
Anyway...
I wouldn't be at all surprised to see the CF-desperate Yanks make a move for Hunter, too. We should stay out of those stakes. Bradley or whoever, and Drew, and then we just need one more real solid LF and we're okay, I think.
Uh, can we get Beltre back (along with Wallach?) Maybe Wallach can play 3rd if needed.
Oh, never mind.
119 - Has anybody explored the Lotus Flower direction for good ol' Ron?
Wittle Wonnie Wotus Fwower?
WWWF??
Also, when I went to Vero Beach this year I picked up this Dodger newspaper -- I forget the name, but the articles in it were equally awful in terms of content and style. It wouldn't shock me a bit if scout.com was just publishing their content.
My dad actually has a subscription to their site and reads their Dodger articles, which he sends me sometimes. They're horribly, horribly written and edited, but they also have by far the best coverage of Dodger minor leaguers out there -- far more extensive than even Baseball America.
For example, a few weeks ago they had an article listing all the Dodger players who were sent to Fall Instructional League and the specific aspect of the game that each player was supposed to work on.
They also have lots of feature articles on minor league players, so if you want to know everything there is to know about, say, Trayvon Robinson or Sergio Pedroza, that's the place to go.
None of this, of course, mitigates the poor excuse for journalism that is the Yeager article. Nor does it excuse their consistently sloppy writing and editing. But the site is not useless.
No more so than me wanting the Sox to lose because Guillen practices Santeria. Blecch.
--------
Hey, I like this game. Do I get to root against Phil Garner because he's a Southern Baptist?
I don't know if petty if the right word for it though.
He made a terrible manager but has always been well-respected as a pitching coach.
Or, if you're Henry Kissinger: Weltanschaung of the United States?
And wasn't W's father once regarded as the Wimp of the United States?
50 I'm not dying to trade Dioner Navarro. He's one of the few bright spots to emerge in 2005. But, gotta admit, his market value could not be higher right now. If you see '06 as a rebuilding year, you might be surprised what Navarro could get you. A young catcher, low priced, somewhat proven? There are not many of those. And, if we're contending in '06, a lot of these (can I say this?) wet dream players you guys are wishing for, could be pried loose in return for a Navarro.
Davey Lopes is the "son of an Irish mother and Cape Verdean father," according to this article from the Providence Journal (you may need to register to read it, or use bugmenot).
http://tinyurl.com/9aomx
Guest Editorial"
Guest editorial? Who IS he and why is he worthy of a guest editorial? Maybe "Abe Yeager" is the internet version of "Alan Smithee."
What Eric E said is true, it's why I've read them in the past - they do give a lot of coverage to minor leaguers (more than we probably need, but still), so it has value. Still, their editing is quite lazy. Maybe a few less minor leaguers covered (do we need to know all about the backup catcher in Ogden?) for a bit more care?
I always loved the irony of "An Alan Smithee Film/Burn, Hollywood, Burn" becoming an Alan Smithee film because the real director, like the one in the movie, took his name off the film.
http://tinyurl.com/dncmr
The only other reference on Google to an Abe Yeager is on a site some family has set up to highlight the doings of their toddler. This toddler, who lives in Washington, D.C., has a little friend named Abe Yeager. Perhaps he wrote the column.
http://www.jsonline.com/news/metro/apr02/36688.asp
During the Rockford Files era, Margolin was in this movie based on the Harry Kemelman novel - they filmed a lot of it on my street.
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0074772/
Now I'll drive Marty completely insane. He was also in:
"That Girl"
"Bewitched"
"The Monkees"
"MASH"
Now you're in theme song hell.
For a ballgame today
The fans are out to buy a ticket or two
From Walla Walla Washington to Kalamazoo
It's a beautiful day for a home run
Or even a triple's OK
We're gonna cheer and boo
And raise a hullabaloo
At the ballgame today!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cape_Verde
Besides, nothing can possibly be as bad as the theme from "The Love Boat", which undoubtedly Margolin also guested on.
Peter Gunn
Honeymooners
Get Smart
Simpsons
Branded (!)
Hill Street Blues
SWAT
Love, American Style,
Truer than the Red, White and Blue.
Love, American Style,
That's me and you.
And on a star spangled night my love, (My love come to me).
You can rest you head on my shoulder.
Out by the dawn's early light, my love
I will defend your right to try.
Love, American Style,
That's me and you.
Mission Impossible
Combat
A-Team
The Prisoner - Opening Theme
The Virginian (Ennio Morricone version)
Maverick (original version)
Thunderbirds
Ghost and Mrs. Muir
Marty mentioned "Branded." He's a genius. My brothers and I watched that show primarily because of the theme song:
Branded!
Something something something something
What do you do if you're branded,
And you know you're a man!
Here Come the Brides
Kolchak: The Night Stalker (Darren McGavin version, not the new one)
There at Bitter Creek.
And they say he ran away.
Branded, scorned as the one who ran.
What do you do when you're branded, and you know you're a man.
Wherever you go, for the rest of your life
You must prove, you're a man.
Full song (the above is the abbreviated TV version):
All but one man died,
There at Bitter Creek,
And they say he ran away ...
Branded!
Marked with a coward's shame.
What do you do when you're branded,
Well, you fight for your name?
He was innocent,
Not a charge was true,
But the world will never know ...
Branded!
Scorned as the one who ran.
What do you do when you're branded,
And you know you're a man?
And wherever you go
for the rest of your life
You must prove ...
You're a man!
Three's Company (by a wide margin)
Love American Style
L.A. Law
Mr. Ed
Nate, Hobos, where are you guys? I've gotta nominate "Guts", "Ren & Stimpy" and "Rocko's Modern Life" here, speak out against all these oldies!
Pretty much the definition of Blog :)
I miss Simon Oakland yelling at Darren McGavin.
Simon Oakland should have gotten a special Academy Award for "Psycho" as "Best Actor to have to stand up and do all the plot exposition at the end of the movie so we could figure out what we just saw."
http://tinyurl.com/7kk8a
I finally watched the weird remake of Psycho, word for word. Robert Forrester gave the Simon Oakland monologue.
vr, Xei
Connors couldn't pick out Rickey's voice (they were blindfolded), but he did acknowledge that Rickey signed him. Bennett Cerf guessed right. I think Rickey got $40. Knowing Rickey, he was sure to keep the $40.
On Connor's grave at San Fernando Mission Cemetery, there is a picture of him as "The Rifleman" along with logos for the Cubs, Dodgers, and Celtics.
178-- More Chuck Connors trivia; besides his brief MLB career,time with the PCL Angels,and brief NBA career, Connors acted as unofficial go-between when Drysdale/Koufax ended their spring '66 holdout.
A sports auction house just held an auction of memorabilia from Connors' estate. Among the items available were a couple of his Winchesters from the Rifleman.
Didn't Cowboy Bob Davidson call the game where Dodgers fans threw all those baseballs on the field?
I don't know if he's able to say "Joe West" without saying "Cowboy" before it.
Barney Miller (can't believe noone said it yet)
Rockford Files
Laverne and Shirley
(Scrubs is good too -- impressive to squeeze the theme into 15 seconds or whatever it is)
Those backups on the Sox are really bad: Willie Harris, Pablo Ozuna, Timo Perez, Chris Widger....
I actually like the theme for the U.S. version of The Office - a show that I love, by the way. Sorry, I know it sounds impossible or heretical, but I do think it's funnier than the original.