Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
In no particular order:
1) Rafael Furcal was injured.
2) Andruw Jones was out of shape, incompetent and injured.
3) Brad Penny lost effectiveness and was injured.
4) Tony Abreu was injured.
5) Chin-Lung Hu had vision problems.
6) Takashi Saito and Jonathan Broxton blew a few saves in otherwise effective seasons.
7) Chad Billingsley's first start of the season was derailed by a Los Angeles rainstorm.
8) Hong-Chih Kuo was underused in critical situations.
9) Hiroki Kuroda was injured.
10) Gary Bennett was signed.
11) Nomar Garciaparra was injured while Furcal was injured.
12) Jeff Kent is 40.
13) Andy LaRoche can't get more than two starts in a row to prove himself, which would be okay if Blake DeWitt had a batting average of more than .217, an on-base percentage of more than .277 and a slugging percentage of more than .263 over his past 46 games.
14) Juan Pierre was overused at the expense of Andre Ethier.
15) Mark Sweeney could not buy a hit even on layaway.
16) Brian Falkenborg gave Hanley Ramirez an easy pitch to hit.
17) The Dodger front office made some sloppy decisions.
But by all means, let's blame those insufferable kids who can't listen for everything the kids who represent a great deal of everything that's good about the 2008 Dodgers. Players are getting hurt left and right, players are old, players are ill-chosen but who cares? The kids aren't perfect, so they must be the problem.
You know, in my own life, I'm not accomplishing everything I wanted to. I think I'll blame my kids. Because I've seen other 3- and 5-year-olds who are perfect. So it must be my kids' fault.
Look, you can trade Matt Kemp, Clayton Kershaw and Carney's for all I care if you can get a proper return. But good luck trying. In the meantime, if you're going to scapegoat, get a clue. This isn't my approach, but if you want to advocate a culture that espouses professionalism, responsibility and effectiveness, then demand the release of Andruw Jones. If it's those values that matter, if you want that kind of shape-up-or-ship-out integrity, blame Jones for reporting to the team without any of them.
Otherwise, just shut up.
* * *
This post from Joe Posnanski features two of my favorite people in the world: Bruce Springsteen and Chuck Culpepper. Or three, if you count Rosalita.
This is from Jon Heyman's column in SI today.
Why would McCourt be upset about attendance?
I love it even more when it's in Plaschke's direction.
Can we get this faxed, sent, emailed, phoned, text messaged, and flown by pigeons to McCourt, Colletti, and Plaschke? And then repeat the process about 50 thousand times so it might finally sink into their thick, dim-witted skulls.
1 - Well, parking fees and food sales, I suppose. But I would really be surprised if that's his greatest worry, because he's still drawing like gangbusters.
We could drive up food sales if they actually let us roam the stadium to get what we want like the used to.
perfectly said!
Attendance is slightly down this season. Of course, this has a number of reasons why attendance is down, but this is also the power couple that said that Dodger Stadium can draw 4 million and it was ridiculous that it doesn't.
He really needs to step up. When I was his age, I brought in $200,000 of revenue for the Timmermann household. And I could recite the entire New Testament in both Greek and Latin.
Should I take that to mean that McCourt has been preventing Colletti from trading the "kids?"
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/y75r
Tonight I am planning on taking my wife and son to our first game as a family. He is approaching the 9 week milestone, so if he is feeling good tonight, we will be at the stadium...for as long as he allows us to be.
McCourt probably freaks out about attendance all the time since Fox takes all his TV money.
Be sure to take pictures, so you can show your son his Dodger Stadium debut!
Congrats! Hopefully this promotion allows for more time to post here. :)
28 - Don't they all???
Try to put yourself in a camera-friendly spot so Vin can ooh and ahh over your child on the air.
I need to hear more 1950s style description of cute babies. My vocabulary in that area is declining.
# 8 I don't think is a mistake on anyone's part. The data to support the case that Kuo was underused in key situations early this year couldn't be used and generated at the same time.
Aside from a couple of pitchers, all of the best-performing players on the team right now are "kids." Ignoring the fact that they're still young and will all improve, they are leading the team RIGHT NOW.
The problem, of course, is that you can't prove that to someone who refuses to look at statistics, and judges instead by (1) body language and (2) willingness to confirm one's own predispositions in interviews.
The best recent example is that everyone, including Torre, thinks that Kemp is struggling since he moved to leadoff. And sure, he's striking out a lot, but his performance has nonetheless been better than Pierre's was. But strikeouts just LOOK worse than 4-3 groundouts that you make close by hustling.
That is what I am thinking. Plus, I have a pretty good rocking technique, so I can always walk with him up at the top while watching the game. The bummer is that I will actually pay for parking because the walk will be a little long outside the park if he has a melt down.
Are there baby changing stations in the Top Deck? Near the latrine :)
It's supposed to be in the bahtrooms near Section 3.
I like Dewitt and root for him, but his one good month has become an anchor on this team now. Torre keeps waiting for him to break out of his slump and LaRoche cannot get any consistent, pressure-free time at 3B.
And Jon, totally agree with you about Andruw Jones. It is inexcusable the things that the Dodgers are willing to let slide compared to the things that they are criticizing the players for.
This is the sort of thing I expect from microsoft, not the good guys
Put that in your Google translater
Love the handle.
It's actually "towhead."
We feel you Jon.
I think another problem here is marketing. The PR department isn't telling the fans to embrace any of our young players but Russ. Why can't some guy find Matt Kemp in his toast instead of Kent? Why aren't we telling people about how great Bills is now instead of Ron Cey telling people how great we used to be? The team isn't giving any reason for the casual fan to embrace this team, so the only impression they have of Matt Kemp is that he's a delinquent.
I wonder if that's my webmail or if it speaks of something else
Speaking of which I'll be at the game tomorrow, with 2 cute kids in tow (daughter and friend - the baby's got to stay home with a sitter). We should be in prime territory for cute kid shots on the telecast.
And speaking of which, if Frank is indeed disappointed by attendance, maybe its because the tickets have gotten ungodly expensive. If we hadn't called in connection for tomorrow, there's no way I'd bring kids to Dodger Stadium. Its a choice between the bleachers and paying through the nose.
Happy Friday everyone, I really hope they [Torre] plays La Roche for a fair amount of time to see what's doin' with him but he won't (exhibit A. Pierre) Torre seems to be a first impression kind of guy or something to that effect.
I hope it isn't the norm for Torre (1st year managing a new team & all...) veremos...
but i'm mainly wondering why my email got bounced.
What they need to do is tie the history in with the present. I think I mentioned during the off season how the ad campaign should have all the old Dodgers embracing the new Dodgers, passing the torch or what have you.
On the surface the cash flow from the season ticket holders is nice but he needs butts in those seats and when he doesn't get the butts he should worry.
You would never see the type of promo's that we are seeing today for good seats in the infield reserve unless he is having attendance problems. You might see the seats filled between 1st and 3rd but that is just the foul pole people moving in to the empty season ticket seats. All those foul pole seats are sold from row A to Row F and yet just about every night during the week those seats are empty in the loge. I've only sat in my seat maybe three times all year and those have always been promo nights.
But it was a nice affluent, computerized crowd last.
Cory Snyder was featured on DiamondVision and he was at the game. He's just 45 years old and looked about 20 years older. I hope he is not ill.
Marty thought he looked like Nick Nolte.
--Lower the prices, including for parking.
--Professionalize the food service.
--Get rid of those ridiculous digital add banners at every concession stand.
--Stop treating fans like morons, even if they are.
--Run a sound front office that knows something about baseball.
$28 to sit in infield reserved
$25 for loge
$50 for field
Walk up? Bump all those prices up by $3 to $10 for day of game prices?
$15 to park
$10 for a beer
?? in gas to get there and back, depending on your Mpg and how far away you live.
If I bring my kids, they're either going to jump around like monkeys, not watch the game, or melt down and have to leave early. Then I'm wondering why I paid $20 a pop or more for their tickets. Alternatively, I could leave them home and spend $75 for a baby sitter.
O.k., that was a long way of saying I think disappointing attendance has about 98% to do with cost, and 2% disappointing team.
But then, that's pretty much the MO of this front office. I think there's a lot of frustration that he seems to be taking a step backwards after a promising 2007, but it's just so obvious that the front office is getting close to the ledge that they might do something rash like trading him for a high-average, low-OBP shortstop.
Mugshot Nick Nolte or Blue Chips Nick Nolte? Neither is a flattering comparison, but there are degrees.
I'm not sure how much more you want A Jones ripped on as the only thing left to do to him is keelhaul him.
Then, it was the high-school hangout for off-campus lunch, particularly when lunch fell across two open periods (Jon will know exactly what I'm talking about).
Recently, I ate there once or twice when approaching Burbank airport en route out of town with the kids in the back seat (not old enough yet for that kind of food). I have to say, it lost a lot of luster for me, food-wise. I was never a fan of the chili-dog, so that's probably my problem, given how most Carney's fans rave about them.
Now Apple Pan, that's something I really jones for....
Have you considered submitting a version of this to the LA Times? It would be newsworthy given Plaschke's article today, so the Times might actually print it. I'd love to see a response to all this "it's the kids fault" nonsense in the readers' letters section. Just a thought.
Now back to what feels like the worst divisional race ever . ..
The LA Times has plenty more to deal with than publishing a dissenting opinion to Plaschke.
Plus, people aren't going to get as excited about a sub-.500 team who doesn't score a lot of runs.
When I find a woman who wants to buy me a malt, then I will know it is time to get married.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2006/baseball/mlb/09/11/fvi.summary/
I've been a reader of this blog since its inception. Quite literally, I've read every single post Jon has written. I've never read a post quite like this. In the neighborhood, yes (DePo's firing was called "despicable") but this... this is a different level of anger. I don't know if I'd call it anger but I like it.
When someone says the sky is red and you know it's blue but they keep insisting it's red, well, how do you argue with that? Bill Plaschke says the sky is red. Good luck trying to convince him otherwise.
Summertime.
And the livin' is easy.
Fish are jumpin'
And the cotton is high.
Oh you're DL is rich.
And the kids are good lookin'
So hush little baby
Plaschke's gonna cry ....
It actually might be fun to compile my top 10 angriest posts.
I don't, if the team is winning people go to the games. Haven't most of the studies done on this issue, shown that cost has little to do with attendance?
I'm not saying it isn't expensive to go to a game, but I'm saying that if the team is winning the season ticket holders either go to the games themselves or they are deluged with offers for their tickets.
Attendance is down throughout baseball, even in the best fans in America are showing up a 1000 fans less than last year.
Now, that could be balanced by some teams having small increases (and the Dodgers are still on pace to draw over 3.5 miilion) second to the Mets who have sold a lot of tickets as fans want to say goodbye to Shea).
Anyway, I agree with Jon, and frankly, I don't have a clue of who you would trade for that could improve this team without weakening it somewhere else.
We need to stop taking Bill so seriously. I doubt he even takes a step out of the press box to see who's listening or not.
I'm fairly certain that I ragged on this issue over at True Blue when the 2008 pricing came out and Eric Enders pointed me to many studies that said I was full of hooey when I used the same arguements as 71
Ancient Egyptians believed the sky was green as grass. The ability to distinguish blue from green may be a recent human development. Perhaps Plaschke is an evolutionary throwback.
Evan Longoria, Rays (22) 339.1
Andy LaRoche, Dodgers (24) 178.0
Ian Stewart, Rockies (23) 95.2
Neil Walker, Pirates (22) 92.0
Scott Moore, Orioles (24) 90.6
Joe Dillon, Brewers (32) 70.4
Angel Villalona, Giants (17) 60.1
Andy Marte, Indians (24) 51.8
Billy Rowell, Orioles (19) 49.4
Mitchell Hilligoss, Yankees (23) 47.9
Rico Washington, Cardinals (30) 43.4
David Fresse, Padres (25) 42.4
Blake DeWitt, Dodgers (22) 41.2
Matthew Sweeney, Angels (20) 33.3
James D'Antona, Diamondbacks (26) 30.4
Matt Moses, Twins (23) 29.3
Daniel Murphy, Mets (23) 28.3
Mario Lisson, Royals (24) 28.0
Michael Costanzo, Orioles (24) 26.9
Joel Guzman, Devil Rays (23) 26.1
Chase Headley, Padres (24) 25.5
Chris Davis, Rangers (22) 22.4
John Whittleman, Rangers (21) 14.6
We have never not been able to take him seriously ever since he successfully ran Depo out of town. That is why we fret about what he writes. History has shown that he does have an audience with the guy who counts.
Thats interesting.
If they reran that in July it would change again. Chris Davis with a 22.4? Now a slugging 1st baseman already in the majors who has moved into some top 10 scouting reports.
I don't remember how relevant the position is but to have Headley and Davis below 25% is just as ludicrous but pecota is all based on input. No scouting at all. All numbers
For most of the year he was in AAA and he's a 3rd baseman playing LF. I don't see how relevant Headley is to LaRoche because Headley only gets time because the Padre outfield was blown full of holes otherwise he'd be stuck behind the the incumbent.
Orr: 234/310/429
Caseres: 283/416/491
Clay Calfee: 276/353/618
Kyle Russell: 313/442/642
As expected, due to his Big 10 background, Russell is the best of our behemoths so far.
I just wish Plaschke, Coletti, and McCourt could take a peak at it, and release that the Dodger fan base isn't buying this crap about the kids being the problem.
And why is McCourt complaining about attendance, prices are sky rocketing, the economy isn't exactly as good as its been...
meanwhile, we're sitting here watching the front office and our manager make daily blunders, and then listening to sports journalists lie to us as to why we lost the game
{harumph}
Torre constantly blaming the kids instead of the veterans is not motivational.
Letting Jones come back from rehab 2 weeks early is as bad a decision as letting him play as much as he has.
The whole China thing was a mistake for a team this young with a new Manager and new Coaches.
The order in which Jones and Kent and Pierre hit ignored what they were doing.
Bowa is going to like and support players like DeWitt more than he is the likes of Loney, Kemp, LaRoche, and Ethier making him the wrong type of coach for a team like the Dodgers. Either Bowa should leave or Loney, Kemp, Ethier, and LaRoche should leave.
One quick example is Martie Lurie who does an A's pregame show and other baseball stuff in the Bay Area. Again news about the Dodgers from the Bay Area should not be taken seriously, but Lurie refered to the Dodger youngsters as being immature and not listening to Torre. However, this person like Plaschke has not bothered to see the improvement in AB's by all Dodger youngster's, and looked or even heard Torre's comments complimenting some of the Dodger youngster's.
It's not like Torre was installing the West Coast Offense and needed to get his players to learn a new terminology. And only two starters went on the trip: Kemp and Jones. The rest were minor league fillers, although Falkenborg is back up.
Just what important information was Torre not able to impart while in China.
"Hey you, over there, the guy wearing #27"
"Yes, skip."
"Don't swing at that pitch in the dirt."
"Thanks Skip!"
"Hey, you, the catcher who talks funny."
"Yes, sir!"
"Don't break the third baseman's hand with pickoff throws."
"Yes, sir!"
Basically the Dodgers have an owner who has not been able to demonstrate he has a plan, a GM that is not fit to be a GM and a manager no one can question.
Am I reaching here regarding Torre?
I thought it was the Mayans?
Naw, me neither.
A list of serious allergies would also be nice (let it be peanuts, that's easy to work with).
The way you can tell the difference between them is:
1) The Big 12 can actually play baseball, and
2) The Big 12 knows how to count.
The China trip was MLB's request not the Dodgers and should San Diego blame its lousy year on it.
I was explaining this to someone the other day, I believe it is perfectly fine to critique the players and point out their mistakes. I just don't believe when Torre talks about it, he views it like but Kemp and Ethier are better than Pierre so I just should be happy about that. No, his concern is about how to get Kemp and Ethier to play better.
And really, have their been any supporters for Jones in the media, Simers bags on him all the time.
I read an article in the last few weeks in the Denver Post on how it was a huge mistake to sign their young players to guaranteed contracts and that relying too much on them was a big mistake.
Again, I agree with Jon that to solely blame this season on growing pains of the younger players is wrong. And to be fair, both Plaschke and Simers have not been exactly supporting the GM.
The only difference that I read into it is that McCourt wants the team to do better and right now, he may agree to move some players thouught unmovable if it helps.
Whether that deal exists, I don't know.
So, blaming the younger players to any large extent is unfair.
Blame the worst impact players and work your way backwards.
I'm a circle.
I think you are reaching regarding Torre, although I am in the camp like many here that LaROche deserves more playing time as DeWitt as struggled lately and would definitely like to see him play second more when Kent rests.
Torre in public has been supportive of Matt Kemp, an example recently when he was thrown out against Atlanta trying to stretch a single into a double. He did mention a few weeks ago the Dodgers poor approach to AB's, which seems of late to have turned around.
At this point in my mind the more PT Nomar gets at short the better. I say this because the available alternatives are not great and the more Nomar plays short, the less opportunity there is for him to get back into blocking mode.
Long Time Comin'
Bobby Jean
Better Days
I'll Work For Your Love
Stolen Car (Son You May Kiss the Bride)
Off topic, I've got a tomato plant that's called a Box Car Willie.
I usually purchase 10 games from a season seat holder. This year I bought 6 games because of some early conflicts. I attended the first three with my 6 year old daughter who loves going to games. I gave away the last three because I just wasn't up for the effort, for lack of any other description.
Parking rates are ridiculous. The parking situation is still wacked. Vendor prices are crazy. Gasoline costs have skyrocketed. Midweek games are tiring after working all day.
The bottom line is that I can find better comfort, convenience and economy by watching the game in my liviing room. When the game is good (Kurdo flirting with destiny), I'm glued to the set. When they are stinking it up, I wander off to watch a rerun of the Simpsons.
Don't get me wrong, I love watching the Dodgers live from the Ravine, but lately I've found it a bit tiresome. Maybe its me.
Is that really right? At least, the stories at the time went that McCourt campaigned vigorously for the Dodgers to get the China games, and MLB said OK, fine.
Anyway, I don't want to blame the trip for everything, but I can't see how the manager spending 7 days away from his new team -- a team which he has already vowed to remain ignorant of during the offseason -- could ever be a good thing.
So basically, do you think you just say fine job Matt on your .240 average for the last two months while striking out a third of the time. Oh, tough luck Andre that this year you can't hit lefties. James congrats on now going 10 games without hitting into a double play.
Everything I wrote there is true. And it is perfectly legitimate to examine. Now, this is other touchy feely stuff about not getting what Torre and the coaches are saying, heck who knows what that is about. Again, there are legitimate issues to point out with every player, I suppose in the end it is an issue of fairness, or perhaps its akin to taxation without representation.
My biggest criticism for Torre's criticism of the kids is that while they can do better and will, they are the ones that are producing more as expected while the vets are playing as if their careers have past them without equal criticism.
120 , 138 - My feeling is that Torre is not part of the solution, and is therefore part of the problem.
So you don't think some sort of happy medium exists between praising players for their shortcomings, and crucifying them for them?
Anyway, the examples you cite above are pretty darn near the things types of twisted things Torre is forced to say when he tries to praise Pierre and Kent.
It's the next great frontier in statistical analysis.
And even if Torre had studied everything about this team during the off-season, again, tell me how it impacts this season with everything playing out the way it has.
The China trip and Torre learning this team are at the bottom of my list of why this team is struggling to get to .500.
I think there is a mentality in place in professional sports (and really corporate structure) where good performance is rewarded with silence, past performance is rewarded with praise and mistakes are highlighted especially if they feel they are repeated over and over.
Last night was the perfect opportunity for a double switch when Kuo relieved Park, putting Kuo in Dewitt's spot and Laroche in the pitcher's spot. And of course his fixation with how a player "looks," which I will never understand. Pierre, Dewitt and Jones do something that Torre likes, whatever it is.
Torre's positives are his demeanor and the respect he gets from the players. But like most managers, he's largely irrelevant. Torre's record stinks when he was the manager of a lousy team, and was very good when he managed a team with talent.
I just don't get this.
That would describe my feeling, I guess.
Basically, my position is that all the players should be given a fair shake. If you're going to criticize Matt Kemp's stupid baserunning mistakes, then also criticize Jeff Kent's even stupider ones. If you're going to criticize Andre Ethier's hitting approach, then also criticize Juan Pierre's even worse approach.
If you don't do that, then you get so caught up in playing favorites that it blinds your ability to analyze performance onjectively.
Who would you rather play SS on this current team?
Does Blake DeWitt fall into the bad player category and is that fair since he truly is a rookie?
Certainly only his injury put him out of the lineup but while the four outfielders were healthy, some called for Pierre rather than Jones to start (and until Furcal got hurt, they were rotating 3 for 2).
>>snap!<< Right on, Jon. Spot-on, really. I only feel a little melancholy about the fact that the journalists and pundits out there who really need to hear this are either not going to read it or not going to "hear" it. But you know what, it's still important to have it out there. The more it gets disseminated the better chance it will counter the ludicrous stuff coming from other corners. So thanks. Now let's get to spreading this out there.
Good discussion here, too, people.
The following represents my opinion and not those of Dodger management.
But I think their position would be, I can't change Jeff Kent's age nor Juan Pierre's batting approach, but I can try to improve Kemp, Ethier and the rest.
I believe when McCourt and Ned talk about the these players listening to the coaching staff, its not that they think the players are not good, heck they got here and are playing at a really young age. Its more like these guys have seen it all and have an idea what it takes to play this game, why not give them a chance to pass that on to you.
Can that meme ever get started?
And remember, Matt and Jeff chill to the same music.
I don't really mind the former. I can't imagine that Kemp/Ethier/Martin like it all that much, but I guess there's an argument that they can respond by improving even more. So: whatever.
But I definitely fear action being taken based on that criticism. It's very easy for Plaschke -- or whoever -- to hear the front office criticize "the kids" and then to make the next jump: well, why not trade them?
That would be a mistake. Right now the team has growing pains, but for me, they're still fun to watch. I believe they will get better, and I doubt that the team can receive equal value in trades.
I'm sure Andruw Jones is a good teacher. It's the actual baseball that is currently the problem. It'd be unfair to lay any of this annual nonsense at his gravy-laden feet.
Playing LaRoche over Dewitt should happen right now.
The team playing Pierre in the leadoff spot was also a bad idea.
Those two things should never have happened.
He can't blame himself; it's wrong to blame the young players; and everything else falls under Ned's jurisdiction.
Thankfully, most [ahem, most] of Colletti's mistakes will be gone in a year or two anyway.
It's not that they're not talented -- we can see flashes of their talent come through. But a few weeks ago Jon asked Why the Rays and not the Dodgers? And the answer, I think, is either the Dodgers' prospects (now major leaguers) as a whole weren't as good as the Rays' were, or that the Dodgers' prospects had equal talent but are not at the point where their talent has been developed equally.
So yes, this is a mediocre team right now. But it's also reasonable to believe that with the same personnel, they'll be better next year.
C- Martin
RF-Ethier
3b-LaRoche
2b-Kent
LF-Kemp
1b-Loney
SS-Nomar
CF-Druw
There'd be very little complaining here I suspect. Would this lineup win the NL West? Probably not, but at the very least you'd be developing players for 2009.
I think alot of the anger here is due to what happened with Pierre getting as much time as he did, supplanting Ethier as the starting OF'er, and leading off.
In addition, the Dewitt over LaRoche thing, the comments about trading Kemp for a veteran SS..have all created the angst.
I figure that part of the reason the Rays are getting the press they are is because they're in the same division as the Red Sox and Yankees.
177 I don't believe anyone has ever had a bad thing to say about Juan Pierre in any context outside what he does after the umpire starts the game. Sweeney reportedly is a good influence on the bench.
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/1037053.html
I hear the guy who led Orange County into bankruptcy was one of the nicest people you'd ever meet.
I think it's a combination of the Rays having better prospects, and actually giving them last year to develop.
Remember they had to sit through a whole year of Dioner Navarro being pretty mediocre last year, and look what he is doing now. Edwin Jackson has improved as well.
Would we like that? I would.
Actually, I would probably do that, as long as the other prospects included in the deal were only Meloan level prospects.
But there's another, very dangerous side to that coin. Bill James has written about this before, but it's common thread throughout baseball history for an overbearing coaching staff to screw up a good young player. Coaches and managers often believe ballplayers to be more malleable than they are -- and so they often change whatever it is that player does right, and screw him up for good. Old baseball guys have set opinions that the way they learned to do things is the only right way to do it. So, for example, if they have a really good young pitcher who has an unorthodox windup, they'll screw with his mechanics until his windup is more "normal" -- but then often his pitching stinks.
I have noticed this happening with Matt Kemp this year. Others may not agree, but to me it's as obvious as can be that he's being overcoached. The thing that made him a great player in the past was his tremendous ability to crush strikes early in the count. However, they got him on this plate discipline kick, which has resulted in him taking more pitches early in the count -- but only a nominal improvement in his walk rate. Instead, what happens is that he takes the hittable pitches early in the count, which usually puts him in an 0-2 hole and forces him to swing at all the bad pitches thereafter. This is the number one problem with Kemp this year, and to me it's the reason he doesn't have much power. He's always swinging defensively, because he's always behind in the count, because he always takes the first pitch and it's always a strike.
I'm not saying Kemp doesn't need better plate discipline. He does. But it's never been established that plate discipline can be coached into a player. It's probably something that's got to happen naturally as part of a player's development, like it did with Sammy Sosa and others. Trying to cram it down someone's throat has never been shown to have worked.
Kemp's stats are not inconsistent with this theory:
Putting the first pitch into play: 16.7% in 2007, 11.8% in 2008
0-1 counts: 44.3% in 2007, 50.7% in 2008
0-2 counts: 16.4% in 2007, 22.0% in 2008
Which I take as a pretty good sign that the Pirates wouldn't. Why would they?
Also, has anybody seen DeWitt's numbers batting eighth this season:
.377/.468/.509/.977
The Rule between 12 & 14!!! :)
Bay's contract is one 7.5 mils for next season.
Plus, aside from last season, he's proven he has very good power & patience.
Tell him you're a longtime fan of his column and present your opinions to him in a calm and logical way. I don't know if it accomplishes anything but at the very least he's looking at a real Dodger fan's point of view.
The one redeeming thing about this article is for the first time Plaschke references a possible Post-Colletti era.
I think it would be a good thing if as many DT readers went ahead and sent him an e-mail with a few brief thoughts on the team. Write your e-mails as if you've never read a Plaschke column in your life.
---
Yeah, I think we're already pretty close in general to the desired line-up, minus LaRoche (and not counting Furcal, who isn't part of the equation any more). Since they've in general been playing a lot better the last couple of weeks it doesn't seem like they're that far off, if they're not already there, as the best team in the West. Again, it's a weak division so that's not really the pinnacle of excellence. But I worry more about the perceptions and then the reaction to that then I do the actual personnel on the team at this point.
I don't find anything particularly "bad" about trying to coach Kemp into better plate discipline. He's at a stage in his career where improvement isn't unreasonable (I would think). What does seem unreasonable is (1) holding his current struggles against him considering that he's trying to learn something new that the coaches are teaching him, and (2) calling him uncoachable when it's clear he's listening to the coaches and not ignoring their advice. (I guess nobody actually said Kemp specifically, but they didn't have to.)
It was also unusual that a Times columnist would acknowledge the existence of a Daily News writer.
Actually, I think the misuse of LaRoche is a pretty big deal.
Since the Rays came up as example of a tem playing well with their young players, look over their stats. I just checked them, and they're certainly a bit better than many of our young players, but really, even with Navarro's nice year, Martin is still much better, and we are comparable at every other position.
The big difference is Evan Longoria. We don't have a Longoria, although we have a potentially similar hitter in LaRoche. The problem is we play a mediocre Dewitt over one of our few potential power bats. The Rays don't play Willy Aybar over Longoria.
I'm pretty much expecting us to win the NL West right now. I am a glutton for punishment.
I do think Plaschke thinks he's somebody from a Billy Wilder movie sometimes, out of that era.
They mentioned the pirates want top prospect, Emilio Bonifacio... the same player who's current line in AAA as a 2b is 302/348/387
And th articles states the dbacks are reluctant to give him up.
I hate baseball.
I don't think Variety's argot is applicable to any other publication.
That's what I've seen, too, I think beginning last season. I wonder if it's coaching he's responding to or criticism in the media.
The kids have not been as successful as we might like. Same with the veterans.
The kids have plenty to learn, because everyone on Earth has plenty to learn. The need for learning never stops.
I'm with Eric in 164 . The main reason I defend the kids is not because I don't think they could do better. Nor do I believe the Dodgers and the press don't want them to do better.
I just want people to be evaluated fairly.
Jones is someone who gets evalauted for who he is, not what his pedigree is. He is heavily criticized. Perhaps because of his weight, he doesn't get the free ride that others get.
Yet when mainstream Dodger insiders and outsiders step back and start assigning blame, the $18 million man is an afterthought to Matt Kemp's game instincts.
Perhaps that's because people feel there's nothing to be done about Jones (let alone Pierre or whomeever). That doesn't make it right.
The one thing that I will acknowledge seems to be changing - and as we expected, it came with the end of the Lakers' season - is that Colletti is now under scrutiny. But even Colletti appears to be under scrutiny for the wrong reasons. As Tom Meagher has pointed out so well, talent evaluation, rather than the absence of trades, is the main issue with Colletti.
Joe Torre is still enjoying his honeymoon. While there have been some good points with him, let's look at the reasons he was brought in. The first was for PR/credibility reasons, which he has succeded in, however irrelevantly. The second was "How do you solve a problem like the kids?" And even if he made the greatest effort one could ever make, he has not solved this problem. I have every reason to believe that someone else could have done better, although that person was probably not remotely a candidate to be hired.
Torre gets credit for people buying into his West Coast offense when the Dodgers win. When the Dodgers lose, he has nothing to do with it - it's the kids' fault. So again, it becomes the uneven blame/credit game.
I don't really care what people think about the Dodgers except to the extent that it could impact player transactions. And as I think I said earlier this week, if the Dodgers themselves don't really understand what's good and bad about them, that's a concern, even if they are giving kids by and large a chance to play.
Tony Clark might be nice to have. I would imagine SD will trade Clark, Wolf, and possibly Maddux in the next few weeks.
Maddux has a no-trade clause, but would waive it for the right situation. Clark is making league minimum ($390k) but gets a $500k bonus if traded.
http://tinyurl.com/5dbok9
So, apart from Clark, we don't really need anyone from SD? They should be able to make some good deals for the contending teams that need some pitching. Ahhh, I remember the bliss of receiving Maddux for that fateful summer
Getting heads on a coin flip doesn't increase your odds of getting tails on the next.
Yeah, you'll get about 50/50 over a thousand, but not over four or six or ten.
http://arnoldkling.com/apstats/coins.html
When the Angel offense struggles, does it get written that it's all Kendrick and Kotchman's fault? That they need to start wising up now or get shown the door? Even though Kendrick, if I'm not mistaken, draws a walk once every leap year? No, because the approach in evaluating that organization is more that everyone has to pull their weight. It's hardly perfect, but people have been conditioned to give the Angels, young and old, the benefit of the doubt. It's just another hybrid of "winning brings chemistry."
And there certainly isn't an imperative to expect more from the kids, except to the extent that it fits one's own personal agenda.
I haven't refreshed, so I don't know the outcome, but I'd estimate the odds of somebody else saying this a third time before my post goes up are at least 90%.
It helps when you best player (and I truly believe this) is basically invisible to the media because he won't give interviews in English and frankly, you never hear much about him.
When Colletti first got here, Jon wrote a national article comparing him favorably to DePodesta.
Pierre? What fair shot was there to give? Most of us knew he was terrible and getting worse, and he has proven that to be true.
The difference is that Jon and I are talking about the Dodgers giving people a fair shake. You're talking about internet blog posters giving people a fair shake. There's a difference between those two things.
Sure, you could take some individual comments and they'd look bad. But the site as a whole, including me? And for that matter, you? Yeah, I think it's been fair.
I mean, that's the point, isn't it? We have a long-running, widespread dialogue about these guys. There's every opportunity for them to be praised, and I like to think I allow those opinions to get through, even if they're not majority opinions. I know some might disagree with that, but that's what I believe.
http://tinyurl.com/5z6d62
Thought you'd like to know. Since at least it's one more step toward counterbalancing Plaschke-isms, and on a Times-sponsored blog to boot! (Thanks K Bros!)
I'm all for blaming everything on the L.A. Times, up to and including global warming.
Don't forget the LA Times's role in 9/11.
Everything else has pretty much confirmed the impression caused by that signing.
>> NOTE -- Los Angeles Dodgers infielder Mark Sweeney went 2-for-4 with a run for the 51s in the first game of his rehabilitation assignment for a strained right hamstring. <<
http://www.lvrj.com/sports/24445049.html
This isn't my nieces' grammer school where they give awards for being compassionate or having good attendance, they are playing major league baseball and fair or not, bad decisions made by those in control or not, these guys have been put in the spotlight to perform.
The only way they can show that they get it, is not only to perform well on the fied but also as unfair it seems, understand that they have to learn to play "the game" in terms of appeasing your elders and listening to your coaches, show up on time, don't say much and be appreciative of what you got.
You get to pay to this all back when you get over 45.
And this has been a good discussion and much more give and take than the articles that sparked it.
This is why Napoleon kicked everybody's hindquarters. Bravery in combat got you promoted. Being the Seventh Duke of Who Cares didn't. We can't learn that this works two hundred years later.
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/thedailymirror/2008/07/nuestro-puebl-3.html
Now GB comparing me to Napolean, well sir, can I suggest some nice location in NY where we can settle this, I call my second to contact yours for your choice of weapons.
My suggested choice, Garlic Fries.
I would hope Maddux could teach Kershaw about winning using examples that predated this season.
Weehawken is in NJ.
I'll take my answer off the air. Thank you.
And in the tradition of dueling, I fire my garlic fry upwards.
Actually, now that I think of it, Zach Duke missed his calling. He should've been a Dodger outfielder. Like Andujar Cedeno played for the Astros.
2008 OPS and Salary
1 Furcal 1.045 $13,000,000
2 Martin .846 $500K
3 Loney .813 $400K
4 Ethier .808 $400K
5 Kemp .767 $400K
---- NL avg .738 -------
6 Kent .722 $9,000,000
7 DeWitt .703 $400K
8 Pierre .644 $8,000,000
9 Jones .527 $18,100,000
I know this presupposes he can read such a complex table, but does a fair job of laying out the ROI on this offense.
Because my buddy who was driving made an illegal U-turn.
Let's just say it's a town where outsiders aren't welcomed with open arms. They're welcomed with loaded arms.
I feel a little ashamed of myself that after reading many columns filled with great writing by Jon with perhaps subtler yet equally powerful points I was too lazy to do that. But the emotional pull of this article prompted immediate action.
I think you should write on of these during Dodger Thoughts membership renewal weeks
It was nice to meet you in person Marty.
Enjoy Gitmo.
I like him.
Hands down my favorite thing Plaschke ever typed. I absolutely love it.
No dumb shooting or firing in the air is admissible in any case. The challenger ought not to have challenged without receiving offense; and the challenged ought, if he gave offense, to have made an apology before he came on the ground; therefore, children's play must be dishonorable on one side or the other, and is accordingly prohibited.
But that happened all the time!
So who on the Dodgers is currently most deserving of having a dessert named after them?
Saltwater Tiffee? (probably more of a candy than a dessert)
Kuookies & Kreme ice cream?
I am unwilling to accept this for granted. It may not be completely accurate to compare hitting a baseball to flipping a fair coin (truly independent).
For one thing, how does a player's confidence level affect his performance? If you believe that a higher confidence level contributes positively to his chances of getting a hit, then I think at-bats cannot be truly independent.
Think of it this way: if Andrew Jones gets a hit in his first at bat, you might say that there is a 30% chance that he is "on" that day (healthy, swing is working, etc.), vs. if he does not get a hit, you might say that there is only a 10% chance that he is "on."
I guess it's an empirical question, but I would guess that there is some sort of autoregressive pattern to baseball performance.
Think of it this way: if Andrew Jones gets a hit in his first at bat, you might say that there is a 30% chance that he is "on" that day (healthy, swing is working, etc.), vs. if he does not get a hit, you might say that there is only a 10% chance that he is "on."
I guess it's an empirical question, but I would guess that there is some sort of autoregressive pattern to baseball performance.
Tasty Kents
Loney Bars
Sweet Peewees
I like "Tasty Kents".
Not a big fan of Plaschke Lime Pie, however.
Posnanski likes baseball, Springsteen, "My Favorite Year", and Zooey Deschanel. I strongly approve.
Good, good, let's keep spitballing ideas here.
http://www.depts.ttu.edu/hs/hdfs3390/hh_hist.htm
Thanks for a wonderful post. I agree. Well done.
She's nerlinger heaven.
Pierre Stix
Ethier Ohs!
Sweet & Squatty Martins
I just assumed that Gonzalez thought Johnson hit well enough that he didn't want to burn a pinch hitter that early.
(Sorry, that was sort of mean spirited).
I could hang with Joe anytime, probably a big fan of the BoDeans as well.
With all these teams carrying more and more pitchers on the roster every year, I think we're going to start seeing more of this kind of thing because bench players are going to be scarcer. When we played the Marlins earlier this year, Gonzalez did the same thing with Scott Olsen, leaving him in to hit and then taking him out of the game.
Olsen walked.
Beef Billingsley
or...
Larochet (put it on your Maza during Passover and make a Koufax sandwich)
Baked DeWitt
Chan Ho Peppermint Bark
Bit-O-Torre
And old favorite:
Choicolate Mousse
Hubarb Pie
I hope the Dodgers experience with the second dessert is similar to my experience with a similar sounding pie. I didn't like it at first, but grew to like it after repeated tastings. Let's hope the Dodgers get more tastings.
Ethier, LF
Martin, C
Kent, 2B
Jones, CF
Loney, 1B
Nomar, SS
DeWitt, 3B
Stults, P
But there's pretty much no argument, right?
HR, 2008
Braun - 22
Gonzalez - 22
HR, 2007-2008
Braun - 56
Gonzalez - 52
Factor in Braun has hit more HR during the last 1.5 seasons in 241 less PA, and it's really no contest.
Plus, isn't Braun known more nationally than Gonzalez? I would think so, although I'm not sure the difference there is so huge.
While I agree that LaRoche should be playing more, it seems the Dodgers are giving Dewitt the chance to play through a slump the way that a lot of us always beg them to do with the younger players.
It is just unfortunate that we have two young players at the same position.
Of course, if you factor in Petco AND use HR/PA, Braun probably still wins.
phillies up 1-0 on the snakes
Anyway, I looked and saw that the first exhibition game was scheduled for November 4th. Electtion day.
I guess I will have to vote early that day.
Digger is a Wimp!
I think the verb you're looking for is repeat.
The new number #1 prospect in all of baseball is... a mythical creature.
I think the complaint is that we're well past "slump" with DeWitt. It's been 2 months, and his track record tells us that this is much more likely a true reflection of his abilities (at this stage of his career) than was that absurdly good first month.
There was a legit argument for letting him keep playing as long as he was hitting, just in case he really did find another level, but now it's pretty clear that April was the anomaly, not what's happened since.
Which made things a lot less interesting in many ways for the Mets.
I would presume it's the same hip injury he's been having.
Time to drop him from my fantasy team. I get one more start out of Halladay before he goes over to my nephew as part of a four-player deal. Halladay and M. Cabrera for Wright and Hudson.
Not Santana, though.
HOUSTON PITCHER ROY OSWALT LEFT THE GAME IN THE TOP OF THE SECOND INNING DUE TO A LEFT HIP ABDUCTOR STRAIN.
363 John Sickels sent his updated top 50 hitters in the minors, not one Dodger is on that list. (excludes anyone no longer a rookie e.g. 130 at bats)
Okay, who abducted Roy Oswalt's hip?
Carlos Santana is getting the shaft!
I remember Phil Jackson, when he was still in Chicago, saying that he learned that he can't treat every player the same. Some need a kick in the butt, others a pat on the back. Some need that in private, others in public.
The trick for a manager (in sports or real life) is to figure out who is motivated how.
Perhaps that's what Torre meant, in part, by taking a few months to figure out his new team. It's not about just figuring out their skills and weaknesses on the field (although sometimes performance should trump motivational goals - otherwise you're killing the team in the short run).
I too am troubled by how much PT Pierre and Jones and DeWitt have sucked away from better players, so I'm not saying that Torre is necessarily doing the right things. But I'm willing to give the guy some credit. Unlike Jim Tracy, I don't think Torre is saying what he's saying to the media in order to manipulate his GM. If he wants a change, he'll say so, and it will happen.
It could be worse - he could be batting Berroa or Maza leadoff right now (I could totally see Tracy doing that).
In this organization, all that gets you is a plane ticket to Vegas and an eye exam.
--
363 Longtime nemesis?
Great threat today, everyone - it took a long time to read through, because there were a lot of long, interesting comments.
375 - Ah. Hm. That's odd. The man gets no respect.
Martin, Loney, Ethier, and Kemp are all performing above the league average as starters in the National League, so does that infer that they are being coached properly? Clearly just about everyone expects them to improve given time and experience.
370 Good post.
What players are consistently batting at the top of the order for the Dodgers recently, like tonight for instance?
In the realm of PR the Dodgers are being out played by the other "LA" team.
A coherent organizational strategy falls at the feet of the organization's leader, hence the term "the shadow of the leader".
If all of the disabled and flops (Schmidt, Jones, etc.) were performing at their career averages would there even be a hint of discussion regarding the performance of the young players today?
Using the young players as a scapegoat in this situation is unseemly on the part of the leadership. Those that are engaging in this behavior are providing a poor comentary regarding themselves to the public at large.
This is what someone here once described as a propaganda smokescreen. It doesn't wash. It's not working. Get real.
1. For 2 yrs & $36 Million why didn't the Dodgers demand a physical exaim?
2. I would have added in the contract showing up at spring training at a certain required weight and being in a fit playing condition.
3. If not in shape then a daily fine until he is.
Who ever wrote his contract should be shot! Just a bad business decision and just lazy!
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