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Rich Man, Poor Man, Blogger Man, Thief
2008-04-03 21:35
by Jon Weisman

You know what the funny thing is about the whole stereotype about bloggers living in their parents' basements? After college, when I became a full-time sportswriter for the Los Angeles Daily News, I moved back home to my parents' house in Woodland Hills, 10 minutes from the office, for two years. Yet during my entire blogging career, I have been a homeowner.

Today on Baseball Beat with Charley Steiner, I was asked to offer my perspective on the issue of blogger credibility and credentialbility. I understand what's prompting the questions: There's increasing discussion on whether bloggers should be allowed locker-room access, in a world where moments before my introduction, New York Times columnist Murray Chass had expressed the all-too-common view basically comparing bloggers to the Ebola virus. Nevertheless, it's fascinating to actually find a need to defend an entire class of people - especially when the attacks are coming from a class of people that is supposed to be professional, insightful, objective and open-minded. (Yes, that passes muster with the Irony Committee.)

So what's my response? It's not rocket science. Some bloggers are better than others, just like some sportswriters are better than others. Some have earned credibility and credentials, others haven't. Rather than compare the very best mainstreamer to the very worst online writer, as Chass implicitly did, I think it makes more sense to note the obvious - that there is a mix of quality in both camps.

Steiner - whom I gather doesn't live and die with Dodger Thoughts but was enough of a reader of this site that on Opening Day 2006, he actually came up to me to introduce himself, honed in on a reason why this concept seems so difficult for some longtime journalists to accept. He speculates that it's about territory, that established reporters are responding negatively to bloggers out of fear of ceding part of their turf. This is not an economic era where you want to concede that unpaid volunteers can come anywhere close to doing your job.

But beyond self-preservation, it's important to realize that condemning a medium, at least in this case, is bush-league. The medium doesn't decide whether to tell a story in a thoughtful, responsible or entertaining fashion; the messenger does. (Well, I'll concede that David Simon has caused me to reconsider this belief, but not in favor of the mainstream journalists.) In any case, trust me: There are good and bad messengers everywhere.

My roots are in sports journalism. I had my first story published in the Los Angeles Times in 1986, covered my first major league baseball game in 1987 and was full-time in the profession by the end of 1989, nearly 13 years before I began blogging. I value how hard it is to be a sportswriter, and I emphasized to Steiner today how that many bloggers rely upon the work of mainstream sportswriters to launch their posts. For that matter, I understand job insecurity. I was the hot new prodigy on staff in '89 - by '92, there was a hotter, newer prodigy, and I was on my way to being marginalized at the ripe old age of 24.

But I expect reciprocity. If I've done a good job as an outsider looking in, I expect respect, not dismissal. First, some of the analysis done by bloggers is flat-out better than anything you'll see from a major paper - and it's done without the support system of a major paper, often without any renumeration whatsoever. In some ways, it's harder work.

Second, while there's value in interacting with the players and management of a baseball team, I can testify that there's often value in not interacting with them. It can give you a level of objectivity that is often missing from mainstream reporting. And at a minimum, many kinds of analysis don't require a locker-room presence, yet can be of tremendous value when done right.

There is no good reason for an Us vs. Them mentality when it comes to mainstream reporters and bloggers. The readership benefits from their combined presence, and really, short of the sportswriter who doubles as a great blogger, one isn't going to take the other's job away. (You certainly won't see me on the Dodger beat for a local paper anytime soon.) Bottom line: A multitude of opinions and a more open debate of the issues are good things. We aren't witnessing the downfall of written baseball coverage; we're witnessing a flourishing, a tremendously rich era to live in. We should cherish this time.

Some people realize this: Steiner, for one. There's no reason to be so uptight about outsider writers. Yes, it's a rough go right now for journalists, but don't blame the bloggers for it. They're not making any more money than the journalists or taking their jobs, believe me. Forces beyond our control are killing the industry.

In the meantime, if there's one thing I could live without ever hearing again, it's that stereotype of bloggers working in their underwear from their parents' basements. I mean, I've had it. I'm not going to sit here and let mainstream baseball writers, who spend, God love 'em, 2,000 hours a year inside a ballpark, tell me that I or my blogger colleagues need to get a life. We have lives, thank you very much. Many of us have day jobs - many of us need day jobs - and many of us spend our weekends with our families and friends rather than with A-Rod and Jeter, and we see a world beyond the baseball field. Not saying that the mainstreamers don't - just that we do. Our passion for baseball drives us to write about the game, but hardly monopolizes our existence. If anything, we might have the perspective that insiders lack.

But don't let me dictate to you who's good and who isn't. Judge for yourself. Just judge after you've read an individual's work, not before.

 

Comments (435)
Show/Hide Comments 1-50
2008-04-03 21:41:54
1.   Pepperdine
From the previous thread, I'm excited to have Vin here at pepperdine. I'm graduating near the top of my class so I hope I get chance to meet him.
2008-04-03 21:51:51
2.   dianagramr
Well said Jon!

Its a point Will Carroll and I have discussed many times, as to how baseball bloggers will be able to gain admittance to the BBWAA.

2008-04-03 21:58:20
3.   Bob Timmermann
I have never lived in a house with a basement.

I also believe I know more about cows than Murray Chass.

2008-04-03 21:58:23
4.   Bluebleeder87
Great stuff Jon. I posted 3 or 4 pictures of Clayton Kershaw at Dodger Stadium on the Flickr page, I gotta tell you guys watching him live is just totally different, his stuff is just electric!
2008-04-03 21:59:32
5.   KG16
I'm still amazed that this "debate" is still going on. and I'm amazed that it's made it to the sports page.

While in law school, I saw a lot of this kind of thing for non-sports blogging. It was incredibly intense when it came to politics. They eventually found a balance, and given that even sports pages today have blogs (there's what, five? six? on the Times website), I can't understand why people are still so upset.

Of course, you said it much better than I ever could, Jon.

2008-04-03 22:00:43
6.   Franklin Stubbs
HERE HERE!

It is crazy to paint all bloggers with the same brush, esp with you are talking about a thoughtful blog like this writen by a writer from Variety!

I read DT as many times a day as it is new before I'd read the musings of TJ Simers and Bill Plashke. The two of them represent themselves and the Dodger org. in such a less productive way than you do.

I agree that the issue is territorialism esp in the context of newspaper firings. Most bloggers fit their blogging in as a hobby after their full time jobs and their attention to family life is paid.

There are bloggers who spew lies and rumor and there are bloggers who DRAMATICALLY increase the fan's love of the team and also the value of the franchise. I dare say Jon that you are the latter!

The real question is what do you do when the LA Times wants you to be their Dodger blogger?

2008-04-03 22:00:57
7.   Jon Weisman
3 - Our house had a basement, but we kept, you know, stuff down there. Stuff that we lost when our hot water heater ripped off its moorings and flooded the basement during the Northridge quake.
2008-04-03 22:03:27
8.   Xeifrank
Nice! That's one of your best blog entries. Problem is, the people who could learn from what you said are too stubborn to be open minded and listen to what you have to say. Keep up the good work, you have our support and we are behind you and others with your writing skills and kindness 100%.
vr, Xei
2008-04-03 22:06:17
9.   imperabo
Rule 13, no more visualizing Jon in his underwear. :)
2008-04-03 22:10:28
10.   Indiana Jon
I often post messages to other people's blogs from the basement. Its my basement though, not my parents, and once I get the theater and sports bar finished down there, you are all welcome to come blog with me.
2008-04-03 22:12:05
11.   Frip
Jon: "we're witnessing a flourishing, a tremendously rich era to live in. We should cherish this time.

Some people realize this: Steiner, for one."

Steiner may realize it, but he's not man enough to just say it. When you hung up, he went into "i'm just a confused as ever" mode. Instead of saying something as easy as "hey, the more opinions the better as far as I see it". That would have been the natural conclusion to how he came off with you. But no, he's got to wimp out with some neutral nonsense, and after that New York guy slaughtered bloggers.

I've been Charlie's biggest advocate these last two years. I lost something for him today. Yes it was good to even have you on. But he showed himself to be a fence sitter of the most obvious kind.

Just another game show host in baseball clothing.

2008-04-03 22:15:11
12.   Eric Enders
This was an excellent post and should be sent to Murray Chass posthaste. I'd do it myself, but there are some empty beer cans on the floor I have to go pick up now.
2008-04-03 22:17:42
13.   Sports Tsar
what's wrong with blogging in one's underwear?

George
http://sportstsar.com/

2008-04-03 22:18:52
14.   Frip
I see no sense Jon, in you having gone out of your way to mention your professional credintials on Charlie's show. This undermined the essential blogger stance of NOT having to have credentials and NOT having to have the blessing of the professional class. It was self serving and went against the whole ethos.
2008-04-03 22:19:48
15.   Eric Enders
11 I found it a little bit disturbing during the interview when Steiner said to Jon, "but you're one of the good bloggers," in that tone of voice that implies that a good blogger is something generally unheard of.

It was like something that might have come out of Katharine Hepburn's mouth in Guess Who's Coming to Dinner -- "but he's one of the good ones!" (So maybe that makes Jon the Sidney Poitier of bloggers?)

2008-04-03 22:20:54
16.   Disabled List
Great post. I'd like to add that I think one of the merits of bloggers is their lack of access. The opinion is unvarnished, there's nothing personal to pollute it. One of the huge flaws of the professional sportswriters is the way they play favorites and pick grudges. That rarely happens with the better bloggers, and I've never once noticed it with Jon.

Case in point is the way the LA sports media rallied around Juan Pierre this spring. By all accounts Pierre is a good guy who makes life easier for the writers who have to deal with primadonna jerks all the time. When Pierre's job became threatened, they all circled the wagons around him. We joked that the only people in the world who thought JP belonged as a starting OF were Ned Colletti and the Dodger press corps, but it really was the truth.

Jon, if you are ever offered a press pass to the Dodger clubhouse, you should turn it down. Don't get polluted by access.

2008-04-03 22:21:02
17.   Dodgers49
From Tony Jackson:

>> Ned shot down the Giles rumor, said he knew nothing about it. But again, with DeWitt now hitting .625, I'm not sure the Dodgers need anyone else to play 3B. Can you say Wally Pipp? <<

http://www.insidesocal.com/dodgers/

2008-04-03 22:22:03
18.   Eric Enders
14 That's a little harsh. If nothing else, it showed that not all bloggers fall into the stereotypical categories into which Chass would put them.
2008-04-03 22:22:26
19.   Jon Weisman
14 - I hear you and I thought about that. But I thought it was important to get across that bloggers actually come from somewhere. I don't think I sold out my colleagues - it doesn't change the fact that I was a virtual outsider when I started DT.
2008-04-03 22:22:35
20.   LogikReader
11

I don't think Charley was wrong to not state an opinion. His show isn't really a Jim Rome type show where he explicitly provides his opinion and point of view. He's merely serving the function of that particular program; I feel like it's obvious how he feels without having to say anything.

2008-04-03 22:23:53
21.   Jon Weisman
16 - Too late. I have press access. But I rarely use it, not out of high-and-mightiness, but just logistics.
2008-04-03 22:27:05
22.   Indiana Jon
Where can I hear this interview?
2008-04-03 22:27:17
23.   68elcamino427
Jon, you're good. You are very, very good.
It looks like you're so good and becoming so well recognized that you're scaring them.
This reminds me of the scene from ""Big" when Hanks won't give up the paddle ball.

Unfortunately, the more that "they" fear, and the harder "they" resist, the worse it will get for "them".
Whatever it is that they think they are afraid of.

Thanks again for hosting this site.
It won't be long and you'll be a name brand like Vin.

2008-04-03 22:28:02
24.   Frip
19 Sorry Jon. That's perfectly valid. Just a little upset.
2008-04-03 22:28:12
25.   Disabled List
21 Just keep it real, man!
2008-04-03 22:29:14
26.   Indiana Jon
Jon, how many hits does Dodger Thoughts get on an average day?
2008-04-03 22:29:47
27.   LogikReader
Imagine, Jon. One elongated quip at the tail end of an interview spawned almost ten paragraphs of discussion about Bloggers vs Columnists. It's been quite a day at Dodger Thoughts, and for a date when the Dodgers didn't even play, it's one of the more action-packed days we've ever seen on this site.

If I put myself in Jon's shoes, it would be so hard to come up with a response after essentially getting thrown under the bus by Murray Chass. Jon, you held your own more than admirably! If only I had that kind of toughness and fortitude, not to mention the restraint that kept everything in perspective. Remarkable!

2008-04-03 22:31:18
28.   skybluestoday
LAT'd from previous post -- for Trainwreck

Re: 137

You might be interested to know that we shot that notorious hot-tub scene for the Wyckyd Sceptre sketch at 11PM halfway up a hill at a fairly grim LAPD Sheriff's training facility in City Terrace (near Alhambra). It was right down the hill from Sybil Brand, a (defunct -- and even more grim) women's jail where we had shot the "Sweetie Pie Jones" bits earlier in the day. Yes, we had to bring in our own hot tub.

That was our final location bit for the first half of the 1998 season, and I was bloody exhausted! I got to go home and sleep for a week, but Bob and David and the producers and writers had to charge right into rehearsals for the live show. But the vibe was great, because we were all so glad to be through with those onerous location shoots. Hence the looseness and general hilarity of that scene.

(Their hot-tub ad-libs were even funnier in person -- you should have seen the stuff they didn't use.)

2008-04-03 22:38:09
29.   Xeifrank
27. I got the feeling that Murray Chass was the troll who was trying to bait Jon into a stooping response. Jon made the correct response, even though it must've been tempting to unload on MC.
vr, Xei
2008-04-03 22:38:53
30.   Bob Timmermann
26
Picture the Griddle on its busiest day, like the Super Bowl or the first two days of the NCAA Basketball tournament. Or me writing about Jarrod Saltalamacchia's wife.

Then multiply by about 10. And that's just people discussing which players should go to A or AA.

2008-04-03 22:41:36
31.   underdog
I already said "Well said!" in previous thread after hearing Jon's fine segment on Steiner's show today, but I'll add more huzzahs! for your post here. Can't add much to it.

I used to tell a colleague of mine who still writes for a newspaper, that the only official difference between bloggers and journalists these days is that journalists still have an editor and proofreader to correct typos and errors. However, I've seen so many bad mistakes in newspapers in recent times I don't even know if there's much difference there either.

Btw, I'm sorry I missed the Mr. Show chat in previous thread, but it did make me want to pop in a Mr. Show DVD tonight.

It also made me think we could combine discussion topics and come up with a good nickname for Loney from a Mr. Show sketch.

Fancy Pants or Blueberry Head anyone?

Van Hammersly?

2008-04-03 22:46:14
32.   underdog
28 Of all the grueling, exhausting production jobs, yours had to be one of the coolest. {jealous sigh} How was Famous Mortimer to work with?

Btw, nice to see Yhency have a good game tonight, striking out the side for the save. Of course it's AA ball, but still good to see.

2008-04-03 22:47:11
33.   Indiana Jon
30 I'm not talking about actual posts. Just wondering if he knew how many visits there actually were to the site. I know there are a lot that don't post.
2008-04-03 22:48:13
34.   underdog
Well, I have to go. Have to finish up a blog entry and then say good night to my parents, before getting into my undies, going down to the basement, and watching cartoons in the dark. Tomorrow I'll probably take my weekly shower and maybe play some video games. Pretty much. Maybe a few crank calls to the Chass household. {belch}
2008-04-03 22:49:33
35.   silverwidow
Greg Miller is off to a good start in Vegas: 1 IP, ZERO walks.
2008-04-03 22:54:31
36.   Bob Timmermann
33
DT is consistently in 5 digit territory in visitors per day.
2008-04-03 23:02:47
37.   NWdodger
How about James 'Berserker' Loney? Looks like that one is already taken.

http://www.downsidedown.com/news/html/players/player_3973.html

2008-04-03 23:07:46
38.   Eric Enders
I thought it was "Crazy Eyes" Loney, after his newfangled contact lenses.
2008-04-03 23:08:00
39.   KG16
35 - and 2 Ks.
2008-04-03 23:11:22
40.   MC Safety
34 No Cheetos?
2008-04-03 23:21:39
41.   Ken Arneson
One of the most common mistakes made when we try to understand a new medium is that, having no other frame of reference to talk about it with, we use the language and measurements of the old media to describe it.

This is the fundamental mistake that the Murray Chasses of the world make when the look at blogging. They will take an average individual article written in the New York Times and compare it with an average individual blog entry, and say: blog entries are crap. And if you measure it that way, they are right.

The problem is, this is the wrong unit of measurement. Newspaper articles live on their own little islands, but blog entries do not. Blog entries are links in a chain. The unit of measurement in blogging is not the article, the unit of measurement is the conversation.

The conversation may start with something Jon writes on DT. But then it continues in the comments. And then ToyCannon or somebody goes and writes something on the SportsBlogs Network, which prompts the other blogs on that network to join in the conversation. And it can spread from there.

The blogger doesn't have to do a bunch of research and paint a complete picture with his blog entry. The picture is painted by everyone who participates in the conversation, across multiple comments and blog entries and blogs. Believe me, if you say something wrong on the web, you will be corrected.

Yes, it's messy process full of noise, but it also is a process that leads, in the end, to a more complete and accurate picture of the issues than the voice of just one person, no matter how talented.

It's the same reason that messiness of democracy and free markets works better than the relative simplicity of dictatorships and planned economies. Progress happens most effectively when the system tests every idea and every ideamaker, and the fittest ones thrive, and the unfit are thrown out. The extent to which blogs do this and newspapers don't is the extent to which blogs are growing and newspapers are dying.

2008-04-03 23:32:17
42.   Lexinthedena
Great post Jon, my favorite of yours so far. I think that it is very much rooted in insecurity which is why many old-gaurd sports writers so badly want to think that bloggers are living in their mom's basement as it presents a much less threatening image. Rick Reilly was on the radio recently perpetuating this cliche, with nothing behind it but emotion. It's resistance and resentment to a new way. One that I suspect will fade soon.
2008-04-03 23:46:24
43.   alex 7
Ken, that was a beautiful post with excellent imagery.

One of the more insightful reads I've had here in 3 years. Thanks.

2008-04-03 23:47:30
44.   regfairfield
Steiner's slightly different characterization of bloggers living in a beer can strewn one bedroom apartment did inspire me to clean up tonight, so at least some good came from this.
2008-04-03 23:51:22
45.   Bob Loblaw
34- Perfect!
35- Encouraging.
Jon- Sorry I missed your interview with Steiner, but it sounds like you held your ground well. I wish I could participate more here, but there's too many demands on my time from family, friends, and work. I try to keep up with all the posts, but sometimes there's not even time for that.
But, I will say that I enjoy this blog every bit as much as most news sites.

I can see how Murray Chass could formulate his negative opinion of bloggers from some sports blogs. Blogs without rules can get very tiresome because all sorts of idiots are allowed to use any type of language, and bait other bloggers. On the other hand, a controlled blog like this one encourages more respectful & insightful commentors.

Thank you, Jon, for providing your insight and an informative & entertaining forum.

2008-04-03 23:53:01
46.   Bob Hendley
Jon, I find your postings to be a joy and the discussion that they elicit to be edifying. Obviously others feel this way, as you have attracted a slew of bright, articulate, evidence-based, hilarious and diverse commentators to your site. Since I came upon your site about a year ago, my already strong passion for the Bums has been enriched to no end. And for that I thank you, and the rest of you guys and gals.
2008-04-04 00:02:32
47.   bryanf
I really wish I had heard this interview. I pray someone will get it online somehow.

Jon, you nailed it again, as usual.

2008-04-04 00:18:18
48.   overkill94
It's always pathetic to hear old crotchety types get all defensive about something new they don't understand, whether it be blogging, sabermetrics, text messaging, whatever.

Luckily FJM is out there to knock these yahoos down a peg, whether they ever catch wind of it or not.

2008-04-04 01:02:28
49.   Strike4
In terms of credibility of the content, one obvious argument favoring bloggers is they are not beholden to the crass priority of trying to make a buck that is forced on commercial journalists. The well known sports columnists need readership numbers, which I think forces them occasionally into absurd postures where the reader has trouble separating facts, half-truths and opinions. I mean, who knows what TJ Simers really thinks about anything? Some of these guys seem to aim towards entertainment as much as enlightenment. Blogging information often comes with less varnish to scrape off.
2008-04-04 01:17:53
50.   trainwreck
28
That is awesome that you got to work on Mr. Show. My PA work has consisted of working on Last Comic Standing 6. Not quite the same.
Show/Hide Comments 51-100
2008-04-04 02:36:54
51.   fanerman
That was a great read! Okay I'm going to go to sleep now.
2008-04-04 04:35:25
52.   D4P
I know it's early in the season, but Dusty can't be happy with this kind of base-clogging:

Dunn: .125/.417/.125/.542

2008-04-04 05:10:08
53.   fordprefect
Perfect perspective, Jon.

Which means I agree with you, of course.

4
Agreed re Kershaw.

Saw him @ Maryvale last week against the Brew Crew and was impressed.

My wife saw Torre there and said "he's as short as I am!"

2008-04-04 06:35:23
54.   StolenMonkey86
36 What's that in theoretical dollars?
2008-04-04 07:08:47
55.   Terry A
48 - Keep in mind that Chass' opinion of bloggers is almost certainly colored by the skewering he gets at FJM and other places.

It's not an undeserved skewering, to be sure, but it's not easy to be objective when one's writing is being "workshopped" in front of a vast online audience.

I may be wrong, but I seriously doubt he'd have the same opinion of bloggers if he visited sites like DT regularly.

2008-04-04 07:29:36
56.   Marty
Great post Jon, and great comment Ken. It's distressing to me to see how much resistance to the online world there still is in the print business.
2008-04-04 07:29:57
57.   CanuckDodger
Looking over at Baseball Primer, I notice an article (the headline is about Zito) that quotes a veteran scout saying the following:
"Matt Kemp has more natural ability at his age than Vladimir Guerrero had at the same age. He just hasn't played as much baseball. Once he fugures it out, nobody in the game has a higher ceiling."
2008-04-04 07:41:21
58.   MollyKnight
Well, this whole debate is weird for me.

I started a blog in August 2003 when I was 21 years old. As a human biology pre-med major in college, I'd never so much as had an article published in my high school paper. I never would have had the guts to sumbit anything to a newspaper or magazine. I didn't promote it. I wrote for myself, and about five people went to it. And then more people found it and pretty soon I had a decent-sized audience and I found the feedback--positive and negative--to be absolutely exhilarating.

I enjoyed writing every day so much that I knew it was what I wanted to do with my life. So I moved to New York on a whim in October 2003, to become a writer for real. Things have worked out OK so far. I've written for seven or so magazines since being here, and now I'm happy writing about sports for ESPN.

I don't really get irritated when I hear sportswriters griping about bloggers in the locker room, because I know it's fear-based. Ninety-nine percent of the time the whining comes from men who are old enough to be my father, many of whom stopped busting their tails as journalists years ago and started blackberrying in fluffy columns while on break from Around The Horn, etc.

The blog/newspaper debate is a generational thing not unlike the Kent/Kemp debacle of last year. Which is why Plaschke's perpetual lambasting of Kemp makes me chuckle so much. I think Kemp represents the generation of which he is terrified, and I think that can be said for a lot of the older writers.

2008-04-04 07:41:52
59.   ToyCannon
Bill Plaschke does not share Murry Chase's opinion.

"hey phil...thanks for the note...that's very kind of you...and, for the record, I do NOT have disdain for performance-analysis Dodger bloggers, or any Dodger bloggers...I read the blogs and respect their efforts and celebrate their freedoms..I'm honored to live in a country where we can so openly share our views...I may not agree with the message, but I will forever defend the right of the messenger to deliver it ...thanks again for reading..."

2008-04-04 07:47:56
60.   PalmdaleSteve1
Jon

I caught bits and pieces of your XM appearance, but did not stick with it long enough to get the full story, but it was interesting.

What was it Charlie said about his breaking in the "game" as a long haired young guy with a microphone while the Fedora hatted old timers glowered on? I think that comment summarizes the heart of the matter, well that an argument about economics or maybe who are the consumers of your Dodger Thoughts blog product.

LA Times gets how many readers a day, print, online ? How much money do the readers generate in advertisement prevention for Mr. Zell? DT has no advertisements, and who knows how many views per day, not asking for numbers by the way. So if you're not keeping score with the capitalist measure of success, $$$, then who knows the value of a product?

In terms of credibility and therefore access to players/coaches/management, if people read your stuff because it's interesting or provides another point of view of worth, and they continue to read it day in and day out, must be credible, must have worth. But the other side of that argument of worth is if you don't pay for something, does it have value? Not sure I have the answer to that question/muse.

By the way, please let everyone know if you're going to be on Charlie's show again, it's one of my "must hear" daily shows.

2008-04-04 08:00:41
61.   JoeyP
57--What exactly is that scout looking at?

Vlad was way more advanced than Matt Kemp at all levels. Vlad was a freak of nature. He could hit any ball, anywhere in the strike zone or out of it. His arm was also a lot stronger than Kemp's. Kemp doesnt have the plate coverage that Vlad had, nor the bat speed to get to the bad balls. Thats just natual physical talent (bat speed), that puts Vlad in a class above Kemp.

Kemp can be comparable to alot of players, but I'm not seeing the Vlad comparison.

2008-04-04 08:08:12
62.   ToyCannon
61
How do you know what Matt Kemp's bat speed is? Or Vlady's?
2008-04-04 08:13:46
63.   Bumsrap
Vlad was so advanced as a young player the Dodgers signed his brother and ignored Vlad.
2008-04-04 08:15:21
64.   MC Safety
I thought Delmon Young was The Next Vlad Guerrero?
2008-04-04 08:15:49
65.   DRomo
61
I agree Matt Kemp is not the player yet that Vlad was when he broke in. Kemp has raw talent but not the experience that Vlad had in his young career. Vlad had the "benefit" of baseball academies in the Dominican. emp is cleary still learning how to play the game.I believe in time Kemp may have a better career and achieve a higher ceiling only if he works at it. I could very easily imagine him being the next Raul Mondesi, who had a world of raw talent. Raul was a picture of a 5 tool player but got in his own way.With a coaching staff including the likes of Easler, Bowa, and Torre I think he is in good hands. The rest is up to Matt.
2008-04-04 08:24:01
66.   underdog
62 Or of an unladen swallow?
2008-04-04 08:24:59
67.   cargill06
good post jon

wish i got a chance to listen.

2008-04-04 08:25:19
68.   screwballin
I had an odd sensation the other night as I sat in some left field seats watching Ethier warm up. It came to me that I'm far more invested in this team than any Dodger team I've ever watched (for at least 40 years). Even though I've been an avid Dodger fan my entire life, Ethier, and the others, no longer seemed like just players.

Is that because of Murray Chass, or Plaschke, or anything the LAT or ESPN has done? No, it's because of DT, primarily. (With an assist to True Blue LA and others.)

So maybe Chass is right to be worried and territorial. The territory in play is not journalism jobs, it's readers. Why would I bother reading an LAT game story, or anything Chass might write, when I can learn so much more here?

2008-04-04 08:27:04
69.   JoeyP
62--I've yet to see Kemp swing and connect to balls that Vlad could and does regularly. Just based on observations of what balls Kemp can hit and what he cant.

The only similarity that I see between Kemp/Vlad is their large K zones given their respective heights.

Mondesi had a good career with the Dodgers and I think the numbers Kemp ends up putting up will be close to his. However, even then there are quite few physical differences, the most apparent being height. Raul was only 5'11.

I'd be interested to see how much success players 6'4 and taller have at the plate.

2008-04-04 08:31:10
70.   underdog
69 It may very well true that it's unfair or unrealistic to say Kemp has as high or higher of a ceiling than Vlad, but saying that he isn't connecting with balls as well as Vlad, right now, isn't really fair either. Kemp has a world of talent, and as with Vlad many scouts feel he has 5 tools. But he does have a ways to go, and hasn't played enough baseball yet to fairly judge who he is or will be.
2008-04-04 08:34:37
71.   Sushirabbit
41 Wow. That's an excellent point.

I absolutely love the challenge/response aspect. This is also supposed to be scientific research works, but in reality it often does not.

2008-04-04 08:34:48
72.   madmac
There was a time when the first thing I did each morning was read what the Times had to say about the Dodgers. I eventually included DT in my morning reading rotation. Now the first thing is DT and if I go anywhere is else it's usually because it was referenced here.

Thanks for keeping us connected John.

2008-04-04 08:35:27
73.   madmac
crap, I meant to delete that "h"
2008-04-04 08:37:04
74.   Bumsrap
The combination of Loney wearing #7 and going by James instead of Jim leads to a nickname of maybe "Licensed" or "Thunderball" or GoldFinger or maybe just 007.
2008-04-04 08:38:50
75.   ToyCannon
69
I'll agree with that, I just thought maybe you had measurable information on the bat speed of both players.

I'd be happy with a Mondesi like Dodger career from Kemp as long as Kemp does not follow the Mondesi non-Dodger career arc while on the Dodgers.

2008-04-04 08:40:46
76.   JoeyP
70-- Just going off of visuals---> I've yet to see Kemp take a ball that is around his eyes and hit out of the ballpark, nor one that is almost in the dirt and hit it out. Thats stuff that only the guys with the best bat speed and plate coverage can do--and really only Vlad can do this.

Going off of actual stats----> Kemp's K rate is quite a bit higher than Vlad's was at the same age.

Vlad's arm was/is stronger than Kemp's.

So, while Kemp does have some skills, there is no evidence that points to Kemp having as high or higher ceiling than Vlad Guerrero. Vlad Guerrero is likely a 1st ballot hall of famer.

For any "scout" to suggest this, just speaks of a guy wanting to make a preposterous statement just to get his opinion published.

I'm not trying to bash Kemp.
Its more the innane comparison that leads to misplaced expectations on players.

Kemp's a good player with a likely bright future.
He's probably not a hall of famer.

2008-04-04 08:44:05
77.   Jim Hitchcock
00 I lived in my parent's rumpus room for more years than I will admit to. But I could plug in my guitar and play all night!

A friend at work just loaned me a 2 volumn set called the Dimaggio Albums, from 1989. I had forgotten that Joe had a 61 game hitting streak for the San Francisco Seals.

2008-04-04 08:49:31
78.   cargill06
i've always thought when kemp's career is all over it will be very similar (numbers) to torii hunter.
2008-04-04 08:53:02
79.   underdog
76 I agree with that. As I said, I don't think it's even fair to Kemp to make that comparison.

I'd be happy with a Torii Hunter career.

2008-04-04 09:06:35
80.   MC Safety
R.I.P. Klaus Dinger.
2008-04-04 09:07:29
81.   screwballin
A few Pecota comps for Kemp:
Derek Bell, Hollandsworth, Chili Davis, Andre Dawson, Ellis Burks, Ruben Sierra, Don Baylor, and, at number 18, Vlad.

fwiw

2008-04-04 09:07:39
82.   D4P
If we were smart, we'd consider trading Kemp while his value is (presumably?) higher in GMs' minds than it will likely prove to be on the field. I feel like there's gotta be at least one GM out there who values Kemp the same way that GMs value Hunters and Joneses and etc., who would trade more to us than Kemp is gonna be worth.
2008-04-04 09:08:01
83.   fiddlestick
76-- Or more likely, said scout is describing Kemp in a way much more interesting and more easily understood by the interviewer and the baseball audience as a whole. He's paying Kemp a compliment by using a little bit of harmless hyperbole. The fact that you spent as much time disecting his statement and the tone with which you expressed it says a heck of a lot more about you than the scout in question.
2008-04-04 09:08:44
84.   cargill06
i'm sure it's been discussed but not a great start for james, good to see yhency strike out the side in his inning.
2008-04-04 09:09:24
85.   Daniel Zappala
Excellent post and conversation. Thank you to everyone for your insight. We're at a tremendous point in history, with access to so much information and opinion. I know I'm a much more knowledgeable sports fan because of the Internet and blogs than I ever was before.

I do want to put in a plug for basements. It's the one quiet place in our house where I can go when I need to write an article in absolute silence.

2008-04-04 09:14:38
86.   Xeifrank
Good luck this weekend against the Padres. I am leaving shortly for a weekend in Vegas. Hope to watch some final four and place a few baseball futures bets.
vr, Xei
2008-04-04 09:16:56
87.   Daniel Zappala
Say it ain't so! Mike Montgomery is going to be the new Cal basketball coach!
2008-04-04 09:18:14
88.   CajunDodger
68
I have been trying to put my thoughts together on this and your post crystallized my thinking for some reason. I like the blogs I visit not because the writing is better than Gurnick, Jackson, or Plaschke (though some of it is). I like it for the angles that bloggers sometimes take that the print media sometimes fails to address. Then I get the added stimulation of other people who share my interest adding to the discussion.

I don't know hardly anyone's real name here, but I respect everyone's opinion and learn more about the story behind the beat writers' posts than I ever could from just reading a mildly sarcastic mailbag from Gurnick.

Sons of Steve Garvey, 6-4-2 (for minor league stuff), TrueBlue, ITD, Dodger Thoughts, and the Kamenetzky brothers are my must reads each day. I also read Tony Jackson and Ken Gurnick.

For me, it is not a question of print vs. blog but of personal preference on writing style, content, and the extra input I get from vested fans who all play by the same commenting rules that I abide by.

2008-04-04 09:19:03
89.   regfairfield
82 But Kemp is probably more valuable than those guys. Who would you rather have for the next five years: Kemp, Hunter, or Jones? I don't think anyone would give an answer other than Kemp.
2008-04-04 09:22:22
90.   D4P
89
I think you missed my point.

If some GM is willing to (over)pay Hunter/Jones 18-20 million a year, you'd think said GM would also be willing to trade more for Kemp than he is worth.

I don't think Kemp will turn into the elite hitter than I'd guess at least one GM out there thinks he will.

2008-04-04 09:22:57
91.   screwballin
I think the Vlad comparison comes from Kemp putting up a .304 EqA at age 22 in the majors. Not many players have done that, as someone (Toy Cannon?) spelled out here a few months ago. Vlad's EqA at 22 was .314, followed by .309 the next year.

You could also argue that Kemp's not trying to hit fastballs at his eyes means he's MORE advanced. I've always wondered what Vlad could be doing if he were just a little more selective.

2008-04-04 09:25:58
92.   screwballin
I wasn't surprised to find Andre Dawson in Kemp's comps. That's the guy he reminds me of most.

Of course, Dawson didn't manage a .300+ EqA until he was 25.

2008-04-04 09:27:26
93.   CajunDodger
91
I have never looked, but I think the answer to your question would lie in an analysis of his line drive % and BA by zone around the plate. My seat of the pants view on Vlad is that he doesn't hit pitches on the periphery of the strike zone much better than the pitches around his neck.

That homer he hit off Penny in the All Star Game a few years back was a around his adams apple and he hit it out to the opposite field.

2008-04-04 09:30:02
94.   cargill06
82 that's what i suggested a number of times... be careful.

i always thought a cheap trading him for a cheap erik bedard than spending our money on dunn this offseason would be the moves to make, but that's already been discussed.

maybe rich harden if he becomes available.

2008-04-04 09:31:30
95.   madmac
what would you prefer. Kemp a life long dodger or traded for someone who slightly out performs Kemp while a Dodger.

I think I tend to lean more toward the player who I saw grow up in the Dodger system. Seems more meanigfull to me. Maybe I shouldn't though.

2008-04-04 09:32:00
96.   Jacob L
Blogs are one thing. Dodger Thoughts is another. Jon is like the best ballplayers; he makes it looks easy. I think that's because his writing is to the point and avoids ostentation. Lest anyone think that its easy to survey and dissect the latest Dodgers doings, on an almost daily basis, and then to relate the most essential points in a precise, compelling, and thoughtful manner, let me assure you its not. Years ago, a wrote for a Dodgers-related site, and tried to do what Jon does. Not that I want to turn this into another love fest.

On a more generic point, one of the differences between mediums is the relationship to the audience. There are still too many mainstream writers and columnists who feel its their job to lord it over the audience and tell them what to think. Bloggers, almost without exception, view it as their role to catalyze conversation and shared experience. That's more or less what Ken was saying above. I appreciate the fact that Tony Jackson and others are trying to break down that barrier, even while its clear that they sometimes struggle with the concept.

2008-04-04 09:32:27
97.   CanuckDodger
76 -- Without knowing what the scout meant by "natural ability" there is not much point in getting all hot and bothered about it, and you seem to be engaging in an awful lot of baseless speculation about what the scout meant. He admitted that Guerrero had a lot more experience playing baseball at the age Kemp is now, so he was not making a direct comparison or saying Kemp is as good as Vlad at the same age. I'll just take satisfaction in the compliment the scout is paying Kemp and leave it at that. And by the way, scouts were talking about Russell Martin being an MLB All-Star catcher when Martin was still in Double A and you were pimping Navarro as our future catcher and talking about making other plans for Martin.
2008-04-04 09:32:52
98.   madmac
Harden can't stay healthy
2008-04-04 09:33:06
99.   El Lay Dave
If Murray Chass was a 1600s town crier, he would be bemoaning the spread of literacy and cursing the spread of the new medium of the printing press.

Excellent post by you, Jon, and excellent comments, particularly 41 by Ken.

As an software engineer in a harware-oriented industry, I very much relate to Ken's first paragraph, "One of the most common mistakes made when we try to understand a new medium is that, having no other frame of reference to talk about it with, we use the language and measurements of the old media to describe it." This I still experience on a daily basis working in an industry whose roots are firmly entrenched in hardware engineering and assembly. People are forever attempting to deal with software in terms and methods analogous to hardware without recognizing the fundamental differences in the products (especially the ease in which software can be modified), and the limitations introduced by speaking only in hardware-oriented jargon and paradigms. Managers (almost always from a hardware background) have no choice but to have software in their systems (like newspapers being available on the net), but they fear it, they don't understand how to manage it, and they don't know how to exploit it for their own benefit, but those that do will gain a tremendous advantage over their competition.

2008-04-04 09:33:07
100.   underdog
What, no comments on the story this morning in the Times on Ethier doing some practice at first base?
http://www.latimes.com/sports/baseball/mlb/la-sp-dodrep4apr04,1,6022707.story

Interesting. Guess it's always good to have someone else who can play first just in case, and another way to keep Ethier always in the lineup. But as a way to get Pierre in the line-up, it makes less sense.

Show/Hide Comments 101-150
2008-04-04 09:33:14
101.   Frip
Just ran across this photo of Vin. Captures not only his dignity, but his stregth. (I think we forget the stamina it takes to do what he does, both physical and mental.)

It's the best photo I've seen of him. Quite handsome. Suitable from framing, literally, I think I will, and place it on desk at work. Though I'm not sure how many times I'll have to hear, "who's that, your grandpa?", before I get annoyed and throw it in a drawer.

I have a picture of Sinatra on my office wall and I get middle aged men asking "who's that?" I mean how big a rock must you live under.

Vin photo link:

http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2006/10/05/sports/05scully.1.600.jpg

2008-04-04 09:34:24
102.   cargill06
98 well for his talent he will be really cheap because of it. it would be the ultimate gamble becuase if he does stay healthy, you're getting a very good pitcher.
2008-04-04 09:35:04
103.   madmac
100 I guess more flexibility/options is always a good thing.
2008-04-04 09:38:05
104.   LeeLacy
Excellent post, Jon.

Prior to discovering Dodger Thoughts, I had long been frustrated in my search for consistent, objective, and incisive reporting about the Boys in Blue. I didn't grow up in California and, consequently, didn't have access to local coverage of the Dodgers. So as a teen in the 80's, I subscribed to Dodger Blue, and while there was much to appreciate about that newsletter, I remember feeling that there was too much sycophancy and not enough hard analysis.

The advent of the Internet certainly expanded the universe of readily available Dodger-related content. But still, the analysis provided by traditional journalists wasn't as in-depth and satisfying as I wanted (and I found writers such as T.J. Simers to be insufferable to read). And the Dodger message boards (I'm thinking primarily of the one at ESPN.com) so often devolved into bouts of name-calling and contests about who "owned" whom that I finally gave up on them.

Then by some good fortune, I happened to stumble upon Dodger Thoughts and finally found what I was looking for. (Hey Bono--No need to look anymore.) Jon's posts are always well-written, well-thought out, and convincingly argued. And nearly as impressive are the discussions triggered by Jon's posts. Not to engage in a little sycophancy myself, but the commenters here at DT are consistently smart and thought-provoking and frequently hilarious.

Contrary to Murray Chass's straw man notion of bloggers being a bunch of basement-dwelling recluses akin to Kevin Smith's character (the Warlock) in "Live Free or Die Hard," the DT community, from what I've been able to gather, consists of writers, lawyers, librarians, mathematicians, college professors, computer scientists, and others whose lives consist of something other than hanging out in windowless rooms all day playing the latest version of Doom while noshing Nacho Cheese Doritos and sipping flat Mountain Dew.

I think Jon's achievement in establishing such a vibrant community where intelligent and witty commentary can be found in such abundance is not a small one. His work speaks for itself.

2008-04-04 09:38:59
105.   madmac
102 that's the thing though, is giving up Kemp worth that gamble.

Seems like everyone here would say you can't base anything on just 2+ games, yet it seems like there is less shine on Kemp right now than there was a few months ago. Maybe were just being more honest with ourselves now.

2008-04-04 09:39:47
106.   El Lay Dave
103 Only if management knows how to evaluate options correctly and chooses wisely.
2008-04-04 09:41:27
107.   cargill06
105 my opinion on him i s still the same, he has the potential to be out of this world. but realistically i think he's gonna really struggle to have an OBP above .340. i just can't see him flirting with him being a .300 hitter even last year he looks like .270-.280 hitter to me.
2008-04-04 09:42:59
108.   El Lay Dave
90 Is it irony that a person whose nickname is derived from the Delino for Pedro trade, would suggest trading the player with the high ceiling?
2008-04-04 09:43:40
109.   regfairfield
102 You implied that you'd trade Matt Kemp for him, which I don't think anyone would want.
2008-04-04 09:45:42
110.   madmac
106 but doesn't having players of Ethier's ability being able to play more positions, specifically infield, lessen the need for players like Angel Chavez/Lucile II
2008-04-04 09:49:07
111.   bhsportsguy
I have never thought of sites like DodgerThoughts or TrueBlue as places where news breaks. First off, Jon is a Dodger fan and he does not have to be objective about them, he voices his opinion about the team, players, management, concession lines in terms that I as a fan can share or disagree with.

But sites like DT also provide places of discussion like Ken wrote above.

I am not sure where I stand on bloggers getting credentials to cover teams, if the blog is just something that someone self publishes, I can see the arguement against it. If its a blog like the one the LA Times, I can see an argument for it.

Usually these things have a way of working things out, when writers like Murray Chass find themselves without an outlet for their opinions, maybe then they will see the need for blogs.

2008-04-04 09:51:38
112.   cargill06
109 ya if harden can stay healthy this year, and you can bring in adam dunn in the off season i'd def do that.

of course when you make the trade you don't know those other varibles so that would make the trade that much tougher to make.

2008-04-04 09:53:03
113.   ibleedbloo
100 I don't consider that story legit until it hits the blogosphere. I can't trust these writers who sit in their climate controlled homes or behind big shiny desks. If they are wearing more than your underwear I don't trust them.
2008-04-04 09:53:32
114.   El Lay Dave
110 But it also, as 100 points, allows Pierre to start (in LF) in place of Loney, if Ethier is at first.

I have no problem with Ethier learning to play first, even if it is only in case of weird situations in extra-inning games of something.

2008-04-04 09:55:57
115.   regfairfield
I just don't see how you could trade Matt Kemp, one of the best young players in baseball, for two years, or about seven starts, of Rich Harden. If we did that, it would become another massively one sided Billy Beane trade. I think the A's would take pretty much any decent prospect for Harden at this point, the guy isn't that much more valuable than Mark Prior.
2008-04-04 09:56:37
116.   Jim Hitchcock
104 Stumbling on to Dodger Thoughts for the first time is like having the clouds clear and the sun shining through...no doubt about it.

I wonder how many posters remember the pre Toaster days. Server Error!

2008-04-04 09:58:17
117.   El Lay Dave
Underwear-clad bloggers in beer-can strewn basements is east coast bias! West coast bloggers post using their laptops on the patio while wearing shorts and flip-flops amidst numerous empty bottles of premium microbrews.
2008-04-04 09:59:07
118.   CanuckDodger
Since I have not seen anybody mention it here yet, a few days ago Baseball America ranked the farm systems of all 30 organizations and they also did what they called a "Cumulative Ranking, Last Five Years," which I suppose is self-explanatory. They ranked the Dodgers' farm #1 for the last five years (#6 currently). They also commented: "The Dodgers have gotten more bang for their buck in the draft than any club this decade."

Also worth noting, the Dodgers released relief pitcher Mark Alexander. Quite the reversal for the guy who was our Minor League Pitcher Of the Year in 2006. Because of his great stats in 2006, we talked a lot about this guy at DT, and who would have thought, back then, that the extremely-obscure Ramon Troncoso would be in our 2008 bullpen?

2008-04-04 09:59:22
119.   cargill06
115 oh ok, maybe i'm over valuing harden too much i've just always loved the guy when he's on the mound. lets trade some of low tier prospects for him at the deadline than.
2008-04-04 09:59:37
120.   madmac
112 yeah, if had a crystal ball there are a lot of trades I'd make.

I remember being glad the Dodgers didn't cave to giving up Dreifort in a package for Randy Johnson. Turns out it would have been a good idea.

2008-04-04 10:00:20
121.   Frip
111 I am not sure where I stand on bloggers getting credentials to cover teams, if the blog is just something that someone self publishes, I can see the arguement against it.

When you see that arguement, what does is look like?

2008-04-04 10:00:52
122.   cargill06
but i'm not as high on kemp as the average DT commenter. i don't think he's as good as a line drive hitter as most think, it will be a battle all year to keep that OPS above .800, IMHO
2008-04-04 10:00:53
123.   madmac
113 I don't trust anyone wearing my underware
2008-04-04 10:01:16
124.   regfairfield
I noticed Anthony Raglani isn't on any of our rosters. What's up with that?
2008-04-04 10:02:52
125.   Eric Stephen
Tonight I hope to end a depressing streak. The Padres have beaten the Dodgers the last 9 times I have attended in person.

The last Dodger win over the Padres with me at the park was April 20, 2005. Jose Valentin tripled off Scott Linebrink in the top of the 10th, scoring Drew and Kent to break a 1-1 tie. The 3-1 Dodger win was their 8th straight victory, and put their record at a division guaranteeing 12-2. :)

I'll be at Petco tonight and tomorrow, so look for a Dodger win Sunday afternoon!

2008-04-04 10:04:43
126.   El Lay Dave
Didn't Kemp flirt with .300 last year? He hit .342 in about a 1/2 season of ABs/PAs. If he had gotten twice the ABs, he'd only have to hit .258 in them to have a .300 season.
2008-04-04 10:04:47
127.   madmac
114 I know we have become accustomed to thinking Pierre is the worst thing to happen to baseball, but isn't he a better asset than Chavez/Lucile II.

I'm still assuming Pierre is the 4th OF (just a few mor starts), we were happy with that idea not too long ago. Agree though, it's got to be within reason.

2008-04-04 10:06:53
128.   CanuckDodger
124 -- And there is no Cory Dunlap either. Maybe all DePodesta guys have been purged.
2008-04-04 10:08:22
129.   regfairfield
The 51's also seem to be missing Nook Logan's scrap.
2008-04-04 10:09:01
130.   Jim Hitchcock
125 I remember that triple...he clapped his hands as he rose from the prone position.

And..what? 15 games more and he was gone?

2008-04-04 10:09:19
131.   Eric Stephen
I have no problem with bloggers getting credentials, provided:

(a) there is a large enough readership of their work, and
(b) there is consistent quality and quantity of work on the blog in question

2008-04-04 10:09:34
132.   cargill06
126 ya he did, i just see too many holes, i could be wrong but i just don't see him as a .290-.300 guy.
2008-04-04 10:11:05
133.   CanuckDodger
124 -- And I can't believe Raglani got a full write-up in Baseball Prospectus 2008. All Troncoso got was one sentence in the "Lineouts" section.
2008-04-04 10:13:19
134.   Eric Stephen
130
I remember the clap from Valentin! He managed to last 42 more games, putting up a stellar .120/.273/.148 after that triple.
2008-04-04 10:13:22
135.   Penarol1916
112. But you said you liked Harden because he could be had cheaply. Even if you think that Kemp is over-rated, I don't think you could argue that giving him up would be getting him cheaply. Getting Harden cheaply would be more along the lines of getting him for Xavier Paul or Jon Meloan.
2008-04-04 10:15:02
136.   cargill06
135 ya, my mistake as i said in 119 my mistake on how much it would take to get a guy like harden, you guys are probably right about that.
2008-04-04 10:17:07
137.   Johnson
123 I don't trust anyone wearing my underware

That's dangerously close to the Epimenides Paradox. At least, we can only hope it is.

2008-04-04 10:17:21
138.   LeeLacy
116 No doubt about it. In my post, I was tempted to add an impression of Will Ferrell doing his impression of James Lipton by saying, "Jon, I am born anew in your genius. Reading your posts on Dodger Thoughts each day is like looking into the face of God and seeing Him smiling back and saying, 'You are my most wondrous creation.'"

But then I decided to let the post stand as is.

2008-04-04 10:17:36
139.   JoeyP
97--I've always liked Martin ever since he proved he could get on base in the rookie leagues. I never said that Navarro would be better than Martin. I only made mention that Navarro was younger, and had already had a good rookie year campaign for the Dodgers. If you have two good players at one position, you either keep them both (especially at catcher), or trade one for something good.

Unfortunately, neither happened in this case.

It didnt take scouting to know that Russ Martin would be an above average MLB catcher. The guy OBP'ed over .400 in the Southern League.

2008-04-04 10:18:02
140.   philmc78
Just keep it up, Jon. Anyone who knows the game will recognize how helpful and insightful your writing is.

I think one of the main differences between beat writers and bloggers is that beat writers are limited in what they put in the paper. They're paid to report what happens on the field, and that's about it. Bloggers, however, analyze and interpret these actions, and a keen eye can shed a lot of light for the rest of us.

What I like about Dodger Thoughts is that you don't dumb it down for the readers, and that's why you have a decent amount of great commenters, too.

Let the mainstream writers and other members of the media continue being insecure. You're the one they're afraid of--not the guys living in their parents' basement.

2008-04-04 10:18:38
141.   El Lay Dave
I know DeWitt is off to a hot start, and it is possible that he is breaking through for good, but I'm sure we all remember that Matt Kemp came on strong when we was first called up (1.042 OPS in the first 23 games) but really cooled off (.416 OPS in his last 29 games, with 6 six back in the minors as well before the Sept. callups).

DeWitt is a talent - he is a Logan White #1 pick - with 3 1/2 professional seasons under his belt and skills that ours eyes can see, but he is still quite young, so I prefer to be cautiously optimistic. I doubt Ned and his depth fetish will be trading LaRoche anytime soon.

2008-04-04 10:22:51
142.   CanuckDodger
139 -- It certainly took scouting to know what kind of CATCHER Martin would be, as distinguished from what kind of HITTER he would be.
2008-04-04 10:25:24
143.   El Lay Dave
127 I think we're in agreement. My only point is that not all options are good choices and sometimes someone presented with a lot of options will choose worse options too frequently. Remind you of any Dodger managers of this century?
2008-04-04 10:25:34
144.   ishXdavid
Jon... I felt this was an appropriate time to express my appreciation for all the work you do. You're the backbone of the best online community on the net. Not only do I find the information here insightful, but your writing is on another level. Thank you.
2008-04-04 10:26:49
145.   Jim Hitchcock
134 Man. I hate to see anybody get hurt, but Zorro was a far lesser loss than Bill Mueller, IMO.
2008-04-04 10:26:50
146.   GiantturnedDodger
The MSM vs. Blogger discussion in sports mirrors what is happening in the non-sports world. There is an excellent article in the 3/31 The New Yorker magazine by Eric Alterman, "Out of Print" what does the web mean for newspapers, which discusses the success of political blogs and what appears to be the slow death of the newspaper business. Change is hard for most people. Anyways first chance to post in a while although I have spent way too much timing lurking. Went to opening day and was moved by the pregame. A lot of drinking going on in the parking lot however. Parking, food service seem fine. Bathrooms on lodge level were a mess though. We share season tickets and park in F and usually stay after the game to let traffic clear. More post game drinking, not me, led to a hit and run as a SUV backed in to a 7 series BMW and took off. Somewhat comical as 3 bicycle cops pursued. One cop to another as they went down the hill "call ahead on your radio!" other cop " I can't, it's dead!". This was just a few minutes before Nomar dropped someone off 10 feet from that incident. Anyways the stadium next to the ravine seemed a little scary like a few years back. Haven't seen it like this the last couple of years. Maybe it was the Giants or just opening day. Anyways, love Dodger Thoughts!
2008-04-04 10:27:50
147.   Frip
Scully, New York Times, 2006

After 57 years, this is my life," he said. "A man really determines himself by what he does. I wonder how a man feels when he isn't defined.

Like an amoeba? The color red? Anyway, interesting comment.

Does anyone have info on Vin from when he played at Fordham? I'm thinking he hit about 250 / 360 / 212.

2008-04-04 10:32:42
148.   68elcamino427
Re: The Bison
The Dodgers had Clemente.
The Dodgers had Vlad.
The Dodgers have Kemp.
Just take a look at where he has come from, out of no where really, Kemplahoma.
Kemp has so, so much natural ability. Is he bigger and badder than Vlad? Can my daddy beat up your daddy?
Kemp's stats are similar to Miguel Cabrera's, considering production at their ages and MLB experience. I think that Kemp is waaay more athletic though.
Take a look compare and see for yourself.
65 mirrors my feelings.
What was Kemp doing 24 months ago?
What will he be capable of 24 months from now?
What will he have accomplished when he reaches Vlad's age?
The shine is off? Try checking Texeria's numbers season to date. Is he done?
The Bison, he's really just a Baby Bison.
Trade Kemp?
2008-04-04 10:32:46
149.   madmac
143 yeah, we are. I do have more faith in Torre than I did in Tracy or Little. With Little though I wasn't sure if he just wasn't making good decisions on his own or if he made decisions based on what he thought management wanted. I do believe Ned when he says it's up to the manager who plays.
2008-04-04 10:32:47
150.   bhsportsguy
Minotaur Alert and Welcome Back to Mr. Morris

Tonight or this afternoon, Clayton Kershaw starts for Jacksonville while his first round teammate, Byron Morris returns from his surgery to start for the Loons.

Show/Hide Comments 151-200
2008-04-04 10:33:00
151.   bhsportsguy
Minotaur Alert and Welcome Back to Mr. Morris

Tonight or this afternoon, Clayton Kershaw starts for Jacksonville while his first round teammate, Byron Morris returns from his surgery to start for the Loons.

2008-04-04 10:35:54
152.   CajunDodger
121
The argument I always hear has to do with accountability. Guys who have blogs like Jon or Tony Jackson still write for organizations that can hold them accountable for a really bad post (something that is racist, libel, or false with no sources to back it up). If it is someone who has a lot of readership but no person or organization they work for who can keep them accountable for their words, most teams are reluctant to give access to that person.

Not saying that unprofessional and unsubstantiated reporting doesn't happen in the "regular" media, but that is the argument.

2008-04-04 10:37:32
153.   LogikReader
Jerry Coleman is on the aforementioned Baseball Beat program with Charley Steiner. XM 175. I think I'm hooked.
2008-04-04 10:37:42
154.   madmac
150 - 151 you are like the alpha and omega
2008-04-04 10:41:27
155.   f105kid
Very well done, Jon. Almost thou presuadest me to donate a little something to the site. Good thing I'm a cheapskate.

Keep it up!

2008-04-04 10:44:03
156.   Jim Hitchcock
138 It was a fine post, just as it was.
2008-04-04 10:45:11
157.   kinbote
141 I think DeWitt's EARLY excellence in a difficult situation has led to some new DeWitt Thoughts: one, he is now firmly in a long-term battle with LaRoche for the title of "3B of the future"; two, his development is likely pushed up a year from its previous pace. I would be shocked if he didn't see some time at AAA this year after presumably returning to AA when his time is up.

All that being said, I'm starting to wonder whether he or LaRoche would be a better candidate to switch positions to 2B in anticipation of Kent's departure. 2B is hardly the toughest position on the diamond, and I have to think one of them could manage the job if it meant 500 at-bats in the majors next year. We have a lot of uncertainty about next year's middle infield: whether to re-sign Furcal is likely to be a huge offseason issue. If we decide to go with Hu, we'd be well off to try to fit some extra offense into the 2B position. DeWitt or LaRoche might be that fit.

2008-04-04 10:47:16
158.   JoeyP
157-Should have been done at the earlier minor league levels, especially with LaRoche.

The LaRoche to 2nd base movement never really got off the ground, despite my numerous letters to Logan White.

Ok, I didnt really write any letters.

2008-04-04 10:47:16
159.   natepurcell
151

I'm excited for Morris.

Disappointed Withrow, Watt, and Gallagher are all stuck in short season ball again.

2008-04-04 10:48:08
160.   natepurcell
158

Dewitt is more fleet of foot than Laroche, and he barely handled second base.

2008-04-04 10:48:52
161.   cargill06
157 do you think re-signing furcal and putting hu at 2b could be a resolution? that would be a pretty good offensive middle infield to go with a good/great defensive middle IF
2008-04-04 10:49:25
162.   JoeyP
159 -Where's Lambo starting out?

I hope he's playing full season somewhere.

It sucks Withrow isnt playing full season ball again. Are they overly concerned with the workload on his arm, or is he not good enough?

2008-04-04 10:49:29
163.   underdog
Maybe Cory Dunlap ate Nook Logan?

I didn't expect much more from Dunlap's future other than increasing girth.

As for Mark Alexander, I suppose he, along with Eric Hull, weren't as good as their minor league stats would indicate. I always wondered why the Dodgers didn't give Hull more of a chance in the majors, but it's obvious they didn't see much ML potential in him. Must be something scouts felt just wasn't working or going to work in the bigs. Alexander had great success, too, but the couple of times I saw him pitch his stuff didn't impress me that much.

2008-04-04 10:49:46
164.   madmac
today my preference is to resign Furcal and let Abreu/Hu battle for 2nd
2008-04-04 10:50:16
165.   68elcamino427
157
I like it!
Power, "Hot Wheels Power"!
2008-04-04 10:50:26
166.   natepurcell
157

I remember a couple years ago when the Dodgers made the move for Dewitt to 2b, I was super excited and immediately started pushing him in future Dodger starting lineups as a second basemen. I was really disappointed that those plans were scrapped because I really wanted to see an infield that both Laroche AND Dewitt.

2008-04-04 10:50:47
167.   Kevin Lewis
Jon, fantastic post...very well said.

Ken, thanks for the wonderful comment; I couldn't agree more, and that comment illustrates what is so beautiful about a blogging community maintaining the conversation.

OT: I watched the pilot of FNL last night. I don't know what took me so long to watch that show. Excellent stuff!

2008-04-04 10:50:57
168.   JoeyP
Its too bad Dunlap developed no power, bc he probably had the best concept of the K zone of any Dodger minor leaguer.
2008-04-04 10:51:17
169.   natepurcell
162

Lambo's a Loon.

Regarding Withrow, I have no clue. I would think he is plenty good enough to start in full season.

2008-04-04 10:51:25
170.   Humma Kavula
I know nothing about anything, least of all scouting ballplayers. So take this comment with that boulder of salt.

Before I go pencilling Hu into the lineup at 2B, I want to be sure that the power he showed last year -- which, unless I'm mistaken, he's never shown before -- is for real.

The people who know something about prospects may now tell me to shut up and that I don't know what I'm talking about.

2008-04-04 10:53:02
171.   fiddlestick
Have they announced the rotation for the Arizona series yet?
2008-04-04 10:53:43
172.   madmac
Lambo's a Loon

no need to call names

2008-04-04 10:54:47
173.   madmac
170 say what you want, this is just a blog afterall
2008-04-04 10:57:35
174.   Humma Kavula
173 True, I guess. I guess it was my way of saying that I haven't really researched the issue, that others know a lot more than I do about it, and I could be really, really wrong.
2008-04-04 11:01:04
175.   Penarol1916
169. Where are the rosters for the minor league teams this year? I want to know if I should make the effort to see the Kane County Cougars when Great Lakes goes to play them. I was supposed to go last year when Kershaw started, but that fell through. With Morris and Lambo on the roster, it already looks very likely that I'll be making a visit.
2008-04-04 11:01:32
176.   kinbote
161 Despite that nice play Hu made at 2B the other night, I think his major league destiny is at shortstop. Moving him to 2B seems to lessen his main strength, which is outstanding SS defense. Granted, his defense projects to be outstanding at 2B as well, but it strikes me as a fall-back option. I'm aware of the DeWitt-to-2B failure from a while back; I wonder if it might be revisited.

If we decide to re-sign Furcal [which has crossed my mind after the first three games!], I hope just we open up the 2B competition to all comers. In that scenario, Hu might very well be the favorite. (In short, I'm in favor of offering arbitration to Furcal, losing him, and putting Hu at SS.)

2008-04-04 11:01:41
177.   Reddog
I'll say it again. DeWitt is here to stay. He's our third baseman. Torre remarked how calm he is. LaRoche had his chances and never looked good. He looked overmatched most of the time. I think they trade LaRoche.
2008-04-04 11:01:47
178.   underdog
Gosh, Troy from West Virginia leads a kind of sad life, doesn't he?

He has a new tribute to Joe Beimel, posted on Diamond Leung's blog.

2008-04-04 11:02:16
179.   regfairfield
175 By shear coincidence, True Blue LA just updated the Big Board.

http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/970/bigboard.htm

You can see the Dodgers organization at a glance there.

2008-04-04 11:02:51
180.   Gen3Blue
169 Is it a sure thing that Withrow is not going to full season ball?

Also, I may have missed it, but I don't think I've heard where and when Elbert is showing up.

2008-04-04 11:03:03
181.   regfairfield
177 Should we trade Russell Martin too? The bum is hitting .000.
2008-04-04 11:03:13
182.   underdog
157 etc., my prediction? They try DeWitt at 2nd base again, in AAA, after LaRoche is back. Mark my words.

Well, mark them in crayon maybe, but mark them nonetheless!

2008-04-04 11:05:30
183.   Jonny6
Jon, you receive so much praise around here for your posts that I rarely chime in with my appreciation because it feels redundant and a little embarrassing. Instead of hailing your writing, I usually reserve my appreciation for your patience in patrolling this site and keeping it an open minded yet peaceful forum (since nearly every other message board I've ever visited quickly devolves into vulgarities and name calling). But I didn't want to let this opportunity to pass to offer my gratitude for this site and your writing. I really enjoyed your post today and hope that you keep up the fine work. As a parent myself, I often wonder how you have the energy and fortitude to keep this thing going day after day.

The problem with Chass' take on the bloggers vs sportswriters "debate" is the same problem that infiltrates nearly any current societal argument that you want to point to. Many people like to frame things in simple black and white terms, but life is almost always more complicated than that; although it may be less straightforward and take more study, we need to discuss things with the realization that there are many shades of gray involved in nearly every issue we face.

For the record, as a lifelong Californian, I've never lived in a house with a basement. But I do wear underwear.

2008-04-04 11:05:42
184.   underdog
180 The last I heard officially was this on MLB.com a couple of weeks ago:
"Scott Elbert, a No. 1 pick in 2004 and the organization's top left-handed prospect until Kershaw appeared, threw a bullpen session earlier in the week and has another planned for Saturday. Elbert is recovering slowly from shoulder surgery last year and figures to remain in Florida for extended Spring Training."
2008-04-04 11:06:26
185.   Kevin Lewis
178

I like Troy a lot, but he may have taken this too far.

2008-04-04 11:06:37
186.   CanuckDodger
BA's Alan Matthews did say Withrow was likely to start the season in extended spring training, rather than in low A, noting that he is raw compared to other first round HS pitchers White has taken in the first round.

Also, I think Withrow and Watt, in minor league spring training, faced really good competition for the low A rotation. Morris, Justin Miller, Steven Johnson, Kyle Smit, and Geison Aguasviva are all a bit older and presumably further along the development curve. So I am fine with Withrow and Watt being on a slower track than guys like Billingsley and Kershaw were/are.

2008-04-04 11:06:57
187.   Kevin Lewis
185

This coming from a guy who took some practice swings in front of the bathroom mirror today.

2008-04-04 11:08:32
188.   regfairfield
185 I guess that explains why he hasn't been fake posting for a while.
2008-04-04 11:09:27
189.   Dodgers49
Nice article on Martin's work with Kuroda:

Dodgers' Kuroda getting good reception from Martin

http://tinyurl.com/635w5d

2008-04-04 11:11:18
190.   DougS
96 146 The first thing that this post brought to mind is that crack by Jonathan Klein of CNN about how bloggers are just a bunch of guys sitting at home in their pajamas. Clearly, people in the established media who spent a lot of years rising through the ranks feel threatened by writers who can find an outlet for their opinions and aggregate an audience without (in their view) paying their dues.

But I also think that somewhere along the line, journalists have gone from being gadflies (like the old "Front Page" days of the newspaper biz that infatuated Tom Wolfe in his youth) to being high priests. A lot of guys like Chass (and Bill Conlin) have become used to speaking ex cathedra, to shutting themselves off from other voices and opinions (except when they're yelling at each other on "Around the Horn" and such). Instead of doing the interviewing, they are interviewed on ESPN for their perceived expertise.

About blogging, I'd follow on Ken Arneson's comment by remarking that the great thing about the Internet is that it allows just about anyone to find an audience, and the problem with the Internet is that it allows just about anyone to find an audience. If you believe in Sturgeon's Law, then 90% of what's out there isn't worth your time. The trick is finding your way to that top 10% without the filtering mechanism of a newspaper editor who decides what you should and don't need to read (or even know about). I can't recall how I found out about DT, but thank goodness that I did. I come here first when I want some commentary on how things are going with the Dodgers.

But clearly, generalized sneers about bloggers like Chass' are just pig-ignorance. Blogs have allowed a lot of very good writers and smart people (our Mr. Weisman qualifying as both, of course) to gain an audience that they wouldn't otherwise have. It's not that all bloggers good, all old media bad, but that blogs have opened up the airwaves so that more people with interesting and useful things to say can be heard by more people, along with the inevitable dross.

Well, anyway.... Am I the only one who's seeing Dave Hansen with better defense in Blake DeWitt?

2008-04-04 11:14:03
191.   Eric Enders
177 LaRoche has a much higher ceiling than DeWitt at this point. He's better at hitting for power and better at getting on base. And while I've heard lots of people say he looked overmatched at the plate in the majors, I wonder if those people were watching the same guy I was, because I didn't get that impression at all. What I saw was a guy who was determined to wait for his pitch to hit, rarely got it, and so ended up walking a lot and having one of the highest OBPs on the team.

Anyway, it was only 93 at-bats. I think we need to temper our excitement about DeWitt a little bit, and perhaps ratchet up our excitement about LaRoche. To do otherwise would be to fall victim to small sample size illusions.

2008-04-04 11:14:57
192.   Gen3Blue
Thanks for the info guys. I hope this doesn't mean a setback for Elbert, I'm pretty sure I heard glowing reports that he was "back" earlier in the year.
2008-04-04 11:15:27
193.   ToyCannon
179
That is sweet

Work is getting in the way of the post I want to do on our 2008 minor league system. I wonder if Mr. Chase ever has that problem?

2008-04-04 11:16:23
194.   screwballin
177 I thought LaRoche looked good every time he took ball four. Which was often.
2008-04-04 11:20:06
195.   Humma Kavula
As I tune into the Milwaukee-San Francisco tilt, I pause to ask the gentlemen and ladies of this board an eternal question:

Why does Jason Kendall still have a job? Seriously, why?

2008-04-04 11:21:57
196.   cargill06
ahh always nice when you hit the over in the 3rd inning.
2008-04-04 11:22:18
197.   Bluebleeder87
great observation underdog, I really feel DeWitt's long term career might be better suited at 2nd base, I feel his arm is perfect for that position.
2008-04-04 11:24:21
198.   regfairfield
197 He was moved from the position due to defensive incompetence. I don't think he's going back.
2008-04-04 11:26:29
199.   Dodgers49
Armed and ready

>> Kershaw has one of the best fastballs in the Dodgers' organization and has been clocked in the high 90s. But during the offseason, his curveball received the most attention.

"I worked on it a lot in the offseason and feel I'm getting more consistent with it," Kershaw said. "I can throw it better for strikes than I did last year. I also worked on a changeup that is getting better." <<

http://tinyurl.com/3kupzx

2008-04-04 11:27:07
200.   cargill06
197 his career .952 FP and 4.27 RF at 2B would rank last among major league 2B in both categories last year, unless he turns out to be chase utley offensively i don't think it'll be worth it.
Show/Hide Comments 201-250
2008-04-04 11:27:27
201.   Eric Enders
I saw DeWitt play second in the Hawaii Winter League, and he looked pretty smooth there to me. He's no Roberto Alomar, but I haven't really understood why all his scouting reports at second were so awful.

His offense will likely never be enough to be a regular at third base, so we don't have much to lose by continuing to try him at second.

2008-04-04 11:29:31
202.   Humma Kavula
Home run, Bill Hall.

It's 3-0 Brewers in the first inning. Two out.

2008-04-04 11:29:44
203.   regfairfield
201 From what I've seen of him, it seems like he's got really bad reactions. A ball can get hit 10 feet away from him and he'll just sort of dive instead of moving to it.
2008-04-04 11:31:07
204.   cargill06
202 i might get the over in that game early also... ih wait the giants have to hit.
2008-04-04 11:32:24
205.   Dodgers49
Suns get grip, win opener

>> Clayton Kershaw will be on the mound for the Suns tonight at 7 in the second game of the five-game series. <<

http://tinyurl.com/6c5pfy

2008-04-04 11:37:25
206.   natepurcell
203

how much have you seen of him?

2008-04-04 11:37:52
207.   ToyCannon
It is easy to say the Dodgers already tried the DeWitt experiment at 2nd base and found it wanting so that they won't be revisiting it anytime soon. However Joe Torre was not in the organization at the time and I'm remembering how the Dodgers refused to play Betemit at 2nd base last season because someone had decided he couldn't play 2nd. Yet as soon as he became a Yankee his first game found him playing 2nd base.

We also heard that D Young could not play the infield yet the 1st thing Torre did was find out for himself if that was true. Evidently it was but I like the fact he decided to find out for himself.

If LaRoche returns and his production m