Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Despite losing their past two games, the Dodgers left me feeling good with the way they put the tying runs on base in the bottom of the ninth each time. (In fact, that has happened three games in a row with the Dodgers succeeding in achieving the tie Saturday.)
The Dodgers have had only occasional stinkers this season, playing 20 games and losing three of them by more than three runs.
The team has achieved this largely through its avowed strength, pitching. Even though there have been some offensive highlights so far this year (the OPS+ of Russell Martin, Nomar Garciaparra, Jeff Kent, Luis Gonzalez, Wilson Valdez, Brady Clark, Matt Kemp, Olmedo Saenz, Randy Wolf and Jason Schmidt are over 100), it seems even more clear than when the season started three weeks ago that the Dodgers have to eke out every advantage they can on the mound.
Against this backdrop, the Aprils of Chad Billingsley (6.52 ERA) and Rudy Seanez (5.00 ERA) look troubling. And with Chin-Hui Tsao settling in and Yhency Brazoban and Hong-Chih Kuo moving forward in their recovery from injuries, not to mention Jonathan Meloan pitching on fire for Jacksonville, Billingsley's and Seanez's places on the roster look less secure.
Seanez is the easiest to discuss. The 38-year-old has made it clear that he will retire rather than accept another minor-league assignment. For the depth-conscious Dodgers, that's a big incentive to keep him around. But is there a position where the Dodgers are deeper than right-handed relief? If Seanez had retired last fall, would anyone notice his absence? Seanez has struck out nine batters in nine innings, but he has also allowed 16 baserunners. There are so many guys in the Dodger farm system that could probably outpitch Seanez that I won't even get around to mentioning all of them in this column.
As for Brazoban, once he completes his rehab, his spot on the Dodger roster shouldn't be automatic. Even though he was a key member of the bullpen for parts of 2004 and 2005, enough time has passed that he should show minor-league dominance before returning to the team. (He is not out of minor-league options.) But if the threshold is Seanez, that probably won't be so hard for Brazoban to meet.
However, perhaps the threshold is Meloan. Lefty specialist Joe Beimel having faced 24 right-handed batters already this season, allowing a .748 OPS (compared to .448 against left-handed batters), the Dodgers can clearly do better. Seanez isn't the guy. If Brazoban isn't, perhaps Meloan is. The idea of Meloan, Jonathan Broxton and Takshi Saito smothering the opposition in the late innings (with Beimel grabbing the occasional lefty) is, frankly, thrilling.
But let's return to Billingsley and first of all, address the chatter that is already building that Billingsley can't pitch effectively in relief. I firmly believe it's too soon to know this. It's one thing to suggest that Seanez might be done, given his age, his recent career patterns and the fact he has pitched in relief all his life. Billingsley has pitched 13 1/3 relief innings in his regular season career. That's not enough to go on.
We need to look at a bigger picture. Forget about what Billingsley can or can't do, since we don't have those answers yet. We just need to ask what's best for Billingsley and what's best for the Dodgers.
If Billingsley is in the bullpen to conserve his arm at an age many people believe young pitchers are vulnerable to injuries, then let him be in the bullpen. Commit to that being his role for as long as you always meant to. And if Meloan or later Brazoban prove worth a look, let Billingsley go down to Las Vegas or Jacksonville. Make it clear that it's not that the team is giving up on him, but that it's a healthy part of his baseball education. But let's not saddle the kid with a negative self-fulfilling prophecy.
If Billingsley is only in the bullpen because Mark Hendrickson and Brett Tomko have been outpitching him, then there is an argument to put him back in the starting rotation in the minors and let him do the thing he was meant to do all along. Let him stretch out his arm again.
My feeling all season has been that the Dodgers have never stopped envisioning Billingsley as a starting pitcher, but feel he can contribute as a reliever while letting the veterans Tomko (and now Hendrickson, with Schmidt injured) do their thing. And I think in the back of the Dodgers' minds, there is at least a vague understanding that by keeping him in the bullpen, Billingsley will be fresher in the second half of the season when, after possible fades by certain starting pitchers, the Dodgers may well need him most. This is plan A, and it's not a bad plan.
With that in mind, it may not make much difference whether Billingsley the Reliever pitches in the majors or the minors. The majors provide the best test; but the minors let him hone technique without as much pressure. There are arguments for both sides.
Ultimately, the Dodger bullpen should be the best it can be. For the sake of the 2007 season, it needs to be. There is no reason to make a snap judgment on Billingsley based on three weeks. But there is also no reason that the Dodgers should settle for mediocrity in the bullpen if there is evidence they can do better. Billingsley (and Kuo, and Greg Miller, and so on) will reach their potential, whatever it is, if the Dodgers remain positive about them as individuals.
The team needs to have its five best starting pitchers in its rotation. It needs to have its six best relief pitchers in its bullpen (or seven, though six should be enough). All there is to do is to uphold those mandates without making false assumptions.
* * *
Former Redbird Nation blogger and current Jenna Fischer brother-in-law Brian Gunn, along with his brother Mark, are writing the screenplay for Girlfriend Experience, Variety reported today. Rainn Wilson of The Office will star.
(Jim) Tracy's view is reflected in how he forms his lineup, bucking the modern thinking that the highest on-base percentage players should be stacked at the top. Instead, he favors the more traditional approach of getting the runner on, moving him along and getting a "big" hit.
From the latest FJM entry, which is a good read.
It seems that the Dodgers aren't eager to move up Meloan just yet (even to Triple-A) and are waiting for another spot in the bullpen to open up in the summer (by injuries, trades, etc). I could see him making the jump straight from Double-A when the Dodgers finally have a spot open.
name team AB BA OB Slg OPS BB CT
**LaRoche,Adam PIT 61 98 236 262 498 15% 61%
Shealy,Ryan KC 49 102 137 184 321 4% 61%
Inge,Brandon DET 63 111 200 270 470 10% 62%
Kouzmanoff,Kevin SD 49 122 189 204 393 8% 69%
Betemit,Wilson LA 41 122 308 146 454 21% 73%
**Barfield,Josh CLE 57 123 153 211 363 3% 81%
Ross,Dave CIN 43 140 196 140 335 7% 60%
**Gordon,Alex KC 63 143 194 286 480 6% 65%
**Sheffield,Gary DET 67 149 305 224 529 18% 76%
**Sexson,Richie SEA 50 160 263 440 703 12% 70%
**Young,Michael TEX 79 165 185 291 476 2% 81%
Zobrist,Ben TAM 54 167 167 241 407 0% 78%
**Furcal,Rafael LA 47 170 235 213 448 8% 81%
Monroe,Craig DET 64 172 232 312 544 7% 62%
Zaun,Gregg TOR 59 186 284 339 623 12% 83%
Casey,Sean DET 69 188 263 232 495 9% 88%
Pedroia,Dustin BOS 47 191 309 234 543 15% 89%
Taveras,Willy COL 52 192 250 212 462 7% 73%
Kendall,Jason OAK 72 194 237 208 445 5% 92%
**Encarnacion,Edwin CIN 62 194 265 210 474 9% 79%
Punto,Nick MIN 62 194 275 290 566 10% 84%
Peralta,Jhonny CLE 56 196 297 357 654 12% 66%
**Edmonds,Jim STL 56 196 286 304 589 11% 73%
Cabrera,Melky NYY 71 197 219 197 416 3% 89%
Tulowitzki,Troy COL 61 197 269 262 531 9% 72%
Pena,Tony KC 71 197 230 324 554 4% 79%
**Ramirez,Manny BOS 71 197 296 296 592 12% 85%
**Delgado,Carlos NYM 79 203 267 291 559 8% 78%
**Cameron,Mike SD 79 203 276 253 529 9% 71%
Vizquel,Omar SF 69 203 247 203 449 5% 88%
Amezaga,Alfredo FLA 49 204 250 306 556 6% 86%
Blake,Casey CLE 63 206 275 333 609 9% 76%
**Berkman,Lance HOU 63 206 375 317 692 21% 70%
Sosa,Sammy TEX 63 206 265 429 693 7% 76%
**Howard,Ryan PHI 58 207 410 362 772 26% 64%
Paulino,Ronny PIT 58 207 233 293 526 3% 79%
Betancourt,Yuniesky SEA 48 208 224 375 599 2% 94%
Borchard,Joe FLA 67 209 321 343 664 14% 69%
**Dye,Jermaine CHW 67 209 293 373 666 11% 72%
**Young,Chris ARI 57 211 274 368 643 8% 89%
Hillenbrand,Shea LAA 52 212 212 212 423 0% 92%
Kennedy,Adam STL 52 212 268 288 556 7% 92%
Carroll,Jamey COL 52 212 317 250 567 13% 83%
Olivo,Miguel FLA 70 214 257 329 585 5% 76%
Crisp,Coco BOS 56 214 254 304 558 5% 80%
I think the interesting guy that Jon didn't mention was Tsao. I haven't seen him pitch much, but from what I hear he has been fairly impressive with pretty good stuff. He may be a key guy before it all settle down.
I'd like to see Meloan in the majors before the year is up if he continues to dominate the minors. Does anyone know the Dodgers thinking in keeping him in AA instead of Vegas since he has already dominated at Jacksonville?
Ronny is quoted in the latest FJM entry saying that, in "clutch" situations, he'd rather his team face David Eckstein than Albert Pujols. And Ronny's not the only one who thinks that way...
see Wainwright, Adam and McCarthy, Brandon
Long term I see Billingsley as a starter and I don't really like this bullpen experiment either. It is good he is getting to face major league hitters and save his arm a bit, but at some point he just has to start somewhere. Control is still an issue, and it doesn't look like he is progressing much from last year, where I thought he was pretty decent as a starter if not incredibly lucky (as he allowed a bunch of baserunners that never seemed to score).
I still want either Tomko or Hendrickson traded soon and Kuo or Bills to fill that spot, although I agree it is looking less likely than during the Spring.
Jon, sorry I missed that, but where do you think he might fit in and what role do you see for him for the rest of the year? I think that seems to be a hard question to answer as Tsao is a bit of an enigma right now.
Even a limbo game?
I agree that Yhancy should stay in AAA untilhe proves he's back. As I recall he wasn't pitching very good before he got hurt but I don't know if it was because he was hurt or just lousy pitching.
12 - I assume Tsao will be around if he can stay healthy and effective - both of which are unknowns.
I meant to say that Ronny Paulino (and other players) would rather face PUJOLS than ECKSTEIN in clutch situations.
Big difference.
I'm not sure moving him around in the lineup is going to suddenly bust him out of his slump. He's clearly adjusting(-ed) to his role, as evidenced by team-leading 11 walks. So despite his paltry batting average, he has nearly matched Juan Pierre in OBP (.291 to .300). Maybe moving Juan down to the 8th slot would get him to change his approach by being more selective and drawing some walks, but I'm fairly certain that Juan isn't moving anywhere (except possibly back to the leadoff spot).
The Catholic Church has removed limbo from official church doctrine.
Think of all those poor unbaptized babies forced to spend eternity trying to dance under a pole.
Even though his ERA is as high as it is right now I think he's only had one bad outing which was sunday, the other time he got hit hard was on easter when he had 10-1 lead.
I figured that because otherwise what would have been the point of your post. I've heard many pitchers say they'd rather face a power guy then a contact guy but if you put a gun to their head I'd bet they'd change that comment if it really was a choice between Eckstein and Pujols.
In 30 ABs as LHB: .167/.364/.200/.564, with 6 Ks
In 11 ABs as RHB: .000/.000/.000/.000, with 5 Ks
While I still have faith in Betemit I'm beginning to see signs that the Dodgers don't. I'm beginning to worry that Ned will do something rash and not wise.
It is amazing the number of young 3b who are not only scuffling but hitting at a putrid level - Encarnacion, Betemit, Marte, and Gordon
It's true, though I still maintain his walks are helped by batting 8th, acknowledging that he has walked frequently in other lineup spots as well.
If I were anyone of importance with the Dodgers, I would have to consider asking Betemit to end his switch-hitting experiment. He has been very bad as a RHB, and I'd have to think he could put up at least the same numbers against lefties as a LHB.
I can understand why the Catholic Church would want to do away with the limbo. It always seemed like a pagan ritual to me.
The enchanting calypso beat in limbo dancing was not enough to keep its status.
I havent done a study, but I'd believe the NFL has the most competitive balance of any league. Its due to A.) the hard salary cap, and B.) relative short term nature of the careers. There is high turnover in the NFL, with more players in and out--more chances for good teams to become bad and vice versa.
NBA's probably in the middle tier of good teams becoming bad. 1 great player can turn around a team.
MLB unfortunately, I believe anyway, is the worst league for competitive balance. No salary cap, long term careers, long term player development. Bad teams wont become good overnite, like they sometimes do in the NBA or NFL.
http://proxy.espn.go.com/chat/chatESPN?event_id=15511
I'd be inclined to agree if the right side wasn't his natural hitting side. Not many hitters who took up switch hitting go to the secondary side and give up the original side.
At least that is what Betemit said but I have no data to back that up.
Given that he throws right-handed, it's probably true that he naturally bats right-handed as well. But there's not denying that he has fared much better as a LHB.
2004-2006
505 ABs as LBH: .285/.349/.463/.812
161 ABs as RBH: .230/.276/.348/.624
right now, our bullpen is solid. i think tsao is developing into [yet] another reliable late-inning arm, making seanez essentially unnecessary. the latter could easily be dumped upon schmidt's return.
when/if brazoban returns, a move will have to be made [trade tomko?], but, as grady said, something will likely happen by then.
who knows about miller? somehow it seems his fate is strangely tied to hendrickson's.
the real wild card here is kuo, who doesn't appear to be bullpen material at all. if/when he's healthy, i think he has to be used in the L.A. rotation.
maybe sickels can do a crystal ball on what this team will look like at the end of the year!
Little Eck did hit 2 grand slams in one year though.
Im i the only one that feels like the new reporter covering the Dodgers during their home games(Adrian Garcia) does not know too much about baseball? I think my mom asks better questions....His questions are either something any of us would already know the answer to or just really, really, way too typical. I think i miss carolyn hughes and or anyone else.(patrick oneil, lindsey soto, etc.)
If you're gonna violate Rule 12, you need to be clever about it.
I echo 40 and also remember the man led the team in home runs after he was acquired so that has to carry some weight. In the best case scenario the power comes back and the plate discipline he's showing during this slump stays and you end up with an above average player. If the power comes back and the plate discipline goes back to historical levels he can still be productive but shouldn't be blocking La Roche. If the power never returns then the job should be handed to La Roche and hope he doesn't hit like his brother in 2007.
Billingsley is for now a long reliever and the starters seem to be going 6 and 7 innings. The 8th and 9th innings belong to Broxton and Saito and the 7th seems to belong to Biemel unless like Jon has said he becomes only circumstance pitcher and Tsao or Meloan pitches the 7th. Billingsley then has to wait for a starter to get kicked out by the third or fourth inning to get into a game.
SportsNation Jim Callis: (2:51 PM ET ) Put him at third base this year.
In the Baseball America Prospect Watch, this note on Clayton Kershaw. 19K/3BB in two 60+ degree starts; 9K/9BB in two sub-45 degree starts.
Note that the second stat line includes a 2 inning, 2K/6BB walk outing so he hasn't pitched bad since his first start but since his work in the Gulf Coast League where he was nearly unhittable and his last couple of outings, he would appear to be the real deal.
yea i figured it was something of that nature. For selfish reasons, get him to inland empire by summer so i can go watch him!
I read that on the back of his baseball card when I was 9 and used it to win many a baseball bat when I got older.
I was gonna say that but wasn't sure of it.
I think it's a "sign".
I asked a Dodger question, too. We'll see if he answers it. Or anything.
How's his hair? Dreamy?
I heard he's killed thirty grizzly bears with his bare hands. True?
I'm in a fantasy league, and I drafted him in the fourth round; aren't I the smartest person alive?
etc.
How many games will he win this year: 20, 25, or 30+?
Will his presence help ARod be clutcher in the playoffs?
Somebody should ask that of Troy Tulowitzki and Clint Barmes.
So they were the ones on the outside of the candy store looking in?
The Dodgers by the way are second in baseball in ERA (3.03), fourth in starter ERA (3.38) and third in relief ERA (2.42).
The Legend of Eckstein has taken root even among the players and coaches who ought to know better.
If Darren Collison ever wins an Oscar, I'm going to be a very rich dude.
Wow Cannon, if you are going to work that hard you should next time space it so it is more readable. :)
vr, Xei
As long as you don't mean this Kevin Malone.
http://tinyurl.com/24tkto
His snake-oil salesman smile led to bloated contracts and years of mediocrity.
It's too bad that Depo's performance was so heavily confounded with Tracy's.
"and the Tomko spring training"
What was is about Tomko's spring training that suggested he should be the 5th starter over Billingsley? It seems apparent that Billingsley was not being given an opportunity to win the 5th starter job otherwise based on last years numbers and this years spring training he would have won it.
That's an extremely serious charge you are leveling against Tracy.
It's not one to be bandied about. You are essentially accusing Jim Tracy of throwing games.
People disagree about management styles all the time. And personnel decisions. But to think that Tracy actively worked to make the Dodgers play worse is something I think you should seriously reconsider.
Tomko ST 2007: 19IP 6G 4.74ERA 10K 7BB
If I remember, though, Billingsley had one bad ST start, and was taken out of the running for the fifth spot. As long as what they're doing is keeping his work load down, in hopes of getting more out of him at the end of the season, I don't have a problem with it. But if Hendrickson gets eight starts this year, I'm going to be the guy in the parking lot letting the air out of everybody's tires shouting, "This is egregious! This is egregious!"
It's funny because it's always some combo of my dogs name or a particular dodger or some star wars character and the year. So I try all the combos, get frustrated and just open a new account.
I think it's reasonable to conclude that Tracy intentionally did things he knew Depo would have disagreed with. Whether Tracy also thought those things put the team in a position to fail is unclear. For one thing, it's entirely possible that Tracy thought putting Phillips at 1B was a good idea.
User name: jasonungar07
Password: jarjar07
But if you think Tracy played players he knew were inferior, then you are accusing of him of throwing games. Just because you think the motive was spite and not personal gain, doesn't excuse the behavior.
It is quite easy to believe, and far simpler, that Tracy and DePodesta had a difference of opinion. There are differences of opinion. They exist.
I feel for Billingsley right now. IMO he came up last year and struggled with his control but to his credit he made adjustments and improved. I thought that spoke volumes for a kid making starts for the first time in a tight division race (he pitched well in the playoffs as well).
He comes into spring training trying to win a spot in the rotation and pitched really well. In fact I thought he pitched better than any of the starters. He is then sent to the bullpen before anyone else (including Kuo).
If I were Bills I would wonder what I need to do to be a starter with the Dodgers. Tomko and Hendrickson are not better pitchers than Bills and they do not have his upside.
He is saying all the right things about being in the bullpen but I wonder how this will affect him mentally.
Tracy didn't play Phillips over Choi while thinking Choi was better.
Or The Google Boy.
1. Prior to 2004 trade deadline: Tracy did things Depo must have disagreed with
2. 2004 trade deadline: Depo trades Lo Duca, inspiring subsequent resentment/spite/whatever on Tracy's part toward Depo
3. After 2004 trade deadline: Tracy did things Depo must have disagreed with
I suppose the question is whether #3 was influenced by #2. I'm not sure we'll ever know for sure.
vr, Xei
I admit up front this is just a grouchy pet peeve of mine, but when people write this, I just don't understand it. It just seems so insulting to me, this idea that "I have something to say that I feel is so worthwhile, I can't be bothered to read what you have to say."
Not at all singling you out, TUiB. I just really don't get it in general. I understand it takes time to read other people's comments (although not that much time, I feel), but it seems to me that if it comes down to a choice, reading the comments should take precedence over writing one.
Maybe I'm wrong. Maybe in a way the comments are like mini-blogs, and there's no inherent requirement to be aware of how one's comments fit into the overall dialogue.
I went with Bobba Fett 07 (just kidding)
My password is mine, all mine. I actually went with my dogs name this time again to make sure I'd remember. For you Lord of the Rings fans my dog is named after someone on the good side....
Oh and to add to my comment above, I do think trace felt he was doing the right thing and felt he had the best interest of the team on the field in mind.
He's got the right agent to speak to him about those issues in Stewart (forgetting his first name at the moment) if I remember correctly Stewart went to the pen while he was a Dodger.
vr, Xei
---
(Kidding about the first clause, serious about the second)
There were some other players who also gave Tracy that warm, cozy feeling -- I've just blocked out who they were, so traumatic was that 2005 season. That bug-eyed incompetent Jason Phillips is the one who stands out.
I have no idea if his management of Pittsburgh follows the same pattern. They've got some great pitching over there, confirming my belief that Jim Colborn is an exceptional pitching coach. The Pirates won't contend, but they could go through some hot streaks with that pitching.
Edwards and Myrow come to mind
Jon you live in a blogger's paradise. I look at a lot of blogs, and with the exception of those Krazy Kos Kids, you get more comments than anybody.
Don't forget this:
RISP:
Phillips .299/.347/.523/.870
Choi .203/.323/.329/.652
I seem to recall Tracy thinking Phillips was "clutch", and keeping in mind his emphasis on the "big hit" as discussed in the FJM entry, these numbers probably meant something to Tracy (at least anecdotally from his own observations on the field)
But what would have Jim Tracy gained by deciding to work against the interests of his GM?
Did he get a better job?
Did he become more respected in baseball circles?
Unless you think Tracy's main goal in life was to get a sympathetic column from Bill Plaschke, I don't see why you think Tracy would be motivated by spite.
vr, Xei
Couldn't disagree more. If your blog was like everyone else on the Toaster then you'd have a valid point since rarely does the combined toaster blogs other then DT get more comments then what D4P will put forth in an hour on DT. On gameday when 500 posts are the norm and most of the comments are pointless one liners about how Nomar should have taken the 1st pitch I can't believe you expect everyone to read 500 posts before making one post. I can understand it for youself since this is your baby but I'm not coming home from a game and spending an hour reading 500 comments before posting. If that precludes me from posting in the future so be it.
And mold he has done
Why should X read Y's comment if Y didn't read X's?
128 - is fair, I suppose. If you're saying something that's really about your own personal experience, and you really don't have time to read the comments and we would be poorer without yours, then it makes sense.
But when you're responding to the main post, when it's safe to assume that the bulk of the conversation is about the main post, how can you not read the other comments?
But yeah lets get back to 2007. No use crying over it now, plus you know as Tom Hanks likes to say......there is no crying in baseball.
Billingsley would be best served by being sent to AAA to pitch as a starter so he is stretched out and ready to replace Bomko &/or Hendrickson when they implode. He needs innings to sharpen his control and he is not getting them in the bullpen.
Kuo is going to need time (July/August?) to get back to where he was at the end of 2006.
Brazoban should pitch at AAA most of, if not the entire, year to hone his control, which was never very good even before his injury.
Meloan would have to be added to the 40 man prematurely for him to be called up to the MLB team. He should not be needed unless the MLB bullpen self immolates.
The next roster addition should result in R. Seanez being DFAed since he is the weak link in the bullpen.
An interesting replacement on the 40 man for Seanez would be M. White.
It's rarely safe to assume that. Sometimes if I come into a conversation late, I almost feel like an idiot for responding to Jon's original topic when the conversation has veered so far off from it. (Which doesn't stop me.)
Go Dodgers!
vr, Xei
Right now, with my hard drive at home crashed and with that room being converted into a BABY room (Nov) being computerless at home is rough. Nothing is funnier to me than coming in during the morning, grabbing some coffee and rehashing the game from last night thru your guys eyes. The highs, the lows and the second guessing is great.
I meant no disrespect. I can tell you that at work I cannot read your post and all the comments before adding my opinion. I do not have the time (again no disrespect).
I completely understand what you are saying. There is a flow to the comments here and when I write something I hope someone will read it so I should not disregard what anyone else has said.
To me a game day thread is banter between fans. I wouldn't rewind a tape of banter and I don't see the need to read the banter unless the game was particularly interesting. To me there is a big difference between your columns and game day threads.
Who doesn't have time for "slut-talk"
I guess I can't deny the reality everyone is throwing at me, but it's really depressing. It makes me feel that 90 percent of the people are talking into thin air. I thought this was a conversation.
Yes - and this takes no time to skim through.
Here's the thing: If you happen to be at your desktop when a good thread gets going on DT, life is good. Same with the in-game chatter: It's like sitting on a sofa with 30 of your best fan/friends. But if you come in late, you have to decide if you have anything to add, which might necessitate reading all the comments up to that point. So you have to decide if it's worth the investment of time. Or, sometimes you cheat and just jump in and risk making an ass of yourself.
So don't be depressed Jon. I do think alot of us think of it as a conversation. Don't let the small sample size effect you.
Tracy didn't play Phillips over Choi while thinking Choi was better
Tells you what he thought of Choi. He surely didn't think that Phillips was that good either.
I blame Al Gore
If I am curous about what might have been said about the Jon's opening thread I go to the first 50 posts and read them.
If I want to make comment I read/skim the previous 50 posts and if a comment there reflects back to something I want to read I go back another 50 posts.
This post as anybody can see has nothing to do with Billingsley or who might be the best 11 pitchers the Dodgers should have on the 25 man roster, oops, it does now.
"...when people write this, I just don't understand it. It just seems so insulting to me...""
It's not really insulting to you, but to the other posters. I think most people making comments like this have read your actual post, just not every comment below it.
"Why should X read Y's comment if Y didn't read X's?"
Nobody is requiring X to read Y's comment, either, though. I think we can all agree that it would be ideal if everybody read every comment posted by everybody else, but the time contraints posed by the real world just don't allow most people to operate that way.
"Why does anyone comment in a 500-comment thread, then, if there is no expectation of being read?"
I'm gonna whistle you for Rule 6 on that one, unless you really believe that somebody posting in a 500-post thread honestly would expect not a single person to read their post. They just can't reasonably expect every single person to read their post. Big difference.
"'In a 500 comment thread a lot of it will be context specific filler, stuff like "Yah" or "Martin!" after a home run.'
Yes - and this takes no time to skim through."
Not true. Believe me, I've done it a lot. It takes time.
"I guess I can't deny the reality everyone is throwing at me, but it's really depressing. It makes me feel that 90 percent of the people are talking into thin air."
Again with the Rule 6.
Look, I try to read every single comment before I post. Sometimes I just can't. Sometimes in those situations, I nonetheless feel that I have something worthwile to add. So I do. Usually it hasn't been said yet. Sometimes it has. Those posts are perfectly easy to skip over. (And unlike an entire 500-post thread, a single repetitious post can be skimmed and dismissed quite quickly.)
I like the blog -- a lot. I love reading the comments. Similarly, I love watching Dodger games. However, I'd be lying to you if I said I watched every single inning of every single game. Most of them, sure. But sometimes things get in the way.
Now, in the several minutes I have spent typing this post, someone may have already posted something similar. I guess I should apologize in advance.
That's exactly what I meant. I meant "It just seems to me so insulting to the other posters." Although, believe me, it's very clear some people don't read my initial posts before they comment.
But I surrender. Eric took me to the woodshed in a way I can't really argue with. My hyperbole aside, I get that many people disagree with my central point - assuming they even understood my central point.
165 - That's the software's thing, not my thing.
Lowe
Wolfe
Billingsley
Penny
Schmidt
Set it up just like that and they win 93 games and beat the Yankees in the World series in 5. I have proven this in MLB2k7 which I feel is a direct port of reality.
We also have wasted roser spots that need addressing,
Ramon Martinez
Marlon Anderson
Brady Clark
Wilson Valdez
All pretty much the same player that we only need 1 of.
I am also an advocate of trading Olmado right now while his stock is high.
My biggest pet peeve is you east coasters. I've had some early mornings, recently, when I checked in and there weren't more than two new comments I hadn't seen. What's that about? We put up with you people moaning about late start times, shouldn't you be generating some coffee-time content for us?
I guess my point is ... I would suggest skimming/searching first, but we're also a tolerant bunch and can forgive someone if they've jumped in and repeated what someone else said.
Oh, and I hearby nominate LAT to place an Official Comment Summary at the end of every thread, summing up the state of the conversation.
By the time us east coasters stay up until the end of the games plus post-game chats, we aren't too keen on getting up early enough to generate your coffee-time content.
vr, Xei
That might have been the wrong example to use, given some of the interesting spellings of his name that show up...
Martinez/Valdez/Betemit is NOT going to cut it for another 140 or so games.
Since I don't have Tivo I don't have this option, but even if I did, the tradeoff favors missing the first few innings and being able to chat online with other DT fans watching the game live (or following it on Gameday). It makes even a dull game way more fun, and it makes a great game a more intense experience.
I can't do it every game, or every inning, but it's sheer pleasure when I get to do it.
What is it about their collective .167/.299/.217/.515 you don't like...?
It never ends. That is what is great about this site. Unfortunatly, most people can not attend the conversation continously. Often times people might get excited to make a point and not have time to sift through the 100 or 200 or 600 comments.
Well, first Mr. Brock and Mr. DC debated on whether or not Iron Man wore some sort under garment between his skin and his iron suit. Then Mr. DC went to the restroom, at which point Mr. Brock scooped ice out of Mr. DC's drink with his bare hands using it to wash up. Then Mr. Brock remarked to me, "This never happened."
I can't believe this, but I want to defend the man. I don't think he was that bad as a manager when compared with his peers, especially at the start of his tenure with the Dodgers. I think for a few years he got about as much out of the Dodgers as could be expected. He deserves some credit for bringing LoDuca into the starting catcher position, and Gagne into the closer position, though not perhaps as much credit as he thinks he deserves.
Over time, after his initial successes, Tracy seemed to lose all humility. I think he came to a point where he thought he could discern who was a ballplayer and who wasn't. Choi wasn't, in his view.
I think arrogance, not spite for DePodesta, led him to play Phillips at first, for what, all of 30 games? Okay, 30 games too many. I'll admit I still rip on him for this. But maybe it shouldn't be blown out of proportion. The Dodgers weren't going anywhere anyway at the end of 2005, and while Choi deserved better ( and we fans deserved better ), as it turned out he wasn't all that good either, unless Tracy's handling of him just completely messed up his head.
Billingsley ---
Didn't Bills say that he was okay with being in the bullpen for now? That he was taking a long view? I'll admit I really want to see him start with the big club, but it's not a cinch that he'd be better than Tomko and Hendrikson right now. As much as I hate to admit that.
Reading Comments ---
You're a writer, Jon, so I'm not surprised you feel so strongly that comments should be read by those who would also write them. I agree with this. People write to be read, so it's only fair to reciprocate when you write something yourself, which by implication mean you expect other people to read it. And, of course, reading all the previous comments can avoid repeated information and is essential to the creation of a real conversation.
Over time, after his initial successes, Tracy seemed to lose all humility. I think he came to a point where he thought he could discern who was a ballplayer and who wasn't. Choi wasn't, in his view."
I absolutely agree with this. I thought Tracy had several good years as Dodgers manager. He seemed to implode along with the team in 2005, necessitating his removal, but I think that was the only year you could really call him an awful manager.
"Didn't Bills say that he was okay with being in the bullpen for now? That he was taking a long view?"
Yeah. However, we should perhaps not take that at face value. He couldn't really have said anything other than that and remained in the good graces of the team.
Being what you call a "pagan" (Latin for "bumpkin", but I call myself a "hard polytheist"), I will say that the concept of "limbo" is by it's nature not "pagan". That is, Catholics came up with limbo in the early middle ages to explain the practice of praying for the dead-- that is, why pray for the dead, if they're already damned, or already destined to be resurrected? This was a practice that already existed, and Christians wanted to come up with a way to explain it.
Most of the non-monotheistic traditions are orthopractic and do not require reasoning for what they do. The Romans thought of themselves as the most religious people on earth (and I don't disagree), specifically because they didn't know why they did the rituals they did half the time, and they didn't understand the Latin they spoke during rituals.
Andrew, I am on "Wake up with DT" five days a week and the problem is particularly relevant to the topic at hand. Because noo one else is posting there is nothing to say, no one wants to post into a vacuum and when the threads lie idle for 15-20 minutes at a time I end up wandering away (though I keep it open on a tab for the occasional refresh). When things are hopping around here it is just about perfect (usually) but the fact that posters need a conversation in order to say things underscores that people are reading the content.
From what I understand the two major Christian holidays have some link to a Pagan Roman counterpart, is the (approximate) date in the year the only hold over or is some of the pageantry (Christmas trees for example) also vaguely pagan?
http://www.loc.gov/blog/
So. Awesome.
I just bought a Wii and I love it... and I was going to buy 2K8 (the first in the series for the Wii) next year... but I just don't know if I can stand listening to that much Joe Morgan. I might injure something.
I'm in favor of keeping Billingsley in the 'pen and giving him more chances to face major league hitters. He's got to adjust to the game at this level. I don't think AAA would help him nearly as much, but I also think handing him a starting job prematurely could erode his confidence. He's had a few good outings despite the bad numbers so far this year. Let him keep trying to give us two good innings against dangerous lineups, and he'll be a better pitcher for it.
Also, CTRL-F is your friend.
Wow. Glad I was reading the comments. I have a new friend. :)
Where'd you find a Wii? I've been trying to get one for my little brother for a while now and keep coming up short.
All these other excellent starters who started out in the bullpen were pitching, not sitting.
vr, Xei
Or, I could just say, I agree with 206.
My advice on the Wii -- speaking as a guy who is not a heavy videogamer, it's awesome. Which means that I have to be choosy about which games I get for the Wii -- only purchasing games that are built well for the Wii controller.
So far:
Thumbs up: Wii Sports, Zelda, The Godfather
Thumbs down: Marvel Ultimate Alliance
Seriously - I think Betemit still deserves a little more time. We know he can hit. I'm in the "let's try Nomar at 3rd and bring up Loney" camp that many of us have pitched tents in, but before that happens, I think it should be Betemit for awhile longer and then a change is in order.
My concern about LaRoche is still his defense; I think after some adjustment period he will hit.
I also look forward to having Kemp back, though I wish that would mean a Kemp-Gonzo-Ethier rotation rather than sitting Ethier.
Over time, after his initial successes, Tracy seemed to lose all humility. I think he came to a point where he thought he could discern who was a ballplayer and who wasn't.
And Eric absolutely agrees...
But, it is the manager's job to discern who are the better players. Or, am I missing your point? Little right now has to decide if he is going play Ethier or Marlin Anderson; Betemit or Wilson Valdez and so it goes.
Relief pitchers (no starts made) IP:
Broxton: 10.2
Beimel: 10.1
Billingsley: 9.2
Seanez: 9.0
Saito: 8.2
I would say that's a pretty good distribution of innings pitched for the bullpen. If our starters going too deep into games is a problem (not sure if that's the case or not), then it's a problem I don't mind having as it's "usually" a sign of success. I believe that Billingsley will get his 8-12 starts at the big league level this year. If he doesn't, it most likely means he pitched awful in the pen, got hurt or the other starters did well. vr, Xei
Yes.
These guys started their careers in the pen:
Fernando
Hershiser
Don Drysdale
Sandy Koufax
Roy Oswalt
Johan Santana
Curt Schilling
Mark Buehrle
Roy Halladay
Carlos Zambrano
Steve Carlton
Gaylord Perry
Phil Niekro
Fergie Jenkins
Bob Gibson
David Cone
Pedro Martinez
I could go on, but I'm sure you get the pitcher -- er, picture.
I think the people who think the people who want to keep Billingsley in the bullpen are missing the point, are themselves missing the point. I very much doubt that Colletti and Ng on March 30th sat down and said, "Hmmm, let's put Billingsley in the bullpen and let him rot. We need to make sure he never pitches."
The use of the long man in the bullpen is dictated by game situations, and the Dodgers have had a dearth of blowout games or other situations where a long reliever is necessary. You're jumping to conclusions after three weeks. It's a long season and if Billingsley does stay in the pen, I'd expect he would pitch fairly often as the year goes along. You also need to remember that he's trying to pitch back-to-back days for the first time in his life, something any pitcher struggles getting used to. There have been a couple of situations recently where he probably would have pitched, except that he had already pitched two of the previous three games.
But then, it always gets this way while you guys are busy driving home.
And this does not necessarily lead to the conclusion that Tracy was tanking or trying to get back at the front office.
Lots of people are stubborn. Sometimes that leads to wars. Sometimes that leads to 75-87 seasons.
I'm posting too much. I'll leave you all alone now.
Hey, wait a second...
In this era saving a players service time for when he can fully contribute to a team is the most wise use of resources.
Saying that in a vaccum is problematic. For example, Phillips was on the team because Penny was on the team.
Exaggerate much?
Johan Santana is still an active pitcher, just so you know. So is Roy Oswalt. So is Carlos Zambrano. So is Mark Buehrle. So is Pedro Martinez. So is Roy Halladay. So is Curt Schilling. So are a bunch of other guys I could name, if I had the time or inclination to refute that comment further.
238 True. However, Aybar was a September callup who was called up despite a kind of lousy year at Vegas. The whole time Tracy had the opportunity to play him regularly, he did.
Your probably right but I'd rather see him working 6/7 innings every 5 days and work on his control then what he's getting here.
Okay off to the game, hope the Loge Loonies don't throw me over the railing when I start chanting for Boom Boom.
First, love reading all the comments, that's what makes DT fun for me and its make me feel part of a community instead of a voice in the crowd.
Second, I think the other reason Chad is not starting in AAA, they do have Houlton, Stults, Miller, Mays, etc. and probably Kuo when he comes back in the next week or so.
And on the service time issue, I think (and hope) that what the Dodgers will end up doing with their young players is signing them through their arbitration years.
The first sign will be what they do with Russell Martin and Jonathan Broxton, signing Saito to a 2 year deal when they didn't have to may give an insight on their thinking.
3. Tracy/Phillips, for me, its time to move on.
Now its time for Dodger baseball and no Laker game to distract or frustrate me tonight.
We played with it all day Sunday, and it was a lot of fun, but my arms were totally sore for two days afterwards.
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