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No, Not Nomar at First Base
2005-12-16 19:03
by Jon Weisman

Hee Seop Choi in 2005: .789 OPS with the Dodgers, 110 OPS+

Ricky Ledee in 2005: .778 OPS with the Dodgers, 107 OPS+

Nomar Garciaparra in 2005: .772 OPS with the Cubs, 99 OPS+

Now, Ledee is an injury risk, like Garciaparra. The pair would make an interesting - though hardly dominant - left-field platoon, with Jayson Werth looming in the disabled background.

But Choi is younger, healthier and, sorry, more productive than Garciaparra. Choi even had a higher OPS+ in 2004, even including his 2004 floundering in Los Angeles.

If the Dodgers' priority is a No. 5 hitter to bat behind Jeff Kent, the combination of Olmedo Saenz (.804 OPS, 113 OPS+) and Choi is a better bet than Garciaparra alone - although certainly Garciaparra could compete with Saenz to be the right-handed platoon partner. But Saenz is already signed for a mere $1 million.

Dodger general manager Ned Colletti has said that a change at first base is not a high priority. He also clearly likes to keep his options open. If he's thinking, he's looking at Garciaparra principally as a 120-game starting outfielder/backup infielder.

 

Comments (484)
Show/Hide Comments 1-50
2005-12-16 19:21:14
1.   trainwreck
I really really hope Nomar plays left and not first base.
2005-12-16 19:22:13
2.   trainwreck
Hahaha I like actually thinking we have players sewn up and they are going to choose us.
2005-12-16 19:27:52
3.   gvette
Nomar playing in 120 games may be optimistic.
2005-12-16 19:31:03
4.   Cones88
I don't think he wants nomar at first. It's just a way to appease the media and scare other clubs. I think Tim from ESPN said that 1st base would put the most stress on Nomar's legs.
2005-12-16 19:35:53
5.   CharlieBrown
I am sure this has been mentioned elsewhere on the blog, but do people think Nomar is a good idea for the Dodgers anywhere? Why do they need an injury prone 32 year old who would be learning a new position, making more injuries even more likely? It's not like he's A-Rod with the stick either. Nomar was a special player when he hit .330 and wasn't the worst shortstop in the league with the glove. Those days are so far gone, but people just love that name recognition. I would rather have Antonio Perez right now than Nomar--I am serious about that--does anyone disagree?

I hate the Mueller signing because I don't see what that guy does besides look scrappy that Willie Aybar wouldn't do 90% of for 10% of the price. But at least there I understand the whole "he's a great guy in the clubhouse" mentality we apparently run our team by now. What about Nomar? Doesn't he have vague hints of malcontent about him? Isn't he not a "gamer" (like JD Drew)?

This is so depressing. The Bradley trade was horrible (why throw in Perez?), the Mueller signing ill-advised, the Furcal signing at least defensible, and now Nomar? What's next, Damon for AJ Burnett years and money?

2005-12-16 19:42:29
6.   King of the Hobos
Colletti mentioned he discussed with Nomar where Nomar would play, but I have yet to see him actually say Nomar would play 1B. Did I miss this? Gurnick mentioned Sanders as an alternative to Nomar, which seems to hint that Nomar would be in LF, despite what Gurnick says otehrwise.

And assuming Izzy does play 2B when he comes back (which I still don't believe entirely), would Colletti really prefer Ledee/Repko? over Choi/Saenz? Or would the plan be to sign Lofton and sit him at some point? At least in that scenario we wouldn't lose much offense when Izzy returns

2005-12-16 19:44:58
7.   Jon Weisman
6 - Don't get me wrong - there has been a lot of false rumor this offseason, and I think Nomar at 1B is part of that. But I also think there are people out there who would assume that Garciaparra is light years better than Choi, and I just wanted to make the point that that isn't the case.
2005-12-16 19:47:41
8.   Sam DC
Well, you know, if you take out that week where Choi hit all those home runs, then his productivity goes way down . . . .

(yes, I am pointedly kidding; no, I do not think this would be a legitimate way to analyze a player's performance)

2005-12-16 19:50:56
9.   King of the Hobos
7 I think I've read too much of dodgers.com. That post seemed to be more for them than anyone here, as nowhere do you even hint that Nomar would play 1B, other than a platoon. I can't for the life of me figure out what that post was a reaction to here
2005-12-16 20:01:36
10.   GoBears
9 Well, Jon did intimate that it was pre-emptive. Hence, not a reaction to anything, but a pre-action.
2005-12-16 20:12:11
11.   Jon Weisman
9 - I can't for the life of me figure out why all my posts would be reactions to commenters. That's never been a guiding rationale - particularly considering I was doing this for two years before I had commenters.
2005-12-16 20:15:57
12.   MikeB
At 50,000 feet, maybe signing Nomar to play some LF and some 1B makes some sense, along with signing Mueller, Furcal and trading away Bradley ...

The Dodgers are at a crossroads - they can cut payroll, suck it up and wait for the kiddie corps to arrive - or - they can do a few high risk/high reward deals to improve enough on last season to make a run at the West division crown. But, wishing for anything higher would be a miracle on an order even greater than the '59 or '88 teams seasons. And, don't get me wrong here, I love the Dodgers and those two teams are my all-time favorites.

So maybe Colletti looks at the landscape and thinks - I can get us back to 85-90 wins in '06 and '07 and then the kids arrive and we're off to dynasty land. Maybe.

Signing Nomar for lots of $ short-term is a reasonable short-term risk to take. The upside could be substantial. And, if Nomar gets injured, or doesn't hit his weight, well at least he's not blocking a kid for very long - or could get cut - sunk costs and all that accounting stuff.

So I say, lets take a chance - what's the downside? Another 90+ loss season? I honestly don't think the current lineup if it stays reasonable healthy can lose that many again. I believe Ned has got the bus out of the ditch and back on the road. Whether he can get it moving fast enough to use the passing lane is something we'll find out this summer.

2005-12-16 20:20:55
13.   D4P
Yippee: my favorite topic (Choi).

So, if I had a dollar for every time I heard someone say "Choi ripped lefties in the minors", I'd have a lot of dollars. However, I have never once seen any of Choi's minor league statistics. Does anyone have those handy, or know where I can find them?

2005-12-16 20:31:27
14.   King of the Hobos
13 Do you want his stats or his splits? I don't the latter, but the former:

http://www.thebaseballcube.com/players/C/hee-seop-choi.shtml

2005-12-16 20:43:33
15.   D4P
14
Yes, the splits would be nice, but thanks for the stats. Those are pretty impressive.

So, when people talk about his performance vs. lefties in the minors, do you think they're basing their claims on an actual review of the stats, or just repeating some unsubstantiated mantra that has been generally accepted?

2005-12-16 20:47:40
16.   das411
Why not use some of the $$ floating around to lock up players like Navarro, Jackson, Hochevar, most of the bullpen, and (gasp) even Choi for a few more years, instead of burning it on stopgaps like Washburn or Garciaparra?

Sign 'em to frontloaded extensions, get through their first few free agency years on the cheap, then when they start to slow down in 2007-08 and beyond you have already paid for their best years up front and they can be rotated out in favor of the prospects that may/may not be ready by then.

Is signing a "big name" like Furcal, Nomar, or Damon more important than keeping younger players with more potential upside through their prime years?

2005-12-16 21:01:03
17.   trainwreck
I have not seen the posts on the Dodgers.com messageboard this positive in years... it kind of makes me sick! People only showed up to rip on DePodesta.
2005-12-16 21:01:11
18.   Steve
16 -- Shouldn't you be trying to foist David Bell or Mike Lieberthal on us?
2005-12-16 21:08:00
19.   dzzrtRatt
7 A point very worth making. Plus Choi's been a first baseman for a few years. How many games has Nomar even played at the position. Is he likely to be "savvy" out there?

I sort of like the idea of having Nomar on the team, but I'm not sure what exactly his role will be. He seems like he's ready for one more big year. But if he isn't playing regularly? He's not exactly a wallflower.

Thus, my preference is for Mr. Ned to pursue the Sanders and/or Lofton options. We need outfielders. They're outfielders.

2005-12-16 21:08:58
20.   dzzrtRatt
16 Signing those guys now seems wildly premature on so many levels.
2005-12-16 21:09:32
21.   Eric L
Not exactly minor league splits (they aren't the easiest stats to find), but this is from the ESPN.com Scouting Report on Hee Seop from 2004:

"Choi has a superb eye and only when badly fooled does the big guy swing at a bad pitch. That said, he has a lot of holes in his swing. Opponents like to bust him with hard stuff just under the hands, and Choi has trouble with most breaking pitches. He has a big uppercut, so when he connects the ball travels a long way. For a young power hitter, Choi is surprisingly comfortable driving a ball the other way. Though he hit better than .300 versus lefthanders in the minors, that success has not translated to the bigs."

2005-12-16 21:10:42
22.   King of the Hobos
I wouldn't mind spending some money on Hochevar, we just need to avoid the major league contract. Save Hochevar destroying an independent league, I have no idea how Boras will get any money for Hochevar. But if BA is right and White has been offended...well too bad.
2005-12-16 21:12:11
23.   das411
18 - Not after your shrewd pickups of Bill Mueller and Sandy Alomar Jr.

Now I am trying to foist Joe Banner on you :)

( the :) means it's a joke. but i was serious in 16, it makes a lot more sense than signing yet another SS)

2005-12-16 21:12:40
24.   Eric L
And I meant to comment on 16...

I think you get into a situation like the Blue Jays did with Eric Hinske when they signed him to a large extension following his ROY in 2002. Really, there is no reason to give guys longer termish type contracts until they approach their arbitration years.

2005-12-16 21:15:44
25.   bearlurker
I agree that Nomar definitely should be put in left, not at first, because neither Saenz nor Choi can play lf. I do think that Nomar has a very good chance to outperform the 1b platoon. After he returned from injury last year, Nomar ripped the ball, something like a 900 OPS.
2005-12-16 21:15:58
26.   LAT
This morning on Colin Cowherd, he very openly speculated (really, all but asserted) that Nomar's drop in power and increased DL stints directly coincide with the ban on roids. Could be but I didn't notice much change in his size. Then he preceeded to rip Frank for trying to create Boston West.
2005-12-16 21:21:40
27.   MikeB
22. Are Logan White's feelings truly a factor in the Hochevar negotiations? Who says so? I think I missed that one.

I would guess the Dodgers are not happy with Hochevar's lack of maturity and indecisiveness.

Flip flopping agents by fax at the eleventh hour of a negotiation does not speak well about this young man's ability to handle pressure.

I would think the Dodgers expect a bit more maturity from a college pitcher.

2005-12-16 21:29:12
28.   trainwreck
Look how cool Zito looks on the front page of ESPN.com.

LZ in 07

2005-12-16 21:31:43
29.   LAT
I have a non baseball question that maybe someone here can hepl me with. (Jon, I apologize in advance if you object to this). I am buying my wife a laptop for the holidays and a frind told be to go to fatwallet.com where they have all sorts of coupons for use at Dell and HP but I can't figure out how to use the site. Can someone explain or link me to a site that will. As to not clutter up DT you can e-mail me at ltabb@comcast.net
Thanks
2005-12-16 21:33:05
30.   D4P
Not sure if this has been posted:

Nearing a decision on where he will play next season, Nomar Garciaparra is believed to be leaning toward accepting a one-year contract to play first base for the Dodgers.

http://tinyurl.com/cqd73

2005-12-16 21:33:32
31.   Eric L
26 Of course, Cowherd failed to mention that Nomar's longest DL stint (it was the wrist injury) was in 2001.
2005-12-16 21:36:13
32.   D4P
30
And Rotoworld's take:

Garciaparra has told the team he would be willing to play first base or left field. Left field still might be the choice, mainly because the Dodgers would want to put Jeff Kent at first base after Cesar Izturis returns at midseason. It certainly wouldn't be out of any great fondness for Hee Seop Choi. Dec. 17 -

2005-12-16 21:36:52
33.   MikeB
26. Isn't significant weight gain one of the tip-offs that someone is using steroids?

Nomar is listed by MLB as 6'0", 190 lbs. I don't know where to find his weight numbers for previous seasons, but he has appeared to me as being more of a wiry, speed/power guy, not as a over-muscled power guy.

Are the injuries he has suffered the past two years indicators of steroid use? Wasn't his severe wrist injury attributed to being struck by a pitched ball? The torn groin muscle was caused by an awkward step out of the batters box. That doesn't seem suspicious to my untrained eye. Is it to anyone else?

FYI - Nomar was/is an exceptional athlete. He was a terrific youth and high school soccer player, and might have become a high-level player in that sport, at least at the college level and maybe pro if he wanted to.

2005-12-16 21:38:16
34.   LAT
31. No he did not mention it. I was suprised by the way he went after Nomar. I usually think of Cowherd as a fair-minded guy, and certianly not irresponsible.
2005-12-16 21:39:19
35.   trainwreck
Hee Seop Dangerfield Choi... no respect no respect at all.

Haha my teacher from Korea who's last name also happens to be Choi, was a big Hee Seop Choi fan even though he knows nothing about baseball.

2005-12-16 21:47:43
36.   King of the Hobos
Brown's article makes me think Colletti wants Nomar and a OF, but should we fail to sign Sanders/Lofton, Nomar would play LF. But it also says the Dodgers probably wouldn't want him to learn 2 new positions with Izzy coming back. I guess we just need to wait until Colletti is done with his "what if" garbage and says something. As long as Snow is out of the picture...

Next Tuesday could be the big day if Nomar signs and Colletti stays quiet. Will Choi be a Dodger on Wednesday? Will Phillips?

2005-12-16 21:51:25
37.   bigcpa
I can't imagine Nomar would accept any kind of platoon role, especially getting the short-end vs LHP. Your last paragraph makes the most sense and it's what I'm hoping for. Mueller and Kent both would figure to take 10-12 games off. Nomar can play 100 in LF and 25 backing up 2b and 3b.

I wish we'd get an option for 2007. Something tells me he has a bounce-back year and when we need him to replace Kent for 2007 his asking price gets too steep.

2005-12-16 21:56:09
38.   King of the Hobos
The other part of that article that may be important:

Rick Honeycutt, who pitched in nearly 800 games over 21 seasons in the big leagues, is a strong candidate to become Grady Little's pitching coach. He has been the Dodgers' minor league pitching coordinator for four years.

2005-12-16 22:02:12
39.   D4P
And the *other part of that article that may be important:

Free-agent outfielder Kenny Lofton met Friday with Arizona Diamondback officials. Lofton would prefer to sign with the Dodgers and intended to talk to Colletti on Friday night or today.

2005-12-16 22:03:34
40.   trainwreck
Why do we need Lofton again?
2005-12-16 22:07:34
41.   trainwreck
I meant again as in can someone explain it to me again, not that he has played for us before.
2005-12-16 22:10:03
42.   King of the Hobos
From Rotoworld-

While the Red Sox have held discussions with agent Danny Horwits about J.T. Snow, Horwitz said that other teams are further along with him.
The Royals signed Doug Mientkiewicz and the Dodgers have other priorities, so it might be that Snow will join the Padres.

Yes, join the Padres. Fine by me, just stay away from LA. If Nomar at 1B meant no Snow, well, then it wouldn't be quite so bad

The Boston Herald says we are one of the remaining teams interested in Seanez.

2005-12-16 22:11:24
43.   King of the Hobos
40 What I heard was Colletti doesn't trust Drew in center.
2005-12-16 22:12:37
44.   King of the Hobos
43 It's probably important that I don't remember where I heard that. It could be the insignificant opinion of some random person somewhere (such as a dodgers.com poster or Tony Jackson)
2005-12-16 22:14:59
45.   trainwreck
What does he not trust? haha Drew's defense has never been a problem and he played center well last year.
2005-12-16 22:24:58
46.   trainwreck
Seanez has been pretty good pitcher, but why do we need him?
2005-12-16 22:33:51
47.   Eric Enders
46
Now that's where you need to ask why do we need him again.
2005-12-16 22:37:04
48.   Eric Enders
Incidentally, if McCourt is looking for a way to convince Nomar to pick the Dodgers, the latest "Catfish Stew" headline has a pretty good suggestion.
2005-12-16 22:48:04
49.   Bob Timmermann
49

Mrs. Nomar is retired from that sport and I would be inclined to believe she isn't going back to it. There's not enough money in it for her.

2005-12-16 22:52:49
50.   D4P
50
Why must everything be about money?
Show/Hide Comments 51-100
2005-12-16 22:54:35
51.   Eric Enders
Well, she could always become the Rachel Phelps of soccer.
2005-12-16 22:57:02
52.   Eric Enders
I'm probably like the 3,400th person to mention this, but just in case not -- Jon, all your Baseball Cube links are broken.
2005-12-16 23:42:22
53.   Bob Timmermann
49 50

We're both being self-referential were we?

Mia Hamm doesn't need to play competitive soccer again because she has played about as well in that sport as anyone can. If she came back and tried to play again, she would obviously not be as good. And the only way I think she would consider returning was if someone drove up to her home in Manhattan Beach and parked a dump truck full of money in front of it.

2005-12-16 23:46:22
54.   molokai
Matt Diaz was just released by the Royals. This might sound pathetic but I'd rather give Diaz a try then sign Sanders or Lofton or Jones. He'd be the perfect player to handle the open OF spot while Drew and Werth get healthy. Once they are healthy he can become a solid 4th/5th outfielder or a platoon mate for Ledee if Werth never gets healthy. Bill James thinks he can post a > 800 OPS if given a chance in the major leagues. I'd be happy entering the season with Cruz/Drew/Nomar/Diaz/Ledee/Repko as the outfielders with Werth on the DL. I'm getting excited about signing Nomar as he is going to be a big asset to the team. This will be the bounce back Nomar year where he posts a 870 OPS.

Rumor mill has the Dodgers checking out Gathright again. Just thought I'd mention that so we can get a couple hundred posts about what an idiot Colletti is based on a rumor since that seems to be a great game around here.

2005-12-16 23:52:50
55.   King of the Hobos
I think the Gathright rumors are a result of Tampa writers who want Martin and Broxton more than actual rumors
2005-12-16 23:53:26
56.   trainwreck
If Mia Hamm had a league to play for.
2005-12-17 00:04:19
57.   overkill94
I think Nomar is our best chance of filling our LF need for a few reasons.

a) he has the potential to be a very good #5 hitter based on past performance
b) he will only command a 1 or 2 year contract
c) just the buzz of getting Noomaaaah would put a few extra butts in the seats and sell a few more jerseys

Lofton would be a little redundant since we already signed a leadoff hitter, but he's still a pretty good ballplayer if we can't work anything out with anyone else. Sanders would be my second choice based on his power potential. The line-up right now is mostly full of good patient hitters who will sport good OBPs, what we need now is one more bopper to hit in that 5 spot to make the line-up complete.

Anyone see Seattle's offer to Washburn by the way? $36-38 million over 4 years? I think you can erase him from your wishlist werthgagne31 or saxmarshall31 or whichever players you're 31ing now ;)

2005-12-17 00:14:33
58.   GoBears
57 Actually, I'm a little surprised Seattle didn't offer more. It would have been (morally) wrong, but with the market the way it is...

molokai: can you elaborate a bit on what you like about Matt Diaz? I'm embarrassed to admit I've never even heard of him. Thanks.

2005-12-17 00:22:19
59.   trainwreck
Do not expect Artest on the Lakers...

Artest said some of the criticism he has
received has been unfair. Former NBA great Magic Johnson said Artest doesn't deserve a second chance in the NBA.

"It's like saying, 'Magic, should your wife give you another chance?'" Artest said "He's saying Ron Artest should have no more second chances. What's worse -- me saying I want to be traded or you cheating on your wife?"

http://tinyurl.com/92bv8

2005-12-17 00:26:11
60.   molokai
58
He was a career minor leaguer in the Tampa Bay organization much like Johnny Gomes except he went to KC last year and only got 89 at bats. He's to old to be a prospect but at AAA he had the following line 371/408/649 for Omaha. He has some speed some power and can hold down a corner OF position. He's no big deal but if we sign Nomar were just looking for insurance in case Drew is not ready for the season. I think if he'd been given at bats he would have had a Werth like 2004 season. Plus he took up catching to help himself stick in the major leagues so he might even be able to be an emergency catcher. Statheads like him, GM's don't.
He is a much better hitter then Jason Repko.
2005-12-17 00:37:02
61.   LAT
59. Got to give him credit for calling it like it is.
2005-12-17 00:40:11
62.   trainwreck
59-
Magic actually said to get an extension Ron would have to prove himself or no one in the NBA is going to give him a deal.
2005-12-17 00:51:11
63.   Eric L
61 Isn't that sort of a logical fallacy though? Magic failed at the fidelity aspect of his life, but it really doesn't have anything to do with Ron Artest and his trade demands.
2005-12-17 00:59:32
64.   Robert Daeley
57 And yet, ironically, those few more jerseys will not have "Garciaparra" on the back.
2005-12-17 03:28:23
65.   GoBears
60 Thanks. Sounds like the kind of guy DePo would go for -- a AAAA player who is cheap and probably no worse than a more expensive retread (Myrow, Edwards, Grabowski). Sometimes those guys work out, sometimes they don't. They're low risk, but only if your starters aren't all injured, so that these guys get 2-300 ABs.
2005-12-17 05:54:24
66.   Fearing Blue
#65: The Dodgers already have a similar player in Tydus Meadows. I expect him to put up monster numbers in the PCL this season as he OPS'ed .900+ in the Southern League last season.
2005-12-17 06:38:47
67.   Daniel Zappala
Colletti might be considering Lofton as a fourth outfielder or insurance policy should someone get hurt again.
2005-12-17 07:25:14
68.   Jon Weisman
52 - You're not, but I know. They changed their format, and I've been lazy about dealing with it.
2005-12-17 07:47:49
69.   Warren
What you failed to mention Jon is that by any other season Nomar's stats are better than Choi's and by his stats from just two years ago he's far and away better.

I don't think many people would honestly pick Choi over Nomar. Maybe that's not fair and only because Choi hasn't been given a shot. But regardless at this point I'll take a Nomar with everything to prove over Choi.

Sure I'd rather see Nomar in left and Choi starting at first. But if the team feels that Nomar isn't capable of being the everyday left fielder for injury reasons moving Choi and his very small salary along with a prospect to some AL team for a middle of the rotation pitcher makes sense to me. In the AL he can DH and play 1B and really get that shot that everyone here seems to think he deserves.

2005-12-17 08:01:15
70.   FirstMohican
69 -

Choi doesn't have to prove anything. Look the numbers from last year:

266 341 828 platoon
283 320 772 for the cost of Nomar

That platoon was primarily Saenz & Choi with some Kent and a dash of Phillips, Myrow etc.

Last year we got 31HR and 104RBI. I would guess we could expect about the same considering a decline from Saenz, and more production from Choi due to the stages in their career.

Now consider that the last time Nomar put up numbers like our 1Bmen did last year was 03. It's absolutely crazy to pay more to a guy who is less likely to perform.

2005-12-17 08:03:27
71.   CeyHey
If you take away Choi's big weekend against the Twins (6 hrs) what are his stats like? How much did one series inflate his value on paper?
2005-12-17 08:11:23
72.   FirstMohican
71 If you take away 6 HRs from Choi's total, he will have 6 less HRs... so will any other baseball player in the history of the sport.
2005-12-17 08:19:52
73.   Steve
When the name Choi is spoken, does some kind of intelligence vortex open up and suck all rational thought out of the universe for a short period of time?
2005-12-17 08:22:58
74.   rageon
73 I think you're onto something.

I like Nomar, but signing him doesn't make sense to me. Sure, Choi might not be an all-star, but a Choi/Sanez platoon is not the problem with this team. We need outfielders that can hit and some starting pitching. I'm not sure what Nomar does to fix either of those problems.

2005-12-17 08:23:35
75.   Jon Weisman
69 - Actually, I talked about two seasons - 2004 and 2005 - both of which Choi's stats were better. And aren't those two the most relevant seasons?

A trade for a pitcher is another story, and yes, when Nomar was winning batting titles and Choi was still a growing boy, Nomar was better.

You write, "I don't think many people would honestly pick Choi over Nomar. Maybe that's not fair and only because Choi hasn't been given a shot. But regardless ..." My job here is to encourage people to care about making a fair judgment, not give them license to be unfair.

It's not an open and shut case, but the trends are certainly moving in Choi's favor - and clearly that needs to be highlighted.

2005-12-17 08:28:13
76.   rageon
69, 75 - Given a choice between Nomar and Choi, both as firstbaseman, and the idea is someone to play everyday, all season, I take Choi. Nomar has the potential to be a better player, but he's terribly injury prone. I'd take Choi, and that's not even factoring in the money.
2005-12-17 09:00:24
77.   Vishal
[71] if you take away 6 homers against whatever team from barry bonds' 2001 season, he doesn't have the single season record anymore. shocking, isn't it.

anyway, did you have a point?

2005-12-17 09:02:50
78.   Steve
The problem is that we don't know to the extent that "first base" is a figment of the media's imagination. I'm sure they immediately leap to the conclusion that "Oh, Nomar's going to play first base because the Dodgers have a sink hole at first base." This is because they have the mental acuity of turnips. I am convinced that whatever Colletti's mental acuity, it is not that of a turnip. There are positives and negatives to a Nomar signing -- possibly the greatest negative being that with Grady managing, he could be the focal point for the kind of rank favoritism and gross mis-management that was a hallmark of the past five years. But that is the kind of problem that DePodesta found himself unable to manage anyway, so things will have not changed.
2005-12-17 09:15:08
79.   Screwgie
For me, the potential Nomar signing and how it shakes out will be the first real glimpse of Colletti's true philosophy. Furcal could at least be justified because Izturus is out indefinately. The Bradley dump was pre-ordained. We needed Meuller.

We need Nomar as well... in left field. All signs (Seanz) point to Colletti staying with a platoon at first and grooming Nomar for left field. However, the Times and other media sources seem to be insisting that Nomar is headed for firstbase.

If Colletti uses Nomar on the infield and dumps the power of Choi/Seanz for a veteran retread like Lofton, then I think it will be apparent Colletti is the spawn of Brian Sabean.

That said, based on Colletti's acquisition of Ethier and the short term deals he's signing, I'm hopeful the Nomar to first rumors are just that.

2005-12-17 09:23:15
80.   Robert Daeley
Interesting article on mlb.com this morning:

http://tinyurl.com/9sp4r

talking about the potential non-tenders coming up this week. Corey Patterson is an intriguing name on that list. Also of interest is Hee Seop Choi. "Deemed expendable by the Dodgers."

Not so interesting, Jason Phillips in the "Others" list at the bottom.

2005-12-17 09:24:23
81.   King of the Hobos
From MLB.com's article on the non-tender deadline:

1B Hee Seop Choi- Deemed expendable by the Dodgers.

We've deemed him expendable? The Media has no idea what's happening, even Colletti has admitted everything is "what if" and he's made no decisions yet.

2005-12-17 09:28:52
82.   Gen3Blue
We just shoudn't sign any more infielders before addressing SP and OF.
By the way,for an easterner, when people refer to posts at Dodger.com, what exact site do they mean-- The Official D's web site?
2005-12-17 09:29:21
83.   LAT
I hope we sign Nomar for one reason and one reason only: it will make a big splash, make the MSM and casual fan feel all gooey inside and make it more likley the guys I split my tickets with will stay in at a time when they are wavering.

Not like I'm selfish or anything.

2005-12-17 09:35:10
84.   King of the Hobos
82 Yes, it refers to the message board on Dodgers.com (the official site)
2005-12-17 09:39:15
85.   Ben H
Like others, I hope that the potential Nomar signing represents a LF solution and not a Choi displacement.

I'd also like to think that Nomar would OPS considerably higher next year, given his performance last year after returning from the DL; .952 in August and .858 in September.

2005-12-17 09:42:25
86.   Warren
75
I know the love for Choi runs deep on this site but it's mostly based on "what ifs" and "maybes".

Choi is a lifetime .240 hitter. He hit .253 last season with 1 strikeout per 4 at bats. Not much better than Jayson Werth.

I know the Sabermetrics argument is that the guy works the count, hits with amazing power in spurts, and if somehow he could just play everyday perhaps he would show the world.

But he also might strike out 150 times. Or stand there popping his chewing gum in the bottom of the ninth down by one with a runner on praying for a walk instead of trying to win the game.

Because what you theorize may happen and what I actually saw for the last year and a half are two very different things.

Perhaps Choi would be great if given the everyday job at first. But Nomar has won a batting title. He was among the games very elite. He had an incredible run of bad luck the last two years but he certainly isn't Ken Griffey Jr.

2005-12-17 09:52:56
87.   LAT
Don't want to be standing next to Warren in the near future.
2005-12-17 09:54:19
88.   Jon Weisman
86 - With all due respect, Warren, you're the one turning facts into maybes. The facts are there in front of you, and you choose to ignore them.

The only claim I've made in this thread is that for the past two years, Choi has outhit Garciaparra and been healthier. Given that Choi is much younger, this trend is likely to continue in 2006. You may call that a "what if," but it's less of one than "what if Garciaparra is healthy."

If you didn't see Choi being a better player than Garciaparra over the past two years - which is all this thread is about - you weren't looking. I see a very critical analysis of Choi's performance in your writing, whereas Garciaparra's 2004-2005 just gets whitewashed.

The love for Choi is in large part a defense mechanism in response to the bias against him. You imply people are biased, yet you give Garciaparra all kinds of benefit of the doubt. Garciaparra's place among the game's elite was a while ago.

2005-12-17 10:07:29
89.   LAT
The question is whether a 26 year old Hee Sop is better than a 33 year old Nomar. I assume no one disputes that a 26 year old Nomar is much better than a 26 year old Hee Sop but that's not where we are.
2005-12-17 10:25:16
90.   Screwgie
The argument might better be phrased not as Nomar vs. Choi, but rather Choi vs. Cruz or Lofton, or whatever aging veteran Colletti may sign to play the outfield if Nomar is at first.

Based on the Nomar's numbers last August and September, he has tremendous upside if healthy. Choi, as detailed over and over again on this site, has upside as well. Play them both. The Dodgers will be a better team because of it.

2005-12-17 10:28:46
91.   Jesse
Worst somes to worst and Choi is non-tendered or traded or shuffled off to distant lands, I'd rather have Nomar at second and Kent at first.
2005-12-17 10:29:03
92.   Warren
88
You make some valid points Jon.

I guess I look at a player who was among the best of the best just two short years ago and then compare him to a guy who has potential but really has yet to do much more than be good in spurts, adequate in others, and lousy at times.

If you want to make the argument that in 2004-2005 Choi was superior to Nomar I'll grant you that. But I just read your words again from the front page and to me it sounds like you are suggesting the Dodger give the first base job to Choi by default and let Nomar platoon and play left. You seem dismissive of Nomar and certain of Choi. That's where we part company.

I think Choi has tools and in a certain role could be very good. Yet he also has that Shawn Green quality that really grates on me. The ability to hit 10 homers in a week and then go a month without another. And going to the plate looking like he's begging for a walk when the game is on the line. For my taste he isn't aggressive enough to be a corner infielder.

But I concede your point, Choi was better than the injured Nomar in 2004-2005. What that says exactly I don't know. But I'll grant the point.

2005-12-17 10:30:38
93.   molokai
It wouldn't surprise me to see Choi non - tendered and watch him go to Japan and have a Roberto Petagine/Cecil Fielder career. Sometimes when baseball has made up their mind about someone you can't change it. The bright GM's don't need a 1st baseman/DH though it wouldn't shock me to see Jon Daniels make a run at Choi. The AL West better watch out because if this guy makes a few more deals like the last one he is going to catch up to Angels/A's very quickly.
2005-12-17 10:32:23
94.   Warren
89
No my assumption is that a healthy Nomar at 33 is superior to a healthy Choi at 26.

No one, even the diehard Choites, have ever said that he is a hall of fame player. Yet before the injuries Nomar was definitely on his way to Cooperstown.

Furthermore, let's not paint Nomar as Ken Griffey Jr. He had some incredible bad luck in 2004 and 2005. That happens. If he is healthy all the scout agree his bat still has plenty of pop. And it's not like the guy forgot how to play the game.

If Nomar is healthy and plays 140-150 games this becomes a moot point by mid-summer and we're talking about getting him signed long term.

2005-12-17 10:34:04
95.   greenchris
Jon, you make some good points and have definitely opened my eyes to the Garciaparra signing. I was all for it yesterday, but the truth is that signing him and asking him to contribute is a big ? based on his history of injuries. We shouldn't be so blind to think of him as the batting title champ and one of the games elite. He hasn't played a full season in over 2 years and his career has been marked by injuries. I was all for signing Garciaparra, although I am a little worried (scarred & scared too!) about him playing a complete season at an unfamiliar position and being asked to provide protection for Kent.

On the other hand, Choi at first doesn't really sit well with me either. I think he lacks confidence at the plate and in the field, something that Warren in post 86 was alluding to. Saenz was great at the plate in 05 but it's been stated that we should expect a decline from him in 06. Saenz/Choi platoon is average/marginal at best.

I don't like the OF help that's left on the market (Sanders & Lofton). Too old, reminds me too much of the Old Timers from up north. Don't want 'em. Damon is not coming here, so that's out of the question.

Given the options...Choi/Saenz platoon vs. Garciaparra vs. OF help via free agency (Sanders, Lofton) I am not sure what I would choose.

2005-12-17 10:42:10
96.   greenchris
95 - "If Nomar is healthy and plays 140-150 games this becomes a moot point by mid-summer and we're talking about getting him signed long term"

When you say long-term I hope you mean a 2 year contract. There is no way I would give someone like Garciaparra more than 2 years based on his recent history of injuries. That's very aggressive of you to assume he is going to play 140-150 games based on the last 2 years. I think if he comes here he platoons with Saenz and definitely plays less than 140 games.

Another maybe...If we sign Garciaparra, what happens to Izzy?

2005-12-17 10:42:16
97.   Screwgie
95 I think he (Choi) lacks confidence at the plate and in the field... Saenz was great at the plate in 05

2005 stats:

Choi . 336 OBP .453 SLG .253 AVG 15 HR
Seanz .325 OBP .480 SLG .263 AVG 15 HR

Discounting biased perception, how can Seanz be "great" at the plate while Choi "lacks confidence"?

2005-12-17 10:44:51
98.   Bob Timmermann
I don't think Choi would be headed to Japan. If the Dodgers don't want him, there should be another team in MLB that will sign him. Choi likely wouldn't command a big salary. Maybe the Marlins would want him back.
2005-12-17 10:45:36
99.   Vishal
ugh, if repko makes the roster and choi is non-tendered...
2005-12-17 10:47:48
100.   JJoeScott
I can't think of another MLB team on which Choi would be considered a leading candidate to start at 1B. Even if we sign Nomar (please!!), why not give a serious shot to Loney or one of the kids?
Show/Hide Comments 101-150
2005-12-17 10:50:24
101.   Bob Timmermann
Choi might not start for another team, but I would think many teams would like to have him in some capacity.
2005-12-17 10:51:16
102.   JJoeScott
And, FWIW, if we sign Nomar, that would be enough to reverse my position on NOT putting money in McCourt's pocket.
2005-12-17 10:51:50
103.   molokai
Don't shy away from Nomar. No I don't want him playing 1st base but I do want him on the team. Nomar is going to have a great comeback season and I want that season to take place with the Dodgers. Course if he blows out his hammy, just forget I ever posted this.
2005-12-17 10:52:54
104.   JJoeScott
101 Bob - Love the Griddle, by the way. Choi might be a useful AL guy - can DH, play some 1B, start an inning.
2005-12-17 10:54:50
105.   JJoeScott
Carolyn Hughes, Mia Hamm, Mrs. Drew ...
2005-12-17 10:58:19
106.   blue22
98/100 - The Marlins current firstbasemen is some guy named Jason Stokes. I'd think the Marlins would be delighted to have Choi back.
2005-12-17 10:58:46
107.   Bob Timmermann
The Marlins also have Mike Jacobs to play first base.
2005-12-17 11:04:55
108.   Sam DC
If you guys are worried about the Bruins, that was my fault. I flipped it on a few minutes ago and saw that we were up by 14. I shut the darn thing off when it got down to 4. Should be OK by now, I expect.
2005-12-17 11:09:03
109.   molokai
106
Actually the Marlins 1st baseman is Jacobs who they received from the Mets. Stokes is still a year away and Jacobs projects to be at least as good as Choi if not better. They currently have Josh Willingham scheduled to be the catcher but he also could see time at 1st base. They have no need of Choi.
2005-12-17 11:09:07
110.   greenchris
IMO, Choi blows. Saenz was hitting over .290 all year up until September when he hit a brick wall. I don't want to disect these numbers, but in this case I feel it is warranted due to the fact that Saenz is not a full time player, but rather a solid platoon guy.

Saenz stats Apr - Aug
.354 OBP .544 SLG .294 AVG 14 HR (See monthly HR totals below for production consistency)

Saenz September stats
.231 OBP .283 SLG .167 AVG 1 HR

Saenz' monthly HR & RBI Totals
Apr - 2 HR 11 RBI
May - 3 HR 11 RBI
Jun - 2 HR 9 RBI
Jul - 3 HR 8 RBI
Aug - 4 HR 19 RBI
Sep - 1 HR 4 RBI

Perhaps due to his age, got tired at the end of the season...who knows. I am not suggesting he is our full time 1B, rather that he is a solid platoon guy and that other than September at least he was for the most part consistent throughout the year. He had an outstanding August, which was inconsisten with the rest of the year, but it was positive inconsistency in terms of his HR & RBI output, so I'll use it my favor to prove my point.

Choi often looks uncomfortable at the plate, just my opinion, and at no time during the season did his numbers even come close to Saenz' numbers during the April through August period. Even during that stretch where Choi hit those 6 HR's, he hit .205 for the month. IMO, Choi is inconsistent, lacks confidence, and often looks uncomfortable. When the games on the line, I would much rather have Saenz at the plater than Choi up there looking like he would rather get a free pass, again my opinion.

2005-12-17 11:09:51
111.   greenchris
BTW, 110 was in response to 97
2005-12-17 11:10:25
112.   Bob Timmermann
When I woke up this morning, I turned on the UCLA-Michigan game and the Wolverines led 8-0.

Then it got better. I wasn't too worried about UCLA losing at the end. UCLA's defense looked too good to let Michigan back in it.

At least some athletic team at UCLA can play defense.

2005-12-17 11:11:29
113.   regfairfield
100 Sounds like a challenge

1. Yankees - Over...Andy Phelps?
2. Red Sox - Versus...I don't even know. Lowell?
3. Orioles - Javy Lopez? Not if he puts up these numbers again: .278/.322/.458
4. Indians - Ben Broussard.
5. Royals - Doug Mientkiwitz
6. Angels - Darin Erstad
7. As - Effectively Nick Swisher
8. Braves - Adam LaRoche
9. Florida - Jason Stokes
10. Houston - Effectively a choice between Mike Lamb and Chris Burke
11. Padres - Klesko? Some guy named Dave McNaulty
12. Giants - Lance Neikro.

Those are some pretty good teams on that list.

2005-12-17 11:12:30
114.   Vishal
[100]let's see...

al west
angels: choi > erstad? sure. maybe not kotchman though.

al central
indians: choi > ben broussard? i think so.
royals: choi > mientkiewiczcweds? yeah.
tigers: choi > shelton or dmitri young? maybe not, but he'd be in the mix.

al east
tampa bay: huff is at first, but huff at third over burroughs and choi at first is better than huff at first, burroughs at third.
orioles: choi > walter young or jay gibbons? sure.
red sox: choi > youkilis? meh?

nl east:
i guess maybe not in this division. even the marlins have a decent 1b prospect in jacobs, it seems. though i'd say choi is at least as good as adam laroche of the braves.

nl central:
pirates: well, not with jim tracy managing, but choi is definitely better than sean casey.

nl west
padres: choi > klesko? sure.
giants: choi > niekro? yeah.

anyway, that's still a lot of teams, not even counting the dodgers.

2005-12-17 11:13:26
115.   Vishal
haha looks like reg beat me to it. i was thinking the yankees would play giambi at first, but if not, then yeah, choi would be a "leading candidate" for them too.
2005-12-17 11:14:49
116.   regfairfield
115 If he does, it's still effectively choosing between Choi and Bernie Williams for the DH job, at least for now.
2005-12-17 11:16:12
117.   Bob Timmermann
The Giants already have a first base platoon with Niekro and Sweeney, so Choi would be superfluous there.
2005-12-17 11:20:17
118.   RELX
One thing I am concerned about if we sign Nomar--why is everyone so certain that he can play 1B? He has never played the position before, and sticking him at 1B for 120-140 games seems very risky, especially with Kent at 2B. Not a very good defensive right side of the infield. I agree with the poster who said we should stick Nomar at 2B and Kent at 1B if we are going to get rid of Choi. I would personally stick Nomar in LF, where he can't hurt us as much defensively, sign somone like Sanders, and go with a Nomar/Drew/Cruz/Ledee/Sanders/Werth OF combo. Since there are no dominant players on the market, i would try to patch together enough guys who can be productive playing 100 games.

A lineup of:

Furcal SS
Mueller 3B
Drew CF
Kent 2B
Garciaparra LF
Sanders/Cruz/Werth RF (or LF is Nomar gets hurt)
Choi/Saenz 1B
Navarro C

while not full of potential all-stars except for Kent and Drew, is nevertheless solid, with few major holes. No Edwards-types at all.

As far as Choi, I don't think batting him 7th is much of a risk, as the pressure on him would be low. The worst that happens is that you give him a chance for the first half of the year, and if he really proves he can't cut it, when Izturis is ready you move him to 2B, Kent to 1B, and put Choi on the bench, then get rid of him at the end of the year.

I do think this is a make or break year for Choi--he is young enough to still have "potential. However, if he reaches 27, 28 and still hasn't shown that potential, I think the anti-Choi faction will be right.

2005-12-17 11:21:22
119.   Vishal
[117] you'd pick sweeney-the-lesser over choi in that platoon?
2005-12-17 11:25:23
120.   RELX
114. Choi is > than Sean Casey, Aubrey Huff, Darin Erstad and Ryan Klesko? Hmm...
2005-12-17 11:25:46
121.   Bob Timmermann
Were we discussing Choi being better than an incumbent first baseman or just finding a team where he would play?
2005-12-17 11:26:53
122.   molokai
114
Hate to quibble with your list but I'll take Jay Gibbons over Choi in a heartbeat. He's going to mash next year. All his trends are moving up and he's geared up for his career year in 2006.
Chris Shelton or D Young. Shelton in his 1st taste of real playing time was awesome. The dude posted an 870 OPS in his 1st year in a pitching park.
Your trying to sell an 790OPS player with a possiblity of 820-850 against players who are young and already posting those kind of numbers.
2005-12-17 11:27:35
123.   greenchris
I don't think Choi is better than Casey or Huff. Huff's numbers have been declining over the last few years, but I'd still take him over Choi in a heartbeat.

Klasko vs. Choi is a wash IMO
Erstad vs. Choi, I'd pick Erstad only for the "clubhouse/gamer" factor.

2005-12-17 11:31:59
124.   fanerman
Our perceptions on "which first baseman Choi is better than" depend on how we rate Choi. ie, whether we look at his stats or whether we look at how "uncomfortable" he is at the plate.

What amazes me is the first thing people say when they bring up that July home run binge is "take that away and he's such a bad player." Why not say "wow, he hit 6 home runs in such a short span. Maybe he deserves to play a little more."

But it seems impossible for anybody to change their mind on the Choi argument...

2005-12-17 11:38:14
125.   greenchris
124 - Choi hit the 6 HR's in June not July. FYI, Choi hit .205 in June with 7 HR's and 11 RBI's. He went to the plate 73 times in June, the most during any month. IMO, he was given a shot in June. He hit .205 with 7 HR's and 11 RBi's which is not that great. I think he was a bad player in June as well as the rest of the year.
2005-12-17 11:38:47
126.   fanerman
I just noticed that I've been quoted in the sidebar (finals have kept me from thorough readings of the site lately).

What an honor. Thanks Jon.

2005-12-17 11:42:30
127.   sanchez101
124. ill believe in the "take that away and he's such a bad player" argument when you can explain to me why he was benched for over a week immediatly after hitting those 6 homeruns, its not as if he got cold, Tracy just stopped putting him in the lineup.

Keep in mind while your comparing Choi to guys like Casey, Klesko, Huff, and Erstad that Choi is cheaper and younger than all those guys. Casey, Klesko and Huff all have been better over the past 2-3 years than Choi, though.

123. how much is the "clubhouse/gamer" factor worth in terms of wins, or runs, or $$$?

122. Dont cut Choi's potential short. Look at Choi's EQA versus David Ortiz at the same ages:

Player 24 25 26
Ortiz 275 273 287
Choi 269 288 275

ages 24-26 choi has a 277 EQA, ortiz 278.
BP's Pecota projection has David Ortiz as Choi's 2nd best comparable player with a similarity score of 43, Thome is also on the list with a score of 28, as is Tim Salmon, 26, and Mo Vaughn 22. I wouldnt garuantee it, but Choi still has it in him to be a elite level hitter. It would be nice if he got some playing time, keep in mind that the only time Choi's gotten everyday playing time, in Florida, he hit 270/388/495 in a pitchers park.

2005-12-17 11:44:22
128.   regfairfield
120 I think the point was more that Choi is better than Burroughs.

Of course, if you put Erstad ahead of Choi, that's just asking for trouble.

2005-12-17 11:44:33
129.   D4P
125
From June 10-14, Choi hit 7 HRs in 4 games, all while batting in the #2 spot in the lineup. Then, on June 15th, Tracy moved Choi down in the lineup, where Hee would pretty much stay. Hee struggled from that point forward.
2005-12-17 11:55:39
130.   Big Game
124: Thank you for pointing out tracy sitting choi right after the HR outburst.

if you can arbitrarily remove the 6HR's he hit against the Twins to make your point that Choi is no good, then I can remove 20 of his k's to make my point.

the guy may not be a "gamer" (whatever that is) and he may look "uncomfortable" at the plate, but his numbers are obviously comparable to any 1b options the dodgers have, so why not play him? let him come to spring training and prove himself. hes only 27 come opening day. he hasnt had enough of a chance to prove himself.

2005-12-17 11:57:06
131.   fanerman
Choi's "inconsistencies/struggles":
By OPS, each month Choi hit:
.818/.774/.773/.807/.971/.661

Saenz hit:
1.078/.990/.723/.784/.913/.514

(not counting October)

Choi was actually more consistent than Saenz and actually out-OPSed him the last 4 months of the season.

From July onward, Choi only had 47, 35, and 37 at-bats. The most inconsistent thing about Choi's 2005 performance was his playing time. If Choi's inconsistent, so is nearly every other player in baseball. All players go through hot and cold streaks. Why Choi's streaks are magnified compared to others must be due to some bias or something.

2005-12-17 11:59:12
132.   greenchris
129 - from that assesment I conclude that Choi has to have a hot JD Drew batting behind/protecting him in order to get the pitches he needs to contribute. When dropped to down in the order where the #8 hitter is there to protect him Choi can't stand on his own 2 feet.
2005-12-17 12:02:40
133.   sanchez101
130. thats the point. The bottom line is that Choi is at least adaquate for 1B. I dont know where this sentiment that Choi floundered last season, his OPS was 789. All were saying is give Choi a chance.

as for the rediculas, he's not a "gamer" or "he just looks uncomfortable at the plate" accusations, its just stupid. How he's hit walk off homeruns, he's a good teamate. He got along great with Milton Bradley, never complained about sitting on the bench while Jason Phillips started at 1B, and always has a smile on, not to mention is a fan favorite at Dodger Stadium, those all sound like "gamer" qualities to me. He doesnt look uncomfortable at the plate. Ive probably watched 95% of Choi's PA's with the Dodgers, and not once have I thought that he looks "uncomfortable at the plate".

2005-12-17 12:02:41
134.   Big Game
132. of course. who wouldnt benefit from that situation? and why change it if its beneficial?
2005-12-17 12:04:27
135.   capdodger
132 Yeah... no one else ever benefited from hitting before or after the best hitter on the team. I'm looking at you Jeff Kent.
2005-12-17 12:05:46
136.   sanchez101
132. in April Choi was hitting 259/355/463, all while Drew was hitting .259 with a slug% of .444.
2005-12-17 12:05:47
137.   capdodger
134 Because Koreans who are taller than six foot clog up the basepaths with their walks, can't execute the hit and run, and according to the Book of Tracy, shouldn't hit in the second spot.
2005-12-17 12:06:24
138.   Adam B
I think I figured out Coletti's plan. Mimic the Dan Duquette era Red Sox.
2005-12-17 12:06:32
139.   Big Game
133. besides being adequate, he has an upside still. he's young and has been rather healthy as well, which should be a huge consideration if people are wanting to replace him with Nomar.
2005-12-17 12:06:43
141.   D4P
132
Even if it were true that "Choi needs Drew behind him" in order to succeed, who cares? Are you saying you don't want a guy hitting 7 HRs in 4 games because there was a good hitter hitting behind him? You only want a guy hitting 7 HRs in 4 games if he has a bad hitter hitting behind him?
2005-12-17 12:07:14
142.   Fallout
127 sanchez101

explain to me why he was benched for over a week immediatly after hitting those 6 homeruns,...

That's a good question. Could it be that in the following games that the Dodgers were facing hard throwing pitchers? I don't know. But from the Cubs to Florida to LA the scouts said that he cannot get around on the plus fastball.

2005-12-17 12:08:19
143.   capdodger
142 Pitchers with funny arm angles most likely.
2005-12-17 12:08:53
144.   RELX
I'll admit i used to be in the anti-Choi camp, because he does look uncomfortable at the plate--sometimes he barely looks like a major league hitter. However, i agree that Tracy never gave him a chance in the second half, especially since the team was going nowhere. If you take Choi's stats from 2004 and 2005, he got approx 600 AB's, which is about a full MLB season. Over those 600 AB's, he hit 30 HRS, drove in 88 runs, walked 95 times, stuck out 176 times, his OPS were .883 in 2004 with the Marlins, .581 in 2004 with LA, and .789 last year. His overall BA was around .260. Tell me, would you not take a guy in the 7-hole in your line-up who could hit .260, with 25-30 HRS, 75-80 RBI and probably 70-75 walks. Granted, he would strike out 150 times, but this is yout #7 hitter, plus you are paying him next to nothing. As i said, from someone who used to be anti-Choi, I think he should be allowed to play everyday until he proves he can't.
2005-12-17 12:09:40
145.   capdodger
142 And most players can't get around on a "plus" fastball. That's why it's a "plus" fastball instead of a normal fastball.
2005-12-17 12:13:45
146.   sanchez101
142. after the series against the Twins when he hit 6 home runs in 3 games, the Dodgers played the Royals, White Sox, and Padres. The only real hard throwing starter on those teams is Contreras and Peavy.

Ive heard sportswriters claim that he couldnt handle good fastballs, but all scouts have conceded is that he has trouble with hard stuff up and in. Either way, is that really a reason to keep him on the bench, Milton Bradley also has problems with hard fastballs, I dont remember him sitting against power pitchers.

2005-12-17 12:15:45
147.   sanchez101
143. i think its worth pointing out that Tracy's famous, "im sitting Choi because of the opposing pitcher has a funny arm angle" was in reference to Woody Williams.
2005-12-17 12:16:37
148.   D4P
Anyone have access to "funny arm angle" batting splits?
2005-12-17 12:17:35
149.   greenchris
131 - I'd take Saenz's inconsistent OPS numbers over Choi's consistent OPS numbers any day. I guess you could call Choi consistent if you want his average to below average production on a consistent basis.

Saenz's inconsistency is actually positive inconsistency. His OPS numbers for the year should have been closer to around the .784 that he put up in July (his season OPS was .804, Choi's was .789). The months where Saenz's OPS numbers were above his season average, they were considerably above that number. Choi had one month where his OPS by month was considerably higher than his season average (August).

You contend that Choi goes through hot and cold streak and that his streaks are magnified. I am not magnifying his streaks at all, rather I am contending that he is an overall bad player.

Maybe Choi needs consistent playing time, but if that's the case, he's not going to get it in LA. He's got Saenz to contend with and if we get Nomar he's playing time should diminish considerably. If we have Nomar & Saenz, his numbers should be very marginal in 06 based on the assumption that he needs consistent playing time and should probably be shipped out.

2005-12-17 12:23:12
150.   RELX
IMHO, Saenz had a career year in 2005. I think he is a nice bat to have on the bench, has some pop, and can be a productive player if you keep him in the 150-200 AB range.
Show/Hide Comments 151-200
2005-12-17 12:25:56
151.   Kayaker7
149 Really, what is the point of talking to you, when you choose to believe one set of numbers then totally discount others? You want to take away Choi's HR binge and Saenz's late season swoon, go right ahead. You have little credibility when you write things like, "I am contending that he is an overall bad player." By any objective measure, he was an average first baseman. Since when was average = bad?
2005-12-17 12:25:59
152.   greenchris
141 - I don't care if he needs protection in order to produce, I am just using that to further my point that he is a bad player and that he can't hit a lick when dropped to the bottom of the order where more often than not he's not going to be given the luxury of getting some protection behind him.

Looking at the team in 06, I'd give it a very small chance of Choi getting some protection in the line-up and would use this to further my point that he will probably not significantly contribute to the team.

2005-12-17 12:26:58
153.   capdodger
147 Thanks for the clarifacation. I just think that that particular episode reflected Tracy's opinion of Choi so well that it's worth bringing up in any "Choi Thought's" thread. When Tracy bring up arm angles as a reason to sit a player, it should be clear to everyone that he's look for reason not to play said player.
2005-12-17 12:28:36
154.   Big Game
149. greenchris

ill take 27 yr old Choi's average yet consistent numbers over 35 yr old Saenz's positively inconsistant numbers.
2005-12-17 12:34:49
155.   Vishal
[128] thanks. i was indeed saying choi is better than burroughs, NOT that that he's somehow better than huff. and yes, [120], i'd rather have choi than casey or klesko or erstad.
2005-12-17 12:35:22
156.   Blu2
For a moment let us assume that we sign Nomar to play first. (You really think Mia Hamm is good looking? She never showed me anything.) Who does Choi have to beat out to keep a spot on the 25 man roster? Phillips, Repko, Edwards...?
2005-12-17 12:37:16
157.   Big Game
152.

so basically youre saying that regardless of numbers and performance, you just flat out dont like Choi?

2005-12-17 12:38:14
158.   Fallout
If we assume that we sign Nomar to play first, Choi will not be around anymore.
2005-12-17 12:39:20
159.   greenchris
151 - Look at 150, that is basically what I am saying. My first post when disecting Saenz's production in 05 contends that he is a platoon player, and I also said that a possible reason why he hit that streak because he tired at the end of the year (see 110). I also thought Saenz's offensive production in 05 was solid and unexpected.

IMO, I don't see Choi as being a good player. I have season seats behind first base and have had them for 15 years now, I went to more than 30 games last year, and I saw a lot of Choi both in person and on TV. I admit, I was impressed when he hit those HR's, and not one time have I discounted his little outburst to support my argument that he is a bad player. Others have tried to state that he hit those because he was batting 2nd, Tracy moved him down in the order, lack of playing time, etc. I'll use those excuses to further my point that he is a bad player and that he probably won't improve in 06. I am merely expressing my opinion about Choi, objective or not, which is that he is an average player at best, and I would prefer to rank him in the below average range.

2005-12-17 12:44:10
160.   greenchris
154 - I said from the start that Saenz is a platoon player, never said full time player. I appreciate your opinion. I think mine is pretty obvious.

157 - Where do you get that from? I've never met the guy, how could I be expected to not like the guy? I think he is an average to below average player based on his production over the last year and a half.

2005-12-17 12:47:12
161.   greenchris
Have to go now...Have fun with this...Nice talking with you guys, Peace everyone!
2005-12-17 12:48:30
162.   Big Game
160:

look at the numbers in 144: "If you take Choi's stats from 2004 and 2005, he got approx 600 AB's, which is about a full MLB season. Over those 600 AB's, he hit 30 HRS, drove in 88 runs, walked 95 times, stuck out 176 times, his OPS were .883 in 2004 with the Marlins, .581 in 2004 with LA, and .789 last year. His overall BA was around .260."

his production is not below average. you just said you would prefer to rank him as a below average player. but the numbers indicate otherwise, so why else do you think he's below average?

2005-12-17 12:48:32
163.   gregsmokler
on another topic: if colletti does win the nomah sweepstakes he will have continued the depo tradition of shaping one of the most versatile lineups in MLB. with players that can man all the IF positions (mueller, kent, aybar, robles, nomar) as well as a handful of OFers (werth, ledee, cruz, nomah?) capable of covering any OF position without embarrassing themselves.

most of these men are depo's (sigh) but i think we could agree that depo wouldn't kick nomah or mueller out of bed, even if they left crumbs.

2005-12-17 12:57:55
164.   Vishal
[122] fine, even if you like gibbons, if i were the orioles and i had choi, i would at least platoon choi with byrnes. against RHP, it's gibbons in the OF and choi at first, and against LHP it's gibbons at first and byrnes in left.
2005-12-17 13:00:19
165.   capdodger
159 Ooohh... The "I watch more baseball than you" argument. I love that one. Where's Steve?
2005-12-17 13:00:39
166.   blue2thebone
Nomar at 1st base is better than no nomar at all. I would rather see him fill the hole in lf, and keep the Saenz/Choi platoon at 1st.

Though he's been hurt the past couple of years, he has a proven track record, and returned strong at the end of last year...and he has a lot to prove this year! Sure, he could get injured again - that's very possible, but that's why we need a strong bench.

As for Choi, he doesn't thrill me, but I'm willing to give him another chance 'cause he has shown potential. But, I'm another of those he feel he looks uncomfortable at the plate, and he needs to earn my confidence. I think he could really excel at the plate if he's surrounded by other good hitters instead of the patchwork lineup we had last year.

That's another reason to get Nomar!

2005-12-17 13:09:59
167.   Wayne Wei-siang Hsieh
The media reports about Nomar playing 1B are somewhat concerning, but the media also reported a firm contract offer to JT Snow. I doubt Colletti has fully made up in his own mind whether or not he will play Nomah at 1B, if Nomah does sign. I haven't seen any firm comments by him on any of this, so for now, I at least won't be too concerned.

WWSH

2005-12-17 13:13:39
168.   SiGeg
But the real question about Nomar is: "Would he look comfortable at the plate?"
2005-12-17 13:15:31
169.   Fallout
165 capdodger
The "I watch more baseball than you" argument.

I didn't read that.

2005-12-17 13:15:40
170.   capdodger
167 That's a good point. I'm more likely to believe the Nomahh-to-first rumors when I actually here Mr. Ned say, "Nomar will play first", or when Choi is non-tendered. Since he has neither said something like the former nor done the latter, I'll keep my powder dry. I am encouraged, though, by what Mr. Ned has said repeatedly: that first base is not one of the Dodgers' major problems. That the media can't get it through their heads is not really an issue.
2005-12-17 13:18:05
171.   capdodger
165 Mr. Greenchris played the "season ticket" trump card in support of his opinion that he's a better judge of Choi's talent than the rest of us, regardless of what the stats say. That kind of stuff tends to set others off.
2005-12-17 13:21:25
172.   GoBears
Look, some guys just look awkward. Especially big guys. This is precisely the reason we need to leaven the visual observations of scouts with the cold hard data of production. Kent looks awkward playing 2b, but it turns out he's not nearly as bad as he looks. You want awkward? Look no further than Vlad Guerrero. He runs like he's got a broom handle up his tuchas, and looks bad on pitches he misses all the time. And no one is going to argue that he's not among the best there is. Before you investigate the interior of my esophagus, no, I don't think Choi has any chance to be as good as Vladdy. I'm just using Vlad as an example of how your eyes can deceive you. Look at the stats - they really do tell the whole story, as long as you know which ones to look at (i.e., not batting average or RBIs). There are also, as we know, players who look graceful and athletic who aren't any good. Rey Ordonez is my poster child for this defensively. Lots of Sportscenter moments, but overall not so hot defensively.
JT Snow is another. Lots of diving highlight plays, but not really great range any more.
2005-12-17 13:23:43
173.   popup
Nomar is not needed on this team unless they can turn him into a starting pitcher who can go 200+ innings and win 15+ games.

Stan from Tacoma

2005-12-17 13:26:20
174.   Big Game
165.

that argument would be great had i not attended between 25-40 games a year since 02.

2005-12-17 13:27:51
175.   GoBears
Yeah, unless some of the local print boys are getting inside info from Colletti, I see no reason to expect Nomar at 1b. I think they just look at Nomar, see SS, 2b, and 3b filled by guys they respect, and figure, well, it has to be 1b or LF, and since we figure everyone knows Choi stinks, maybe it's first. I choose not to believe it, because it makes no sense. Not only because the Choi/Saenz platoon is plenty more than sufficient, and probably better than Nomar, but also because I don't see the logic of putting Mr. Groin Injury at the position that requires the most sudden stretching. LF is a lot easier on the body from that standpoint. And I'd guess that Nomar can still run, which is LF's major demand. If he can't run, then he'd better be Barry Bonds or Adam Dunn offensively (all HRs and BBs).
2005-12-17 13:29:09
176.   Fallout
171. capdodger

I think that he supported his opinion by what he saw...not just by what he had read.
You can question his ability to judge talent, but to call it a "trump card" because he is a season ticket holder and sees a lot of games is just name calling.

2005-12-17 13:30:13
177.   GoBears
173 Good one, Stan. Hey, why not? He has a great arm...

Naw, he'd probably aggravate the groin fielding his first bunt...

2005-12-17 13:30:25
178.   Robert Daeley
That's it: Choi for Tejada, straight up. We desperately need another shortstop on the team. ;)
2005-12-17 13:30:31
179.   Wayne Wei-siang Hsieh
If we sign Nomah, but Choi is tendered a contract, and Colletti continues to play his cards close to his vest regarding positions, do we assume that it's not yet time to bring out the pitchforks?

Eventually this will all sort itself out, but I think we might have to wait a while before we're sure of Big Choi's status.

WWSH

2005-12-17 13:31:25
180.   capdodger
171 Which is exactly what I'm doing.
2005-12-17 13:32:07
181.   trainwreck
Do not have a link as I read it on one of my sports boards but looks like there is another ex-Dodger headed to Japan...

according to Hochi Sports, Kazuhisa Ishii has decided to re-sign with Yakult.

2005-12-17 13:33:19
182.   Big Game
180

but i went to relatively the same amount of games and have come up with a different conclusion about choi.

2005-12-17 13:37:58
183.   greenchris
Not using season ticket argument nor the I watch more baseball than you argument, just feel like I am getting attacked a little bit and trying to give some credibility to my baseball opinions. Am I the only one that feels that Choi is below average? I have seen plenty of ther posts saying basically that.

I never said I watch more baseball than you, nor the fact that I have season tickets make my argument more credible than anyone elses. Rather merely using that to say that I have seen Choi as well as many other players during my tenure as a baseball fan, and my assesment of an average or below average player is based on just that. Is that soooo wrong?

2005-12-17 13:41:25
184.   Fallout
183. greenchris
Did you see 176 ?

182. Big Game
If you agree with him then it's not the "trump card".

2005-12-17 13:41:50
185.   Dark Horse
Oh God, let us unload Choi if it will prevent us from having this discussion ever again...

Seriously, I figure a gimpy Nomar at first would be a downgrade, a healthy one possibly a very slight upgrade, and the whole thing moot because he likely won't play there if he does for us at all. I don't mind Choi, but the rabid attachment some people here have for him seems utterly irrational. He's--at best--a very patchy player with canteloupe-sized holes in his swing who can hit the ball a long, long way occasionally. Not often enough for my own liking, but we could afford to keep him if we had a legitimate power-hitting outfielder. We don't (yet) and Nomar is probably not-quite-legitimate-enough in that regard either. But Choi is not--he will not become--David Ortiz either. "Sufficient" he may be, but he is not by a long shot the best we could have at that position.

2005-12-17 13:41:57
186.   greenchris
165 - You guys are remarkable..."Mr. Greenchris played the "season ticket" trump card in support of his opinion that he's a better judge of Choi's talent than the rest of us, regardless of what the stats say. That kind of stuff tends to set others off"

Please see 183, I am not trying to do what you are accusing me of. Yes, because I can afford season tickets and you low-life's...Oh, forget it...

2005-12-17 13:42:11
187.   greenchris
J/K btw
2005-12-17 13:43:23
188.   greenchris
184 - yes, thank you
2005-12-17 13:48:32
189.   GoBears
183 I think the reaction was to your (implied) preference for personal observation over stats. We've all observed Choi (and everyone else). Frankly, I think you see more on TV than you do at the game, no matter how good your seats, what with replays and multiple angles and whatnot. But this is a community that values the objective over the subjective (or at least as an important supplement to the subjective), so anything that sounds like "I know what I saw" raises a red flag, even if your intent was not to denigrate the objective.

But I for one appreciate your point of view. You are decidedly NOT making the most infuriating sort of argument, which is to focus on one or two plays as sufficient evidence that Choi is no good. The singular of "data" is "anecdote." Your approach has been, so far, to look at Choi's entire body of work, but with a different measuring stick (visual observation) than a lot of us prefer (performance data).

Keep it coming, greenchris. Reasonable and polite disagreement is always interesting.

2005-12-17 13:48:39
190.   greenchris
185 - Good point, I agree with that assesment and given the choice that seems to be before us: Choi/Saenz platoon vs. Nomar vs. OF Free Agent (Sanders, Lofton) I am undecided.
2005-12-17 13:50:19
191.   greenchris
189 - Thanks, I am not sure how much I have left in me...have to go XMAS shopping soon. Already an hour late thanks to this little debate!
2005-12-17 13:51:41
192.   trainwreck
Haha such a nice guy is such a polarizing figure like Bono...oh lord how I hate Bono.
2005-12-17 13:52:38
193.   trainwreck
*figure, like Bono...
2005-12-17 13:55:11
194.   Fletch
I want Nomar on this team. A) He is a quality guy in the clubhouse B) He is a gamer and will bring a spark C) His wife is a hottie. Let the season play out and let him find his position.

I do suggest that we change the name of the page to Dodger Thoughts on why Jon loves Hee Seop Choi

2005-12-17 13:55:45
195.   Steve
The anti-Choi filibustering is reaching comic proportions. Willie Stargell had some great years at first. We'll just sign him.
2005-12-17 14:00:19
196.   capdodger
176... Silly premature striking of the enter key...

I'll cop to the name calling charge, but I'd do it again. I've got every game I watched this season archived and on file. Does that make me a better judge of talent? No, and just because he saw 40 some odd games in person he's not better than you, me, or Jon. My season ticket jab It's nothing to do with being a season ticket holder. I live in DC, so it wouldn't do me that much good if I had season tickets. I did see Choi hit a mammoth shot out of RFK though FWIW.

My problem is with the argument Greenchris was making. He was seeing the argument flow against him as the objective evidence stacked up against his opinion. This is wont to happen here when someone starts in on this particular topic. So he pulled the only thing he had left: That Choi is bad because he seems clumsy in GC's opinion. This type of argument has been the refuge of scoundrels in the past. It's somewhat annoying to see a new handle pop up everycouple of days and have the argument reahashed. The argument discounts good games Choi may have had when GC was not in attendace, (ie Choi's fabulous defensive game agins the Mets.)

As GoBears said in 175 many productive ballplayers can look somewhat unseemly. The eyes can be tricky, and it's best not to trust them. This lack of trust in subjective observation should go both ways. Many, myself inc., belived that JT was a bunt-happy lunatic last season. Sadly, as shown at Dodgermath ("Dep for Pres" on the sidbar) this wasn't the case. This is why the stats are important. They can, if we let them, clear up any misconceptions about players, managers, or teams. If we ignore them, than we're just going on gut, which is another way of saying "guessing".

2005-12-17 14:02:30
197.   capdodger
189 Has expounded on what I was getting at in 176 and later in 196.
2005-12-17 14:03:17
198.   capdodger
191 Good luck with the shopping!
2005-12-17 14:06:11
199.   Steve
196 -- I'll cop to the name calling charge

Why? Because someone told you to? You called that guy out for exactly the right reason. We all watch a lot of baseball, that's why we're here. It is used as a trump card, it is nothing but condescension, and it should be derided when attempted.

2005-12-17 14:06:21
200.   Curtis Lowe
181- How funny now they have two horrible pitchers with the last name of Iishi.

O shi.

Show/Hide Comments 201-250
2005-12-17 14:07:28
201.   Kayaker7
Perhaps I'm confusing Warren and Greenchris, but I could have sworn one of them complained that Choi was inconsistent. Then when someone showed numbers to prove that Saenz was even more so, then he reponded by saying that he still preferred Saenz's inconsistency. Why not just come out and say, "My mind is made up, and no amount of data and logic will persuade me?"
2005-12-17 14:07:37
202.   capdodger
199 Which is why I'd still do it again.
2005-12-17 14:11:07
203.   Steve
202 -- It's completely useless. We could all just pull out the list as long as our arms of all the things that prove our baseball fanaticism. Well, duh. Welcome to this website.

"I've watched a lot of baseball and I think that Hee Seop Choi will become the next Willie McCovey. He has cat-like reflexes and the swing of Ted Williams." Helpful, ain't it?

2005-12-17 14:11:52
204.   capdodger
201 Warren was carrying the flag for that arguement but GC picked it up in 110.
2005-12-17 14:12:20
205.   greenchris
Not only does he seem clumsy when watching him about 40 times with my seats directly to his left, but IMO his numbers are average to below average, and I would rate him near the bottom out of all available 1B in the majors.

IMO, Saenz is a solid platoon guy, but I would not make the same assesment for Choi. Many of you are saying he is not a solid platoon guy because he hasn't been given a fair shot. I take the other side fo the fence.

CAPDODGER, So what if he hit a mammoth shot in RFK. 330 ft or 500 ft, it's still a HR isn't it? Your statement here is basically the same problem that you have with my claims (observations vs. statistical analysis)...please don't make the same mistake I already made, and if I were you I would retract that statement IMMEDIATELY!

2005-12-17 14:12:27
206.   Fallout
Your goon answered. 165
2005-12-17 14:12:48
207.   Steve
204 -- I have read on this very website that Paul LoDuca is consistent. Consistent is code for "I like you."
2005-12-17 14:13:29
208.   capdodger
203 (sarc) Who's to say he won't? (/sarc)
2005-12-17 14:18:48
209.   Steve
"The sum of the square roots of any two sides of an isosceles triangle is equal to the square root of the remaining side!"
2005-12-17 14:20:20
210.   greenchris
BTW, thanks for the shopping well wishes! Happy Holidays
2005-12-17 14:21:01
211.   capdodger
205 You missed the point about the RFK HR. It was just one homerun. It doesn't matter how far it went or loud it was. It cleared the fence. That, and that it shows in the stats, is what matters.
2005-12-17 14:21:49
212.   willhite
If Hee Seop should be non-tendered on Tuesday, we will need to search for another unappreciated, better-than-given-credit-for poster boy or the posts to this blog will go down by 50%. Any nominees?
2005-12-17 14:22:22
213.   capdodger
210 You too!
2005-12-17 14:23:14
214.   capdodger
212 Willy Aybar? With Jon's approval of course.
2005-12-17 14:25:31
215.   willhite
214 -

Can we find somebody with a larger sample size?

2005-12-17 14:27:29
216.   capdodger
(206) I just needed to wait for nightfall so that my FJT spotlight could be silhouetted against the clouds.
2005-12-17 14:30:33
217.   greenchris
211 - Then why say it was "mammoth", that was entirely observational and should not have been stated.

Good luck with the spotlight

2005-12-17 14:31:10
218.   capdodger
215 We wouldn't need a new posterboy. We could all start complaing about Mr. Ned, and how he discounts new-fangled computers and numbers.
2005-12-17 14:34:10
219.   willhite
Drew is one of my favorite Dodgers so this may just be a paranoid thought; however Ned made some off-handed comment in his first press conference about needing to have a chat with JD and then announced that the longest meeting he had with anyone on the team was with Drew. I'm not sure that JD portrays the "guts and gumption" personna that Ned wants to have on this team.

In other words, although I admit this is a little far fetched, can anyone out there see Ned signing Nomah, Lofton and/or Sanders and then trying to move Drew somewhere for a pitcher?

2005-12-17 14:34:35
220.   Marty
This thread has convinced me that I want no part of Nomar. Because, without a doubt, he is the most uncomfortable looking hitter at the plate I've ever seen. Has anyone watched him? He looks like he has a combination of OCD and Tourette's. He must be horrible!
2005-12-17 14:36:20
221.   Fallout
207 Steve

Not really. I think you're consistent. :)

2005-12-17 14:36:30
222.   Steve
220 -- Only people who watch a lot of baseball can make those kinds of observational judgments. Now get back to your Strat-o-Matic!
2005-12-17 14:38:45
223.   still bevens
Is Nomar the guy who has to adjust his batting gloves like 6 times each AB?
2005-12-17 14:40:58
224.   Steve
221 -- ok, that made me laugh.
2005-12-17 14:42:29
225.   capdodger
217 But observations can be deceiving. Someone who went to that game would have thought that the Dodgers had a lot of power threats, which by August was far from the truth. LA of LA batters hit 4 homeruns in that game, including soloshots by Repko, Kent, Choi (which checking the archives wasn't that big, it barely cleared the fence in RFK's somewhat deep right field), and a two-run job by Phillips.

Nat's fans were turning to me asking if this was normal. I said yes for Kent and Choi, but the others surprised me completely. Why was I able to say that? I had the statistics on hand.

BTW... your assertion that Hee's slower around the bag is slightly supported by FRAA for 2005: -4. But Hee was also 6 runs above average offensively. For replacement level salary, that's not bad.