Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
All even, 66-game season, thanks to Friday's happy ending...
Maybe we should have DeWitt close. Now there's a ballplayer.
Rafael who?
But let's be real here. We can't expect to be successful with two sub 700 ops guys manning traditional power positions. It's just not going to happen. DeWitt backers, feel free to wake up any minute.
I can't find any stats in the minors on him? Is he hurt?
http://tinyurl.com/59brwu
Should I also be scared that they now sell DeWitt jersey shirts at Walmart?
vr, Xei
To be clear: I don't hate DeWitt. Far from it. He's been a terrific story, and I'm glad we got him (unlike Juan Pierre). But LaRoche could be the big power hitter we so desparately need, and he's not doing what he needs to do to get playing time.
It's been one of many frustrations this season.
14
Not sure I understand the preference for LaRoche over DeWitt.
This year LaRoche has been hitting .178, last year (in majors) he hit .226.
Blake's hitting .262 (baseball reference), so why do you prefer LaRoche?
Let me in on the secret.
14 How true. I think LaRoche needs to be plugged in and played until it works, and he may never get a chance like that on a team like the Dodger. It is frustrating.
LaRoche has not performed well yet in the majors (other than showing exceptional patience), in part because of injuries.
Batting Average isn't everything.
Heart.
Soul.
And.
I don't think anyone here dislikes or doesn't want DeWitt on the team, we just want Andy to be given consistent at-bats instead of playing the role of bench player. His minor league numbers suggest a power/patient approach, which is what this team needs!!
It's true. He's always been the best hitter of that entire free-swinging, marginally-powerful bunch (Martin doesn't free-swing, of course).
And he's the only one of them to not ever get an everyday chance.
Anyway, it'll be fun to post his numbers here when he's hitting 30 HR for another team while our 3B keeps everyone impressed with an empty .260 batting average.
Back when Eric Stephen (I think) did his poll in mid-May (I think), asking who DTers thought should be the starting 3B now that LaRoche was healthy and in Vegas, I was a DeWitt backer. Yes, I acknowledged, LaRoche has the greater potential. But at the time, DeWitt was (a) in the majors and (b) performing well. So long as he is keeping it up, I felt, there is no reason to shake things up. Why not let's see what DeWitt can do, and if (when!) he slumps, be ready to replace him with LaRoche?
So I wake up six weeks later to find that the first part of my plan was implemented and the second part ignored.
Unfortunately for familial harmony, Mrs. Kavula is a DeWitt fan. "He'll figure it out," she reasons, even though there's no reason to believe that he will.
not every minor leaguer with great power numbers automatically produces in the majors you cant just sit on 2-0 fastballs in the bigs. I'll take a future gold glove at third DeWitt's numbers will improve he seems to make adjustments. My vote is for DeWitt over LaRoche until he proves otherwise when given a chance
And who's to say that young, mediocre minor leaguers won't be great major leaguers?
That's what's so great about this game: you just never know! It's a complete crapshoot!
And there's a very good chance that will constitute a 2-shot lead.
27 I think the players would be very happy to just +5 at the end of the day.
Compared to LaRoche and Martin, yes. They've never had a ton of BA/OBP separation throughout their careers. Not saying they're like Jeff Francouer or anything.
Looked like a different team.
Gotta love the key hits. =)
No wonder the hooligans break beer bottles over each other's heads.
People will remember the play in the big situation-- but does that mean that that play was more important than the fact that he had gone 0 for the game? LaRoche is a better hitter, so it is more likely that he would have gotten a hit to put the Dodgers ahead earlier in the game. And all signs point to his being at least as good a defensive 3B as DeWitt, so it is also likely that he would have made that play in the 9th.
I think that all the pro-LaRoche people around here would agree with you about numbers not telling the whole story, 'cause these are the numbers:
24yr, 165 PA: .210/.341/.319/.660
22yr, 296 PA: .262/.328/.369/.697
Thank you for illustrating my point.
Andy LaRoche current stats. Forget his batting avg., just look at his slugging and On base percentage, this is the guy you're all promoting?
Also, one of the reasons why I think Torre plays DeWitt over LeRoche is because of LeRoche's complaining about not being called up after rehabbing ahead of schedule, and Torre thinking he was trying to whine his way back up. Thus Torre sitting up down and only using him as an occasional Pitch Hitter.
I don't care who wins the DeWitt or LeRoche battle, but LeRoche's situation is that he has to basically force his way into the lineup with great performances or hope DeWitt breaks an ankle. And er, LeRoche isn't forcing himself into the lineup with a .288 OBP.
The point being, LaRoche never gets a chance to go out and play, and DeWitt does.
Most Pro=-LaRoche fans feel if Andy were given the same oportunity this year as DeWitt has, his stats would be better then DeWitt's, and ver the course of their careers the same would play out.
The stats you display show no evidence to the contrary.
Make that more then 1 PA in 1 of his last 6 games.
And I thought 38 was one of the funniest comments in a while.
Using that logic, why isn't DeWitt forcing himself OUT of the lineup? He's been killing us with the bat for 2 months now. And we've got one of the most highly regarded prospects in baseball serving as his bat boy.
I'm sorry you have a problem. Ethier and Loney chase more pitches. That's all.
Majors:
.262/.328/.369/.697
Minors:
.279/.333/.444/.777
What Dodger fan wouldn't want that?
However, and this is the biggest problem many Dodger fans and baseball fans in general have. And that is: there is insufficient evidence to determine whether Dewitt or LaRoche (insert other young players here for other fans) is being overestimated or underestimated.
It amazes me how such concrete determinations can be made about a players career in 165 PA or 296 PA.
Call me crazy, but if a player is considered a good player with promise, I'd like to see between 1200-1600 PA's before making strong deteminations about that players future career possibilities. But that's just me.
Alex41592 said that numbers don't tell the whole story in his defense of DeWitt.
I argued that pro-LaRoche people would argue when looking at MLB numbers that those numbers do not tell the whole story with regards to LaRoche (using DeWitt's numbers as a comparison).
Since you would qualify LaRoche's numbers by pointing out the inconsistency of his PA's, I would suggest that you are supporting my argument.
There also will be a two-acre water feature/lake in the complex that contains reclaimed water and local architectural features, a Walk of Fame for the Dodgers and White Sox that leads to the main stadium and 130,000 square feet of clubhouse space.
Because DeWitt's defense keeps himself in the game. Torre doesn't expect much from DeWitt other than to make sure 3rd Base isn't a problem when fielding. On this team, the power should come from Kent, Nomar, Kemp, Ethier, and Martin. DeWitt's main job is to make sure that balls going his way is caught and flung to Loney for the quick out.
This team is flawed, but the DeWitt-LeRoche argument is way down the list from the problems the Dodgers have such as Andruw Jones or Jeff Kent.
Also, T.J. Simers said it would be a mistake if the Dodgers traded Matt Kemp, and then because its the Dodgers, they would do it.
There are reasons to think LaRoche is: his total minor league stat; high marks from scouts for the last three or four years. There are a couple of reasons to think he isn't: his injuries; his not particularly great for LV numbers last year.
Maybe LaRoche isn't going to be as good as we hoped/expected. But I can't see what the expectations that DeWitt is good enough, right now, for that spot are based on. Maybe Nomar can hold together for the rest of the year and not be a disaster (offensively) at SS. But it's not looking good for at least one outfield spot, and there's no guarantee that it won't be two spots. Kent's been bad (about as bad as DeWitt). Loney and Kemp are sophomore slumping. 3.5 is rounded down, but he's not lighting the world on fire.
Russ Martin is the only solidly above the cut offensive player, by position, on the team right now. That's a problem for a team with playoff hopes. Especially for one depending on Stults and Park to not turn into pumpkins.
Also for comparison:
LaRoche has 138 PA over 07-08 with BA of .210
Jones this year has 167 PA, BA .162
Pierre wasn't on the field for BP either, I was going to try to take a video of him running.
Best part of the game was after Loney's HR, everyone was despondent, yet nobody left because it was fireworks night, so it was just a completely silent 11th inning.
If there was any forward thinking in the 'brain trust' DeWitt would be working out at 2B, since Kent looks to have lost a 1/2 step and his eye. Essentially torre is jacking LaRoche around the same way lasorda did with Konerko, putting him in as the occasional PH or giving him a rare start then when he doesn't do well pointing to it to justify why he doesn't play more.
I mean, he's only had 71 games at AA and none at AAA. And his hitting numbers there were pretty weak: .280/.306/.466 in his last stint, with 7 walks in 178 ABs. There's just no reason to think that the April version of DeWitt is the real one.
Almost no one thought DeWitt would be more than a stopgap when he came up. We shouldn't let an impressive month blind us to why we felt that way.
Do you really think that Jeff Kent is one of our biggest problems? What is your list of the teams problems? mine would be:
1. 3rd base is a black hole at the plate (forget who is playing there) we are getting no offense from 3rd
2. Andrew Jones, this would be number 1 but I think he maybe going back to the DL, so I guess this problem is that I think we need a better option in the OF
3. Loney is not pulling his weight, last nights HR does not change this, however he had a solid June so there is reason to be hopeful that he will pick it up in the 2nd half
4. Bullpen, yes I know the bullpen has been lights out but with Sammy out I think this become a worry
5. I don't know, maybe Kent's decline, but he has been playing better since June and as long as we bring in a defensives sub this does not stike me as a big problem to have. Personally I would put Torre here as he doesnt strike me as a good talent evaluator.
LaRoche career OBP .341
Dewitt career OBP .328
I'm sure everyone would agree that OBP is way better stat than BA.
LaRoche is no more than a glorified pinch hitter right now, not having started more than 2 games in a row this season while Dewitt's been in there day in and day our despite being horrible at the plate for more than half the season. He was on the bench the game after each time he's hit a HR this season. How do you expect a guy to get into a groove like that?
[ http://tinyurl.com/5qwhhh ]
[ http://tinyurl.com/6fsmqh ]
DeWitt is doing an incredible job though, we can't take that away from him.
sigh.
I'm very sorry for letting all of you down. I could prevented all of this.
(You know, if when I was younger I didn't actually suck)
Couple that with his gawdy .319 slugging from 3 hole or .431 from clean up and for me, it's why were not blowing the rest of the division away. Put a real middle of the order bat in there and we wouldnt blame Kemp anymore..
LaRoche will get traded for a reliever. He will then have a Paul Konerko-type career. And we will all, all get to say I told you so.
(sigh)
Man, I hope I'm wrong.
So the guy who is OPSing .709 as our clean-up hitter and is too old to play everyday is not as a big a problem as the 24 year old who is OPSing .803 and leads our team in total bases?
Silently a new chapter in Dodger history is taking shape, where actual L.A. Dodger fans can afford to go to a spring training game...
a)successful at the major league level, however briefly and
b)is well liked by everyone and
c)can catch a BB fired at him from point-blank range.
Yes, there's a counter-argument to all of this and I should know because I've been making them. I guess my point is, if DeWitt starts hitting again, this argument ends forever--he'll be the Dodger third baseman for many, many moons.
In my opinon, Yes!
Here are some stats to back it up:
http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/dialed_in/discussion/national_league_leaders_at_the_all_star_break_offense_plus_defense/
Loney's overall production has been really bad so far this year, but hey that is my list you don't have to agree with it. I will defend my list (but it doesn't mean my opinon can't be changed) it would be nice to see what other think are the teams problems.
I made some conclusions about players I watched in the Arizona Fall League and the ones I felt would have good careers were Loney and Abreu. I never had an intuitive read on Kemp before I became a fan. I never felt LaRoche would have a good MLB career and I hope I am wrong.
Reggie Jackson.
And probably some others.
Yeah, I'm sure you predicted LaRoche would tear up his thumb the morning it happened.
That's the ONLY reason why Blake is in the ML right now. Otherwise, he'd be in Double-A.
All kidding aside, tremendously enjoyable last 4 or 5 holes.
That being said, I found myself rooting for Norman. I do remember not liking Norman awhile back particularly after a comment he made when a reporter asked him how it felt to shoot the round he did and taking the first round lead in that major. Norman replied (from what I can remember) saying something like "well, it's a feeling I'm sure you will never get a chance to experience".
It might have even been the Masters the year he choked, though I can't remember that far back. Anyway, I guess judging from how I felt today, enough time has passed that I don't dislike him as much as I did.
Anyone else remember that comment?
If Torre is thinking consistently he wouldn't play DeWitt at third for his defense while playing Nomar and Kent up the middle. Giving Torre the benefit of the doubt, he must like DeWitt for more than his DeFense.
I am also guessing that while Torre is teaching Loney and Kemp to hit the way he wants them to hit, he doesn't want to add another project like LaRoche for the time being especially after working so hard with DeWitt who now plays Bowa/Torre ball better than LaRoche.
Sorry dude, but any stat that says Jeff Kent is one of the best defensive 2B in Baseball ain't worth a food stamp.
I heard the heat is unbearable in those parts.
Sherman Maxwell, a sport writer and broadcaster dies at 100.
here is a link from a real newspaper.
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/07/19/sports/19maxwell.html
I have a baseball signed by Jackie, Reese, Roy C, the Duke and Don in 1955. Also signed by Sherman "Jocko" Maxwell.
In his first trip to Coppertown at the age of 93 he said the folllowing:
"I have to say," he told The Star-Ledger then, "I never had a nicer day in my whole life and I'm 93, so that's saying something."
To him it was the people and stories not the numbers that made baseball great.
With high gas prices, I don't think a Jaguar is a good investment now.
You need a better metaphor.
We traded Konerko when he was 22. Andy turns 25 in 3 weeks.
1346 at bats
192 runs scored
87doubles
38hr
191rbi
.288avg
.355obp
.805ops
---
1000ab
109runs
40doubles
16hr
108rbi
.259avg
.320obp
.695ops
Group 1) Loney.Kemp.Martin.Ethier
Group 2) Kent.Pierre.DeWitt.Jones
I thought the best line was Greg Norman taking 11 years off for Tiger to take a week off.
Numbers game is a mutha.
It's a dark day when bringing JP into your lineup would increase your slugging.
Wasn't this argument used already?
Anyway, this really is a frustrating situation, as said earlier, every time I'm ready to give up on Blake he has a game like last night, and I do wish blake was getting more playing time but I'm just not sure that I like Andy over Ethier right now, or even PHing over Pee Wee
All-Stars™ aren't cheap.
How much would we have to give up...or what exactly?
The logical solution to that problem is to acquire another, older, higher-paid third baseman.
I'm heading out now to get a Winnebago to supplement my Prius because I don't think the Prius' mileage is quite high enough because I want to run the AC too much.
And one also has to wonder what Ned was unwilling to give up.
And why does Rosenthal give me the heebie-jeebies? Anyone.
Rosenthal is doing field reporting for this week's FOX's game between the Angels and the Red Sox. For what's its worth Rosenthal also said the Red Sox could let Manny Ramirez go and spend the $20 million elsewhere such as a Mark Taxiera. He then ends that report with "Its unlikely, but the Red Sox has options". In other words, the whole thing was just his opinion and he couldn't just say it as such.
BA .262, OBP .335, SLG. 442, OPS .111, 16 HR in 355 AB or once every 22.18 AB - 2008
BA .271, OBP .327, SLG .458, OPS .107, 233 HR in 5,635 AB or once every 24.18 AB - Career
Beltre has been warming up at the plate over the past two weeks. It is normal for him to do well in the second half of the season.
Unloading Beltre's contract would seem a natural for the M's.
They have already dumped Sexson.
Tracy, I mean Torre has a strange habit of falling in love with players. Dewitt based upon April.
Look Joe, its in our best interests to get some pop out of the more talented 3b prospect. Can't he get a couple or three starts a week at 3b, one at 1b and 1 at 2b?
Maybe he heats up.
Late in game you got Berroaza up the middle.
And maybe Blake Dewitt starts hitting again as he gets a few days a week to sit ...Its alot to ask him to play everyday in a pennant race.
Pst, (whisper) hey Joe...Dewitt's great but he's overachieved in his first stint...he's too young...he may have a good future but he topped out TWO OR THREE MONTHS AGO!
Try to get Laroche going...
Dewitt is huge enough in April to keep the job when Laroche gets healthy...and now Laroche gets this kind of treatment even after Dewitt cools off...like he hasn't had an XBH in 12 games.
"That's why he's the starter" say some re last nights sweet play by Dewitt. I say Laroche and any solid 3b makes that play too.
I know, poor grammar, but you get the picture...Laroche is the future, he can be our Troy Glaus, our Scott Rolen...
148
How does a dunderhead like Ken Rosenthal not get fired?
I always wondered how Beltre would fare if he returned to LA, but it seems hard to believe he would repeat his season of a few years ago there if he hasn't been able to do it in Seattle.
I also often wonder if Ken Rosenthal is ever right about anything, especially anything Dodgers-related.
Time for a nap.
That's a lot lower than I would have guessed. .327 career on base.
Referring to the Bill Russell-Steve Yeager bat incident, "..And that was 37, 40 years ago".
Torre was sick of watching him try to hit.
>>Early on, it seemed as if our offense was going to blow past the Dodgers. After Chris Young's triple led off the third inning, our hitters had, to that point, gone 9-for-15. However, it was as if someone turned off the offensive faucet when LA starter Kuroda left the game after the second: in nine subsequent innings against the Dodger bullpen, we managed only seven hits and one run. That was the biggest difference between the two teams last night: the Dodgers pen just kept hurling very good arms at us. With the exception of Falkenborg - who faced one hitter - everyone else had an ERA of no worse than 3.32, and that's with closer Saito and his 2.18 ERA on the disabled list. The LA relievers we faced last night had a combined ERA of 2.47 - only Lyon is below three for us.
One factor was the absence of Chad Qualls: we expected to see him in the seventh inning, with the Diamondbacks clinging to a one-run lead. However, while warming up, he felt a twinge in his lower back. Qualls said, "I started getting going in the seventh inning and I thought I was in there. It was a little sore, a little tight and during the pitching change they decided to go with Rosie. I guess they're just more on the safer side." Safer for Qualls, but not for that lead.<<
*Not getting into this fracas...Just clarifying.
P.S. Mickey Mantle>Jeff Kent also ;)
If that's the case, then Oliver Stone will be filming a movie about this called "A.J."
BJ LaMura had 8Ks in 5 IP for Vegas last night, gave up 3ER. (LaMura wasn't too terrible pick up considering it was for the 57 year old catcher Alomar). Future Olympian Koplove got his 8th save. Not too many exciting pitching matchups for those teams tonight.
Ogden's Kyle Russell's near-1000 OPS continues to impress.
Manny is doing funny things with Boston again. Knocking their 60+ year old administrative guy down because he couldn't get Manny enough tickets, something happening with Youkolis, watching three strikes go by without swinging against Mariano the other day... Boston does want to move Manny I think. How about Manny for Jones?
168. True. LaRoche had signed a letter of intent to go to Rice so he was taken by the Dodgers in the 5th round, IIRC. He was highly touted coming out of HS but then he led the CC league in hitting and increased his standing even more. A bunch of teams wanted him but because of the letter of intent passed. Sorry Jon.
Because no good will come from it.
Right on...
Actually, I'm with you.
Now it's officially time for a nap.
I'll get on board with Pierre and one of DeRoche for Beltre. I was always partial to Adrian and was sad to see him go.
Beltre would block LaRoche next year; after that he'd be gone. There are worse things than having two good third baseman.
Like having one good one who sits and a bad one who plays.
After Friday's second round, Wie left the scoring area before signing her scorecard."
And golf folks wonder why people think their sport is ridiculously stupid.
http://sports.espn.go.com/golf/news/story?id=3496673
"Sue Witters, the LPGA's director of tournament competitions, disqualified Wie in a small office in an LPGA trailer at the golf course after asking her what had happened.
"She was like a little kid after you tell them there's no Santa Claus," Witters said.
That's pretty messed up, not to mention insulting.
It is very easy to cheat in golf. Among other things, players keep their own score and that of the others players in their group. The rules exist for their own safety and that of their competitors. They are not flexible.
Kemp, CF
Ethier, RF
Martin, C
Kent, 2B
Nomar, SS
Loney, 1B
Young, LF
DeWitt, 3B
Bills, P
____________________
Let's go Bills, show us what your made of brotha!
career averages:
BA .260, OBP .339, SLG .491, OPS .111, 370 HR in 6,575 AB - Jones = $18 mil per
BA .271, OBP .327, SLG .458, OPS .107, 233 HR in 5,655 AB - Beltre = $11 mil per
third basemen in the Dodgers system 25 years or younger:
age/player/team/stats for this season
19 Austin Gallagher - 66ers - 3HR, OPS .852
20 Pedro Baez - Raptors - 5 HR, OPS .909
20 Brian Matthews - Loons - 4 HR, OPS .662
21 Joshua Bell - 66ers - 6 HR, OPS .827
21 Austin Yount - Raptors - 0 HR, OPS .758
22 Blake DeWitt - Dodgers - 5 HR, OPS .697
23 Russell Mitchell - Suns - 8 HR, OPS .709
25 Shane Justis - Suns - 1 HR, OPS .743
25 Brandon Taylor - Loons - 4 HR, OPS .662
25 Andy LaRoche - Dodgers - 2 HR, OPS .622
OK, I'll start. I think we're free of his blunders tomorrow. But he'll beback in before Wednesday. I can't imagine what it might take to get him to do his batting practice somewhere other than the Dodger lineup. A trade, maybe. Where we continue to pay his salary.
Non of us are major leaguers so we wouldn't know WHY more pitchers DON'T throw the 2 seam fastball I do know that pitch (once you master it) can be the difference between a DP or a fly ball or what have you...
I'm guessing (actually I know) it's a good pitch to have in your arsenal.
I wouldn't spend serious cash on a closer especially when you have guys like Broxton that can do a good job for penny's on the dollar.
http://tinyurl.com/6cxu3v
I bought the Roberto Clemente biography for $6.98.
I don't care which one plays and which one sits, but I, for one, haven't seen any reason why one is better than the other...
neither one has distinguished himself as the clearcut choice...so to me, removing DeWitt for LaRoche is change just for change's sake
His traditional #'s are to good for him not to break out of it, check 'em out: (last five years)
51 home runs 128 rbi .263BA 575 slg.
41 home runs 129 rbi .262BA 531 slg.
26 home runs 94 rbi .222BA 413 slg.
plus his fielding always has been good.
if Ned is no longer there, we will be serious bidders for him
Isn't this LPGA event on TV? Aren't the scores updated in real time? Don't these events draw crowds? These harsh rules made sense back before every move was watched before the age where only the major events were televised. Making a player sign a personal card when her official score is already entered by an official scorer updated in real time seems redundant.
plus his victory dance isn't as appealing has Gagnes was...
Or perhaps even "Penny" could move into that role providing a better return on the dollars he's being paid?
I agree though, I wouldn't spend big money on acquiring a closer.
I mean, why don't basketball teams lose then if their players forget to sign in the scorebook after the game is over validating how many points each player scored?
It's an antiquated rule that has outlived it's purpose.
First, I admit calling DeWitt a bad player is a cheap shot. I mean, he is a bad player, but there's a chance he'll improve, and I recognize that possibility. It's a risk I'm willing to take for two reasons.
1) Having a major league caliber third baseman in the lineup would immensely improve the Dodgers' chances to win in 2008. I'd rather that be LaRoche, obviously, but if they won't give LaRoche a shot then it might as well be Beltre.
2) There is relatively little in DeWitt's track record to indicate that it's reasonable to expect improvement. The possibility exists, but I'd say it's unlikely. If he was going to become a major league caliber hitter, he probably would have made steps toward that in his four years in the farm system. He hasn't. He might eventually hit enough to be a regular at 2B, but who needs a third baseman who hits like a second baseman?
Again, he could eventually become a legitimate major leaguer. There's probably even, what, a one half of one percent chance he becomes a star. It's a chance I'm willing to take if it means getting a real third baseman for the 2008 Dodgers.
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