Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Dave Cameron writes at Fangraphs about not giving up on propsects who hit a rough patch: "Don't judge a player with a long history of success on one bad season. Talent shines through, even if not immediately."
* * *
Keith Thursby of the Daily Mirror points out that the 1949 Los Angeles Angels might have been more of a major-league team than the 1949 Chicago Cubs.
56. I think Cameron over-reacts (which is his style at USSM) on this one a bit. 3-year weighted win values of 3.02 for Randy Johnson and 3.00 for Jon Garland. Garland is much younger, less likely to get hurt, less likely to have a huge drop off in production, and more likely to pitch more innings. This signing gives the Diamondbacks four good to great innings eating pitchers, which will in turn give the Diamondbacks less starting pitcher innings from replacement level pitchers. Which in turn, keeps your high leverage bullpen arms from getting worn out. I think the Garland signing was good for them. A RJ signing would've been good too. I just don't see the logic in Cameron's argument that the "Diamondbacks screwed up their entire offseason" with this signing.
vr, Xei
So what happened to the left hander who dominated the Dodgers when he wasn't battling cancer?
vr, Xei
>>Piecoro adds that the Diamondbacks were serious players to re-sign Brandon Lyon, but wanted to use him as a starter.<<
vr, Xei
2007 19.2 1.83
but we did bomb him in 2008. My mistake, I thought he owned us both years.
vr, Xei
No, just my eyesight. I actually didn't see him.
However, it's not that rare to see a player come up from the minors, where he'd been destroying the ball, and fall on his face in the major leagues. Last year, for instance, we saw some disastrous performances from Chin-Lung Hu, J.R. Towles, Brandon Wood, Wladimir Balentien, and Jeff Clement. These guys have all experienced success as hitters in the minors, but all struggled mightily in short term looks at the big league level.
Where's Andy LaRoche?
Especially when considering that LaRoche dominated minor league pitching better then all the players he mentioned.
Maybe he doesn't feel that LaRoche struggled at the major league level?
Just seems strange to mention Hu and not LaRoche. If you are going to bring a Dodger into the discussion I think LaRoche has to be the guy. Hu was just a middle infielder who we hoped would hit 270 and give us great defense. Andy was going to be our big bopper.
A sad memory, to be sure.
And the same for #5 starter?
This was discussed last year here.
Seems like the #4 starter era was about 4.5 - 5.00
and the #5 was 5.00+
but I'm just guessing.
The Braves gave him all of 57 at bats before spinning him off (for Renteria), the Red Sox didn't even keep him long enough for him to get a tour of Fenway.
Last year he was given a chance to play after Blake was traded and he was still underwhelming. He'll be 25 when the 2009 season starts but right now, he'll be battling to stay on the 25 man roster.
If you take a look at those I think I win by default. Doesn't quite negate my A Jones debacle but it helps.
vr, Xei
Jay Jaffe has another Manny article up.
I started the research for a similar study for 2008 a few months back, but it got pushed to the back burner. I'll try to get something up with 2008 data soon.
vr, Xei
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A surprise and nothing more
Tapping at my chamber door
http://tinyurl.com/cedvvv
>>That's right, the native of Chelsea, Que., best known for his dogged blue-collar work ethic and play-through-all-pain intensity, has made yoga an integral part of his off-season workout regimen for the first time this winter.
"I've never felt better," he said.<<
For news about our Manny (yes, this hot stove league's a bore) --
As I waited, nearly napping, suddenly there came a tapping
As if someone gently rapping, rapping at my chamber door --
"Tis Dave Cameron," I muttered, "Rapping at my chamber door --
Only this, and nothing more."
Ah distinctly, I remember, it was 'fore our fine September:
Ned Colletti had his finest moment and his only poach.
Eagerly, he grabbed the Manny (he was certainly quite canny!)
And for the price of one young man -- a young man named LaRoche --
The rare and radient prospect who the angels named LaRoche! --
Now a Pirate forevermore.
...
Hard as Joe Torre tries to spin his thoughts about Alex Rodriguez, we've heard from multiple sources that when A-Rod was a free agent last offseason, Torre advised the Dodgers not to touch him.
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/columns/story?columnist=stark_jayson&page=rumblings090129
http://videoeta.com/movie/111911
Scrap metal indeed.
The only way "Don't touch Alex Rodriguez" should come up in conversation is: "Don't touch Alex Rodriguez, because the sheer heat of his brilliance is likely to burn your hand."
>> A significant alteration of the rules governed by the latest Basic Agreement led to this sea change in the free-agent climate. Until last year, teams had until Jan. 7 to re-sign their own free agents, or they couldn't negotiate with them again until May 1. That resulted in a flurry of signings in December and just after the New Year.
Now, in the Basic Agreement that was collectively bargained prior to the 2007 season, there is no such deadline. Thus, teams can continue to talk to their own free agents. That change alone has led to some players making mistaken judgments. <<
http://tinyurl.com/b8bv43
Ramirez remains top free-agent hitter
I printed this up the day it was posted, but it's in one of the piles of paper here in the basement.
Thanks to the great work of Eric Stephen:
2007
#4 starter ERA 4.59 ERA+ 96
#5 starter ERA 5.07 ERA+ 87
#6 starter ERA 6.22 ERA+ 84
"Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no!"
Bowa: Dodgers in 'deep, deep, deep trouble' without Manny
>> "I'm going to tell you something. If Manny doesn't sign with us, we're in deep trouble. Deep, deep, deep trouble...We're going to be lost without a guy of that caliber a hitter in our lineup...There's two places I really don't want him. The other place is Anaheim because we'd have to read about it every day. If he goes to the Giants, the Giants have definitely improved their ballclub, and if they put a hitter like that in the lineup, they'll be the team to beat I think." <<
http://tinyurl.com/bybqa9
http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/sports_blog/2009/01/wake-up-call-5.html
>>Otherwise you have a starting rotation of Chad Billingsley, Roger Kuroda and ... uh-oh. OK, they're going after L.A. native and ex-Dodger Randy Wolf (4.30 ERA for Houston last season) but didn't they try that in 2007? And if you aren't worried, remember they still have Jason Schmidt. If you're still not worried, then you probably aren't a Dodgers fan.<<
Roger Kuroda? Bet she couldn't pick out Kershaw on sight.
Roger that.
Of course McCourt may be trying to run 2009 on the cheap. I would say who can blame him, except of course me, who has season tickets. I blame him.
Paging Captain Oveur.
And who was the first officer?
That's right, Mr. Dunn.
(...to a minor league deal, could be worth up to 1 million.)
Go ask the folks on Bronx Banter what they'd think of a Loney for Joba trade.
"Without Manny in the lineup, I won't say we can't score runs but we'll be like we were at the beginning of last year," Bowa said, referring to a period when the Dodgers struggled offensively. "Manny is sort of that constant in that lineup. With the kids, you don't know what you're going to get."
So it's "the kids" Bowa refrains from having confidence in, not the vet Pierre presumably.
It's best not to pay too much attention to crazy ol' Uncle Larry.
Lisa Leslie reportedly scored 101 points in the first half of a high-school basketball game. How is that even possible?
http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-mannyramirez-dodgers29-2009jan29,0,363476.story
When you are a girl over 6 feet in high school amongst relative midgets, it's a little easier.
Wikipedia tells of a much more unsavory tale:
It was a tradition of Morningside High's basketball coach Frank Scott to arrange to have a star player attempt to break the single game scoring record each year. In 1990, Leslie was his star and he purposely4 chose a game with the struggling South Torrance Spartans for her attempt to beat Cheryl Miller's record of 1053 . After a humiliating half for the Spartans, the score was 102-245 , with Leslie scoring all but one of the Morningside points; her team giving her all the shooting opportunities. Two foul outs and an injury had reduced the Spartans from seven players to four and they chose to forfeit the game rather than return for the second half. Hoping to break the record, Leslie asked the Spartan coach to continue long enough for her to break the record but he declined4 . The referees allowed her to shoot four "technical" fouls claiming "delay of game" due to the forfeit. She made the shots, which would have tied the record had they not been subsequently nullified
I always wonder why there is so much commotion raised when something like this gets said. I would hope that any player has more than enough confidence in himself that those types of general comments roll off their back.
As Jon wrote a few days ago, the Dodgers have cast their lot with their core of young talent so regardless of what Larry Bowa says, the club's fortunes will ride with them.
But I certainlly have more faith of predicting what Manny will do in 2009 vs. any player entering his second or third year in MLB.
Yeah, I wonder if Frank Scott was asked to apologize to South Torrance. :)
Same thing with Loney. DeWitt too. We actually don't know what we're going to get from the kids. Saying that doesn't necessarily imply a lack of confidence in them.
79
Furcal SS
Martin C
Ramirez LF
Dunn 1B
Ethier RF
Kemp CF
Blake 3B
DeWitt 2B
[insert Homer drooling sound here]
(I am a graduate of North Torrance High, so I am biased.)
Blake 3B
DeWitt 2B
I always like seeing this in the lineup for some reason. It amuses me.
That is pathetic. Once played in a Culver City basketball league and only four of our guys showed up. We were all over 30 and played a squad of athletic kids who looked like they had just stepped off the Venice courts. They put full court pressure on us so they could score as many points as they could. Not one of my happier athletic memories.
On the other side we once played a team who only had four guys and their point guard became Nash dribbling around, between, and thru us. They thrashed us.
I once got crossed over in an intramural game by a guy with one hand.
Similar to Corey Wade. He has the ability to pitch on a major league bullpen.
Probably the best athlete in my middle school was kid who lost his left arm in a washing machine accident. It was amazing what he could do. No Pete Gray but the kid could play.
It has the added benefit that it could actually make signing Ramirez for reasonable years easier, if played properly. I really think the Dodgers are the only team really trying for Manny. The only thing preventing a deal is that Boras thinks (rightly) that the Dodgers are desperate for a power bat and will eventually up the bid just for the security of having one. You get Dunn, you don't -need- Manny. You want him. You will pay more than most teams seem to be wiling at this point. But you don't need him.
The main downside to buying both is money. It obviously costs more per year to have Dunn. Some of that might be saved off the Ramirez contract thanks to the pressure, but you are probably talking at least an extra 10 million. Then of course, one could screw up the negotiations with Boras, insulting Manny, etc. And we would probably lose Loney through a trade. I suspect a minor trade, not a blockbuster. So there are risks and downsides, sure.
But that line-up would bang some ball.
He should also go after Ben Sheets, but won't just because every injury will look like another Schmidt all over again. But if you get Sheets cheap enough you can afford to lose a lot of innings if the ones that are pitched are ace (or near ace depending on your definition) level.
That must be extensive.
You are looking for more of a damned if you do, damned if you don't sort of expression... Sort of a Tiger and the Lady, except all the doors have Tigers.
Of course what will apply will be Murphy's Law: Wherever you stick him he will play worse.
And then the Dodgers will trade him and he will become the MVP for his new team.
Please resume your non Rule 5 breaking discussion.
Almost everything is better if said in a Howard Cosell voice.
"And linebacker Bruce Davis of the Steelers said of Springsteen's music: "That's not really my genre. But you've got to love a man named Bruce, right?""
Makes me long for the days when a LF could actually do other things besides hit. How many current left fielders could hit/field/throw/run like Johnny B? No wonder those 77/78 teams were good, they were so bloody loaded they could carry a sad sack SS like Russel and a defensive wizard like Yeagermeister.
That's probably the only way Bruce Davis was going to get interviewed before the Super Bowl.
Pre-roidal Barry was the best left fielder to grace our game.
Pre 2000
http://www.bb-ref.com/pi/shareit/edJM
when you take into account all aspects of playing the game.
No wonder those 77/78 teams were good, they were so bloody loaded they could carry a sad sack SS like Russell
I'm beginning to think you don't have the highest opinion of Bill Russell. :)
I actually want to see some of these bad fielding LF types go full Luzinski, especially if they get paired with a great CF. Just have Dunn or Manny line up about 20 feet from the left field foul line with his back to CF. He is responsible for everything "in front" of him, and the CF takes everything else. :)
In the New Bill James Historical Baseball Abstract, which coincidentally also has data through 2000, here are the top 3 LF:
1) Ted Williams
555 career Win Shares
Top 3 WS: 49,46,44
Top 5 total: 220
WS per 162: 39.22
2) Stan Musial
604 career Win Shares
Top 3 WS: 47,44,40
Top 5 total: 193
WS per 162: 32.33
3) Barry Bonds
467 career Win Shares
Top 3 WS: 47,41,39
Top 5 total: 187
WS per 162: 35.30
It should be noted that according to Baseball-Reference.com Musial was spread out over the OF and 1B, so perhaps calling him a LF is a bit of a stretch (but maybe not):
LF 948 games
CF 325
RF 749
1B 1016
These include games at multiple positions, as I can't find his starts at each position.
Classic.
Well, Andruw was always an excellent defensive player.
this = minor league deal
Manny Ramirez gets second contract offer
>> Manny Ramirez has been offered a two-year, $24,000 contract by the Worcester Tornadoes of the Canadian-American Association of Professional Baseball. <<
http://tinyurl.com/bw4d35
Ha! Gotta love a Rich Gedman sighting too. I can't wait to find out what Marty Barrett and Spike Owen are up to these days. :)
>> Pujols passed along Ramirez's telephone number to St. Louis manager Tony La Russa. <<
http://tinyurl.com/ctp4s2
(Tony LaRussa looks at piece of paper... "Hey, Albert, this is one of those fake 555 numbers! What are you trying to pull on me? I'll show you who's boss!")
Is the rest of the ballerina still attached to the legs?
>> Wells admitted to clashing with the manager, saying that Torre would often turn off his music in the clubhouse without ever asking him to turn it down. How'd Wells respond? He'd blast the music again and tell Torre, "If you got a problem, go in your office and shut the door." <<
http://tinyurl.com/bxyazs
Tony has a big smile on his face.
Once again, David Wells exudes class.
http://tinyurl.com/tbla678
Probably be a book about Martin partying, Loney being a little weird, and how Kemp can't do anything right because he is too talented and not basebally enough.
Larry Bowa, however, is the baseballest baseballer ever.
Seems to have worked as well as it did for Elmer Fudd when shooting Bugs Bunny after Elmer's gun barrel had been bent around the wrong way.
Or some other less goofy analogy.
http://www.mogulus.com/LVBPTV
I think David Wells is Gerald Wallace's lung, and Joe Torre is Andrew Bynum's right arm.
He's already the biggest loser.
Hah hah. I turned it on just in time to see Luis Maza bat.
Another unleavened at bat for Maza.
Paul Blart: Mall Cop #2
I would agree. It's more of an affectation that Spanish speaking announcers use wherever they are in the world.
Marco Scutaro sighting in Venezuela!
http://sfbay.craigslist.org/sfc/etc/1003255950.html
I call dibs on Underdog's couch!
Ugh, I just lost my appetite.
http://dodgers.scout.com/2/834671.html
I still feel like he's nothing "speical" but worth a flier anyway, never know.
Frank McCourt has taken his share of knocks, but dedication and commitment to civic involvement has been a hallmark of his ownership. The Dodgers brought two dozen top prospects to Los Angeles this month, not only for workouts, but to instill the concept that their players are expected to contribute on the field and in the community.
Martin will join the caravan next week, and so will Kemp and Loney.
Torre won't be there.
He'll be appearing on David Letterman's show, pitching a book about the Yankees.
http://www.latimes.com/sports/la-sp-shaikin-torre-book30-2009jan30,0,7925398.story
What about Andruw Jones? Has he signed with anyone since stealing $36 million?
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