
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
Dodger Thoughts T-Shirts
On sale through February 16, 2008


Click here to order.
* * *
The Best of Dodger Thoughts
A 325-page book featuring the top selections from this website from 2002-2005.
Click here for more information.
* * *
Or, just make a donation to support the site. Many thanks.
"Dodger Thoughts, like TiVo, is one of those things you can completely do without until you start using it."
- Fanerman
SI.com
NL West Preview
Evaluating Defense
Colletti and Depo
World Baseball Classic
Minor League Broadcasters
Slow Starts
Eric Gagne
Groundball Pitchers
Dodger Prospects
Albert Pujols
Humbled Angels
You Be the Manager
Eric Gagne II
Unreliable Relievers
Revived Angels
It's Okay To Sell
Dodger Turnaround
Andre Ethier
Padres-Dodgers Showdown
NL Final Weekend
Mets-Dodgers NLDS
Postseason ratings
NL Wish Lists
Manny vs. J.D.
McGwire Controversy
Dodger Offense
Trainers Matter
Variety
Will Arnett
John C. McGinley
Laura Dern
Imelda Staunton
SAG Awards
Ellen Pompeo
Grey's Anatomy
2004-05 Rookie Dramas
Anthony Hopkins
NATPE
Scrubs
Award Shows
Topher Grace
Ashton Kutcher
Writing on Improv Shows
Rainn Wilson
T.R. Knight
Guest Actors
Animation Guests
Joey Carson and Tennis
Donald Trump and Golf
2006 Emmys Nominees*
*Comedy Series
*Comedy Director
*Comedy Writer
*Comedy Actor
*Comedy Supporting Actor
Blue's Clues
Lizzy Caplan
Ann Donahue
CMT: Giants
CMA Awards
Little Miss Sunshine
Actor-Directors
Freshman Series
Clint Eastwood
Showrunners vs. Censors
Little Children
Breaking and Entering
Tartikoff Legacy Awards
Jackie Earle Haley
Knights of Prosperity
Office Online
2007 Screenplay Noms
Friday Night Lights
Robert Benton
ABC Fridays
Rookie Actors
Global Casting
2007 Pilot Casting
Sublime Slime
Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR
BP
Cube Abreu
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Beimel
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Bennett
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Billingsley
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Brazoban
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Broxton
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube DeWitt
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Ethier
ESPN
BR
BP
Cube Furcal
ESPN BR BP Cube Garciaparra
ESPN BR BP Cube Hu
ESPN BR BP Cube Jones
ESPN BR BP Cube Kemp
ESPN BR BP Cube Kent
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuo
ESPN BR BP Cube Kuroda
ESPN BR BP Cube LaRoche
ESPN BR BP Cube Loaiza
ESPN BR BP Cube Loney
ESPN BR BP Cube Lowe
ESPN BR BP Cube Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube May
ESPN BR BP Cube McDonald
ESPN BR BP Cube Meloan
ESPN BR BP Cube Miller
ESPN BR BP Cube Orenduff
ESPN BR BP Cube Park
ESPN BR BP Cube Paul
ESPN BR BP Cube Penny
ESPN BR BP Cube Pierre
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Repko
ESPN BR BP Cube Saito
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmidt
ESPN BR BP Cube Stults
ESPN BR BP Cube Sweeney
ESPN BR BP Cube Troncoso
ESPN BR BP Cube Wade
ESPN BR BP Cube Young
ESPN BR BP Cube Alomar
ESPN BR BP Cube Alvarez
ESPN BR BP Cube Aybar
ESPN BR BP Cube Baez
ESPN BR BP Cube Bako
ESPN BR BP Cube Beltre
ESPN BR BP Cube Bradley
ESPN BR BP Cube Cabrera
ESPN BR BP Cube Carrara
ESPN BR BP Cube Carter
ESPN BR BP Cube Chen
ESPN BR BP Cube Choi
ESPN BR BP Cube Cora
ESPN BR BP Cube Crosby
ESPN BR BP Cube Cruz
ESPN BR BP Cube Dessens
ESPN BR BP Cube Dreifort
ESPN BR BP Cube Drew
ESPN BR BP Cube Encarnacion
ESPN BR BP Cube Edwards
ESPN BR BP Cube Erickson
ESPN BR BP Cube Falkenborg
ESPN BR BP Cube Finley
ESPN BR BP Cube Flores
ESPN BR BP Cube Gagne
ESPN BR BP Cube Grabowski
ESPN BR BP Cube Green
ESPN BR BP Cube Guzman
ESPN BR BP Cube Hanrahan
ESPN BR BP Cube Hernandez
ESPN BR BP Cube Hundley
ESPN BR BP Cube Ishii
ESPN BR BP Cube Izturis
ESPN BR BP Cube Jackson
ESPN BR BP Cube Karros
ESPN BR BP Cube Ketchner
ESPN BR BP Cube Ledee
ESPN BR BP Cube Lima
ESPN BR BP Cube Lo Duca
ESPN BR BP Cube Lofton
ESPN BR BP Cube T. Martin
ESPN BR BP Cube Mayne
ESPN BR BP Cube G. Mota
ESPN BR BP Cube Mueller
ESPN BR BP Cube Myrow
ESPN BR BP Cube Nakamura
ESPN BR BP Cube Navarro
ESPN BR BP Cube Nomo
ESPN BR BP Cube Osoria
ESPN BR BP Cube A. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube O. Perez
ESPN BR BP Cube Phillips
ESPN BR BP Cube Proctor
ESPN BR BP Cube Roberts
ESPN BR BP Cube Robles
ESPN BR BP Cube Romano
ESPN BR BP Cube C. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube D. Ross
ESPN BR BP Cube Sanchez
ESPN BR BP Cube Schmoll
ESPN BR BP Cube Sele
ESPN BR BP Cube Seo
ESPN BR BP Cube Shuey
ESPN BR BP Cube Stanley
ESPN BR BP Cube S. Stewart
ESPN BR BP Cube Thompson
ESPN BR BP Cube Thurston
ESPN BR BP Cube Valentin
ESPN BR BP Cube Venafro
ESPN BR BP Cube Ventura
ESPN BR BP Cube Weaver
ESPN BR BP Cube Werth
ESPN BR BP Cube Wilson
ESPN BR BP Cube Wunsch
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
U.S. soccer goalie Hope Solo is rational but brash. If you've been following the Dodgers over the past week, you know where that's getting her.
From Philip Hersh of the Chicago Tribune:
Solo, making her World Cup debut, started the first four games of the tournament, allowing two goals in the first 62 minutes and none in the next 298. But Ryan chose Cup veteran Scurry as goalie for the semifinal based on past performances against Brazil in big games, especially the 2004 Olympic final.
When Scurry delivered an effort of much less quality Thursday, it was too much for Solo.
"It was the wrong decision, and I think anybody that knows anything about the game knows that," Solo said. "There's no doubt in my mind I would have made those saves.
"And the fact of the matter is it's not 2004 anymore. ... It's 2007, and I think you have to live in the present.
"And you can't live by big names. You can't live in the past. It doesn't matter what somebody did in an Olympic gold medal game in the Olympics three years ago. Now is what matters, and that's what I think."
It's Jeff Kent's instigational outspokenness - in a young player! Look out below.
While U.S. women's soccer team coach Greg Ryan admitted that "in hindsight, you can say maybe the easier decision was to do it the other way," that doesn't mean there won't be punishment for the goalie's Sololoquy.
Speaking today at a Shanghai hotel, Ryan made it clear, by implication if not point-blank, that Solo's statements may have cost her not only a start in Sunday's third-place game against Norway but likely jeopardized her status as the U.S. goalie of the future.
Ryan, who became head coach in 2005, said reconciliation is possible if "both parties are sincere." He added, in a hardly veiled threat, "One of the great strengths of American teams is the talent pool of our goaltenders."
Coach made the wrong decision, frustration should have been handled in-house, tensions rise after embarrassing loss, yada yada yada, can't everyone just be smarter next time?
Update: via Bob Timmermann, Solo's apology ... and this Jemele Hill ESPN.com commentary that begins thusly:
U.S. women's soccer coach Greg Ryan has pulled off quite a hat trick. His boneheaded decision to bench young goalkeeper Hope Solo for veteran Briana Scurry torpedoed the United States' bid for a third World Cup, ruined Scurry's legacy and created an unnecessary controversy.
Way to go, coach. Even Grady Little is wondering what on earth you were thinking.
/Nerd
--
Oh, thanks Cajun (re: end of last thread advice on Nawlins)!
/dream
First off, per the last thread, Dusty Baker was there last night. Which could be the cause and or effect of the rumors.
I had a good conversation with the guy who works in the little gift shop right by the Dodger's dugout door. He said that Kemp, Loney and Ethier were the only guys who usually came out to sign autographs after the games. Kemp came out to see his family, and struck me as pretty arrogant. And then I thought, who cares? He's gonna hit 40 homeruns! A rather annoying lady standing next to me who said she went to 40 games a year in the dugout club said "Kemp has no heart". She seemd to have a sense of entitlement about the team and it's players (that they should all have a personal relationship with her because she sat in good seats) and she said she wanted Kemp to get traded because basically she didn't like him. She said she would rather see Jason Repko, and that she would rather see a player playing above his ability than a player like Kemp not playing to his ability. She then proceeded to call Olmedo "chunky" when he walked out. I left her general vacinity. It was a painful reminder of what a "fan" can be.
I also asked the guy that worked in the gift shop if he had read Plaschke's article on Kemp. He said he tried not to look at the press since he has to see the players everyday. He said that "everybody hates him. I don't even think he (Plashke) is allowed in the clubhouse anymore."
James Loney and Andre Ethier both seemed great. They both came out to sign balls and chatted with fans. Loney came out to sign balls and then went back inside to get his stuff. A nice gesture...
I approached Frank McCourt as he was leaving and shook hands with him. I knew I only had a chance to get in a quick comment so I said "I'm hope I get to watching Matt Kemp play for many years" and he responded "I hope so too." In retrospect, I should have gone with Logikreader's "sign Arod and I'll buy season tickets" but I couldn't think that fast on my feet. I also should have said "play FOR THE DODGERS" but I think it was assumed.
Matt Kemp's back right pocket was hanging out of his pants for his first two at bats. Does he do this often? Was it just an accident? When he got to third base, Rich Donnelly reached over and stuck it back in his pants. A meaningful gesture? Just helping a friend out?
Kent was nowhere in sight. Dugout or otherwise.
All in all it was an amazing experience. In a lot of ways I prefer the less insulated experience of sitting in other seats. I certainly feel like less of a crazy person when I shout "Bison!" from there. But it was a great treat and a chance to snoop...
Really, I don't get it.
My guess is that the point was that Kemp's behavior is so awful that anything he does merits a putdown from the Stonecutters. But to say that the anecdote was vaguely explained is an understatement.
And the fact of the matter is it's not (2001/2003/1999) anymore. ... It's 2007, and I think you have to live in the present.
And you can't live by big names. You can't live in the past. It doesn't matter what somebody did in a (World Series/World Series/Saturday Night Live episode) (six/four/seven) years ago. Now is what matters, and that's what I think.
Although they are unintentionally funny.
Ross Newhan had a column in Sunday's LAT regarding the recent success of the Angels with Stoneman and Sciosia in charge.
It was in the same spirit as today's defense of the Dodgers transitional integrational youth movement --
You've got to give the kids a break & let them play through their mistakes
Choose your veterans wisely
Stay the course
Focus on winning the big prize - it's more important then the marketing campaign
Leadership begins with those who are paid to lead - the GM, the manager, the coaches
http://tinyurl.com/2f2gux
We Heart Ross Newhan.
22 Darnit. And I'd already sent my invitation for her to join my team.
I still remember him from back when my Dad used to take me to Rams games in the late '50s, early '60s at the Coliseum. My favorite Ram was Jon Arnett, who was probably the 2nd greatest open-field runner ever, next to Gale Sayers.
http://www.clickondetroit.com/news/14099445/detail.html
The man's name is Richard Aller. I never liked him and found him annoying.
And once at a game when I was wearing a UCLA sweatshirt, he tried to convince me that Walt Hazzard was one of the best basketball coaches UCLA had ever hired.
I am seriously considering changing my username to Matt Kemp's Moved Trash Can.
But as apologies go, would you consider hers entirely successful?
Seen as how she ripped on her teammate to a camera crew, but her apology is just on some stupid Myspace, I am going to have to say no.
Her last line is "I hope... you can find the understanding needed to forgive me." That isn't an apology. I put it in the same boat as people who say "I'm sorry that you were offended by what I said," which also isn't an apology. Points against.
In the end, it's neither the worst nor the best apology I've ever read.
(Is Women's soccer/footbal a medal event next year?)
Soccer is still on the Olympic list although FIFA and the IOC don't like each other much.
But I don't begrudge her sticking by her main criticism and I think her point that, how could be an athlete like this and not want to be on the field and think I'm best was well put.
But I'm biased in her favor because I think the coach is a real jerk for threatening to cut her from the team -- that really seems extreme at this point in time.
While it's true that he's still young, I'm usually suspicious of guys with high BAs and low IsoDs. Plus, his IsoP really isn't that high.
10 - I can understand the woman's frustration with Kemp "not playing up to his ability" and preferring guys that play beyond it. I've seen both kinds of athletes up close and personal, the guys playing above their level are generally better guys and more fun to root for. I'd say they win about an equal amount.
He'll move a Dumpster.
Then, in 2009, a 30-yarder.
Tony La Russa pretty much sent J.D. Drew into exile because he didn't think Drew played up to his potential.
Marta´s goal: http://tinyurl.com/yo5ma3
my Dad used to take me to Rams games in the late '50s, early '60s at the Coliseum. My favorite Ram was Jon Arnett, who was probably the 2nd greatest open-field runner ever, next to Gale Sayers.
Me, too. To this day, whenever I look at a roster, I first check to see who's wearing Arnett's #26.
It's Luis Gonzalez. For three more games.
45 - IsoP, I assume is Isolated Patience... I have to admit, I've got a problem with this metric. Patience is not just drawing walks, it's working the count to get a good pitch to hit. I think I made this point a while back, but doesn't a guy who works more counts to 2-0, 3-1, 3-1 show more patience than a guy who swings at the first pitch every single time? As for IsoD, what is that?
53 No, a player can perform exactly the same way and see less of his balls in play fall in for hits, simply because it's entriely luck whether or not a ball just misses a fielder or it's caught. A "natural" .300 hitter could be hitting somewhere between .380 and .230 200 at bats into the season by things that are entirely out of his control.
Let me put it this way... there are a lot of athletes with natural talent, guys who make it look really easy. Then there are guys with less talent but more drive, they tend to be the guys who put in extra time at the gym, more time in the batting cages, etc. The guys with less talent are the ones who people say are playing above their level - it is, I think, the fascination that so many have with Eckstein. Relatively speaking, he's not very talented for a major league ball player, but the guy leaves everything on the field - a lot of fans can relate to those guys.
58 - huh, seems like Kemp hits more line drives than that.
Ok, I have to go to San Diego now. Y'all have a good weekend.
"Although this is a difficult market in which to operate a development camp, the long wait for a nucleus of the current caliber to emerge from what had become a fallow farm system at times justified the 2007 route and demands caution if the club is now thinking it should break up that nucleus."
cf. "2000 Years of Willie Mays" from Bill James. In the simulation (based on career numbers) Mays hit something like .360 one year and .253 the next.
It was a computer model, entirely random. If it had really happened, imagine the press.
1 JUAN ENCARNACION
2 MICHAEL COLEMAN
3 DEE BROWN
4 Sammy Sosa
5 RUBEN MATEO
6 VERNON WELLS
7 Orlando Cepeda
8 Larry Hisle
9 COREY HART
10 ALEX ESCOBAR
Though I doubt any one who thinks Kemp is a problem would actually care about something like that.
In a recent LA Times article, it was stated:
"... if [Kent] accepts his $9-million option and returns for 2008, probably will split playing time with 22-year-old Tony Abreu."
I thought 2008 was automatic once Kent reached a certain number of PAs. Once he has reached this minimum, there is no way out for either party; he will be a Dodger in 2008.
OR is it really an option - Kent can decide to opt out and play elsewhere (?) Or is the only other option with this contract retirement?
But first someone has to explain soccer to him.
My source thinks that the Dodgers should stick with the youth movement.
Njr himself is clearly a source close to the Dodgers and I've already written my article. I didn't even have to pay the $10!
I also hear the trash can has since been given an innocuous-looking coat of black enamel.
Do you guys know São Paulo F.C.? Some years ago I played for their youth team but I broke the leg twice.
Any Brazilians planning on playing in the MLS, or does that just cause laughter?
79 I've read various reports of Ronaldo, Kaka, and Ronaldinho when they're ready for the pre retirement phase, but it seems like player movement speculation is soccer is worse than in any other sport.
I don't really have a favorite team, but there are some relatives of mine in Germany who are big Dortmunder Union fans, but I can't even name one player on that squad.
I've always liked the name Sheffield Wednesday, even though they stink.
I've always despised Richard Aller and found him the most annoying vendor in the stadium.
I never bought a single item from him.
My friend and I stayed up in Vegas to watch England lose in the last World Cup.
That was pretty terrible. Thankfully, I did not bet on the game like I had planned.
http://tinyurl.com/2u2f4c
mellow? Dude lives in LA, you'd think he'd have made it to at least one Giants game
I don't think that I have been to enough games to have a favorite, but I do like the older guys more than the younger ones.