Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
I've been thinking for a while now that Luis Gonzalez could be this year's version of Fred McGriff 2003, an aging left-handed hitter with home-run notoriety that quite simply might not survive the season in the starting lineup.
So while it's unfair to Gonzalez to jump to any conclusions two games into the season, I'm writing about this today because 1) I was jumping to these conclusions before the season started, and 2) Gonzalez's poor hitting and fielding at the outset is on everyone's minds.
McGriff actually came to the Dodgers with better numbers than Gonzalez did - an EQA of .293 in his 2002 season, compared to .271 EQA by Gonzalez in 2006. For a short time in 2003, McGriff also defied complete hopelessness against left-handed pitching, which he had gravitated toward at the tail end of his career. And - something we should all keep in mind - after a .687 OPS in April, he heated up to .909 in May.
But then McGriff broke down. Due to injuries and ineffectiveness, he reached base 35 times over the season's final four months.
After Tuesday's game, when Gonzalez told Steve Henson of the Times "I'm not 21 either, but I go out there and play hard," it reminded me of this passage from Dodger Thoughts four years ago.
This weekend, Jim Tracy held a 20-plus minute meeting with the players to get them to refocus their hitting approach. Despite his four hits in Sunday's game, McGriff didn't profess to get much out of the discussion:"It was the same thing that every manager says - we've got to play better," McGriff said. "We all know what we've got to do, you know what I'm saying? I know what I have to do. I have to play well and I have to hit. Other guys have to pitch well."
Fred also compared himself to Tiger Woods. He wasn't saying he was as good at ... well, anything, as Tiger Woods. But McGriff was saying that people need to be patient, because everyone has to make adjustments. Just like Tiger Woods.
Just like Zippy Chippy, too. No one really debates whether people have to make adjustments. The question is, can you make the adjustments?
Can Gonzalez?
Looking like the worst left fielder in baseball history isn't indicative of Gonzalez's true performance. He can still get hot - for a week, for a month, what have you. He'll have his "I told you so" moments. But there is reason for pessimism over the course of the season. Gonzalez is barely a league-average hitter. By his own admission, he is limited defensively.
We don't know for sure whether Andre Ethier, Matt Kemp or James Loney - whichever one isn't playing in left field or languishing in Las Vegas - would do better this season. We don't. And we do know that they could do worse. If you peg Gonzalez at, say, a .260 EQA for 2007, there's no guarantee the others will match that.
But I know which horse I wouldn't be backing for the stretch run.
This discussion is moot, of course. It's not as if Gonzalez will be benched in the first week of the season. Short of an actual injury - and don't start rooting for people to get hurt - these things follow a pattern. A slumping veteran with clubhouse cachet gets rested a day to get his head together. Then, if he continues to slump, another day. Then maybe a couple of days. Then, even if the young replacement hits, the vet gets put back in the lineup to see if he can rejuvenate himself. Lather, rinse, repeat. Only after a solid investment of time would a manager initiate the difficult conversation.
For Kemp and Ethier to play together in the Dodger outfield ahead of Gonzalez, they're going to have to do more than have potential. They have to do more than be as good as Gonzalez. They have to be measurably better. Otherwise, it's just not worth the angst for manager Grady Little to flip things around.
Out of 344 position players in baseball, the Dodger starting outfield Tuesday ranks in the bottom 10 in VORP, according to Baseball Prospectus. There's job security for the taking, if anyone wants it.
Yeah, we simply have to pray Gonzalez goes down early and hard. I hate to say it, but so long as any uncaught ball hit to two-thirds of our outfield is de facto extra bases, it doesn't really matter if our rotation is decent because it won't look it, regardless. This would be a problem even if he could hit, but I don't think he can.
Would that someone would pin the above post on the backs of Ned Colletti's eyeballs.
Sorry, that's terrible.
You know what's weird - I'd repressed all memory of Fred McGriff's Dodger days. Not that there were much memories, anyway. I always liked him but, yeah, they were about, oh, 7 years too late.
Then again, it may be too early to be dropping Gonzo off our collective fantasy teams (ha-ha) since it's only been two games.
(Gesundheit.)
And yet I'm not hearing much about Moustakas as a draft prospect for this year, which could mean he has let scouts know he cannot be swayed from going to USC. Brewers.net doesn't even have him on the top 100.
speedy8, the mod over at the dodgers scout board said he has been attending chatsworth games over the last 2 years and he has talk to multiple dodger scouts who have been there watching Moustakas. Apparently they like him alot; although he didnt specify whether it was for him arm or his bat. Personally, i want him for his bat. Although he is currently a SS on their team, hes probably going to move to a corner spot.
Are they also watching Matt Dominguez?
Miggy just gave a Hondo inpersonation with his blast into the 2nd deck. .
You don't remember the Rudy Law era?
I remain hopeful, but certainly concerned.
26 - It's all about whether you include a hyphen or not after the first word.
I agree with that chart. I like Kemp's power, but I don't want him up there always swinging for the fence. A ball caught at the wall is still an out.
Hey, this is wishful thinking, but I don't suppose there's a tivo-like function on MLBTV is there? Sure would be nice to watch games rerun later.
It was also known as ball two.
Plaschke was on leave during the offseason to write a book and didn't write about any of the Dodgers offseason acquisitions.
Actually, I think Cody Ross was rated as one of the best defensive outfielders in our system a year or so ago.
Random Observation: The Florida Marlins have a lot of useful players.
Without a power hitter, Luis Gonzalez is just another old guy with warning-track power.
With a power hitter, he can be a clubhouse leader and late-inning hero.
It's the only mention of Gonzalez before today's
<<dreaming
What is it about having a "power hitter" that would render Juis no longer an "old guy with warning-track power"...?
That may sound stupid, but he was injured last April also, and they just kept running him out there to put up a very weak first half. If Conte has them finally realizing that it's best to let injuries heal sometimes, that could make a huge difference.
I may be reading too much into one roster move, but it's better than dwelling on our lousy start. :)
49 - I was thinking about writing about that too. Very good point.
49 Definitely true. I was thinking what a difference a year makes, with Conte now you know they're not gonna rush people back stupidly. Now if Conte could only find something wrong with Gonzalez worthy of a stint on the DL then he'd really be my new hero.
Billy Beane has traded Bonderman & Harang the number one pitchers for each team. An A's team of Harden/Haren/Bonderman/Harang would be very formidible so when cranking on Ned for his deals, remember even the best has some skeletons to hide.
We all need to take a deep breath and see what happens before we write off a season that's only two games old. If the Dodgers are still struggling like this by mid-May, then we can panic.
What?
Sorry, I had cracked open some skulls and was feasting on the goo inside.
I do not think that comparing Luis Gonzalez to Fred McGriff is the same thing. Gonzalez came to the Dodgers with diminished skills already. McGriff had put up very good numbers b4 he signed with the Dodgers. If I remember correctly, he got injured and tried to play with the injury causing his demise.
If McGriff had the same injury at age 30, he would have come back and been a star again. With Gonzalez, you have what you saw last year plus a year older.
The Mulder heist is one of the best of the 21st century but he has zero to show for Hudson.
Don't forget Teahen was part of the 3 year deal for Beltran when Beltran went to Houston. KC has two regulars out of that deal. What did Oakland get for Teahen who turned into a run producer last year? I don't remember off the top of my head.
The A's got Octavio Dotel.
So, yeah, not a great trade.
In Beane's defense, Teahen was blocked by Eric Chavez at third base.
Yeah, but Drew had better range than Gonzalez, and Lofton gives you better OBP than Pierre. Just sayin'.
As for the Hudson deal, Thomas was decent for one year for them and they got Brad Halsey for Juan Cruz. Meyer is just a disappointment, but he isn't that old (25) and more than anything he seems like a victim of the PCL. His HR/9 numbers are off the chart there.
1. I don't think the fact that Gonzalez started yesterday is necessarily an indication that he will start all the time against lefties. Because it's the second game of the season, Little probably wanted to play his veterans no matter what kind of pitcher it was, just to make it clear who the regulars are going to be. I expect we will soon se an Ethier-Pierre-Kemp OF against LHP.
2. It might be for the best that Gonzalez is showing his incompetence now, rather than treading water right now only to tank later. The fact that it's happening now will give the Dodgers the opportunity to address and correct the problem earlier in the season. Also, I think it's important to let Gonzalez prove he can't play, rather than have Little decide beforehand that he can't play. Veterans like Gonzalez are almost always the last ones to realize that their skills are gone. The way the first two games have gone, even Gonzalez himself has to be coming to the realization that he's not what he used to be, and that will make him less likely to cause a problem when the inevitable benching happens.
Or weeks.
Sure but at the time he was a number one in the eyes of the baseball world. Just saying if he's going to get all the plaudits for Mulder he also has to take some heat for the zero return on his other ace.
Got it. It's too bad McGriff's career ended the way it did.
Now if Ned and Grady will take advantage of their high premium insurance policies when they are needed instead of before they are needed we can get the season started.
And though fate conspired against it in a number of ways - they were never teammates here, for one thing - a McGriff-Saenz platoon around that time would have been awesome.
Ned is submitting a claim before the crash. Not even prophets are aloud to do that.
Pierre, CF
Martin, C
Nomar, 1B
Kent, 2B
Gonzalez, LF
Betemit, 3B
Ethier, LF
Martinez, SS
Schmidt, P
The question is, do they have unrealistic expectations for his hitting?
That lineup makes sense, Ethier should play left with Gonzalez so that at least we have one capable fielder out there and then we just make Pierre cover center and right, he is fast after all.
Already got one. And thunder sticks too...
I was at Game 6 of the 2002 World Series (compliments of a company I used to do business with, otherwise I never would have been there) and when the Angels came back to beat the Giants that place was nuts. Actually when Scott Speizio hit that homer to start the rally in the seventh inning, that's when the place started getting crazy.
Anyway it absolutely ate at me for two plus years that the single greatest ball game that I had ever been a part of was a freaking' Angels game. And I didn't even want to be there! Flash froward a few years........
Then came that fateful second to the last day of the season when Finley hit the walk off grand slam, the Dodgers won the division for the first time in what seemed like an eternity, and EVERYONE went nuts.That instantly became the greatest game that I had attended. So my hatred for the Angels subsided somewhat, but not that much. I still can't stand em'!
http://tinyurl.com/2guxs8
(Was already mentioned that Kershaw was pitching today, but I just felt like plugging the Loons again.)
That lineup says that Ethier and Gonzalez are both playing left field.
Sure it's Little's job to put the best team on the field. But what do you think would have happened if he would have said Gonzalez just became the most expensive 4th outfielder in the game? Said hey it's nice he got all that money but I'm going with this Kemp kid? Little has a boss, and the boss wouldn't be happy if the guy he gave $7 million to and promised was going to be a starter was riding the pine.
I would've given it up in a heartbeat. In fact I tried. Unfortunately everyone I associate with knows the difference between right (Dodgers) and wrong (Angels)and I couldn't GIVE the tickets away. Nobody cared about the Angels until that World Series and stupid monkey. Going to an Angel game was bad before all that, now it's just downright unbearable (with the exception of Vlad).
They're a lousy team to listen to though.
https://screenjam.baseballtoaster.com/archives/617226.html
In order to accommodate as many fans as possible, the Dodgers are offering an Early Bird Parking/Carpool Special to fans that carpool (at least 4 fans per automobile) and park in Lot 15.
These fans will receive a free ticket for each passenger to a future game if they arrive at Dodger Stadium at 9:30 a.m. and park in Lot 15, which is the lot located above the Think Blue sign.
This offer is limited to the first 600 automobiles. Lot 15 is a special access parking lot that is only utilized during sold out games. Fans will need to enter via the Academy Gate (off of Academy road across from the Police Academy) between 9:30 am and 10:15 am.
In addition to the free ticket for a future game, fans that carpool and park in Lot 15 will have early access to Opening Day batting practice via the Left Field Pavilion.
Otherwise, here are the opening times for Monday.
11:10 a.m. - Parking lots open to fans
11:10 a.m. - Left Field Field Level and Left Field Pavilion open to fans
11:40 a.m. - All remaining gates open to fans
Now 3 1/2 hours is a long time to get there plus the normal Monday morning start time but if anyone is up for this, email me @ BHSportsguy@aol.com
I am willing to buy breakfast for those who want to watch Matt Kemp hit some BP.
Michael D mentions that managers feel pressure to treat with kid gloves a player whom his boss just signed for a lot of money.
How real is this?
The Dodgers seem be doing some innovative things lately. I guess it does take a Rocket Scientist to do marketing right.
To me, it's right (Dodgers) and less right, but still right (Angels). I think it's totally acceptable baseball practice to have an NL team and an AL team. Especially if you live in OC. ;)
Make no mistake about it, though: The hat on my head right now is blue, not red. And that will never change.
Being out here and not reading the NY papers on a regular basis, I am surprised that I did not hear more about the Mets and their signing of Alou even though Lastings Milledge would appear ready. Now he is still on the MLB roster but the Mets, like the Dodgers, are only carrying 11 pitchers right now, it they decide to add another pitcher, I would think Milledge would go down, especially if he is not getting many at bats.
Now back to the Dodgers, Grady has already said that he believes this team should be ready to go at the start and even though Furcal being out hurts them, if this team is better with Kemp and Loney playing, I think they will make the move.
I agree with whomever said above that it would be better probably for the team as a whole if Gonzalez recognizes his own shortcomings (I think he does) but we shall how the next month plays out.
Amen brother.
Life is frageelay. You can be minding your own business, doing nothing wrong, and at any moment someone can swerve into your lane and boom, you're dead.
"a free ticket to a future game for each passenger. But there are several catches: first, you have to arrive at the stadium between 9:30 and 10:15 a.m. (game time is 1:10 p.m.), you have to park in Lot 15 (a farflung lot that is used only for sellouts), and the offer is limited to the first 600 cars."
Lots of people cared about the Angels before that, you just weren't one of them. I grew up watching Grich, DeCinces, Baylor, Witt, Abbott, and a lot of other great players for the Angels. At the same time I reveled in Reggie Smith, Guerrero, Garvey, Ceys, and Lopes. That's the wonderful thing about growing up in Southern California -- you get to root for two great baseball teams. I was thrilled to see the clinching game of the 1988 World Series in Oakland, and I would have died for 2002 Series tickets.
110 meet 127
Uma, Oprah
Oprah, Uma
That is, Other than the ~75% off that you could get if you picked up three people you don't know.
128
No one / lots of people, cared about the Angels before the World Series.
A simple attendence comparison would clear this up.
I still wish there was some better kind of public transportation to go to the stadium, but that's a long ways off I guess.
Hey, does anyone know if the Dodgers are coming to San Francisco directly, so here on Thursday, or are they going home first? I just wonder if I'll, like, see Russell Martin hanging out in North Beach or something.
I'm probably the only one who doesn't mind Steve Lyons, and he doesn't go around calling the other team the enemy, so if he's the fulltime color guy when Vin is gone, that's fine by me (thought not most of you).
Maybe people cared about the Angels, just not enough to, you know, go to the games.
Question for Angels fans: Over the years, have you generally been enthused about, put off by, or indifferent toward their often desperate attempts to siphon off Dodger fans? (i.e., signing guys like Fernando, hiring an entire coaching staff composed of Dodger World Series winners, having a Bavasi as the G.M., etc.)
I don't thank anyone is saying the Angels have had the same following as the Dodgers over the last 45 years but to say no one cared about the Angels until they won a World Series is just nonsense and simplistic.
Were not talking the Lakers and Clippers here.
Lyons on the radio is worse than Lyons on TV, but better than Monday on the radio.
222 Mason Street
San Francisco, CA 94102
I would guess that you will find them wandering around the downtown/Union Square area, though I wouldn't put it past them to be dining in North Beach either.
BTW, the hotel information is readily available in their media guide, which you can also view on the Dodgers website if you know where to look.
http://tinyurl.com/3294v7
I think you'd have to ask those Angel fans who don't like the Dodgers. I was thrilled when Scoscia was given the managerial job. In the past I never gave it a 2nd thought when they hired ex-dodgers. The Angels would have to be idiots to not try to increase their presence in LA since the population numbers are greater in LA. Or was before they leveled the hills and created Irvine.
I have two questions:
1. Do you have a jetpack?
2. Can I borrow your jetpack?
Loved those teams between 1979-1986, the loss in 1986 was one of the hardest I ever felt because it was the last chance for a lot of those guys, DeCinces, Grich, Downing, Jackon, etc. The last playoff baseball game attended before last year Dodgers vs. Mets game was Game 3 in 1986 AL Championship and my cousin and I walked out in the 9th inning only to hear them come back and tie it, we ran back in and saw them win the game and afterwards could barely order some food at Del Taco because we had yelled so much.
And I enjoyed seeing them beat Barry and Giants in 2002.
So while the Dodgers are my team and sometimes Fizz and Hudman get on my nerves (and can we retire "Just another Halo victory."), I will never really root against them unless I have a fantasy pitcher going up against the Halos.
it just makes sense to me to dislike your regional rival and sympathize with the regional rival of your division rival. liking the dodgers and the A's makes sense. it's like, symmetry.
San Francisco is interesting in that way that you can have these nice neighborhoods right next to ones where people tell you stay away from but because the city is so compacy and not car friendly, you end up having to travel through them anyway.
Scully is overrated and if you're in the wrong mood, monotonous.
Last night during a fairly critical at bat, he kept right on talking about some player's mom's kitchen. He either couldn't clue in to what was happening, or thinks baseball should never get in the way of a charming story.
To me, it's absolutely their job to try to attract as many fans as they can, so I can't blame them for making a run at the other competing team down the road. I like how Arte has been aggressive about taking on the Dodgers, and I think all fans benefit. (Parking at Angel Stadium, for instance, is still $8, and I'm sure Arte is enjoying the contrast).
Now today, since they are really no different than the Phillies or the Braves because we play those guys 6 times a year too, I would probably make a choice between the two if I was just starting to follow the game.
Steiner's fine by me, but I haven't found any mood to really enjoy some of the others.
Lets just say that probably not an opinion that most will agree with here but hey that's why they sell Dodger Dogs and Super Dogs at the Stadium.
We've been seriously spoiled by Vin.
I believe Vin is signed through 2008 so we still have time.
1. The tides (The Moon just has a better PR agent)
2. Decreasing infant mortality rates world wide.
3. All that is Good and Right with the world.
A side note, I find it odd that anyone with a jetpack should ever be in a bad mood.
Let me imagine how this works. A story about a Mom's kitchen or "the pitcher is in his windup, he throws the ball, the hitter takes it for strike 1, bring the count to 2 and 1, the catcher now throws the ball back to the pitcher, who catches it, walks behind the mound, now steps on the rubber, looks in for the signal, goes into his windup.....
And you know what? My kids love him, maybe because he acts like a kid himself. So if he's attracting new fans to the game and getting them to love the sport as much as he obviously does, more power to him.
I am just saying that while Ned did move more young players since he has been here, both have been pretty conserative about keeping their very top guys.
And Stoneman hasn't exactly wowed anyone with his signings of Finley and Weaver over the past few seasons.
Scioscia was one of my favorites in the 80's and the Angels were smart enough to give Scioscia a chance. One of the best moves they ever made. I wish the "Sheriff" wasn't our GM, as Scioscia would be the Dodger manager.
honestly, i'm a bit surprised at the number of "dual-hat" people here. most of the baseball fans i know in socal are either/or. they're an angel person or a dodger person. not both.
1. Padres Radio(9 - 9.5)
2. USC Football (9, 10 if Arbogast puts on a Hawaiian shirt)
3. Angels TV (7.5)
4. Clippers TV (7)
5. UCLA (7)
6. USC Basketball (7)
7. Angels Radio (6.5)
8. Clippers Radio (6)
9. Lakers TV (6)
10. Lakers Radio (6)
11. Kings (6)
12. Dodgers non-Scully (5.5)
13. Dodgers Scully (5)
No Ducks because I have no experience with their broadcasts, really the Padres and USC Football are far above anyone else in the area.
The Giants-Angels world series was torture for me. Torture!
I think there's a bigger gap than 0.5 between Steiner and Scully
Scully is overrated and if you're in the wrong mood, monotonous.
April Fools?
I hear ya. I don't know anybody IRL who openly roots for both teams. My friends who are Angels fans (and I'm ashamed to admit I have a few) hate the Dodgers, and my fellow Dodger fan friends are hardcore partisans who detest that banana team from OC.
Personally, I think there's been entirely too much Angel Thoughts on DT today.
And yea, it wouldn't hurt if he took a breath now and then.
Anyway...
Again this is only a rating of the degree of homerism of these broadcasts.
Having listened to Langer both during spring training and his Las Vegas broadcasts, he isn't that bad, I like him.
He is horrible, and I can't listen to him. He deserves Joe Morgan AND the Giants.
Really, who can be upset about the Angels wanting to get fans from LA County? The drive is not that bad, and they are like any other business seeking to expand their reach. The radio stations all cover the same territory.
Pitching matchups for the home opening series against the Rockies:
Jason Schmidt vs. Jeff Francis
Brett Tomko vs. Rodrigo Lopez
Brad Penny vs. Josh Fogg
Francis will be the third LH since the first game against the Giants (they will see Lowry, Russ Ortiz and Zito over the weekend).
I wonder if we will see some sort of change between who sits and plays in the outfield by then. My hunch is that Olmedo will get a game at first base against one of Giant pitchers.
Meanwhile, back to the Dodgers (remember them?) an hour before game time, and for all my "It's only two games of 162" and "don't worry" and all that, I'm both nervous and likely to feel increasingly, irrationally desperate if they don't win this one.
Roster stats: The 25-man roster has seven second-year players (Ethier, Saito, Martin, Kemp, Billingsley, Broxton, and Valdez). The average age is 30.88 years. Three players are 22 -- Kemp, Billingsley and Broxton. Two are 39 -- Jeff Kent and Luis Gonzalez.
{Insert your own witty comment here...}
"and [the Angels] are like any other business seeking to expand their reach"
Sort of like Shania with her fake country? Or more like Taco Bell with it's "Mexican" food? Or do you mean Al Gore pretending he's a Courtney Love fan?
Game thread is open.
Btw, from an earlier thread, in defense of the Brewers' fans for not packing 'em in last night (or presumably tonight) like they did the first game, the sour turn in the weather could also have something to do with it. Sounds kind of bad out there today.
sure it makes sense for the angels to try and expand their market share, but that doesn't mean i have to like it :)
The Milwaukee series was just too close to my sense of a bad-Ned season for comfort, and in less than a year-and-a-half, his bad-move list is getting mighty impressive. (No, I am not a Depo fan, though I thought he had the best chance to change the way the Dodgers have done business since the late eighties.
Thought Drew's arrival was his over-reaction to fans' overreaction to Adrian leaving; thought Luis' arrival Ned's over-reaction to Drew's leaving.
I was a kid when Vin was getting coffee for Connie Desmond and Red Barber at Ebbets. Like Harry Carey, he's had more than a fair run. Give some guy young as he was once his turn, like we learned in kindergarten. The play is the thing, not Vin's often unusual
and self-centered version of it....(few years ago, Hollandsworth, 'bout four feet short of the wall in right-center, makes a nice running catch (but one a big-leaguer should almost always make). The rest of the game, every time he comes up and more, we hear about this extraordinary defensive gem [again, nice catch, no gem] and the "stolen"
home run. Watched the replay a few times to be sure of my version - and simply a matter where the ball would have struck the wall -
no way it was ever close to going over, unless one of those rare deals where it hits the top of the glove and gets a beneficial carom. Vin had access to the same painfully obvious evidence - never changed his story.
He's been gettin' away with that kind of amateur-hour stuff for years.)
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.