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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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In a move that crushes all those Dodgers fans who would rather have a good farm system than a good team, Ned Colletti trades one kid for a better kid. How dare he try to win this year!
"Those Dodger fans" ...
The argument some people are making is to not trash the future to try to win this year. That's all. It's fine to contest that, but making an opposing argument into something it's not doesn't do a whole lot of good - and being snide about it is just plain insulting.
Yes, I'm fooling myself.
And I still say Betemit looks like Kanye West.
I started as a shortstop," said Betemit, who was blocked in Atlanta at that position by Furcal. "When they moved me to third base, I added about 20 pounds. I feel comfortable playing there now. The first time, it was a little confusing. The ball gets there quickly."
Kanye West is a fool.
While I don't believe he'll ever be a good hitter -- and let's be clear on that point -- I can see him making solid gains, somewhat like Ozzie Smith did. When you factor in his splendid defense, those gains could be crucial for whoever employs him.
Jon and others here often point out that Izzy has a career OPS of .630 or so. Factoring in his dreadful .627 OPS in the minors (including an abysmal .294 OBP)it seems a good bet that this is the exasperating, sinkhole of hitter Izzy will be from here on out. And he might get worse should he lose some footspeed, which many middle infielders do in their late 20s.
As Jon has observed, Izzy is very singles-reliant and can't leg out many hits, adding to the problems.
But my belief is that Izturis is an evolving hitter, and that a .730-plus OPS is within his grasp in his prime years -- 26-28. At worst, given a full season next year, I see him as a .675-710 OPS guy, as he was in 2004, and that's about average for a No. 8 hitter in the NL right now.
My belief is he has always had good hand-eye coordination as a hitter, partly evidenced by his low K ratios at all levels, but that he simply lacked the strength to do anything with it.
Entering 2004, Izturis had already made some 600 PAs in the majors. He had posted a brutal career OPS of .582.
About that time, Wallach and others spoke of how Izturis had virtually no strength, that his bottom hand needed to get a lot stronger. The improvement was pretty interesting, if not provably correlative.
In 2004, at the age of 24, Izturis OPSd at .710. Not all that great on its own, but considering what he had done in his prior 181 games -- .582 -- a large step forward.
And though Tracy didn't want to do it, he asked an incredible amount of Izturis in 2004. Playing SS is grueling enough. Izzy played it more than nearly everyone else in the majors (still led all SSs in zone rating, .881; accrued more ABs -- 670 -- than any Dodgers SS since Wills, 1962).
He was also batting leadoff, which is more taxing than, say, eighth, for a team that went through a rugged race. In all, quite a load to carry. A year to greatly respect, too.
Fast forward to 2005. Izturis' at-bats in April and May were solid. He was showing just enough power to create some holes. He was getting better at fouling off tough pitches.
Was he producing over his head? Sure, but perhaps not quite as much as commonly assumed.
Anyway, about the time the hamstring started to go in early June, he had an OPS of about .800-.810. Then he blew out the elbow.
Presently his OPS is something like .620.
My belief is he can and will do better, even with the pitcher (or, perhaps worse, Hall) hitting behind him. One X factor is the effect TJ surgery has. Pitchers say their strength one year after TJ surgery is good, but it takes two years to have the sure, consistent coordination and feel they had prior to the surgery.
I also believe the challenges of playing 3B and rust from a year off should have been viewed as potential mitigating factors.
Anyway, that's my take on Izzy the hitter, and I believe that Izzy the 2B immediately upgrades the Dodgers pitching staff.
you say .730 OPS but have nothing to back it up. The rest of us are looking at what he's produced. It's not as if the guy is only in his first or second year.
He was also batting leadoff, which is more taxing than, say, eighth, for a team that went through a rugged race. In all, quite a load to carry. A year to greatly respect, too.
You're really, really stretching it here. I don't buy the argument one bit that he is at a disadvantage for hitting lead off.
I also believe the challenges of playing 3B and rust from a year off should have been viewed as potential mitigating factors.
I don't see what the challenges of playing third base have anything to do with his hitting.
The bottom line with Izzy is that he's never been a good hitter. Lots of people point to his .288 in '04 and my response is always: so what? .288 with no power, no speed, and doesn't draw walks.
The problem is that a lot of Dodger fans give Izzy a free pass just because they like him. I don't have anything against him personally, but the guy is simply not a good hitter, nor will he ever be. I'm not about to believe that he's miraculously going to start hitting in the next year or two when we have numerous years of evidence that prove otherwise.
Someone who is only a singles hitter basically has to rely on luck. If his flares fall in and his ground balls have eyes, we're golden. The problem with this is that the majority of the time those flares are caught, and the ground balls don't have eyes. Someone like Furcal at least has some power, draws walks, and makes up for a lot of his singles with steals. Izzy doesn't have any of that. I've said it before, and I'll say it again...Izzy is basically Royce Clayton. I have a hard time believing so many people would be sticking up for Royce Clayton this much so the only explanation is that everyone likes Izzy simply because he's a Dodger.
JMO, but try playing the position, as a matter of fact try playing it & winning a glove glove & batting .288, one better try getting the admiration/loyal fallowing Izzy got. no disrespect just my point of view.
Unforunately, Izzy the third baseman doesn't cut it, especially on a team that lacks power. Furcal is simply better than Izturis, and you can't afford Izturis' bat anywhere but in the middle infield. I think he's a step above the Neifis and Claytons of this world since his defense is better (according to Dewan) and he still has youth on his side.
Izzy is a decent option, but there's no place for him on this team.
J. Bowden
RFK Stadium
Washington, DC 00666
I played third base in high school, was drafted, and played third base in college.
I don't care about "admiration/loyal following"...that doesn't make someone a good player.
Betemit is clearly a better ball player than Izzy, so if Ned doesn't give him up in the next day it's going to be interesting to see what happens when Kent comes back.
Last time I talked with friends, it seemed defense was not as heavily wieghted as offense, and I'm not sure if pitching is completely integrated.
Anywho, I see a great era coming with our young guys, and I have seen wonderful things in the Koufax and Fernando days and beyond.
Exactly. Maybe if our lineup looked like the Mets or Yankees I could deal with it, but not with our lineup.
so do you think "Furcal" is a better fielder than Izzy?? how many games has Furcal lost with his glove? (the glove never goes into a slump remember that & you can build around a glove)
so do you think "Furcal" is a better fielder than Izzy?? how many games has Furcal lost with his glove? (the glove never goes into a slump remember that & you can build around a glove)
sorry I rather take Izzy & build around him.
my heart is pumping faster than normal & I don't like it.
Besides, if he repeated last year where he had Ozzie Smith like defense, 13 million is a bargain.
Like the stupidest thing you could do is own Furcal and Izturis and go after Tejada.
If you need power for itself, which rings of fantasy, get it at 1st base or the corner outfield pos. where it is cheapest.
no one has ever said he's a better fielder. But his bat makes up for a lot of it. How many has Furcal lost with his glove? I'm going to say not many. How many games has Izturis won with his glove? again, not many.
13,000,000.00 million for a guy that hits, what (out of my head) 280-290 career??? come one!!! & thinks he's a 25 Home run type players??
Let's see, he has some power which izzy doesn't. He can take a walk which izzy can't. He can steal a base, which izzy can't.
What you don't seem to realize is that Izturis is an awful hitter, and his defense doesn't make up for it. How many more erros does Furcal make, and in turn, how many of those errors turn into runs that lose the game? Not many at all. Yet, Furcal at least can produce runs on the offensive side which is something Izzy can't do.
Furcal (notice I do't call that guy fuky,furry, or what ever other's call him)
ps Izzy makes Furcal look like me in a game.
It seems like defensive stats flucuate a lot more than offensive ones, which runs contrary to the "defense never slumps" theory.
I was in the believe that "saber" guys don't like stolen bases?
are you telling me that a 290, hitter is worth 13,000,000.00 dollars??? Ned droped the ball period
if you feel he's overpaid, then fine.
But if you think Izzy is a better player, then you're flat out wrong.
I don't believe David Ortiz is hitting .290 this year...oh, and neither is Arod.
KENNY LOFTON THREW SOMEONE OUT?!
well you are kind of right there, but Izzy makes "Fuzzy" (ugh!!!!!!) look like a child when it comes to difence period
Has Mota totally lost "it," or could he get some of "it" back where he had the most success--especially if worked back in to setup, where he excelled?
Have seen a lot of his Cleveland troubles attributed, right or wrong, to loss of confidence.
Hasn't done a lot since leaving LA but career #s show 502 IP, only 440 hits, 402 Ks. His away ERA even this awful season 3.86, but home ERA a bit over 8...which might lend weight to the confidence loss angle.
At least if there's a G. Mota II, he should come back cheap...if picked up, try him in LV a bit, bring him up if warranted?
Plaschke writes something utterly inane; dog bites man. It's not much of a story.
Wilson "can't find a" Betemit
exactly.
Furkel : ARod :: Plaschke : Common Sense
I was trying to prove a point. He said that a 290 hitter isn't worth 13 million. period.
I'm not saying I don't think Furcal is overpaid...but anyone who honestly thinks that this same lineup would be better with Izzy in place of Furcal is smoking wacky tobacky.
no. (unless you go out there & do it you're self then I'll respect it) Izzy has the best hands/can read a ball better than any Dodger I've seen. I'm not saying I'm right I'm just saying I love watching him dance.
ps Furcal is a tool
I actually do believe in stats, but for diffence?? can you prove it's accurate?(thinking outloud no disrespect)
See, again, you're wrong. Try looking at defensive numbers. They are a lot closer than you'd think.
You don't have anything to back up your argument. Any time someone knocks Izzy you just bring up the 13 mill to Furcal. Give me some numbers to back up your assumption that Izturis is a better player than Furcal.
If all you're going to do is disregard stats that don't prove your own point then there's really no point in talking about it anymore.
So you think that he's "Something regarded as necessary to the carrying out of one's occupation or profession"*?
* - dictionary.com
Stan from Tacoma
if there's any chance they would take Furcal back for Soriano I'd do it in a heartbeat, then you've got money opened up to re-sign him.
Of course, that isn't going to happen.
do you know what Vinnie says about that???
ps I love Vinnie :o)
I think it's because he is probably just more visible and more people know him. But you're right, both stink.
It honestly blows my mind that one of the biggest newspapers on the planet has a guy writing it's Sports that shouldn't even be writing for a high school paper. It's honestly mind boggling.
Exactly. You can't.
can you annocently say Furcal is a better fielder than Izzy??.
I remember that, I wish he wouldn't have.
if you're not going to back up your assessment with anything other than Izzy is better because you THINK he's better and "Furcal is a tool" then there's really no point in discussing it with you at all.
My advise: look at some numbers.
I like that.
And Steve, you are clearly bright and insightful unlike either of the writers at the Times. So perhaps you can give your opinion without the name calling. Obviously you can do whatever you like, just my two cents that your opinion comes through much stronger that way.
so you're telling me that Furcal is better than Izzy, D, wise?? (#'s wise)
I still haven't seen any defensive numbers.
ESPN has Zone Rating stats on their web site. Furcal was #6 out of 30 SS in 2005.
Furcal only had 15 errors all of last year, while making lots of plays. He hasn't played well defensively for the first half this year, but he definitely did play well in 2005.
At second base.
Now, we're talking small sample sizes here, but let's look at these:
Shortstop career stats
Furcal: .964 FP, 4.85 RF, .832 ZR
Izturis: .980 FP, 4.40 RF, .861 ZR
Second Base Career Numbers
Furcal: 255 INN, .993 FP, 4.76 RF, .885 ZR
Izturis: 309 INN, .988 FP, 4.98 RF, .797 ZR
Career #'s please!!??