Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
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4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
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First, this bit of news: Kim Ng said at today's Ned Colletti press conference that she will stay with the Dodgers, according to MLB.com.
"I've been here for four years and I want to be part of it," said Ng. "There are a lot of good things happening here on the baseball side."
And so, a vote of confidence for the Dodgers, a vote that means a great deal to me.
* * *
I was listening to the audio from Colletti's press conference, and before getting into the specifics of what kind of general manager he might be, what came through was what a great moment this is for him - and I mean this in the best possible way. It's the kind of satisfying career achievement, after years of work, that most anyone can appreciate. Moreover, as he went on speaking, Colletti succeeded in displaying more humility in one interview than Jim Tracy displayed all year.
Certainly, Dodger owner Frank McCourt found him endearing.
"Ned and I hit it off," said McCourt, according to Ken Gurnick's recap. "We had chemistry immediately and that's a very good sign."
So, we have the pleasantries, which are very nice. Of course, they're meaningless. Did McCourt and Paul DePodesta not hit it off? Did McCourt and Gary Miereanu or Lon Rosen not hit it off? Good dinner conversation isn't going to mean much over the next two years, compared to wins and revenues.
(Quick digression: Is there any documentation of Colletti and Tommy Lasorda meeting? I assume it must have happened - but Lasorda appears to be keeping a lower profile now than he did in October. I still suspect Lasorda will get to sign off on the next Dodger manager. Because everyone seems to want someone with experience and past success, Orel Hershiser would seem to be off the list. And with Ng staying, I wonder what job the Dodgers can offer Hershiser. Will the movement to repopulate the front office with True Dodgers die off this quickly? Not that True Dodgers can't be born of imports - they just have to help the cause.)
Anyway, the hiring of Colletti is somewhat like the approval of a Supreme Court justice. People are projecting their own fears or desires onto Colletti based on scraps from his past, but I'm not sure any of us can really know how he'll act wearing the black robe until he throws it over his sport coat.
Speaking about chemistry, Colletti starts off in what to me is a progressive frame of mind, but then almost completely reverses direction:
"I think it's tough to have a terrible team and say, 'We've got great chemistry,' " Colletti said. "Chemistry is really a byproduct, I believe, of winning. Everybody's got a different approach. Jimmy Frey used to tell me, 'Chemistry is the next day's starting pitcher. Chemistry is a three-run homer in the eighth.'
"But chemistry is important, because chemistry is really the character of the people. That, to me, is vitally important. The last few years, the organization I was with, we were highly successful not because we had the highest payroll or because we had the greatest players, but we hand-picked who went to that club. We didn't just take anybody. And we probably passed on more talented players, statistically talented players, players that had more star power, more allure, but who at the end of the day weren't going to be able to withstand a whole season."
The dissonance within this quote is why I basically don't even want to spend the time trying to predict what Colletti will do. Colletti's former team relied on the Times Square 100,000-watt billboard version of a more talented player, a statistically talented player, a player that had more star power, more allure, but who at the end of the day wasn't going to be able to withstand a whole season, in Barry Bonds. The Giants would not have been the Giants without that player - as 87 losses in 2005 proved. The Giants endured Bonds and a secondary chemistry question mark in A.J. Pierzynski in 2004 (giving up key prospects like Joe Nathan and Francisco Liriano to get him) en route to winning 91 games - and finishing behind the Dodgers. So what does it all mean?
My sense is that Colletti will go after any guy he feels can help the Dodgers, and use his public relations skills and even his own persona to reposition that guy as a solution, not a problem. Colletti will do so with the same magic that overnight turned Jeff Kent into the most respected Dodger, according to Bill Plaschke of the Times, instead of the ill-fitting malcontent Kent supposedly was a year ago when DePodesta signed him.
I would be less concerned about Colletti seeking out a talentless saint nice guy than finding a guy who legitimately has something to contribute, but overpaying for him.
Hee Seop Choi will prove to be an interesting test case. I'm pretty sure Colletti said today that one of the Dodgers' needs was at a "corner of the infield," not corners - perhaps meaning third base. Still, Choi may not have a future as a Dodger - who in the organization will have his back now?
What's funny is that few players illustrate the fallacy of the character argument better than Choi. The guy is popular among the fans, popular among his teammates, humble, yet he's been a target of the "character" columnists since Day 1.
Amid the other needs of the organization, Colletti will see if he can do better than Choi at first base. He will see if he can use Choi to fulfill those other needs. And ultimately, he might decide that Choi is the best fit at first base for the 2006 Dodgers. But it just goes to show how wide open the possibilities are, particularly in an offseason with no surplus of quality in the free agent market.
There's just no way to know about Colletti yet. And though I used to be someone who would fear the worst so I could be pleasantly surprised, now I'd rather just sit back and wait for it to happen. I've already learned I don't know everything, and I'm not even 40 yet.
My closing thought is just that I still think DePodesta was treated very badly. And even with him gone, I'm not reassured that the dysfunction of the Dodger working environment has been solved, or even addressed. Ng's decision to remain a Dodger - as much as it may be predicated on her not wanting to job-hunt during the holidays - is as good a piece of news as any we've had today.
18-22 hours with the McCourts, talk about a tough interview.
Stan from Tacoma
I tend to picture denim cut-offs under those robes...
Colletti is prepared to join the dark side, and Colletti can't stand Sabean (who Mason or Ireland called a jackass). They're just messing around
Colletti wouldn't really answer a question regarding using his knowledge of Sabean and the Giants against them. He said Tracy could go against us just as easy
Colletti isn't worried about ending up like DePo. He said he asks a lot of questions (said this a few times). He claims he is not someone who can't read or understand the newspaper. He spent 5-6 hours with Frank last week, 9-10 on Monday, and 2-3 more with Jamie yesterday. He's not an introvert, that's for sure
He won't admit he's more traditional than DePo, but he did say he needs to know everything about a player before signing them, including how they live their lives. He made several comments that clearly go against Bradley
The Orel rumors are untrue according to Colletti. A new manager will be judged like a new player, then he started naming off the same things he said during the press conference.
Our farm system is "on the verge of being very good." What does that mean? He seems to like the prospects, but doesn't want the entire team to be rookies. A new manager must be open minded about rookies. Hopefully that means no Piniella or Baker. He will start his phone calls in the next hour or two, and hopes to have efveryone notified by tomorrow
He can't answer a question about payroll. He claims he's not being evasive. He brought up numerous expensive players to McCourt, and McCourt assured him he could get who he wanted. I wouldn't completely trust McCourt
Kent isn't really a leader, just a hard worker. He signed Kent originally because some other executives said he was going to be very good, despite being quiet, and wants as many Kents as possible
Man does he talk a lot.
I don't knwo the difference between Mason and Ireland, but one of them summed the interview up nicely, Colletti talked a long time and said nothing
Phillips likes Colletti, but doesn't think he can get things together. He was a rational choice based on what McCourt had left to choose from
I am excited in that at least we can move forward instead of being stuck with nowhere to go.
But you CAN give 500 ABs to Jason Phillips.
The idiot caucus is split.
"There are a lot of good things happening here on the baseball side."
So what's happening on the non-baseball side?
The other question is, do they have enough money to run a baseball team? The answer seems to be, yes, but not as a large market team. The Dodgers are beginning to look like the Anaheim Angels of Los Angeles, a team run more or less on the same lines as the Angels were before their breakthrough. The thing is, the Dodgers are at a point where they could win with a middle class payroll.
The problem is not that the McCourt's don't have good impulses but that they seem to have a bad impulse for every good one. On the one hand they restore the natural warning track and eliminate that irksome saddleback pattern behind home plate and on the other they create a ballpark ambience of the most extreme vulgarity. They want to project an old school image, but they do so through pointless or counterproductive gestures like taking the names off the jerseys and putting the team in "throwback" jerseys that no Dodger team ever wore. They adopt a cutting edge approach to management then do a 180 when the pressure is on. What we have to hope for right now is that their good impulses outweigh the bad, and that hiring Colletti was one of the good impulses.
As to the new GM, McCourt hasn't carved out an impressive track record, but Fox certainly didn't, and what Bob Daly did can be endlessly debated. DePodesta did not get a fair chance to strut his stuff, but that's over and now we have to give Colletti a fair chance.
A couple of additional points. One is that we tend to wax too nostalgic about Peter O'Malley. While I think he was terrific, I also spent a lot of time from 1988 on wondering what was wrong. And remember that during all of those years of stability under Walter Alston, Walter O'Malley brought in several high-profile coaches (Dressen and Durocher, for example) and put him on the hot seat. The history of the Dodgers has been more controversial than many tend to remember.
Now I will indulge my cynical, nasty streak and say that if you want to know how Lasorda really feels about Colletti, or anything else, read Plaschke.
I'm not sure Boston is the best place for Kim Ng to cut her teeth as a GM. You think we have a boorish, petty, and vicious press corps here? They got a bit of that old ownership/management dysfunction goin on, too. That's not at all to say she can't handle it because of her gender, more like I'm not sure who can handle that job.
That said, you can only cheerfully stay put while you get passed over for promotions so many times. If I were her, I'd say whatever makes me look good (like what she said today), interview for whatever I can, and take the first train out of town that doesn't end up in Boston.
Nicely said. I wondered where that out-of-left-field reference to Jim Fregosi (not to mention Jim Fregosi, the "winner") came from. I think you nailed it.
hahahahah
I could see her ending up in Boston as an assistant GM. Remember they lost both the GM and the AGM. She shouldn't stay in LA, it will be to uncomfortable for both of them.
So you allow yourself to be hired by Frank McCourt?
The Dodgers have 33 players on their 40 man roster. Grabowski, Ross, Edwards, and Myrow are all on the roster still. Can we assume Colletti removes them? Also, what impact do FAs offered arbitration have? I heard somewhere that FAs offered arbitration remain on the 40 man roster for the Rule 5, but this could be wrong. The arbitration deadline in the 7th, thew Rule 5 is the 8th
28--Steve, one of the traveling circus of ESPN idiots (Buster Olney) was mentioning on the radio that Fregosi was a Colletti favorite. Time to break out those old Angels hats with the halos on the top?
Hmm..Colletti/Fregosi/Lasorda; bad news for those conspiracy theorist posters who continue to mutter about a sinister "Italian connection". (Somehow DePodesta missed the membership cut.)
I have to disagree here. Vin Scully will be 78 years old next season - 13 years past retirement age. If he chooses to walk away and do something else that he loves during the last years of his life, be it retire to a tropical island or move in next door to his grandkids, God bless him. He may be the voice of the Dodgers, but nothing lasts forever. You simply can't blame the front office if Scully opts for a long-earned retirement. I would rather his fans recognize that's it's his time to let go, on his terms.
In fact, the idea that the McCourts would try to pressure an octogenarian into continuing to slave away because he's good PR is frankly inhuman. Let him go. He deserves it.
Jim Fregosi would be a very, very, very odd choice. But nothing would surprise me anymore.
The new manager is also going to have to hire a whole new coaching staff too. I don't think anyone had their contract renewed or they all left for Pittsburgh.
On a side note, I thought Colletti aquitted himself quite well during the press conference. I guess we'll just have to see what happens.
---
Remember, Red, hope is a good thing, maybe the best of things. And no good thing ever dies.
---
I find I'm so excited, I can barely sit still or hold a thought in my head. I think it is the excitement only a free man can feel, a free man at the start of a long journey whose conclusion is uncertain. I hope I can make it across the border. I hope to see my friend, and shake his hand. I hope the Pacific is as blue as it has been in my dreams. I hope.
a) Has given up all reason to live and is waiting for a meteor to strike the earth to end his pain;
or
b)someone who knows that the bar results will be out in a week or so.
It's hard to love there's so much to hate
Hanging on to hope when there is no hope to speak of
And the wounded skies above say it's much too late
So maybe we should all be praying for time
And now abideth faith, hope, charity, these three; but the greatest of these is charity.
Or maybe that sitcom with Kelly Ripa and the other blonde (who IS that? Was she the girl on Night Court?), Hope and Faith.
That perches in the soul
And sings a tune without words
And never stops at all.
And sweetest, in the gale, is heard
And sore must be the storm
That could abash the little bird
That keeps so many warm.
I've heard it in the chilliest land
And on the strangest sea
Yet, never, in extremity
It ask a crumb of me.
Also, it floats.
Faith Ford
Jon, who were the early candidates that the board talked about? I don't think there was anyone in the final Depo 3 (Collins, Hershiser and Trammell) that fits his profile. Could Bud Black or even Dusty Baker be in the picture.
Why would Black be more qualified than Hershiser?
They have Milton Bradley being traded to the Yankees for someone named Melky Cabrera that I've never heard of. They have Abreu to the Dodgers for Derek Lowe and Andy LaRoche (but they have this one as doubtful). Other Dodger trade candidates mentioned were Choi and APerez. They even mentioned the outside possibility of Lowell being traded to LAD.
vr, Xei
This may in fact be the Timmermann Prophecy writ true. Be careful what you ask for, Steve, you just might get it.
Roger Craig...?
-Is Gagne a Dodger now in '07?
-Will Colletti bring back Bradley and pacify kent like he did with Bonds?
-Is there anything available that makes us a real contender in '06? If not, will Colletti punt the year for '07?
I still can't believe Baker would want to come back to the Dodgers. He didn't exactly leave on good terms, being accused of drug abuse and all that.
Yes... Padres, Giants, Rockies and Diamondbacks. vr, Xei
Where does that leave Perranoski?
There's that whole "promoting from within" thing.
Ng started with the Dodgers before DePodesta and was highly recommended by other GMs such as Brian Cashman and Bill Bavasi.
And likely Dan Evans too.
The guy I could see coming here that would fit Colletti's description is Lou Pineilla.
We're lucky Leyland is tied up in Detroit.
Hargrove maybe? Didn't I read here that Ichiro has told the M's it's him or me? Or did I dream that?
Showalter?
Scioscia would be an obvious choice, except I think he'd sooner become a vegetarian.
LaRussa?
I post here often. I am not a saber follower, nor am I anti-saber. I do think I like intelligent leadership no matter what it calls itself. At the end of the year McCourt had a decision to make: bring back DePo or bring back Tracy. I could have supported either, though I think a good GM is more important than a manager. McCourt sided with DePo. Tracy is out. Wait a minute, McCourt fires DePo. Tracy is still out and now DePo is too. The Dodgers hire a GM who probably could have worked with Tracy. So now the Dodgers have a void at manager with who knows who to be hired.
Post #22 mentions McCourt's good impulses and bad impulses. Maybe so, but what stands out to me is that McCourt simply is impulsive. That is not a good thing to be when running a baseball franchise.
The only hope I have for this franchise is that McCourt will be forced to sell sooner rather than later.
Stan from Tacoma
From Kim Ng's point of view, what you have to keep in mind is that running a baseball team for Boston is like playing lyre for the Bacchantes. In the Los Angeles job on the other hand, she would have been shielded somewhat from criticism by the L.A. Times' traditional terror at giving offense to any racial minority.
Bunting didn't come in to the game of baseball until a player named Dickey Pearce made his debut in 1856. Just when he started bunting is subject to dispute. It was called a "baby hit" at first.
Until 1877, a ball was fair as long as it landed in fair territory first. It could roll foul and the ball would still be in play.
The bunt was a very effective weapon if you could put enough spin on the ball when you hit it.
So, if the old-timers want to give a boost to their bunt-happy vision for baseball, they should just bring back this rule.
If Flanders is successful I will change his nickname to Ned King Colle.
Returning the fair-foul rule to baseball would drive up scoring remarkably.
But if you're going to bring back that rule, I think it's only fair to have batters be retired if the fielders catch the ball on the first bounce too.
Returning the fair-foul rule will help counteract the new crack-down on steroid use.
But the way things are going, I bet we read some solid rumors in various print media as early as tonight. No rest for the wicked.
Alex Trevino!
Since McCourt took over as the Dodgers' owner two years ago, he has jeopardized the organization's genteel image, firing 10 vice presidents or directors of departments. The new vice chairman is McCourt's wife, Jamie. The marketing director is his son, Drew."
http://tinyurl.com/adhzv
Also, the Padres made their second big move of the day. They gave $650K to a World Series hero, and their old friend, Geoff Blum
Nothing new there.
Dave Anderson.
14 more guys if you include Brooklyn and New York.
Freddie Fitzsimmons is the only person to play in a World Series as a Giant and a Dodger.
He died 26 years ago however.
Yay, a 2-point lead at home over a team with a 2-5 record. Yuck. A whopping 5 out of 15 Western conference teams have winning records.
22 -- Robert, very good post, as Jon said. A comment:
If they are competent but flaky they could run the team poorly for years. This is particularly disheartening after we've spent so many years in the wilderness and it seemed as though we were almost out.
I have never thought the team was out of the wilderness -- or were even close to that -- until DePodesta came aboard. It was the first sign of real competence the McCourts exhibited. Firing him just brought me to the idea that they're hopeless incompetents.
My fear is that Lasorda approved of Colletti because of "chemistry" and glad-handing, and that Colletti is secretly behind all the bad contracts like A.J. Pierzynski, Neifi Perez, Sidney Ponson, etc.
Expect to see the following to happen:
A strong effort to sign Brian Giles? - FA OF, 35 yrs old.
Trade for Todd Helton? Send Choi & others to Rockies and take on Helton's contract?
Unlikely to happen now?
Signing Nomar Garciaparra - not known as a clubhouse "chemistry" guy (so says tbe Boston media)
Too late to happen this off-season?
Getting Dusty Baker as manager. I don't believe the Cubs want to emulate the Dodgers and start looking for a new manager now. Sometimes you just get lucky...
And what happens now to Terry Collins? Is he marginalized within the Dodger organization because Depodesta wanted him as manager? Does Colletti have the self-confidence to keep Collins, a good person, who has done a very good job with the Dodger minor leagues?
Yep. Kobe's a ballhog.
I'm sure his teammates love playing with him
I believe you mean "for him." Buss should have traded him when he had the chance.
I can't see Phil sticking around for the entirety of his contract.
Maybe McCourt did make a mistake. He hired someone that will keep him out of the baseball headlines. Maybe Kim Ng is right, good things may be happening on the "baseball side." However on the other side I won't be surprised if we are charged separate for mustard packets when we order hot dogs next year.
Giles was practically the entire Friars' offense in 2005. No other player on the team compiled even half of his 65.1 hitting VORP..."
Baseball Prospectus, http://tinyurl.com/cybr6
November 16, 2005
Prospectus Notebook, Reds, Padres --Caleb Peiffer
Kevin Kennedy
note: I don't endorse this move.
He would have been 100% successful if he were managing the Dodgers.
I can't even watch Kobe any more. His poor shot selection is both predictable and frustrating. If he's gonna hog the ball, at least drive to the hoop and get fouled. I don't understand why he insists on hoisting up long-range jumpers. Oh well. Just another crappy season for the Lakers.
But A.J., and Ponson are bad chemistry signings. So isn't it all baloney? Are you saying that Tommy doesn't realize they're bad chemistry signings, or doesn't care?
vr, Xei
( of course, if Kobe and Shaq could have acted like grown-ups, some of this would be moot)
vr, Xei
a drew, kent, gile, glaus, choi...3-4-5-6-7 lineup would be devastating.
http://tinyurl.com/cpsg8
"The art of the deal; Getting Edgardo Alfonzo a new home nearly turns into a Giant mess"
By JOHN HARPER
DAILY NEWS SPORTS WRITER
rosenthal (or some collumnist) has glaus going to the dodgers in his offseason trades predictions.
and he played 150+ games last year.
C: Navarro 50 walks
1B: Helton 100+ walks
2B: Kent 40-50 walks
SS: Aybar 50 walks
3B: Mueller 65 walks
LF: Cruz 100+ walks (I'm being optimistic)
CF: Drew 100+ walks
RF; Abreu 100+ walks
"The 100 Walk Outfield"
"I've never talked to Colletti, which I regret because I always wondered if maybe he was the brains behind the Giants' success. Colletti got his start working in public relations for the Cubs, which might seem like an unlikely place for a future GM, but in the old days a great many future general managers started there. And considering the sharks who write for the L.A. newspapers, perhaps an old PR guy is exactly what the Dodgers need."
I was surprised to hear this fact from "the old days" -- but how old are these old days? Does anyone know if he's talking mid-20th century? Early 20th century? Late Pleistocene? Just curious.
I also noted that earlier in the column, while saying hopeful things about the hiring of Joe Madden as manager in TB, Neyer offered something that I hope Colletti would take to heart and apply in LA:
"Since the inception of this franchise [Tampa Bay], managerial hires and player acquisitions have always seemed to be predicated not on what the newcomer might do, but rather on what he has done. Were Greg Vaughn and Fred McGriff and Wade Boggs and Charles Johnson and Lou Piniella really going to turn things around? Clearly, they were not."
'He agreed to a four-year contract and will retain assistant GM Kim Ng, who was the other finalist. He met with Dodger scouting director Logan White for several hours and plans to do the same with player development vice president Roy Smith.'
That can only be good, right?
vr, Xei
I can only think of four players I would rather have than Abreu:
A-Rod
Pujols
Vlad
Jason Bay (Yeah, I think pretty highly of him too)
Abreu's on base, power, and speed combination are unmatched. His only downfall is his average defense and not quite elite power. I doubt anyone else puts him up this highly, however.
The last L.A. Dodger to win the RBI title was
Tommy Davis, 153 RBI in 1962. Jim Gilliam led the team with 93 walks. Tommy D. hit 27 HR, and Frank Howard socked 31 HR to lead the team.
1962 Los Angeles Dodgers, Managed by Walter Alston. W/L record: 102-63, Finished 2nd in National League (lost pennant in a one game playoff to the Giants). Bob T. can fill in the gory details. (Who remembers Stan Williams? Wasn't Drysdale warming up in the pen?)
The Dodgers scored 842 runs, Allowed 697 runs. Pythagorean W-L: 97-68
Oh, and they had great chemistry. ;>)
vr, Xei
Lee's season was a monster, but I'm scared it was a fluke. Jones had the worst season ever for a guy who hit 50 home runs, and his defense has slipped of late. Hafner, Delgado, and Dunn, while offensive forces, don't have Abreu's speed, and are all pretty bad defensively.
154 - No, we have no problems with Bay, it is Abreu that is lazy and unmotivated :)
152 - http://tinyurl.com/745zn
That is what I meant, which is why I said Philly fans forget to say Abreu's name, my mistake.
"Several members of the media here go back a long way with Colletti, so he will get the benefit of the doubt -- certainly longer than DePodesta."
Alston was almost fired for that.
As for Delmon, this is in a "win now" situation.
this means, we might still have a hope for choi! Anyways, i now think a trade for glaus is now very probable. it would probably involve us giving them odalis. which in turn, makes a matt morris FA signing plausible as well, given colletti's good relationship with morris' agent.
"I don't want hope. Hope is killing me. My dream is to become hopeless. When you're hopeless you don't care. And when you don't care, that indifference makes you attractive."
"So, hopelessness is the key?"
"It's my only hope."
Maybe Bob can enlighten me on this. When I was a kid I don't remember rehab starts for injured players. Sandy could definately have used minor league rehab coming back from his injury. Anyone know when major league players began to be allowed to appear in minor league games when coming back from the disabled list?
Stan from Tacoma
Pujols
Arod
Cabrera
Teixeira
Tejada
Wright
Utley
V Martinez
Peralta
I'll take slugging infielders over a corner outfielder but other then Cabrera he'd be my 1st outfielder.
Let's check my memory.
(scurries off to another tab)
Yea, I'm right.
The Giants used Marichal, Larsen and Pierce.
As for rehab starts, I think that started in the early 1980s. I think it was one of the results of the 1981 strike. But I'm just speculating there.
Bonds
Ortiz
Cabrera (yes, now)
Tejada
And these guys are probably a push:
Rolen (healthy)
Texeira
David Wright (even now)
There may be more. I just don't find Abreu to be trancendantly good. I'd take him, of course.
"Colletti began his career as a sportswriter covering hockey, which explains why our paths probably never crossed. He worked for a newspaper in Philadelphia, which went out of business, and the way things are going around here, we might have something in common after all."
The more I read about Delmon the more it looks like he is the second coming of Darryl Strawberry (minus the personal problems, we all hope). I would make the argument that Delmon's 2006 could be very similar to Darryl's 1983, and with the leaps that Pujols and Cabrera made straight to MLB a line of .280/25/90/.350/.800 or so may be on the low side for him.
But I also mention Darryl because didn't he also play for all 4 of SF, LA, NYY and NYM?
Stan from Tacoma
The fans think "chemistry" because all those players stayed together for all those years and were successful, but that didn't happen because they were wearing each others' friendship anklets.
Tejada is think is actually a little overrated. He's never OPSed over .900, and doesn't really play defense, shown a remarkable talent for getting on base, or shown speed. The fact that he's a shortstop makes up for a lot of this, but I just don't think he belongs in the upper tier.
Ortiz actually probably does make my list. I left him since I figured his he'd be giving back 20 runs for every 100 that he contributes. His limited time at first however shows him to be decent with a glove.
I think I may be overvaluing Abreu's speed. To approximate it's effect, let's give him an extra base for every steal, and take away a hit and a base for every caught stealing, it's not perfect, but it's a good approximation.
These are Abreu's numbers from the last three years (OBP/SLG/OPS) (SB/CS)
.409/.468/.877 22/9
.428/.544/.972 40/5
.405/.474/.879 31/9
Putting the steals into the numbers gives:
.395/.490/.885
.421/.605/1.026
.392/.513/.905
Considering a single plus a stolen base is slightly less valuable than a double, and a loss in on base is worse than a loss in slug, with the exception of 2004, I was overstating Abreu's ability.
While his .410 ish on base puts him ahead of guys like Matsui, this probably drops him below Cabrera, Ortiz, and Hafner and makes him level with Teixiera and Wright.
You make some nice arguements but you lose me when you bring in a quote "doesn't really play defense". I've heard that applied to Abreu even with his gold glove but never with Miggy. Do you have some numbers to back that up or is it just an eyeball view?
97 81/-5
98 96/-4
99 104/6
00 97/-5
01 94/-10
02 94/-9
03 89/-17
04 109/15
05 97/-4
Career: 97/-34
Which I guess begs the question, were Abreu a high-priced foreign import that reached the WS in his first year the way Matsui was, would he also be considered a "True Yankee"? Might be time to troll Bronx Banter...
Jon, is there any way I can save my "What we would need for Abreu" rant from a couple of months ago and just plug it in every time his name comes up? Maybe after the edit feature arrives, we could get some hotkeys for the phrases we see most often, like: "JD Drew's injury history had NOTHING TO DO with his broken wrist", "Joel Guzman for Adam Dunn before anyone realizes JtD cannot play shortstop," and "Milton Bradley for Brad Wilkerson so Frank has to manage two psycho outfielders!"
I'm on board with all 3. By the end of the night Colletti will know what the rest of baseball already knows and that is JtD is not a SS.
185
Yeah BP shows his 2004 as being an outlier also. Never considered him a great defensive SS but your comment sounds like he's indifferent to playing SS. Semantics I guess.
"Back in 2001 in these pages, I wrote a column about the many things I hated about the Giants.
One of my entries read, "I hate that the Giants have such front-office depth, one of baseball's smartest guys Ned Colletti is only their assistant general manager."
I have long thought he's the right man for this job. On Wednesday, he certainly sounded as if he's the right man for this job."
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