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Today is Jeff Kent's 38th birthday. Last season, Kent defied age and a tougher home hitting environment to post better offensive statistics with the Dodgers than he had shown in his previous two seasons with Houston.
Year | G | H | 2B | HR | BB | OBP | SLG | OPS | OPS+ | EQA | VORP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2003 | 130 | 150 | 39 | 22 | 39 | .351 | .509 | .860 | 118 | .286 | 45.7 |
2004 | 145 | 156 | 34 | 27 | 49 | .348 | .531 | .879 | 124 | .289 | 55.2 |
2005 | 149 | 160 | 36 | 29 | 72 | .377 | .512 | .889 | 136 | .307 | 60.5 |
Generally speaking, because of the breakdown of the Dodger lineup, more was asked from Kent in 2005, and he delivered. His counting stats mostly improved, and even though his slugging percentage fell from 2004, his overall rate statistics improved once adjusted for park factors. (Kent hammered the ball on the road in 2005, OPSing .939, but also held his own at Dodger Stadium with an .839 OPS.)
Kent's rise in walks and on-base percentage might be explained in part by him being pitched around. But if you buy the theory that he had fewer good pitches to hit, it makes his increase in home runs even more impressive.
Few expected Kent to surpass his 2004 statistics in his first season with the Dodgers. Even fewer should expect him to surpass either his 2004 or 2005 numbers in the coming year. Unless Kent can defy the age odds again somewhat in the style of his former dance partner, Barry Bonds - others in Los Angeles will have to make up Kent's delayed but inevitable decline.
Sources: ESPN.com, Baseball-Reference.com, Baseball Prospectus
BC
Good to know you have the inside scoop on this year Jon ;)
Anyway, I noticed that although he was pitched around some last year, those brave enough to pitch down-and-in sometimes paid the price. Kent is a terrific low ball hitter.
Against the best pitcher in baseball.
Jim Tracy must have been a media darling, only in the sense that no matter who you listen or read (today its the STL radio team), they talk about how he should not have been let go.
I am sure he is fine man and he even now, he does not and will not say anything negative about DePo (the McCourts are probably another matter) and maybe no one will ever say a manager should have been let go.
STL's play-by-play guy hurts my ears.
Check that: maybe it's the color guy that's painful to listen to.
Not necessarily something to hope for, but a less productive Kent should still be top-5 at his position.
What is the probability that everything in that story is completely fabricated? It doesn't seem very high...
But if the bench has Ledee, Robles and Jose Cruz, Jr., Choi won't be on it.
I am going to bring up again a DT road trip to Vegas to see these prospects, I think it is must this year.
Agreed, plan on making several trips. Want to catch the series when Salt Lake comes to town.
As for Kent, he's not going to be very good this year. No more than 20 home runs .260-.270 BA.
He hasn't been 38 before either:)
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How did Washington kick an extra point without scoring a touchdown first?
When I went to a CFL game this summer, the guy who walked through the stands doing promotions asked a fan this trivia question?
"How many points for a rogue?" And that's not a typo on my part. He said "rogue".
The game I went to had none of them. And they are more frequently called "singles"/
Precisely.
The fan got the question right and won whatever sort of Toronto Argonauts stuff they were giving out.
It was Multicultural Day too. I learned that in Canada each province has a Minister of Immigration.
It is easy to predict a player such as Kent to fall off his game. Let the man fail first or until Kent retires we are going to hear the same thing year after year...."This is the season Kent's numbers should decline...after all he 57 years old!"
In Canadian football, any punt or missed field goal that is not returned out of the end zone gives the kicking team credit for one point. The offense then takes over at the 35.
The end zones are 25 yards deep so it's not all that easy.
Sportswriter Ian O'Connor once asked an Australian to name the famous Yankee once married to Marilyn Monroe. The person replied, "Y.A. Tittle?"
Who knows about Y.A. Tittle but doesn't know about Joe DiMaggio?
Especially at a time when the NFL was about 1/10 as popular as MLB.
1) There's a difference between saying someone will decline and saying he will fail.
2) "Clemens is entirely different." "It is easy to predict a player such as Kent to fall off his game." This backs the argument that as a player gets older, he is more likely to decline. To do otherwise is simply unusual. (Obviously, there are no guarantees - that's why we play the game.)
3) You also bring up Rivera, asking "Should his numbers be expected to decline this season or is he still one of the best closers in the game?"
His numbers can decline and he can still be one of the best closers in the game.
4) Kent has already suffered a dropoff - from 2002 to 2003 for example. So it's not exactly radical to suggest it might happen again.
You're welcome to predict Kent will maintain his 2005 performance until he's 57 years old. But it would be a surprise, and I don't really see what's wrong with acknowledging that.
However Odalis Perez, Moises Alou and Pedro Feliz are all on the Dominican Republic roster.
That is true. The possibility does indeed exist and grows as he ages but I'd rather wait for it to happen than expect a serious decline. Hell it might happen. Who knows. I think the idea of Kent playing until he is 57 is actually quite funny. Eh, i'd take a 57 year old Kent than Jose Valentine of last year.
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