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SI.com
NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
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Humbled Angels
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Unreliable Relievers
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2006 Emmys Nominees*
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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
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For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
Former Dodger announcer Ross Porter is returning to the airwaves on a regular basis, shortly but sweetly.
Beginning October 1, "Real Sports Heroes with Ross Porter," 90-second vignettes produced and narrated by Porter, will air every weekday afternoon on KLAC at 5:25.
"I've been in sports all my life," Porter said in a press release. "I'm tired of getting up every morning and reading the sports pages or listening to the sports talk shows when the stories are about an NBA referee fixing games, an NFL quarterback torturing dogs, cyclists being kicked out for the Tour de France because they're using drugs, and an allegedly tainted slugger breaking the home run record ... and on and on and on.
"There are people in sports who are doing positive things, and we want to focus on them. I think the public is craving for good news. We have been very fortunate in finding some fantastic and inspirational stories."
Porter developed the idea with his wife, Lin, and his agent, George Green.
And what about this one?
Then again, maybe I'm reading too much into the quote and the show isn't really going to be as Pollyana as all that.
Or maybe he could fill in for Dr. Laura Schlesinger:
"Ross, my husband is cheating on me!"
"Mmm-hmm."
"And my mother hates me!"
"Caller, do you want to take a try at our trivia contest?"
"Oh...uh... Bucky Dent?"
"Nuh. Nuh. Nice try, though. You call again!"
If someone does something good, might as well live in the moment and enjoy it.
1) AC Green
2) Nobody
Mostly it's just that black-and-white portrayals of people as good or evil get on my nerves. Life's more complex than that. Hopefully on a 90-minute show they'll be able to go in-depth enough to get past the superficiality.
My bad. Superficiality reigns!
Wells vs Ledezma, 48.3% chance of winning
Lowe vs Peavy, 37.14% chance of winning
Billingsley vs Germano, 48.09% chance of winning.
vr, Xei
I think the rules of English grammar indicate that "them" means "people in sports", but for 90-second vignettes, I hope Ross means they will focus on the "positive things".
For inspiration from someone who is serving as a good role model, try Scott Long and his most recent topic on "The Juice".
Kind of like your top 100 movies list...And I am totally kidding, and you are the man, and that is not meant to enrage Angry Enders, which could smite me in a matter of seconds.
Chinatown in ranked in the 70's (71 or 72 I think)...Just sayin'
That series really ended with a dud. They took the most dramatic part of the 1977 World Series and it just fizzled out.
I'm going to get crushed for that.
http://www.thecinematheque.com/00_top5_25_21st.html
Screen Jam?
Ned Colletti on the Loaiza deal, Aug. 29: "If you're not ready to take a risk, you're never going to do anything."
I wonder, does NedCo go straight to True Blue LA for his Dodger news, or read it in digest form here? At any rate, thanks Andrew and Jon for the new pitcher.
Most likely s far as era goes is Loiza = Hendrickson and Wells = Tomko.
The Cardinals have no scheduled off-days for the rest of the season. They will play 35 straight games due to making up rainouts against the Cubs and the Mets. They also will play a day/night double header against the Cubs at New Busch.
The Cubs only play one team that is above .500 for the rest of the season (the Cardinals are a game under .500). Only 10 of their remaining 31 games are against playoff contending teams.
If the Brewers are going to make a move, a win against the Cubs today would help. Then they will start an 18 game home and away series against the Astros, Reds and Pirates. But they better fatten up because their schedule with a 4 game series at Atlanta and then a potentially huge homestand with 3 against the Cardinals and 4 against the Padres.
In fact, they probably ought to ditch Yost and call up Kemblas.
Are the Phillies still a threat? Somehow, I should be disappointed that they almost swept the Mets, but I'm not. It's the Mets.
http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2007/08/30/SP74RRJIL.DTL
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=6651
I'm not sure it's a season-saving pickup, but it's pretty close. The club's 4.5 out, and risking five September starts on Eric Stults, or on trying to rush Randy Wolf back, or even turning back to the ongoing nonsense about Mark Hendrickson...these aren't the things the Dodgers can afford. What they can afford is to flex some financial muscle, and if there's no better way to keep the player development team happy while also pleasing the McCourts, then congratulate Ned Colletti for finding that middle road. Colletti found a way that gave him an experienced, veteran starter of some ability who represents an immediate upgrade, stepping right into the front four, and nobody, nobody should be upset with how he pulled it off.
Add in that by today's rates for a starting pitcher Loaiza's is a relatively modest salary to take on for next season ($7 million), and that he has an equally affordable option ($7.5 million), and this might be a better move for 2008 and 2009 than any move Colletti makes for those seasons. This also has the added advantage of reducing David Wells to a more probationary role with the club, which allows them to ditch Jumbo should he keep giving up two baserunners per frame, and turn back to Stults without asking the impossible from one of the injured, or taking another spin with Hendrickson. I can't quite call it genius, because all that was involved was a willingness to spend other people's money, but this was a very, very good move for the Dodgers, and one of Colletti's best actions yet.
Are we still talking about Esteban Loaiza? I don't think it's a bad move, but come on. Best actions yet? For Esteban Loaiza? That says a lot.
Buster Olney is also speculating in his blog today that Beane would want he-who-shall-not-be-named for Eric Chavez this offseason:
Oakland would want something in return {for Chavez}; in a deal with the Dodgers, maybe the Athletics would ask for young pitcher Clay Kershaw.
Why does there have to be any second part to this deal, its done.
I don't want to see Bills start the year in the pen again.
This way, they no for sure that he is off their roster, they save some money and they move on.
"Value" sometimes doesn't equal pure cash. 8 million for a player that they can't count on is more riskier for the A's than the Dodgers and I think that was in the end what forced them to make this move.
...but
McDonald and Kershaw: hey, how about us?
He also will be a very interesting case for next year, since his season will be viewed as a fluke by the sabermetric types who believe strikeout rate has a lot of predictive value. He may be a longshot to repeat his 2007 season.
But I think you don't even need a pencil, you can Sharpie in Penny-Lowe-Billingsley as the front of the 2008 rotation.
Seems like a reasonable guess. They signed Wolf hoping his arm troubles were behind him. Now that he's proven otherwise, who could blame them for wanting to back out?
He's only made 30+ starts 3 times in his career, and the last time was '03.
That said, I hope Kinbote is right about a revised contract, because he's worth taking a chance on again for the right money.
There is a BP article titled "The Injury Nexus" by Nate Silver and Will Carroll ... not sure if it's premium content or not, but give it a try.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=1658
"As an athlete matures, his bones calcify and harden, his growth plates close, and his ligaments reach full strength. Since no athlete matures on the same schedule as another, it is important to note that chronological age does not always directly correlate to physical age. However, as Dr. Jobe and others have noted, a pitcher is generally most vulnerable at a young age, before the bones and muscles of his upper body have fully developed.
...
"Even for a successful, established pitcher, the risk of catastrophic injury is meaningfully high throughout his career, almost certainly at least 10 percent in any given season. However, the risk does appear to be to some degree dependent on a pitcher's age. For the very young pitchers in our study--ages 21 and 22--the risk of injury is significantly higher, in excess of 20 percent. Injury rate then drops dramatically as a pitcher matures physically, reaching its lowest point at roughly age 24, while rising gradually throughout the remainder of his career."
You have to watch a short ad too, and I don't know if the broadcaster didn't believe what he just saw or if he simply felt that it was impossible.
http://mlb.mlb.com/mlb/baseballs_best/index.jsp
I think a lot of people were more upset at the classless manner in which Porter was fired than they were at the firing itself.
66 At least for me, it was the fact that Ross had been there my whole life, and that Rick Monday kept his job.
I may have been one of the "trade Penny" guys, but this predated my involvement with Dodger Thoughts.
Please don't think I'm picking on you, I just felt it was important to give Dodger management a little credit and support
Monday really is bad. Steiner would be fine with me if he just gained the ability to describe what he was seeing. Even if it happened kinda fast.
You don't have to like someone who is working for you to assess the PR ramifications of treating a 30-year employee like garbage. Ross had his detractors, but I don't think most fans thought of him as Hank.
After just writing that sentence I see where the confusion lies. I was trying to say that Bills would get demoted due to a poor management move, I was saying that Bills could get demoted thanks to the realities of baseball.
Schmidt is toast...Wells is a rental...
Stults and the youngsters still in the minors will get looks and occasional stints, but Coletti seems inclined to stay with the old, while protecting the youth (from what, I don't know)
It turns out that most radio pbp guys aren't good enough at this quality: Where Vin would say "Owings checks the runner, rocks back and delivers the 2-1 pitch, a curveball on the outside corner for a strike..."
others would say "Here's the 2-1 pitch from Owings, strike 2..."
He was, however, the first Dodger announcer in memory to ever acknowledge OBP with any regularity.
All in all, I kinda miss him, and it will be good to hear him again.
I do think though that for the most part there is an over emphasis on Ned's deals that didn't workout and not enough credit handed out for those that do.
I always thought Ross used "Old Friend" the most, but I think it's a Vinism
I agree. Unfortunately most of them, because it takes a lot less work, just walk over to the other team's booth and ask their announcers how to pronounce the players' names. Which only results in mispronunciations getting passed around like herpes.
And I have to mention again, I purchased the Best of Larry Sanders DVD set that again shows you when professionals really care about something, they can put out some really great stuff.
My top ten favorite sitcoms of the past 25 years include Its the Garry Shandling Show, The Larry Sanders Show, Seinfeld and The Simpsons. The other 6 are pending.
And Ross Porter was treated like a trash by the Dodgers.