Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Slowly easing my way back onto the computer ... thanks to Bob Timmermann for so adeptly taking over this week's National League West piece at SI.com's Fungoes for me.
* * *
Most of you have probably read Paul Oberjuerge's intereview with Vin Scully in the San Bernadino Sun, but here are two exchanges I wanted to call out.
Q: Are you saying you will go on beyond 2008?
A: I wasn't really saying that because I said I wanted to talk to my wife. One of the difficulties of being in baseball is the degree of absence. And especially ... it was OK when the children kept your wife so busy, but now the children are all grown, and if she's not with me and it's a pain in the neck, she doesn't want to come in at 4 o'clock and get back home at 11 o'clock at night. The road trips are not that pleasant because of the late arrivals and all that kind of stuff. So it means a great deal of loneliness, and I understand that, and I feel badly about that, and so I think it will really be a question about how I feel both mentally, physically and about her and how she feels. Can we make some trips? Can we find a way to continue what we're doing? Or is it getting to be totally too much? So I don't know. We're going to have to spend the winter and certainly during the year next year, God willing, to make some kind of decision. ...
Q: Do fans talk to you about not retiring?
A: Oh, yeah. Oh, yeah. I cannot tell you how often I hear the "Don't ever retire" ... and I talk to people and I see friends who have retired, and to me ... I learned a great lesson during the strike of '94, the 45-day strike. I was paid, didn't miss a paycheck. I would get up and have nothing to do and I would go play golf at Bel-Air and after a while that got old. Then I'd go up and have lunch with the guys and I'd go up and sit around with the guys and that got old. And all of a sudden, I was spending an inordinate amount of time in the hardware store ... and all of a sudden, I thought "Oh, my gosh, imagine if this was it?" And then I see fellas, and I can understand at 5 o'clock they're having drinks at the club because they have nowhere to go tomorrow. They don't have to get up fresh. If they have a hangover, so what? And it scared me, watching them. And that's going to be part of my concern if indeed we get down to what we were talking about (more years), because I don't know if I can handle it. Because I've been doing this for far more than half of my life. It's become my life.
* * *
A lot happened while I was offline, and I'm not sure how much I want to go back in time to catch up. But here are two quick thoughts.
1) The idea behind my prefering Hong-Chih Kuo to Mark Hendrickson in the Dodger rotation has never been that on any given night, Kuo would always be better, but that over the course of the season, Kuo has greater potential to be better because he is young and figures to improve. Hendrickson, on the other hand, has known limitations.
Now, some have commented that Kuo's velocity is down, which could be signaling more arm trouble. That's another story. But assuming the two pitchers were healthy, I would still rather see Kuo out there - for the same reason it makes sense to have Chad Billingsley keep going out there as a starter instead of Brett Tomko. I'll take the risk that they will have rough outings - or that they might not even pan out - for the potential reward of long-term greatness.
It's counterintuitive, it seems to me, to have promising youngsters on a shorter leash than mediocre veterans. I'm not saying that always happens in Los Angeles, but when it does, it just makes me feel tired.
2) Maybe I am more of a Pollyanna than I want to believe, but I continue to find myself astounded by how much negativity can be directed toward the Dodgers during a week when they went 4-3 against their top two division rivals, remained within a game of first place and in wild card position, and within 1 1/2 games of the best record of the NL.
I know that the Dodgers are no lock to make the playoffs, and that if they do they will be underdogs to win the World Series. I know that there are questions about personnel choices on a daily basis. Nevertheless, I think many fans and media members betray a fundamental lack of understanding that the best baseball teams will average around 10 losses per month.
It's really not enough just to intellectualize it. You should feel it too. Losses happen. A lot. Be prepared, and I suspect you'll enjoy the games much more. (That's not the same as assuming they'll lose every game - that's overcompensating.)
You really get the sense sometimes that some people expect their baseball team to be perfect, and it just gets hard to take sometimes. Teams should try to do their best, and I'll continue to point out when I feel that isn't happening. But doing your best is a process toward a goal, not a guarantee of success.
I blame cheat codes and playing baseball video games on Rookie level. ;)
-- went .500 on their first leg of the road trip; killing the Blue Jays who then turned around and smoked the Rockies
-- Beat Arizona 3 out of 4, and it wasn't even close
-- Almost overcame a 5 run deficit in one game, played a well pitched (save Tomko) game with a couple of bad breaks, and then turned on the jets in the third game against the Pads.
-- Begin tonight only a game out of first, and effectively removing the D-backs from contention
I think the biggest worry at the toaster is the potential for a rent-a-player trade that depletes the prospects; but an hour ago I pointed out that Neddy actually made some pretty good mid-season moves last year.
Then he could make his books available as audio books and we could continue to hear his voice.
I also think it's somewhat Pollyannaish to look only at the 1-game disparity in the standings between the Dodgers and Padres, and to implicitly ignore the 12plus-game disparity in Pythagorean records between the two clubs.
It seems that the Padres have been "unlucky" thus far, and that the Dodgers have been "lucky." The Padres "should" have a 5-game lead in the standings.
RIP Edward Yang
Moreover, even if the Dodgers really were five games out on July 1, does that really change the overall thrust of what I was saying?
10 - Chances? I'm guessing zero.
I wasn't really addressing you so much as where I think some of the negativity comes from.
The only way to make the exercise useful is to become conscious of it, and start to reap the benefits of the "self-criticism."
For me, the Flock is doing better than expected; some youngsters are getting their tryout time, and nobody in the West looks like a runaway, so here (with Braves and Fish playing only a so-so brand of ball of late) is perfect chance for Madman Grady to sit Raffie thru the All-Star break, and hope that does it for his ailing ankle (high-risk given this roster, I know, but high-potential-reward rest of contending season) and for Ned to swallow one more huge humility pill and come to an understanding with Jeff about playing time, vesting, and next year's retirement.
As for Vin, he can come back if he promises to focus on the game, and leave time for the few unadoring among his listeners to breathe restorative silence (not unlike the wise "break" Jon has just authored).
Do I have to remind how many continents there are between the choice of good lines and the actual creation of them? Skills are almost always very narrowly drawn....
http://daily.greencine.com/archives/004025.html
Great post, Jon. I agree with it all, except as much as I am rooting for Kuo, I have zero confidence in him right now, and actually do have more faith in Hendrickson. I think we know Hendrickson isn't going to be great but he's shown he can be fairly reliable in short bursts, or up to 5 innings. Right now Kuo looks so "off" and hittable I think sending him back down to AAA to work on whatever it is - mechanics, velocity, etc - rather than have him blow up each time on the mound in games that count was a good idea. I guess I'm just not sold on him yet and thought he was awful the last two games. I don't consider Hendrickson a long term solution, either, and hope he's not more than a 2-3 game solution, but for now I'd actually worry less about a game he's pitching than one Kuo pitched. (Still, I'd rather give Houlton the chance over Hendy, but that may still happen.) But I do think a perspective check is in order. None of us are gonna be pollyannaish about them but there's plenty to be optimistic about.
That one was more-than-usually hard to understand. Or am I just obtuse?
That being said, I usually take the position of looking at each series to gauge the state of the Dodgers. If we win two and lose one game of a three game series, I am satisfied. Losing two of three and I am disappointed. Losing two or three series in a row, and then I become suicidal (not literally).
Overall, people complain way too much, too early in the season. Is that human nature? Baseball nature?
Just win the series and we will be OK.
If Nomar/Pierre were both on the DL, and Kemp was playing everyday--you'd hear alot less perceived negativity no matter the record.
Dodger fans can accept losing games if the right decisions are being made. Its when you lose, and you make poor decisoins about playing time, that sorta hurt.
Its much better knowing you're running your very best out there, and if its not good enough---accepting it. Its when you dont put your best foot forward, that you're left wondering what could have been.
Whether the Dodgers were 1 game out or 6 games out, the gist of the comments would be the same bc this Dodger team isnt going to change.
Let's not even talk about the saturday night game, with the inexplicable decisions to greenlight or call for Russell's attempted steal of third, and to put in Bombko.
But if we can't generalize from an isolated incident, what kind of people are we?
The kind of people who insist that hatred have a rational basis.
I still get goose bumps at some of his calls. Earlier in the year, during the same inning as the Betemit-Kemp-Kuo back-to-back-to-back HRs against the Mets, Pierre hit a triple. Scully's call was amazing, truly capturing the excitement of the moment, ending with "a belly-whopper into third." I had chills listening on my drive home.
On the negativity front, I was at the game on Saturday and endured my ninth consecutive in-person loss to the Padres. I think I fight with myself constantly, my rational side trying to calm down my irrational side. Each loss still stings however. At least I haven't devolved into heckling at the games.
Hecklers get a lot of facts wrong. A fan behind me Saturday night was yelling at Jose Cruz for a long time, and at one point wasn't even calling him by name, just repeatedly yelling at "number 8". I told him that Terrmel Sledge wore number 8 and Cruz (about 150 feet from us) wore number 9.
Yankee fans are going to suffer more and seeing a $200 million dollar payroll blow up in their face does reduce my pain at the Dodgers maybe not going the distance. Going to see Lowe v. Smoltz tonight, I should just take a one day at a time approach and just enjoy the "rollercoaster ride" like Steve Martin's character was told to do in Parenthood.
---
Choices, choices... watch the games on my TV on TBS with the Braves' announcers vs. watching on my laptop with Vin Scully. Hm.
Wait, what time is the American Copa game tonight?
1B: Terrible. Not only did he leave Nomar at 1B for too long, he also left him too high in the batting order for too long.
2B: Fine. Kent is clearly the starter, and while he hasn't had a great season, that's (presumably) not Grittle's fault.
SS: See 2B.
3B: Bad. He doesn't have a lot to work with, but Nomar would seem to be the worst option out of Betemit/Abreu/LaRoche.
C: Less than average. Has probably overused Martin, which is (presumably) better (at least in the short run) than underusing him, but still...
P: Mixed bag. Has probably used BJ and Tomko too much, but has been willing to use Kuo, Tsao, and Billingsley more than he might have.
LF: Fine. LuGo wasn't going anywhere, barring a disastrous performance.
CF: Terrible. Pierre shouldn't be in the lineup, and when he is, he shouldn't bat 1-2.
RF: Subpar. Kemp has been underused.
Can't you set your TiVo through Yahoo's TV listings?
Thats my frustration, Ned Coletti. I feel that we win in spite of him, not because of him. I don't really count not making bonehad moves (trading kids) as a positive. Alot of you guys here before the year started said, Juan Pierre? Why? Schmidt, why? His velocity is down. We still have Tomko and he will be our 5th starter? and Henderickson? gah...And jeez Loney his 380 last year, why sign Nomar? why extend an aging Kent.
So I think there is a lot of "I told you so"
Many of us think we could have gotten performances of two .400 hitters (at least for now) and a dominant pitching performance yesterday from our 22 year olds in May and saved 100 million in the process.
Then how have the Dodgers won any games? From my vantage point Saturday at Dodger Stadium, I saw no mirrors or smoke machines in place.
"Not available for DirecTV subscribers who have TiVo service as a part of their satellite subscription. You must have a standalone TiVo® Series2 DVR to use this service."
See: Penny, Brad. They're 14-3 when he starts.
Plus, even bad players win sometimes. Even Juan Pierre gets on base 30% of the time. Even the worst of teams don't go 0-162.
But by your description, the Dodgers are the equivalent of the 1972 Phillies with Brad Penny playing the role of Steve Carlton.
I wasn't evaluating the players: I was evaluating Grittle's use of them, relative to what he "might otherwise have done". Which of my analyses do you disagree with?
But seriously, some of that analysis seems a little unfair and some of it seems like it should be targeted more at Colletti than at Little. (See Jason's comment above.)
47 I only found it on the Spanish network, which is channel 20 here in the bay area but likely something different where you are.
I don't really know what "else might have been done." You can ask for massive personnel changes, but that's pretty hard for a manager to impose unilaterally.
The Furcal signing and the Maddux and Ethier trades have been his best moves as GM. I think it's fair to say that the Dodgers have been winning despite him, not because of him.
And yet, we have to remember that for all our hand-wringing about dealing the prospects, Colletti has not yet traded anyone of consequence. He has done a good job of holding onto the young talent--so far.
I would asumme underdog found Telefutura.
From what I can tell, the Dodgers have four outfielders for three positions, period. I think overuse of Pierre is true, but you basically said that both Pierre and Ethier have been overused.
Catcher: There is no evidence that Martin's playing time has hurt the team. The only evidence out there right now is that it has helped the team, because he's done so well. Everyone keeps counting on this Martin breakdown, but who knows if it will come. I think it's a little premature to give Little a negative grade there.
"else might have been done" includes (e.g.) subbing Loney for Nomar at 1B, not using Nomar at 3B, moving Nomar down in the lineup if he is used, giving Martin more rest, not using Tomko other than in garbage time, not using Pierre, moving Pierre down in the lineup is he is used, using Kemp more.
None of those seem to require personnel moves. Some may seem politically difficult (e.g. benching Pierre and Nomar), but that's still Grittle's choice. If he chooses not to do so, that counts as "bad" in his evaluation. Maybe you don't want to blame him, but that doesn't make it "good".
Now:
"1B: Terrible. Not only did he leave Nomar at 1B for too long, he also left him too high in the batting order for too long."
He did replace him with Loney, though. You can argue it took too long, yes, but when you have a very popular (not just with GM, but with many fans as well) veteran, benching him, especially when he was at least driving in RISP for awhile, wasn't as easy a choice as it may appear. I agree he should have moved him down in the line-up quicker, though.
Pierre's a tough one, too, even if it's obvious he shouldn't be even on the team in the first place. But he was signed to a long term contract to start. Moving a guy down to #8 in the lineup who doesn't draw many walks may not be the solution it appears either. In short, I think Grady's made the best of having him on the team. Kemp should get some starts in CF though, if I had my druthers.
I wouldn't criticize him much for catcher, either (though I am one of those who worries about Russell playing too much). 3B: may be bad, but players didn't step up when given the chance, and he doesn't have much to work with. Every candidate has had some major flaw to them.
Ideally, Kemp would be in CF, with Ethier. If Pierre is in CF, Kemp should be in RF. Pierre in CF with Ethier in LF has been Grittle's modal choice, and it's the worst choice in my view.
Ideally, Kemp would be in CF, with Ethier in LF.
Ideally, Kemp would be in CF, with Ethier in RF.
But he shouldn't play this much.
From Josh Rawitch's report on the annual media game:
David Singer of ESPN Radio's "The Big Show" had two hits for the second consecutive year, but he made two errors on one play to saddle Duncan with an unearned run.
Come out to the Bronx. I can't even type out today's Post headline because there is no hiding the meaning and Jon doesn't want that language here.
Also, though may find it hard to believe, especially Plashcke, Paul Loduca is persona non grata in some circles in New York. He has no instituted a no talking to the media ban, there were reports that the front office wants him out after the season, however his teammates support him.
On Hendrickson pitching on Wednesday, that spot doesn't have to come up again until 2 weeks from tomorrow with the All-Star break coming up, so hopefully Kuo or someone else will be there at that point. I agree with Jon on the leash, my guess is that what they don't want to happen is for a few blow up games to deflate the kid's confidence.
But have hope, if the rotation is what I think it will be, the second time that spot comes up will be against Kuo's patsy, the Mets.
Is Juan Pierre? And I mean that seriously. Kemp at his worst is probably more productive than Pierre at his best. If "readiness" is not reflected in production, in what way does it matter?
Martin is on pace for 1,292 innings this season, the equivalent of 143.6 nine-inning games.
Last year, I thought it was because Toby Hall was the backup (though Hall did okay in the the few chances he got to play) but given Lieberthal's experience and ability, I thought he would play more. Maybe in the second half that will happen.
Linda: "Hah hah hah."
That said, I do think Kemp is better than Pierre, but have adopted a less radical approach of merely hoping for Juan to rest once a week, creating more time for Kemp at the expense of someone other than Ethier.
Maybe, but last year it got worse and worse 'till he was pretty much un playable, so im not mad about taking it slowly this time.
Subjective analysis has a bit of an odor to it around these parts, but I agree with this statement completely. Kemp has a ton of talent, but he's had some really awful at-bats at times. Noticeably bad. It's the one thing that makes me a little apprehensive about his future as a great ballplayer.
I agree. Like I pointed out the other day, there's not much patience or power in that line. It's all BA. That being said, he'd have to drop over .300 OPS points to stoop to Pierre's level.
But they arent.
If Matt Kemp K'ed 60% of the time, and the other 40% of the time he reached base---Thats fine. A strikeout is just an out. Nothing more/Nothing less. And its not a DP.
But he was signed to a long term contract to start. Moving a guy down to #8 in the lineup who doesn't draw many walks may not be the solution it appears either.
But wouldnt that be the best possible solution? If you have a starter, that is clearly the worst hitter in the lineup--shouldnt you as a manager do your best to make sure he gets the least amount of ABs as possible?
Meanwhile, are people not noticing the times he lets a bad pitch go and then ends the at-bat with solid contact?
A) Is Matt Kemp one of the best three Dodger outfielders today? Yes.
B) To improve upon his shortcomings, would it be better for him to play every day? Yes.
Yea, and I know he has had some high pitch ABs, but to me it looks like he decides to swing or not swing before the pitch is thrown and is able to compensate for not reading pitches well with ridiculous coordination and bat speed. Its definitely going to be interesting, I know I put down everything im doing when he comes up.
I will concede that I've thought this too about Kemp. Particularly after taking strike one down the pipe.
I don't see any reason why this would be true, so I think he should be a starting outfielder for the Dodgers... but other know more and might disagree.
Greg Brock, why is it that someone would think Fire and Rain needed to be re-recorded?
Their original plan was to play Betemit full time and expect Nomar to be Nomar. When Betemit didn't hit they tried other alternatives, namely Abreu and LaRoache. Keep in mind that they had Abreu play some 3rd base in the minors to sure up a backup plan. They didn't like the results so they made the big move.
My opinion is that Loney was on the shelf ready to be called up for an option in RF if Nomar hit like he was expected...making him or Ethier as trade possibilities.
My preference was always to play Loney at 1st.
People like money.
Not thrilled
From BP Monday Morning 10 pack:
"Blake DeWitt, 2B, High-A Inland Empire (Dodgers)
A first-round pick in 2004, DeWitt kind of drives people nuts. Scouts like his projection and his pretty swing, but the results only match the review half the time, as DeWitt is among the streakiest hitters in the minors. Repeating High-A this year after an awful one-month showing at Double-A Jacksonville last season, DeWitt hit just .211/.255/.368 in April. This was surprising, as many expected his offense to take off once the organization moved him back to his natural position of third base, after a experiment to turn him into an offensive second baseman went awry due to DeWitt's poor glove work. However, things have improved since, and DeWitt finished up June in style, with a triple, home run, and five RBI on Saturday, closing out the month at .390/.435/.650, and raising his season averages to .292/.330/.459. He'll get another shot at the Southern League soon."
Feliciano's "Light my Fire" is a quality reworking of a great song.
My bigger fear is what will be the next move if/when Nomar doesn't resume hitting. Betemit, Abreu, and LaRoche apparently have all played themselves out of the 3rd base job, and trade talk frightens me.
I agree, and I've argued from that POV plenty of times. But the key to my original statement was "noticeably bad", as in, many good players that I watch have bad at-bats, but for whatever reason, Kemp's bad at-bats stand out to me as being noticeably bad.
Maybe it's just an expectations thing, but I don't have the same issue with Loney, for example.
I'm going to continue to disagree with Jon regarding Martin's playing time. The statement above is true, so far as it goes. But it's odd in its shortsightedness. You're correct that Little's use of Martin has not yet proved itself to be a detriment to the team. However, there's every reason to believe that it will be a detriment over the long haul, either later this year or in future seasons.
I mean, there's no evidence that if Little were to let Chad Billingsley throw 155 pitches in every game, he'd blow his arm out. Do we know for sure that Billingsley would blow his arm out? No. But there is ample reason, based on the track record of previous players, to believe that it would be a likely outcome.
If I were a London call girl in 1887, we don't know for certain that I'd be killed if I walked around in Whitechapel. But the odds are high enough that I probably wouldn't want to take the chance.
Look, catchers wear down. That is not an opinion, it is a fact -- a fact which is backed up by vast amounts of evidence both statistical and anecdotal. If you look at catchers' batting splits for any given year, you find that catchers' collective numbers are ALWAYS significantly worse in the second half. The season wears catchers down and causes their hitting to nosedive. Period.
Now, does this happen with every single catcher, every single year? No, it doesn't. Do we know for a fact that this will happen to Russell Martin in particular? No, we don't. But it happens to enough catchers to make it a clear trend, and one which a team might want to avoid subjecting its franchise player to.
Do we know for sure that resting your catcher more often is going to result in him sustaining his performance over the season's second half? No. But it seems reasonably likely.
So, while you're correct that we don't have any specific evidence that wear and tear would harm Martin, I think any reasonable person would have to draw the conclusion that it is likely to have a negative effect. And that likelihood should be enough to make the team wary of running him into the ground.
Here are the top 12 catchers in MLB last year according to OPS. The first number is their OPS before the all-star break; the second number is their OPS after it.
McCann .911/1.002
Mauer .981/.882
Ross 1.065/.809
Bard .997/.850
Barrett .903/.805
Posada .854/.880
Martinez .867/.843
Zaun .922/.740
Hernandez .820/.824
Napoli .990/.624
Laird .914/.730
Martin .806/.780
I clicked on the link to the Vin Scully article, and it took me to a page containing the profile piece. But the piece doesn't have the Q&A material that Jon excerpted. Am I missing something?
With Pierre, it's just hard for me to root for a long bunt, a ground ball thru first base or thru 3b or a chopper up the middle. It may be affective in accumulating an awful lot of hits but it's difficult to watch.
But my dodger roster issues are actually more about the sum of the parts more so than specific players. I don't like Juan Pierre at all as a player for example but I can live with him. I can't live with him when you know heading into the year the team lacks power and already has a leadoff hitter and that's our big move.. If Pierre was surrounded in LF by Holliday and in RF by Hawpe then fine.
(And Gonzo has been great but I admit I didnt like that move either but props cause he has been great but my thinking at the time was ok so between our OF we may hit 40 Homers total and all three arent very good on defense. So I admit I was wrong but at the time I was like well I am cool with Gonzo if that means we have a top CF, but not with Pierre.)
My other pet peeve is defense. If your going to build a team (making the judgment that power hitters are too hard to acquire and therefore we will go with speed and pitching: (JP and Schmidt) then defense has to be a priority. So again it's a sum of the parts thing.
I think the worst signing that each and everyone of you saw coming was Tomko. At first I was like hey not that bad for the price and then I came here and it sorta changed my mind. Now 1 1/2 years later I couldnt agree more. Why on earth would we even keep him right now over even Marlon Anderson?
While he was never really good at all that year with the bat, he was particularly bad in July and September.
John Bocabella started four games and Gene Oliver started another. John Felske and Bill Plummer also made cameo appearances behind the dish for the Cubs.
I guess there are positives to Greg Miller's wildness.
Totally agree. Come Sept we will rue the overuse of Martin.
Someone used Hundley as an example of a catcher in 1969 who caught 160 games. They might have also mentioned how that team collapsed in Aug/Sept. I don't have any idea what Hundley's splits were but I'd bet D4P's hatred that he had a significant drop in Aug/Sept.
Sorry Bob, didn't mean to step on your post. I just took to long to write mine.
Miller seems to be pitching quite a bit for the Sun's. I'm sure it is not correct but it seems everytime I look at a box score he's tossing an inning.
http://tinyurl.com/32k33b
I remember hearing Fiona Apple's cover of "Across the Universe" and saying to myself, "This might be the most pointless piece of music I've ever heard."
Have you ever heard Tori Amos' version of "Smells like Teen Spirit?"..........I had the same reaction.
That being said:
If catchers wear down as a rule - even with less playing time than Martin has had, since I'm told repeatedly that Martin is approaching a record for playing time - why is it bad to play him a lot now? If catchers as a rule play better in the first half than the second half, than why not make the most of Martin in the first half. And then, when the inevitable weardown comes, then start playing Lieberthal more.
In that respect, it seems completely TBD whether playing Martin a lot now is hurting the team. I don't know, but Grady might well be smart to be bucking the conventional wisdom and making the best of the axiomatic bad situation: starting catchers wear down, no matter what you do.
I don't think anyone here calls for Martin to rest more than one day a week. So what's the expectation here? If Martin rested six more games in the past 12 weeks, his second-half OPS would go up by X? What is X? And is it enough to outweigh the contributions he made in the six games he played in?
Martin is getting wear and tear whether he plays 28 games in June or 26. I believe a reasonable person can have considerable doubt whether it's better for him to play the extra game in June when he's hot, or in September when you are strongly suggesting he won't be.
Hundley's batting splits for 1968. Keep in mind that the Cubs were managed by Leo Durocher and he was not a guy who was going to let anyone tell him to who to play. That was one of his conditions for taking the Cubs job.
Hundley's numbers also suffered from playing in 1968, when everybody was Juan Pierre. That said, Hundley's OPS+ in 1968 was 73.
The Cubs also played 163 games that year as they had a tie in a doubleheader nightcap in August.
Andrew's got something new to delete from Wikipedia.
I guess I was going on the (admittedly unproven) assumption that every game Martin rests now, is a game that he can have at his disposal later. For example, let's say Martin's hitting level degenerates to a 110 OPS+ after 115 games caught and a 100 OPS+ after 140 games caught. By not using up all his games so fast, he would be able to be a more capable hitter later in the season if he got 10 more games of rest earlier on. That seems logical, anyway, although I guess none of us know if it's really true.
White Stripes "Stop Breaking Down"
X "Soul Kitchen"
Joe Cocker "With a little Help from My Friends"
The Clash "I Fought the Law"
Talking Heads "Take me to the River"
Excuse my ignorance, but who is Molly Knight?
I went to mollyknight.com and she appears to be some sort of writer/blogger? I don't know....
I do know if she likes that Tori Amos version of an iconic classic, I want nothing to do with whatever she's selling!
Molly Knight stops by here from time to time.
We won't introduce you to her.
Bob, I also see Randy Bobb with two starts at C.
"RHP Devin Fuller, the Dodgers' unsigned 14th-round pick, met with the team during a Diamondbacks game last week. I'm told there's a 65-75 percent chance the Gilbert, Ariz. native will sign by the August deadline and forgo playing college ball at Arizona State."
There are a few Springsteen songs with covers significantly better than the original:
John Wesley Harding's version of "Jackson Cage"
Rage Against the Machine's version of "Ghost of Tom Joad"
Son Volt's version of "Open All Night"
Raul Malo's version of "Downbound Train"
My main beef this year has been that so many times when Martin goes 0 for 4, we get the "he needs to rest more" calls. Then he plays the next day and nearly hits for the cycle or some such.
I understand the general fear that Martin will have a .570 OPS in September because of playing time. I just don't see anyone proving how playing two or three fewer games a month will prevent that.
Degree of Difficulty: Zero.
I think there are a lot of Springsteen fans here, so I might be in a spot of trouble...
Brett Tomko
Greg Brock
I wouldn't take it back, I'm with you. IMO, he's as overrated as the Rolling Stones and Aerosmith. All of them should've quit years ago....much like 3/4 of the Giants roster.
Another good one for me was The man who sold the world from Bowie/Nirvana
Also the Rock 'n Roll to Sympathy of the Devil (both covers) by Janes Addiction on their first album might be the best for me but not for everyone else. I loved Janes Addiction.
Garth Brooks made "Shameless" a huge hit.
Me Firs and the Gimmie Gimmies do a version of "Uptown Girl", and "Only the Good Die Young."
Both well done.
I don't think there is any way out of here.
Go Stanford!
The Baseball Prospectus Adjusted Standings
Team -- W-L -- W1-L1 -- W2-L2 -- W3-L3
Dodgers -- 46-36 -- 44.4-37.6 -- 47.0-35.0 -- 47.0-35.0
Padres -- 46-34 -- 48.7-31.2 -- 45.0-35.0 -- 44.9-35.1
W1 and L1 are pythagorean wins and losses, and the Padres are much better there. But if you look at equivalent runs scored and allowed based on the teams' batting lines, then the pythagorean records suddenly favor the Dodgers! These are the W2 and L2 numbers. The W3 and L3 numbers are adjusted for strength of pitchers and batters faced.
Basically, the Padres have been really lucky in their runs scored and allowed based on their batting and pitching lines, and then really unlucky in turning their runs scored and allowed into wins. Bottom line, the Padres are NOT obviously better than the Dodgers right now. It's the Dodgers who are a little better.
Big whispers today that the Cardinals have "beaten" the Dodgers to Mark Buerhle. (Have no idea about the spelling.) Anthony Reyes or Cody Rasmus and a minor leaguer named Garcia for the ChiSox pitcher, allegedly.
Agreed to a certain extent.
Just a matter of personal taste for me. Aerosmith has exactly one song that I can tolerate, The Stones have a library of GREAT songs and city block of terrible ones. As for Bruce and the boys, I'm pretty indifferent. He's just not one of my fav's. I also HATE the Eagles too, so take from that what you will.
Oomph.
If you've got an active email address you want to share, I'll send it to you.
---
I have a love/hate relationship with the Eagles; hate because of how overplayed on the radio their music is and how boring much of it is, and yet, love, because they make me nostalgic for being a kid in the 70s in SoCal. Springsteen I used to be indifferent to - or at least, had a lot of respect for, liked a few of his tracks, but wasn't that into, but when my dad, a big fan, took me to a concert some years back (he was then already in his late 50s and I was in my late 20s) I could see more clearly the appeal. He and his band were pretty amazing live. (Though even then I started to grow weary of the music.) So I understand the appeal, and like some of his records, but don't get as excited as, say, my dad does. Of course, my favorite band as a youngster was ELO, so what do I know? (This was before New Wave and before I became a teen)
There is nothing and I mean nothing wrong with liking ELO! Turn to Stone is a classic.
I just learned that this past weekend, conicidentally.
He came out and played a few songs with Tom Petty last year at the Hollywood Bowl. It was pretty sweet. Stevie Nicks came out and did a few songs too.
Agreed! Both are sublime.
"After looking at this for a few minutes, I decided Dodgers lefthander Clayton Kershaw would rank No. 5 on my list. That also answers the question of who my top pitching prospect is, with Kershaw getting the nod over Devil Rays lefty Jake McGee, Red Sox righty Clay Buchholz and Indians righty Adam Miller. Position players who will rank higher than I might have thought they would entering 2007 include Cardinals outfielder Colby Rasmus and Blue Jays outfielder Travis Snider."
I'd wager that that song has been covered by more rock bands than any other.
Even if they were always looked down upon as a sort of Beatles rip-off with more strings/orchestral flavor, which isn't entirely unfair, but Lynne and co. sure created some great pop songs, some really catchy tunes. I used to listen to Out of the Blue as a kid repeatedly, even reading the lyrics and liner notes while I listened. First time I was introduced to the word "moog."
The staying power of Aerosmith and Tom Petty has always impressed me.
He was definitely on stage while they were playing Free Fallin', and he did one other "Tom Petty" tune as well. For the life of me I can't remember which one though. Then they played Tweeter and the Monkey Man and Handle with Care. I was hoping to hear End of the Line, my all time favorite Wilbury's song.
As I have grown older I appreciate Bruce more but now I am so far into Wilco I have little time for other music. I get like that. I am the same way with the dodgers. I don't watch much baseball anymore aside from the dodgers.
A 1996 poll of Backstreets magazine subscribers ranked the albums thusly:
1 Born to Run 31%
2 Darkness 22%
3 Tunnel of Love 12%
4 The River 11%
5 Wild, Innocent 7%
6 Nebraska 5%
7 Born in the USA 4%
8t Live 75-85 2%
8t Lucky Town 2%
10 Ghost of Tom Joad 1%
...and the 10 best songs thusly:
1 Thunder Road 105
2 Born to Run 42
3 Backstreets 34
4 Jungleland 31
5 Badlands 20
6 The River 13
7t Incident on 57th St 12
7t The Promised Land 12
7t Rosalita 12
10 Darkness 11
My own top 10 would be something like this:
Atlantic City
Born to Run
Blinded By the Light
Highway Patrolman
Jungleland
Long Time Comin'
The River
Roulette
This Hard Land
Thunder Road
By the way, those of you who hate Bruce, I hope you're basing that on something more than the BITUSA hype. I would guess that most Springsteen fans hate "Dancing in the Dark" as much as you do.
"If you haven't seen FJM yet, it's a smart, painfully funny and relentlessly cruel (but did I mention funny?) blog dedicated to ridding the world of bad baseball analysis, notably that of ESPN's lead guy. FJM picks on other media screwups, too. In fact, I live every day in fear of getting skewered on that site, which is why I have completely stricken the words scrappy, lunch pail, grit and hustle from my F1 key, I now believe that Darin Erstad was a better punter than he is a baseball player, I'll never say anyone works out of anyone's basement, I'm taking a crash course in all sorts of Sabermetric terms, I'm considering asking Ken Tremendous to be the godfather to my next kid and I've bought stock in Fremulon Insurance. I think I'm safe. For now."
Thankfully, I've always been a really huge fan...
I've never out grown that phase. I love all that stuff. I know this is a pretty obvious statement but Full Moon Fever is one of the best albums ever from start to finish. I can listen to that cover to cover any day of the week. Petty live is an experience too, he looks a little freaky now but he still rocks harder than all these chump KROQ bands that are out now.
Raspberry Beret- Hoodoo Rhythm Devils (Warren Zevon plus 3/4 of REM)
Dancing Barefoot- U2
Jimi Hendrix- All Along the Watchtower
The Byrds- Turn, Turn, Turn
Tom Petty- Change the Locks
Elvis Costello- What's So Funny about Peace Love and Understanding (was originally a song by Nick Lowe's early band Brinsley Schwarz.)
I like ELO better now than when they were active. If an extremely popular band can be underrated, that would be ELO. The re-release of the Traveling Wilburys is more confirmation of Jeff Lynne's brilliance.
And I have long thought "Tunnel of Love" is, song for song, Springsteen's best album. Or it's a tie with "Darkness on the Edge of Town."
You are pushing it with all this Cardinal love.
It sure was. I hope he comes around again this year. I will be there for sure
194
Is "Highway Patrolman" a cover of the Johnny Cash classic?
I long had a dark spot in my heart for Springsteen after the company i worked for lost over a million dollars. Then he came back around and made up for it by playing a 2000 seat show for almost nothing. He gave me a bottle of wine, which is pretty much all it takes to get back in my good graces.
Favorite thing in it: the hand claps.
http://www.theboyleastlikelyto.co.uk/playfaith.htm
I almost thought you were going to say Limp Bizkit.
I think most Springsteen fans think Tunnel of Love is great
I wasn't sure if they were too snobby to like a commercially successful album, which I think that was.
195
That's awesome.
199
Full Moon Fever is one of the best albums ever from start to finish
I listened to that to death. Then I listened to "Into the Great Wide Open" to death. Then I listened to "Wildflowers" to death. In the end, I think "Wildflowers" is probably my favorite.
Being There
Summerteeth
Yankee Foxtrot
A Ghost is Born
Kicking Television: live
I am just getting into them again, sorta refound them if you will. Sky blue Sky is nice and solid but a little melow and alot sounds the same. I love it, but it's not their best.
Being There sounds like the Stones, Neil Young, Faces, The band, grahm parsons, the beatles all rolled into one, with a modern feel to it. I love it.
I do not own AM (their first) or either of the Mermaid albums and hear they are all very good. Those are next.
I hear they are great live too and I get to finally see them in August.
There's some missing information here. I'm curious about the connection.
However, that sentence would be a great first sentence for a novel.
Are you serious? Wow I can't believe I never knew that. That's been one of my favorite Cash songs ever since I heard it years ago. I'm a little embarrassed too as I fashion myself a bit of a music aficianado.
...on a concert of his. ($3 million guarantee)
Nice, eric 206 am gonna run out and by those two albums now. I defer to you. I like Foxtrot as much as Being There, but think that if your just getting into Wilco, Being There is such a good start cause it has a little of everything. I can see how some people might not instantly fall in love with Foxtrot, i think it takes some time. I think Summerteeth is very underrated, but maybe that 's because I bought it right when it came out and was hooked and couldnt understand why they werent a huge band. The song writing is so good.
Do they sing all at once? That must be loud...
Also, he stated that his lyric was "deuce" as in "coupe", while for some reason ManfredMann sang it as "douche"
231 both songs played at my beach wedding.
Funny too cause my first dance song was the song that Butchie stiffed Kai on John From Cincy..In your Eyes by Peter Gabriel.
Queen.
Meanwhile, prison is too kind for Fox's animated mascot.
I call it a cover, because (with the exception of the lyrics) it is a wholly and completely different song than the original. He actually made it sound like the protest folk song it really is, rather than the boot-stomping anthem that was misappropriated by countless politicians who never bothered to actually listen to it.
CNN Headline news is talking about A-Rod's wife's shirt.
Pierre, CF
Martin, C
Kent, 2B
Gonzalez, LF
Nomar, 3B
Loney, 1B
Kemp, RF
Lowe, P
We got the axe!
It wasn't for me. Different strokes, I guess.
Kemp's in - two days in a row.
259 But will you choose a Smiths song as your entrance music when the Dodgers call you up? If someone did that, I would be truly shocked and stoked all at once. I loved them in HS.
http://www.mcsweeneys.net/2007/6/25kershner.html
June Numbers:
.286 .405 .443 .848 ethier
.279 .310 .315 .626 Pierre
.383 .420 .468 .888 Kemp
.301 .398 .548 .947 gonzo
I'm thinking Springsteen.
And in reference to Wilco about 50 posts back, my favorite of theirs is still "Summerteeth". That's seriously like one of my all-time top-five desert island records. I think their new one is excellent too, but I seem to be in the minority. Rob Sheffield's review in Rolling Stone mirror my feelings on the record exactly.
Pierre: 21 starts, 94 PA (.302/.348/.349)
Gonzo: 19 starts (plus one at DH), 84 PA (.282/.400/.493)
Kemp: 11 starts, 54 PA (.392/.426/.529)
Ethier: 12 starts, 54 PA (.310/.463/.452)
Pierre has only missed 16 innings (by my unofficial count) all season, and has started all but two Dodger games.
"I know it isn't mutual, but I Have Forgiven Jesus."
I'm not saying that's some awful or crazy thing, mind you, though obviously it's easy to argue against. Just interesting.
"Juan Pierre" has been by a few times as well...brave little guy.
UB40 - "Please Don't Make Me Cry"
Beach Boys - "Hushabye"
Beatles - "Words Of Love"
Toots and the Maytals - "Take Me Home Country Roads"
Walter Johnson's soul is too nice to come down from heaven and put one in Sutcliffe's ear.
Also: Eva Cassidy, Over The Rainbow -- good cover.
Dying seems to do that.
I would enter to Morrissey's "The Boy Racer"
Sixteen, clumsy, and shy
I went to London and I
Booked myself in at the Y
W C A.
I said I like it here,
Can I stay?
If it was her, I'm thrilled.
I won't say anything about the game because I know some of you are taping it (I left work early to run an errand and made it home in time to see most of 2nd half). But I will say the post-game show on the Spanish channel it was on is possibly one of the most annoying I've ever seen - and that includes Fox. And also, it's a fun game, definitely watch it later if you taped it.
Not a bad cover.
Man, Messi just flopped big time, lead to a goal for Argentina in that game.
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