Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
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4) arguing for the sake of arguing
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7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
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Matchups for today's game:
Cesar Izturis vs. Ray Durham - Durham
Hee Seop Choi vs. Omar Vizquel - Choi
J.D. Drew vs. J.T. Snow - Drew
Jeff Kent vs. Moises Alou - Even
Milton Bradley vs. Pedro Feliz - Bradley
Jose Valentin vs. Edgardo Alfonzo - Alfonzo
Ricky Ledee vs. Marquis Grissom - Even (thanks to platoon splits)
Jason Phillips vs. Mike Matheny - Phillips
Derek Lowe vs. Jason Schmidt - Schmidt
The Giants might have the edge in this game thanks to Schmidt - and in general, their pitching should be better than it was last year - but for the season, they really, really need Barry Bonds. Outsiders complain about the Dodger lineup, but J.T. Snow as your No. 3 hitter?
Unless you plan on trading Repko, which they possibly are, it seems to me that the Dodgers should be putting him in the starting spot, as they have all spring. You have a relatively clear idea about what Ledee is going to give you as a starter, so why not see how Repko performs? You can't really drop the "more seasoning required" argument because he's, what, 25?
Is this a sign that they're planning on trading Repko?
That's all.
Tomorrow's groan will be Choi sitting against Reuter.
And Choi has been batting second alot this spring. How can this be any surprise? And the fact that Izzy is batting leadoff proves without a doubt that Tracy is indeed making out the line-up card.
--------------------------------------------
Today's fact of Choi, SB's favorite player, 2005:
Last night I posted the ten most comparable players to our hero, taking into account his career has been short. But what about the most comparable players up to the age of 25? At least with that category, we get some familiar names and the most similar player to Choi is someone we all know...
Brian Hunter (984)
Wayne Belardi (974)
Sid Bream (962)
Don Mincher (961)
Gail Harris (960)
Steve Bilko (957)
Randy Bush (954)
Dick Gernert (952)
Mike Epstein (950)
Carlos Pena (949)
Hunter and Bream are the familiar names on the list for most of you, I imagine. Neither was known as an OBP machine. In fact, the average OBP of the above players is .320 while Choi, of course, has a career OBP of .356. Again, go figure...
Fifteen minutes to post. Go Blue.
I missed the Dodger introductions. How was Kent greeted? They must hate him now, with a passion. Giants fans hate the Dodgers 1000 times more than we dislike the Giants. It's a way of life for them up there. But that's probably not news to anyone here.
Go Dodgers!
I can understand the logic of starting Ledee over Repko, but if Repko plays his heart out all Spring to win a spot on the team then he should get the Opening Day start. Schmidt my be a great pitcher, but clearly Repko has demonstrated he deserves to be in the majors and let's see what he can do. It's not as if there is this great expectation that Ledee is going to pull a Dmitri Young.
It is a way for life for some Giants fans up here to dislike the Dodgers with the fiercest intensity. I can't recall how many times I've been at a game when the chant of "Beat LA" was deafening, especially in the 9th inning when the Giants are rallying. On the flip side, it just makes it more satisfying when the Dodger's win. I've never seen a Dodger-Giant game at Dodger Stadium, but on TV is seems like much more mild. Is it really that way in the Stadium or does it just seem that way?
To San Francisco, Los Angeles is a hated rival that usurped its proper place of primacy among California cities.
To Los Angeles, San Francisco is a nice place to spend a weekend.
It's still funny to me.
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v642/bacono/giants_trophy.jpg
I think that's the first time a Dodger homered in the very first AB of the season since Steve Sax in.......
1988.
Also v. the Giants, I think. The Dodgers did lose the game, however.
Can anyone confirm this?
http://mlb.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/mlb/audio/gda/index.jsp?c_id=la
2-0 after 1.5, Go Dodgers!
Yeah, the rivalry has always been more of a big deal for SF fans, but I think the short term trend is in the other direction for several reasons.
The new park up there has made the SF fan base a little more sedate in general.
Frankly, with the Giants in the race every year for the last decade, they've had bigger fish to fry than "beating LA."
With the growing frustration of rooting for the Dodgers, the rivalry games in LA have been bigger, and, in fact, meaner.
Kinda the exact opposite of the 70s and 80s.
Lowe has nice command through two IP - 27 pitches, 20 strikes. He's keeping the ball on the ground; Schmidt has allowed five fly outs (plus the HR) in three innings.
I would describe what that means but I can't, because it's intangible.
What's up with that Vizquel Double and Snow walk? I'm sweating this thing out on gamecast...
http://mlb.mlb.com/NASApp/mlb/mlb/audio/gda/index.jsp?c_id=la
Mostly because of the Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle.
And which Dodger announcer crew is being outpaced by which Angel crew? I hope you're not talking about Phys and Hud. I'd even take Rick Monday over that pair.
hey guys, it doesnt look like kfwb.com plays the game live =p
Worked this inning.
The Giants have had a female PA announcer ever since they moved to the new park. She is also the host of a morning show on a local R&B station.
Classic Vin
Comparing him to Ishii is a little strange when he's walked/hit a total of two batters, allowed about three deeply hit balls and is averaging 15 pitches an inning.
Steve Phillips insists that poor run support for a pitcher is the pitcher's fault.
There appears to be one groundout that Vizquel handled near second base.
I'm talking about the radio guys, Markus and Smith.
Just their home uniforms I believe.
And I believe that their home uniforms are cream, not white. I believe that Jeff Kent didn't like the color.
Nah, they started doing it a few years back. They saved so much money in doing so that the Giants were able to privately finance SBC Park.
1B Snow has 2.
Although I would think with Izturis, Choi, and Drew up, it should be Scott Eyre coming in.
Contact: Dodger Bats...
It's the breaking balls that are killing 'em. What they need is Jobu.
Unless that's another joke that I've missed.
I like the pitching matchups the next two days, assuming the alien inhabiting Tomko late last season has left him.
When Choi actually shows real evidence that he stinks.. including today, we have seen a total of 64 ABs with him in a Dodger uniform.
As far as Choi goes, he's gone all the way from 62 at-bats as a Dodger to 65 - after a good track record with other teams. He's 25 years old. I don't think we're at that point yet.
The Bad: The 2-3-4 opening day line. 1 for 11 with 5K.
The Ugly: "Diamond Hee Seop"? "The Boy From Choi"? "The .210 Parallel"? I can't think of a good one.
If today's hitting woes are indicative of what this lineup does vs. an elite pitcher, then my concerns (albeit farsighted) lie in the ability to go deep into the playoffs where you need to make good pitchers look bad in order to win a series and advance to the next round.
The fielding has been pretty much as expected, unfortunately.
Repeat to yourself.. they faced one of the better pitchers in the NL today. I would go so far to say that he is the best pitcher in the division (Jack Peavy might disagree).
I don't worry when a guy like Schmidt essentially shuts down the offense.
If we can get 2 ER over 7 IN from Lowe every outing then we all should be very pleased.
Even with the loss -- happy opening day, everyone.
I don't like the fact that there were never any scoring chances. I mean, other than the sac fly by Phillips, how many other opportunities were there to score (guys on second or third with less than two outs)?
I was very impressed with Lowe going into SF and throwing very well. Wunsch looked very impressive.
You figure that Drew, Kent and Bradley are going to hit, you hope that Choi will, but Valentin....
Valentin 0
Went the way I expected other then the home run by Izzy. Losing to Schimdt is nothing to be ashamed of. At least we didn't have to worry about who would blow the save:)
Not ironic at all. And that was a shot.
Major league pitchers adjust and when they do, they expose weaknesses of a hitter, i.e. poor bat speed. So numbers can be skewed when there's a small sample and they reflect the relative newness of a player.
By the way, I'm not judging him from his at-bats as a Dodger. I wasn't impressed before he was on the team. Facts about Choi's "strong" numbers:
Nine of his 15 home runs in 2004 came in April.
In his first two seasons (i.e. not with Dodgers), he struck out one-third of the time.
Last year he struck out 96 times in 343 at-bats.
Look, do you think I don't want the guy to succeed? I would love him to hit 30 homers and knock in 80-100 RBI. Based on what I've seen of him, as a Dodger and before, that's not going to happen. He's Kevin Maas.
I will admit this: I didn't watch today's game, nor did I listen to it on the radio. I just watched the Gamecast. But someone answer me this about Choi's strikeouts: were they on fastballs, in on the hands? Was his fly-out was on a pitch up and in, right? If not then I take it back and I'll give him a chance.
Nady doesn't project to hit that many because his 2 came at Coors field, and it would be foolish to make a full season's projections based on 1 game at Coors...
Kent is on pace to steal 162 bases! Who said he was too old?
:)
Keep in mind that it may take a little adjustment for this bunch to get comfortable with each other, but I'm encouraged by D-Lowe's outing, and know that the hitting will come - potentially sooner rather than later, with Tomko and Reuter on tap. That being said, I'd expect Nakamura to get a look in late April/early May if Valentin struggles.
Stay level - 161 more games to go!
But you have to admit something's odd. You said in your earlier statement: "I mean, do you guys even watch him at the plate? His bat looks so slow I can actual read the label on it." And now you say, "I will admit this: I didn't watch today's game."
So again, I think there is irony because you're reaction seems exactly the kind of overreaction you began your comment by advising us against. Choi has less of a track record to be judged with than any of the other players you mentioned.
Pitchers may have adjusted to Choi, but I don't know how you can be sure at this point that Choi can't adjust back.
isn't he thinking about voiding his minor league contract?
http://6-4-2.blogspot.com/2005/04/nakamura-may-void-his-contract.html
--ev
While I was very disappointed with the "D" today, people have to realize that last year's defensive team, if still intact, likely wouldn't have been able to repeat in 2005 what they did last year! They almost set an all-time record for least errors, for Pete's sake. There's this thing called regression to the mean.
It's too early to go overboard and predict doom and gloom. (However, as I listen to post-game Dodger Talk, 90% of the callers are. How shocking.)
DePodesta has said that he will evaluate the team and make necessary changes. I think he will. If JosE ValEntin is not the answer, Nakamura could be it. I don't think it will take until August for them to make changes.
We don't know what will happen. They looked even worse on OD last year.
--ev
BTW - What is all this nonsense about Choi's "bat speed"? What exactly is the speed at which he swings his bat? What is the speed at which others swing their bat? Can someone give me some evidence that Choi has a "slow" bat and that this trait is predictive of Choi's level of success?
Lastly, kudos to Derek Lowe for pitching a nice game - a fact that I have no doubt will go unnoticed by the anti-DePo-cats-and-dogs-living-together-sky-is-falling crowd that, for some reason, is hoping for the Dodgers to fail...
I'm ready for Nakamura--Valentin looked like a little leaguer when preparing to field his groundballs today. He should be relegated to a pinch hit role if we cannot get rid fo him somehow. I mean, we can't be worried about too much of an average dropoff, right? I'm ready for The Gold Gloved, high stepping man from Japan
... where apparently, Choi was quite the topic of conversation in the postgame.
Rueter makes lefties knees buckle. Usually because they're laughing at his ears.
I don't think they will wait very long for Valentin or Choi if they start racking up losses against the division rivals and start to fall behind quickly.
Yes, things could change later. But I doubt any major changes would happen before Werth, Penny and Gagne are all healthy again. Unless it turns out that one of them won't come back.
He was asked if players should be able to choose their own music before they come up to hit.
He said, "No, I don't get to pick which ball players I want to see come up to bat."
Jose Valentin
Wow, when did THAT happen! Other discoveries by Valentin; The earth is round; Porn Star mustaches have been out of fashion for 20 years;
"There was also no question that Izturis and Cora would have made the play"
Bill Plaschke
You mean the same Alex Cora who can't crack the starting lineup of the Cleveland Indians?
"Bradley made a dive for a ball in center field that Steve Finley would have caught..."
T.J. Simers
You mean the same Steve Finley that you ripped all last summer as a creaky old man?
"This is about the best organization in town, name the sport."
Tim Brown's love letter to Arte
Is Anaheim in LA?, Is Jared Weaver in Anaheim?, And what would the press reaction in LA be if the Dodgers got rid of their All Star thirdbaseman, top reliever, a starting infielder and "heart and soul"?
Kent, is a very good 2B, people are nuts to be critizing him this early. The man has a canon of an arm, too.
I liked the aggressive early at-bats, Schmidt adjusted well (like what do you expect) (see also Santana).
Does everyone think Nakamura can hit right away? I didn't get to see him, but our prior experience suggests he will have big period of adjustment.
I'm still pulling for them
I expect more changes to the standings in coming days. That's a promise!
Eh. But those are old observations. That late-inning defense made me sad.
We were told that the defense didn't take that big of a hit from Valentin. The "stats" said that Valentin was one of the best defensive SS in the American league. In fact, the "stats" said he was better than Izzie.
The "stats" also told us that the hitting would be more powerful and we would score more runs.
Yet, the error that allowed the winning run to score was committed by Valentin and our 2-6 batters went 2-18 with 8 strike outs.
Admittedly, this was only the first game and anything could happen in the next 161 games. But, when the defeat was so predictable, it is hard to gain any solace from that thought.
But is there a good manner to lose in? Should the Dodgers have hit 5 home runs only to be outslugged by the Giants?
It seems that a lot of people have a certain expectation of how well or how poorly the team will do and then fit their interpretation of Game 1 of 162 to adjust to that viewpoint.
i simply don't understand how anyone in their right mind can still be talking and whining about alex-freaking-cora (alexcora!) when his replacement is JEFF KENT. i don't care if jeff kent is the worst defender in the league, as long as he can still hit. and the fact is, kent is NOT the worst defender in the league; he's actually a pretty good second baseman. even alex cora himself, who is a pretty smart guy from what i hear, if HE were in charge of the dodgers, would've picked up jeff kent and let himself go if he had the opportunity, because it is a clear, unequivocal upgrade.
Jose Valentin
Actually, I was going to make that point. I remember from my days of playing 1st base (not at a high level), the best way to field a ground ball up the line was to back-hand it.
Again, I'm no expert, but if you square up to field the ball up the line, you have the base, the line, and the ball in your field of vision.
Yeah, were the fans and talking-heads in Boston getting ready to jump off a bridge on Sunday night because the Sox only managed 1 run against Randy Johnson?
The Sox also made a couple of errors that night...
According to him, no one was surprised that Valentin made a decisive error that led to the Dodger loss.
If the infield is indeed in shambles in a month or two from now, I will be the first to say it. Anyone who uses one error to base his assesment on the infield defense is an idiot (sorry, didn't want to get all MGL on him).
Apparently, the 3 hitless at-bats by Choi also show that he has a slow bat.
No hitting and errors.
If the Dodgers got a few hits and committed no errors and still lost, that wouldn't have been disturbing.
The fact that the Dodger heart of the lineup did almost nothing is disturbing.
When I heard on the radio that Valentin committed an error and allowed a run to score, my first thought was "wow, who could have seen that? Oh, yeah. I did."
Utterly predictable and utterly disappointing.
tommy: i know you're not a fan of the dodgers' offseason moves. we all do. and yes, if all 162 go the way yesterday's did, then you'll certainly have something to crow about. but do us a favor: if you're going to crow after one game that seems to confirm your fears, will you also come in and eat your hat after every game the dodgers win? will you write "derek lowe was an upgrade over jose lima" when derek low pitches a fine game the day after the beloved lima gets rocked? if brad penny comes back and pitches the way many of us hope he will, will you say "gee, paul depodesta has really improved this staff" every time he wins a ballgame? i'll concede that the whole exercise will become tiresome pretty quickly, but really, fair is fair.
jon: i notice that, despite the opening of the season, you're posting less frequently than in the past. i'm surmising that your non-Dodger Thoughts life is busy these days. is it fair to assume that you're running lacma now that rich is stepping aside?
Face facts, errors are part of the game. Beltre made errors also, he'll even make them in Seattle.
I think this is called "irony", but I don't think it should be an indication of things to come, merely one of 162.
I mean, if you wouldn't have beeen bugged if they played flawless defense and still didn't hit, I don't understand why the hitting mattered.
But let's not walk on eggshells. These guys need to get out and play, and not worry about the media or expectations.
Field that ball Valentin! Work that count Choi!
Geez, I think we all need to get a grip here people! Oh, I forgot that the LAT writers and ESPN desk jockeys don't read Jon's site... aawwww, they'd just be remarking how the Dodgers would be 37 - 17 with Cora and Beltre.
plashke, on the other hand, is a broken record. i'm curious -- does anyone know how he received the trade for finley last year? because he (among many others) seems to have gotten awfully attached to the guy in a few months.
lowlydodgerfan:
"If the Dodgers got a few hits and committed no errors and still lost, that wouldn't have been disturbing."
they did get a few hits. errors happen any time, so why does an opening day error matter more than a random game in the middle of june? in fact, it should matter less because people are still working out jitters and rust, and valentin for one is still adjusting to third base.
"The fact that the Dodger heart of the lineup did almost nothing is disturbing."
again, one game shouldn't be disturbing to anyone, because one game is NOT a trend, it's an isolated incident. oliver perez got hammered the other day, smoltz got rocked yesterday... johan santana gave up 4 runs in the first inning last night.. is that disturbing? no. is it indicative of any of those guys' abilities? no. it happens. the heart of a lineup can go hitless facing a good pitcher or even a lousy one on any particular day. it happens. it happened to the red sox on their opening day, and nobody is questioning whether they're a good team or not. now if it happens for a whole month straight, then THAT would be disturbing. but try not to draw too many conclusions from one game.
I agree that Beltre made errors. Last year, he made 10. Valentin made 20 last year. And for a better comparison, Izturis made 10 last year.
I agree that this is only the first game and the Dodgers lost the opener last year. Right now, though, I'm not comforted by that fact.
Last year's team had Hideo Nomo as its Opening Day starter. If you don't look at the overall squad, you're missing the forest for the trees.
Does your thinking work the other way? If Kent wins a game with a day at the plate of which Cora can only dream, will you give credit to that upgrade?
Jon: "good track record" - if the record was, indeed, good, and I can borrow the other part of your petard ("only 25"), why did these two not-exactly-bottom-of-the-barrel franchises
(especially the Marlins, with their eye for young talent) both in need at the position and from the left side of the plate, let him go?
Apparently, "good" wasn't nearly good enough, and 25 wasn't nearly young and promising enough, which leads me to the disappointed Nolan, and the fact that watchers of baseball (not watchers of two-dimensional, highly suspect abstractions of baseball) have failed to describe the complex process of attacking a blazing and darting round object with a thin wooden stick at the precise milli-second necessary so badly that he is moved to dismiss our decades-honored terminology as "nonsense," thereby either describing our collective and age-old deficiencies or, just possibly, his paper-blind, not very-old-at-all own.
David Ross, likeable as he was for so many of the uninitiates to actual witness of the game, (one of the passionate young wrote here a few weeks weeks ago "I guess we were all delusional about David Ross" -nope, only the Lovers of Two Dimensions were - many of us who pay homage to live ball and what even relative novices can learn by so doing noted time after time he did not have major-league reflexes to propel his bat into optimum hitting position enough to save himself a place at which the young GM had the Flock starving) was bound to be gone. Master Choi seems to suffer (to what extent, I will agree, not as yet definitively determined) the same disease, and has been witnessed by one of the "codgers" at least enough that he could eerily describe his at-bats (Sam in NYC, on the money) without having seen them.
Re; Valentin. A few months ago, in descibing the GM's reactionary move to acquire Valentin, and having seen the player over the years while living in the Midwest, I offered that he was part of some consistently disappointing White Sox teams, and that he never stood out, especially with the money on the table, as a "money" player in the old-fashioned sense, never played against that disappointing grain. I was immediately challenged (and faced the challenge with the yawn it deserved) to provide the stats. In place of stats, I offer you Lovers of the Two-dimensional yesterday's critical three-dimensional boot, with more surely to come. And, as sauce, the after-game comment I saw quoted in the LA News, to the effect that maybe fewer balls will find him in critical situations at third from now on. Wow!!!! (Do typical moneyball guys want the ball hit elsewhere?)
Re: Kent at second on the failed dp - my eyes tell me Izturis more than Kent, if indeed there was fault to be found.
Bradley: Still, from the left side, curiously passive with the bat and still curiously unfinished in the field. Still at the top of my Most Over-rated Dodgers list. I agree he looks like he has the tools. His fairly consistent failure to even begin to optimize them (like Ross, he's not a baseball kid anymore) would have me tearless should he go. And his crack about learning so much while in jail (something to the effect that even more conspirators than he previously understood were responsible for his being there, NOT to include the only conspirator who, in most human dilemmas, counts) almost begs for a return to bad-boy boondogglery.
(Concrete: the missed catch in the eighth(?) and pitchers throwing him batting-practice fastballs on hitter's counts (4th inning, I think, 1-0 count; and, again, at 2-1, though that pitch was only eminently hittable, while the 1-0 was crushable).
This team has serious architectural flaws everywhere you look; the choice to dismantle a dazzling, reliable defense (what a surprise it just happened to appear in a playoff year)
was highly risky - and I don't foresee the rewards in other parts of the design that the young draftsman apparently does. That so many of those flaws revealed themselves in the opener is only ironic. The skepticism, while premature in some ways, will prove to be sound. That's why I ain't givin' much energy to this year's addition the rest of the way. Would be glad, as Sam in NYC would about Choi, to be proven wrong. Hell, I was wrong last year (and Jeremy was right!)
And even if it comes true, I guarantee I couldn't make enough money off future predictions to buy lunch for a week, let alone pay off my mortgage! :-)
Still, Perez is probably not overly inspired by the defensive work.
I'm ready to go for 300 posts.
I mean the Dodgers will crush the gnats.
I don't think I could stand in and get plunked in the butt by a Lowe changeup, let alone a good fastball. Was it Boone that got plunked by Santana? Ouch.
What's the point of making the batting order the criterion for the matchups? Wouldn't it be better to make the matchups by position and consider the overall performance (read: include defense) of players? Clearly, nine out of ten times Matheny's defense will have a larger impact than Phillip's offense no matter where they bat.
As a side point, I'm not clear on why Matheny's defense will be more important than Phillips' offense 90 percent of the time.
I'd argue the defense was even better in '03 - but tell me what that team won, Mr. Bojangles.
Cannon of an arm, to the point he once pitched. Reliable glove.
I just hope the board doesn't start fitting his notion of acceptable post length.
I'd hate to see where that leaves Rogers Hornsby.
Sammy "Say It Ain't" Sosa also comes to mind, and that's not even counting his recent trade to Baltimore (#3).
Of course, no one ever accused the Rangers and White Sox of knowing what they were doing.
My own thoughts are that last year's team went as far as their talent could take them. Is there anyone out there who believes Beltre, Finley, Cora, and Lima will have better seasons ahead than they did last year? At least this year's team has the potential to go farther in the play-offs. Just on starting pitching alone. Didn't Elmer freakin' Dessens start a post season game for the Dodgers last year?
As for Matheny and Phillips, I simply mean that Matheny's handling of the staff and ability to throw out runners/control the opponents running game will have a larger impact on the outcome of most games, than will Phillips' offense. Someone posted before that defense was irrelevant. I think that's a ridiculous notion. I think defense is often underrated by the general fan.
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