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Whither the Jungle?
2006-06-26 12:16
Sometimes I pitch column ideas to SI.com; sometimes my editor pitched ideas to me. The first time I did an Eric Gagne story for SI.com was my idea, but I found it interesting that only two months later, I was asked to revisit Gagne and look ahead at the Dodgers' future with or without him ... The memory of Eric Gagne entering a ballgame is one of the most profound that fans of the Los Angeles Dodgers have.* * * In other news, surgery is not scheduled for Dodger prospect Andy La Roche, according to Baseball America. LaRoche had been diagnosed with a slight labrum tear earlier this month, but BA writes that he's back on a throwing program. "He threw Saturday and he threw today and feels OK," Dodgers scouting director Logan White said on Sunday. "It's just now where he's throwing with no pain, though he hasn't really aired it out yet. So we'll see, but we're pleased with the way he's responded." LaRoche has been hitting off a tee and took some live batting practice over the weekend while the team was in Tucson. Thanks to Dodger Thoughts reader ToyCannon for passing along the report. * * *
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"A National League source said the Dodgers approached the Marlins within the past week with a package of highly-regarded prospects and big-league ready players. According to the source, Florida said Dontrelle Willis wasn't available. -- MLB.com"
Gagne may still have something left but he will never be as dominate as he was.
it really wouldn't shock me at all to see Guzman be the centerpiece in a deal for Willis.
Although, it'd be MUCH nicer to nab Willis AND Cabrera :)
I don't understand why the Marlins refuse to trade the guy...he really isn't THAT good, and it's not as if they're going to spend the cash to keep him in the future. In fact, I hope the only way we get him is if we don't give up any guys like Bills, Guzman, Dewitt, Laroche etc.
forgot to mention in my comments about the sat night twinks/cubs that a few beachballs made what i believe to be their first appearance at the dome. it was interesting to watch the uninitiated stumble over each other trying to keep the balls away from the ushers.
sure would have been nice to have had the possibility of a gagne sighting this series, but it will still be good to see billingsley tonight. as long as he isn't traded to the marlins prior to gametime...
http://www.post-gazette.com/pg/06177/701309-63.stm
yeah, he'd be better than the last three in the rotation, but is that saying much? I've never had a problem with his ability to endure innings pitched, I have a problem with the fact that he simply isn't all that good. He's REALLY not worth giving up top prospects for...I just have a feeling Flanders is going to overpay for Willis because he's really the only decent starter on the market.
There is plenty enough evidence that a good number of these players are giving their all, but, to be blunt, I see little of that happening at a team level. Obviously, one of the manager's chief responsibilities is to ensure that the latter is happening.
What does that mean? Is what happens at the "team level" different from the sum of what happens at the individual player level?
Is he implying that "Teams who are playing well have a higher percentage of players who are giving their best than teams that are playing poorly"? I'm not totally convinced that the Pirates' primary problem is that their players are not giving 100%. I think their primary problem is that they're not very good to start out with. Course, Tracy's managing makes a negative contribution, but would they really be a good team if they had a good manager (whatever a good manager is)?
The best ones
WHYGAVS: Was the reaction by the players (especially Bay and Jack Wilson)after yesterday's game in any part due to their frustration with the way Tracy publicly blames them while never looking in the mirror, or did they actually mean they thought the roster needs a shakeup?
Dejan Kovacevic: Yes on both counts. The players have made clear -- more as each day goes by -- that they do not appreciate the lack of accountability in the manager's office, and you might have noticed in this morning's paper that it has not escaped the owner's attention, either.
MeganAnn_sDad: Injuries aside, wouldn't it make more sense to give Ryan Doumit a legitimate shot at being the 1st baseman? He's younger, cheaper, and has more potential than Casey.
Dejan Kovacevic: There are a lot of variables in trying to teach Doumit, just as there in trying to wait for Brad Eldred. That is the main reason the Pirates apparently feel the sense of urgency to retain Sean Casey.
Benny86: Do you think Tracy will forced to shake-up his coaching staff in the near future?
Dejan Kovacevic: I think he would sooner throw himself before a moving vehicle.
it's overpaying no matter what. That's like giving up three top prospects for Craig Wilson and going "well, he's the best hitter ont he market." That makes absolutely no sense. You give up what you think a player is worth...if the Dbacks wanna give up their prospects for Willis then go right ahead....but I'll be pretty annoyed if we give up a package of really good prospects for an okay pitcher which is what Willis is.
He dominated last year, but the year before was VERY similar to his numbers this year. I'm more inclined to think Willis is the guy who's pitching right now and not the guy who pitched last year. I'm just not willing to give up a package of our farm system for a guy with a 4 ERA.
Asked if he might make moves within the starting lineup or batting order simply to shake things up, manager Jim Tracy replied, "For me to answer that question, ask yourself what you would shake up. If I had a number of options, that's something I would comment on."
Brilliant. Simply brilliant.
I'm so glad all of this stuff is finally coming to light for others. I'm gonna sound really harsh here, but Tracy really seems like a scumbag. Take some responsibility for your team. When he started throwing our players under the bus last year was when I'd officially had enough of the guy...I hope the Bucs have the guts to ante up and just get rid of him....
It's OK: you're among friends.
I don't think me, Dejan or anyone else is disagreeing with you about their primary problem. He was just answering the question he was asked, right?
1. I'm really sorry I missed the DT outing on Friday. Looked like a blast, but my daughter wasn't feeling well, along with other complications in my weekend plans. I hope this won't be the last time.
2. Tracy is nuts. Was he always this nuts? Someone other than Steve?
3. The fact that LaRoche is not having surgery AND is throwing and hitting already is quite vexing. Can we just play it safe for one time?
I suppose so. But I'm still left to question the implication that Tracy is doing a relatively bad job (in comparison to other managers) of getting his players to give 100%.
4. My opinion on a prospects for Willis trade depends entirely on which prospects. I don't see any reason to go into it more than that, except to say that I'm not completely against the idea.
Billingsley's pitches: 195
Opponent swing and misses: 4
If they want both Loney and Navarro, I would ask for one of their young arms in return. How about Petit or Alvarez, now I am dreaming.
Shoot, keep Willis, give us Petit or Alvarez and we can have a true youth movememnt in Los Angeles.
see, everyone likes to use selective stats like this and that's simply not valid. The bottom line is that we're about halfway through the season and the guy has an ERA of 4. I don't care where he pitched, those are his numbers.
Willis gave up ONE run to the Yankees in his last start in the bronx and lost.
he gave up two. But I still don't understand the point of using that. I could easily point out that he gave up six runs in his last start against the Cardinals.
He's got it going now and he's young and he's a lefty and he's the best possible addition we can make to our staff in the next year and a half. The free agent market sucks this year and we're tapped out in the farm system for arms.
really? Last I checked the free agent market was going to have guys like Zito and Schmidt. I just for the life of me can't understand why people say stuff like "he's the best possible addition."...so what!? That doesn't mean that he's worth giving up a lot of talent for. I mean, if Craig Wilson was the only bat on the market would you advocate getting him because he's the "best possible addition"? No...and while this team DOES need starting pitching help, getting a guy with a 4 ERA for our top talent would be a very, VERY bad baseball move.
We can use all the selective stats we want, and make up all the excuses we want...but the bottom line is that Willis has put up one good year in three, and besides that one the other two are basically average years. Willis is an average pitcher.
I think the guy is in the wrong business, with those answers Tracy ought to be in politics, hopefully a long way from here. Always beating around the bush!!!
Lofton, CF
Garciaparra, 1B
Drew, DH
Kent, 2B
Ethier, LF
Kemp, RF
Izturis, 3B
Martin, C
Billingsley, P
Well, maybe, but the Dodgers don't play in Yankee Stadium more than once every three or four years. They play a lot of games at PNC and Petco. I'd rather have a pitcher who pitched well in stadia where the team goes regularly.
Also, it seems like Kemp and Ethier should be flip-flopped.
But what do I know? I haven't played an inning of organized baseball since 1981.
[kicks can, puts hands in pockets, drops head, exits stage left to tune of sad Peanuts music]
SLRLRLRSR
I do think that keeping Martin at the bottom is as close as Little comes to Tracy-like stubbornness, but I'm not losing sleep over it right now.
Lofton - .372 OBP
Martin - .379 OBP
Frankly I'd rather have Martin's RBI ability lower in the line-up since there's still a viable on-base option like Lofton to plug into the 2-hole.
"Christmas time is here, happiness and cheer..."
Asking a bit less of him as a hitter is a good thing.
I imagine that being said by a photography geek with a stutter.
"It might happen. And if that's what it's going to take for us to be a better team, for Salomon to go somewhere else ... I don't want to see this team suffer anymore. This is eating us alive. It's killing us. You know, I'm willing to leave my arm on that mound for my team. A lot of us have that feeling. But something's not clicking."
"McClatchy said he still believes manager Jim Tracy, who has perpetually dwelled on the team's 7-21 record in one-run games as an indication of how close the Pirates are to contention, and general manager Dave Littlefield are the right men for the job."
The following is not about Tracy, but about one-run games.
If the Pirates split their one-run games, they'd be 33-44.
Even with 28 one-run games, second-most in the league, the team's run differential is second-worst in the league. (Better than the Cubs, at least!)
In 49 non-one-run games, the Pirates have a 19-30 record and have been outscored by 43 runs.
Any info would be appreciated.
let's hope that's all it was it.
Steve: "Every Christmas it's the same. I always end up playing a shepherd."
Twins have won 14 of 16 games and only gained 1 game on the Tigers and a 1 1/2 on the WS. How frustrating must that be? If a team in the West put together that kind of streak the Division race would be over.
Who knew that the AL Central would be the best in baseball in 2006 and that the Indians wouldn't be part of the strength.
Toy, your an awesome dude thanks for the support. :o)
Jon I'm kind of jealous of you because my chick said you had nice eyes.
I don't think the Twins are a very good team. But they are tough at home. This will be a difficult series for the Dodgers, and it would be a huge accomplishment if they were to take two games of it.
that's Silva's record (Let's rock 'um!)
momentum goes along way. (let's see were the Dodgers momentum is)
Lofton, CF
Garciaparra, 1B
Drew, DH
Kent, 2B
Ethier, LF
Kemp, RF
Izturis, 3B
Martin, C
Billingsley, P
You know we're in an AL ball park right?
Also, typo in that article, Gagne won the CY Young in 2003.
Now that the Twins stopped handicapping themselves, they should actually be a good team.
Then again, his stats are skewed by a dreadful month of April (10.90 ERA). He's been pretty mediocre since then, posting ERA's in the mid 4's in May and June. He does give up a lot of homers (18 in 76 IP), so hopefully Kemp can lay off some breaking balls and bust out his whooping stick.
1) Check Detroit's pitchers
2) Check Detroit's records against teams not called the White Sox, Red Sox, and Yankees.
you recomend Superman?
I like "The Closer" although I was disappointed to see that Eric Gagne doesn't appear in it.
It has both quirky and conventional elements to it. Kyra Sedgwick's character is odd.
1) Silva is starting
2) The Padres are off tonight
vr, Xei
Thanks for the review, Bob. "Quirky" is a word I've heard more than once with respect to the show. On one hand, I'm not all that excited about yet another hour-long crime drama. TV needs another of those like the Dodgers need another banjo-hitting shortstop. On the other hand, I am favorably disposed to Kyra Sedgwick (in what little exposure I've had to her). She doesn't bug me, which is rare for a "celebrity."
Good article. One thing I noticed was that the word "former" was missing from your normal sig at the end of the article. Is this a sign, or an error?
Looking back at his stats though, he is young and he walks alot. Add ML hitters and rookie jitters and he has a lot of baserunners. But we have few options that might be better, so let him learn here.
"What's a cubit?"
"Never mind that."
From the "Noah" routine.
98 - an error.
1st pitch strike, take - fastball down the middle
2nd pitch curveball, down - pooey for contact.
Great pitcher, but about 7 pitches per batter.
Oh-- Bills is a bit wild.
I think that Martin needs to do just what he did with Lowe, go to the mound and not leave til Bills calms down.
First outing fair but nothing impressive so far.
(a) Ethier got a glove on it, but missed
(b) The catcher is Joe Mauer, who leads the majors in hitting
Back to baseball: 50 pitches in an inning and two-thirds?
Billingsley needs to throw strikes. If he wants to be Ishii II then he can go back to the minors. Throwing strikes and getting hammered is better than walking people and getting hammered. You have no chance of getting an out when you walk someone.
http://tinyurl.com/pdsno
It seems like they collect a bunch of throwers.
Superman is excellent. Although I am not impartial...
I flew into Reagan last Thursday night/Friday morning from California and our pilot was dodging lighting strikes. We were the first plane to land in DC in 2.5 hours, so there were no taxis--just cranky, cranky people.
BTW Some of these ML outfits are so lame, don't you think a couple would trade for D. Young, Confusing him with Delman Young.
Thank god for Kemp!
Good job by Billingsley to throw strikes
Lofton just showed off his cannon arm.
this is a joke, right? Same hitter? Let's see...Izturis has no power, no speed, and doesnt' draw walks...he basically lives off singles so when they aren't falling it's like having another pitcher in the lineup.
right, but then it brings about the discourse of how important his defense is. I'd personally rather have a guy who could actually hit the ball yet make, say, 8 or 9 more errors on the season than a guy who makes no errors but can't hit water if he jumped out of a boat.
Izturis is basically Royce Clayton...yet somehow no one understands that.
I can dig that.
At this point last year, Furcal was worse (.226 /.281/347), and he still finished fine. It's way too soon to write him off.
What if it were Pedro Martinez?
like Martin says close plays to the plate are instiked plays!
K Loft is junk
alright, let's do that. Izturis' batting averages from 2001-2005: .269, .232., .251, .288, .257
his obp: .279, .253, .282, .330, .302
his steals: 8, 7, 10, 25, 8
And a total of 10 HR.
Let's look at the same with Furcal, his avgs: .275, .275, .292, .279, .284
OBP: .321, .323, .352, .344, .348
steals: 22. 27, 25, 29, 46
Total HR of 53.
Same hitter? Really? I understand izturis is better defensively, but is that really worth having such a bad hitter in the lineup? I mean, let's say Nomar wasn't playing first all that well...would you rather have JT Snow there? No. Izturis is really no different than a guy like Snow...can't hit, great defensive replacement/spot starter but that's it.
Yet somehow everyone thinks Izturis is the greatest thing since sliced bread.
Kind of bad if he didn't.
if that's the only response, then I'll assume I proved my point.
glub.
Atlanta is actually beating NY 2-0 over the final seven innings. Too bad for them NY scored five in the first two.
just one. Is that too much to ask?
I guess I was wrong
Help I think I'm going manic again.
I wish we played them, often!
I'm not gonna give up on this game that easily though.
GO DODGERS!!!
I druther win here.
Yes, but his arm probably isn't.
I think he needs more time at Vegas.
Baez- junk
Broxton- has been overworked
Beimel- mediocre, has pitched a lot
Seo- junk
Kuo- great stuff, no control
Perez- will probably pitch Wednesday
"Um, Grady, are you sure that's a good idea?"
"Of course it is. You see, Kuo's left-handed and so is their batter."
"Grady, he's leading all of baseball in batting average."
"You just don't understand playing the percentages. That's what smart manager's like me do."
New rule: From now on, Rick Honeycutt decides which pitchers go in, and Grady gets fined $100,000 every time he does it. The man is certifiably incompetent with a pitching staff.
http://tinyurl.com/rb4cr
Your brain on drugs
http://tinyurl.com/q5rk3
He needs to develop a 3rd pitch. I don't think his slider is getting it done....at least not like his fastball and curve, which look like plus pitches. He needs to go to Gagne school or Clemens school to develop a change or a splitter. I don't think he'll be a projectable ace unless he has a nice third pitch to go with the rest of his arsenol. On the bright side, he is still 21 and most likely would be a juniour in College if he went that route. He's got a lot of time before he hits his prime and has a bright outlook to become a future ace.
If we stay the course, next year we should be an outfit like the Twins, with more money to use. My only reluctance is I'm not sure we have pitching enough, or know how to find it and develop it.
it's getting there
Twins have built from within for years and there is nothing wrong with losing to them. But our pitching is beyond any defense.
But, yeah, Baez seems to have a knack for sucking really bad at times. I finally dropped him in my fantasy league after his Seattle blowup.
Oooh, Simpson's episode where Homer designs his ultimate car guest starring Danny Devito.
Perhaps starters aside. But I really wonder.
You're not the only person who gets upset, but you'll notice that everyone else is able to hold back.
Thanks.
The Twins are one of the few ML teams with young pitching to spare and while Baker's stats didn't look too hot while he was up with the Twins earlier he has very good stuff and could settle in as a quality #3 pitcher.
Monday's game in the Metrodome is the first on artificial turf for the Dodgers since Aug. 24-26, 2004, in Montreal.
By the time we get home against the Diamondbacks we will have lost 5 of 6 games and will probably still be in 1st place. What a pathetic division.
I would welcome that trade. As Canuck said that would be a nice deal for both teams. We should be lucky that Baker started off slow if we could nab him for Aybar.
http://tinyurl.com/olkpn
4 swing and misses tonite on 103 pitches.
All together 8 swing and misses on 298 big league pitches thrown. The bottomline is the guy isnt missing enough bats. If his stuff was as good as BA says it is, he'd be getting guys to actually swing and miss the ball.
He'll improve hopefully, but he's massively overhyped at this stage of his career. If you're the #1 pitching prospect in baseball, you should be able to handle the Padres, Mariners, and Twins. His control will get better I think, but the key is his overall stuff. He's very hittable.
At least Baker isn't coming from a very home run forgiving park.
263 - I think Mulholland is available these days...
anybody ready for more Journey yet?
Hmm, so you were kidding were you? Well, two can play at that game, regFOULfield. Hah! Because your name is regfairfield, you know. . . get it?
Why are you assuming the Dodgers wont be able to beat the Angels? The Angels are a bad team.
And you can't judge a kid pitcher's stuff by swings and misses in his first few games. I recently watched a video recording of Rich Harden's second MLB game, in July 2003 against the Angels. The Angels didn't swing and miss on a single fastball the entire game. They swung and missed about four times on a 100 pitches, all breaking pitches. Getting swings and misses on fastballs is about both velocity and location, and Billingsley has still got to iron out some control isues in the majors before he starts working on finer points of command within the strike zone. It's an adjustment process at this level.
2005
IP: 53.2 HR: 5 H/9: 8.05 K/9: 5.37 BB/9: 2.35 GO/AO: 0.65 ERA: 3.35
2006
IP:49 HR:10 H/9:12.12 K/9: 7.53 BB/9: 1.47 GO/AO: 0.38 H: 66 ERA: 6.06
Bases empty: 34 H, 6 BB, 24 K, 4 HR, 118 PA
Runner on 1st: 17 H, 1 BB, 7 K, 4 HR, 39 PA
His best splits:
Bases loaded: 1 AO
Runner 1st,2nd: 1 H, 12 PA, 2 GO, 7 AO
DOB: 9.19.1981
Notes: Numbers suggest he has good control. More effective in April when throwing fewer strikes. Should be 3-4, except the Twins only scored 1 run against the Royals in a game in which he went 7 and only allowed 7 hits and 3 runs. Has pitched in the 5th inning in each start.
His May was a nightmare, which would make me think he's a gamble. If he doesn't pitch like that, though, he'd be a great addition to the rotation (Billingsley doesn't look like he's comfortable in the majors quite yet).
I think swinging strikes and walks are two important indicators as to the talent of the pitcher. So far, Billingsley doesnt look all that talented. Just 3 starts/300 pitches so far though.
However, I understand how scouts will rank players based on potential. But for them to rank someone based on potential, they have to have seen something in the performance that makes them think they'll develop. Mainly gre