Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Here are two separate issues:
1) There's X amount of dysfunction in the Dodger front office.
2) X amount of dysfunction is having Y amount of effect on the team's ability to be the best it can be.
Z what I mean?
The Dodgers may be prudent, or they may be paralyzed, or some combination of the two. Whatever the case, inaction is not by definition a bad thing, any more than action is. If reasonable or even unreasonable minds disagree on making a move, maybe the move shouldn't be made.
Knocking a pitching-rich, offensively challenged team for not trading a hitter for CC Sabathia or Jack Wilson needs to be supported by more than rants of "Who's running the show?" The Dodgers are a difficult trading partner? Good, if that means they're going to be less stupid than they have sometimes been in the past.
I don't know all the details of the past week, but I do know this. The Dodgers exist to win baseball games and please their fans. They do not exist to make other teams' or other journalists' lives more interesting.
That's exactly what I'm thinking. I just hope the FO doesn't react to this "criticism" and make some "easy" trades just to shake off the stigma.
I'm far from being a Dodgers "yes-man", but sometimes the journalists scratching and crawling over one another to manufacture their stories just gets my dander up!
Also, while we may have been skeptical about this earlier, we've now heard enough times from enough different sources that there's a divide in the Dodgers front office. I think that instead of rejecting that, we should probably now admit that there's likely something to it.
I can't wait for August 1. Rosenthal and, to a lesser degree, Plaschke and Simers, seem determined to goad the Dodgers into trading away the young talent. Those guys appear to be trying to influence the news, become the news, rather than report the news.
I feel so Rosenthalian.
The internet publishes far more drummed up irrational stories than print media ever did.
However, I don't for a second buy the argument that most people have used to argue against it -- and which Jon refers to above. The fact that the Dodger pitching has been excellent does not mean that another great starting pitcher wouldn't improve the team as much as a hitter would.
The thing about acquiring a hitter is that unless it's a second baseman or shortstop, the margin by which you'd be improving the offense is slim. If you acquired a player at any other position, that guy would be displacing a player who's already average or above. (I am ignoring third base here, where the Dodgers have an average or above-average hitter and are simply refusing to play him.)
It's not true that if you already have good pitching, you can't improve it even more. Since there are five starters, ANY team almost ALWAYS needs starting pitching. If we replaced our worst starter -- Penny/Stults, say -- with Sabathia, that would likely improve the rotation by the same amount as acquiring a star hitter to replace a decent hitter. Then you have the added benefit of moving your deposed starter to the pen and getting rid of your worst bullpen guy, so the pen gets improved too.
It is not remotely true that a team needs to be well-balanced between pitching and hitting to win. This is one of those baseball myths, and it simply isn't true. All a team needs is a certain number of good players. Whether those are pitchers or hitters -- whether they produce runs or prevent them -- is largely irrelevant, as long as there's playing time for all of them. We'd win just as many games if we decreased our runs allowed by 5%, as we would if we increased our runs scored by 5%. The fact that we have good pitching already doesn't mean we didn't need Sabathia.
Wouldn't they trade a pitcher?
Well of course it does! Pixels are cheaper than newsprint!
vr, Xei
The second half of the move would then involve fleecing the Phillies into giving the Dodgers either Rollins or Utley for a package that includes Lowe.
There's a ticking clock in it.
Next to a ring in a box.
>> Before the game, RHP Jesus Rodriguez (1-2, 3.00) was reassigned to Class A Great Lakes, and RHP Luis Ferreras was promoted to the Suns from the Gulf Coast League Dodgers. Ferreras pitched a scoreless eighth inning in his debut. ... Suns RHP James McDonald (4-2, 3.29) is scheduled to pitch at 7:05 p.m. today against an unannounced Braves pitcher in Game 3 of the five-game series. <<
http://tinyurl.com/62f3m2
vr, Xei
247. 232 How is Hu doing in Las Vegas? Is the vision problem improving? If Hu can get his eyes working properly why do the Dodgers need to do anything at shortstop for the remainder of this season?
As of today Hu is still on the Las Vegas DL. But I haven't seen an update on his vision status.
>> "(Torre) is pretty much the only reason why I'm in this organization," Sturtze said. "Joe just asked me to stick around and try to get back healthy just in case they need some help at the end of their (playoff) push. Hopefully I can get healthy enough to help them." <<
## NOTE -- Dodgers infielder Mark Sweeney (strained right hamstring) is expected to join the 51s today to start a rehabilitation assignment. ##
http://www.lvrj.com/sports/24307457.html
Also, I am suspicious of journalists in other markets making judgments on whether the Dodgers should have made the CC trade or not. They have their own agenda, we all know how many other cities are jealous and hate L.A. and love to see us fail. They would love to see us trade our young future for over-priced, over-rated PVL and watch us sink. As far as Plaschke and Simers, ect.., they just can't see the forest from the trees and they think they speak for all Angelenos that we won't wait for our homegrown kids to mature together. Some fans won't, but I also think the best teams were the ones that had the home grown nucleus in the 70's and early 80's. They were competitive nearly every year from 73-85. All you can ask for as a fan is the team to to its best to remain competitive in an many years as possible.
right now, its at 7.8 9/ip with a go/fo ratio of almost 2.
His walk rates are pretty good and hit rates are not bad, but for a Logan White first rounder, he isn't following the crowd with the lack of strikeouts.
Thanks Dodgers49!
Also, 24 K's in today's Brewers-Rockies game.
This is a yellow alert.
But Morneau homered to the put the Twins up in the 11th.
If Colletti got Utley then he would become the Mitch Kupchak of baseball.
http://tinyurl.com/66oas8
If I recall, his K rate in the Pioneer League in 2006 was fairly spectacular.
I would really look into Hardy this winter. If Penny was healthy and pitching well, a Penny + bullpen arm (Wade?) for Hardy could work out.
But Penny is not healthy and is not pitching well.
back to the drawing board...
His K rate was extremely high in the Pioneer League but so was his walk rate.
His walk rate this year is very good for first season out of TJ but the K rate is so-so.
Have not heard reports on velocity. Sounds like a mission for ToyCannon and his weekly talks with Deric McKamey.
Also, did anyone answer the question from the last thread about how long a team can control a player? The scenario had 12 years mapped out I think.
Yes, might as well keep him in his walk year.
Yeesh, 26 K's in that game combined from both teams.
http://tinyurl.com/595kqh
Did he really just say they need to trade their kids?
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
Why not play LaRoach at 3B and Dewit at SS to spell Nomar? Add a freebie in Sextonfor the late inning HR or sac Fly, and allow Kuo and Park to be the stop gaps. They are doing great but hardly used!
Go Dodgers, and if you can't go Dodgers, go Rays!
We need a 1.000 OPS hitter.
We need a 1.000 OPS hitter.
We need a 1.000 OPS hitter.
We need a 1.000 OPS hitter.
Sorry, my keyboard got stuck.
Is Matt Kemp overrated by Dodger fans?
http://tinyurl.com/5jdutz
He's 23!
That was discussed in detail toward the end of this:
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/1049180.html
anyone know anything about him? his numbers are good what type of prospect is he?
Sexton for Quinlan has to be an upgrade (on an Angels blog).
Oh never mind!
{sighs}
That would be Dave Cameron of USSM. He seems to be stretching quite a bit. But, Kemp is definitely not there yet as a hitter. He has all the talent he just needs a better approach.
And no to anything AJ Burnett. Not a guy we want on the Dodgers' staff. Nyet!
i learned that stat yesterday, and wanted to use it.
You really miss David Ross?
You'd prefer him to Martin. Martin would hit a comparable amount of home runs if you put him in Cincinnati.
So, if a player's BABIP is very low but they have a high line drive percentage, chances are they're hitting balls hard but right at fielders. Those are the kind of things that even out (if you believe in chance and luck and that sort of thing), so it's likely that the player is playing better than his numbers are indicating. The player's BABIP will likely improve, and so will the player's BA, OBP, and SLG.
There are a lot of factors that go into hitting a homerun. The stadium a player is in, the pitcher he's facing. The in game situation (runners on, score, number of outs). Weather conditions. Some players that the Dodgers release only became the players they did because the Dodgers released them.
A poker analogy I use often when a player tells me, "look, if I'd have kept that seat, I'd have won all the pots that he did"; I respond by saying, "Only if you played exactly like he did. The moment you folded a hand that he played, or played one that he didn't the cards would be arranged in a different order."
My one bit of David Ross smack is now invalid.
the point that I usually get across is that there is pretty much a butterfly effect for every little action.
unless you think of time like Doctor Who.
His two home runs today at Wrigley brought his season total of homers to 3.
(a) is getting married
(b) has been brutalized by the Mariners' grossly incompetent front office
(c) hates puppies and kittens
(d) all of the above
Does anyone think we will ever see 2nd place again? I wrote up this little counter to a column by Ted Green over on sportshub commenting on how ordinary a team the Dodgers are and his lament that we have never drafted a Jay Bruce.
http://tinyurl.com/6g44so
Perhaps Toby Hall should come back.
If a player is hitting more home runs after leaving the Dodgers, what would be the reason for it? Do the Dodgers not recognize power hitters? Or it just coincidence?
Does any GM say? "This guy is going to hit too many home runs. Get rid of him!"
sportscenter. That guys anchor is all about advanced metrics and he is arguing with Kurkijan about Longoria over Giambi and the other anchor says jokingly, "What's Longoria's VORP?"/snicker
thats the first time I have ever heard VORP on sportscenter.
Weird, half of my words were erased. Anyways, you get the picture.
Did you ever contact that SportsNation guy looking for you? I lost your work email when I changed jobs.
Lack of patience. David Ross would have been a great backup over the last few years. If I remember correctly we traded for Jason Philips because we felt David Ross couldn't cut it. The same Jason Philips who went onto to such heights as a Dodger that some clown felt he could add an offensive presence at 1st base.
Nothing wrong with lamenting for players who have had value after we let them go nothing. It is kind of funny that all these back up outfielders have more home runs then our starting outfield.
On sportscenter, one anchor (Brian Kenny) is arguing with Kurkijan about Longoria over Giambi in the all star game and they are spouting off OBP, OPS, SLG etc etc and the other anchor in a sarcastic tone asks, "Well, whats the guys VORP?"
Because he knows Kenny is a stat nerd. I thought it was funny because I never heard VORP on sportscenter.
Why not play LaRoach at 3B and Dewit at SS to spell Nomar?"
---
I don't mean to poke fun, but ironically in order to spell Nomar, the manager needs to know how to spell LaRoche.
Kenny Thomas can't really defend at PF can he?
Since we'd look really bad if we signed Paul Bako and just released him, we would have had to carry three catchers to keep Ross.
Long day.
127
When did Bynum become a tough guy? Did that happen while he was re-habbing? He's got great hands and reach, tough is not something I'd assign to him yet unless your comparing him to the guy he replaced.
How can a teacher have a long day? It is already over:)
Marlins:
Ramirez SS
Hermida RF
Cantu 3B
Willingham LF
Uggla 2B
Jacobs 1B
Ross CF
Baker C
Johnson RHP
Dodgers:
Kemp CF
Ethier RF
Martin C
Kent 2B
Loney 1B
Young LF
DeWitt 3B
Berroa SS
Park RHP
wow.
I want a home runner hitter. Any of those on the market? No, you say?
Why can't we play Laroche in LF?
a bunch of screaming teammates with beer and champagne sprint in screaming and dousing him, as he quickly tries to earmuff and protect his daughter from getting beer showered lol
My simulator has the over/under at 8.4 runs, LV Hilton at 8.5 and AccuScore at 9.4.
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
http://mlb.mlb.com/index.jsp
You are making me reconsider my Chan Ho Park start for fantasy ball tonight, especially since I had Lilly pitch today.
Of course, if anyone was going to do that, it was Manny. Remember, a few years ago he was caught listening to an MP3 player in the outfield during a game.
Next up, he'll try to figure out how to get a Wii out there.
No need to work blue here, Lenny Bruce.
His cylindrical, glass wallet.
Manny, I gave up trying to understand years ago.
Presumably a park with smaller foul territory will give up more walks.
And shorter fences would make pitchers more likely to walk a batter instead of risking a home run.
I would think catching Chipper would be tough to catch on the AVE front, having a 30 point lead and all
vr, Xei
(Tomorrow) Joe Beimel will be at the Staples in Brubank {sic} and Jonathan Broxton will be at the Paul's TV store, which carries Sharp TVs, in Panorama City. Both will be signing autographs for fans from 12-1 p.m.
i.e., the grass is greener, managers aren't perfect, people are generally unhappy with their managers, etc.
M Alou should have been a DH a couple of yrs ago. The problem with him is that when he's healthy he gives it all and his leg muscles can't keep up.
He came up with a formula which evaluates a manager's performance based on expected wins and losses, how well the team did before he got there, etc. The results showed that managers tend to be a benefit to their teams in the first three or four years of their career, and especially in their first and second year. After that, they become significantly less effective the longer they keep managing.
He theorizes why this might be. One thing he says is that a new manager might have things he focuses on -- specific ways he sees to improve the team. Improving pitch selection, getting better at bunting, whatever. But once he's been around a few years and the team has mastered those things, then the manager runs out of ways to improve the team. He corrects whatever blind spot areas the previous manager had, but develops his own blind spots that he's incapable of seeing or correcting.
Another thing James said, which makes a lot of sense to me, is that the new manager isn't handicapped by loyalties and personal relationships. A new manager can come in and clear out the dead wood on a team, and do it with a clear conscience since he has no particular loyalties or history with the players. But an experienced manager develops an affection for the players who he admires or who have helped him in the past, and those players are allowed to retain their jobs long after they no longer deserve them. The manager's loyalty to his favorites -- which is a theme with almost all managers -- is allowed to drag down the team. The best managers over long periods of time are the ones who are willing to cold-bloodedly make decisions based on merit rather than sentiment. There are relatively few of those guys around, and Torre is clearly not one of them. (see: Proctor, Scott; Williams, Bernie; Jeter, Derek; etc.)
Earl Weaver? Whitey Herzog? Casey Stengel?
Bernie Williams was replaced in CF under Torre and so was Johnny Damon. And what is it that you would do with Jeter?
/rant, OFF
Current examples would include Jim Leyland and Bobby Cox.
Move him to third, obviously.
When you acquire a Gold Glove shortstop, and your other shortstop is the worst defender in the league, it doesn't take a genius to figure out what to do. Instead, Torre chose to hurt his team's defense immeasurably by remaining loyal to his incompetent shortstop.
Bernie Williams, same thing. He wasn't benched until long after he became a joke in center field. He should have been made a DH, left fielder, or bench player at least two years sooner than he was.
Yeah, I suppose at some level it's nothing more than a crapshoot - a roll of the dice. There certainly have been moves by Torre (or Little for that matter) that I disagreed with and they turned out just fine.
Or said another way: he's the mascot.
(How depressing that the July 31st trade deadline has no significance for Pierre: he would pass through waivers in a heartbeat.)
So, why hasn't the younger smarter, Joe Giaradi, done the obvious?
Who did the Yankees have to replace Williams b4 they acquired Damon?
I had the same thought. At least when I heard the Giant announcers say it, their tone wasn't bitter.
Hey, I wasn't talking to you. :) You may be right, but didn't Williams decline drop like a rock in a very short time? Besides, Torre didn't have Beltre. I don't think that was his fault.
Pretend I said Beltran.:)
Still got 1st and 2nd no outs.
Yeah, what he said.
191. Actually yeah, I'd have preferred Girardi over torrie. He did a great job when he was with the Marlins and that was also a young team, the problem in NY, or at least one of the problems, is that he walked into a team that had a line up pretty much set in stone and no farm that could help the big club, unlike the Dodgers. Too he has to contend with georgie and his kids. Any move that he might want to make has to be cleared by them first or at least that's the impression I get.
His third of the game.
Jackson's blog said he took BP at DS and went yard 4 times...I still wouldn't mind it if he went the 3b route instead of the pitcher route.
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