Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
At the bottom of this post is a list of the top 80 players in baseball in Value Over Replacement Player from 2005-2006 combined. Thanks to this research provided by Dodger Thoughts commenter BHSportsguy, I have been able to rank the players by combined Salary/VORP. Largely because of the hit-by-pitch injury he suffered in 2005, J.D. Drew ranks as the 10th-most-expensive player on the list.
Having nothing to do with what Drew is worth going forward, one can certainly choose to argue that he was overpaid in hindsight, in terms of the production that the Dodgers got out of him - although it's interesting to see the names of the players who rank ahead of him. Of course, many of the names below him have not been free agents yet and haven't had the chance to earn what he has.
Drew was a key man in the Dodgers' 2006 playoff run, but for his two years here, he was an expensive one.
* * *
A lot of people never liked J.D. Drew, and now a lot of people really hate him. Many are already planning how much they're going to boo him the next time they see him at Dodger Stadium, in a manner that I believe has probably been reserved only for Barry Bonds or, in my youth, Pete Rose. Considering that Mike Piazza and Shawn Green have gotten booed steadily as visiting players in Los Angeles, for no reason that I can ascertain, Drew should expect to absolutely get hammered. He may even get worse treatment than Gary Sheffield, the least popular ex-Dodger of at least this decade.
Because I feel none of this venom, I'm trying to understand it.
As far as I can tell, Drew is guilty of the following:
1) a history of wanting the most money he can get, aided by agent Scott Boras
2) being a Paul DePodesta signee, right after DePodesta let Adrian Beltre go to Seattle
3) not showing emotion on the field (Update: this image notwithstanding)
4) getting hurt from time to time
5) not being perfect in clutch situations, though he did OPS at least .900 in clutch situations in 2006, with an on-base percentage of .397 and slugging percentage of .533 in the 7th inning or later with the Dodgers either ahead by one run, tied or with the potential tying run at least on deck.
6) telling the Dodgers verbally he would stay with the team through 2009, before reassessing the market after the season and deciding to opt out of his contract to pursue a raise, giving the team four days' warning.
I guess that the cumulative effect of the above is something powerful, though piece-by-piece there isn't much there. Item 1 makes Drew the same as 99 percent of ballplayers. Items 2-4 won't win him friends in some quarters, but aren't reasons to hate him. (In fact, I'll tell you this - I'm sick and tired for the heat Drew takes for not playing hurt. For every Nomar Garciaparra or Kirk Gibson home run while playing injured, you get guys like Eric Gagne ruining their years if not their careers. Playing hurt, very often, is a hateful thing to do.)
However, I suspect those first four items lead directly into so many people having decided he is a choker, despite the mass of evidence in Item 5 to the contrary. Then, when you add choker to Items 1-4, that gives you a powderkeg waiting to be ignited by Item 6.
Drew broke his word, and for some people, that's enough. I understand the reaction; I'm just not reacting that way. For one thing, the oft-cited September interview with Bill Plunkett of the Register does not indicate that Drew promised to stay. It says he planned to stay.
"I don't plan on (using) it," he said Tuesday. "I've enjoyed my time living in Los Angeles. That's what it was there for to make sure (wife) Sheigh and I didn't come all the way across the country (from their native Georgia) and get stuck in a situation we didn't like."
Drew said the clause has hardly come up in discussions with his agent, Scott Boras, since the original negotiations. He couldn't imagine any reason for his opinion to change between now and the end of the season, prompting him to use the opt-out option.
"You know what I don't think so," said Drew, who also has a limited no trade clause. "Ultimately it's my decision, and we're happy where we're at. We love our house in Pasadena. My wife is happy. She's made a lot of friends in our neighborhood and with the other players' wives. That's really the thing that was nerve-wracking about it (free agency) for me.
"At some point, you make those commitments and you stick to them."
Now, in that last line Drew all but assured us he was going to stay - though nothing, from "I don't plan on using it" to "I don't think so" to "at some point" is definitive. A month passed between the end of the season and the warning Monday by Drew's agent, Scott Boras, that Drew would exercise the opt-out clause Thursday. I feel that's enough time for Drew to be allowed to change his mind, promise or not.
Please understand - I know what a promise is. The whole point of a promise is for it to withstand changing circumstances, whether they be the sudden flood of money that now appears to be available to free agents, or Drew hearing tell (as Bill Plaschke's Friday column suggested) that the Dodgers were tied of "coddling" Drew, or for all we know, Drew's wife having a postseason change of heart.
I'm just not sure Drew made a promise.
But let's say that he did. If so, then he exposes himself to the moral consequences of breaking it. But just as every promise is of different importance, so is every broken promise. If Drew broke his promise, what were the consequences?
Contrary to the mainstream media spin, the Dodgers did not lose any valuable offseason time with Drew's decision. Negotiations for outside free agents hadn't even begun; trades have barely started. The Dodgers want us to believe Drew hung them out to dry - if that's even the slightest bit true, then they're incompetent.
I'm not saying that I wouldn't have been annoyed or angry at Drew if I were Dodger general manager Ned Colletti. I would have. I get riled by stuff much smaller than this. I curse at people for not using their turn signal when they drive.
Above all, Drew didn't put the Dodgers ahead of his own interest. So maybe that's all one needs to set Drew up as Public Enemy No. 1 at Dodger Stadium.
I think the biggest problem I'm having is that so many people disliked Drew in the first place, and have been going out of their way to trash Drew's career, independent of what happened this week. And Drew did play well. Even with the time he missed due to his injuries, he found himself among the best. He helped lift the Dodgers to a playoff spot.
But even though Drew never got into trouble and never complained, even though he did so many things right, multitudes will consider him a lifelong enemy to the Dodgers. Drew is the new Paul DePodesta, a man whose approach to baseball is so anti-cinematic as to earn widespread loathing. I don't know why I'm sympathetic to characters like these when I love the movies so much, except that maybe I realize baseball isn't quite like the movies.
In the end, I can't expect everyone to like Drew, much less politely applaud when he returns in an opposing uniform. He'll not be a favorite son. All I would ask is that people acknowledge what he did do for the Dodgers. It's not all black and white, and Drew did a lot that was good.
* * *
Top 80 MLB Players in 2005-06 VORP, ranked by Salary/VORP
Name | Team | Pos | Total VORP | 2005-06 Salary | Salary/VORP |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Barry Bonds | SFN | lf | 53 | $36,000,000 | $679,245 |
Gary Sheffield | NYA | rf | 54.5 | $26,000,000 | $477,064 |
Jim Thome | CHA | dh | 61.5 | $26,500,000 | $430,894 |
Jorge Posada | NYA | c | 64.8 | $27,500,000 | $424,382 |
Hideki Matsui | NYA | lf | 57.2 | $21,000,000 | $367,132 |
Ken Griffey Jr. | CIN | cf | 68.3 | $25,000,000 | $366,032 |
Alex Rodriguez | NYA | 3b | 142.6 | $52,000,000 | $364,656 |
Torii Hunter | MIN | cf | 52 | $18,750,000 | $360,576 |
Carlos Beltran | NYN | cf | 86.1 | $31,000,000 | $360,046 |
J.D. Drew | LAN | rf | 61.8 | $22,000,000 | $355,987 |
Jason Giambi | NYA | 1b | 98 | $34,500,000 | $352,040 |
Todd Helton | COL | 1b | 89 | $29,200,000 | $328,089 |
Jim Edmonds | SLN | cf | 64.2 | $20,885,000 | $325,311 |
Troy Glaus | TOR | 3b | 66.8 | $21,000,000 | $314,371 |
Richie Sexson | SEA | 1b | 70.6 | $22,000,000 | $311,614 |
Manny Ramirez | BOS | lf | 126 | $39,000,000 | $309,523 |
Edgar Renteria | ATL | ss | 57.2 | $16,000,000 | $279,720 |
Chipper Jones | ATL | 3b | 97.2 | $27,000,000 | $277,777 |
Ichiro Suzuki | SEA | rf | 80.5 | $22,000,000 | $273,291 |
Bobby Abreu | NYA | rf | 96 | $26,000,000 | $270,833 |
Derek Jeter | NYA | ss | 139.8 | $37,000,000 | $264,663 |
Geoff Jenkins | MIL | rf | 55.5 | $14,500,000 | $261,261 |
Johnny Damon | NYA | cf | 83.2 | $21,250,000 | $255,408 |
Andruw Jones | ATL | cf | 102.1 | $25,500,000 | $249,755 |
Mike Cameron | SDN | cf | 57.4 | $14,000,000 | $243,902 |
Carlos Lee | TEX | lf | 71.9 | $16,500,000 | $229,485 |
Aramis Ramirez | CHN | 3b | 86.8 | $19,500,000 | $224,654 |
Paul Konerko | CHA | 1b | 93.8 | $20,750,000 | $221,215 |
Lance Berkman | HOU | 1b | 117 | $25,000,000 | $213,675 |
Alfonso Soriano | WAS | lf | 87.7 | $17,500,000 | $199,543 |
Jeff Kent | LAN | 2b | 85.6 | $17,000,000 | $198,598 |
Moises Alou | SFN | lf | 69.8 | $13,250,000 | $189,828 |
Vladimir Guerrero | LAA | rf | 127.6 | $24,000,000 | $188,087 |
Ray Durham | SFN | 2b | 73.3 | $13,500,000 | $184,174 |
Carlos Delgado | NYN | 1b | 97.4 | $17,500,000 | $179,671 |
Miguel Tejada | BAL | ss | 128.8 | $23,000,000 | $178,571 |
Adam Dunn | CIN | lf | 68.5 | $12,100,000 | $176,642 |
Rafael Furcal | LAN | ss | 89.2 | $14,600,000 | $163,677 |
Pat Burrell | PHI | lf | 68.8 | $11,000,000 | $159,883 |
Albert Pujols | SLN | 1b | 173.7 | $25,000,000 | $143,926 |
Julio Lugo | LAN | ss | 63.8 | $8,300,000 | $130,094 |
Kenny Lofton | LAN | cf | 54.3 | $6,950,000 | $127,992 |
Michael Barrett | CHN | c | 59.4 | $7,200,000 | $121,212 |
Raul Ibanez | SEA | lf | 67.1 | $8,000,000 | $119,225 |
Marcus Giles | ATL | 2b | 55.5 | $6,200,000 | $111,711 |
Jimmy Rollins | PHI | ss | 87.7 | $8,850,000 | $100,912 |
Carlos Guillen | DET | ss | 91.1 | $9,000,000 | $98,792 |
Jermaine Dye | CHA | rf | 92.3 | $9,000,000 | $97,508 |
Tadahito Iguchi | CHA | 2b | 49.3 | $4,750,000 | $96,348 |
David Ortiz | BOS | dh | 152.4 | $13,750,000 | $90,223 |
Vernon Wells | TOR | cf | 82.7 | $7,200,000 | $87,061 |
Mark Teixeira | TEX | 1b | 99.3 | $8,500,000 | $85,599 |
Morgan Ensberg | HOU | 3b | 72.5 | $4,500,000 | $62,068 |
Gary Matthews Jr. | TEX | cf | 61.6 | $3,500,000 | $56,818 |
Nick Johnson | WAS | 1b | 85.1 | $4,650,000 | $54,641 |
Felipe Lopez | WAS | ss | 60.7 | $3,100,000 | $51,070 |
Lyle Overbay | TOR | 1b | 59.8 | $3,000,000 | $50,167 |
Michael Young | TEX | ss | 118.4 | $5,575,000 | $47,086 |
Carl Crawford | TBA | lf | 78.4 | $3,500,000 | $44,642 |
Jason Bay | PIT | lf | 122.3 | $5,000,000 | $40,883 |
Brian Roberts | BAL | 2b | 93.2 | $3,400,000 | $36,480 |
Jhonny Peralta | CLE | ss | 62.6 | $2,100,000 | $33,546 |
Jose Reyes | NYN | ss | 81.2 | $2,200,000 | $27,093 |
Victor Martinez | CLE | c | 101 | $2,300,000 | $22,772 |
Travis Hafner | CLE | dh | 148.4 | $3,200,000 | $21,563 |
David Wright | NYN | 3b | 111.5 | $2,200,000 | $19,730 |
Grady Sizemore | CLE | cf | 113.3 | $1,800,000 | $15,887 |
Justin Morneau | MIN | 1b | 52.2 | $730,000 | $13,984 |
Chad Tracy | ARI | 3b | 55.9 | $736,000 | $13,166 |
Freddy Sanchez | PIT | 3b | 55 | $664,000 | $12,072 |
Brian McCann | ATL | c | 61.9 | $600,000 | $9,693 |
Robinson Cano | NYA | 2b | 70.3 | $680,000 | $9,672 |
Bill Hall | MIL | ss | 80.5 | $764,000 | $9,490 |
Matt Holliday | COL | lf | 87.1 | $816,000 | $9,368 |
Garrett Atkins | COL | 3b | 76.1 | $650,000 | $8,541 |
Joe Mauer | MIN | c | 101.6 | $725,000 | $7,135 |
Chase Utley | PHI | 2b | 120.1 | $845,000 | $7,035 |
Ryan Howard | PHI | 1b | 105 | $651,000 | $6,200 |
Hanley Ramirez | FLO | ss | 54.5 | $327,000 | $6,000 |
Miguel Cabrera | FLO | 3b | 146.9 | $842,000 | $5,731 |
no one should begrudge him for that
Certain players performance (or perceived performance) combined with their personality (or perceived personality) tend to attract venom to a far great degree than others.
JD Drew just happens to be near the top of the Venometer because he seems to have failed the passion test.
I wonder where Drew would come out on your chart if we assumed that 2005 was just like 2006 and he played 145 games. Many of the top ten also lost many weeks of either '05 or '06 -- Bonds, Sheffield, Thome, Matsui, Griffey, and just under Drew, Giambi, Edmonds, and Helton.
This chart also suggests that the highest quality is at the far ends of the bell curve. Either a team pays a lot of money for a great player, or it lucks out and finds a great player in its system, and underpays them as long as it can. If you can avoid it, stay out of the middle.
completely agreed.
I think we'll end up with Schmidt..I've got nothing to back that up because it's just a gut feeling.
Losing Drew is just...ugh...it's pretty depressing. The worst part is that this year's FA class isn't all that great and I really don't feel comfortable giving ARam money to Carlos Lee. I could live with a Soriano signing, but I'm not huge on him either. At the same time, we can't blow up our farm going after trades. I really wonder what it would take to get Andru Jones seeing as how he's in the last year of his contract...should be an interesting couple months.
If we get permission to negotiate an extension before we make the deal, we're talking to Boras. In view of Colleti's comments about Drew, how much slack do you think Boras will cut him in talking extension for Jones. I don't see any way he lets Jones sign an extension without testing the waters after next season.
and now drew shows himself to be the person he has always been: a greedy and vacant person. he has chosen to leave a playoff team on the rise and uproot his family in order to grab a couple million dollars more on top of the millions he already earns. there is no reason to hate him for this; if there were, we would have to stop watching baseball altogether because baseball is filled with people just like him.
i imagine that the dodgers will take a step back this next year. but i think that i'm not alone in thinking that the dodgers were at least two years away from a championship. perhaps this gives the dodgers a chance to bolster their starting and relief pitching while allowing the kids to play and grow, if only to see what these boys are capable of.
yeah, I'm basicallyjust throwing names out there to get some discussion going on exactly how we replace offensive production. Just a really weird offseason
I would add one thing that was always a little frustrating about Drew, even though I liked him as a player: his tendency to make weak outs.
Now, I don't have any empirical evidence to support this, just my sense from watching games.
But Drew took many called third strikes, and a lot of the time they seemed like good pitches to hit. Most likely he was just fooled by the pitch and knew it. Drew also hit a ton of little grounders to the right side. Now, I could be off about this, but it seemed Drew did this more than other people. So when you're hoping for a hit and he takes a called third strike, or hits a dribbler, I think that can cause fans frustration.
So, I just think maybe that is part of the reason people don't like Drew, is that his at bats seemed passive at times, aside from any emotion he didn't display.
{{mutter}}
I say the Dodgers will be one of three finalists for Soriano. Not sure how likely it is they get him, though.
Jon, I think your whole methodology for trying to figure out why people dislike Drew right now. Trying to apply a logical explanation for the decisions by many people who clearly aren't choosing to think logically won't accomplish anything.
What I think this episode shows is the fundamentally illogical relationship fans have with their team and its players. If you really 'hated' Drew from the beginning you probably thought he was not very good and/or overpaid, in which case you wouldn't be mad at him for leaving. The only people that should be mad at Drew now are the ones that thought that he was an asset to the team to begin with, right? In my mind, you either disliked Drew from the beginning and now are happy to see him gone, or liked him from the beginning and are now dissapointed. That seems logical to me, and yet this doesn't seem to reflect the reaction from people at all.
I was under the impression that most Dodger fans didn't really know much about Drew, and didn't have much opinion either way, they just rooted for the guy because he was wearing the right uniform. (this is LA after all, not Philadelphia or Boston) I think people are just mad, for whatever reason, and sometimes it's difficult to tell why. I'd be nice if we had a press that could articulate things better, or just not have an obvious agenda, but I think that boat has already sailed.
Beyond that, is the style of out he makes all that relevant?
Scrappi Du instead of Scrappy Drew.
Or something.
That said, I'm annoyed (not mad, just annoyed) that we now have an outfield position we have to fill that we didn't expect to have to.
It's that old "What do you mean you're breaking up with me----------------I'm breaking up with you!" syndrome.
Statistically I really like Drew. I would have preferred to see a little more emotion. I don't have a problem with his deciding to see what he's really worth out there this year. After all, the contract we gave him said he could. As Jon says, he never promised (cross my heart and hope to die) to stay. I, for one, am ready to move on and would like to see Crawford in our outfield next year. I would give up a decent prospect or two to make it happen.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but wasn't Piazza offered something like 96 mill that he turned down?
He wrote that it was probably the "scrappiest" team in the whole area.
Due to a uncaught typo, the story came out "crappiest." Guess where the only part of the press run where the typo appeared went?
Yup. How to win friends and influence circulation....
Piazza wanted 7 years-100 million: 14.15 million per year
Dodgers offered 6 years-80 million: 13.33 million per year
Piazza got 7 years-91 million: 13 million per year
I guess the extra year made the difference.
But really, at the end of the day, it's hard for me to muster any sympathy for a fellow who could turn down 3 yrs/33 million a year. JD Drew may very well be booed in LA the same way he's booed in Philly to this day, but he'll have his millions as fair compensation. I'm too lazy and indifferent to boo him, in the same way that I didn't usually bother to participate in the booing against even Barry, but there's no chance I'm going to feel very much sympathy for Drew's plight. If one can call it that.
WWSH
JD's .900 OPS in clutch situations was enhanced by his proclivity to walk. If we had had a couple of mashers, JD would have been awesome in the #2 or #6 spot. For us, he had to be a #3, #4 or #5 hitter and I just don't think he's that guy... unless of course, #3 is Ramirez and #4 is Ortiz! Then he'll be great!
Say hello to Jason Repko!
I am as happy as I was shocked that he opted out. I kinda got the impression it was Xmas early. So why would anyone be mad? If anything, they should be thanking him.
This is a gross understatement. He played in fewer than half of his games last year (yes, yes, I know it was a HBP), and this year, for only the second time in his career, he plays in more than 140. Color me unimpressed.
As for the lack of hustle, well, color me unimpressed. Garret Anderson often takes the Cadillac epithet because of his refusal to hustle; meantime, Darin Erstad, "Mr. Hustle", has collapsed thanks to the all-out style of play beloved by so many fans. I won't argue that Anderson is a good player anymore, but how many players battered themselves into irrelevance? And if you're known to be fragile in the first place, does it really pay to be aggressive to the point of self-injury?
I don't understand why ANYONE is capable of not understanding that other people can have different opinions and would rather not be interested in why those people would choose to hold such opinions.
For the record, I agree that loosing Drew is probably a good thing, but the reason is because his health is not dependalbe enough to warrent anything like the money that was coming to him, not because of something as silly as the reason you stated.
http://losangeles.dodgers.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/news/article.jsp?ymd=20061110&content_id=1738803&vkey=news_la&fext=.jsp&c_id=la
Maybe that is why Colletti was so upset about it, perhaps he felt Drew lied to them deliberately and sandbagged them. I don't care. We'll do just as good without him.
Plain and simple, he did the Dodgers a favor, so why be mad at him?
That's what so perplexing. Most people I talk to and places I read, the fans are ecstatic he's gone. I guess I just figured that was pretty much across the board.
Yoko Ono.
But I do like this one particular quarter I've got in my pocket.
Wha happen?
How can you be loyal to money?
No one can serve two masters, for either he will hate the one and love the other; or else he will be devoted to one and despise the other. You can't serve both God and Money.
49
Looks like 41 happened
The Yankees' lineup is mostly set, with a right-handed-hitting first baseman Nomar Garciaparra, perhaps the most pressing need.
Can you imagine if someone in 1998 had said, Hey, did you know that in a few years the Yankees will Have Jeter, Nomar, and A-Rod playing in the same infield?
The thing about Drew is that with the constant need to rest him, that requires using someone else off the bench in his place. Grady played him right, but even then, he's not going to play 155 games. Further, the statistic of 146 games is a little misleading because Drew pinch-hit several times, and he actually only started 131 games. He had an .891 OPS on the year, but if you add the plate appearances of the other right fielders, that number ends up at something like .852.
Bottom line: durability matters. Acquiring a Soriano or even Carlos Lee type player would have a net improvement on the team because they would require less of the bench. While the Dodgers do have a lot of depth, that depth is generally not going to do a lot more than .700 OPS, except for Olmedo Saenz.
First off, he hit only 20 homers, and half of them came in April and September. Maybe it's just me, but 10 homers in a 4 month period shouldn't be that hard to replace.
More importantly, I'd rather they just replace a player who seems to disappear for long stretches.
I can accept that from a rookie making $200,000, but not from a veteran making $11 million!
Me, I prefer someone who goes out there, doesn't try to show anyone up and tries to help the team. I will miss JD for all of those qualities.
Power is more than homeruns, a 200 ISO SLUG% is nothing to scoff at,especially when it comes with a good batting average. The best measure of power is Slugging Percentage, not HR total.
He was advertised as a .900 OPS talent before he was signed and in a healthy season, that is exactly what he did. He was also advertised as a player who would need to be coddled and would probably miss significant time to injury, and that is exactly what he did.
Drew's season is a perfect example for why homerun totals and power are not the same thing.
That being said, is it asking too much for him to hit 40 homers with those personality qualities instead of 20?
You see, bottom-line, the nice-guy, don't show up anybody approach is great....as long as it includes production as well!
Thing is, what if there ISN'T anyone who can replace him? Just because we want one of the few FA outfielders who might match that production, it doesn't mean we'll get one.
I trust there will be someone in RF for the Dodgers in 2007, and beyond, and we'll see how the team fares.
And, who said we want "any" of the FA outfielders?
http://tinyurl.com/ybh5nn
Believe it or not, Drew wasn't even on the team 3 years ago, and all the years before that. How did the Dodgers get by then...without him?
The guy is a complimentary ball player who made $2.6 million less than Pujols made last year.
It turned out that I wasn't Wardriving in Japan. My friends had a wireless hookup in their house. I asked them if they had "wifi" and they didn't know that term. They just knew "wireless".
I would have pegged Bob as more of a "wireless" kinda guy than a "wifi." Guess he's edgier than I thought...
Cubs re-signed third baseman Aramis Ramirez to a five-year, $73 million contract.
The guy is a complimentary ball player who made $2.6 million less than Pujols made last year.
JD always has nice things to say about you too.
I saw that. Looks like the Cubs got the home-town discount. Thank God. I feared the Dodgers were going to be the ones over-paying him!
Now, if we can just get Soriano, Lee, and Zito signed by other teams, there's a chance the Dodgers won't screw up this offseason.
That was actually my very subtle way of saying that the word you wanted was "complementary".
Then there some of it that's just luck. A line drive to the gap is not drastically different from a line drive directly to the fielder, except that the gapper is good for a double while the fielder is an out.
Moises Alou (more power than Drew, but even riskier)
Jeromy Burnitz (no)
Jose Guillen (I thought we got rid of Milton Bradley?)
Trot Nixon (maybe if it was 2003)
Jay Payton (completely empty batting average)
Daryle Ward (not unless he can replicate his PH #s)
Bernie Williams (sign Clemons too!)
Other outfielders:
Darin Erstad (he plays hurt, bad but on the field)
Steve Finley (only for use as a 9th inning PH)
Kenny Lofton (pass)
Gary Matthews Jr. (can he replicate 2006?)
Jaun Pierre (the poor man's Dave Roberts, despite what the media thinks)
Dave Roberts (I prefer him to Lofton anyway)
Barry Bonds (controversial... but exciting)
Frank Catalanotto (homeless man's JD Drew)
David Dellucci (has had two nice years in high offense environments)
Luis Gonzalez (pass)
Todd Hollandsworth (pass)
Ryan Klesko (maybe a few years ago)
Carlos Lee (great power, mediocre everything else, huge price)
Alfonso Soriano (only 3 months younger than Drew, at least 50% more expensive, much worse defensively, only one time in past four years has he had a higher OPS, terrible OBP besides this year when it was mearly decent. Only advantages are health and speed)
Shannon Stewart (empty batting average)
Rondell White (pass)
Preston Wilson (pass)
All that is to say, there is no replacement for JD Drew without a trade or a much higher salary (and in the case of a trade, probably both). If Ned gets creative the money might be used to make the team better, but it can't buy a superior 1 to 1 replacement.
Heck, I only missed it by 4 letters. :)
1) never gave it much thought till now
2) got over it--but the question can be asked: In hind sight, now that Drew only played 2 years with the Dodgers, would they have been better off signing Beltre for 5 years?
3) don't really care--but you cannot have a team full of them
4) problem--3 surgeries b4 last season. He's not going to get more reliable.
5) who is?--always disappointing when a player doesn't come through in the clutch. When it was discussed that Drew stuck out 18% of the time with runners on base and 18% of the time when no one is on says a lot. He's consistent. I appreciated him more.
6) cumulative effect was powerful.--that is why it surprised me.--also I thought 3yrs and 33M wasn't bad especially for someone who needed extra care. Stan Conte was hired just for him. (OK, not exactly)
What gets me the most is that even though I'm wasn't a Drew fan, I rooted for him because he was a Dodger. I wanted him to hit 30 HR and get 100+ RBI. I thought that he would be here for 5 years given his contract and all that he said. (though a promise I never read) I was invested in him. Now I'm disappointed.
Stop.
According to the CIA World Factbook, two small island nations that are really protectorates of New Zealand, Niue and Tokelau, have GDPs under $11.
I'm confused about the arguing about his worth though. Most people who liked him and thought he did a decent job are not sore he left, while those that despised him and thought he gave nothing to the team are using this situation to get a few more good whacks in before he is completely out of the picture. So if no one is tore up about his departure, can't we let the guy leave in peace for our own sanity?
By the way I liked the SI write-up Jon. It's rare you see an off-season wish list that doesn't suppose onto itself to pick the players who will end up with which team and invariably get them all wrong. :)
me so happy!
My gut feel at this point (and that's all it's worth) is that Ned "the mustache" Colletti will sign either Moises Alou or Luis Gonzalez and then trade for a B-grade corner outfield prospect like Brandon Jones or Eddy Martinez-Esteve, hoping that he can recreate the magic of Ethier. If he trusts the scouting staff, he might be right.
which is great for me since i have chicago d and that td just gave me the lead.
who knows they might change it later. I still have a chester taylor td reception that needs to be accounted for.
My guess, though, is that Toronto is looking for both a good prospect and someone who can really help them in 2007, at least.
Here's a question for you, if we could get a 2007 in the majors from Kemp comparable to Jeff Francouer's 2006, how many people think that would be a bad thing? Kemp walks more, but outside of that they are similar specimens through age 21.
In St. Louis, anyway, he had some history of bad relations with kid fans. Wouldn't go out of his way to autograph stuff in public settings away from park, ridiculed a few younger female fans for their looks. Nothing fatal but I think it undermined him there.
So his self-involved personality reinforces the early judgement of him based on the pre-rookie holdout.
In the end, these are factors that pre-dispose fans to look beyond the overall on-field contribution and judge him as less of an asset. I disagree with them, but I can see their point, too.
----
My fantasy football team was taken out back and shot this evening at 8:11 PM. There were no survivors.
As to folk beliefs about a player (he's a quitter, he's soft, he doesn't hit in the clutch), if people are invested in these ideas all they need to maintain their beliefs are a few anecdotal instances. Anyone who doesn't have conventionally gaudy statistics (and some that do) is vulnerable to this sort of perception.
92 - Thanks. Believe me, I haven't a clue who will end up where.
I've gotten to see Alou a lot over the past two years since I go to school up in the bay area. The guy can still like he did 10 years ago, but he's on his last legs. Every time he circles the bases, it looks like he's going to blow out his hamstrings. In the outfield, he has poor range to begin with and also gets terrible reads. Alou really needs to go to a league where he doesn't have to field or hit. I think Bonds is more an NL player than Alou at this point in their careers. Alou still might be worth the risk, as long as the Dodgers aren't relying on him to be their big bopper.
If Kemp passed the 30-HR and the 100-RBI barrier, the mainstream sportswriters would like him, and the average Dodger fan would also be more than happy for him. You and I, well, we should be a little concerned and a little happy about the performance.
I don't think Kemp is in quite the same boat as Francoeur. For one, his minor league stats are much better, and infinitely better when it comes to plate discipline. Also, and perhaps more importantly, Kemp has proclaimed publically that plate discipline and pitch identification are his biggest problems while Francoeur seems to believe that there is nothing wrong with never taking a walk and sporting .293 OBP.
And for all those moaning about their fantasy football teams, I pulled off the bonehead move of the year today. I benched Chad Johnson.
Matt Millen has nothing on me.
The team is worse now than it was a week ago, but the season doesn't start today.
I do care about how Colletti responded (burning the bridge to Drew, who is, after all, one of the very best players on the FA market), and how he responds now to the new OF need. He may still pull a rabbit out of his hat, but my view of the FA market (minus Drew) is that it's unlikely. I hope he surprises me.
Ned: I just want to know what you're worth. Over ten million?
Drew: Oh my, yes.
Ned: Why are you doing it? How much better can you eat? What can you buy that you can't already afford?
Drew: The future, Mr. Colletti, the future.
cesar izturis.
that's right, cesar "career .295 OBP" izturis. and A's fans want him in the oakland lineup! incredible.
http://tinyurl.com/y32vwb
The caption under said evidence:
J.D. Drew is clearly willing to trade his job security for the chance at a bigger payday
Those really aren't mutually exclusive, are they? I mean, isn't DJ likely to sign a 3-year or greater deal for more than $33 million?
Then we need a center fielder. That's a question of do we give Matt Kemp a shot.
Again, for no reason, I ask why Andre Ethier can't play center. No need to answer, I just don't get it.
http://tinyurl.com/yjhvzq
vr, Xei
One wonders if Ray Durham can play CF ala Davy Lopes.
but i do think we should try and acquire thames. Hes not going to hit for a high average but he does have nice ISOs; basically what we hoped jayson werth would have turned into.
so, NOOOOOO! :)
vr, Xei
The cash considerations would not only offset some of the salary difference, but play for Kent and Sheffield to be teammates.
their choice of hendrickson or tomko :)
or both if they want to drive a hard bargain.
His 3 year split shows a OBP of 306 against RHP. The power is still decent and it could just mean he needs more at bats because he hasn't gotten a whole lot of major league at bats but I'd rather have Delucci getting those at bats against RHP.
i hope so.
136- as much I dislike Kent, I probably wouldn't. Who plays 2nd if Kent is traded? Both Betemit and LaRoche aren't going to be starter.
The big free agent bat I'd go after is Alfonso Soriano. I've never been a fan of Soriano, but now that Drew is gone, the Dodgers desperately need someone to replace his offense. I'd probably just go with Kemp in CF.
Here's my lineup
Martin c
Loney 1b
Kent 2b
Furcal ss
Betemit 3b
Thames lf
Kemp cf
Soriano rf
I'd try Nomar at second if Kent is gone, giving him a JD Drew rest schedule, with Marlon Anderson as his primary backup.
Here's the lineup then:
(S)Furcal - SS
(L)Loney - 1B
(R)Nomar - 2B
(R)Sori - RF
(L)Ethier - CF
(R)Thames - LF
(R)Martin - C
(L)Betemit - 3B
Besides, if he'd be cool playing first, that would plug a hole for the Tigers nicely (and block Chris Shelton for a little longer).
http://tinyurl.com/yamkfs
See, this is my problem...Drew DID spout off by saying numerous times that he wasn't going to do it. I have NO problem with Drew using an opt out clause..it's his right. I DO have a problem when he comes out and says a bunch of times "I don't think I'll do it." etc etc and then the first thing he does is opt out.
I think this is the reason Colletti is so up in arms over this. His reaction leads me to believe that he had a pretty solid view that Drew wouldn't opt out...I don't think he would have flipped out the way he did if it was still up in the air. Aramis Ramirez played his situation right. As far as I know, he didn't say anything either way and the he opted out...that's the way to do it. But please, don't tell the fans, the media, the organization that you're not going to opt out and then go and do just that. I also want it to be known that I have nothing against Drew, I've been on his bandwagon since the day we signed him and I hate to see him go...but so it goes and so it goes....
Exactly. That's what irritates me about this. I don't think people have the right to be mad that he opted out since it was his right...but everyone should be annoyed that he constantly insinuated he wouldn't opt out.
We all keep talking about Eithier being our only OF...but really, can we really count on Eithier right now? I like him just as much as the next guy but he tapered off big time this year and we have no idea what he'll do next...I'd go with two OF...let's just hypothetically say Soriano and Alou and let Eithier and Kemp fight it out for CF.
I still wouldn't be shocked at all to see an ESPN headline in the coming weeks that reads something along the lines of "Dodgers' GM Colletti contacts Bonds' agent."
Great word for it, Jon. Perfect word. He's anticinematic.
Setting aside the issue of JD Drew's contract and "promise" entirely, it seems to me that this debate is just the latest in a long line of debates that come down to that one thing: cinema. I think it's probably the heart of the Moneyball debate, too.
I think it's fair to say that most baseball fans (read: I) follow baseball to be entertained, right? And that means we want our team to win, but it also means we want them to be heroic, or emotional, or funny, or cool, or scrappy -- i.e., cinematic -- when they do it. How much we value that cinema versus, say, straight-up run production, probably determines where you lie on the Beane vs. Morgan continuum, for example, but I think we'd all like to like the guys we're rooting for.
That's why guys like Gagne and Gibson and Hershiser hold the place they do in Dodgers history, innit? They gave fans incredible performances and incredible cinema, all in one package. Obviously, whatever Drew produces on the field or for the money (again, I'm not interested in furthering that debate), his lack of cinema knocks him down a lot in some fans' eyes.
I guess I fall in the middle somewhere. To me, sports is entertainment, pure and simple. So yeah, I'll admit I never really formed much of an attachment to JD Drew -- I think he's a fine player, but he didn't entertain me much. I don't begrudge him leaving, but I won't miss him much, either.
As for me, off to school where very, very few of the kids give a rip about baseball. Sad.
If the Dodgers can offer arbitration to Drew, I sure hope that they do. None of these posts about Drew have made the case for replacing Drew's all-around play without incurring a very expensive deal (Alou and Bonds come closest, IMO, but the D suffers). I do not see any other reason not to offer him arbitration other than Ned's personal animosity, which is not a valid reason.
80 Considering the prices involved, the most attractive free agents to me are Bonds or Alou (not both due to D, and I think we need a very good CF so no resigning of Lofton), and Delucci (a real nice fit for us, I think).
The offense is going to take a step back next year regardless. I'd just accept that, and try to build a team with the best pitching as possible.
I wouldnt spend money on any of the mid-level free agents like Alou. I'd rather spend it on high-end difference making pitching.
To some, just having recognizable names like Nomar and going to the ballpark every so often, is enough fufillment.
Others dont care about the individual pieces, but rather just the team overall winnings.
I fall into the 2nd group, but I understand the one's from the 1st group.
Infielders: Nomar, Kent, Furcal, Betemitt, Martinez, Saenz, 1/2 Loney
Outfielders: Ethier, (Roberts or Byrnes), Kemp, (Anderson or Repko. I say Repko), 1/2 Loney
Maybe hit more homers, but overall they don't come close to what JD did. If your plan is contingent on this, I think you may be disappointed.
By the way, I should be clear (in case I wasn't) that I don't think there are "cinema" guys and "stats" guys, not in the fat part of the bell curve, anyway. We all like to be entertained. My point is just that different people are entertained by different things.
Some people like action films, and some people like thought-provoking dramas. And when someone comes up with a really good thought-provoking action film, it's usually a hit.
Or something like that. (Jon, have I swerved off onto your other blog?)
See, I don't get this. Drew was not a family member promising us a kidney. Or even a ride to the airport. He's an athlete, paid to perform on the field. I have no problem understanding why some think he was overpaid, given the games he missed, and/or that the team is lucky to be out from under the $33M due him, due to his high propensity for more injury. But I don't get the "you promised us, you big liar" complaint. What he "promised" was a .900 OPS and great defense and baserunning when healthy, and to stay out of trouble off the field, and but for the broken bone, he delivered.
For me, it comes down to this. What if that had just been a 2-yr deal, with no option, and he were a free agent now? Should the team try to re-sign him? Given the team's needs and his ability, I think yes, although I would be sympathetic to arguments that he's gonna be too expensive in this market. The team should try, but maybe not win.
Colletti, OTOH, at least in public, slammed the door because of the "liar, liar, pants on fire" view of things, which just seems like a dumb thing to focus on for a GM (we fans can focus on anything we want - it doesn't matter).
That said, although it's belied by the ferocity and immediacy of Colletti's reaction (which smacks of sincerity, if not good judgment), I'm starting to think that maybe what Colletti had other reasons to be rid of Drew, and just made it easier for himself, and the fans, to bid good riddance by demonizing the former player. Teams do this all the time. That garbage about "players who want to play here" was not invented by Colletti - it's a common divorce pronouncement.
The stuff about too much coddling may be post-bridge-burning spin, or it might be a real reason that the team didn't want to shell out and extra $33M, let alone what Drew is actually going to cost as a free agent.
If I can be convinced that Colletti had already decided to dump Drew (by trade, if necessary), then his comments of the other day don't bug me nearly as much - they're just break-up words. But I don't really believe that. What I really believe is that Colletti made a bet that Drew would be part of the rebuilding (as with the example of Josh in "The Office" that someone brought up a couple days ago) that he was annoyed and embarrassed for losing that bet, and that he lashed out when a reporter poked him in the eye with it.
Byrnes is a pretty bad CF, IMO. We need someone to play CF, preferably a defensive upgrade, given the erratic play there last year and the absence of Drew, and someone to replace JD's production on offense. I hope we address these two needs before chasing Schmidt or Zito.
The FA names are pretty limited to Matthews Jr, Pierre, Lofton, and Roberts. And that guy Drew.
"I'm not trying to trade Shawn Green"
or
"Izturis is going to be our 3rd basemen"
or
"I'm not going to opt out"
Whatever people say to reporters is meaningless imo.
*11/13/2006
Giles might be traded this offseason, according to the San Diego Union-Tribune. The Padres are expected to sign a major free agent outfielder, which would make Giles more expendable. Several teams could take a chance on Giles in the hope that his offensive production would improve out of Petco Park. He also could be trade bait for a club looking to move a big contract. Giles is due to make $9 million in 2007 and $12 million in 2008, but could be acquired in return for an even bigger contract. He has a no-trade clause which includes eight teams, Boston, Baltimore, Detroit and Washington among them.*
So just to speculate. The Padre's traded their 2nd baseman to the Indians and now have a hole there. An interesting move would be for the the Dodgers to trade Kent for Giles thus fullfilling the big contract for big contract while each team fills a gaping hole, Padres sign Drew to replace Giles because Depo will go hard after him and the Dodgers sign Durham or Nomar to replace Kent. Depo seems to be showing his influence as they recently signed Ryan Ketchner who was a minor league free agent. One of his 1st moves as the Dodger GM was to trade for Ketchner from Seattle. We know how hard Ned went after Giles last winter so he might be interested. I'm probably the biggest Durham fan on this board which is why I keep trying to find a way to get him on my team. Course to me the obvious move is for the Padres to sign Durham or Nomar to play 2nd base and keep Giles. If the Dodgers trade Kent and sign Durham it would be the same cycle that Sabean/Ned did when Kent left as a FA for Houston and the Giants signed Durham to replace him. I'd much rather have a combo of Durham/Giles then Kent/Drew but that is strictly a personal preference.
172 Not a bad idea, but I wouldn't hold your breath waiting for a Dodgers-Padres trade.
Me too but the choice could be Durham/Giles or Kent/Marlon Anderson.
I sense Colletti will bid against the Angels for Gary Matthews Jr. If we can make a trade for a big bat (Burrell/Dunn) then I can live with a Ethier/Werth platoon. Apparently the GM's are bowling today in Florida. If Ned and Gillick are on the same team maybe they can work a deal.
His power is diminishing but the fact is that he was just horrible against LHP in 2006 which brought his overall numbers down.
I'm sure studies have been done but it seems that power LHH's seem to lose it quickly against LHP but can continue to pound RHP long enough to still be productive players as long as their managers realize that they are a detriment if they ever see LHP. I'm always still shocked when I see the LH splits at the end of every year when I see so many at bats given away to LHH who are clueless against LHP. Didn't anyone learn anything from Earl Weaver and Casey Stengel?I blame part of the problem on the silly 11 and 12 man pitching staffs because of the crazy ways closers are used in todays baseball and so many pitchers who can only go 5/6 innings every 5th day.
Seems to me the best replacement for Drew would be Drew. Ramirez (A of the Cubs) resigned with his team for more $ and a few more years, wouldn't that be a legitimate move for the Dodgers?
I know we wish Drew handled it differently, but we can forgive the miscommunication and resign him. We forgave Odalis and it didn't work out, but I never thought he'd be back after 04.
Sign Drew!!!!!
http://tinyurl.com/ym44sl
Saito and Martin finished 8th and 9th. Personally, I think Martin got the shaft. I'd have had him near the top, certainly in value to a team.
http://tinyurl.com/ycpk5h
Sam DOT Brodsok AT Comcast DOT net
"Oh, hello, American investor. I see you are interested in distributing Mr. Sparkle in you home prefecture. You have chosen wisely. But please -- don't believe me. Observe this commercial."
"Mr. Sparkle. A joint venture of Matsumura Fishworks and Tamaribuchi Heavy Manufacturing Concern."
Matsuzaka, a joint venture of Seibu Lions and Scott Boras Concern.
I laughed more than I have in quite some time
At The Simpsons, that is.
And yes, did see it last night, hilarious. The first half in particular. That assembly in the elementary school was priceless - they really nailed the absurdity of the recruiting ads. (The Looney Tunes gag later in the episode was a little goofy, though.)
I liked the Looney Tunes gag. I also liked bombing the "Dangerous Hurricane." Classic.
The LT gag I may like more the second time around; it just seemed overlong. But that was one of the better episodes in awhile.
--Phil Rogers, Sour Sweeteners, Chicago Tribune, 11/12
Questions: when did pitch count get to be a near-sacred thing? Is there conclusive proof that limiting starters to 100 pitches or so extends careers or makes them more effective?
Seems like a lot of pitchers used to throw a lot of CG and IP and still have fine careers. Not looking to argue--I'd just like to know.
From same column RE free agents:
"Drew is a Scott Boras client, and Boras clients are rarely among the first wave of free agents to make commitments."
Seems like a lot of pitchers used to throw a lot of CG and IP and still have fine careers. Not looking to argue--I'd just like to know."
Me, too. Is there any statistical evidence for pitch count reducing injuries or prolonging careers?
I know there is such evidence for a pitcher's effectiveness after a number of pitches within a particular game, but what about the long-term? (I'm also just curious, not arguing). Thx!
http://tinyurl.com/tuhs8
Sigh.
I personally had no axe to grind regarding JD and have neutral feelings regarding our GM. I'm only distraught right now because our overall team is weaker with an extra hole to fill as far as offensive production. Though they still have to focus on getting at least one more front of the rotation starter, they now have to scramble to fill an extra OF hole. The suggestion for Alou is bad unless he agrees to a platoon role for left not right field. The bottom line is that Ned has got his work cut out for him this winter.
I suspect as sports medicine has improved, the understanding of wear and tear on a pitcher's arm has improved, and given the amount of money paid to players these days there's a lot more focus on the players' health than there used to be.
I wonder if Koufax would have spent half of his last two years on the DL if he'd pitched 40 years later.
Lineup:
Furcal SS
Pierre CF
Nomar 3B
C. Lee LF
Kent 2B
Loney 1B
Ethier RF
Martin C
(Martin and Pierre are interchangeable in the lineup)
Bench:
Saenz
Betemit
Martinez
Kemp
Repko
Backup Catcher (not Piazza or T. Hall)
Rotation:
Lowe
Penny
Maddux
Billingsley
Kou
Pen:
Saito CL
Broxton
Miller
Tomko
Weathers
Hendrickson
It is real...
(Martin and Pierre are interchangeable in the lineup)
Don't know what to say.
Do teams still get draft picks for losing free agents...?
Me, it goes like this. Eat Turkey Sandwich, Salt & Vinegar chips. Drink Diet Coke. Wait 23 and a half hours. Repeat.
No, i just say that so i can live in my own fantasy world.
--Bill Shaikin, LA Times, 11/12, "Angels look to dive right in"
"Drew's opt-out clause was negotiated by Colletti's predecessor Paul DePodesta, but it's merely part of the price of doing business. It's good to see Colletti isn't letting it affect his other dealings, though. One day after making his decision on Drew, Colletti was talking to Boras about Greg Maddux and Gagne."
--Jon Heyman, SI.com, 11/12
Dealing with Boras is a necessary evil if a team is going to pursue his clients.
If I were Colletti--or any other GM--after the Drew fiasco, I'd expect the worst.
Expect not to take anything Boras clients say at face value. Expect bad faith in negotiations. Expect that he will find ways to top his previous most outrageous act, tho hopefully not dealing with you. Expect that at actual decision time, nothing really will matter except money.
Then you can be pleasantly surprised if anything beter happens.You'll get a better grade in Borasdealing 101. And you'll be respresenting your team's interests more realistically.
Is Boras worse than other agents? I don't know. There's no question that he's good at what he does, bringing home the $$$. That's why players hire him
After all, snakes also have their purpose in nature.
Shotgun!
No, my office will order chip assortments from CostCo but the only ones I can stomach (because of all the crap in the others, Doritos and the like, is Fritos. Sometimes I'll go out and buy SunChips or Salt and Vinegar chips. But then I'm lucky to work somewhere near a lot of great cheap food places, in downtown SF.
They play in the Southern Conference.
Icaros, you out there?
If only.
I'm very similar to Sam for lunch when I'm at work. Chicken salad snadwich on squaw bread please, with Lay's plain chips.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdUUx5FdySs&eurl=
Thankfully they did not use that R Kelly song.
Nor do I think I want to.
It's very strange, but the forwarding email I got a few months ago said it was quite the YouTube phenom at the time.
And I'll apologize right now to Jon.
Do you see what happens?
I bet JD Drew will miss In N Out more than anything.
Still better than New Zealand.
Once again, not looking to argue. But Koufax's last 2 years show 335 and 323 IP, respectively--so if he was on the DL half the time, he was even more amazing than generally thought! o-)
Amazing stats over those 2 years, anyhow...along with 27 CG of 41 starts each year, ERAs of 2.04 and 1.73(career lowest, in his last year!)records of 26-8 and 27-9, 8 and 5 shutouts, and 382 SO in 335 IP followed by 317 SO in 323 IP.
Granted, that load probably didn't do his arthritic left arm any good. But could pitch limits have helped slow arthritis? Could anything?
About when did 5 man rotations become accepted?
http://tinyurl.com/ygs84n
Granted he won't be much next year, considering he's not likely to be back until the middle of the year coming off shoulder surgery...but if he could return to his old self in 2008, he could be a steal.
I love it. Low risk high reward type situation.
Granted he won't be much next year, considering he's not likely to be back until the middle of the year coming off shoulder surgery.
I've read numerous reports that said he'd be ready to roll by Opening Day.
If we can land a Schmidt/Zito and also bring in a Mark Mulder it would be really really nice.
I guess the following plan I had for the offseason may not be such a good idea after all.
1. Quit day job
2. Get a job with Dodger organization
3. Sign Juan Pierre
4. Bask in the glory
Hey, always follow your dreams.
A Kiwi taught me that.
Personally, I think the name in itself is reason enough to sign the guy...Which is why I think the Dodgers should go after Dick Trickle of Nascar fame.
But hey, he could be the second coming of Kirby Puckett...But I think Shannon Stewart is his comparable.
4. Bask in the glory*
oh, the incongruity of it all.
[268] it seems like when we compare players, we have a tendency to compare people to a player of the same race. why can't lastings be, say... mark kotsay, at best?
Come up whomever you wish. I think Shannon Stewart applies.
Milledge= chin fen chen.
its a mirror image.
Anyhoo, it's ironic, because I raised the exact same racial comparison issue before. I can use Ruben Mateo or Juan Rivera if you'd like.
he only played corner of because of beltran in center. and he dismissed the not walking criticism by taking 43bbs in 307ABs in AAA this season at the old age of 21.
i like his tools and his lightening quick bat. I like the high averages hes sustained at mostly every minor league level hes been at. I also think hes the type of player that ages well.
buttttt.....
lowe+kent for milledge, heilman and i want dirty sanchez back.
He was a nightmare in the outfield this year. Yes, he's a CF, which is why I said he could be Kirby Puckett, but wow, he sure made Kenny Lofton look like Willie Mays out there this year.
humber i wouldnt touch. he went to rice and thats like the dusty baker college of ruining pitchers arms.
yea he was pretty bad. but just like offensively, there is an adjustment period for young players on the defensive side. Hes always had good defensive scouting reports coming up.
anyway, greg, i wasn't giving you a hard time for using shannon stewart, who seems to be a perfect exemplar of the "toolsy but undistinguished corner OF" type you were trying to point to. if it's appropriate, it's appropriate.
i got another good one though!
juan (charley-steiner-says-it) encahnarcion.
To me it's a matter of when, not if...
The Angels, swinging at warmup pitches from the on-deck circle since 2001!
The angels would be better off going for drew. Better yet, giving gary matthews a 4yr 40mil deal.
that wold be swell.
thinking about it, giants, padres, angels, red sox, orioles, cubs, and even astros are all going to be interested in drew. the paydays going ot be something like 5yrs 65 million.
Hopefully those teams go after Nomar as well.
3B maicer izturis
SS orlando cabrera
2b soriano
1b kendry morales
LF juan rivera
RF vlad
cf chone figgins (okay, not latino, but pretty close! i mean, chones are underwear in spanish, no?)
c napoli first string, sure, but do they still have jose molina?
Kendrick.
well, i also left out garret anderson and a couple others, but it doesn't have to be an every day lineup. just once would be good enough.
The Pirates.
1. Early in the first half, Georgia Southern had the ball with roughly 8 seconds on the shot clock. The Cameron Crazies started a fake countdown at 4 and convinced the ballhandler to hoist up a desperate long-range shot with 4 seconds on the clock, not 0 seconds as he was led to believe
2. Georgia Southern has a player named "Jimmy Tobias"
3. The guys that run out on the court to wipe up the sweat wear suits and ties
4. The Crazies gave a few "Go to Hell Carolina, Go to Hell" chants, despite the fact that Duke was playing Georgia Southern
5. Duke fans complained about the refs the entire first half, despite the fact that Duke led in free-throw attempts 25-6 at the end of the half
That must have been a cool experience D4P.
I hated Duke until I moved here. Now they're a "local team" that I feel somewhat compelled to support. Plus I have a lot of friends at Duke, so it's harder to hate them.
Fans of basketball teams that traditionally do well always complain that the refs are out to get them, even when they aren't.
You could hear the same complaints at Pauley Pavilion.
It would just be much quieter there than at Cameron Indoor.
They use lots of swears...Lots.
Orange: Wake Forest vs. Rutgers
Fiesta: Texas vs. Boise State
It was actually more like an ordeal to see if I could make it through to the end. Especially with Washington State playing in the last game. If the Washington State guy had made his game-tying attempt at the buzzer, I would have come down from the top deck at Staples and shot him.
However, I do not think Wake Forest will win the ACC.
Jim Grobe should wallow in his sorrows by immediately quitting, and taking a job in sunny, beautiful Southern California.
Then I guess the next time someone asks me if I've ever seen college basketball, my response will have to be "No."
You also need to go see some of the Big West tournament. A little Cal State Long Beach-UC Irvine action to show your basektball chops.
I'm guessing Derek Lowe would like that game...
http://losangeles.dodgers.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/news/article.jsp?ymd=20061113&content_id=1740177&vkey=news_la&fext=.jsp&c_id=la
havent the dodgers won around 16 rookies of the year? and had 5 in a row in the 90's right?
Can I watch it under the four-sided pointy roof of a big blue pyramid?
Cal was trailing at halftime to Washington State 28-9. And there was a shot clock in use.
Fullerton vs. Irvine is a rivalry game! You throw the record book out for that one.
No, seriously, you do.
Do you retrieve it from the trash for subsequent non-rivalry games, or just start a new one...?
One of them is in the Hall of Fame, with Piazza pending.
The Giants have had 5 ROY's. 3 of them are in the Hall of Fame.
I'm telling you it's a crime that Ted Sizemore isn't in the Hall of Fame! A crime!
Linkmeister's house here we come!
This is what various Bruin websites have told me.
Yeah, that one took me a second before I figured out that it didn't mean what I thought it meant.
i'm shamefully oversusceptible to bad puns.
his WARP-1 was 7.9. Which was about .7 lower then his 2005 year but still high.
If the 2million per 1 WARP principle still holds true, furcals 2006 season was technically worth 15.5+ mil.
so what does everyone think? Was furcal worth his salary last year?
Bravo puns!
Yes it was. Furcal contract should be the way to go. Give them tons of money, but not a lot of years.
The guy who plays Hiro, however, is awesome
I don't think I really ever try to like a show. I make the show do the work. If I'm gonna like it, it's gotta make me.
1) The Dodgers have held serious discussions about moving Kent to firstbase. The Dodgers would then consider signing Adam Kennedy for second base or move Betemit to second and play LaRoche at third base.
2) The Dodgers are pursuing both Soriano and Lee for the outfield. Whether or not they sign these two, the Dodgers are considering about re-signing Lofton and have serious interest in Juan Pierre for centerfield. If neither Soriano nor Lee can be signed, the Dodgers are looking at Gonzalez, Floyd, Nixon, Huff, and Catalanotto.
3)The Dodgers are attempting to trade Toby Hall. If they're able to accomplish a trade, the Dodgers are serious about signing Mike Piazza to back up Martin and to occasionally start at first base.
4) Chances to re-sign Gagne are slim. However, the article pretty much assumes that Saito will return. The Dodgers are looking at Villone, Speier, Springer, Bradford, and Weathers as possible bullpen additions.
Oh no. It looks like we may be in for a long offseason. I mean, that list of outfielders just screams old, overrated, or both to me, and I think Colleti might have to be checked for Wayne Cryvisky- syndrome.
I think Piazza would be a good signing. He can still hit, and I'd like to see him finish his career as a Dodger.
Are they trying to turn us into alcoholics?
Don't sweat it. I didn't know how to do it for a long time either.
When we're together I feel fine.
Your smile is so lovely; your hair is so clean;
You make me feel that the whole world is mine.
Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny,
Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, K-E-N-N-Y ...
Why? Because you're
Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny,
(pause)
Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny, Kenny,
Kenny of mine!
Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine,
Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine, Mine,
... Mine!
[Two years? Three years? Five years? Welcome back, Kenny. We love you. Don't listen to all these guys here. Bunch of cranks. You've got to come back. Please. Don't make me beg.]
No. Only the ones that are more talented than Juan Pierre.
When Kenny Lofton is by far the most palatable solution out there, it's just not worth trying.
I have no ammunition against Juan Pierre & Lofton except Soriano and/or Lee.
unfortunately, he would still continue to play very badly.
Oh good. I'm just having scary visions of this line up though:
Furcal
Pierre
Gonzales
Kent
Betemit
Loney
Ethier
Martin
and I'm having scary visions of Colleti going Cincinatti on us and spending everything on the bullpen.
His incredibly small head.
We would totally fix our lac of power with that lineup.
Furcal-SS
Pierre-CF
Ethier-RF
Kent-1B
Catalanotto-LF
Betemit-3B
Martin-C
Kennedy-2B
Trade Loney for bullpen help.
thats uhh...alot of money. even for a starter as durable as zito, the max i would go is 5.
you could try the furcal approach and go maybe 16 for 3 years. that way, you get his 28-31 prime years and you let zito have another big payday at age 31. If zito can keep up his WARP-1 pace of around 7 he would only be overpaid 2mil or so a year. and in the FA market, thats not sooo bad.
its better then having juan pierre in CF.
I thought that was Numb3rs.
Save the Jason...
Save the world...
The Red Sox certainly aren't messing around. As SI.com reported Monday, they are about to make an offer to free-agent outfielder J.D. Drew that is expected to be for at least $44 million over four years, and perhaps more.
44/4 isnt going to cut it for boras.
105 million? Not a chance. The Orioles, maybe...
But why is he 32? And what's up with one good season preceeded by seven lousy ones?
did you laugh when he recieved one from us 2 yrs ago? hehe
it's just a magic number.
id rather try and get casey blake and have him play a corner OF spot.
Creative. But what about Kemp+Penny for Wells, and sign Maddux and Schmidt? Is that at all realistic, or am I dreaming?
Me likey the Vernon Wells, but you better end up the top bidder when he's a free agent, and you're gonna pay for it.
Wells and Kemp minor league comparisons.
wells age 20 season:
A+: 265AB 343/403/543 26bb 34k
AA: 106AB 340/400/519 12bb 15k
AAA: 129AB 310/357/481 10bb 22k
wells age 21 season:
AAA: 493AB 243/313/432 48bb 88k
wells age 22 season:
AAA: 413AB 281/333/453 29bb 68k
Kemps age 20 season:
A+: 418AB 306/349/569 25bb 92k
Kemps Age 21 season:
AA: 199AB 327/402/528 20bb 38k
AAA: 182AB 368/428/560 17bb 26k
Well, maybe we would have the money. Maybe we can just do the trade, then call up Elbert or something, or sign another cheaper free agent. I just want some way to get Wells. Worrying about signing him after we get him. Maybe foolish, but he's a monster, and a good centerfielder.
you have a point. but what about defense? or is Wells a bit overrated?
2006: 96
2005: 102
2004: 102
for all the acclaim he gets, his metrics should be better. then again, RATE-2 could be really flawed.
The young, underrated or both are currently unavailable. It's not like Colletti, or whoever the story's source was, just sat down and gave the reporter his list of top ten outfielders. These are the movable pieces. Unless you want to trade away Russell Martin and James Loney and Jonathan Broxton. Then more opportunities will open up.
I would take Pierre over Lofton because sometimes a banjo-hitting CF has to catch the ball. But I hope it's neither one.
Strategy this year same as last year -- placeholders. I don't care if old, overrated, whatever. If they can do a decent job and then go away when the youngsters are ready, that's the best we can hope for. Drew's departure means a title in '07 would be a stretch, so we should, sadly, be playing for the future.
If we signed Zito, Schmidt and maybe a Byrnes to play CF'er, I'd be fine with that.
Signing average or below average veterans like Pierre, Gonzo, Catalonotto etc...That doesnt really accomplish anything in terms of building for the future.
I think you add pitching this winter as building blocks. Next winter you add hitting.
But please Ned, no veterans to multie year deals (Mueller, Tomko) come to mind.
As I read and re-read your post, I sense that this is more about Depo than it is Drew. It certainly is for me.
It has been almost 13 months since Depo's lynching and I am certainly not past it. The latest round of Depo trashing from Plaschke and his followers is very hard to take. As unconventional baseball men who lack the perfection of Koufax, Drew and Depo are both doomed to be tragic and marginalized figures in Dodger history. I think the last Dodger I felt so much compassion for was Dick Allen.
Thanks for taking the time to write this.
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.