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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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Apparently pleased with Joel Guzman's outfield play and noting his infield experience, Dodger manager Grady Little is considering Guzman for the spot on the 25-man roster tentatively held by Ramon Martinez, according to Ken Gurnick at MLB.com.
Little originally said if Guzman doesn't play every day in the big leagues, he would play every day in the Minor Leagues. Little backed a bit off that position on Monday, even though it would be highly unusual for a top prospect jumping from Double-A.
"It's sticky. There are very few people who think he can't help our club, but is it the best thing for him?" said Little. "He's done a great job adjusting to the outfield, making all the plays, and I'm confident he can do other things defensively, like shortstop and first and third base. In left field, he looks like Dave Winfield."
I'm sure you're thinking what I'm thinking - that no doubt Guzman is better than Martinez right now, but that it might harm Guzman's long-term development if he plays sporadically and doesn't get enough at-bats. But it is worth asking, does a player develop more from 500 at-bats against AAA pitching or 250 at-bats against the best in the U.S. (albeit not the world)? I'm not sure that an apprenticeship is such a bad idea.
Update: As several commenters discuss below, the kicker is Guzman's underdeveloped plate discipline. Where can he best learn balls and strikes? As I replied:
Let's put it this way - if he's going to be overwhelmed in the bigs, than keep him in AAA. If he's going to be challenged, let him apprentice. It's the difference between being overwhelmed and being challenged that I'm trying to suss out.My biggest concern:If he makes outs and he has no idea why, that's no good. If he makes outs that he can learn from, that's another thing.
I don't mind seeing Guzman starting the season in Las Vegas. The thing that does worry me is if he starts the season as the Opening Day left fielder in Los Angeles, goes 1-for 20 and the town starts ripping everyone in sight.
So all in all, in the real world, the safe move is to start Guzman in Las Vegas and wait for him to overwhelm the pitching in AAA. There are other options to supplant Ramon Martinez in the short term. And maybe it won't be a long wait.
Update 2: Jason Repko has "made the team," Steve Henson reports Grady Little saying in the Times. That means four out of six spots on the Dodger bench are taken: Olmedo Saenz, Ricky Ledee, Sandy Alomar, Jr. and Repko.
Battling for the final two spots: Guzman, Martinez, Oscar Robles, Hee Seop Choi, Willy Aybar (who got some kind words from Little in Henson's article), Cody Ross and Andre Ethier. Robles might be the favorite to take one slot, while Guzman, Martinez, Aybar and Choi vie for the other. Repko has probably taken the right-handed-hitting Ross' chance, and Ethier makes sense to start in AAA.
Update 3: The Dodgers must decide by March 29 if they want Martinez on their Opening Day roster, or give him a five-day window to find another major league employer, reports Gurnick in his latest piece.
Martinez will earn $700,000 if the Dodgers keep him; the implication is that this contract becomes guaranteed by March 29 if neither party does anything to stop it. Of course, Martinez could explore his options from March 29 through April 2 and still end up a Dodger, but one assumes that the Dodgers would be prepared to move on without him in that scenario.
No part time role for him.
If Guzman makes it over Martinez, I assume Repko, Choi, Aybar all make it too correct?
I think he needs to work on his plate discipline, and i don't think he can do that when he's not given an everyday role.
If he's only part time on the dodgers to me he would be up there hacking away to try to impresss.
Just what i think.
Man, i don't know i'm confused.
Grady keeps saying a different thing everyday.
If you add Guzman, that means Robles is staying as a left-handed hitting shortstop.
That leaves one spot, up for grabs among Repko, Choi, Ethier, Aybar, Ross and Martinez.
I don't mind seeing Guzman starting the season in Las Vegas. The thing that does worry me is if he starts the season as the Opening Day left fielder in Los Angeles, goes 1-for 20 and the town starts ripping everyone in sight.
I'm mainly thrilled at people recognizing that the team can do better than Martinez.
I love Guzman's potential, but we got a proven major leauger right there in Ramon Martinez
(this place would be goin crazy...)
One of those people isn't Ned Colletti though and he's probably calling the shots.
I'm also not convinced he'd be better than Martinez, this year. I think he probably would be, but I'm not sure anybody has a reliable AA/MLB conversion algorithm. And Little's thinking, that JtD could be a dual purpose (IF/OF) sub seems a little silly. Martinez has, what, one week less OF time than JtD?
I'm agin it, but not foursquare agin it.
1- guzman's bat is still raw
2- his k rate in AA shows he isnt ready yet
3- he needs to play everyday and get consistent at bats so he can improve his outfield play and plate discipline
4- this is going to ruin the las vegas 51s run at the PCL championship!
Good point.
I know i'm a broken record, but i don't expect guzman to outproduce cruz, but i do expect him to outproduce lofton, so if he starts everyday it should be over lofton otherwise send him to AAA.
I still think guzman will be better off seeing more pitches on an everyday basis even tho it might or might not be against lesser talent.
I agree that Guzman's plate discipline is the big issue.
Let's put it this way - if he's going to be overwhelmed in the bigs, than keep him in AAA. If he's going to be challenged, let him apprentice. It's the difference between being overwhelmed and being challenged that I'm trying to suss out.
If he makes outs and he has no idea why, that's no good. If he makes outs that he can learn from, that's another thing.
I do feel defense can be learned off the clock, as it were. Game situations are easily replicated in practice.
i dont think he is going to be challenged, i think he will flat out, fall on his face right now in the majors. Probably jason repko 2005 production but with more ISOp.
i think i might want him to be in vegas for selfish reasons. i mean, come on, who doesnt want to see a vegas lineup of
2b aybar
c martin
cf ethier
lf guzman
3b laroche
1b loney
rf young
!!!!!
You forgot
SS Martinez
Jon, meet Nate. Nate, Jon.
i would if i could. :)
If you turn him into Jason Guzman, I will hunt you down.
vikings get steve hutchinson. it was a hard fought battle with the special master ruling in the vikings favor. seattle declined to match the contract at 12ET tonight. yay!
is the difference in production between a guzman and a lucille II for the beginning of thsi year that important to possibly ruin or stagnetize (i think i just made up a word) guzman's offensive progress?
i think its in guzman's best long term interest to star the year in AAA and get 300+ or so AAA ABs before being called up.
the vikings signed hutchinson to a 7 yr 49 mil offer sheet with 16mil gaurenteed. The thing was, to keep seattle from matching the contract, the vikings place a "poison pill" into the contract language stating that if hutchinson isnt the highest paid offensive linemen on the team he is on in 2006, then the whole 49 million contract would have to be gaurenteed and paid up front as a signing bonus.
since seattle had walter jones with a larger contract then hutchinson, the poison pill would automatically apply to them if they choose to match. They thought this was unfair so they wanted a special master to decide if the poison pill clause was valid.
Nate, quick, kidnap Gourriel before he gets on a plane to go back to Cuba. How long will it take you to drive to San Diego?
billingsley and loney were suprising.
Oh, and put me down on the start Guzman in AAA camp (with the feeling, and it's just a feeling, that he'll be up before mid-season...)
C
but he did talk really loud and slow to mataszuka.
The sad part is, the same might be said about Vegas.
I think starting Guzman in Triple-A is the way to go. My guess is that Griddle is just acknowledging Guzman's nice spring camp and pumping him up a little bit. Pretty good move on Griddle's part. Let the kid know that if he's versatile and hungry, he might get up here sooner than expected.
Wouldn't it serve the Dodgers' best interest and, as many have noted, Guzman's best interests if he stays at AAA to start out the year?
Just thought I'd make an economic argument that the marginal cost of bringing up Guzman wouldn't justify the marginal benefit of having him learn with the big club...
I would never compare it to rotten eggs.
I have no opinion on Guzman.
It's GRITTLE, you want to talk about.
54 - File that one under "Someone is skipping straight to the chat without reading my posts" :)
Personally I would look for a package deal with Cody Ross for a AA trainer and frequent flyer miles.
http://tinyurl.com/jh8ny
Although this sort of thing caused bad blood in Tampa Bay, the situation is a little different here.
62 I wonder what set of eyes, Steve is on?
Interesting comment, considering the amount of time that Winfield spent in AAA (none).
Repko LF
Robles SS
Cruz CF
Saenz 1B
Ledee RF
Mueller 3B
Martin C
Martinez 2B
Sele P
But my boy martin is.
That tells me that martinez has made the team.
so its alomar saenz ledee repko martinez.
How many of the above are lefthanded, better question how many are powerhitting lefthanders, the only lefthander is ledee, my guess would be that the lefthander with the most power (choi) makes the team.
And i doubt that happens.
It would be foolish to use guzman as a pinch hitter.
Hey, i wouldn't be surprised to see choi make the team, we have only 1 powerhitting lefthander on the bench in ledee.
That's right, i need to stop thinking like depodesta and start thinking like flanders.
LOL!
We're in bizarro territory when the right-handed murderers row of Alomar, Martinez and Repko opens the door for Choi.
Has anyone successfully done it for the Dodgers in the last 25 years?
Both Garvey and Buckner made the '70 Dodgers out of Spring Training, didn't hit, and were sent down after a month. Didn't seem to hinder their development much.
Hopefully Werth gets healthy by June and permanently takes Repko's job.
Bench looking mighty weak with Martinez, Robles, Alomar, Repko, Saenz, Ledee.
Exactly. I dont think the Dodgers are being ran that way anymore though.
I'd rather have lofton on the bench than any of the predicted bench players except saenz and ledee.
I'm glad to see Abercrombie doing well. The guy is a great defender, but he has zero plate discipline.
Nice hitting by Lance Carter.
So much those who argue Ned has added depth.
Four of them are Depo guys and the other two are not an upgrade.
Darkly, one hears things like, "and punches out Repko for the second time today," and can only wonder whether the '05 season has yet truly ended.
The pun