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NL West Preview
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Unreliable Relievers
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Also ...
A Season in Savannah (Stanford Magazine)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2005) (Hardball Times)
Rick Monday (Baseball Analysts)
Baseball's Odd Couple (Baseball Prospectus)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2006) (Hardball Times)
Five Questions: Los Angeles Dodgers (2007) (Hardball Times)
Dodger home record: 39-30 (.565)
When Jon attended: 5-3 (.625)
When Jon didn't: 34-27 (.557)
Dodgers at home: 745-600 (.554)
Jon attended: 293-233 (.557)*
Jon didn't: 457-374 (.550)
* includes road games attended
Current Roster with Estimated 2008 Salaries
(updated March 28)
Most figures are estimates (some are wild estimates) but will be updated as information comes in. Corrections welcome.
More contract details here.
Starting Pitchers (5)
$12,300,000 Hiroki Kuroda
$10,000,000 Derek Lowe
$9,500,000 Brad Penny
$7,000,000 Esteban Loaiza
*$500,000 Chad Billingsley
Total: $39,300,000
Bullpen (6)
$2,000,000 Takashi Saito
$1,925,000 Joe Beimel
$1,125,000 Scott Proctor
*$500,000 Jonathan Broxton
$500,000 Chan Ho Park
*$400,000 Hong-Chih Kuo
Total: $6,450,000
Starting Lineup (8)
$14,100,000 Andruw Jones
$13,000,000 Rafael Furcal
$9,000,000 Jeff Kent
$8,500,000 Nomar Garciaparra
$8,000,000 Juan Pierre
$500,000 Russell Martin
*$400,000 James Loney
*$400,000 Matt Kemp
Total: $53,900,000
Bench (6)
$875,000 Gary Bennett
$600,000 Mark Sweeney
$424,500 Andre Ethier
$391,000 Delwyn Young
$390,000 Chin-Lung Hu
$390,000 Blake DeWitt
Total: $3,071,000
Disabled List
$12,000,000 Jason Schmidt
*$400,000 Tony Abreu
*$390,000 Andy LaRoche
Total: $12,790,000
Also Paying ...
$1,000,000 Brett Tomko
$750,000 Odalis Perez
$540,000 Yhency Brazoban
$500,000 Randy Wolf
$487,500 Jason Repko
$135,225 Rudy Seanez
$100,000 Mike Lieberthal
$50,000 Ramon Martinez
Total: $3,562,725
Working total: *$113,268,725
*Rough salary estimate
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4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Baseball Toaster runs on some experimental software called Fairpole. It's still under development.
For more information, please visit the Fairpole blog, or read the FAQ.
In Friday Night Lights, Eric Taylor (Kyle Chandler) took an assistant coaching job at the equivalent of the University of Texas, only to quit in midseason to rejoin his wife and daughters (one a teenager, the other an infant) back in the smaller town of Dillon.
If Jack Curry's article in the New York Times is any indication (link courtesy of commenter Dodgers49), something similar happened with erstwhile Dodger hitting coach Don Mattingly.
As recently as last month, Mattingly spoke excitedly about his new position. But Ray Schulte, Mattingly's agent, said unspecified family issues caused Mattingly to revise his plans.
"Everything is fine medically," said Schulte, referring to Mattingly's family. "It really boils down to he's got Kim and Jordon at home and that's his priority. With the change in jobs and the constant traveling, he couldn't do it and also be there for his family. He couldn't do both." ...
Schulte said that Mattingly and (Dodger manager Joe) Torre typically speak every day and that Mattingly planned to remain as available as possible to Torre. ...
Schulte said Mattingly expected to return to a regular coaching position with the Dodgers in 2009.
"He's looking forward to next year when he can do it full time," Schulte said. "He still wants to be a manager some day."
Tony Jackson of the Daily News asked Dodger general manger Ned Colletti about Mattingly in '09.
"We're open-minded to it," Colletti said.
"We'll see how it goes, but that is all I can say right now. I can't predict the future for Donnie. He will continue to work in the organization, but he'll be able to spend more time back home, which is important to him. From time to time, he will be with the club or take a look around the minor leagues. He'll continue to stay vested with the Dodgers and continue to contribute."
Mattingly will attend the early stages of spring training. During the season, he is expected to make occasional visits to the Dodgers' minor-league affiliates, as well as joining the big-league club as a pregame instructor during visits to cities near Evansville such as Chicago, Cincinnati and possibly Milwaukee and St. Louis. ...
While being careful not to officially confirm that Mattingly was ever in line to replace Torre, Colletti indicated that if he was, that hasn't necessarily changed.
"It's too early to tell, but my opinion of him hasn't changed," Colletti said. "I think there is still a great amount of intellect that he can bring to the organization, and we're glad he is still a part of the organization. We will see what transpires in the next months and years and how it all grows together. But I could have said that back in November."
As Jackson points out, Mattingly's future affects the future of his replacement, Mike Easler. Easler might be sensitive to this. Back in 2001, he filed a lawsuit against the St. Louis Cardinals after being relieved of his hitting coach duties - only to almost immediately drop the suit.
According to The Associated Press:
The suit, filed in state court, charges the Cardinals with wrongful termination, defamation of character and invasion of privacy, and seeks damages in excess of $25,000 and additional punitive damages.
"Mike wants closure to this," said James Schottel Jr., Easler's attorney. "He wants another opportunity to be a hitting coach and eventually an opportunity as a manager."
Easler was in his third season with the Cardinals when he was reassigned July 13. He was offered a spot as a roving minor league hitting coach and declined. ...
In the petition, Easler admits he missed a nine-game road trip prior to the All-Star break, blaming the absence on several unspecified health conditions. But he insists he kept the Cardinals informed of his whereabouts and treatment.
Easler charges that Cardinals trainer Barry Weinberg and team physician Jim Loomis asked an emergency room doctor at Saint Louis University Hospital to "give (Easler) some medicine and tell (Easler) to catch the next flight out in the morning" to rejoin the Cardinals on the road.
Instead, Easler went home to San Antonio and was treated by his personal doctor. When he rejoined the club, the suit says, the Cardinals informed Easler he was being replaced.
"After years of advancing through the major league baseball system, (the Cardinals) deliberately rendered (Easler's) working condition, in being demoted to the minors, so intolerable that (Easler) was forced to resign and thus constructively discharged," the suit says.
The suit also alleges that public comments made by Cardinals GM Walt Jocketty about Easler's removal -- specifically "Mike had some personal issues he had to deal with" -- were knowingly false and have "caused irreparable harm ... in that (Easler) is and will be unable to find employment in major league baseball as a hitting coach or manager."
Easler later "retracted" the suit, according to Baseball-Reference.com - apparently a week later.
* * *
Josh Wilker once wrote about Easler at Cardboard Gods. Or, more to the point, he used Easler as a jumping off point ...
I was looking forward to Mattingly in the dugout. I hope Easler is very effective and doesn't miss too much time.
I think most of us rather have Larry Bowa than Rich Donnelly.
But if writers didn't sometimes extend words in creative but understandable and meaningful ways, we would have a very dull language.
Next thing you'll be telling me that a geek can only mean a carny that bites the heads off chickens.
Pfoeey!
"Mattingly had been out of baseball for eight years, after his retirement in 1995, when the principal owner George Steinbrenner offered him the job of hitting coach after the 2003 season. Mattingly accepted with the blessing of his family, signing a one-year deal to see how he enjoyed a job that took him away from his home in Evansville, Ind.
Family concerns prompted Mattingly to reconsider a return next season, but he told The Daily News that his family approved of his staying with the Yankees."
Beyond that, there are multiple articles from 2000 on about Mattingly thinking about taking a job with the Yankees, but not being sure if he wants to leave his farm and family. I think this is an issue that Mattingly has struggled with for years. Frankly, I would be surprised if he comes back to the Dodgers full time next year, and would be even more surprised if he ever winds up as the team's manager.
Seriously, I have students who talk like that. They mix in the smart with the jive. It's like listening to jazz.
We were razzing Sam. It's an entirely different thing.
However Sam has subpoena power, so we should be careful.
Makes you wonder how this would have played out had he been chosen as the Yankees' manager?
vr, Xei
- Score Bard's random Gammons generator
Also a book and and movie!
About Texas high school football.
Would any human in their right mind dream of going to Texas Tech?
http://tinyurl.com/34jg8y
As for Easler's lawsuit I have to give him credit for having the stones to sue the Cards but in the big picture it makes me question his judgment. Filing a defamation suit against your emplyer is no small matter, even if it the Cardinals)
On the other hand, Mattingly as the reigning Yankee superstar of the 80's probably made over $3 mil/year for a long time + endorsements, and may not have the financial need to be in baseball, as opposed to his need to address his family issues.
Or now.
I really think that kid in a way is Frank McCourt. It seems to me McCourt is a fellow who wears a Dodger cap and at times a Red Sox shirt (Bill Mueller and Nomar) a Yankee shirt (Torre, Mattingly et al) and even a Giants shirt (Ned and his collection of San Francisco treats--- Ramon Martinez, Tomko, Sweeney et al)
As a lifelong Dodger fan about the only thing I can say is that it is tough to have any allegiance to the Foxes and McCourts because I don't think they have any real allegiance to the Dodgers.
Stan from Tacoma
Hey, anyone know a good place to get a Russell Martin jersey and not spend 100 bucks? Ebay?
http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2008/01/gammons-digs-bl.html
vr, Xei
http://tinyurl.com/r9fl4
vr, Xei
http://tinyurl.com/34llnb
I guess our hopes rest with Torre to make the right lineup decisions as Colletti seems to be locked in with Pierre.
You'd think this would be comforting, but actually, the last thing I want to find out is that baseball is made up of real people with problems like the rest of us. Guess I'll meander over to Cardboard Gods.
http://tinyurl.com/2tnfex
Can't your current employer create a position for you that allows you to stay home with your kids but still get paid?
"Mattingly and his wife, who were high school sweethearts, have been married since Sept. 8, 1979."
Mattingly was born 4/20/1961.
Where the door's always open and the idea that baseball players are actual guys is always avoided. They are gods and that's it! Flimsy gods, of course, but gods.
As for Easler, he certainly had his disciples when he was hitting coach for the Bosox. I think Mo Vaughn continued to seek his council even after Easler was no longer employed by the team.
In the real world companies bend over all the time for their employee's. It all depends on the company. When mine moved from Santa Monica to Irvine I stopped going into the office 5 days a week and started working from home.
When my best friend needed to move to Kansas for family reasons his Culver City firm decided to let him continue his employment and now he works from home.
I've seen countless example of parents getting flex time to better handle the stress of parenting.
Obviously Jon's employee's know he writes Dodger Thoughts but they give him leeway as long as he does the job he's paid to do.
Corporate America is not based in the 60's anymore and if your a valued employee they will do what it takes to keep your services. At least the good ones will because lets face it, good workers are hard to find.
45 Thanks! Be seein' you.
But America needs more dentists!
http://tinyurl.com/2ws4wh
The deal looks like 4/$12 (through first 2 years of arbitration), with 3 option years that could bring the total package to 7/$40.
If all 3 options are exercised, they cover Shields' first 2 FA years.
http://tinyurl.com/2spt7o
I know that we have a lot of payroll space after this year (about $50 million by my count with Lowe, Kent, Nomar, Loaiza, and Furcal all gone). I just hope that we can avoid the ugliness that is going on now between the Phillies and Ryan Howard.
Sign the deal Russ!
Under,
I picked up my Ethier jersey on ebay through a store that sews the name and number on the back of authentic Dodger jerseys. It doesn't look quite as good as the $250 ones in the store, but I only paid $55 for it.
The world of the public library will always welcome you.
raygu1 (nj): Nate-thanks for the chat. Will Andruw Jones power return in LA this year? I remember reading a quote from Colletti stating that alot of his long outs in ATL would have been out of Dodger Stadium.
Nate Silver: Colletti is right that Dodger Stadium has in fact turned into a pretty decenet home run park, and we're forecasting a bit of a bounceback season for Andruw, but nothing too out of line with expectations. We're probably looking at 25-27 home runs, but the batting average to remain subpar.
nickojohnson (Los Angeles): Care to give us a quick preview of Matt Kemp's PECOTA? I'm curious as to how it views his BABIP-assisted numbers from last year
Nate Silver: PECOTA: Matt Kemp :: ObamaGirl : Barack Obama. We have him at .297/.349/.505 next year, so the batting average does indeed look like a bit of a fluke, but the isolated power should be right where it ended up last year.
Kemp's IsoP
2007: 179
2008 (projected): 208
208 doesn't really seem "right where" 179 is
Current Padres' OF on the 40-Man
Brian Giles (age 37 in 2008)
Jim Edmonds (38)
Scott Hairston (28)
Drew Macias (25)
Paul McAnulty (27)
Chase Headley* (24; expected to move from 3B)
That's similar to Gagne losing his arbitration case in 2004, after he won the Cy Young, because his figure ($8m) was too high in comparison with similar service time contracts.
Nate Silver: The Dodgers can certainly compete. In fact, I don't think they're giving up much to anyone in the National League right now. Of course, they'd probably gain 3-4 wins on that projection if Juan Pierre found his way into the Springfield Mystery Spot tomorrow morning.
But, Howard has a case that he was held down in the minors for far too long (became full time as a 25-year old in 2005), and that's why his service time is so low.
I think Howard loses his arbitration case if it goes to hearing (the offers are $7m & $10m). The only way Howard wins is if he gets extra credit for also serving as corporate manager for Dunder Mifflin.
By the way, how cool is it that baseball Ryan Howard, exactly like the fictional one, also spent two years in Scranton before moving up to the big leagues?
Also, I am really bummed this year because if we're going to have a crappy backup catcher, I'd at least like to have one who stars in the opening credits to The Office. (Dwight Schrute keeps a Lieberthal bobblehead on his desk.)
Ha!! I didn't realize that connection before. That's awesome.
If he stays healthy, he will get crazy money even in his age 32 FA season. With the way revenue streams are pouring in over the next few years, a $200 million contract in 2012 will look like a $100 million contract did in 2002.
In this world where guys like Torii Hunter get $18 million per in the long term and where Tomko gets $3 million to serve up homeruns to Hafner and Miggy, Howard will get paid plenty when he finally becomes a FA.
I think he will end up losing this round, but the Phillies are playing with fire by not locking him up in today's dollars, even if it is more than they want to pay.
I could also see him being a David Ortiz-type under the right circumstances. However, I think there have been a lot more guys like Vaughn whose weight and injuries ended careers.
"Heroes" the TV series is pretty much like Nakamura's Dodgers career. It had a very hot promising beginning and then quickly devolved into nothingness.