Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Planning to take this weekend off from posting, though you never know when there might be exceptions. But enjoy yourselves ...
Maybe Clay-K was rattled by his first major league road game. Shea is a tough environment for any struggling pitcher. The Mets fans were absolutely KILLING Aaron Heilman after his arson job in the 8th. Willie Randolph took some serious verbal abuse too. The bile was flowing nice and thick in Flushing last night.
I wasn't thrilled with Torre's use of Chan Ho Park. Three times, Chan Ho pitched with the bases loaded in a tie/1-run game. That should never happen. The Dodgers have better relievers to use in high-leverage situations. I'm also not sure about using Brox and Sammy in a 4-run game, but I'm assuming they were both already warming up in the 8th when the Dodgers broke the game open, so they might as well come in and pitch.
On the positive side, the Dodgers won, and actually recorded a few extra-base hits and a few crooked numbers on the line score--both rarities these days. Also, I was not harrassed, taunted, targeted, assaulted, or demeaned in any way, even though I was wearing a Dodger cap and sitting in the upper deck. So despite Kershaw's struggles, all in all, it was an excellent night.
I'm not basketball fan but this Celtics Laker series really should be something
Bowa's career:
.260/.300/.320
OPS+ 71
Season high OBP: .334
Season high OPS+: 95
Martin's career:
.294/.377/.452
OPS+ 111
Season high OBP: .374 (.430 in 2008)
Season high OPS+: 113 (126 in 2008)
When it comes to hitting, Bowa don't know diddly.
I hate Bowa as much as the next guy, but just because he was a bad MLB hitter in his playing days has no relevance to his competency as a coach.
Congrats on yesterday's game Sam DC, and continued good fortune for the Nats all year(OK, I admit I was thinking particularly this weekend).
http://tinyurl.com/4bfqgs
Death Valley low.
Cockroach limo low.
Alan Sparhawk low.
And no, that isn't exactly what he said.
Arizona is a -230 favorite over Washington tonight.
That's tied for the second biggest favorite of the day. The Cubs are -230 at home against the Rockies.
The Dodgers are the slightest of favorites today at -110.
The Phillies are -220 favorites at home against Florida.
10 pm ET.
Since this is the only trip to Shea, the Dodgers and Mets will have to play a doubleheader. And it would have to be a split doubleheader since Sunday is an ESPN game.
Danny Ardoin gets ready for action.
I feel obligated to point out that a St. Louis thunderstorm and a monsoonal rainstorm are entirely unrelated weather events. All they have in common is rain.
And people wonder why I'm still single.
I disagree. I think there's a good chance that Bowa was not a "patient" hitter, and seeks to instill his "aggressiveness" in the players he coaches.
http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/8192232/Young-Dodgers-still-figuring-out-Torre
We picked apart Rosenthal two threads ago.
*Use knowledge to figure out what works, rather than guts, intuitions, The Book, etc.
Josh Fogg pitches for the Reds today so it should be a fun day.
And here I thought Bob Timmermann never met a baseball game he'd gulp at.
I've been looking at the weather radar, and I an definitely jealous of the amount of rain Molly has. We are getting a bit of rain but it has been desperately dry in western ma., at least for fishermen and gardeners. However it it looks like there is a non trivial chance there will be a window of no rain at game time.
If I get it hooked up, if the game is not rained out, if I'm not blacked out, if Fox doesn't decide to show the Red or Giants here... the if's go on and on.
It was his first career homer in the big leagues. Quintanilla has homered in the minors.
You missed all the fun with the Rosenthal/Sweeney/Bowa article.
And Andre Ethier doesn't know the fourth word that ends in -gry either.
That's Kent from the Rosenthal article.
It's funny how whenever old guys (like me) want to point out the deficiencies in younger people, they use the "you were still in elementary school when I..." formulation. He makes it sound like they were loitering, as if they had a choice.
Kemp and Ethier's comeback should be: "Yeah, and when I'm elected to the Hall of Fame, you'll probably be dead."
If Jeff Kent was a politico, it would have been fun to see his reaction when Bush's current press secretary Dana Perino admitted on NPR that she'd never heard of the Cuban Missile Crisis.
Pierre, LF
Kemp, CF
Kent, 2B
Loney, 1B
Martin, C
Ethier, RF
DeWitt, 3B
Maza, SS
Billingsley, P
1) In Kershaw's first start, Dodger pitchers (including him) struck out 16. In his second, Dodger pitchers (including him), walked 8. The Dodgers won both, eventually. Whooda thunk it?
2) IMO, managers like Torre who seem to find a formula (each player has a role, etc.) and then work rigidly from it don't always get it right. For instance, the other night Broxton struck out the side in the 8th and was dominating. Sammy came on in the 9th and blew it, which of course is unusual. But if the other team is doing absolutely nothing with one of your most dominant relievers, what would be the harm in at least having him start the 9th? Two innings aren't going to kill him; he's done it before. The situation would call for having Sammy ready, of course. And, yeah, he might have to come in mid-inning, which is not exactly a revolutionary concept. You wouldn't want to do something like this too often due to excessive warmups, but still.... a bit of flexibility on roles and creativity just might result in a few more wins.
3)The reverse might be true, too. If Ox shows signs of struggle in the 8th--also unusual--maybe Sammy could come in a bit earler. An inning plus isn't going to zap him, either. He struck ouf a career high five over two IP in closing Kershaw's first start (though IIRC his next time out was when he blew the save. But then he hadn't been used in several days.)
4) A set role formula can deprive a team of some of its best weapons. Kuo's "role" seems to be long relief. But he hasn't been used much lately, since starters have gone farther. Yet he's pretty much been the Dodgers' best pitcher. He could be used some in eighth and maybe even ninth innings to get more from him. Plus, there'd be a bit less wear and tear on Ox and Sammy--who of course would need to be told their "roles" weren't in danger. They'd also be available if Kuo struggled. As far as the long reliever "role," Park seems like a better fit--more experience, probably less potential control issues.
5) DYoung's bat should be in the lineup more somehow, some way. In a Dodger lineup having trouble scoring, his talent is not being maximized. He'd certainly do no worse than some of the offensively challenged who have been playing lately. Unless he's just terrible fielding, he should play a lot more.
6) And it looks like the fork marks in Sweeney's back (very well described by someone on DT recently) are getting more and more prominent. His "role" as top lefty PH should have been recast a good while back, regardless of PVL status, especially on a team struggling to score. I think I feel a DFA coming on, and soon.
Stay tuned to this channel for future DT novellas. (Hopefully not.)
I then tell them to be quiet and sit down.
I assume Fox will give us that one if there's rain in NY, since it's the only other option involving a western division team.
I hate it when the Dodgers play during the day on Saturdays.
I think it's more accurate to say "You can win even if you do stupid stuff", and "You'd win even more if you didn't do stupid stuff".
Bad managing/strategy doesn't prevent winning, but other things being equal, you win more with good managing/strategy.
Now, it doesn't quite work out that way. But that is why I tend to understand what the veterans are saying, not saying I agree all the time but I understand.
But what they don't know is that he is referring to the last 5 years of UCLA football.
That's true to a certain extent. Stealing bases and taking extra bases are obviously better ideas when your runners are fast than when they're slow. But there are other things (e.g. patience at the plate) that are good strategy regardless of the player.
Which is partly to say that "Taking an extra base when you're fast" isn't really "aggressive", it's just doing what's right. Seems to me that "aggressive" means "doing the wrong thing given the situation, but gambling that it will pay off anyway".
Or to a cornfield for some "batting practice"...
He would then tell me how much better the fishing was fifteen years ago.
That would only happen if you took too long to do the job.
And then there are people like me in their 40s, who just don't fit in anywhere. I trust my younger staff to do a lot because they know more as the profession changes quite rapidly.
One person left the library to go into "freelance corpus analysis."
Some people actually knew what that meant.
I was not among them.
50-60. Sometimes it seems like a 50/50 proposition though.
Reyes 2B
Chavez RF
Wright 3B
Beltran CF
Delgado 1B
Easley 2B
Schneider C
Tatis LF
Pelfrey P
There are many snowmen in West Lafayette, Indiana today.
Like an actual host with a pulse.
They need to bring back Johnny Bench and The Baseball Bunch.
No, no they do not.
Your age doesn't allow you to appreciate The Baseball Bunch. It's a reverse Freaks and Geeks.
Fair enough.
Carlos Marmol is on my fantasy team.
Go Carlos!
And Crazy Legs? You got it half right James, half right
And I wonder which half of a personality Jeff Kent has.
I thought I was playing along, until I eventually deduced what was going on.
Jon has created something very special here. Where else do blog commenters have such power!
I mean, this is national televsion! Wow.
No, He is normal today. Although his fb seems to be pretty heavy.
Good thing Chan Ho Park is in the pen.
And if Joe Buck says the Dodgers are hurting because they are missing Nomar or Jones...
Isn't hitting into a DP on a hit and run just a matter of bad luck?
Or, a strikeout. That's lame.
Good to know.
I'm glad Kershaw has Bills to talk to--he might be able to help him to learn to trust his stuff.
I had to work today. And the meeting is way down in South OC.
If DeWitt hadn't been on the move, the ball might have just trickled into center or at worse been an out at first.
I work every other Saturday.
Are you referring to why the SABR meeting was in South OC? If so, that's because the president of the chapter lives down there and the Angels are willing to send guest speakers to that neck of the woods.
I think they were trying to get Bobby Grich to show up.
Tim McCarver spends money like it isn't his. Or like Ned Colletti.
I love Kemp, but he truly is a dope on the bases.
According to Gameday, he also throws sliders and changeups.
(And pitchouts)
131 The sacrifice is a valid strategy when the hitter is close to incapable of getting on base (Like Mark Hendrickson) or if a single run has high utility and the batter has a very high success rate at getting bunts down (i.e.runner at first tied in the ninth, Lofton at the plate)
those barely move enough to be specified as those pitches.
A changeup doesn't really have to move, does it? I thought it just had to be slow...
That's beside the point, which is that a changeup doesn't have to move to be classified as a changeup.
The Mets are not exactly awash with outfielders now.
Tomorrow's game was supposed to be a 1:10 ET game, before ESPN decided it wanted that as its Sunday night game. Therefore, the Dodgers will end the game at around 11 pm ET, fly the red-eye back to LA, and have to play in LA Monday night.
I'm sure Jeff Kent et. al. is thrilled about that!
part of a double steal I hope ...
Johjima has as much speed as Mariah in those heels ...
Fortunately Blake hammered one to right so McCarver wouldn't have to talk about him for a while.
Maza reverts to the quadruple-A player he really is.
I like it! Line drive for the Solution!
Seriously, Kemp gets screwed more times than not.
It was a lot worse last year and the beginning of this year. I actually think he's been given some favorable calls in the last month or so.
1. He still fit in that tuxedo.
2. That tux was not wrinkled.
3. He actually owned that tuxedo.
Kemp's was at least 2 inches furthur outside.
http://tinyurl.com/537qrw
Keith Law projection:
15. Los Angeles -- Andrew Cashner, RHP, TCU
If the Twins take [Zach] Collier, the Dodgers could turn right around and take [Aaron] Hicks, and there's still a chance they could take Collier if he is available.
I was as surprised as anyone to hear the Dodgers were looking at college relievers, but Cashner and [Daniel] Schlereth apparently are in play, perhaps a reflection of the shortage of polished, high-ceiling high school players in this draft.
They are rumored to be in on [Ethan] Martin, but he is more crude than the players assistant GM Logan White and scouting director Tim Hallgren typically take in the first round.
I finally caught up to this one live after watching it on Tivo-delay and FF-ing to catch up in slow parts (and some of McCarver's blather). But Bills looks really solid and I know y'all talked about it already but a shout-out to Crazy Legs/Eyes' line-up intro at the beginning. The Bison reference made my day!
Now let's get this win in before the rains come.
Depends if the taco is a chicken soft taco...then yes.
The Chancellors have now passed up Kennedy and Fremont for the most City titles.
vr, Xei
At least that is what I tell myself.
There's a facade alarm?
mmmm ..... tacos!
Leadoff man on for the Metsies.
Viagra commecial
Prostate med commercial
heartburn commectial
couple of Grecian Formula commercials
Taco Bell and Pizza Hut commercials
Car commercials
and of course NASCAR.
How depressing.
LI: 3.29
in otherwords, a big at bat.
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
LI: 3.03
still a big at bat.
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
Great at bat by Chavez.
Nice work Chad. Put a spoon in him.
vr, Xei
Just a couple more guys on the course.
vr, Xei
Thanks, Tim!
The last time I checked, the Bruins were even or 1-over for the day, and had a 9-shot lead. Now they're 16-over on today's round.
The course is supposed to be a killer. No individual is under par for the tournament.
Supposedly the rough has two lengths. The easy rough is 3 inches. The bad part is 7 inches.
I'm losing patience with Broxton as an eighth inning guy these days.
{insert swear words here}
The last time I checked, some guy from UCLA was leading at 5-under.
Supposedly the rough has two lengths. The easy rough is 3 inches. The bad part is 7 inches
That's standard. The rough closest to the fairway is usually not as long as the rough further from the fairway. The idea is for the penalty to increase with the degree of inaccuracy.
They just lost this game.
Logging off . . .
Oh, yeah, the leader is at -3. He's the only guy on the happy side of par.
I still think seven inch rough is really nasty. I've read that there have been a few balls lost in the weeds even with spotters.
Seven inches (of rough, that is) is pretty crazy. Most US Opens don't even let it grow that long.
Great showing from the Pac-10.
(sigh)
This bums me out -- two great efforts in a row by Billingsley wasted. So when is Furcal back again? Having him in there today alone I feel like would've given them a couple more runs.
Ah well.
What?
Or maybe he shouldnt use Broxton with a 4 run lead yesterday (his 3rd game in 4 days) and then use him again today (thats 4 games in 5 days). Brox isnt Mike Marshall. torre's management of the bullpen has been terrible and today is no exception.
In college golf, you have golfers out on the course, but you only count the top four scores. Maybe the fifth score is used as a tiebreaker.
Thats fatigue. Thats bitching 4 times in 5 days when a guy like Kuo has pitched like twice in 2 weeks. Thats terrible bullpen management.
Could be. Stanford now in 2nd place alone, on the strength of Sihwan Kim's 71. He was the only player to break par today.
I think Torre's usage of the bullpen (poor procter) is very questionable at times.
But for the most part, he's been a pretty strong manager, from my POV.
Hey Canuck, did you see ESPN report the Dodgers have shown interest in college closers for the 1st round pick this year? Seems HS projectable SPs are few and far between if Hicks isn't there.
that's Torre's modus operandi .... relying on 2 or 3 relievers too much ....
why ... just ask Scott Proctor!
Ok, I can throw a 97 mph fastball, I'm going to start an inning to get three outs. The guy that's up beat us on a breaking ball to left, so what do you call for here?
Tatis gets a hanger over the plate. Meh
1) More Kuo, who is unhittable
2) The other three are fresher
3) Less Proctor
But Broxton is our Setup ™. He has to pitch the 8th. It's in The Book.
Answer: Nats beating D'Backs 2 in a row with Webb taking the ball.
Proctor should have pitched the 8th yesterday. You have a 4 run lead- don't use your important setup man! If he gets in trouble, then maybe you use Brox.
That was a bad call, although DeWitt didn't argue. What's the point, I guess.
Sigh. That was so frustrating. If the team would just consistently score more runs pitchers wouldn't feel so much pressure to be fine, be perfect.
Hope they get a split tomorrow with Hiro going.
Oh well, have yourselves a good night, all. It's just baseball. (Sigh.)
The day I start feeling sympathy for anyone associated with the Mets is the day I tell you I've gone peach picking and have made a peach cobbler.
Bogey, bogey, double bogey, par, bogey, birdie, bogey, bogey, bogey
For me, that would be a good day.
http://www.flixxy.com/beethoven-5th-symphony.htm
I'll be surprised if we ever see DeWitt argue a call, not his style. That was a pretty good at bat though.
Gary Bennett
I might have jinxed us.
You make a good point. Six outs to go, a two run lead, a great bullpen ...
SS will be fine when Furcal gets back.
Cf, 3b, Catcher are fine.
RF is below average but acceptable for now.
458 - The way you define "big hole" sure seems differently than most of us do, when it comes to first base at least. That's really getting a bit old. Agree about LF of course, though.
First Rosenthal pulls out the trashcan with Kent and Sweeny, now the trade rumor card.
Why not make it package of Lowe and Penny?
I admit I was frustrated when they turned Brox into a reliever--what potential he might have had if he had worked hard and developed a bigger stable of pitches. Of course this is only a small blip, and I didn't mean to imply he can't be a great reliever.
A hidden blessing in this tough time is that it shows who our good players are. Loney, Kemp, Ethier, Martin, and perhaps DeWitt and LaRoche. Over the past few weeks we have had nothing from Jones, Nomar, and Furcal and very little from Kent. The reasons vary, but bare thinking about. Teams like the snakes and rocks went through this(without 50 mil on the DL) and came out the other side. I would add that our pitching is deeper than those teams now and there may be cause for optimism.
Now to spend the rest of the afternoon not thinking about the Dodgers!
Nice shot of Donna Brazile putting on her lipstick, though.
http://youtube.com/watch?v=c99UFrKkLSk
If one viewing doesn't do the trick, try two or three. It can be addictive.
I know, I've almost been tempted to sample the Dunn Kool-Aid, too, but have tried to resist. As bad as Penny's been I'm still not ready to give up on him, though if an offer came a-callin' that involved a top prospect it could be tempting (though Ned seems to rarely deal veterans for prospects). All told, given how much the offense has struggled without Furcal, the fact that they are still within sniffing distance of first and that their starting pitching has been so much better the past week is reason for some cautious optimism.
So, thanks for yours.
Now we just need them to put those two things together for once (pitching and runs). Tomorrow and the homestand would be as good a place as any.
Aaron Boone and his .293 BA and 5 HRs in limited PT is available though.
He plays the game the right way.
And Joe Torre probably has a soft spot for him.
We actually have 7(including Kou) starters who could be above average. In a trade for a power hitting LF I'm shocked to find the only one I would protect is Kershaw--I guess I just have to see what happens with him. Of course this is a pretty safe fantasy because it assumes we would repalce our LF without compromises.
Look at Torre's beloved Yankees this year. What's the problem?
a) Inconsistent pitching.
b) Can't seem to score more runs than the other teams (despite that meretriciously glamorous PayrolLineup).
Ugh!
Canuck---a veteran utility infielder--Just What We Need---please don't jump off a bridge, you are about the best resourse on the talent in the org.
You can talk about whether or not the veteran players are pulling their weight but to not accept that this team's relative inexperience is not going to be asked about and commented is unrealistic.
Ultimately, those 1970's Dodgers dealt away some of their young players (Bobby Valentine, Bill Buckner, Lee Lacy, Tom Pacieorek, Jerry Royster, Ivan DeJesus) for pitchers and outfielders that led to their success form 1974 on.
Even the ultra-powerful, PVL led clubs have set up guys that occasionally suck.
The wind was blowing out at Wrigley today. Omar Quintanilla homered there as well.
You'll have to ask Sam DC about that.
But I sense there's collusion between his team and the 7-year old's team.
If they got some Esteban German type, knowing that Furcal will be back and starting and that's just some infield depth, I don't see that it's such a depressing thought. Trading some top flight prospect for said utility guy would however be a depressing thought.
Thanks to Gen3blue and underdog for the perspective.
Call me crazy, but I'm guessing even the youngest Dodgers realize that the way to win is to score more runs than you allow your opponent to score.
No.
The reason we are not winning is simple and believe it or not James Loney understood this , as I did, when I was 6. In the last 23 games our table setter is getting on at .287 clip and has 1 extra base hit with 10 runs in 24 games. And our clean up man or 3 hole hitter has a .291 obp and 12 extra base hits for the year.
Not counting their 2-8 with 2 singles today.
You have to have better production at the top of the order. Duh. Or does Coletti need a tutorial.
They finally figured out that Kemp can play CF.
The last piece to this is putting Broxton back as a starting pitcher.
As far as fielding goes, Loney has the worst RZR of any first baseman with any substantial amount of innings, so he's been awful there.
It seems like at DT the kids can do no wrong, but if any of them are to blame its Loney. He hasn't really been any more valuable than Pierre, who gets blasted all the time. In fact, according to Hardball Times, Pierre has one more Run Created so far. If you just mean that he can improve, I definitely agree and maybe eventually 1B will look like a strength. But, if you consider what position he plays, there's no logical way to say 1st base isn't one of our biggest weaknesses right now.
Exactly.
Furcal has a trick back, so we need some reliable middle infield depth.
Kent is old and will benefit from more rest.
Maybe three games on, one or two games off.
LaRoche needs to be on the 25 man.
Will Sweeney be with the team on Monday morning? Pee Wee was on deck today.
Hu and Maza back to Las Vegas.
LaRoche and the new utility man to the big club.
In the wings, Schmidt and Jones. Both may have positive contributions to offer after the All-Star break.
Billingsley looks great.
Lowe has done very well in his last two starts.
Kuroda is doing a good job.
Penny is having consistent trouble in the 3rd/4th innings lately.
Kershaw is on the job training.
The bullpen is good.
Martin, Kemp, Ethier, DeWitt, Loney, and Pierre are here for the season.
Given the situation, would you trade for a power bat or wait and see what Jones can do with two good legs?
I agree with the substance of this post. I think Loney can still improve, and he will still be important to this team's success (or lack thereof) but he really needs to show some improvement sooner rather than later.
Ivan Rodriguez - 54.1%
Mike Piazza - 38.1%
Tom Glavine - 49.4%
Pedro Martinez - 38.7%
Jeff Kent - 4.7% (40.4% say he has no chance on any ballot)
Chipper Jones - 26.2%
Frank Thomas -19.0%
Rodriguez over Piazza and Glavine over Martinez? I hope baseball writers are smarter than the average fan. Thomas and Jones should also be easy 1st ballot guys. Thomas is one of the best hitters in 50 years and Jones is a top 3 3rd baseman ever. I found many of these numbers surprising.
Stand down.
What's nice about the alerts is that if I forget what color the alert was from reading the first sentence in the alert, the color is always repeated in the second sentence.
I try to be helpful.
UCLA leads Cal State Fullerton 5-1 after 3. So how will UCLA blow this lead?
I'm betting on an four-base throwing error by a UCLA infielder in the ninth inning.
Those are the most common matchups in the final series or game of MLB, NBA, NHL, and NFL.
I'll check the World Series later but I think its either the Yankees and Cardinals or the Yankees and Giants for 2nd place.
After the Lakers and Celtics, its the Lakers and Sixers/Syracuse Nationals with 6 times, next are the Lakers vs. Knicks with 5 and then Boston vs. St. Louis Hawks with 4 title matches.
But prior to the Super Bowl it seems a little silly to count the NFL championships since the league was so small.
I didn't count NFC conference championships. Just NFL championship games.
UCLA just got nailed for catcher's interference. Fullerton's comeback from being down 10-2 has begun.
1. The Orphanage.
2. Games (minus Friday) from the Dodgers' past week.
3. The Orphanage.
Fantastic movie but why did I watch it late at night? Stupid, stupid. I hate to be a baby but I may need the nightlight on tonight.
Jose Valentin.
--
Loney hasn't been bad this season, at all. He's been performing below expectations at times. and I agree, he'll get better before the year is up.
Yes indeed, I should have known better.
But his mom let him watch Raiders of the Lost Ark. Was I supposed to let her be the cool mom and leave it at that?
Did anyone remember the 80s TV remake? Robert Hays, Kevin Bacon, Charles Durning... Howard Hesseman as doc!
It was, ah, not as good as the original.
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