Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
Screen Jam
TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
The newly Frank McCourt-owned Los Angeles Marathon is moving from March to Memorial Day, says Greg Johnson of the Times (via L.A. Observed).
I'm envisioning a big finish for the hot, sweaty marathoners at Dodger Stadium, followed by a twilight ballgame. Alas, the Dodgers are on the road that day ... in Colorado, where perhaps they'll be playing their own Memorial Day Marathon.
It'll make sure that I never run the LA Marathon... My worst was an unseasonably warm summer day in San Francisco, and that peaked at 65 degrees...
1). If it takes a five-year contract to sign Manny Ramirez, the Dodgers should do it.
2). I was wondering if you don't like Manny.
3). Has any Dodgers player produced as much offense in two months as Manny did?
4). I realize that this could apply to any player, but isn't Jake Peavy possibly another Jason Schmidt?
http://tinyurl.com/5kjubu
Smith has a bad bb/k ratio and is a flyball pitcher.
Street's stuff is not that good and I think his career will really start to decline. If he cannot throw his slider for strikes or get hitters to chase it, he is screwed.
CBSSports.com is reporting that the Rockies are acquiring Street with the intention of moving him to a third team
Kemp/Billingsley/Kershaw/Martin for Street...?
Had his worst K/BB ratio and worst ERA of his career. His stuff is not that great, so I think he will decline.
Moves from an extreme pitchers park to Coors.
15
I agree with this. I think Street is pretty good, but maybe this is just a reflex I have developed from defending Broxton so much. :)
Broxton has really good stuff though. That is the difference.
Yeah, it is mostly based on what I saw from him. That and the fact that he is just another solid reliever to me, makes him not worth a lot.
Street's K/9:
2005: 8.27
2006: 8.53
2007: 11.34
2008: 8.87
How can he not have good stuff and strike out as many hitters as he has in his career? 2007 is looking like the aberration, as he looks more like an 8-9 K/9 guy rather than 10+.
He has a good slider and then a fastball that is usually 90-92. I don't consider that really good.
Broxton's slider has more bite, but Street can throw his for strikes better.
So when he faces a winning team, you're saying there's a chance...
He's a good pitcher. The worry with him isn't that he'll stink, but that he'll get hurt.
The problem I saw last year, was that it seemed hitters began laying off it more.
I saw that game that Notre Dame won against a team with a winning record. In person.
Oh, the humanity!
this duality is what makes Kershaw's breaking pitches so scary. he can throw them for strikes and also throw them so the hitter has to chase.
I haven't seen enough of Street to comment in any meaningful way, but I suspect that, presently, his breaking stuff isn't chaseable.
If we don't sign Manny and if Holliday doesn't sign an extension this year, I wouldn't mind seeing Holliday roaming our leftfield in 2010. I see some Gibby similarities in him.
UCLA was 4-1 at the time when Notre Dame beat them.
They went 2-6 the rest of the way.
And that inspired the Arizona fans to storm the field!
Somebody must have told them that there was free beer.
Hitters will chase his slider, but not as much as they used to. I noticed the same thing with Zito and his curveball. Hitters seemed to just ignore his curve and sit on fastball.
"There's so much more to this game than just stats and OPS, PMS, whatever it's called," Bell said. "Stats do have some influence on me. I try to look at a minimum of them. Matchups over a course of time. I do a lot of that, and it tells me some stuff. But I have found that knowing the little I do about it, the guys that come up through that system it's almost like they're too passive. They're not aggressive early in the count. There's probably a stat out there that tells me I'm wrong."
If they they moved Hawpe to LF and got rid of Taveras, they would probably improve a lot.
1B Helton (35)
2B Stewart (24)
3B Atkins (28)
SS Tulowitzki (24)
LF Hawpe (30)
CF Gonzalez (23)
RF Fowler (23)
SP Cook (30)
SP Francis (28)
SP Jimenez (25)
SP Morales (23)
SP Smith (25)
SP Reynolds (23)
CL Street (25)
RP Corpas (26)
RP Buchholtz (27)
I don't think this is a bad team. Gonzalez and Fowler dramatically improves the outfield defense. The lineup as it stands now has above average fielders at every position except 3B & LF. It will be interesting to see if Atkins is trade bait. He is arb eligible the next two years. Keeping Ian Stewart at 2B could be intriguing; he was +2 in 93 innings there last year. Stewart is kind of a better DeWitt in a similar situation.
Woo hoo!
What? Oh.
Who does at this point? Until rosters are complete everyone looks thin. The core is solid and if they flush things out right they should easily compete with us. It is not like we will be having Rafy, Manny, Lowe, and Penny playing for us.
Penny made the top 20 list of top free agents by Yahoo's Jeff Passan. Even if he is overvaluing him, I still think he had plenty of trade value at the cost of that salary.
http://noveladventures.cbs.com/episodes/the-sand-and-sea-club
Fork. Toaster. Over.
Next!
:)
Unfortunately this book can be found at Barnes & Noble in the "Fantasy" section.
So that's what happened to Daphne Zuniga?
We could, we won't sign any.
Any UCLA fans want to make some friendly wagers on who finishes higher in the rankings this year between UCLA and Gonzaga? I'm expecting big things from Daye this year and now that Heytvelt has gotten the mushrooms out of his system he can go back to being a force. We still owe you for making Adam cry.
We could, we won't sign any
This sounds like another wager!
Bowden was busting the Dodgers chops for not trading DeJesus for Rauch, and he flips the piece he got first chance he gets.
Anyway, does this mean that Dan Uggla's days with the Marlins are done, or he's moving positions?
I think a healthy Tony Abreu runs rings around him.
UCLA expectations are kind of high. They are ranked in the top 10 in the preseason.
Who do you think we sign of those three?
That said, UCLA does have its best perimeter play depth since the Bozeman, Farmar, Afflalo, Collison, and Roll team but Gordon and Morgan are going to have grow up fast to make them a factor this year.
At least one of Manny & CC. I don't think the market will materialize for Manny, and his deal won't be for much more than the current offer.
If Manny's contract is backloaded as reported ("only" $15m in 2009), I think that frees up CC money too.
2006: -6 (27th in MLB)
2007: -18 (30th)
2008: +10 (6th; in only 855 innings)
Both Olsen and Willingham are eligible for arbitration for the first time, so it appears Florida will attempt a $20m payroll again. Bonifacio has three more years before being arb eligible, so he fits into their "plan."
"I got three pitches. My change, my change off my change, and my change off my change off my change."
I personally think this move is the difference between .500 in 2009, and losing 95 games. Also, say hello to Adam Dunn to the Nats.
How are Olsen & Willingham worth 14 wins?
That, and it's the NL East. The Phillies aren't going to be as good as they were this year, the Mets bullpen is going to struggle again, and the Braves and Marlins are either going to regress or stay where they are. I can see the Nats making progress to... well, not the playoffs, but progress nonetheless.
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/mhnZ
My question is whether their young pitching can offset the loss of Lowe and Penny. It might make sense to try to bring Lowe back.
Did Tulo have OJ go over to Ryan Braun's house to steal his award?
Now that he's in LF, I'd say yes.
So....that's some football game on tonight, huh?
The Padres withdrew their $4m contract offer to Trevor Hoffman.
http://tinyurl.com/4kgf8k
I'd say the Angels make a quick offer to Hoffman.
Type B
"He's the next coming of (Paul O'Neill)," said one team exec. "We really think he's the answer to a lot of our problems, and with him in center and Johnny Damon in left, we'll cover a ton of ground and get some offense out of there as well."
What!? Torre said that Ethier was the next Paul O'Neill. We must get to the bottom of this!
http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/newsstand/discussion/amazin_avenue_simon/
Posted the wrong link.
92 so Jim Edmonds retires in 2009?
I'm sorry, didn't he look like his defensive skills had declined radically last season?
Yep, the Yankees are not asking the right questions if that's an answer. Rowand would be more productive and if they're going for old outfielders, Cameron would be better.
I'm sorry, didn't he look like his defensive skills had declined radically last season?
Yep. Using +/-:
2006: +2
2007: -11
2008: -20
And he hasn't played more than 103 games in CF since 2005.
Then they came back and he talked about how close it is and how the Niners would like to not only drive down the field but take time off the clock as it's a one point game.
WHO is winning, Starkey?
I guess maybe he realized I didn't care who was winning.
Guess we know now that Kawakami reads FJM.
http://blogs.mercurynews.com/kawakami/2008/11/10/as-holliday-notes-the-homeroad-split-reality-the-flip-possibilities-gunning-for-the-angels/#more-2463
Holliday is a great baserunner. On Bill James Online, he was rated 3rd in 2008 in overall net bases gained (through steals and baserunning):
Willy Taveras +70
Ichiro Suzuki +56
Matt Holliday +52
Grady Sizemore +50
Jimmy Rollins +46
Nate McLouth +44
Ian Kinsler +41
Randy Winn +41
Jacoby Ellsbury +40
Carlos Beltran +35
The list is mostly speed guys, and Holliday.
Hoffman at 4 mill would be a decent play for the Angels. The AL might not know what to do with his change up while Arrendondo gets a taste of closing.
102
I guess having great baserunners doesn't equate to wins. Of the top ten only Rollins played on a playoff team. I doubt we would see the same results for top OPS/Slug%/OB%. So I thought I'd check and I'd been wrong. Of the top 10 OPS+, only Manny, Teixeira, and Quentin were in the playoffs. Two were traded. How bizarre. For Slug% add Youkilis and subtract Teixeira. For OB% add JD Drew and subtract Quentin.
Did Ludwick have the greatest 29 year old season in history for someone who had hit only 28 home runs by age 28?
Did Ludwick have the greatest 29 year old season in history for someone who had hit only 28 home runs by age 28?
Edgar Martinez had 27 career HR before his .343/.404/.544 (164 OPS+) in 1992.
Wade Boggs had 32 career HR before his .363/.461/.588 (173 OPS+) in 1987, but he was already established as a great player before then.
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/anEU
Finding Fame With a Prescient Call for Obama
http://tinyurl.com/5sfgxj
>> Lost in all this emotion and faulty finger-pointing is that Boras understands the economics of greed better than all the rest of us. It is a greed that includes, but is not limited to, the commissioner's office, team owners, players, fans and even the media. <<
http://tinyurl.com/3vp9hu
>> The Angels also plan to make a serious run at free-agent pitcher CC Sabathia <<
http://tinyurl.com/4brbjb
Speaking of Mr. November, Pete Carroll's Trojans have had quite the stingy defense this season, allowing only 6.7 points per game (including giving up 27 in a loss to OSU).
Right now USC has the 4th best average margin of victory in school history (dating back to 1888):
1) 1929 - 35.3 difference (41.0 - 5.8)
2) 1889 - 33.0 (33-0 -- only two games)
3) 1930 - 31.6 (38.2 - 6.6)
4) 2008 - 31.0 (37.7 - 6.7 through 9 games)
Such a shame they lost to someone in the pathetic Pac 10 conference. Do these margins of victory mean squat playing in this pathetic conference? Boise State could probably beat everyone but USC. Let us see what their defense could do against a real offense. Get ND off the schedule and play a real out of conference team.
I have no defense of the Pac-10 this year. Except for the exceptional Oregon State team, of course. :)
What I find interesting is that let's say the SEC champ (Florida or Alabama) has two losses. Then there is a possibility that the top 3 teams in the BCS could be Big XII teams (if Oklahoma beats Texas Tech so the big 3 each have one loss). That has to be a nightmare scenario for the BCS, but it could happen.
Essentially, USC's only hope is that the human voters (2/3 of the BCS) don't vote the other two Big XII South teams 2 or 3 since they didn't reach their championship game. It will be a longshot for USC, but stranger things have happened.
By the way, I don't personally have a problem with, for instance, three teams in one conference having the 3 top-rated teams. But it's probably unfavorable from a BCS standpoint, since undoubtedly other conferences would be angry.
Perhaps angry enough to overhaul the system?
I assume you are in the wrong thread?
Is that a statement or a question?
Or did somebody slip a question mark into your teleprompter, Ron Burgundy-style.
I'm Ron Burgundy?
http://tinyurl.com/6g3fbw
Meanwhile, schmucks like Andruw Jones have guaranteed contracts for $18 million a year.
The Padres are in the midst of making a dramatic cut to their payroll, at a time when owner John Moores is going through a difficult and costly divorce. The San Diego payroll was about $74 million in 2008, and if they complete a trade of pitcher Jake Peavy, as expected, and eventually swap outfielder Brian Giles, their payroll -- now reduced by the departure of Hoffman -- will be cut by about half.
Might be time to sell the team, buddy.
My dad is a huge Padres fan, he's been saying that Moores' divorce would ruin the team for a good 6 months now. If you can't run the franchise, then sell.
Why, he is not pretty but he gets the job done and the cost would be cheap and short? Type B free agent who cares.
Impartially, if every team had one loss, I would put Texas, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, and Florida ahead of USC.
If the pollsters follow their edict from the last 2 years, they'll leap us over the Big 12 teams that don't make it to KC. Then we need Mizzou to win. I'm not sure how realistic this is.
Our best shot, IMO, is UF loses to FSU, then blasts Alabama.
Our best shot, IMO, is UF loses to FSU, then blasts Alabama
Agreed.
vr, Xei
As of right now, Florida and Texas Tech are the best teams in the country, with Alabama a close third. The SEC title game is going to be absurdly good, as is the TT-Oklahoma game next weekend. This has been one of the most entertaining college football seasons I can remember. Every Saturday this season has had a game of critical, lose-and-the-season's-over importance. The BCS is not perfect, but I don't want to hear any more talk about how college football needs a playoff. It most certainly does not.
Jamie Moyer is 45.
Jamie Moyer!
I'm normally not on the playoff bandwagon, but if Oklahoma wins this weekend, how can you decipher between these three teams:
Texas: one loss at Texas Tech
Texas Tech: one loss at Oklahoma
Oklahoma: one loss vs Texas
That's a tough call.
Let's review: Last year it was Stanford. The year before it was UCLA. The year before that it was Texas in the then championship game (happened to be the Rose Bowl).
Even though Offensively they've been mediocre for three years, I feel like they're good enough to hang with the best teams. It's just such a shame they have to resort to rooting for other teams to help them. I'd rather be USC right now than a lot of teams, but still, I wish USC would take their regular season more seriously.
As an SC fan, I've come to the point where going to the Rose Bowl is a "disappointment"
I hope I never see that day. Just think of the Paul Hackett Era, and you will gladly appreciate a Rose Bowl birth. One, might I add, that is not yet set since Oregon State needs to lose one of its final three games.
I disagree on Alabama. If USC's Cal win was unimpressive, that's how I look at Alabama's entire season. LSU should have won that game by 3 TD's, and they aren't that good. Alabama scored 1 offensive TD and had 170 total yards at home v. Tulane. They beat Kentucky at home by 3. They beat Mississippi at home by 3. My best friend from law school went to school at Bama and even walked on for a year - he calls them the worst undefeated team in SEC history. I think UF is going to win that game, big, like 35-7 type big.
Here's my beef with the Big 12, and why I think we need a playoff. Do we really know that those teams are all that good? Oklahoma State, Texas, and Texas Tech all played no one with a pulse out of conference - the best win the three of them combined for is Nevada. OU played Cincinnati and TCU at home, good teams, but basically BCS buster type teams - ala a Fresno State or something. I'm not saying they aren't all good teams, but we really don't know since their resumes exist solely of playing each other. If there's an 8 team playoff, they either rise up, or get exposed. But in this system, there's likely to be a three way tie, and then the BCS computer will arbitrarily decide which of the three goes to KC, so to me it seems like assumptions/guesses layered on top of more assumptions/guesses.
Like I said, it's not a perfect system. And it's certainly stands to be tweaked and improved (first up: no polls of any kind before mid-October or November, and get the coaches out of the polling business altogether). But if we want to keep the drama of the regular season intact by forgoing playoffs, I can't think of any better way to do it.
That said, I'd love to get a shot at another conference in a different BCS bowl, I think we'll blast Penn State. I want to win the Pac 10, but there will be a bright side if Oregon State wins out.
it's not clear to me that USC is that much better than Penn St., Georgia, and Missouri
The Missouri one stings a little bit. Sure, the Pac-10 is way down this year, but looking at USC's entire schedule, the 9 teams they've played average 28.7 points/game in their non-USC games. USC has held their opponents to 6.7 points per game. The defense has been suffocating this year (and yes, I know they laid an egg against a midget named Jacuzzi in Corvalis).
If they are fortunate enough to get to the Rose Bowl, they will wipe the floor with Penn State.
And no, it's not USC's fault that the Pac-10 is so horrible. But them's the breaks too. The Trojans can have all offseason to ponder how one loss early in the regular season cost them a shot at the national championship.
No sport has a regular season as important as college football's. I'd like to keep it that way.
That said, I'd love to get a shot at another conference in a different BCS bowl
A USC-Alabama Orange Bowl for instance? That would be pretty sweet.
I'm the biggest USC booster on this board I think and this year's team doesn't deserve any BCS championship talk. They'll be in a BCS bowl and that is about as much as you can hope for from this team. It will be fun at draft day to see a few of them go in the first round, but this "team" is a huge disappointment based on pre-season hype.
Bingo. Eric is right too, because I lived through the Hackett era and I will always appreciate going to the Grandaddy of them All.
But the usual disappointment is in always playing a Michigan or an Illinois. I'm eager to see how USC does in a bowl game against an SEC team. It would be fun to see. By the way, I don't think it's ever happened in the BCS era.
What I'm saying is we can struggle with Cal, and may struggle with the Tree on Saturday. This doesn't mean we wouldn't beat Penn State or Missouri by 4 TD's. Of course this whole scenario just increases my frustration level.
If Boise St. loses and BYU beats Utah, I think they've got a decent shot at a BCS bowl game.
As long as BYU remembers it scheduled 1-AA Northern Iowa (Sagarin ranked 119th), and only beat winless Washington by a point.
I will give you the nod for biggest win over UCLA though. :)
Who's spending their Saturday night watching UCLA at Washington? Let's have a show of hands.
On a related notes, somebody is trying sell tickets for the Apple Cup game in Pullman on StubHub for $400 each.
Good luck!
Steve Hartman was erroneously talking about this yesterday, he thought/thinks that if Boise and Utah are both eligible, they both go, so therefore SC would be stuck in the Holiday if Or. State wins out. The BCS-buster auto qualification that Boise and Hawaii got in on only works for one team.
I believe BYU had informally scheduled Nevada, but they pulled out and all BYU could get was Northern Iowa.
According to the St. Louis Post Dispatch, Juan Enacarnacion has "not yet recovered enough vision in his left eye to drive, let alone attempt to play baseball again" despite filing for free agency Monday.
They could also just kick the Big East out (I think that conference is going kaput with Rich Rod leaving, Kelly likely to take a better job, etc.), and have 5 auto bids, with 2 bids automatically going to eligible buster teams.
Why not take the 6 top-rated conference champions, regardless of what conference they are in?
I wouldn't have a problem with that.
I think the ACC champ this year will be worse than the Big East champ.
Wake Forest vs Utah in the Orange Bowl?
I'd imagine that while the Big East would fight it, the others may be in favor of it. If 2 busters aren't available, another power conference gets 2 teams. You could even allow a conference to have 3 teams if certain criteria are met (ie - no eligible 2nd team from any other conf. or no eligible buster team).
On a sad and related note to that, RIP Herb Score. His obit is on The Griddle.
Arizona feeling the effects of the economy cut back 31 employee's.
Colorado can't afford their best player who is in the prime of his career, trade him for future salary relief.
Dodgers release Penny saving 7.5 million, sell off prospects for salary relief, take discounted cash now, make offers they know aren't competitive with the market and won't be accepted but for some reason make these offers public which is quite unusual.
Will another domino fall or will the Dodgers outspend their division rivals by ridiculous levels? Will the Dodgers have more money wasted on bad contracts (Pierre, Schmidt, Jones) then the Padre's whole budget? Or will we found out that the Dodgers are also hitting a credit crunch? As Ken Noe said, anyone know how this years capital improvements are progressing?
How do you determine a down year for a conference if no one plays a tough out of conference schedule?
Cash larger paychecks than a vice president.
Comment status: comments have been closed. Baseball Toaster is now out of business.