
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
Dodger Thoughts T-Shirts
On sale through February 16, 2008


Click here to order.
* * *
The Best of Dodger Thoughts
A 325-page book featuring the top selections from this website from 2002-2005.
Click here for more information.
* * *
Or, just make a donation to support the site. Many thanks.
"Dodger Thoughts, like TiVo, is one of those things you can completely do without until you start using it."
- Fanerman
SI.com
NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
Colletti and Depo
World Baseball Classic
Minor League Broadcasters
Slow Starts
Eric Gagne
Groundball Pitchers
Dodger Prospects
Albert Pujols
Humbled Angels
You Be the Manager
Eric Gagne II
Unreliable Relievers
Revived Angels
It's Okay To Sell
Dodger Turnaround
Andre Ethier
Padres-Dodgers Showdown
NL Final Weekend
Mets-Dodgers NLDS
Postseason ratings
NL Wish Lists
Manny vs. J.D.
McGwire Controversy
Dodger Offense
Trainers Matter
Variety
Will Arnett
John C. McGinley
Laura Dern
Imelda Staunton
SAG Awards
Ellen Pompeo
Grey's Anatomy
2004-05 Rookie Dramas
Anthony Hopkins
NATPE
Scrubs
Award Shows
Topher Grace
Ashton Kutcher
Writing on Improv Shows
Rainn Wilson
T.R. Knight
Guest Actors
Animation Guests
Joey Carson and Tennis
Donald Trump and Golf
2006 Emmys Nominees*
*Comedy Series
*Comedy Director
*Comedy Writer
*Comedy Actor
*Comedy Supporting Actor
Blue's Clues
Lizzy Caplan
Ann Donahue
CMT: Giants
CMA Awards
Little Miss Sunshine
Actor-Directors
Freshman Series
Clint Eastwood
Showrunners vs. Censors
Little Children
Breaking and Entering
Tartikoff Legacy Awards
Jackie Earle Haley
Knights of Prosperity
Office Online
2007 Screenplay Noms
Friday Night Lights
Robert Benton
ABC Fridays
Rookie Actors
Global Casting
2007 Pilot Casting
Sublime Slime
Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Abreu
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Beimel
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Bennett
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Billingsley
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Brazoban
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Broxton
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube DeWitt
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Ethier
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Furcal
ESPN BR BP Cube Garciaparra
ESPN BR BP Cube Hu
ESPN BR BP Cube Jones
ESPN BR BP Cube Kemp
ESPN BR BP Cube Kent
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuo
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuroda
ESPN BR BP Cube LaRoche
ESPN BR BP Cube Loaiza
ESPN BR BP Cube Loney
ESPN BR BP Cube Lowe
ESPN BR BP Cube Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube May
ESPN BR BP Cube McDonald
ESPN BR BP Cube Meloan
ESPN BR BP Cube Miller
ESPN BR BP Cube Orenduff
ESPN BR BP Cube Park
ESPN BR BP Cube Paul
ESPN BR BP Cube Penny
ESPN BR BP Cube Pierre
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Repko
ESPN BR BP Cube Saito
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmidt
ESPN BR BP Cube Stults
ESPN BR BP Cube Sweeney
ESPN BR BP Cube Troncoso
ESPN BR BP Cube Wade
ESPN BR BP Cube Young
ESPN BR BP Cube Alomar
ESPN BR BP Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR BP Cube Aybar
ESPN BR BP Cube Baez
ESPN BR BP Cube Bako
ESPN BR BP Cube Beltre
ESPN BR BP Cube Bradley
ESPN BR BP Cube Cabrera
ESPN BR BP Cube Carrara
ESPN BR BP Cube Carter
ESPN BR BP Cube Chen
ESPN BR BP Cube Choi
ESPN BR BP Cube Cora
ESPN BR BP Cube Crosby
ESPN BR BP Cube Cruz
ESPN BR BP Cube Dessens
ESPN BR BP Cube Dreifort
ESPN BR BP Cube Drew
ESPN BR BP Cube Encarnacion
ESPN BR BP Cube Edwards
ESPN BR BP Cube Erickson
ESPN BR BP Cube Falkenborg
ESPN BR BP Cube Finley
ESPN BR BP Cube Flores
ESPN BR BP Cube Gagne
ESPN BR BP Cube Grabowski
ESPN BR BP Cube Green
ESPN BR BP Cube Guzman
ESPN BR BP Cube Hanrahan
ESPN BR BP Cube Hernandez
ESPN BR BP Cube Hundley
ESPN BR BP Cube Ishii
ESPN BR BP Cube Izturis
ESPN BR BP Cube Jackson
ESPN BR BP Cube Karros
ESPN BR BP Cube Ketchner
ESPN BR BP Cube Ledee
ESPN BR BP Cube Lima
ESPN BR BP Cube Lo Duca
ESPN BR BP Cube Lofton
ESPN BR BP Cube T. Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube Mayne
ESPN BR BP Cube G. Mota
ESPN BR BP Cube Mueller
ESPN BR BP Cube Myrow
ESPN BR BP Cube Nakamura
ESPN BR BP Cube Navarro
ESPN BR BP Cube Nomo
ESPN BR BP Cube Osoria
ESPN BR BP Cube A. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube O. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube Phillips
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Roberts
ESPN BR BP Cube Robles
ESPN BR BP Cube Romano
ESPN BR BP Cube C. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube D. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube Sanchez
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmoll
ESPN BR BP Cube Sele
ESPN BR BP Cube Seo
ESPN BR BP Cube Shuey
ESPN BR BP Cube Stanley
ESPN BR BP Cube S. Stewart
ESPN BR BP Cube Thompson
ESPN BR BP Cube Thurston
ESPN BR BP Cube Valentin
ESPN BR BP Cube Venafro
ESPN BR BP Cube Ventura
ESPN BR BP Cube Weaver
ESPN BR BP Cube Werth
ESPN BR BP Cube Wilson
ESPN BR BP Cube Wunsch
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
By Eric Neel of ESPN.com.
Previously on Dodger Thoughts: "Dodgertown, 1993"
But is there any sport other than baseball where fans would come out to watch the players practice in any large numbers? A few NFL camps I suppose. Would anyone want to watch an NBA training camp?
I'm usually all for keeping tradition in sports, but when a team's home base is 3,000 miles from its training facility it doesn't make much sense. I'm really excited to be able to go to Arizona every spring for a week to watch the youngsters just like I was able to do this year for a fraction of the cost. Purists may be scoffing now, but no one will give a crap in 10 years.
I know I'll get some flack for saying it, but I would add Fever Pitch to my favorite baseball movies list. Sure it's silly in parts and follows a somewhat typical romantic comedy path, but it really does an excellent job of capturing how it feels to be a super-fan. I'm not to the level that Fallon is in that movie, but to be honest I really would like to be. If games were a little cheaper and transportation more convenient, I would love to go to every home game every year until I died. And the way he decorates his apartment? Awesome.
Oh yeah, the tie-in is a quote from the movie that cracks me up every time I hear it:
"Fallon: uh, me and my friends,we go down to Florida.
Barrymore: You and your buddies go down
to Florida for spring break? At your age?
F: No, no, no, not spring break. Spring training with the Red Sox.
B: Oh, you get to train with the Red Sox?Are you allowed to do that?
F: Well, we don't actually - We watch the games.
B: Aren't those just practice games?
F: Yeah, yeah, but there's more to it than that. We scout the players. We-We say which players they should keep...which they should get rid of.
B: And the Red Sox ask your opinion?
F: Well, not yet. But if they ever do, uh-"
http://dcbb.blogspot.com/2007/03/al-preview.html
Worth "clicking".
Also, the stories about the sliding pits, the strings, the old barracks and streets named after former players and one broadcaster.
The Dodgers won't even have their own camp anymore. The team is going to be sharing a facility with the White Sox, for crying out loud. It's nice that it'll be more accessible for Dodger fans in SoCal, but it's still a depressing development to me.
I completely understand the reasons for moving spring training to Arizona. But I would also argue that it does diminish the Dodger brand on a national scale.
I doubt very much if the new facility will be designed for fan access, and I think that's a shame.
To me this is a decision that is 10 years overdue.
The community of Vero Beach has thrived with the Dodgers' presence, and no other team can fill the void that they'll leave. It may make sense for you West Coast guys, but for eastern Dodgers fans, we're losing the last crumb of local contact that we had.
Hope the place in AZ is great, but you'll have to go a long way to achieve the same history (shared though it may be with the White Sox) to ever equal what Vero has become with almost 60 years of spring training. Not trying to be overly sentimental, I know how you stat guys hate that.
Does the Dodger brand stand for old non-air conditioned army huts that players like Duke Snider had to live in during Spring at Vero Beach? Does it stand for playing games in small old Ebbits Field in Brooklyn where kids like Vin Scully could watch a game through a key hole or get inside for free on bring an instrument night?
Or does the Dodger brand stand for leading MLB to new eras by having the guts to move west, giving playing opportunity to Blacks, helping make baseball international by being one of the first to reach out to the world for players?
Yes the Dodgers are morphing into an organization that is more revenue driven, but as of yet is not doing that via the Texas Instrument route by merely seeking gross sales increases by buying companies that produce cheap watches and calculators, etc. So far, they are more like Hewlett Packard and staying true to the concept of making a contribution through great engineering and innovation. (the latter remains to be seen and it discounts HP's purchase of Compact Computer)
In other words, sterile.
Dodger Baseball--where risk has its own rewards?
As Allen Iverson would say, "We're talkin about Spring Training man, Spring Training."
http://tinyurl.com/2s2ueo
It is bottled magic that is incovenient and unprofitable and is hard to replicate. Some teams have it and others don't. The Green Bay Packers camp seems to have it as well, while the Bears don't. It's hard to say why.
I've never been to Vero, but it has that aura for me and while having the shorter trip to AZ will be nice I doubt that it will ever have that aura.
It might be the rational decision to move, but it's risks losing something that can't be rationally measured. That being said I'm not stomping my feet angry about it or anything. It's just one of those small things that will disappear and that I will miss even if I never had the chance to enjoy it in person.
I'm sure there is some magic, but the local fan base actually gets to see the training camp stuff in nearly the same area.
Others have said it better, so I won't belabor it. I think the move is a shame. A mitigated shame, since more of us will now go to ST more often, but still a shame.
Nomar has quite the banter with fans when he is hitting during batting practice. It used to be that fans would be walking down the pathways along side Duke Snider, Sandy Koufax, etc. and the old players could be seen all over the place. It is harder to spot those older players now. Vero might be too far away for drop ins.
The Dodgers actually have a better chance of recreating what made Vero Beach such a great experience prior to 1995 in Glendale.
The layout is supposed to be similar to Vero Beach and now perhaps the retired players will come back in droves again.
Brooklyn to LA, Vero to Glendale. Staying in Vero is like playing Gonzo ahead of Kemp.
The directors got a good deal amount of access to the Red Sox/Fenway/Players, but to me they didnt take advantage of it like they should have.
I think the Red Sox winning it all really threw a wrench into the whole storyline, and forced some changes that the Farrelly's discuss in the DVD.
Dodger Stadium is the Makka, you need to make your pilgrimage.
24
I need to get the directors cut to hear those comments. Very curious what the plan was before they won the world series.
No response from anyone. I think it was at the end of a thread or just no interest.
29
Thanks, but I have no interest in reading a book or watching a movie about soccer.
Just think of how all of us get excited about DTs sense of community. Well it is stronger when you all meet in the real world, and the people that you call names here are looking you eyeball to eyeball.
I personally have enjoyed learning about the Brooklyn team from the reminiscing of older folks that really had a passion for them, and what I get is that to many of them, "Dem Bums" were sort of an everyman's team and made the effort to stay connected to the community around them. That was maintained in Vero.
I think that's also why the move hurt them so much.
On that note, sometimes people here seem very much like The Spirt of Brooklyn.
I'll take one! I'll brave people complaining about the new parking system tonight!
Great, I'll send it over.
BHSPORTSGUY or LAT are you going to the game tonight?
I will be so bold as to say that I know a fair amount of the history of the Dodgers franchise, but the problem I have with the people who wish to cling on to the Brooklyn days is that they are often dismissive of the Los Angeles fans.
The Dodgers were not going to be operated in Brooklyn as some sort of museum piece or cultural institution that somehow made them a superior franchise to other teams.
Ultimately, the Dodgers, whether run by Charles Ebbets, the McGreeveys, Branch Rickey, the O'Malleys, News Corp, or the McCourts, are an entertainment business. We the fans may choose to endow the team with some special glitz and glamor, but ultimately, the Dodgers are just a business.
Fans want something more, but a business can't be operated on sentiment and nostalgia. You can sell the nostalgia if you think it works though.
AZ 88-74
SD 86-76
LA 80-82
CO 79-83
SF 79-83
1 win out of last place?
33 Happy to chime in on the Parking and other park details too. Oh, I guess how the team looks but it may be a little early for that.
38 I love BP but they do not have the best record (as if anyone does) of predicting division winners.
Fever Pitch (the book, anyway) is about soccer the same way Citizen Kane is about sleds.
There are some things that are just universal about being the fan of a sports team, and that book captures the essence of it better than anything else I've read.
I've lost your email, send me a message with your location. We can come upto you but you can't come down to us. I'll be there about 1 1/2 hours early to check out the new digs.
Bob check your email.
40
Good point, I'll give it a shot.
This seems beside the point. The point is how well PECOTA does relative to other prediction schemes. I don't know the answer to that question, but I would guess that PECOTA does relatively well.
Yes, it's made some mistakes, but so has any other projection system or any expert. Dismissing someone because they were wrong about one thing is pointless. We've all made mistakes.
Nate Silver actually makes some personal adjustments to PECOTA and came up with this:
Diamondbacks 88-74
San Diego Padres 86-76
Los Angeles Dodgers 82-80
San Francisco Giants 81-81
Colorado Rockies 76-86
Academy Gate or bust!
and he is BITTER
I will be heading for the Academy gate too. I wonder how congested it will be turning right before the Golden Gate (?). I may even try parking outside and walking in, but I will see how my passengers feel about that.
And their offense seems to be counting on several rookies or young players to show up and contribute immediately.
They just seem to have a lot more "ifs" than we do, and nowhere near as good a pitching staff.
http://tinyurl.com/yrc86e
Offensively, this team is much better than the Dodgers and the Padres. Both those teams don't have any shot at a stand out hitter as they are currently constructed. Between Drew, Quentin, Young and Tracy, the Diamondbacks could have the four best hitters among the contending teams. If they falter, they have a lot of depth to back them up. The Diamondbacks simply recognize that their young players are their best players, and they are using them to their full advantage.
And is Owings their 5th starter? BP's depth chart has Edgar Gonzalez listed, but that could be out of date.
Yea, its Gonzalez, pretty tough to think he is better than anyone based on limited data... well see. If (BIG IF) the Unit is healthy hes pretty solid, not a 5 ERA guy I dont think, but not one the divisions best either.
Gammons picked the Dodgers to win due to their pitching depth.
That comment is special...
But how do you decide which child to take?
Mark Prior is in the minors.
Discuss.
Cite comparisons when relevant.
It's usually the first-born male, which I believe in this case would be Etienne
That would be CCI (chore completion index). If you complete a lot of chores away from home, you get a higher score.
Children of UCLA alums don't do many chores on the road.
Well, at least Kemp went yard.
Tatis - that's painful. But I'm glad the guy's not on our team. I hope he doesn't go all Valentin on us and have a great year in revenge.
And when they do, it's usually the easiest chores.
I'm not all up and bothered by the move to AZ, just sort of sad to see it. I agree on the whole business thing (and maybe the tradition thing was partly "branding" in the 70s), it also seems like a good move for the players, coaches, heck the whole organization. I was just trying to say that there might be some merit to the idea that Vero beach represented something beyond the ordinary for a lot of fans. Sort of like DT is more than a "blog".
When I was in Vegas I visited an old friend who has a backyard that could use your family. He has a full length outdoor basketball court with that outdoor sports floor. This can be turned into a tennis court, volleyball, numerous games built into the floor for the kids. Not to mention the putting green and batting cage with a pitchback screen. He is a single male with few friends and this awesome yard is wasted on him except for when his friends visit him from LA.
The thing is, if everyone thinks Arizona will win, it won't consititute much of a surprise if they do.
I really think all 5 teams are in it, because the better teams are also more likely to succumb to injury woes. Well, OK, the Giants are bad AND fragile, but if they get luckier than anyone else...
The Dodgers had just better hope that their injuries are not at 2b or SS. Or catcher.
81 We have a neighbor with a sports court like that. Kids are over there all the time during the spring and summer. No putting green or batting cage -- yet. I hope to put a putting green in my backyard one of these summers.
Not that there's anything wrong with that
So the Dodgers play again tonight vs. Angels? Weird. As Grady Little said, it's because of the almighty dollar they scheduled these games today and not due to any logic or logistical sense.