Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Good Loney to you all! And isn't it a lovely Loney?
The Dodgers need only one victory or one Philadelphia Phillies loss over the season's final three days to ensure they're playing ball past Sunday (in a tiebreaker game, at least). Any two from those categories puts the Dodgers firmly in the playoffs.
To win the NL West, the Dodgers either need a combination of five Dodger victories and San Diego Padres defeats, or ... the Padres go 0-3, the Dodgers 1-2, the Phillies 3-0, and then the Dodgers defeat the Padres in a tiebreaker game Monday.
Should that tiebreaker game come, it will be the Dodgers' first since 1980, when Dave Goltz started and lost to the Houston Astros. Already, you can see the debate brewing over the potential for Dodger manager Grady Little to choose slumping, backsore Brad Penny to start the Monday tiebreaker.
This is as good a time as any for me to again debunk the myth that Fernando Valenzuela should have started that game at the end of the 1980 season. It's a myth that Fernando was even available to start. Putting aside the fact that he had never started a game in the majors to that point, he had pitched two innings the day before (Sunday) and two innings two days before that (Friday).
Valenzuela did pitch two innings in the tiebreaker, but had Dodger manager Tommy Lasorda sent him out there for longer, we might never have seen Fernandomania at all. Just an earlier arm injury.
Don Sutton, by the way, got the save the day before. Basically, the Dodgers were just out of pitchers in 1980.
Anyway, the Dodgers might not even want to win the NL West. As a wild card, they would face a New York Mets team that won't have Pedro Martinez pitching. If San Diego is the wild card, then the Dodgers might face the red-hot Houston Astros.
But it's not good to worry about such things until the playoffs are a reality. And they are so, so close to being a reality.
Update: Here's an expanded look at the weekend ahead in the National League that I did for SI.com this morning:
Go ahead. Indulge. You've earned it.Also, there's good stuff going on at Screen Jam. Check it out.In fact, get fired up. You've been watching this game, this silly game where grown men go on a field and hit a ball with a stick, for six months, like you do every silly year. And now, with only three days left in the regular season, there are no fewer than 18 games that could directly impact the National League playoffs.
You get your TiVo working right, and you could spend 54 consecutive hours or more this weekend watching the entire NL season play out before your eyes. That doesn't include potential makeup or tiebreaker games that could be played Monday -- or even Tuesday or Wednesday!
Six NL teams are still alive for three available postseason spots, and only the New York Mets -- who seem to have clinched about 27 years ago, as compressed as the season has become -- are fully in playoff preparation mode. (And rest assured, with their injury problems, the Mets have some preparing to do.)
Feeding the frenzy is the fact that no contending teams are playing each other, which may not do much for one's High Noon aspirations, but otherwise pushes scoreboard watching to the max. September insanity hit new levels of crazy Wednesday when the Philadelphia Phillies and Houston Astros combined to play 29 innings (using nearly 50 players between them), then continued Thursday with the Los Angeles Dodgers winning a 19-11 slugfest and the Phillies starting a game (and losing) at almost midnight.
We're rolling around in it now, and man, it's beautiful. ...
Still though, we need one more clutch win from Kuo today, who has clearly been our best pitcher since he joined the rotation. versus the San Fransisco Ancients...err I mean Giants.
Food for thoughts, is this series the last of Barry Bonds... as a Giant?
Wouldn't it have been as simple as Lasorda saying, "Hey, this guy is my best option to start a playoff game tomorrow, so maybe I shouldn't pitch him in relief tonight" ? Fernando entered the game with the Dodgers already losing 3-1, so Lasorda already knew there was probably going to be a playoff game.
I don't see how one can argue Fernando wasn't an option, unless you doubt the manager's ability to think more than 12 hours ahead.
Please ignore that sentence. It makes absolutely no sense, and also gets the score wrong (it was 3-0 Astros).
I have no excuse other than it's 3:30 in the morning. Time to hit the sack.
Well the first game that matters doesn't start until 4:00 Friday afternoon so we all should get more work done as compared to yesterday.
Here are the current standings that matter to us in Dodgerland.
NL West
San Diego 86-73(3)
Los Angeles 85-74
NL Wild Card
Los Angeles 85-74 (2)
Philadelphia 83-76
With San Diego's win tonight coupled with Phillies loss, the Padres are guaranteed no worse than a Monday trip to Philly. Another win over the weekend and they clinch a playoff spot. Also, the Padres win guaranteed that the NL West winner will have the second seed for the playoffs.
Here is where it gets fun, if the Phillies lose again tomorrow and the Dodgers and Padres both win, not only will they both be in the playoffs, the Padres magic number goes to 1 even though they would only have a one game lead with two games to play because then a tie gives them the division due to the tiebreaker.
In other races
NL Central
St. Louis 81-77 (4)
Houston 81-78
Cincinnati 79-80
One could describe this race as having both the most scariest team heading toward the finish and the team that could erase the 1964 Phillies for the worst collapse in the regular season.
Now Houston has won nine straight, chances are they are bound to lose a game but will it be tomorrow with Roger Clemens on the mound, St. Louis is facing Chris Capuano on Friday and Ben Sheets on Saturday, in turn Jeff Weaver and Jeff Suppan take the mound for the Red Birds. If Houston wins just one of the next two games, a battered Carpenter will have to pitch Sunday hopefully to avoid having to play on Monday against the Giants (who do not want to fly to St. Louis after the Dodger series) and then depending on how that turns out, flying to Houston to face Roy Oswalt, with the winner of that game moving on.
Finally there is the AL Central where both the Tigers and Twins are tied with three games to go, Detroit holds the tie breaker but the earliest a winner can be determined is on Saturday.
Still lots of things are up in the air, only the New York Yankees and Mets know for sure that they are opening their respective series at home, the Yankees and Oakland know what day their series will start, they just don't know officially who they will play.
The Mets could play any one of 5 teams right now.
Up late for no particular reason, it just occured to me before opening this post that the Dodgers could clinch tonight! Let's hope so. I don't want to give the Giants any evil momentum.
I did manage to sleep in the Ghame Over shirt -- so I guess it did the trick.
The stopped serving beer at 10 pm last night, more than an hour before the game started. Apparently, the crowd sang Happy Birthday to Ryan Zimmerman. Brian Schneider is reported to have said to one group of Phillies fans, "don't you have jobs?"
I'm just so pleased the Nationals came through for the Dodgers. Now, if only they can learn to beat San Diego in future seasons . . .
There's no way to measure this, to be sure, but the Cards are absolutely lifeless right now, as if they expect to lose each game. Last night, pitcher Brad Hancock was late covering first and the runner was safe. Hancock turned and seemed unfazed as he watched another Brewer runner score from third on the play. Zero emotion from that team.
Barring a late run into the playoffs, La Russa's days in St. Louis may be coming to a close.
What is most interesting, however, is that in his rundown of each team's flaws, he does not identify for the Dodgers.
Because, of course, they have no flaws.
http://tinyurl.com/gvpsb
I can't wait for tonight's game, although here in Slovakia game time is 4:15 am. Oh, well, Maybe I'll catch the last couple of innings.
There are alternatives to using Windows. By a Mac and you can still run Office if you have to. Or buy a Linux machine and use open source software, where the online tech support far exceeds what you could ever pay for.
If you really have to run Windows, use a virtual machine inside Mac or Linux (VmWare or whatever Mac equivalent). This lets you run Windows inside a safe environment without a network connection. It's the only way I would ever consider touching Windows.
Aside from the Mac for my family, I haven't purchased software for over 10 years and the quality has far exceeded what I used to deal with.
If you like Prague because of the beautiful girls and old town, let me tell you this. Prague has Bratislava beat for the quantity of beautiful buildings and a wealthier, more sophisticated city. But Slovak girls take the prize.
http://www.ubuntu.com/
download a CD, and try it without changing your current computer at all. Linux will run off the CD. This is a good way to "test drive" it to see if it will work for you.
Once you decide to make the switch, simply backup your important data, install Linux (which will wipe the hard drive), and then restore your data. You already have a backup plan in place, anyway, right, so this isn't that big of a deal. :-) Just buy a cheap external USB hard drive.
If you really want both systems, you can have someone install an extra hard drive in your computer and then you can boot into either Linux or Windows.
Go Marlins.
and Go D-Backs.
Anyone can make the World Series this year.
Do you want put money on this? I've got 19 teams I'm willing to let you pick from.
But I was ready for a Tampa Bay vs. Florida intrastate rumble!
Section 312, Row 4: A friend just e-mailed me that he heard on talk radio that Bowden was gone too? An unsbustantiated rumor?
Barry Svrluga: There are, indeed, rumors about General Manager Jim Bowden. Stan Kasten, the team's president, has said that Bowden has a contract, and that he expects him to be the GM in the future. He will not, however, give the length of the contract, leaving open speculation that Bowden's job is not secure.
Again, this is speculation. For now, all parties insist that Bowden is the GM, now and in the future.
Huntington Beach, Calif.: My post season hunch for the World Series is the Dodgers and the Twins. The Twins have the best pitching and are hot. The Dodgers play in a weak league, and the best team in that league, the Mets, will be without Pedro Martinez. This will be a repeat of the '65 series, but the Twins will win. I'll bet you a lunch I'm right.
Barry Svrluga: No lunch necessary, because I think you're right, too. The Dodgers seem to have a little magic going. (Nationals fans: Have you seen what Marlon Anderson's been doing out there since the trade?) And I really, really like the Twins, even without Francisco Liriano. Get 55,000 people in that dome -- as bad a baseball facility as it is -- and it'll be some kinda loud.
If you are buying a new computer at this point get a Mac. OS X is light years ahead of XP in security and usability. Plus, for the majority of home users you won't be missing any XP software (the most notable exception is games).
If you want to escape XP and keep your system switch to Linux. Ubuntu (a prominent Linux distribution) is incredibly easy to install and pretty intuitive.
To give you an idea of what I have running, I personally run a variety of XP and Linux boxes at work. At home, I mostly use a Macbook Pro (that tri-boots with OS X, Ubuntu, and XP), but I have a MCE PC and a couple other things running too.
And that Barry Bonds cares to play some.
1959 - home, LA Coliseum, playoff win against Milwaukee
1963 - home, clinched when Cardinals lost
1965 - home, clinced with win over Braves
1966 - Philadelphia, win over Phillies in second game of DH. Loss would have forced to Giants to play makeup game against Mets
1974 - Houston, clinched when Reds lost in Atlanta
1977 - San Francisco, clinched with win over Giants (on 9/20)
1978 - home, with win over Padres
1981 - during negotiations to create split season
1983 - home, with win over Giants
1985 - home, with over Braves
1988 - San Diego, win over Padres
1995 - San Diego, win over Padres
1996 - home, when Expos lost to Braves
2004 - home, with win over San Francisco
Oh to be fortunate enough to have such a problem.
However, I think Nomar and Lowe will get to rest. Certainly Lowe, because he's needed for game 1 of the playoffs.
I actually wouldn't mind a preplanned Sele for innings 1-3, Bills for 4-5, Stults 6-7, Hamulak 8, Gio 9 or something as a last audition for the playoff roster.
This has been a remarkable season, and September an incredible month. That we're all on pins and needles -- and may still be even after Sunday -- is a sign of a great year.
A no-hitter interrupted by rain. A bi-polar losing-then-winning streak. The Four Homers. Loney. Marlon Anderson. The emergence of Kemp, Ethier, Martin, Saito, Billingsley, Broxton, Kuo, and others. Plus all the stuff I'm forgetting.
Simply amazing.
Still, he does have some advantages... he's a better athlete than most catchers, and despite being Lo Duca's size, he appears to not have the LoDucan tendency to disappear in the second half. Also he became a catcher late in life, which is absolutely vital. Historically, catchers have only X number of games in their knees before the huge decline starts. Thankfully for us, almost all of Martin's games caught will be in a Dodger uniform, as opposed to high school, college, or the low minors.
So, I do think Grady has been a little unwise in his use of Martin this year but I don't think it will hurt Russ in the long term unless Grady uses him this way in future years too.
http://tinyurl.com/fujvg
And I agree, I thought Hall should have played a bit more this week though I know we're in a pennant race and all. Yesterday especially, he should have come in in the 5th/6th.
Speaking of anti-virus software, my Norton "subscription" ran out a while ago and I haven't gotten around to getting a new one. What's the most reliable (and free) anti-virus out there? I'd do the research myself, but I'm too damn lazy.
(rainy day off-season project for myself: get up-to-speed on manipulating Retrosheet game logs and such)
Retrosheet doesn't have all the boxscores available, so you could only go back to 1957.
http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/Pgreem001.htm
Greenwell also drove in EVERY run for the Red Sox that day, setting a major league record.
Besides, the right click is a feature for UI design lightweights.
I'm a free rider!
http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/B04130SEA1999.htm
Eric Neel's columns are always good for a few laughs.
Continuing on his sorry state of the Cardinals theme, it got me thinking about my one and only trip to a Cardinal's game in St. Louis. It was without a doubt the worst experience I have ever had at a professional sporting event. They were playing the Braves, and the only tickets I could get were in the cheap seats where I was subjected to 3 hours of racist rants from their fat, sunburned, drunk fans. They not only delighted in calling Chipper Jones "Larrreeeeee" (don't ask me why that's supposed to be funny) and J.D. Drew a pansy and various Braves with somewhat dark complexions the N word, but they continually belittled two little kids sitting in the same section who made the poor choice of wearing Braves apparel. After briefly reliving that nightmare, I realized that the old stadium is gone and that this is the first year in the new Busch stadium. With that in mind, now I'm really rooting for a historic Cardinal's collapse. As superstitious as baseball players and baseball fans can be, I am almost certain that they will find a way to blame the collapse on the new stadium, thus ushering in an era of utter incompetence as they go on a forty year losing streak before they finally hold a ritualistic implosion of the cursed stadium in 2046 with a withered wheelchair-ridden Tony LaRussa hitting the switch that triggers the explosion.
Go Braves! Go Astros!
Fun things (to me) I found out were that Jim Gentile once got 9 RBI in a game with just two hits. You can probably figure out how he managed that.
The most RBIs in a game by a Milwaukee Brewers player is 7 by three games. One of them is Ted Kubiak.
The most RBI in a game by a Devil Ray is 6 by Paul Sorrento.
Construction Site Webcam: http://tinyurl.com/ot6os
Stadium renderings and info: http://tinyurl.com/k2mqf
I believe that MLB sets the prices for tickets because the money is spread out to different pockets unlike the regular season.
AVG Free is the common choice for free anti-virus. It is pretty decent and a bargain for the price.
Houston would be the home team in a playoff.
thank you for the info.
http://tinyurl.com/lfc3s
SD takes the west and will meet the St.L. Houston playoff winner pending the makeup game with SF. Houston takes 2 of 3 from Atl., Stl loses 2 of last 3 to MIlw but beats SF in game Monday to force playoff Tuesday in Houston. Oswalt is brilliant and beats the Cards 4-2.
SD v Houston and LA v. NYM
that is a big increase in the last couple of years.
These were my prices for the playoffs:
Loge Section 167
TieBreaker 16.00 per ticket
Division Series 20.00 per Ticket
NL Championship Series 50.00 per ticket
World Series 200.00 per ticket
Just got my playoff tickets for the first home game in round 1.
So who am I going to see pitch in game 3 next Saturday?
Thanks for the tip on the anti-virus as well, I'll check that out once I get back from San Francisco.
It's a nice story though.
Not if your a Cardinal fan:)
I would love to end the suspense of a playoff spot and clinch the WC tonight, but in the back of my pessimistic mind, I think 1982, 1991 and 1996 for times the Dodgers failed to win on the last weekend with a division on the line.
If SD and we tie at end of the season, is there a playoff or does SD win the division because they won the season series.
It's highly unlikely, if not impossible for Houston AND StL to make the playoffs.
The recent ones have been night time affairs. Probably at 4 or 5 pm PT.
http://tinyurl.com/jb8va
I'm not sure I understand. Is it not possible for Houston to get the WC, and StL hold on for the division (assuming a total collapse by the Phillies and Dodgers)?
The Padres and Dodgers already have won 86 and 85 games so the W/C team has to win at least 85 games which if the Cards do that they will win the Central.
He's sleeping off BYU's decisive win over TCU.
The last guy who asked too many questions, well, let's just say, he doesn't come around here no more.
Astros- never
Padres- never
Phils- 1980
Cards- 1982
Tigers- 1984
Mets- 1986
Dodgers- 1988
A's- 1989
Reds (still alive!)- 1990
Twins- 1991
Reminds me of the good ol' days, before collusion and steroids....
(God, I hate the Yankees)
good grief ... more inane banter on the non-entity known as clutchness?
apparently Walker hasn't read Tango's "The Book"
http://tinyurl.com/pobsn
Yes, the Mets have lost their best pitcher. But they didn't have their best pitcher for weeks, and they still ran away with the division.
Their lineup is frightening, with Wright, Delgado, Beltran and Reyes. The Dodgers' lineup doesn't come close to this, especially given the injuries to Kent and Nomar. We've got Furcal, Drew, arguably Martin, and a bunch of guys who can get hot, but also not.
They will have homefield advantage. The Dodgers' road record is horrible, especially if you subtract their ability to dominate in Colorado.
The 2006 Mets were built to dominate, and for most of the season, they did. Their slump tells me nothing. Lots of teams that clinch early go into slumps. They might not be as strong a team as they were in May. They are still the toughest possible opponent.
Whereas the Cardinals have truly deteriorated since we last played them. If we win the West, we'd get the Cardinals with LA having home field advantage. That's a better scenario, I think.
If we draw the Astros, we'd also have home field. Those would be interesting games, but I agree with Bob, our pitchers have a bigger advantage over the Astro lineup than their pitchers have over ours. There would be a lot of 4-1 type games, and we'd win more of them.
118 - I imagine it comes from MLB sales of tickets and TV revenue for the postseason, am I right or wrong? Bob or Jon, maybe you guys know!!
http://tinyurl.com/qqms9
"Barry is the most durable pitcher to hit the market since Greg Maddux."
and: "There is no team that cannot afford premium players."
More there about the NY teams' interest, etc.
Q: How is the players' playoff pool created and how is it distributed?
A: The Players' pool is created from 60% of the total gate receipts from the first four World Series Games; 60% of the total gate receipts from the first four games of each League Championship Series; and 60% of the total gate receipts from the first three games of each Division Series. The Pool is distributed as follows: World Series Winning Team: 36%; World Series Loser: 24%; League Championship Series Losers (two teams): 12% each; Division Series Losers (four teams): 3% each; Non-wild Card Second Place Teams (four teams): 1% each. The division of a team's Players' pool shall be made by a vote of the Players, in a meeting chaired by the Player Representative.
"The division of a team's Players' pool shall be made by a vote of the Players, in a meeting chaired by the Player Representative."
=====================
In an unprecedented move, the Yankees are requiring Carl Pavano to pay his 2006 salary INTO the pool for distribution to those who actually played during the year.
(evil grin)
http://tinyurl.com/z3fgr
I don't know if the Cardinals have the same hex on the Dodgers anymore, assuming the Dodgers are aware of how crippled that team is right now.
"Clutch situations", and therefore "clutch hitting" exist (IMO), it's just that it's not a quality you can assign to an individual (IMO). It's more of a hindsight concept, not a predictor of a future outcome.
The oldies here will be glad to know I am one of the few people on my campus who still uses a VCR! Yes, they do still make 'em.
Perhaps in time for next season, Jon can retool this site to be like Second Life, where we would all have animated icons to represent us, someone would have to bring the beer, someone else the peanuts, and we could watch each game at someone's "house."
There was widespread speculation that Orr had agreed to terms with the Dodgers this summer, but that the club delayed announcing the signing based, in part, because the bonus exceeded the recommended slot (113 overall).
Dodgers scouting director Logan White refuted that claim. "That's not accurate at all," White said. "I think we're going to get it done, but he hasn't signed. When he gets back (from Cuba Sept. 29) we're going to meet with his family."
And White is right when he said "he hasn't signed". thats correct, he hasnt signed....but he will. White is doing the right thing here by not announcing anything or upsetting the family before it is actually done.
Yea ive been to oggis. Isnt it off alicia? Its like a pizza place with lots of TVs everywhere. its more of a family atmosphere though. Foods good though.
Also, I'd like to see Maddux pitch in LA rather than NY.
My roataton:
Kuo
Lowe
Maddux
Penny
Stan from Tacoma
Howard has been pressing the last week, Moehler(sp?) handled him pretty easily first ab; Burrell has been, surprise of all surprises in Philly, getting "clutch" at bats in the same time as Ryan has not, and has a very nice lifetime story against this pitcher, and whacked a legit double his first time up. Bang! on first fat pitch. Great 'feel" by Girardi and Cabrera (and add another chapter for talented players being often the worst managers).
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