Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
The Dodgers are leaning toward keeping Cesar Izturis at third base rather than trade him to open up the position for Willy Aybar, Andy LaRoche or an outsider, according to Bill Plunkett of the Register.*
Maybe this is reverse posturing to drive Izturis' price up, but it's the most definitive endorsement of Izturis we've seen this season from Dodger general manager Ned Colletti:
"I would have to have a definite answer in return," he said, an indication the GM does not consider minor-leaguers Willy Aybar, Joel Guzman or LaRoche (who returned to Triple-A this past week, avoiding surgery for a slight labrum tear) everyday answers at the major-league level at this point.
"Cesar has done a great job at third base," Colletti said. "Is he going to be a prototypical hitter at third base? No. But I definitely like what I've seen from him and appreciate the professionalism he has shown by agreeing to make that (position) switch in order to make us a better ballclub."
Since Mueller went on the DL, Dodgers third baseman have hit .265 with 26 runs scored and 29 RBIs in 51 games. Through Saturday, Izturis was hitting .288 (19 for 66) in 18 games.
When asked if he could see Izturis being his everyday third baseman for the rest of the season, Little said he could for a variety of reasons.
"Even on nights when he doesn't get any hits, it's like he's driving in runs with his glove," Little said. "That means as much to us as a guy hitting .350."
I'll allow one argument for Izturis. In a year in which the Dodger pitching staff started out at a disadvantage and mostly moved backward, his defense may be a small way to improve the Dodgers' run-prevention ability.
But even with his batting average back up to .288, Izturis' power-depressed OPS is .672. That puts a lot of pressure on the rest of the lineup.
And now, for some comic relief - backup catcher Toby Hall, who had three hits Saturday, is already trying to get himself traded, according to Kevin Pearson of the Press-Enterprise. So much for the thrill of being part of a contender.
* * *
*By the way, that would make me wrong about having predicted Izturis' place in the lineup was temporary.
As long as Grady's making numbers up, why doesn't he say it's like hitting 45 home runs, or hitting .400?
Obviously, it's possible that Grady's just making a point and doesn't REALLY believe Izturis' defense is so good that it's like having Albert Pujols in the lineup. Still, the problem is that when you're assuming that a banjo hitter's D makes him super valuable is that if it's NOT like hitting .400 you're putting the team at a severe disadvantage, especially if you have other alternatives.
Also, why does Colletti need a "definite answer" in return? It's not like Cesar was a 'definite answer' when he came off the DL. Some would argue that he still ins't a definite answer today.
I'll defer to Jon's "pump up trade value" disclaimer.
Dear Sir:
I represent the estate of Gabby Hartnett and we are planning to file an injunction against you to prevent you from calling any catcher as bad as Toby Hall "Gabby."
Further use of the name "Gabby" will put you in contempt of court.
So, when Hall declines arbitration, the draft pick he'll be worth will make up for the one Colletti spends on next year's version of Brett Tomko. It's the circle of life, is what that is.
I wish it was reverse posturing on Colletti's part, but doesn't he kind of blow it by saying Aybar, Guzman and LaRoche aren't ready? If he really wanted to up Izturis' trade value, he'd say "Aybar is a major league quality third baseman, but I've got no place to put him, because he can't dislodge Izturis."
Dodgers trainer Stan Johnston reported no damage to the nerve and said Gagne was well after the surgery.
"I talked to Eric this afternoon," Johnston said. "He was awake and watching the game. He called to tell me he caught Olmedo Saenz's home run."
Aybar can't play short, fine we get that, so any thought of Aybar being the super-utility is a pipe dream. But a combination of Izturis and Aybar would provide suitable depth at each of the 4 IF positions with Aybar providing pop and Izzy the glove man.
Maybe I'm all wet.
Anyway, gotta jet. Vive la France!
What is it going to take for Sergio Pedroza to get a promotion? He doesn't have a great average, but all the other numbers are there. Currently he is sporting a line of .294/.445/.584 with 20 HR. Considering the lack of true outfield prospect in the Dodger system (Ruggiano, Raglani have stalled, as have D. Young and Guzman isn't exactly tearing things up), he should be in hi-A or AA by now.
I guess I'm in the minority here, but I love that guy's D.
However for all of the Izzy hatters and there seems to be many on this site, if what we need is another good starting pitcher, I don't think there is one out there where we could trade Izzy and get that pitcher..The trade to make would be to get Zitto now that Boras is his agent and it means curtains for his future as an Oakland A. In one sense now that it is clear that he will be leaving the A's after the season, his value may actually be down-doubt if he is traded he will stay with that team after the season is over.
I just get frustrated watching them score so many runs and lose. But I guess you can't make a trade for pitchers if all you are going to get is a Mark Hendrickson.
coachbean, I second that promotion of Sergio Pedroza, probably to Vero. Only problem I see is that last year he did the ball-o-fire thing at Ogden only to stumble after moving up to Colombus -- .207/.294 with a 4/1 K/BB ratio. This year he seems to have an eye (86K/67BB). Probably time (at age 22) to test him at a higher level. 73 ribs in 83 games says he's ready.
Hate to have somebody talking for me but this poster liked the deal at the time and still feels that Furcal will be a decent signing. 3 months is not enough time to judge a 3 year deal, especially for a player whose whole history has shown him to be a slow starter.
I guess 1st impressions are all everyone remembers. Aybar posted a 939 in May but a 650 OPS in June in the same number of at bats but everyone is still convinced he's a "good" hitter even though the jury is still out considering how few at bats he's garnered in his ML career while Furcal whose had over 3600 at bats is a lousy player based on his terrible April and the solid May and July he's had have no meaning. The defense has been a disapointment and I can't quibble that Izzy is an upgrade there but I'd take Furcal over Izzy 10 times out of 10 times and I expect every GM in baseball would make the same decision.
What do the 86 K's in 296 at bats say about his ability to deal with Low A pitching?
I think the criticism for Furcal stems directly from the expectations people have when you sign a 39 million dollar contract.
.274/.364/.443/.807
Izturis
.288/.324/.348/.672
One can only hope that the powers that be are not thinking to themselves ".288 > .274, and therefore Izturis is a better hitter than Aybar."
I'll be going back & forth
I'm still confident that he'll bounce back. I've been making this point a lot lately but he was doing worse offensively at this time last year. When we signed Furcal, he was tied for third with Michael Young and Jhonny Peralta in WARP3 for shortstops. This year, he's third from last, ahead of only Ronny Cedeno and Angel Berroa. Players don't suddenly collapse like that for no reason. Furcal still has plenty of time to bounce back.
See "Blass, Steve."
DJ always gets a day before a day off.
Drew's splits
VS RHP .291/.403/.493
VS LHP .282/.303/.423
Career numbers
VS RHP .293/.399/.531
VS LHP .269/.368/.447
Tony LaRussa used to pull the same crap. Only Bobby Cox gave him a shot at lefties.
Aknowledged that Furball is a little better batter than Izzy, and a little worse in the field.
No, Furcal is a lot better than Izzy at the plate. At least he has an inkling of power and can swipe bags like crazy. Izturis can't hit for average, can't hit for power, and has no speed. In other words, he's an absolutely atrocious hitter...always has been, and always will be.
I honestly believe that we won't win this division with Izturis in the lineup every day at third. It's a recipe for disaster when you're penciling in a guy that's an automatic out every time up.
Remember his leadoff homer last year?
Or something.
But I guess it has worked for them in the first couple games.
yeah
I think sac flies should count as ABs.
Should I take that as a "yes"? I'd prefer they all count as ABs, but at the very least there should be consistency. Either all should count, or none should count.
yes I remember that game very well
In answer to some critism of keeping Izturis, if hitting is more important than D how come we have another day with both Kent and Drew not hitting? If both are hurt, thats OK. Or it could be a wrong decision also.
Drew is 3-27 lifetime against Schmidt.
I'm really liking Sele (hope this doesn't jinx him today) more and more, bless him, given the erratic mess that is the rest of the starting pitching staff minus Penny.
you think he'll win 30?
Let's just say "We will join our programming already in progress."
I've seen that many times in golf. I don't know how much the club "deforms," but the ball does significantly.
They showed a Randy Winn foul off in that 2000 FPS on the Giants broadcast today.
You could see the bat gigggle on impact. Amazing.
they also showed it on PM/fox (cool stuff)
http://tinyurl.com/ztyva
yeah he's a great athlete
See:
Finley, Steve
Green, Shawn
Herges, Matt
Beltre, Adrian
I'd bring in Penny next inning.
1. "Players Who Play Poorly for the Dodgers, Then Leave and Play Well Elsewhere"
2. "Players Who Play Well Elsewhere, Then Arrive and Play Poorly for the Dodgers"
Yeah, that's what I meant, but I was getting lost in a forest of subordinate clauses.
Izturis has gotten on base in every game he's played in a National League field except for Thursday's game. If you take out games in AL stadiums, he's hit .409 coming into today's game.
Which gives me the opportunity to boast once again about the time I struck out an eighteen-year-old Jermaine Dye (he was batting lefthanded, but it still counts) in a Senior Babe Ruth game.
Unless I'm mistaken, the only NL stadium he has played in this season is Dodger Stadium.
Oh please, bunt!
Every time a ball is put in play, there is a 12.5% chance that the ball will be hit toward the player in question. A great majority of these balls would be plays that any league average player could make. A few run-saving plays every few games does not override the two, three, or even four at bats the player is likely to receive.
And there is no such thing as 'intangibles' in baseball. If they were truly intangible, you wouldn't be able to tell that a player had them.
Curse you and your fancy words and knowledge of logic!
I guess your computer heard "3 pitch strikeout!"
159 - The locations reminded me of Gagne striking out Ryan Howard, except Gagne threw high.
Its still gushing.
Uggla, Zimmerman, Martin, Ethier.
Zimmerman and Uggla will likely have the most playing time and higher counting stats.
I'm not sure if I like this move.
(He says before the inevitable blowup.)
Garner brought Oswalt into the 10th inning of his game yesterday, and he subsequently lost it.
Penny is on 3 days rest, and pitching out of the bullpen. Thats why I dont really see the point in this.
Who would you rather have pitch?
Brad Penny is a great starter but a lousy reliever.
Is Danys Baez the answer to our rotation?
Now Penny is out.
Henrdickson was warming up earlier.
Frank Robinson tried to get a six-out save from Chad Cordero today. Cordero only got five outs and he gave up five runs.
Penny is the best pitcher on the team, we want to win this game, he's not going to pitch again until the All-Star game.
If he hurts himself in one inning of work, that's bad luck, but very, very, unlikely wouldn't you say?
acording to Grady, yes.
Maybe he'll do it again.
His glove hit a double but was thrown out stretching at second base.
Literally, it means "goats."
There are two MLS teams. There is the Galaxy and there is Chivas USA, which is an American version of the VERY popular Mexican team.
It's sort of like if there were a baseball team in the Mexican League called "Los Yanquis."
it's my cousins favorite soccer team.
It was supposed to be the start of a rivalry between the Galaxy and Chivas USA, except last year, which was Chivas's first year, Chivas was really bad. Like 1962 Mets bad.
actualy the Yankees of the mexican soccer league are called AMERICA, Chivas have a trully trully loyal fan base.
A fastball to the head would make Baez my hero.
True, I'm just going for an easier analogy.
I think at the next Dodger game I go to, I'm wearing my Team Croatia jersey.
there a soccer team in mexico called CLUB AMERICA
I though for sure it'd be Lowe.
The Chivas logo is alot better then the AMERICA logo.IMO.
Too bad LA couldn't have gotten him ten years ago.
oh man LOL!!
Saito was a starter himself back then. Forget wasting him in relief.
If you notice most if not all Mexican soccer players have nicknames. I think that's also true in most soccer leagues (not sure though)
that's a drink no?
Gameday is hanging more often for me and sometimes comes the black screen and hangs at a certain % loaded. I don't think its all your rig.
When your on base guys (Iz and Furc. are batting about .270 and The only guy in the League thats keeping your rook from leading bat. ave.(Ethier) is on your team (Garc.) somethings right!
Split series w/o our ace is OK.
Nice for the Dodgers to go into the AS break with a win. Should put everyone in the pledge drive mood.
Looks like the two sox don't want the break ever to come. Into the sixteenth in Chi!
"He could be a superstar," one scout says. "He could be Preston Wilson."
The scout worded that poorly. He should have said "He could be a superstar, or he could be Preston Wilson".
Jeff Kent for Cameron Maybin and Wilfredo Ledezma (even though I don't think he's that great of a prospect).
Still going on. Heading to the bottom of the 17th.
Let's play two!
c martin
1b nomar
2b kent
ss furcal
3b laroche
lf ethier
cf kemp
rf drew
Get aybar ready to be the backup at 2b and ss.
Have loney as backup outfielder and 1b.
Have guzman as backup outfielder and 3b.
Have repko as backup outfielder.
Have saenz as strictly a pinch hitter.
And obviously the backup catcher as that.
And have grady play the hot hands at lf, cf, 3b, meaning guzman, loney, repko get significant playing time.
And if you think about it aybar would get significant playing time too giving kent and furcal days off.
So basically we won't have prospects just sitting on the bench.
Final thought, ned needs to sign some free agent pitchers to improve the pitching, and that means zito even tho bor-ass is representing him, any maybe another quality pitcher or even 2 even if its a reliever, because i think gagne is done as a dodger.
your name is pretty funny. (is you speak spanish that is)
I don't have dish network
Ok, since when does Izturis make us a better ballclub? And since when does his glove hit?
I have more faith in Sele than Tomko and I have for awhile.
It is absolutely imperative that a particular segment of our 1B history not be allowed to repeat itself. When we had Paul Konerko in the minors, he was considered blocked by a very popular (in L.A.) veteran, Eric Karros. In his first full year with the White Sox, Konerko had a very strong season, but you know what? Eric Karros had a even better season that year. It was the very best season of Karros' career, in fact. Nobody missed Konerko that year. But what happened the NEXT year? Karros was terrible, would never have even a passably acceptable season again, and we were stuck with an albatross of a contract. Meanwhile, the young, inexpensive Konerko continued to build a fine MLB career.
If Garciaparra manages to stay healthy for all of 2007, would Loney be as good as him in 2007? Very likely, no. But we have to think long term, and Garciaparra is not going to sign again for the short term. In the long run, Loney has a brighter future than Nomar, simply because of the age difference. The team that signs Garciaparra after this year is going to be doing what the Yankees did with Johnny Damon: paying for good results in the season ahead at the expense of also buying part of the decline phase of Damon's career. The Yankees would not have done that if they had a center field prospect as good as Loney is as a first base prospect.
What about the rest of what i said in 258?
And only changing loney to starting 1b, and signing a cheap veteran backup bench player.
Also with the pitching, i think gagne is done as a dodger.
zito
penny
lowe
billingsley
perez
Bullpen
saito
broxton
kuo
brazoban
?
?
Ned should try to trade away tomko or hendrickson or both.
I would say trade perez but nobody will take him.
Fill the final 2 spots in the pen with anyone we are stuck with (tomko/hendrickson) or pick up a couple cheap guys.
Or if we can get another good starting pitcher that is worth it, put perez in the pen as the long reliever.
Possible suitors include the Rangers, Yankees, Mets and maybe even the A's. Some team with a manager and pitching coach who will say "I can fix that guy's problem."
Colletti's comments on him are sensible. There appears no agenda there. Just acknowledgment of the guy's recent play.
For me, it's a no-brainer: You keep Izzy, unless someone gives you a legit No. 3 starting pitcher who's not old.
Izzy is of benefit short and longer term to the Dodgers, provided his comeback from TJ surgery, no small thing, continues apace.
Sure, contemplate a new 3B. Easy to demand one. Now try to get one cheaply.
If you can't upgrade at 3B in the next 4-6 weeks, Izzy's the best guy available for that time span and also allows for the chance that a contender's SS gets hurt.
Maybe LaRoche is worth a look in August, but he deserves more time to come back from the shoulder injury. Sad to say, Aybar has flat out cratered, as I suspected he was in the midst of doing when he got sent down.
Willy needs time to sort it out now that the big boys exposed some of his flaws.
As for 2007, Izzy as a utility man gives you nice coverage at the three infield spots; Kent will be ancient, Furcal is Furcal and 3B figures to be LaRoche, who will be just 22 on Opening Day.
I, for one, probably the only one here, love and appreciate Little's praise for Izzy's defense. What he did for a bound-to-implode Lowe on Saturday was huge (and, in turn, for the gooey bullpen, which had a strong day today.) He's done big things for other Dodgers pitchers as well. Again, my belief is that run-suppression talent, in today's game, tends to get undervalued, more so on a team with a pitching staff such as this one.
Very cool.
You make very good points. However, Nomar is a different case than Karros, or Damon.
Karros had only 2 years in his career when he had an OPS over .900. Nomar's career OPS is over .900, and he looks like he's gonna do it again this year.
Also, Damon has never had an OPS in the majors over .900.
Nomar may be popular like Karros, but in no way was Karros as good as Nomar. I'd look for Nomar to be very, very good for at least 3 more years.
Also, Konerko was putting up HUGE years in the minors, with 30 and 37 home runs, and OPS' well over .900 both years in 1996-1997.
Meanwhile, Loney has is only just starting to put up a high OPS this year, and it's in Las Vegas.
Look, I wouldn't mind seeing Nomar go and Loney play 1B if the dodgers sign a Zito or Schmidt, but I don't think these are comparable situations.
Digale a esta pelota!
That was my translation which I'm sure has errors.
Just picture it louder and the Nos in a sing song way.
It comes through as this:
[spanish speaking]
[cheering]
I vote for Brain.
HAHAHA and you hafta love the boos for Pujols, Houston fans have long memories. All the way back to last October.
Wait for it...
Dump the following salaries that total 33.16 million and replace those guys with prospects plus get both zito and schmidt.
gagne
izturis
cruz
ledee
tomko
hendrickson
lofton
baez
mueller (from insurance)
Those players are making a combined 33.16 million this season, so if mccourt is willing to spend the same next season then 33.16 million pays for zito and schmidt and for raises and includes nomar.
And if there is a slight increase in payroll, so what, we will be the favorites for a world series with a great offense and 4 solid starting pitchers (zito schmidt penny lowe).
zito
schmidt
penny
lowe
billingsley
Bullpen
saito
broxton
kuo
brazoban
perez
?
c martin
1b nomar
2b kent
ss furcal
3b laroche
lf ethier
cf kemp
rf drew
Bench
saenz
loney
repko
guzman
aybar
backup catcher
And as i said give the prospects on the bench significant playing time.
If trees could scream, would we be so cavalier about cutting them down? We might, if they screamed all the time, for no good reason...
Kuo will get it together and be fine.
I thought i read that brazoban will be ready by spring training.
Plus keep in mind that the starting rotation consists of 4 very solid starters (zito schmidt penny lowe) and by next year billingsley could break out.
With that rotation all you really need is 2 or 3 reliable relievers.
And who knows maybe we could pick up a reliable reliever.
Replays hard to read.
Give Toby his wish and make Edwin Bellorin the backup catcher.Good defense,decent hitter.
"Hey, the Mets have something of a hole at second base, and the Dodgers need a pitcher. Where's Delino Deshields . . ."
Alexander maybe, but Miller's K/BB ratio is even worse than Kuo.
Are these win expectations set at the beginning of the season, or do they adjust for injuries, trades, etc.?
Anyway, nobody asked me but it seems like a lot more teams are playing better than was expected, but only a few are playing worse. The true disappointments would seem to be Cleveland, Philadelphia and maybe Houston. Some might add Atlanta, the Angels and the Yankees, but the relative weaknesses of those teams seemed apparent even in spring. There appear to be only a few really strong teams: The Sox brothers, the Mets and Detroit. There seem to be a lot of teams like the Dodgers, playing a little better than people expected, but not distinguishing themselves from the pack.
I thought i read that brazoban will be ready by spring training.
Plus keep in mind that the starting rotation consists of 4 very solid starters (zito schmidt penny lowe) and by next year billingsley could break out.
With that rotation all you really need is 2 or 3 reliable relievers.
And who knows maybe we could pick up a reliable reliever.
You don't think much of Kuo and Brozabon's problems do you? First of all, Kuo has never shown that he throws enough strikes beyond AA, and has had 2 TJ operations. He's one of those that I'd give a shot to the final spot in the pen in ST, not a guy who I'd say will "be fine."
Also, you read wrong, Brozabon had Tommy John this year, and it takes AT LEAST a year to recover. In fact, chances are he won't come back till the middle of next year. Also not a guy who you would count on.
And those 2-3 relievers can't go every night. That's why we need the Cararra's and Bimels of the world (as much as it scares me to say that.)
Don't get me wrong, I'd love that rotation, but we must have a better bullpen, not necessarily going out and spending money on Howry's and Eyre's, but we need a better pen than that.
Boston is +4 as are the White Sox.
Milwaukee is +6
The Dodgers are -3. The Braves are -4.
Karros had a smaller sample size, 1997 was only his 6th year, and Nomar had played 9 previous years. And his injuries were pretty much flukes, it's not like he doesn't keep in good shape.
Also, Konerko was a bigger prospect than Loney. And I'll say it again, I wouldn't mind seeing Loney in blue next year with signing a good pitcher, but would you really like to see Nomar go?
The thing with the bullpen is it gets worked out by signing non-roster invitees and guys coming back from injuries and from prospects.
If we had a better starting rotation this season we could have used sele in the pen, and that's my point if the guys i listed don't work out you replace them with the sele's of the world, and then also ned might be able to find another saito.
The bullpen is the last thing i concern myself with, as long as there are 2-3 reliable relievers, then the other spots get worked out by what i explained above.
And who knows maybe perez gets it together, but there is no room for him in the rotation so he becomes a reliable reliever.
Broxton
saito
Hopefully ned can find another saito
A sele type coming back from injury
perez
kuo/alexander/a prospect emerges such as miller
Or if mccourt/ned feels like spending money on a free agent reliever then fine, but the budget i laid out is maxed out.
But what i laid out for the offense plus the bench plus the starting rotation is an extremely strong team, and a little bit of a weak bullpen won't hurt, especially with four 7 innings starters if not more some times.
Konerko was a very high ranked prospect, and we don't know how Loney will rate after this season, but like I said, Loney doesn't have to be a clone of Konerko for the historical parallel to be clear. Konerko had more long range value than Karros, Loney has more long range value than Nomar. Karros was expensive, Nomar would be expensive. Konerko was cheap, Loney would be cheap. And yes, I do want to see Nomar go, UNLESS he agrees to stay for a one-year deal, which he won't do. I do not want us committing to Nomar beyond a year -- no way, no how.
If Colletti went into Jamie McCourt's office and said "I think it's silly to commit money to Nomar, given he's injury prone and we've got Loney," she'd do a spit take on the word "Loney" and then she'd fire him.
And in the dodgers case, we have prospects to fill out the offensive part of the team next year, there is absolutely no reason to sign any position player free agents except maybe nomar and some people are unwilling to do that.
Now the pitching is different we don't have enough prospects to fill out the pitching part of the roster, so ned needs to grab what he can as far as pitching is concerned in free agency.
I do not believe in trading prospects for Quality pitching, because you have to give value to get value and then you have to sign some mediocre veteran position players like the loftons of the world to fill the holes you created by trading position prospects for pitching.
And i believe you have to get your starting pitching right because if your starting pitching isn't good enough then during the season you end up making a bad trade kinda like the hendrickson trade.
Where does it say that Nomar has a chronic injury?
I do want to see Nomar go, UNLESS he agrees to stay for a one-year deal, which he won't do. I do not want us committing to Nomar beyond a year -- no way, no how.
Kinda harsh for a guy who has basically carried the bulk of our offense during the first half don't you think?
Not yet anyway, but watch out for Elbert and Kershaw soon.
They are far away.
Elbert in 2008 at the earliest if not 2009.
And kershaw we just dafted.
But yes i agree that they are probably the 2 best pitching prospects we have other than the ones that are currently on the team.
Its based on the dodgers current situation and the fact that in my opinion no position players on the up coming free agent market are worth signing, and so if the dodgers traded position prospects that are needed for next year for pitching then they would have to sign position players on the free agent market that i don't want ned to sign.
Plus i see 2 free agent starting pitchers that will be worth signing (zito and schmidt) so why go the trading route and then have to sign 2 or 3 loftons of the world to fill the position holes you created by trading position prospects for pitching.
Now i wouldn't mind if ned traded guys like young, hu, abreu, ragliani, diaz or any other prospect that i do not see in the dodgers future or any veterans like cruz, lofton, ledee, izturis, hendrickson, tomko, baez ect. that i don't see in the dodgers future, but to get a quality starting pitcher you have to give quality, and the names in this paragraph are not very quality.
I'd like to see ned put together the roster i laid out in post 293 for 2007.
Plus, we must keep Zito away from the Padres, which is where I think he might be tempted to go.
If Izzy is staying, why don't they put him at SS and Furcal at 3B? His glove would be inclined to knock in more runs from SS.
Any one have any thoughts on when Ledee and Repko come back? If I had to guess, I would say Kemp is going to go down and Ledee or Cruz may get traded (probably for next to nothing). Kemp may be the real deal, but he is not looking good at all at the plate lately. Watching him swing at those breaking balls in the dirt is just painful.
Somebody hire him!!
And dzzzrtRatt's claim, in post 321, that the marketing department and Jamie McCourt are going to dictate anything about the Nomar situation is absurd. If anything, the fact that Colletti is aware that the marketing department would have been happy to give a lifetime contract to Gagne, and now look what happened to THAT "face of the franchise," is going to make Colletti think really hard about how stupid it would be to give a long-term deal to a fragile player. I have to add that anybody who thinks that the Dodgers' brass up to and including the McCourts aren't going to be thinking seriously about injury risks this off-season just hasn't been paying attention to the Dodgers the last two seasons. The McCourts have no doubt been pulling their hair out over the M*A*S*H unit this club has been for two consecutive seasons, so will they want the older, injury-prone, expensive Garciaparra when they can have a cheap youngster like Loney? I think they are prepared to do what Colletti thinks best, but really want a cheap, young team with big money spent only where we don't have in-house options, for the very obvious financial reasons.
No more Lofton/Mueller/Tomko...13 mils on inconsequential veterans..those sorts of moves.
If you're gonna spend 13 mils, spend it on a player that will make a differnce. Not on riff-raff.
At this time, I don't think Ned will be in the market for a bat, as stated elsewhere, unless something falls in their lap or Izzy is needed as a piece for a pitcher, the focus will be on pitching.
I may be the lone voice on this board but I think if Baez is given consistent work (2-3 times a week) he will be better as this season progress.
Gio in spots should be okay, I looked at Broxton's game log and while he has those occasional blow ups, he also can put together streaks of consistent pitching.
Really, the only pitchers who really never got on a roll were Kuo, Carter and Hamulack in the pen and Seo (and before we start looking at his starts in Tampa Bay, I think that there is a difference pitching in front of a small crowd where no one knows you in comparison to pitching in front of the largest Korean American community in the U.S.), Odalis Perez and for the last month or so, Tomko.
Now that Gagne is out, unless Hendrickson and Billingsley fall completely on their face, Tomko is probably a good candidate to possibly help in the set up role although I don't know if he can adjust to that. He may need a couple of rehab appearances to see if how fast he can recover.
BTW, a little off topic but these double day games on weekends, I think affects attendance and saps something out of the players, who would prefer playing in the cooler evenings. I know this is TV thing, especially because Fox does not show a national game of the week.
Also, anytime I get offers for tickets on the weekend, going out in the sun does affect my decision.
C- Martin
RF-Drew
3b-Nomar
1b-Dunn
CF-Jones
LF-Kemp
2b-Aybar
SS-Furcal
Starters:
Penny
Lowe
Zito
Schmidt
Billingsley
Sign Zito/Schmidt both this off-season.
Then next year sign Andruw Jones/Adam Dunn.
If payroll needs to be cut, then just let Nomar go and go with LaRoche at 3rd.
Nomar may not want a one year deal, but who's going to take a five year plunge on him? He's still an injury risk to such an extent that he's playing 1B.
Zito could be more of an issue because Boras is going to want 65/5 years. Now who are the competitiors for Barry Zito.
1. Yankees
2. D-Backs
3. Detroit (just a flyer, not real serious)
I don't the Padres based on how long Boras will want the contract to be, I think they still have revenue issues due to park revenue, with the Angels locking up Escobar, they have 5 guys pretty well set and they already have big money in Colon and Escobar, I suppose the Cardinals could enter the picture but I see Barry being a West Coast guy.
In the end, with Jason's injury history and age, but again with Ned's connection with him, he might have an edge.
The Dodgers are already promised an interesting off-season with Boras with Drew's player option and Gagne's probable buy-out, so they may as well talk about Zito while they are at it.
I do not think there is much of a chance at all that JD opts out of his contract. He said that was there because he was unsure of living in LA, but his wife and him love the place. In addition, I doubt anyone would give him 11 million a year.
I wish we could just give Zito a short contract (3 years), but a lot of money.
Maybe we could find a trading partner in the off-season willing to move a starter.
The fact of the matter is you better get free agent starting pitchers while you can or else you end up making bad trades and subtracting offense and you end up not benefiting.
And you don't sign free agent tomko types either.
I'd much rather take a chance on zito and schmidt than add more tomkos or subtract offense in a trade.
If zito and schmidt aren't worth it then nobody is worth it from free agency and the dodgers will never win a championship with a bunch of tomkos in the rotation with a couple prospects.
EVERYTHING revolves around pitching, especially starting pitching.
3 options:
1)either trade top prospects for pitching which leads to lofton types filling holes created by trading position prospects.
2)or sign a bunch of tomkos which doesn't do you any good, but you keep your position prospects.
3)or sign difference makers like zito and schmidt and keep your position prospects.
The 3rd option is what i advocate.
I agree we need pitching to win a championship, but our payroll is already over 100 million. I doubt McCourt is going to allow us to shell out huge money to two top of the rotation starters. I would rather go after Zito and then someone like Lilly. Zito/Penny/Lowe/Billingsley/Lilly is a good enough rotation for us to win.
Why would we have holes if we traded away some prospects? We have enough depth in our system to trade away players. We can trade players like Guzman, Abreu, and Hu and it will not effect our major league roster. I have no problem with signing stop gap players, as long as they are good. We do not have to sign bad filler players.
And no I do not believe he will break down at the end of it and be a shell himself. But hey, it could happen.
Bingo that works, but what are the chance that could happen?
Well i said top prospects.
If we could get a impact starting pitcher for those 3 guys, then i'm on board, but i highly doubt it.
Guzman is the only one of the 3 that i would like to keep, but hu and abreu i'd trade in a heartbeat.
I have always been more into 2007 then this year. I would happily trade Kent to Cardinals, Angels, Mets or any other team who wants a second baseman.
But look at the contracts coming off the books.
gagne and cruz (13 m) pays for zito.
lofton, baez, ledee, mueller (13.5 m) (mueller from insurance) pays for schmidt.
Then trade tomko, izturis and hendrickson (8.8 m) to pay for raises to others.
John Sickels is going to put out his review of his top 20 Dodger prospects on Thursday, I would like to preempt that by doing are own DT review of Dodger prospects.
Here was his original rankings in February 2006
1. Chad Billingsley, RHP, Grade A-
2. Joel Guzman, SS-3B-OF, Grade A-
3. Andy LaRoche, 3B, Grade B+
4. Jonathan Broxton, RHP, B+
5. Russell Martin, C, B+
6. Scott Elbert, LHP, B+
7. Blake DeWitt, 3B, B+
8. Chin-Lung Hu, SS, B
9. Andre Ethier, OF, B
10. Justin Orenduff, RHP, B
11. Etanislao Abreu, 2B, B-
12. Delwyn Young, 2B, B-
13. Travis Denker, 2B, B-
14. Matt Kemp, OF, B-
15. Blake Johnson, RHP, B-
16. Hong Chi Kuo, LHP, B-
17. James Loney, 1B, C+
18. Justin Ruggiano, OF, C+
19. Anthony Raglani, OF, C+
20. Josh Wall, RHP, C+
It's possible that at the end of the year, Kenshaw, Morris, Mattingly and Steven Johnson could find themselves on this list as Ethier, Martin, Broxton, Billingsley and maybe Kemp will all have played too many games to qualify as "prospects."
My review is that Billingsley could probably use more time in AAA to work on his control and pitching efficiency but otherwise his promotion was maybe a month or two early.
Broxton, Martin, Ethier are probably here to stay, Kemp could use some AAA time to work on his pitch selection but maybe having the attention of Manny Mota and Eddie Murray will do the trick.
Great first halves (players still in minors):
1. LaRoche, after a poor April, has really come on to earn his promotion to AAA, some shoulder issues but started playing again and homered after his layoff.
2. Loney, some still point at his lack of home runs but .370-.380 with an OPS hovering near .900 and still being identified as the best fielding 1B in the minors, and he is still only 22.
3. Scott Elbert, record aside, he began to really dominate at Vero Beach, made his first start in AA, walks a little high but dominated (9 Ks, only 1 hit (HR) in 5 IP)
Good first halves:
1. Chin-Lung Hu, never a big time hitter, still holding his own in AA, 2006 Futures Game selection and Southern League All-Star.
2. Tony Abreu, joining his teammate as a Southern League All-Star, again not big numbers but still progressing.
3. Blake Johnson, not eye-popping but he has about a 4-1 KK/BB ratio but he will probably spend all of 2006 in Vero Beach so his development is definitely on the slow track.
Disappointing first halves in the minors.
1. Joel Guzman, Future Game selection aside and I will discount his time in LA because of all the prospects, his time was the most inconsistent, but anyway he has not done anything in AAA to merit his press clippings. Now, there are a lot of top prospects who have had disappointing first halves, Marte, Daric Barton, B.J. Upton, to name a few and Guzman is still on the younger side so this is not a disaster but he will have to pick it up to avoid the "Dodger Hype" tag.
2. Blake DeWitt, disappointing only because he has been inconsistent, striking out too much but has started to pick it up and he has the second half to recover.
3. Travis Denker, started in VB, was sent back to Columbus.
Incomplete due to injuries:
1. Justin Orenduff
Anyways thats my thoughts.
Jump in, we have some time before Chad laces them up against the Cards.
Broxton also has reached the innings pitched level to be considered a prospect and Chad is already halfway there.
Based on that, my current top ten would be:
1. LaRoche
2. Elbert
3. Loney
4. Guzman
5. Hu
6. Abreu
7. Aybar
8. Miller
9. Kuo
10. DeWitt
Like I said above, Steven Johnson, Kenshaw, Morris, and Mattingly may find themselves on this list by year's end.
That is why B.J.Upton does not appear on any lists and why King Felix did not appear on any lists coming into this season.
Well, with the Dodgers playoff-qualified at the break, this seems like as good a time as any.
Once or twice a season, I've made a small contribution to Jon and the site. I've got two basic reasons. First, I just really enjoy Jon's writing, the site he has built, and the community that has grown up around it, and so it seems appropriate to contribute what I can to keeping it all running. Given the junk I pay for in my life, throwing a bit of cash to Dodger Thoughts is a downright pleasure. Second, I feel a bit of a "put your money where your mouth is" pressure -- it's easy to write in comments that I value the site and Jon's work; it's something else altogther to actually pay a bit back for it, and I think Jon really appreciates the gesture of support (as well as the support itself!).
Anyhow, this time around, instead of just making a contribution myself, I thought I'd make an effort to leverage our numbers a little bit. So, rather than straight up send Jon a paypal, what I'd thought I'd do is match contributions made by others (within reason and within my means) and also take a little time to pester and harangue you lot. Here's the idea:
I will match the first $10 of contributions made to Dodger Thoughts this next week. Now, some of you can probably afford more and I'd encourage you to contribute more -- but I'll match the first $10. Ideally, we'd get 25 folks or so to contribute $10 each, I'd match, and Jon can take his lovely wife for an overnight at Shutters or something (or you know, pay his baseball prospectus and like subscriptions). Since I'm a mere mortal, I can't match more than 25, but that's not to say more folks shouldn't greenback up.
This note is too long already, and I'm not going to hector/cajole much more than this (some reminders will issue over the week, of course). There's alot of junk in the world you pay $10 for; please consider spending $10 (or more) on something you value and enjoy. Jon puts in a heck of a lot of time, not just writing the site, but managing the community, setting the tone, and keeping this a smart, fun place for folks to hang out, talk, and learn.
Important Final Point: This is a free website that Jon publishes and others participate in just because they want to and certainly not for the money. For many readers, of course, money is tight and making a contribution right now won't be an option. Others may feel that their discretionary funds are better spent on things other than a baseball blog. Totally reasonable. And others write their own blogs for heaven's sake and deserve fundraisers of their own. True true. By asking folks who can comfortably afford it to join me in making what is essentially a gesture towards our host, I certainly realize that many readers/members of the community will have good reasons for not doing so. Obviously, no worries. Jon would be pissed as all heck at me if this little gimmick (which I didn't ask him about and which he is probably quite ambivalent over) made anyone feel uncomfortable or unwelcome or anything else.
That said, the many of you who can make a very small donation, that will be doubled (in part) by me, really should do so.
Logistics: You can contribute via the PayPal button at right. I'll ask Jon to let me know how many donations he receives so I can match. Maybe he can shoot me an update now or then so I can support my hectoring with some cold hard facts. If you don't like PayPal and want to send me a check that I translate into paypal, shoot me an email at sam.brodsok AT comcast DOT net.
(I'll repost this when there's a new thread.)
Well, it's working for at least one injury-prone poster (or is that imposter?). I tend to contribute once or twice a year as well, and now seems a good time to re-up. I'll attempt to get up to Marty-speed and hit the Paypal button before the day is out.
Oh.
I guess it isn't.
Sam had dropped hints about trying to get people to give money last week, and I debated whether I should let my pride get in the way of letting him go. Unfortunately, one of my principal issues offline is pride, or lack thereof.
I notice that very few baseball sites ask for donations, including those that kick my butt several days a week like 6-4-2, and so that only adds to my embarrassment.
I know, all too well, that many of you would not bother coming here if you had to pay for it, and I appreciate that any of you come at all. Really.
I guess I'm left with three thoughts:
1) If you do decide to contribute to the site, do it because you believe in what the site is trying to do and you want to see that grow. It is true that a donation could help in that regard. Certainly, you don't need to give me money out of guilt or sympathy that you've been getting something for nothing. That's what the Internet basically is.
2) One way to get something back out of your donation is to purchase "The Best of Dodger Thoughts." Just like a gift you would get from giving to a nonprofit like NPR, you'd be supporting the site while enjoying an additional benefit from yourself.
3) Sam, from the bottom of my heart, thanks for everything. And/but/however, though I appreciate you going all Warren Buffett on me, I feel that the matching gift gesture is probably too much, or as some would call it, insane.
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