Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Dodger general manager Ned Colletti has quashed the nonsensical rumors that the Dodgers were looking to trade Russell Martin, putting an end to a theoretical conversation that went something like this:
"Martin tends to slump in the second half of the season."
"He plays a lot of games. He probably needs more rest."
"I hear he also enjoys the nightlife."
"Hmm. I don't know if that's true, but if it is, then he really needs more rest."
"So, we'll make sure he gets more rest next season."
"Sounds simple enough. No - wait - let's trade him."
"Cool!"
In the Dodger Thoughts world view, no one is ever off the trading table. You could have the best player in the world, but if there's a deal that somehow improves your team, go ahead and make it.
But the idea that the Dodgers would actively seek to unload a catcher whose only problem would appear to be, frankly, that he hasn't been able to sit still ... this just never made any sense.
* * *
As for Martin's need to rest ... I'll take this opportunity to question the conventional wisdom. Even three seasons into his career, we still don't really know what Martin's rest needs are.
In 2007, Martin's highest OPS for a month came in the dog days of August.
In 2008, a well-rested Martin had about 80 plate appearances in a month of Spring Training, skipped the China trip - then began the season 3 for 29.
It's true that Martin only hit three home runs in the second half of the 2008 season. But second-half slumps aren't limited to everyday catchers. They happen to ballplayers of every ilk.
If I were the Dodgers, yes, in 2009 I'd make an effort to rest Martin more in the first half of the season. It seems like a logical path. But I'd keep in mind that there's no guarantee this will make Martin a more effective player. The damage the rest does to his productive first halves, in terms of time missed, could outweigh the gains it provides to his second halves.
All I'm saying is that we just don't know. Let's feel free to form hypotheses. Let's keep gathering information. And we'll go from there.
I wonder how close the RuSS™ experiment ever was to fruition.
Gammons sees that his Red Sox have nothing at catcher, so he is trying to facilitate a lopsided trade for them.
That just sounds dirty out of context.
What are you blathering about? Gammons could easily have talked to a source within the Dodger organization. You don't know. What is he supposed to apologize for? This is baseball not some war scenario where accountability can be counted in human lives. His rumor did not damage anyone other then getting the hackles of some fans up.
As for SS, I'm ready to bid farewell to Furcal. I just can't see giving him a multiyear deal at full value after his injury past. I'm not sure if Hu/DeJesus/Abreu are realistic options, but there are other names out there: Renteria, Cabrera, Jack Wilson, et al.
People on this blog spend a lot of time debating individual moves Colletti has made, but it's the team's overall turnover that makes every year with Colletti a new opportunity for failure. Perhaps that's not phrased well. What I mean is that we are not a stable organization with a constant core of returning players. This whole "fill in the gaps with veterans" philosophy makes us way too dependent on the whims of a crazy free agent market.
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ti-gmmeetings110408&prov=yhoo&type=lgns
2. Russell Martin. Some Dodger officials have spread the word that Martin will either be traded or moved to third base, with a Jason Varitek signing a possibility. Whether or not it actually happens will be interesting to see, but teams looking for catching, like the Red Sox, will do a headfirst dive to get in on Martin, who turns 26 in February. I've also heard that the Yankees are making a major push on Martin and Matt Kemp.
Why the heck would the Yankees want Martin? They'd want Kemp to field CF, but unless Posada can't catch anymore, this makes no sense.
My feeling is that this was a bad rumor started by the media (whether they started it from nothing, or whether they irresponsibly used a bad source does not really matter), but keep in mind that just because Colletti denies the rumor does not mean the rumor was false to begin with. In sports, people often repeatedly deny rumors only to take action that completely validates the rumors a short time afterward.
That is to say, I would be surprised to see Martin traded, but I would be no more surprised to see him traded now than I would have been before Colletti's comment.
What I mean is that we are not a stable organization with a constant core of returning players
Martin
Loney
DeWitt
Kemp
Ethier
Billingsley
Kershaw
Broxton
just for starters. The gaps to be filled by veterans have gotten smaller and smaller the last few years.
but unless Posada can't catch anymore
Bingo.
Looks like Kuo/Elbert/Miller time.
Looks like the Dodgers may have lost one stalker/fan/public drunkard.
And he will be closer to the home games for Beimel.
But for he and his agent to expect the Dodgers to give him 4 years is downright insulting.
What a crazy couple of weeks this has been for me. That child predator they arrested in Long Beach a couple weeks ago was a good friend of mine from the neighborhood I grew up in. Talk about out of the blue. I'm still in shock.
No thanks.
John Shea profiles the needs of the Dodgers in the offseason. (And everyone else in the NL West.)
Danny Ardoin is pretty much the definition of "competent backup catcher", the Dodgers can look high and low, but we're not going to find someone actually useful to back up Russ.
Furcal should be affordable after a back injury cost him most of the season
I guess no one informed his agent.
--
Though Paul Kinzer said that Furcal's value shouldn't be affected by his surgically repaired back because he has been medically cleared by the doctor who performed the midseason operation, he was told that Dodgers owner Frank McCourt doesn't share the same thoughts.
"It's no secret that they've had a lot of injuries in the last few years," Kinzer said.
---
"It's no secret that Furcal has had a lot of injuries in the last few years," Kinzer said.
In baseball, at least, this is not true. It's very rare for a flat-out denial to be reversed.
You're correct that the likelihood of Martin being traded hasn't changed from yesterday to today - that illustrates the complete irrelevance of the rumor. But there is a big difference between a Dodger official going publicly on the record and saying something won't happen, and some unnamed Dodger official saying anonymously that it might. In short, Colletti's denial - while reiterating what most of us knew - is meaningful.
5, 7 - Gammons, Rosenthal, Heyman - all these guys should have no credibility. They are wrong so much more than they are right. But the vast majority of baseball's followers has decided to give them a free pass - people have decided that false news is better than no news. I get that people like these rumors to jumpstart conversation, but as you know, I think it's terribly unfortunate. There should be credibility in journalism, top-to-bottom. It demeans the entire profession. The fact is, whoever Gammons heard the rumor from, he did not take the time to check its credibility before running it. And that is his job. Printing news that you have every reason to believe might be wrong ... I don't know how, in the end, one supports that.
Any two guys in a bar can say "Maybe the Dodgers will trade Martin to the Marlins." Journalists - even baseball journalists - should aim higher.
Up and atom!
It's easy to look at successful teams in hindsight, but Philly and Tampa Bay pretty much know what they're bringing back. Certain other teams have gone "all-in" and now need to regroup (Angels). I'm tired of finding ourselves with the Mets and the Yankees: large-payroll teams desperately trying to sort through a 30-team pile for the best available talent.
(I'm not picking a fight. Your comments are consistently among the very best on this site. Thank you for the response.)
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=8282
There are 4 reasonable (and I didn't say cheap) SS options out there: Furcal, Renteria, Cabrera, and Jack Wilson. If Furcal is gone, which is better...
I met Michael Crichton once about 15 years ago at a County Library function.
He was a very, very, very, very tall man.
Sports stories should have the same standards as news stories. Or feature stories.
Gammons is writing what is ostensibly a sports news column. He's not writing the NY Post Page Six for baseball gossip.
I didn't take anything personally, but I think the Dodgers are making strides. The need to develop talent is always there, of course, to avoid reliance on the free agent market. Their farm system has been consistently rated in the top 6 the last five years, but it takes time to blossom.
Look at Philly and Tampa Bay; how much losing (especially in TB) did they have to endure before it all came together? The Dodgers have a pretty good base to build around.
I don't mind jumping into the FA pool for premiere talent (CC, Manny, etc). There's a very legitimate concern that we may commit to the "wrong" free agents, but there is also an opportunity too.
Just throwing this out there: if the Dodgers sign CC, but not Manny, the 2010 lineup could be something like:
C Martin
1B Loney
2B Abreu/Hu
SS DeJesus
3B DeWitt
LF Lambo
CF Kemp
RF Ethier
SP CC
SP Billingsley
SP Kershaw
SP McDonald
CL Broxton
RP Kuo
RP Elbert
RP Wade
That's a hell of a core of homegrown talent (all but CC), and that's not even considering possible contributions from E.Martin/Withrow, and other recent draftees.
I think the club is in a good position this winter, and can the Dodgers "always compete" for the near future? Yes, we can. :)
I guess my Radioactive Man nickname for Russell Martin isn't gonna stick.
Here's an icebreaker: Who will be the Cory Wade of 2009?
The reality is this: Those who supervise Gammons, Rosenthal, Heyman et al (and I've worked for some of those people) value readership over reliability. It's not surprising, but it is disappointing.
As readers, I would just ask yourselves, what do you gain out of this? Say one were to concede that false Hot Stove rumors do no real harm. What do you gain from them?
The only answer I can see is entertainment - but that kind of entertainment is available anywhere. Whereas reliability is a precious thing.
I like that thought. The problem with the Dodgers continues to be that even given the luxury of being able to afford expensive free agents, we have an incredible knack for choosing players who get hurt for an extended period (Schmidt, Furcal, Nomar (on his extension) Randy Wolf, Bill Mueller, Gary Bennett, Paul Bako, Andruw Jones) or just plain suck (Tomko, Pierre, and Jones).
Every team needs to build from within to be free from the burden of complete reliance on free agents or trades, but even Tampa made some shrewd choices that worked out well (Pena, Percival, Floyd, Iwamura) in filling in the gaps they had.
Here is the percentage of PA & IP by homegrown Dodgers the last few years:
PA
2006: 17.6%
2007: 27.5%
2008: 46.7%
IP
2006: 16.8%
2007: 21.5%
2008: 42.7%
I see a positive trend here.
I like Gammons, I think he's thoughtful and relatively insightful and I appreciate the fact that he was a three-time sportswriter of the year and he plays guitar and he's battled back from a stroke blah blah blah. I'm sure he's a nice man and would make an entertaining guest at dinner. But ever since this Manny trade to the Dodgers, I have really had to question his objectivity on all of his Dodgers "reporting", which seems burdened with personal vendettas and anti-Dodgers bias. And the Martin-for-Varitek BS is a prime example of his lack of objectivity in covering our boys in blue.
Has Torre said that he might like the idea of Martin playing 3B?
Has Martin said that he now sees the value of more rest?
Just say'in
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.