
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
Dodger Thoughts T-Shirts
On sale through February 16, 2008


Click here to order.
* * *
The Best of Dodger Thoughts
A 325-page book featuring the top selections from this website from 2002-2005.
Click here for more information.
* * *
Or, just make a donation to support the site. Many thanks.
"Dodger Thoughts, like TiVo, is one of those things you can completely do without until you start using it."
- Fanerman
SI.com
NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
Colletti and Depo
World Baseball Classic
Minor League Broadcasters
Slow Starts
Eric Gagne
Groundball Pitchers
Dodger Prospects
Albert Pujols
Humbled Angels
You Be the Manager
Eric Gagne II
Unreliable Relievers
Revived Angels
It's Okay To Sell
Dodger Turnaround
Andre Ethier
Padres-Dodgers Showdown
NL Final Weekend
Mets-Dodgers NLDS
Postseason ratings
NL Wish Lists
Manny vs. J.D.
McGwire Controversy
Dodger Offense
Trainers Matter
Variety
Will Arnett
John C. McGinley
Laura Dern
Imelda Staunton
SAG Awards
Ellen Pompeo
Grey's Anatomy
2004-05 Rookie Dramas
Anthony Hopkins
NATPE
Scrubs
Award Shows
Topher Grace
Ashton Kutcher
Writing on Improv Shows
Rainn Wilson
T.R. Knight
Guest Actors
Animation Guests
Joey Carson and Tennis
Donald Trump and Golf
2006 Emmys Nominees*
*Comedy Series
*Comedy Director
*Comedy Writer
*Comedy Actor
*Comedy Supporting Actor
Blue's Clues
Lizzy Caplan
Ann Donahue
CMT: Giants
CMA Awards
Little Miss Sunshine
Actor-Directors
Freshman Series
Clint Eastwood
Showrunners vs. Censors
Little Children
Breaking and Entering
Tartikoff Legacy Awards
Jackie Earle Haley
Knights of Prosperity
Office Online
2007 Screenplay Noms
Friday Night Lights
Robert Benton
ABC Fridays
Rookie Actors
Global Casting
2007 Pilot Casting
Sublime Slime
Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Abreu
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Beimel
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Bennett
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Billingsley
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Brazoban
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Broxton
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube DeWitt
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Ethier
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Furcal
ESPN BR BP Cube Garciaparra
ESPN BR BP Cube Hu
ESPN BR BP Cube Jones
ESPN BR BP Cube Kemp
ESPN BR BP Cube Kent
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuo
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuroda
ESPN BR BP Cube LaRoche
ESPN BR BP Cube Loaiza
ESPN BR BP Cube Loney
ESPN BR BP Cube Lowe
ESPN BR BP Cube Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube May
ESPN BR BP Cube McDonald
ESPN BR BP Cube Meloan
ESPN BR BP Cube Miller
ESPN BR BP Cube Orenduff
ESPN BR BP Cube Park
ESPN BR BP Cube Paul
ESPN BR BP Cube Penny
ESPN BR BP Cube Pierre
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Repko
ESPN BR BP Cube Saito
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmidt
ESPN BR BP Cube Stults
ESPN BR BP Cube Sweeney
ESPN BR BP Cube Troncoso
ESPN BR BP Cube Wade
ESPN BR BP Cube Young
ESPN BR BP Cube Alomar
ESPN BR BP Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR BP Cube Aybar
ESPN BR BP Cube Baez
ESPN BR BP Cube Bako
ESPN BR BP Cube Beltre
ESPN BR BP Cube Bradley
ESPN BR BP Cube Cabrera
ESPN BR BP Cube Carrara
ESPN BR BP Cube Carter
ESPN BR BP Cube Chen
ESPN BR BP Cube Choi
ESPN BR BP Cube Cora
ESPN BR BP Cube Crosby
ESPN BR BP Cube Cruz
ESPN BR BP Cube Dessens
ESPN BR BP Cube Dreifort
ESPN BR BP Cube Drew
ESPN BR BP Cube Encarnacion
ESPN BR BP Cube Edwards
ESPN BR BP Cube Erickson
ESPN BR BP Cube Falkenborg
ESPN BR BP Cube Finley
ESPN BR BP Cube Flores
ESPN BR BP Cube Gagne
ESPN BR BP Cube Grabowski
ESPN BR BP Cube Green
ESPN BR BP Cube Guzman
ESPN BR BP Cube Hanrahan
ESPN BR BP Cube Hernandez
ESPN BR BP Cube Hundley
ESPN BR BP Cube Ishii
ESPN BR BP Cube Izturis
ESPN BR BP Cube Jackson
ESPN BR BP Cube Karros
ESPN BR BP Cube Ketchner
ESPN BR BP Cube Ledee
ESPN BR BP Cube Lima
ESPN BR BP Cube Lo Duca
ESPN BR BP Cube Lofton
ESPN BR BP Cube T. Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube Mayne
ESPN BR BP Cube G. Mota
ESPN BR BP Cube Mueller
ESPN BR BP Cube Myrow
ESPN BR BP Cube Nakamura
ESPN BR BP Cube Navarro
ESPN BR BP Cube Nomo
ESPN BR BP Cube Osoria
ESPN BR BP Cube A. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube O. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube Phillips
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Roberts
ESPN BR BP Cube Robles
ESPN BR BP Cube Romano
ESPN BR BP Cube C. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube D. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube Sanchez
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmoll
ESPN BR BP Cube Sele
ESPN BR BP Cube Seo
ESPN BR BP Cube Shuey
ESPN BR BP Cube Stanley
ESPN BR BP Cube S. Stewart
ESPN BR BP Cube Thompson
ESPN BR BP Cube Thurston
ESPN BR BP Cube Valentin
ESPN BR BP Cube Venafro
ESPN BR BP Cube Ventura
ESPN BR BP Cube Weaver
ESPN BR BP Cube Werth
ESPN BR BP Cube Wilson
ESPN BR BP Cube Wunsch
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
To get their roster down to 40, the Dodgers let go of outfielder Jayson Werth and catcher Toby Hall, reports Steve Henson of the Times.
Werth, who was a second-half hero in 2004 and also memorably helped the Dodgers beat Pedro Martinez in an injury-plagued 2005, will go down as a what-if case. It's still a remote possibility that he could re-sign with the team, but apparently he has been asking for more than the Dodgers were willing to offer (presumably something close to the minimum). From Henson:
"We tried to negotiate a contract with him before the [deadline], something we could live with," General Manager Ned Colletti said. "We couldn't come to an agreement. We can still talk to him, and if an agreement can be made down the road, so be it."
The Dodgers retained the rights to pitchers Mark Hendrickson and Joe Beimel, and Henson goes on to write that "Hendrickson could command close to $4 million and Beimel might get $1 million." That may be pocket change in this day and age, but I wouldn't go out of my way to offer it. Hendrickson is unreliable to begin with, and Beimel - having nothing to do with his postseason bar injury - is of a class of pitchers notoriously unlikely to maintain good performance.
A sign-and-trade of either or both is possible, but I'd much rather have risked $5 million toward a contract for Eric Gagne than on Hendrickson and Beimel. The best argument for not overpaying for Beimel is Beimel - he was one of many fringe pickups the Dodgers make every offseason, a group that you sift until you find the one who gets on a roll. It doesn't usually last, and there are more out there to choose from - not to mention in-house candidates like Greg Miller. Love is all around.
Maybe Gagne didn't really want to come back to Los Angeles, maybe Colletti has a trade target for Hendrickson or Beimel - but otherwise, it would have been better for the Dodgers to risk flushing the Beimel-Hendrickson $5 million (in addition to an extra million from wherever) down Gagne's toilet. Gagne's potential is so much higher, so much more meaningful.
Update: The Dodger roster is actually at 39: Pitcher Jose Diaz was outrighted to Las Vegas last month, but his name had not dropped off all lists.
vr, Xei
If we're sitting here begging for Loney and Kemp to get shots in the outfield, it's safe to say Werth never had a chance.
I also enjoy playing heavy stuff and I've been using a Jackson for about 5 years now. It's got nice low action and a pretty thin fretboard to allow for faster playing. Mine was in the range you mentioned as are many of Jackson's mid-range models. Other good shredding guitars are BC Rich and Ibanez. Enjoy!
Even during his half strength 2005, he was probably about as good as Juan Pierre. And what could he possibly have commanded in arb--1 million? Tops, I would think.
The Dodger outfield is very lefty heavy, and Werth could have been part of a nice platoon. Maybe they felt that was too much money for a guy with uncertain health. Maybe Werth forced the issue so he could become a free agent and a get a three year $19 million dollar deal from the Orioles or something.
But I think this is unfortunate. The Dodgers are not loaded with power, and he was a potential source for a relatively low cost.
vr, Xei
Apparently Hendrickson, aka Lurch, as an LHP, is worth the roster spot and the $4mil because of a percieved trade value.
Ned did what he had to do...See ya Jayson W...Texas no doubt...
Well, I'm not too serious about it, but it is interesting. Some of Colletti's biggest head scratchers have been young DePo guys with big upside (Werth, Choi, Navarro, maybe Penny, even Drew, whose upside was health).
I can't blame a GM who prefers, other things equal, to have a team full of "his" guys, so that he's totally responsible for whatever happens, good or bad. But if I were Derek Lowe, I'd be looking over my shoulder.
I don't want this to stir another Choi debate but I disagree that Choi had or has big upside. I didn't like his swing or his footwork. Nor do I think Navarro has big upside. I would have been a little more creative on Werth but it does appear they ran out of room there.
is it too late to undo the gonzalez signing and snatch up wilkerson for half the price?
I don't know what his defense is like, but he runs pretty well, had an off year but can hit, is 28.
I wonder how much he will get on the market?
vr, Xei
Ugggggh.
I don't think Marcus Giles is quite in the same category as David Ortiz.
Plus, David Ortiz never wrote a book.
Or is involved in professional wrestling.
Marcus Giles, second greatest non-tender in history!
Your move, Timmermann.
Can't you stat-heads compliment a gutsy ballplayer without the requisite back hand?
Everyone knows Eckstein is the greatest player in the history of the universe.
St. Louis is a nice place to be from. I suppose that toasted ravioli is a staple at the Brock dinner table.
Toasted ravioli sounds good. Never had it. Sounds healthy, too.
Bill James expects Giles to rebound with an OPS near .800.
Beimel and Hendrickson are replaceable parts for $5 million. Biemel more replaceable than Hendrickson. Big Bird actually pitched well out of the pen, even striking out a few (he has had trouble throwing hard enough to strike guys out when he has started).
Big Bird fits the mold of a sixth starter, a decent long reliever who can chew up some innings when Fatdalis (oops, he's gone. i forget because we are still paying for him!) or Billz or Kuo get lit up, he can go four or five.
Wasn't Biemel the Tom Martin of 2006? Isn't he still out there as a FA? Wouldn't him and Hamulack and whoever else under 50 who ever threw left handed in the majors fight it out for that spot? I guess 1 million is not a huge investment if Biemel doesn't pan out this year.
But from a fan perspective, people paid to see Gagne, nobody ever said "Yeah, let's go tonight, that NBA washout is throwing lobs to the Padres again!"
Pete Carroll likes David Eckstein.
Actually Jon's post provides additional evidence to support the theory by connecting the failure to pursue Gagne and the non-tender of Werth with the decision to keep Hendrickson and Beimel.
Penny and (as you point out) Lowe will both be gone in the next year.
In Sunday's BTF's Primer blog on Plaschke's Salute to Ned, Matt Welch raised similar questions surrounding the GM's give-away of prospects aqcuired and/or protected by DePo with nothing much to show for it.
"Ned es un idiota. Outhit de la voluntad de Werth el pinhead y el rey del triplit para menos entonces 1 millón de rosas."
Or as my Papa Frieberger used to say
"Ned ist ein Idiot. Werth Willeouthit der Pinhead und der triplit König für kleiner dann 1 Million Rosen."
Please.
Please.
Please.
I like many on this site am very sad to see Gagne go, and your phrase of Gagne's potential being so much more meaningful than Hendrickson and Biemel really hits it on the head. However, something I read this morning on the wires indicated that Gagne wanted to go somewhere where he would be the closer. So while the Dodgers were seriously interested in bringing him back did his demand for being the number 1 closer conflict with the Saito signing?
My question, I think Bernie Wiliams may fall into this catagory, but has a Scott Boras client ever resigned with his same team once he made free agency?
Yeah, I've played Jacksons in the shape of a flying V at Sam Ash before, and they really bend easily, and go down 24 frets. So that would probably be a good idea, thanks.
42.
Unless you consider John Lennon heavy metal, lol.
There's a disconnect here for me....I'm going to bed.
http://www.somethingawful.com/index.php?a=4296
sure it depends on what the trade is, I just think that any plausible trade probably would be though.Consider Pat Burrell who could be the best case scenerio. how much of an improvment would he be over Andre Ethier? 20 VORP last year, what about Loney and Kemp? it would be some but, enough over the loss of penny especially if Wolf cant produce. as well as the fact that Penny is in his prime for very cheap over the next 3 or so years
Buying CDs to replace vinyl I still own just bugs me, but try to replace a stereo turntable these days. The inexpensive ones are plastic and often have proprietary stylus/cartridge combinations, and the expensive ones are meant for DJs, which is overkill.
http://www.thecanteen.com/fabguitars.html
Concept Album!
vr, Xei
dont worry Steve Phillips on ESPN just said that the Red Sox wont sign Zito b/c hes not a good match.......
But I wouldn't call Pepper's weak.
I'll take Revolver #1, with Rubber Soul right behind. But after that...I dunno. I like both Help! and Hard Days Night. The only thing I'm sure of is that the White Album is my least favorite.
45
If Gagné turned out to be the Gagné of old, of course he would have been the closer. Saito said many times he'd be happy to play setup to Gagné. And you really think Gagné is going to insist on being "closer or I won't play" if he's playing terribly, no matter where he is? Or what possible difference that might make?
The thing is that the deal he signed for is not all that much more than the Dodgers were offering. One wonders why Boras did not come back to check. Did Colletti indicate that the 4 mil plus incentives offer was the "last, final" offer? Probably. Would another 2 mil have been worth the risk? Probably.
I guess I didnt go through all the options in my head but, I figured Burrel would be BEST plausible option as far as a good player coming back in the trade, without unloading the farm of course which I would assume no one wants. Burrell would only then be a upgrade of only about 10 in VORP over Ethier from last year, just to use a random common stat
vr, Xei
I really liked 4-5 off the pepper album, and the good morning, good morning solo was shockingly good.
Wild Honey Pie, and Good night simply shouldn't have been on there.
Entertainment value= Limitless
I can also predict who will not.
but the beatles isnt something i listen to constantly.
Rubber Soul!
And the Dodgers are full. I can't believe that they couldn't have picked up a couple players after today that would have been both better and cheaper than Pierre and Gonzales (not to mention Ramon Martinez).
Am I right that since these folks were non-tendered, there's no compensation necessary if they are picked up?
Some team is going to score some bargains after today. But it won't be the Dodgers.
Waiver claim: In a development that could signal that the Dodgers are close to acquiring another player, reliever Franquelis Osoria has been claimed off waivers by Pittsburgh.
drumrollllllllll
"I'm not sure," Colletti said when asked if he believed a trade was imminent.
LOL
http://tinyurl.com/wzxjj
Piniero, Zambrano, Guiel... anyone else see any one they'd rather have than Pierre or Gonzales?