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Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 35-27 (.565)
When Jon attended: 4-3 (.571)
When Jon didn't: 31-24 (.564)
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Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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Dodger Thoughts commenter CanuckDodger offers the following assessment of the Dodgers' efforts on the international amateur market:
When the Dodgers' scouting czar Logan White engaged in an online chat at Dodgers.com on June 12, he was asked, "Are the Dodgers looking to sign any top flight Latin American players?" White replied, "Absolutely." At that time, the next signing period for international amateur players was only a few weeks away. The window to sign Latin talent opened on July 2, and on July 7 Dominican Today quoted White as saying, "We're aggressive. We're going to spend money. The word is out the Dodgers are a player, baby." The problem with what Dominican Today quoted White as saying - aside from the fact that in 2007 the word "baby," used the way White used it, shouldn't be heard from or attributed to anyone who isn't a character in a rerun of Kojak - is that the Dodgers ended up being anything but a "player" in the market for Latin American talent. Again.
On the latest incarnation of my Top 30 Dodger Prospects list, there are only three players who were signed as international free agents, and two of them, RHP Ramon Troncoso and SS Chin-Lung Hu, were signed in 2002 and 2003 respectively. For three years after the Dodgers were bought by Frank McCourt, the Dodgers kept their efforts to bring young talent into the organization through the international amateur free agent market at the barest minimum. That was supposed to change when Logan White was promoted from Amateur Scouting Director for the Dodgers - a position that made White responsible only for the domestic draft and non-drafted free agents in the U.S. - to Assistant General Manager, Scouting, as White was specifically, publicly, given the job of reviving the Dodgers' moribund international scouting endeavors. And White was also supposed to be given the money to do the job right.
In the international signing period that lasted from July 2 to August 20, the Dodgers didn't sign a single player who ended up among the top 20 for signing bonuses received. The New York Yankees signed five such players, giving them bonuses that ranged from $500,000 to $1.1 million. The Seattle Mariners gave out two of the top five signing bonuses, awarding $1 million to one shortstop, and $800,000 to another. The Boston Red Sox made the largest expenditure of all for one player, with 3B Michael Almanzar collecting $1.5 million to sign with Boston. The Atlanta Braves made RHP Julio Teheran of Columbia the highest-paid pitcher, with a bonus of $850,000. The New York Mets and Texas Rangers each signed two players with bonuses of $550,000 or higher. And it wasn't just the larger market teams that opened their wallets. The San Diego Padres shelled out $750,000 for SS Jonathan Galvez, and gave $350,000 to OF Rymer Liriano. The Milwaukee Brewers snapped up OF Hitaniel Arias for $450,000. Even the penurious Kansas City Royals were of a mind to spend some money, inking one player for $250,000, another for $230,000, and another for $200,000, although not one of those three bonuses made the top 20.
One might wonder just how much the Dodgers were willing to spend on a single player during the international signing period. It's unknown if they put in bids on any of the pricier players available, but by all accounts the Dodgers regard their big "get" from the international signing period to be RHP Jose Dominguez, from the Dominican Republic, and he cost only $50,000. The Royals spent $200,000 to $250,000 on three different players, but all the cash the Dodgers could muster for their best signee was $50,000? Is that what Logan White was contemplating when he boasted that the Dodgers were going to be a "player" in the international market? Frankly, I am skeptical that the Dodgers spent a sufficient sum of money to even qualify as a "bit player." While other organizations, not all of them made of money, were shopping on Rodeo Drive, the Dodgers were rummaging through bins at a flea market - and one shabby enough to actually have fleas.
Logan White may well have had a mandate from Frank McCourt to get more talent out of Latin America than the Dodgers had been getting since McCourt took control of the Dodgers, and White almost certainly had to have more money for the task than McCourt was willing to spend before, but "more" is not the same thing as "enough." The Dodgers' budget to sign international amateur talent is still small, and the Dodgers' reputation in the international market is that they are still cheap. Scout.com's Bill Shelley claims that in the Dominican Republic the men who steer talented kids to MLB organizations - and take a cut of the kids' signing bonuses - outright avoid the Dodgers when they have kids whom they think are worth a million dollars or two, with Shelley quoting White as saying, "We don't get to talk to them. They know we won't pay that."
Since he took over responsibility for signing international amateurs, White's biggest signing has been that of 3B Pedro Baez, the sole international free agent from the McCourt era on my Top 30 Dodger Prospects list. But even that one player came very close to slipping through the Dodgers' fingers because of money. After Baez's agent accepted White's offer of a $200,000 signing bonus, the Red Sox offered more money. Bill Shelley quotes White, "The Red Sox and Yankees do that sort of thing. If they want a player, they'll simply top your offer." Fortunately for the Dodgers, Baez's agent had integrity. Baez had not yet signed a contract, and even though the agent could get more money for his client elsewhere, the agent felt honor-bound to accept the Dodgers' offer, because he had already agreed to it verbally.
Dodger fans don't expect their team to throw around tens of millions of dollars as liberally as the Yankees and Red Sox. At least the reasonable ones don't. But it should cause Dodger fans pause to consider that their team won't even match the Yankees and Red Sox when it comes to throwing around hundreds of thousands of dollars. In the last couple of years, the Yankees and Red Sox have improved their takes from the domestic draft simply by kicking a few extra million dollars into their draft budgets. The international market for amateur free agents is another area in which a relatively small investment can lead to rewards far out of proportion to the investment. In Bill James' recent ranking of the top 50 young MLB players in the game, seven of the players named had been signed as international amateur free agents. That might not seem like a lot measured against the 26 players on the list drafted out of high schools, or even the 13 drafted out of four-year colleges, but it is a good return given how much less money MLB teams collectively spend on international amateurs compared to how much money they pour into the draft.
This past summer, the Dodgers' failure to come up with the cash needed to sign RHP Kyle Blair - a legitimate first-round talent who fell to the Dodgers in the fifth round of the draft - could have been justified, albeit feebly, as a sacrifice on the altar of good citizenship in the MLB community, while other organizations, in defying the "slotting" system for bonuses, catered strictly to their self-interest. That excuse won't play for the international market. MLB places no restrictions, either formally or informally, on how much money can be spent on any individual international free agent, or how much money a team can spend on those players in total. Only misplaced frugality on Frank McCourt's part can account for why the Dodgers take a slingshot to a gunfight any time the Dodgers venture into the international amateur talent market. The Dodgers, a team that can be fairly said to have pioneered the scouting and signing of international players, are spitting on part of their own leagacy, and McCourt - not for the first time, nor, I'm sure, for the last - should be ashamed.
Update: The Logan White quote attributed to Dominican Today originally appeared in this Diamond Leung Press-Enterprise piece on the Dodgers' Dominican Republic presence.
Except for the stadium renovations and ludicrous Torre contract, the Dodgers sure don't act like a big-market monster.
My question: how long has this been going on? Is the, ah, frugality with international players a relatively new phenomenon? Did it exist with DePo in charge or is this a Ned thing?
Not that it matters, I guess. It's truly sad. I grew up with the idea that the Dodgers were big players in the international community. Why we took such a huge step backward is beyond me.
Teams that "sacrifice" to the slotting system are fools. Draft signings are a huge huge bargain. The slotting system is a gross undervaluation. Quite frankly, the slotting system should be illegal (and would be in any other multi-billion dollar monopoly).
Someone needs to convince Frank that the best way to save money in the long run is to spend it on amateur players.
I haven't read it yet but I already know this is going to be a great write up. Kudos in advance.
Why don't they see that if they just spent the extra bit of money initially, then down the road they don't have to pay outrageous amounts of money for mediocre depth since you will already have that depth available in your system.
Yes, he does have a flaw.
What CPA said. Why isn't the MSM ever on stuff like this?
I have no orginial thoughts tonight.
Without any expertise or experience, I would guess that the international draft would be more of a high risk, high reward endeavor relative to the domestic draft. My reasoning is that there has to be less data available for international FA's relative to HS or college players. Not sure if this is true, so feel free to roast me.
Anyway, great write up and something I hadn't considered before.
Anyone think the Dodgers' leasing of one of thier fields in the DR has any relation to this? Maybe its an organizational thing that's been in place for a while.
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Is it too late to say I'm interested in a shirt?
After the new collective bargaining agreement was signed, players must be placed on the 40-man roster:
1) within 5 seasons after the year drafted if signed when 18 or younger
2) within 4 seasons after the year drafted if signed when 19 or older
Requirements used to be 4 and 3 seasons, respectively.
James McDonald was drafted in 2002, and signed when he was 18, so he must be protected on the 40-man roster next month or he will be subject to the Rule 5 draft.
What about Justin Orenduff? He was signed at age 21 in 2004, so shouldn't he not have to be placed on the 40-man until December 2008?
Same with Xavier Paul...signed at age 18 in 2003...shouldn't he also be a 2008 addition?
Answer that question, and you will find the answer to the question you ask!
The things I'm willing to do for you, Philosopher King. It's all about sacrifice, I think.
Even if two out of ten signings pan out, it's a huge return on a relatively small investment.
That's just speculation, though.
Mainly I wanted to salute Canuck's superb report. Who needs the MSM? I assume the Dodger PR staff monitors DT, so I would like to ask for a response from the organization to the issues Canuck has raised. Let's hear your side. I'm sure Jon would be more than happy to post it.
http://tinyurl.com/2qyny4
Of course, if the Dodgers really thought that, they'd have signed Kyle Blair.
It's worth noting that the last three high-profile international signings the Dodgers have made (or at least, the last three I can remember) all panned out to a reasonable degree. Guzman was used as a trade chip that eventually got us Chris Withrow and James Adkins; Kuo gave us a starting pitching boost without which we'd have missed the 2006 playoffs; and Hu was the best SS in minor league baseball this year.
Was driving home from my softball game (we lost in the finals 21-16) tonight and Joe McDonnell was on one of the local sports radio stations talking about AROD. I thought I'd listen in, either that or some bad reception on a RHCP song. The first thing he said made sense about AROD taking a big risk by opting out because there were only a few teams that could afford him. Then he started going through a few of the teams. First up was the Mets. His first thought was, oh they have David Wright so just move Wright to firstbase. Blah blah blah they have Delgado. So move Wright to the outfield or put AROD at SS and can their shortstop. Uh, ok. Now if he would've said Wright or Reyes to 2B, I could've agreed a little bit. Then he said the Cubs, with no mention of ARAM at 3B. Then the Dodgers. He said the Dodgers owner doesn't have the money to pay AROD 1/4 of the team's payroll (probably some truth). He said the Dodgers could afford him by having McCourt build a mall and condos in the Dodger Stadium parking lot. He said from the money made at the mall and from the condos they could pay AROD. He then added, how cool would it be to live in a Condo in the parking lot of Dodger Stadium. Luckily, that's when I got home and turned the radio off.
vr, Xei
First Mochican makes a point that I thought of as well, it seems that the Dodgers, I think in the early Fox years made a conscious effort to to lower their efforts in the Carraiban. In addition to the leasing of their facility in the DR, didn't they also get into trouble with signing players who were too young.
If my memory is correct after the Dodgers were fined by MLB, they also made cuts in their scouts down there. All of this adds up to a lower profile coupled with more competition in the area and not paying top or even mid-level dollar and you end up with more examples of bad Dodger management.
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/7445434
He pretty much said the same thing about Torre and we know how that turned out.
For political reasons, Taiwan has to call its team "Chinese Taipei" even when it is playing at home. It keeps China happy.
The winner of the game gets first place in its group and will play either Canada or the Netherlands in the quarterfinals.
It's like some bizarro world.
That seems nice. I'm glad to know that Torii Hunter would also bring the Dodgers "presence."
And all this speculating is predicated on Juan Pierre playing left field. Ugh.
In unrelated news, if anybody knows how I transfer the data (contacts and calendar) from one Blackberry to a new one, please send me an email.
vr, Xei
Just reminding everybody of that particular bit of stupidity.
vr, Xei
When ESPN releases it's January "Free Agent Winners and Losers" claptrap, I'd like to be a loser. Let's go to bat with what we have. We have a lot.
vr, Xei
http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/
vr, Xei
and i also agree with whomever said they liked the font in canuck's article better than the fonts on rest of the site.
However, I don't agree with Christina Kahrl's thoughts of brilliance of the move. Loaiza is good for somewhere between a 4.50-5.00 ERA, which is good enough for a 5th starter.
Ridiculous.
http://tinyurl.com/yp6hmz
You're a more forgiving soul than I, Xei. Bad, bad move.
What?
.278/.336/.490 54 XBH, 45 BB
Matchup these clubhouse presences with their 2006 stat lines:
Torii Hunter
Luis Gonzalez
vr, Xei
Wow, Andrew. Why don't you and Esteban get a room already. But really, come on. He'll surely be better than Stulton. At only twenty times the cost.
It's just endemic of a "spend now, think later" philosophy. Zero long term investment.
And I can't believe that the Dodgers would adopt the position that the international kids are too far from the majors to assess accurately, because that is an argument that saber teams use to justify avoiding high schoolers and picking college players, and White's drafts show a preference for younger draftees whose tools he believes in, rather than a record of performance. Scouting international kids is all about trusting the tools you see, so that is right up White's alley. Now maybe White can say that he thinks the Latin boys getting big money are getting more than they are worth, but then I would have to say that as good as White is, can so MANY teams giving out these big bonuses be completely wrong in their scouting evaluations? Are there NO Latin kids worth more than a couple hundred thousand dollars? That doesn't sound reasonable to me. In fact, that position would be practically racist. It makes more sense that White would spend the money if he had it, and he simply doesn't have it.
But "bigot" has a real bite, and is appropriate when discussing ethnic groups. Just food for thought.
Second, he is only signed for one year with a very low buyout and if they can make it through the year, then the young guys should be in better position to fill in.
It is unlikely you could sign any free agent (unless it is someone like Wolf) for only one year and Loiaza is probably at the going price.
Which I probably owe you anyway.
I was hot on Cabrera, but not at these prices. My focus is now on Andruw Jones, a player who might well be happy with a Furcal-type of deal and, if he's able to bounce back could make a difference in our offensive productivity. A full year of Loney, Kemp, Kent, healthy Furcal, Martin and Jones, combined with good pitching and it could be a decent year, something to build on.
Torre's got three years, after all. A World Series in 2010 would be fine with me.
Agreed.
Here's what I don't get: We know that locking up Cabrera is going to take a MASSIVE deal...well, if you're going to do that, why not just sign Arod?
Sure, Arod might take 25-30 a year....but will Cabrera be THAT much less to extend? If we're going after a third baseman, I'd MUCH rather just sign Arod than deal Kershaw, Laroche, Kemp and whatever else for Cabrera.
I have to agree with you on Loaiza. I'm not a huge fan, but at 7 mill per if he can pitch at least average than things have worked out.
To put it another way, I'd much rather have Loaiza starting every fifth day than Tomdrickson.
vr, Xei