Baseball Toaster Dodger Thoughts
Log in | Register | Help
Jon Weisman's outlet
for dealing psychologically
with the Los Angeles Dodgers
and baseball.
Hot from the Toaster
BlogAds
Search
Google Search
Web
Toaster
Dodger Thoughts
Archives

2008
09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2007
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2006
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2005
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2004
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2003
12  11  10  09  08  07 
06  05  04  03  02  01 

2002
09  08  07 
About Jon
Support Dodger Thoughts

Dodger Thoughts T-Shirts
On sale through February 16, 2008
DT Blue on WhiteDT-WhiteonBLue
Click here to order.

* * *

Cover 11.25 jpeg

The Best of Dodger Thoughts
A 325-page book featuring the top selections from this website from 2002-2005.

Click here for more information.

On Sale Now at Lulu.com

Support independent publishing: buy this book on Lulu.

* * *

Or, just make a donation to support the site. Many thanks.

"Dodger Thoughts, like TiVo, is one of those things you can completely do without until you start using it."

- Fanerman

Dodger Sites
Dodger Resources
Non-Partisan Baseball Sites
Partisan Baseball Sites
Baseball, Among Other Things
Invaluable Resources
Less Dodgers, More L.A.
All in the Family
Other Writing by Jon on the Web

SI.com
NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
Colletti and Depo
World Baseball Classic
Minor League Broadcasters
Slow Starts
Eric Gagne
Groundball Pitchers
Dodger Prospects
Albert Pujols
Humbled Angels
You Be the Manager
Eric Gagne II
Unreliable Relievers
Revived Angels
It's Okay To Sell
Dodger Turnaround
Andre Ethier
Padres-Dodgers Showdown
NL Final Weekend
Mets-Dodgers NLDS
Postseason ratings
NL Wish Lists
Manny vs. J.D.
McGwire Controversy
Dodger Offense
Trainers Matter

Variety
Will Arnett
John C. McGinley
Laura Dern
Imelda Staunton
SAG Awards
Ellen Pompeo
Grey's Anatomy
2004-05 Rookie Dramas
Anthony Hopkins
NATPE
Scrubs
Award Shows
Topher Grace
Ashton Kutcher
Writing on Improv Shows
Rainn Wilson
T.R. Knight
Guest Actors
Animation Guests
Joey Carson and Tennis
Donald Trump and Golf
2006 Emmys Nominees*
*Comedy Series
*Comedy Director
*Comedy Writer
*Comedy Actor
*Comedy Supporting Actor
Blue's Clues
Lizzy Caplan
Ann Donahue
CMT: Giants
CMA Awards
Little Miss Sunshine
Actor-Directors
Freshman Series
Clint Eastwood
Showrunners vs. Censors
Little Children
Breaking and Entering
Tartikoff Legacy Awards
Jackie Earle Haley
Knights of Prosperity
Office Online
2007 Screenplay Noms
Friday Night Lights
Robert Benton
ABC Fridays
Rookie Actors
Global Casting
2007 Pilot Casting
Sublime Slime

Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)

More Shameless Self-Promotion
2008 Season

Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)

1991-2007

Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended

2008 Payroll Worksheet

Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)

Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.

More contract details here.

Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000

Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000

Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000

Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000

Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000

Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725

Working total: *$113,268,725

*Rough salary estimate

The 2008 Dodgers

ESPN BR BP Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR BP Cube Abreu
ESPN BR BP Cube Beimel
ESPN BR BP Cube Bennett
ESPN BR BP Cube Billingsley
ESPN BR BP Cube Brazoban
ESPN BR BP Cube Broxton
ESPN BR BP Cube DeWitt
ESPN BR BP Cube Ethier
ESPN BR BP Cube Furcal
ESPN BR BP Cube Garciaparra
ESPN BR BP Cube Hu
ESPN BR BP Cube Jones
ESPN BR BP Cube Kemp
ESPN BR BP Cube Kent
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuo
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuroda
ESPN BR BP Cube LaRoche
ESPN BR BP Cube Loaiza
ESPN BR BP Cube Loney
ESPN BR BP Cube Lowe
ESPN BR BP Cube Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube May
ESPN BR BP Cube McDonald
ESPN BR BP Cube Meloan
ESPN BR BP Cube Miller
ESPN BR BP Cube Orenduff
ESPN BR BP Cube Park
ESPN BR BP Cube Paul
ESPN BR BP Cube Penny
ESPN BR BP Cube Pierre
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Repko
ESPN BR BP Cube Saito
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmidt
ESPN BR BP Cube Stults
ESPN BR BP Cube Sweeney
ESPN BR BP Cube Troncoso
ESPN BR BP Cube Wade
ESPN BR BP Cube Young

Selected Recent Ex-Dodgers

ESPN BR BP Cube Alomar
ESPN BR BP Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR BP Cube Aybar
ESPN BR BP Cube Baez
ESPN BR BP Cube Bako
ESPN BR BP Cube Beltre
ESPN BR BP Cube Bradley
ESPN BR BP Cube Cabrera
ESPN BR BP Cube Carrara
ESPN BR BP Cube Carter
ESPN BR BP Cube Chen
ESPN BR BP Cube Choi
ESPN BR BP Cube Cora
ESPN BR BP Cube Crosby
ESPN BR BP Cube Cruz
ESPN BR BP Cube Dessens
ESPN BR BP Cube Dreifort
ESPN BR BP Cube Drew
ESPN BR BP Cube Encarnacion
ESPN BR BP Cube Edwards
ESPN BR BP Cube Erickson
ESPN BR BP Cube Falkenborg
ESPN BR BP Cube Finley
ESPN BR BP Cube Flores
ESPN BR BP Cube Gagne
ESPN BR BP Cube Grabowski
ESPN BR BP Cube Green
ESPN BR BP Cube Guzman
ESPN BR BP Cube Hanrahan
ESPN BR BP Cube Hernandez
ESPN BR BP Cube Hundley
ESPN BR BP Cube Ishii
ESPN BR BP Cube Izturis
ESPN BR BP Cube Jackson
ESPN BR BP Cube Karros
ESPN BR BP Cube Ketchner
ESPN BR BP Cube Ledee
ESPN BR BP Cube Lima
ESPN BR BP Cube Lo Duca
ESPN BR BP Cube Lofton
ESPN BR BP Cube T. Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube Mayne
ESPN BR BP Cube G. Mota
ESPN BR BP Cube Mueller
ESPN BR BP Cube Myrow
ESPN BR BP Cube Nakamura
ESPN BR BP Cube Navarro
ESPN BR BP Cube Nomo
ESPN BR BP Cube Osoria
ESPN BR BP Cube A. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube O. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube Phillips
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Roberts
ESPN BR BP Cube Robles
ESPN BR BP Cube Romano
ESPN BR BP Cube C. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube D. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube Sanchez
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmoll
ESPN BR BP Cube Sele
ESPN BR BP Cube Seo
ESPN BR BP Cube Shuey
ESPN BR BP Cube Stanley
ESPN BR BP Cube S. Stewart
ESPN BR BP Cube Thompson
ESPN BR BP Cube Thurston
ESPN BR BP Cube Valentin
ESPN BR BP Cube Venafro
ESPN BR BP Cube Ventura
ESPN BR BP Cube Weaver
ESPN BR BP Cube Werth
ESPN BR BP Cube Wilson
ESPN BR BP Cube Wunsch

Dodger Thoughts Land
Thank You For Not ...

1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with

Syndication

rss2.0

Add to My Yahoo!
Guzman Won't Go Away
2006-03-20 20:41
by Jon Weisman

Apparently pleased with Joel Guzman's outfield play and noting his infield experience, Dodger manager Grady Little is considering Guzman for the spot on the 25-man roster tentatively held by Ramon Martinez, according to Ken Gurnick at MLB.com.

Little originally said if Guzman doesn't play every day in the big leagues, he would play every day in the Minor Leagues. Little backed a bit off that position on Monday, even though it would be highly unusual for a top prospect jumping from Double-A.

"It's sticky. There are very few people who think he can't help our club, but is it the best thing for him?" said Little. "He's done a great job adjusting to the outfield, making all the plays, and I'm confident he can do other things defensively, like shortstop and first and third base. In left field, he looks like Dave Winfield."

I'm sure you're thinking what I'm thinking - that no doubt Guzman is better than Martinez right now, but that it might harm Guzman's long-term development if he plays sporadically and doesn't get enough at-bats. But it is worth asking, does a player develop more from 500 at-bats against AAA pitching or 250 at-bats against the best in the U.S. (albeit not the world)? I'm not sure that an apprenticeship is such a bad idea.

Update: As several commenters discuss below, the kicker is Guzman's underdeveloped plate discipline. Where can he best learn balls and strikes? As I replied:

Let's put it this way - if he's going to be overwhelmed in the bigs, than keep him in AAA. If he's going to be challenged, let him apprentice. It's the difference between being overwhelmed and being challenged that I'm trying to suss out.

If he makes outs and he has no idea why, that's no good. If he makes outs that he can learn from, that's another thing.

My biggest concern:

I don't mind seeing Guzman starting the season in Las Vegas. The thing that does worry me is if he starts the season as the Opening Day left fielder in Los Angeles, goes 1-for 20 and the town starts ripping everyone in sight.

So all in all, in the real world, the safe move is to start Guzman in Las Vegas and wait for him to overwhelm the pitching in AAA. There are other options to supplant Ramon Martinez in the short term. And maybe it won't be a long wait.

Update 2: Jason Repko has "made the team," Steve Henson reports Grady Little saying in the Times. That means four out of six spots on the Dodger bench are taken: Olmedo Saenz, Ricky Ledee, Sandy Alomar, Jr. and Repko.

Battling for the final two spots: Guzman, Martinez, Oscar Robles, Hee Seop Choi, Willy Aybar (who got some kind words from Little in Henson's article), Cody Ross and Andre Ethier. Robles might be the favorite to take one slot, while Guzman, Martinez, Aybar and Choi vie for the other. Repko has probably taken the right-handed-hitting Ross' chance, and Ethier makes sense to start in AAA.

Update 3: The Dodgers must decide by March 29 if they want Martinez on their Opening Day roster, or give him a five-day window to find another major league employer, reports Gurnick in his latest piece.

Martinez will earn $700,000 if the Dodgers keep him; the implication is that this contract becomes guaranteed by March 29 if neither party does anything to stop it. Of course, Martinez could explore his options from March 29 through April 2 and still end up a Dodger, but one assumes that the Dodgers would be prepared to move on without him in that scenario.

Advertisement
Comments (338)
Show/Hide Comments 1-50
2006-03-20 20:52:08
1.   MartinBillingsley31
I think guzman needs 500+ at bats either in AAA or on the team.
No part time role for him.
2006-03-20 20:54:56
2.   Jon Weisman
1 - Yes, that's the common thought, and I don't necessarily disagree. But again I ask the question, why are 500 at-bats against significantly worse pitching automatically better than 250 at-bats against the best?
2006-03-20 20:56:21
3.   Uncle Miltie
This a very stupid idea. Guzman needs to play everyday. I think even playing him like Pedro Guerrero (at multiple positions), but giving him 500+ at bats is a bad idea.
2006-03-20 20:58:33
4.   oldbear
Where does this leave Repko, Guzman, Choi, Martinez, and Aybar?

If Guzman makes it over Martinez, I assume Repko, Choi, Aybar all make it too correct?

2006-03-20 20:59:15
5.   MartinBillingsley31
2

I think he needs to work on his plate discipline, and i don't think he can do that when he's not given an everyday role.
If he's only part time on the dodgers to me he would be up there hacking away to try to impresss.

Just what i think.

2006-03-20 21:01:43
6.   MartinBillingsley31
4

Man, i don't know i'm confused.
Grady keeps saying a different thing everyday.

2006-03-20 21:06:04
7.   Jon Weisman
Locks: Saenz, Ledee, Alomar.
If you add Guzman, that means Robles is staying as a left-handed hitting shortstop.

That leaves one spot, up for grabs among Repko, Choi, Ethier, Aybar, Ross and Martinez.

2006-03-20 21:09:41
8.   Jon Weisman
5 - Maybe. Maybe he learns plate discipline quicker by facing a real good pitcher on certain days than by facing the equivalent of Aaron Sele every day.

I don't mind seeing Guzman starting the season in Las Vegas. The thing that does worry me is if he starts the season as the Opening Day left fielder in Los Angeles, goes 1-for 20 and the town starts ripping everyone in sight.

2006-03-20 21:09:45
9.   Steve
That doesn't leave any spots if we carry 13 pitchers.
2006-03-20 21:11:34
10.   Jon Weisman
7 - Although I suppose if Guzman is being considered as an infielder/outfielder, than Aybar could steal Robles' spot.

I'm mainly thrilled at people recognizing that the team can do better than Martinez.

2006-03-20 21:13:01
11.   jasonungar05
what if Grady came out and said:

I love Guzman's potential, but we got a proven major leauger right there in Ramon Martinez

(this place would be goin crazy...)

2006-03-20 21:14:53
12.   Uncle Miltie
I'm mainly thrilled at people recognizing that the team can do better than Martinez.
One of those people isn't Ned Colletti though and he's probably calling the shots.
2006-03-20 21:16:22
13.   Andrew Shimmin
I don't have any idea what the effect would be on Guzman. I know that it makes him more expensive, sooner, and with less production, so it's not a great business move. And it'd be harder to evaluate his progress with half a sample, than with a whole one.

I'm also not convinced he'd be better than Martinez, this year. I think he probably would be, but I'm not sure anybody has a reliable AA/MLB conversion algorithm. And Little's thinking, that JtD could be a dual purpose (IF/OF) sub seems a little silly. Martinez has, what, one week less OF time than JtD?

I'm agin it, but not foursquare agin it.

2006-03-20 21:17:31
14.   Jon Weisman
12 - Well, the whole idea of 2006 is that everyone's on the same page, right???
2006-03-20 21:18:39
15.   natepurcell
this would be a dumb move because

1- guzman's bat is still raw
2- his k rate in AA shows he isnt ready yet
3- he needs to play everyday and get consistent at bats so he can improve his outfield play and plate discipline
4- this is going to ruin the las vegas 51s run at the PCL championship!

2006-03-20 21:18:55
16.   MartinBillingsley31
8

Good point.

I know i'm a broken record, but i don't expect guzman to outproduce cruz, but i do expect him to outproduce lofton, so if he starts everyday it should be over lofton otherwise send him to AAA.

I still think guzman will be better off seeing more pitches on an everyday basis even tho it might or might not be against lesser talent.

2006-03-20 21:23:37
17.   Steve
Agreed with nate. They're halfway home in that they recognize they can do better than Martinez. Now they just have to figure out that Choi is better than Martinez.
2006-03-20 21:23:54
18.   Marty
Put the kid in there. What the hey? I'm too old to wait much longer.
2006-03-20 21:24:21
19.   King of the Hobos
Guzman has played the OF for what? Two weeks? He needs to play the OF if he'd now an OFer, let him get comfortable there. I don't like the idea of having him constantly change position, while only getting sporadic ABs
2006-03-20 21:25:55
20.   Jon Weisman
15 - Well, your #4 made me laugh. #1 ... I know what you mean, but it's the kind of vague talk that isn't productive.

I agree that Guzman's plate discipline is the big issue.

Let's put it this way - if he's going to be overwhelmed in the bigs, than keep him in AAA. If he's going to be challenged, let him apprentice. It's the difference between being overwhelmed and being challenged that I'm trying to suss out.

If he makes outs and he has no idea why, that's no good. If he makes outs that he can learn from, that's another thing.

I do feel defense can be learned off the clock, as it were. Game situations are easily replicated in practice.

2006-03-20 21:26:52
21.   Bob Timmermann
Antonio Perez apparently couldn't learn defense off the clock.
2006-03-20 21:27:28
22.   Jon Weisman
17 - If Little or Colletti keep Choi on the roster, I'll have seriously misjudged them.
2006-03-20 21:28:42
23.   Jon Weisman
21 - Apparently, he couldn't even find the clock.
2006-03-20 21:30:09
24.   Steve
They do seem kind of dense, despite whatever cause for optimism there is.
2006-03-20 21:30:29
25.   natepurcell
jon,

i dont think he is going to be challenged, i think he will flat out, fall on his face right now in the majors. Probably jason repko 2005 production but with more ISOp.

i think i might want him to be in vegas for selfish reasons. i mean, come on, who doesnt want to see a vegas lineup of

2b aybar
c martin
cf ethier
lf guzman
3b laroche
1b loney
rf young

!!!!!

2006-03-20 21:31:47
26.   D4P
25
You forgot

SS Martinez

2006-03-20 21:32:53
27.   Jon Weisman
25 - I really do think you might be right, but your infatuation with building the perfect AAA team is disturbing. Why don't we option Drew and Gagne?
2006-03-20 21:34:30
28.   D4P
your infatuation with building the perfect AAA team is disturbing

Jon, meet Nate. Nate, Jon.

2006-03-20 21:35:48
29.   natepurcell
Why don't we option Drew and Gagne?

i would if i could. :)

2006-03-20 21:39:03
30.   Steve
Probably jason repko 2005 production but with more ISOp.

If you turn him into Jason Guzman, I will hunt you down.

2006-03-20 21:40:53
31.   Jon Weisman
Okay, you guys have made your case. I don't think it's a horrible idea to let Guzman break camp with the Dodgers, but it's more prudent to start him in AAA.
2006-03-20 21:42:41
32.   natepurcell
oh football news.

vikings get steve hutchinson. it was a hard fought battle with the special master ruling in the vikings favor. seattle declined to match the contract at 12ET tonight. yay!

2006-03-20 21:45:14
33.   natepurcell
what im looking out for is guzmans long term interest.

is the difference in production between a guzman and a lucille II for the beginning of thsi year that important to possibly ruin or stagnetize (i think i just made up a word) guzman's offensive progress?

i think its in guzman's best long term interest to star the year in AAA and get 300+ or so AAA ABs before being called up.

2006-03-20 21:58:40
34.   Steve
Why was a special master involved?
2006-03-20 22:11:30
35.   natepurcell
the seahawks put the transistion tag on hutchinson at the start of free agency so they had the ability to match any offer sheet hutchinson signs on the free agent market.

the vikings signed hutchinson to a 7 yr 49 mil offer sheet with 16mil gaurenteed. The thing was, to keep seattle from matching the contract, the vikings place a "poison pill" into the contract language stating that if hutchinson isnt the highest paid offensive linemen on the team he is on in 2006, then the whole 49 million contract would have to be gaurenteed and paid up front as a signing bonus.

since seattle had walter jones with a larger contract then hutchinson, the poison pill would automatically apply to them if they choose to match. They thought this was unfair so they wanted a special master to decide if the poison pill clause was valid.

2006-03-20 22:14:53
36.   Uncle Miltie
I posted this in the other thread, but now it may be too late:
Nate, quick, kidnap Gourriel before he gets on a plane to go back to Cuba. How long will it take you to drive to San Diego?
2006-03-20 22:16:28
37.   natepurcell
wow, dodgers reassigned billingsley, young, kemp and loney to minor league camp.

billingsley and loney were suprising.

2006-03-20 22:16:54
38.   natepurcell
im in tucson so it will take me about 6 hours.
2006-03-20 22:18:05
39.   Uncle Miltie
You better hop on a plane instead...now
2006-03-20 22:19:48
40.   Jon Weisman
37 - Huh? You were surprised that those guys didn't make the 25-man roster?
2006-03-20 22:20:44
41.   King of the Hobos
37 Seo, Perez, and Choi are back in camp, so it really shouldn't be that surprising. Billingsley will no longer get many innings, and he won't make the team out of spring, so let him increase his pitch counts in minor league camp. With Choi, Nomar, and Saenz now in camp, Loney lost his purpose, as he wasn't going to make the team either.
2006-03-20 22:21:23
42.   natepurcell
no i was suprised they were reassigned this early. i was expecting at least one more start from billingsley and loney has been raking. i would think they would give him more ABs.
2006-03-20 22:22:57
43.   Jon Weisman
You can still play in Spring Training games even after you're reassigned.
2006-03-20 22:23:26
44.   natepurcell
oops i forgot about choi coming back. makes more sense with loney now.
2006-03-20 22:28:40
45.   underdog
Meanwhile, we could have a Soriano situation to deal with (and Jim Bowden as GM), so we should be all giving thanks for Guzman's flexibility, and the team dynamics as they stand right now in general.

Oh, and put me down on the start Guzman in AAA camp (with the feeling, and it's just a feeling, that he'll be up before mid-season...)

C

2006-03-20 22:32:00
46.   natepurcell
i was waiting for lasorda to say something politcally incorrect... but it never happened.

but he did talk really loud and slow to mataszuka.

2006-03-20 22:50:36
47.   GIDP
I say Guzman to AAA too. But I also wonder about how Vegas will affect his hitting. After all, Albuquerque had a bit of a Coor's Field effect as well and it gave us Billy Ashley.
2006-03-20 22:54:16
48.   screwballin
I agree that Guzman's most dire need is plate discipline, but for him to learn that at the major league level, doesn't someone have to be emphasizing it to him? Not sure if we have anyone making that a priority. Pretty sure it wouldn't be Grittle.

The sad part is, the same might be said about Vegas.

2006-03-20 22:55:30
49.   dsfan
I like that Griddle is open-minded about Guzman. That's how Griddle's mentor Cox is. Sometimes the Braves have pushed a kid with good results. Could happen here -- but I doubt it.

I think starting Guzman in Triple-A is the way to go. My guess is that Griddle is just acknowledging Guzman's nice spring camp and pumping him up a little bit. Pretty good move on Griddle's part. Let the kid know that if he's versatile and hungry, he might get up here sooner than expected.

2006-03-20 23:04:36
50.   coachjpark
Wouldn't it be a bad idea to start Guzman with the Dodgers simply because his marginal value as a player over a Ramon Martinez or Hee Seop Choi wouldn't justify starting his arbitration-eligibility/free-agentosity clock?

Wouldn't it serve the Dodgers' best interest and, as many have noted, Guzman's best interests if he stays at AAA to start out the year?

Just thought I'd make an economic argument that the marginal cost of bringing up Guzman wouldn't justify the marginal benefit of having him learn with the big club...

Show/Hide Comments 51-100
2006-03-20 23:06:31
51.   natepurcell
kuo is schedule to pitch tomorrow and the game will be on espn. something to look forward too!
2006-03-20 23:16:39
52.   bhsportsguy
Jon - my post on the previous entry was a strong endorsement of "The Best of Dodger Thoughts".

I would never compare it to rotten eggs.

2006-03-20 23:52:25
53.   LAT
38 Nate, my daughter and I are coming to ST in Tucson this weekend. As though she doesn't have enough Shawn Green autographs. (I'm trying to redirect her to Stephen Drew). Are you framiliar with the D'Backs ST facility? I have been told that the best place to score autographs is the walkway between the practice field and the stadium about an hour before the game. Do you know if this is accurate? Any other suggestions? Thanks
2006-03-20 23:56:53
54.   dsfan
Not surprisingly the Baseball Prospectus health report on the Dodgers is rife with red flags. Like six of them for the everyday players with three yellows and nary a green. Oh yes, Mr. Gagne gets a red flag, too.
2006-03-21 00:01:01
55.   Bob Timmermann
49

I have no opinion on Guzman.

It's GRITTLE, you want to talk about.

2006-03-21 05:47:06
56.   Jon Weisman
52 - I know ... thanks :)

54 - File that one under "Someone is skipping straight to the chat without reading my posts" :)

2006-03-21 05:56:23
57.   Jon Weisman
Repko has made the team. See update above.
2006-03-21 06:14:04
58.   Sushirabbit
I think I agree with Jon on Guzman coming up early. It is a tough call, and one hard way of seeing how the manager and GM are thinking. But if if JtD can learn from guys like Kent, Nomar, and Mueller, then maybe it'd be worth it. I don't know how the heck you figure something like that out.
2006-03-21 06:32:34
59.   bhsportsguy
We will know what the Dodgers will do with HSC by March 29.

Personally I would look for a package deal with Cody Ross for a AA trainer and frequent flyer miles.

http://tinyurl.com/jh8ny

2006-03-21 06:57:23
60.   Vishal
[59] tony jackson hates choi. i'm not shocked that he's chomping at the bit to see him gone. what a jerkface.
2006-03-21 07:00:09
61.   MLKaplan43
50 - I'm feelin' ya on the free agent/arbitration clock thing. If the Dodgers can make it into the summer without Guzman, it should set his clock back a year. I think one year of service time = 180 days on the 25-MR and/or DL.

Although this sort of thing caused bad blood in Tampa Bay, the situation is a little different here.

2006-03-21 07:21:12
62.   King of the Hobos
Project BROTheR was a rousing success. Hopefully Project SMOTheR works out a little better
2006-03-21 07:23:05
63.   Steve
And we would have gotten away with it too, if it hadn't been for those meddling kids and that dog!
2006-03-21 07:23:30
64.   Sushirabbit
Vishal, how was Ireland?

62 I wonder what set of eyes, Steve is on?

2006-03-21 07:45:56
65.   D4P
Sponsors of Project SMOTheR were cautiously optimistic regarding the project's success after yesterday's revelations.
2006-03-21 07:48:03
66.   Steve
Evil Billionaires always diversify
2006-03-21 08:47:07
67.   gvette
Guzman "looks like Dave Winfield"?

Interesting comment, considering the amount of time that Winfield spent in AAA (none).

2006-03-21 09:26:51
68.   Steve
Choi has 1,000 times more range and flexibility as a first baseman than Tony Jackson has as a sportswriter.
2006-03-21 09:52:49
69.   Vishal
[64] ireland was great! i had a wonderful time, and everybody was extremely friendly. i can't wait to go back sometime. the countryside was gorgeous; i took lots of pictures. i'll try to do a writeup and post them before long. thanks again for your advice!!
2006-03-21 10:08:31
70.   D4P
Today's scintillating lineup:

Repko LF
Robles SS
Cruz CF
Saenz 1B
Ledee RF
Mueller 3B
Martin C
Martinez 2B
Sele P

2006-03-21 10:09:57
71.   MartinBillingsley31
Darn it, the game is on espn and guzman is not starting.

But my boy martin is.

2006-03-21 10:11:57
72.   jasonungar05
choi isnt even playing?
2006-03-21 10:13:12
73.   natepurcell
boring lineup. i wanted to see choi and guzman and ethier!
2006-03-21 10:15:18
74.   natepurcell
reggie abercrombie!!
2006-03-21 10:16:16
75.   MLKaplan43
What? You're not excited about seeing former Dodger prospect Regie Abercrombie play for the Fish?
2006-03-21 10:19:14
76.   natepurcell
future dodger miggy cabrera homers.
2006-03-21 10:19:40
77.   MartinBillingsley31
From the l.a. times article, it say robles will make the team if the dodgers consider him a better pinch hitter than martinez, otherwise there is no need to carry 2 utility infielders

That tells me that martinez has made the team.
so its alomar saenz ledee repko martinez.
How many of the above are lefthanded, better question how many are powerhitting lefthanders, the only lefthander is ledee, my guess would be that the lefthander with the most power (choi) makes the team.

2006-03-21 10:24:37
78.   MartinBillingsley31
http://www.latimes.com/sports/baseball/mlb/dodgers/la-sp-dodrep21mar21,1,2836743.story?coll=la-headlines-sports-mlb-dodger
2006-03-21 10:26:40
79.   Jon Weisman
77 - It looks like Martinez has made the team if Guzman isn't on it. But Guzman is the wild card that could knock Martinez off.
2006-03-21 10:30:12
80.   MartinBillingsley31
79

And i doubt that happens.
It would be foolish to use guzman as a pinch hitter.

Hey, i wouldn't be surprised to see choi make the team, we have only 1 powerhitting lefthander on the bench in ledee.

2006-03-21 10:33:49
81.   D4P
Regarding "powerhitting lefthanders," Flanders expressed his preference for "speed and athleticism" over "power" shortly upon being hired.
2006-03-21 10:36:13
82.   natepurcell
hahaha reggue abercrombie touches them all!
2006-03-21 10:36:37
83.   D4P
Abercrombie is on fire.
2006-03-21 10:37:08
84.   MartinBillingsley31
81

That's right, i need to stop thinking like depodesta and start thinking like flanders.
LOL!

2006-03-21 10:38:32
85.   MartinBillingsley31
Is the sele experiment over yet?
2006-03-21 10:40:57
86.   D4P
Yep, looks like Aaron has seled his own fate...
2006-03-21 10:42:51
87.   Jon Weisman
Regardless of what the right thing to do with Guzman is, I don't know why people would assume that Guzman would only be a pinch-hitter. We've got a starting outfield that figures to miss about 30-50 games in right, 50-60 games in center and 30-50 games in left. Every infield starter has age or health concerns as well. The reserves will get huge amounts of playing time.
2006-03-21 10:43:39
88.   natepurcell
ha, sele is getting hammered. hermida has such a pretty swing.
2006-03-21 10:46:14
89.   D4P
Get Pedro, er, Aaron, out of there, Grittle!!!
2006-03-21 10:52:28
90.   bigcpa
Any Choi sighting on the bench or did the team tell him today's game was in Vero?

We're in bizarro territory when the right-handed murderers row of Alomar, Martinez and Repko opens the door for Choi.

2006-03-21 11:07:32
91.   gvette
Dodgers who successfully jumped from AA to the Majors: Steve Sax, Fernando, and Steve Howe, (all three R.O.Y.).

Has anyone successfully done it for the Dodgers in the last 25 years?

Both Garvey and Buckner made the '70 Dodgers out of Spring Training, didn't hit, and were sent down after a month. Didn't seem to hinder their development much.

2006-03-21 11:12:41
92.   oldbear
It was inevitable that Repko would make the team. I'm wondering why Ethier couldnt have beat him out, but the Dodgers are under th illusion that Repko is a good CF'er, when in reality he's horrible.

Hopefully Werth gets healthy by June and permanently takes Repko's job.

Bench looking mighty weak with Martinez, Robles, Alomar, Repko, Saenz, Ledee.

2006-03-21 11:17:26
93.   oldbear
agree that Guzman's most dire need is plate discipline, but for him to learn that at the major league level, doesn't someone have to be emphasizing it to him?

Exactly. I dont think the Dodgers are being ran that way anymore though.

2006-03-21 11:17:33
94.   MartinBillingsley31
If the reserves are going to get significant playing time, then why delay the innevetable(my spelling is terrible), put guzman in the outfield with drew and cruz and have lofton on the bench.

I'd rather have lofton on the bench than any of the predicted bench players except saenz and ledee.

2006-03-21 11:20:21
95.   Andrew Shimmin
They'll have Lance Carter and Jeff Weaver as RH PHs. So, you know, all is not lost.
2006-03-21 11:20:25
96.   regfairfield
92 Well, Repko being horrible is debatable. Rate and fielding runs really like him (108 rate2, eight fielding runs over average), but probalistic model of range has him as the worst centerfielder in baseball. He's probably somewhere in the middle. He gets terrible jumps, but his speed does let him get to a lot of balls.
2006-03-21 11:20:41
97.   Uncle Miltie
Just turned on the game and saw that the Marlins were beating us 7-2. I was thinking, I really hoped that one our young pitchers didn't get hammered. It turns it was Aaron Sele, which made me very happy. I hope this seals his fate (no pun intended).

I'm glad to see Abercrombie doing well. The guy is a great defender, but he has zero plate discipline.

Nice hitting by Lance Carter.

2006-03-21 11:25:02
98.   LAT
Bench looking mighty weak with Martinez, Robles, Alomar, Repko, Saenz, Ledee.

So much those who argue Ned has added depth.
Four of them are Depo guys and the other two are not an upgrade.

2006-03-21 11:25:11
99.   Marty
95 Jeff Weaver?
2006-03-21 11:25:27
100.   Uncle Miltie
On Repko- I really don't think he's a horrible defender. I'd actually say that he's slightly above average, because like regfairfield said, his very good speed makes up for his bad jumps and poor routes on balls. On that last at bat, he actually showed improved plate discipline. He didn't swing at that curveball in the dirt. I think he's fine as long as he's our 5th outfielder. As a pinch runner/defensive replacement, he has some value.
Show/Hide Comments 101-150
2006-03-21 11:25:35
101.   slackfarmer
Only one slot left in the Sabertooth Dodgers fantasy baseball league -- newly upgraded to Yahoo Sports Fantasy Baseball PLUS. One more smart Dodger fan wanted. See www.bluethinktank.blogspot.com for more info.
2006-03-21 11:25:55
102.   regfairfield
99 It's a short drive.
2006-03-21 11:27:10
103.   Uncle Miltie
Remember when I told you guys that Cruz is a horrible center fielder? Somebody here (I think it was oldbear) wanted him CF instead of Lofton. Bad idea.
2006-03-21 11:27:12
104.   Dark Horse
Yeah, the sunny side of this game is watching Sele get hammered. You'd like to think that would be that, but I'm afraid still.

Darkly, one hears things like, "and punches out Repko for the second time today," and can only wonder whether the '05 season has yet truly ended.

2006-03-21 11:27:17
105.   Andrew Shimmin
99- Man; I completely zoned out on that. All really is lost!
2006-03-21 11:27:33
106.   D4P
The proven veterans are getting rocked today.
2006-03-21 11:33:23
107.   GoBears
97 I hope this seals his fate (no pun intended).

The pun