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SI.com
NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
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Eric Gagne II
Unreliable Relievers
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2006 Emmys Nominees*
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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 50-35 (.588)
When Jon attended: 9-5 (.643)
When Jon didn't: 41-30 (.577)
Dodgers at home: 795-635 (.556)
Jon attended: 302-238 (.559)*
Jon didn't: 498-404 (.552)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2009 Salaries
(updated November 14)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$10,000,000 Hiroki Kuroda
*$475,000 Chad Billingsley
*$415,000 Clayton Kershaw
*$405,000 Eric Stults
*$400,000 James McDonald
*Total: $11,695,000
Bullpen (7)
*$2,500,000 Takashi Saito
*$1,300,000 Scott Proctor
*$1,500,000 Jonathan Broxton
*$425,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
*$420,000 Cory Wade
*$410,000 Ramon Troncoso
*$400,000 Scott Elbert
Total: $6,955,000
Also on 40-man roster
Mario Alvarez
Yhency Brazoban
Greg Miller
Justin Orenduff
Starting Lineup (8)
$17,100,000 Andruw Jones
*$3,000,000 Russell Martin
*$2,500,000 Andre Ethier
*$600,000 Matt Kemp
*$600,000 James Loney
*$500,000 Angel Berroa
*$410,000 Blake DeWitt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
Total: $25,110,000
Bench (5)
$10,000,000 Juan Pierre
*$600,000 Jason Repko
*$410,000 Delwyn Young
*$400,000 Danny Ardoin
*$400,000 Chin-Lung Hu
Total: $11,810,000
Note: Team can buy out Ozuna's 2009 option for $200,000
Also on 40-man roster
A.J. Ellis
Lucas May
Xavier Paul
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
Also Paying ...
$2,000,000 Brad Penny (buyout of $9,000,000 option)
$50,000 Gary Bennett (buyout of $900,000 option)
Note: Kansas City is responsible for $500,000 buyout of Angel Berroa's $5,500,000 option for 2009.
Working total: *$68,020,000
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7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
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9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
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Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
Brad Penny's hitting and pitching prowess this season is reflected in the news being circulated by the Dodgers' public relations department that Penny might become the first Dodger pitcher to have a higher batting average than ERA (if you are kind enough to ignore placement of the decimal point) since Fernando Valenzuela in 1981 (.250 batting average, 2.48 ERA).
Although Penny's ERA rose to 2.51 after he allowed three runs in the sixth inning Thursday, his batting average climbed all the way to .293 thanks to a 2-for-3 night at the plate. In fact, Penny would be batting .317 if his third-inning line drive hadn't been turned into an unassisted double play by Todd Helton.
Besides Penny being a leading Cy Young candidate, it has actually started getting to the point where he is in position to receive Most Valuable Player votes. According to Baseball Prospectus, Penny's Value Over Replacement Player as a pitcher is 46.2 (tops in the National League). As a hitter, Penny's VORP is 7.1. The combined total of 53.3 places Penny third in the NL behind only Chase Utley of Philadelphia (53.5, but Utley just broke his hand) and Hanley Ramirez of Florida (53.4). While this doesn't factor in fielding for position players, it's still some pretty serious company to be in - especially when you realize how Penny has taken on the stature of staff stopper on a pennant contender.
In any case, what the whole batting average-over-ERA thing got me wondering was how Orel Hershiser could have avoided accomplishing this. In 1993. Hershiser began the year red-hot at the plate and only got hotter when summer arrived, crossing the .400 mark by going 2 for 2 on August 1 and getting as high as .424 (25 for 59) with an RBI double August 29. On that date, his batting average was well ahead of his 3.70 ERA.
As it turns out, Hershiser had a higher batting average than ERA all the way until the final batter he faced in 1993, on October 2 the Dodgers' 161st game that year.
He entered the game batting .366 (26 for 71) with an ERA of 3.48 (81 earned runs in 209 1/3 innings pitched).
Kip Gross immediately replaced Hershiser, who would have needed to either get another hit, or avoid getting an out while not allowing any more runs through at least the eighth inning, in order to get his batting average higher than his ERA again.
So close!
Thanks to Baseball-Reference.com for enabling my research.
* * *
Also from the Dodger press notes:
JORIS EST ARRIVE! Joris Bert, the Dodgers 19th-round selection in the June 2007 First-Year Player Draft will make his professional debut tonight for the Gulf Coast League Dodgers. Bert became the first player drafted out of the MLB's European Academy, and the French outfielder is drawing quite a bit of attention across the Atlantic. Arnaud Romera and Michel Goldstein of France 2, a news station in France, arrived at Dodgertown this morning to cover Bert and his debut. The news crew figures to be the first of several French electronic and print media interested in the 20-year old Bert.
* * *
Tonight's 6:05 p.m. game:
Considering Utely won't be increasing his VORP anymore for a while and that Hanley has the shoulder problem if Penny continues at this pace he could win the VORP crown. Woo Hoo
During that season, I remember all the talk being about whether he would be the first starting pitcher to hit .400 since, I don't know, somebody.
If someone has to be sacrificed on the altar of Ned's annual trade time panic attack it should be Abreu.
http://www.insidesocal.com/dodgers/archives/2007/07/rocky_mountain.html
But short of that, keep him.
http://insidethedodgers.mlblogs.com/my_weblog/2007/07/tonights_lineup_2.html
updated rosenthal....
Better than trading Kershaw, but I still don't like it.
or Tex....
by the name of Evan Grant?
i forgot to add this part:
However, the fragile state of the Dodgers' rotation could force them to focus solely on pitching, and the Rangers are insisting that they include Class A left-hander Clayton Kershaw, a Dallas native, in a Teixeira deal.
Totally not worth it.
I would do Loney and Meloan for Teixeira. Getting the extra win or so over Loney is worth giving up a relief pitcher, in my opinion.
That leaves, basically, Ethier for Benoit, which I would not do. At all. And I'm not a huge Ethier fan.
For the greater good.
I would not be in favor of that trade.
I think Teixeira is a little over rated because he hits a lot of jacks in a hitters park. While I used to be for Loney and Lowe for Teixiera (prior to the Dodgers pitching issues), I wouldn't even give up Loney for him straight up anymore.
This is coming from someone who is not a huge Loney fan.
He was jobbed.
51 saves...!
BTW: How many MVP votes did Baez get during his 40+ save year...?
I think it's a ridiculous argument. But enough people believe it to ruin chances for pitchers.
"Since 1967, when the Cy Young has been awarded in both leagues, pitchers have won the MVP award 7 times, the last being Dennis Eckersley in 1992."
Still, I wonder what the Dodgers' postseason chances would look like with Teixeira at 1B instead of Loney. PECOTA looks at that, right? If the percentages go up enough -- and I don't know how much would be enough -- I think I'd do it.
The bigger problem is limiting the MVP candidates to primarily those teams with the best records. Kinda like only giving the Pac-10 POY award to a player on the first place team.
Look at the numbers, use VORP or Win Shares, and give the award to the best guy. No inane chatter. Just performance. Crazy, huh?
Yes, he did. I just impressed myself.
I'm a very strong proponents of using "Player of the Year" language instead of "MVP".
I am legion.
Brad Penny batting: .293/.326/.390, 87 OPS+
Juan Pierre batting: .284/.316/.337, 72 OPS+
Baez had 41 saves of the D-Rays' 67 wins (61%).
Rivera had 43 saves of the Yanks' 95 wins (45%).
I definitely have lost my point. Now I'm just having fun looking stuff up since I am usually the guy saying "Does anybody know...?"
I'm all about getting someone like Dotel, but if it's going to cost a really good prospect then why bother? I'd rather keep the prospect and just bring up Meloan.
IsoP:
Penny: 97
Pierre: 53
To be fair, Penny is a lot bigger.
He called us La La Land.
Uh oh.
Yeah. He's definitely a good hitter, but to give up Loney + a couple other prospects for him is just ridiculous. We've got our first baseman for the next several years and there's no reason to trade him for a guy that we'll have to pay 100 or so mill to. It just makes no sense.
I think there is something in his contract that stipulates that he cannot be offered arbitration.
Eat it, Paree!
2007 EqA -
Juan Pierre: .245
Hong-Chih Kuo: .261
Eckersley 1992 was 7-1 with 51 saves and a 1.91 ERA (196 ERA+). The A's won 96 games that year meaning he saved 53% of them.
Gagne 2003 was 2-3 with 55 saves and a 1.20 ERA (335 ERA+). The Dodgers won 85 games that year meaning he saved 65% of them. He got the CY but was 6th in MVP voting.
Bonds got the MVP both years, but of course he was in a different league than Eckersley. Different eras (and ERAs) I guess.
How about no.
Anybody have a dust pan and fox tail I can borrow?
Oh, the trouble you've caused!
2007 HORP (Heart over replacement player):
Kuo: 0 (Injured players have no heart! See Drew, J.D.)
Pierre: -65,535 (Integer overflow - his heart is so big it wraps all the way around the value scale)
This would be even more funny, except deep down inside, we all have an unsettling feeling that if Colletti was offered a bag of Doritos for Kemp and Loney, he might actually go for it if he happened to be hungry at the time.
"My gut is telling me no... but my gut is also very hungry. ..."
What?
The baseball establishment would cut off their arms before admitting that an arrogant outsider like Mike Marshall knew something they don't. I wish someone would throw the screwball again. I keep hearing how it is bad for your arm and then I look at Mike and Fernando's career and how many lousy pitchers could use a trick pitch and wonder.
Not in any way saying that Mike and Fernando would have been lousy pitchers if they didn't throw the screwball.
Kei Igawa wishes he was Kaz Ishii.
Buster Olney did mention the Padres and us. I don't think Ned would want him though.
"It had me LOL."
Recursive error, does not compute!
The balance of power in the NL West shifts again.
If I had to LOL every time I LOL'd, this place would be nothing buy LOL's. Jon Weisman's Dodger Thoughts and LOL Emporium.
A subsidiary of Globo-Chem
Maybe you're thinking of second baseman/alleged steroid purchaser Jerry Hairston Jr.
Scott Hairston is fourth or fifth outfielder type.