Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
It's lunchtime in Los Angeles, and 10 games are in progress - 12 once the Angels and Indians get underway at 1:05. Fun for all you desk or sports bar jockeys (though sometimes I'm very disappointed at how far some restaurants will go to avoid showing a baseball game on their hovering television set).
The 5:10 p.m. start for the Dodgers and Cardinals actually represents the final game on today's schedule.
* * *
For those who wish to harken back to a day when pitchers were pitchers and cars were horses, check out these strikeout numbers in the Times - exceptional even for girls' softball:
Kirsten Slouber of Van Nuys Montclair Prep struck out seven in four innings Monday, giving her 47 strikeouts in a 21-inning, 2-1 softball victory over visiting Santa Monica Crossroads.
It was a continuation of an Alpha League game that had been suspended May 3 because of darkness.
Slouber's total was third-best in Southern Section history, trailing only De De Weiman of Cerritos Gahr and Lisa Fernandez of Lakewood St. Joseph, who had 56 and 48, respectively, in a 1986 game that lasted 29 innings.
vr
Xeifrank
May 11, 1908
Shortstop Phil Lewis hit his only home run of the season in the 6th inning in St. Louis to lead Brooklyn to a 2-1 win over the Cardinals. The home run came off of Cardinal starter Bugs Raymond, whose career was short-circuited by alcoholism. Raymond was relieved in the game by the aptly named Johnny Lush.
The 1908 Dodgers were led by first baseman Tim Jordan who led the majors in home runs with 12. No Dodger would repeat that feat until Adrian Beltre in 2004. The Dodgers led all NL teams in home runs in 1908 with 28.
But other than Jordan, the 1908 Dodgers were a pretty miserable bunch. They finished the season 53-101, 46 games behind the eventual World Series champion Chicago Cubs. The Cardinals were even worse, finishing four games behind the Dodgers. Brooklyn finished with the lowest team batting average of any National League team in the 20th Century at .213. Jordan had the highest batting average of all players at .247. They were not last in runs scored, finishing with 6 more runs than the Cardinals with 277 runs. The 1908 Brooklyn teams had only one game when it scored more than 10 runs.
For comparison, the weak hitting 2003 Dodgers team scored 574 runs and had four games of more than 10 runs. The 2005 Dodgers have scored 172 runs in their first 32 games, which would put them on pace for about 871 runs.
Brooklyn used just 8 pitchers in 1908, one of them a 19-year old named Pembroke Finlayson who gave up 5 runs in 1/3 of an inning for an ERA of 135.00. Finlayson would pitch in one game in 1909 for seven innings and gave up four runs and finished his major league career with an 11.05 ERA. On March 6, 1912, Finlayson would pass away in Brooklyn from peritonitis at the age of 22. Newspaper reports speculated that Finlayson hurt himself in the minor leagues in the 1911 season and never fully recovered.
Brooklyn did get some solid pitching from Rucker and Irvin "Kaiser" Wilhelm. Wilhelm finished with a 1.87 ERA but a record of 16-22. Manager Patsy Donovan finished his 3-year stint with the Dodgers in 1908 with an overall record of 184-270, a .405 winning percentage
Thanks to the New York Times, BaseballReference.com and Retrosheet
Somewhere a chair just hit a wall.
Two days in a row!
Power: theoretical edge to Grabbo despite Repko's 4 HRs to date, because he's big.
Speed: Repko
Defense: Repko
Bench value: probably Repko. Grabbo is LH and Repko RH although Repko makes a better defensive replacement or pinch runner. Given how few RH bats we have on the bench right now, I'd rather have Repko as a pinch-hitter.
AVG/OBP/SLG -
Grabbo: .138/.257/.241 in 29 ABs
Repko: .200/.294/.417 in 60 ABs
Also, Grabbo is a more known quantity - it is unlikely that he'll so much different than a .200/.280/.350 line given 100 or so at-bats. Repko likely won't be a star, but is young enough to have a better upside this season. Plus I love watching him almost throw guys out at home on fly balls to the wanring track.
Can anyone list reasons they'd prefer Grabowski to Repko this season as a 5th OF?
http://www.islandair.com/
and here's the news story:
http://starbulletin.com/2005/05/11/business/story1.html
The Dodgers are averaging 5.4 runs/game to lead the NL but are the only team in the majors that has yet to score exactly 5 runs in a game.
Dodgers OBP/SLG allowed:
2005 .325/.407
2004 .323/.408 (full year)
Isn't everyone enthralled by my plight? More interesting than silly-old baseball, isn't it?
The shovel broke the earth when Robles stood there like a deer in the headlights while Bradley rounded 3rd and was coming home in the top of the 4th. It was Robles' job to inform Bradley whether he needed to slide or come in standing up. Robles did neither, so Bradley came in standing up and was very fortunate to knock the ball out of the catcher's glove with his knee.
The excavation continued when Robles didn't get out of the way so Ledee could field the pop-up that Erickson griped about. This extended the inning and considering how bad Erickson sucks, the Cards rallied.
Robles doesn't seem to have enough fundamentals to play at the major league level. Bring on Antonio Perez!
Isn't Grabo an emergency catcher.
Also I got a question. Does anyone know why it's taken Edwards so long to rise through the minors. In eight of nine years he's hit very well, yet they've always taken their time moving him up.
Hey, I guess the ? on my keyboard works. :)
That's obviously no great shakes, so my basic case comes down to this: In 7 years in the minors, Grabowski's put up a 290/392/478 line, while Repko's put up 268/320/422. Repko's younger, it's true, but they have a similar number of ABs.
Last year, as a starter, Grabowski's OPS was 778, which is pretty good for a reserve outfielder and about what you'd expect given his minor league numbers (and also better than Repko's minor league numbers).
Repko's numbers look good based solely on his first 7 games, during which he was fantastic. Since then, however, he's 1 for 34 with one walk, for a 118/143/235 line.
Grabowski's not of much use long term, but he's serviceable given a few starts, while nothing about Repko's history suggests he's even close to an average major leaguer right now.
Master of the obvious Steve Phillips noted that Beltre doesn't look like the same player as he did in 2004. Wow, with those powers of observation, no wonder ESPN snapped him up.
As for Robles, there is no such thing as "a big hole" after one game in May; the Dodgers are going to give him more than four at bats to justify the six figures they spent to buy his contract from the Mexican League.
In the Fall, I'll be going back to school for a Masters' in Operations Research (i.e. data analysis). I'm very excited, because I found a professor who is going to work with me on a baseball thesis :).
I'm spending the summer trying to read everything I can Sabermetrics. So far, I've been focusing on books and academic papers, but I'm about to start into websites. My current list of sites to review is Baseball Think Factory, The Hardball Times, Tango on Baseball, and Baseball Prospectus. Are there any good websites that I'm missing?
Also, has anyone been to a SABR convention before? There's one in August in Toronto that I'm considering going to, and I wanted to know if it's worth the effort.
I hope that as I get into this, I'll be able to start posting interesting results. Thanks for the help!
FB, meet Bob Timmerman.
The Giants have hit 5 Grand Slams.
Tha Giants are hitting .424 with the bases loaded.
No other team has more than 2 slams.
Giants relievers, despite a 4.81 ERA, have a 8-4 record.
I'm no closer to understanding why the Giants aren't 5 games under right now than when I started, other than to say it appears they've been lucky?
The conventions are fun, although if it's your first time, you may be a bit overwhelmed depending upon your personality. All those people's names you see on books are usually there. You can learn how big Bill James is (big, really big.) You can meet John Thorn. Sometimes you can meet Eric Enders.
The best parts of the convention I've found are:
1) hanging out and talking baseball with people at all hours of the day
2) not being afraid to explain your love of Sally League baseball (just an example, that's not me)
3) some interesting research presentations
4) if you're lucky, a good keynote speaker. Last year's was Marvin Miller, who was both cheered and booed. Occasionally, the speaker is a dud (I'm looking at you Jim Evans!).
Don't go to a SABR convention looking for a lot of LA Dodger fans. There are usually 5-6 tops. Dave Smith, who founded Retrosheet, is one of them. You will find lots of BROOKLYN Dodger fans. Don't bring up Walter O'Malley around them. They get angry.
I posted this question at the end of last night's monster thread:
Did you get my e-mail from the other day?
I believe the next chapter outing is going to a game involving the Fullerton team in the new minor league they started.
We've attended games in San Bernardino, Lancaster, and Long Beach. The Angels let us use a meeting room two weeks ago.
The Dodgers are a tough nut to crack. We almost got a meeting room in the stadium when we found out that Dan Evans was a member. Evans volunteered the space.
Then he got fired.
Billy Beane once said he wouldn't go to a SABR convention because he would feel too much like Leonard Nimoy going to a Star Trek convention. I would say that SABR people are half numbers people and half historians. Usually there are two research presentations given simultaneously. One will be statistical and the other historical/biographical.
Just three pitchers for the Giants today.
Then to make me feel really dumb, three pitches later he homers.
There's irony in there somewhere.
I gather these societies were formed to ensure that members are sufficiently nourished to keep on marching.
There is a Galileo Marching and Chowder Society, dedicated to astronomy. They have a library, but I doubt they allow anyone to eat chowder while they're in there. The General Miles Marching and Chowder Society is a group of military historians "with a deep interest in the lives of the enlisted infantrymen of the regular army in the west, 1867-1890." You might need to put some Red Bull in my chowder at those meetings. The Caloosahatchee Marching and Chowder Society sounds like a more fun bunch. They hang out at Salty Sam's Marina in southwest Florida, and race sailboats.
Vin Scully is under the impression there is a Marching and Chowder society formed for every major league player. I wouldn't have believed it until I started reading Dodger Thoughts. Certainly, there are members of the Hee Seop Choi Marching and Chowder Society posting here, not to mention the Paul DePodesta Marching and Chowder Society. And clearly all of us are members of the Jon Weisman Marching and Chowder Society, which come to think of it might be a good T Shirt logo.
I think I've lost my mind.
For some reason, I have a feeling that the seven inning bet is going to yield a push tonight. Either way, I don't plan on predicting any three-run homers.
Scareduck-
Read #24 again. Every team has scored exactly 5 runs in a game EXCEPT the Dodgers.
Bob T and Fearing Blue, you are talking about imaginary numbers. I have no idea what you guys are talking about. Hell, I am just starting to get my mind around why Choi works.
(I know Miso is Japanese, but it's the best my uncultured person can do at the moment.)
only I was going to say Marching and Shabu Shabu Society. Anyway, I'm in.
First order of business, somehow get Dodger commenters to stop talking about Choi as though Tim Wallach were walking up to the plate and holding the bat for him. I'm sure Wallach's done great work, as he did with Beltre last year, but give the player some credit.
Is there anyone here who is really good at math. I stopped off after two quarters of calculus at UCLA and another quarter of statistics.
Or Bucs win!
Goldarnitall, Icaros, you stole my joke-only I was going to say Marching and Shabu Shabu Society.
Sorry.
First order of business, somehow get Dodger commenters to stop talking about Choi as though Tim Wallach were walking up to the plate and holding the bat for him.
I assume you're speaking more specifically of Dodger Talk commentors, to which I would wholeheartedly agree.
Actually, I was talking about Kevin Kennedy, for the most part. I should have said "commentators," not "commenters."
Rick White was a non-roster invitee last year, but was traded to Detroit for Cody Ross. Who says there's no such thing as a free lunch?
Heck, us SABR-minded folk don't even like irrational numbers all that much. Imaginary numbers are a whole 'nother thing.
I was always good at math, but I hated taking the grad-level courses. Too much how and not enough why. I guess I'm a bit too literal for advanced calculus.
I shuffled off to my history major after that.
So anyone want to discuss the Spanish encomienda system during the early colonial period?
They can start with Vlad Guerrero.
Now your just messin with me. . .
Was Chile justified in taking away Bolivia's seaport of Arica as a result of the War of the Pacific?
Ah, the politics of bird poop.
I don't know. It depends on whether or not Bolivia had habitually let Arica pitch in middle-inning situations where it should have gone to the bullpen, resulting in a lot of blown leads. In that case, Chile was more than justified for taking the seaport away from Bolivia, for its own good.
Icaros,
my instant recall is not what it should be...
You're right about Colyer, of course. Since being wrong is just about the least favorite thing in the world, I have to issue errata
25-Apr-04: Los Angeles Dodgers traded Rick White to the Cleveland Indians for Trey Dyson.
Incidentally, Trey is currently still kicking around VB, and not showing a whole lot of promise.
Don't ask where I found it. I should really be doing something more productive.
When's the last time anyone at Customer Service made you happy?
Sort of like the Dodgers thinking Scott Erickson's 1990 form will return.
Interesting postulate, but this is not the case. Bolivia's Navy actually floats and functions as a Peruvian/Bolivian border-control entity on Lake Titicaca. I've seen them do it.
Fun Fact: Uganda has a Marine Unit that functions in much the same respect, but no official Navy, per se.
Strangely enough, this is much like what the Dodgers expect from Scotty.
Hey Jon - this is all Bob T's fault.
Always like to have some sort of baseball/sports related programming project going on. Prefer the simplicity of C and Visual Basic. Past projects have been draft software programs for both fantasy baseball and football. Current project is developing a baseball game simulator that runs through all permutations of a starting lineup to come up with the most efficient batting order. Just need to implement G/F ratio stats into the simulator for outs made, then it's almost ready to go.
vr
Xeifrank
Over/Under on Brad Penny's innings pitched in tonights game is 7.
Last nights Over/Under on Erickson was 4 1/3 which he beat by one third of an inning.
vr
Xeifrank
¡Árica!
¡Árica!
¡Árica!
¡Árica!
¡Árica!
¡Árica!
¡Árica!
Bob,
Where else did you expect to find urbane and socially aware discussion?
If you insist upon bringing up tangential subjects, you really shouldn't be suprised when I unload a nugget of usless data I've compiled on the topic. You may infer from this that it happens quite frequently.
Thanks to Jon for putting together such a great blog, which I am so glad I have stubbled upon. And thanks to all the posters here, who all contribute alot to this forum. I've learned alot and hope to learn much more, plus everyone is very friendly, which is hard to find in an online forum these days.
vr
Xeifrank
I don't know if this is a good thing or a bad thing.
é ALT+0233
í ALT+0237
ó ALT+0243
I now fully expect half of tonight's pósts to cøntain ASCII chäracters with unnecessary açcent marks.
Pittsburgh has played 14 games vs. the NL-W, but division-mate Houston has 0 games so far against the West. Washington has 11 games vs. the NL-W, but the Mets zero. And so on. Weird scheduling. So in addition to the small sample sizes so far (which have passed 100 ABs for regulars at this point), we also have had pretty unbalanced schedules, even within divisions. A little premature to draw any conclusions about most teams. Well, except for KC and Colorado. They stink.
The DBacks have the bases loaded with 1 out and Alex Cintron up.
Someone had to say it...
I hereby confer the Junior High School Geography Achievement Award to LAT.
And yes, this is, in fact, the booby-prize.
Mr. C
To think, I had survived without Umlauts for so long...
Milan English Daily - May 10, 2005
(Milan) - The Los Angeles Dodgers have come to agreement with Italian third baseman Fabio Anchovio, making him the first player to make the move from the Italian baseball league to the majors. The Dodgers are believed to have outbid the Chicago White Sox, Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers for the slick fielding, power hitting third baseman. Anchovio in five years for BC Milano hit 198 home runs, stole 158 bases and hit over .350 four times. Anchovio is expected to have an immediate impact on his new team, and will appear in a Dodger uniform for the first time during the upcoming homestand.
The move came as a surprise. Anchovio was let out of his contract with BC Milano, after the Dodgers paid his former club $5 million in cash. Former Dodger manager Tommy Lasorda helped negotiate the deal and made many trips over to Italy during the offseason to talk to Anchovio and Italian baseball officials. "This guy can flat out play", said a gleeful Lasorda. "It's not often that a player of this magnitude comes around, power, speed, fielding and best of all he's Italian."
The signing will fill the Dodgers biggest hole, left vacant with the departure of Adrian Beltre and an injury to Jose Valentin. Manager Jim Tracy hinted that Anchovio would bat third in the lineup, with second baseman Jeff Kent offering protection to the Italian slugger.
... and from: The Fantasy House:
Fantasy Spin: Today the Dodgers signed Italian infielder Fabio Anchovio. Anchovio is the Italian version of Alex Rodriguez. While it will take him some time to make the adjustment to big league pitching, you should make every opportunity to pick Anchovio up. It's not often that a five tool third baseman just comes out of the woodwork.
1-1 in the 6th.
The Italian A-Rod! The Big Anchovy! Fabio! Is this for real?
You should have named him Fabio Anchoveta. Would have been a much cleaner follow up to the Latin American history discussion.
2) Bob, and like-minded persons. How strongly do you feel about sab*e*rmetrics" versus sabr*e*metrics? Doesn't the former just seem plainly wrong, in light of its origins? Are these the kind of hard-hitting issues you discuss at the conventions?
https://dodgerthoughts.baseballtoaster.com/archives/010712.html
Well done.
If you come to a convention, you can join the long and somewhat pointless argument about changing the name of the organization too.
Methinks not...
:)
I say this because yesterday's record setter made for some very fine reading.
---------------------------------------------
TODAY'S FACT OF CHOI, SB'S FAVORITE PLAYER, 2005:
Unbelievable. I spend perhaps too many hours tracking down a Korean sports reporter, I finally get a response, he gives me some good stuff to write about re: our hero... and the reporter says he doesn't want to be identified! Said reporter did not say why. It bugs me.
Of the three Korean MLB'ers who are getting the most ink--Seo, Kim and Choi--Choi is unanimously thought to have the best mental make-up for success in the MLB (reporter's emphasis).
According to the reporter, Kim is the "nicest" of the three--deferential, respectful, kind almost to a fault--who also has the biggest potential to explode. Loyal readers of "fact of Choi" know this. Seo is apparently unafraid to express his opinion no matter what the situation. According to the reporter, Seo's favorite english word is "thatsucks". My source went on to say that Seo was thought to be candidate number one to be involved in a bench-clearing brawl and he's thought to be a heckuva nice guy, too.
Then there's our hero. Choi Hee-seop is, according to my source, the most autonomous of the three and perhaps paradoxically, the one with the most genuine sense of humor. If Choi plays badly, he works hard to make himself better. If he plays well, he works hard to make himself stay that way. In between, the guy likes to have good-natured fun.
An example of this is interviews. Kim just barely tolerated the Korean press contingent that followed him everywhere during his heyday in Arizona. He was nice and devoid of controversy but if something ticked off Kim, he would explode (and in Korean baseball parlance, to "explode" is to get angry in public). Seo is the opposite--prone to raise eyebrows with a colorful quote and then regretting he ever said it. Like Kim, he's not wild about the Korean press following him everywhere.
Choi is apparently very comfortable with the press. The way my source tells it, Choi had the attitude that he could only control his own actions and worrying about what someone was writing about was a waste of time (Choi did not use those words--reporter's observation only). Remember the "Kung-Fu Fighting" thing? Choi was genuinely not bothered by it. Not because it wasn't insulting; he just didn't notice because he was trying to hit a baseball.
It would be interesting to explore some of this with Choi one-on-one but...
a) Choi doesn't have a lot of detail in his answers to questions and...
b) Choi is thought to be a very dull interview and that is emphatically not a criticism as far as the Korean press is concerned.
FOOTNOTE: I haven't heard back from the Dodgers regarding a press pass. I'm following up tomorrow and hope to get him sometime during the upcoming homestand.
The fake news stuff is great. I'm a fan of the genre, having worked for a satirical news publication in college.
bee bim boppers
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v191/ninsinner/dodgerstranslated.gif
Korean cartoon of the LA Dodgers. This cartoonist made one for each team. This image shows the captions translated to english. Milton Bradley is imploding in all the cells.
vr
Xeifrank
Yeah, that Tony Blanco.
I will display my Jr. High honor proudly. Its stupid stuff like that which keeps me crackin myself up.
Roger Cedeno will make 5.875 million dollars for the 2005 season.
Keep it going, Choi.
http://www.rotojunkie.com/forums/printthread.php?t=39038
Xeifrank, did you intend your post as a joke?
Go Dodgers!
Penny Over/Under: 7 innings.
vr
Xeifrank
vr
Xeifrank
Reason: High pitch count.
Dodger win expectancy up to 56.2% now.
vr
Xeifrank
I hate the unwritten rule in scoring that if a player doesn't touch the ball, then it's not an error.
Guess what? Buckner didn't touch Mookie's grounder.
Az 2
Olneys for everyone!
On gamecast; should that have been a DP?
Only a fleshwound. Now for more runs!
I believe it was the Mets (and Mr. Steve Phillips) that gave Cedeno more money than he ever deserved.
Lol, ok, Saenz reached on an IF single? Someone will HAVE to give us the breakdown on that one.
He was still arb eligible when he was with Houston (and he was in the Mike Hampton deal).
This is, of course, unless we're facing a lefty, in which he'd play first
"Eckstein took two steps and dove, but couldn't get to the ground quick enough."
Considering Eckstein is practically starting from ground level on every play anyway, it was amusing to me.
SB: 689
CS: 162
By the old math, that's an 81% success rate. Maybe he's just modest and doesn't realize that most players aren't as good as he was. Or maybe he's a moron.
Is it too late to take the under?
Didn't it look like Walker was going to get that?
yes, still down
Choi keeps it going
I prefer to think that. looked like 2nd inning was faster
Is it me or have the Dodgers done a great job of taking extra bases on throws this year? Just something that I seem to read on gamecast almost every game.
Looks like it'll come down to the bullpen again, Houlton might get a big chance tonight.
sounds about right
that's what I thought, Jon. that is why I was worried when I saw 87-88. maybe they corrected it too much
and Izzy is a STUD!!!!!
Also, the defense hasn't exactly been spectacular.
Great. Phillips singles after a DP.
The initial high tide of favorable city council sentiment towards Angels owner Arte Moreno continued to recede yesterday, uncovering the littoral odors of economic cost-benefit concerns for local government investments in construction and leases of major league stadiums.
Moreno's name change is way of him trying to stake out a claim to the LA/Orange County littoral.
The Jim Police make other moves in his stead
&c.
"After all, they [pitchers] could hit in high school. So why can't they hit now?"
Considering most hitters drafted out of high school for their sweet swings can't hit even AA or AAA pitching, I don't expect anything more of the pitchers.
Ask Joe Thurston and Jason Romano about how much harder it is to hit in the bigs than in high school.
Saenz gets out of Izturis' way on that one. Good strategy.
(secretly wishing that somehow Izturis and Choi can go 3 for 3)
LaRussa trying to run himself out of another inning.
Still, I don't think you should walk Pujols.. he still gets out 68% of the time...
I dunno. He's not working as quickly as usual. He's missing his spots. He's throwing a lot of off-speed pitches. I just think it's not his night. Hopefully it's nothing worse than a bad hair day.
Well, there ya go, alex 7. Two 3-3s, as you requested.
[shot of LaRussa giving signs]
Steiner: "LaRussa giving some signs in the dugout."
[Suppan makes a pickoff throw to first]
Steiner: "He was probably signing for a pickoff."
CHOI IS HITTING .306!!!
Exactly, you made my point. he was always done after six there too.
Cedeno hitting fifth is an embarrassment to the Cardinal organization. Penny can throw that high pitch to Edmonds because if Edmonds doesn't bite, Cedeno is an automatic out anyway.
Unreal. Can we get Grudzielanek, Eckstein, or Suppan out? Please?
That's called mild sarcasm.
Tonight after game:
Beat writer: "What's up, Brad?"
BP: I pitched like #^*($#^$.
Really all that needs to be said.
I wish the Cardinal broadcast would as laboriously deconstruct the umpires blowing that call as they did the Drew ground ball yesterday.
"LaRussa and Tracy are two of the best managers at planning strategy, even 2 and three innings in advance."
But you are correct, the strike zone tonight has been appalling. And of course they missed the Drew groundout, the Eckstein tag out yesterday, and now allowed the run to score when it shouldn't have tonight.
I don't think Penny was embarrassingly awful untill he got to Diaz and Suppan in the 5th. He certainly wasn't sharp but he kept it close and threw very few really bad pitches. If he could've gotten Diaz it would still be 3-3. If Choi makes a couple of plays it's 3-1. But there's plenty of blame to go around. I would give most of it to Drew, Kent and Bradley. But there's still time for them to redeem themselves.
Whatever. It won't hurt.
What's the over/under on Lowe making it past 4 2/3 innings tomorrow?
Penny was bad enough that I don't want to read a bunch of Choi-bashing in the paper tomorrow. That's my point. But I stick by "embarrassingly awful." They left ten guys on.
Yeah, there's another one Choi "didn't get." I just know this is going to be an issue and that would be absurd. Particularly when Choi is replacing "Gold Glove candidate" Shawn Green.
Can we add Eckstein to your list?
Pujols almost didn't make that play. I mean, how is Choi supposed to play all these rockets Penny et. al are allowing hitters to hit past him?
Anyway, I guess this is a round about way of saying that either the kids better grow up quick, or some of them are going to have to go for some pitching help. It is way too early to do anything rash, but I think Brazoban is going to prove very valuable, and I don't think DePodesta will repeat Evans' mistake of 2003 if it comes to that.
Despite what happened around Choi tonight, Saenz and his half a step range at 3B is positively frightening. Is the Oscar Robles era at 3B already over?
Our bullpen once Gagne returns is one of the best. Brazoban and Gagne should be the best 8/9 inning combo in the majors. Alvarez is a great swingman. I'm a little concerned about Carrara, but he's pitching well so far. Sanchez and Dessens are succeeding on smoke and mirrors. Houlton has single-handedly disproved DIPS. Schmoll needs more seasoning in AAA.
How annoying is it that we are somehow able to pull out the game with our #5 "starter" but can't win with our ace? Game's not over yet, though...
Do we all engage to see who has the lowest productivity at work?
I ask because I really don't support the idea of changing Gagne to a starter unless what happened to the Giants in the last couple of weeks happens to the Dodgers. Gagne is unbelievable as a closer; maybe he'd be a better starter now than he was before, but I don't see him being an ace. It's just silly, to me, to take a guy away from a role he's been dominant far and above any other closer the game has seen in years. Yhency is doing wonderfully this season, but it's going to take a lot more saves before I'll trust that he's of Gagne's caliber.
I know the Dodgers have problems with their starting rotation. But I think there are better ways to fix that than by converting our dominant closer who's previously failed in that role. Heck, if losing Gagne as a closer were the only solution to the starting pitcher woes, then I still wouldn't convert him -- I'd trade him instead for a proven ace. THAT would be the way to use Gagne to effectively fix the SP woes.
But it doesn't really matter, as this isn't the only solution and the Dodgers would never do it anyway, so it's all moot. But I would like to know about Yhency. Anyone?
(1) Despite injuries, the pitching staff is above average.
(2) Despite injuries, the offense is significantly above average.
(3) Help is on the way - Gagne and A Perez and Werth clear out their replacement-level counterparts
(4) Even with Werth healthy, we can probably make an easy upgrade in left field before thge end of July.
The Dodgers are far from perfect, but there seems to be no real breakout team that is an obvious favorite to win it all [in either league]. We just played what is likely the only team in the NL better than us, and got beat while starting a drunken-looking Penny and a barfing Drew, and we still have a chance to even the series tomorrow.
Amazing how expectations have changed, isn't it? That's a good thing.
-437 Christina: He only has two pitches. Or put another way, a harder throwing Edwin Jackson.
Gagne, on the other hand, has three excellent pitches. As a closer, he rarely even uses his curveball, but when he does, it's nasty.
Geez, Icaros, that's optimism from me twice in one week. I'm getting soft.
Starting pitching is where we don't seem to match up well. Here's my subjective side-by-side comparison:
#1: Mulder vs. Penny (slight edge Cards)
#2: Carpenter vs. Lowe (edge Cards)
#3: Morris vs. Perez (slight edge Cards)
#4: Marquis vs. Weaver (edge Cards)
#5: Suppan vs. Erickson (edge Cards)
If you use some combination of Alvarez and Dessens for our fifth starter, we'd probably end up even on that one.
Whereas the Dodgers have 1 #2, 1 #3, 1 #4, and 2 #5s (roughly), I would say the Cardinals have 2 #2s, 1 #3, 1 #4, and 1 #5 (roughly). So, if we could somehow swap Erickson for a strong #2 starter, I'd think we'd match up very well. Unfortunately, I don't know where we can find a #2 starter.
In the bullpen, we should have the edge, without a doubt. Gagne > Isringhausen and Brazoban > Tavarez.
Offensively, we match up pretty well. They have better players in their 3-6 slots, but our lineup is stronger 1-2 and 7-8.
Defensively, I'd give the Cardinals a slight edge, though I'm not buying Eckstein / Grudzielanek as being the dynamic defensive duo that the Cards announcers portray them as. If we can solidify 3B (Perez?) and work on Choi's fielding a little, I think this would even out.
So, I guess that while I do still feel like the Cardinals are a better team, it's not as significant a difference as I originally thought. In my wholly subjective analysis, we're basically one #2 starter away from matching up with them.
"In case you've forgotten, Gagne says he likes being a closer because it fits his personality better. He wants to come in, and mow 'em down. As a starter, he had difficulty pacing himself so that he'd last for 6 innings."
Posted by: ImSoBlue at December 28, 2004 04:12 PM
"Or do most of us forget that Gagne was a terrible starter and was routinely booed by the Dodger Stadium crowd after he was knocked out of the box?"
Posted by: Bob Timmermann at December 28, 2004 04:49 PM
He lasted 4 innings. He gave up 4 runs, 5 hits, 3 BBs, and 3 Ks and took the loss. The Cardinals won 5-1. Woody Williamks threw a CG and gave up four hits.
Tony La Russa batted Miguel Cairo THIRD. Eli Marrero caught and walked all four times he came up.
I was at that game. The crowd was not nice to Gagne!
Nor were we fond of the Dodgers leadoff hitter that day: Adrian Beltre.
Mike Trombley pitched in that game too!
I am simply at the end of my rope with the pitching staff. I think part of it is Scott Erickson's cowardly performance before the microphones after last night's game, and I think part of it is Jim Tracy's absolutely incompetent handling of the staff, starting with the day since he let Odalis Perez bat and stay in that game in Colorado. And I know what's coming tomorrow regarding "Choi's defense" from the media, though I think Penny will be man enough to take his own blame for this one.
I keep repeating to myself -- the goal is to stay competitive until the kids come up. And we're doing that. Everyone in the West has huge holes except for the Cards. Atlanta is playing Mondesi and Jordan. The Mets have Willie Randolph and his lineup with the two .280 OBP guys at the top (what an idiot). The Giants don't even have a Brazoban to look forward to in the 9th, much less a Gagne. But all of us have a little Plaschke in us. :)
"You can't blame him when I'm throwing the pitches."
That's better.
Jim, you just did.
My memory of Gagne as a starter was that he was terrific the first time through the lineup, and then got shelled. Either because they figured him out, or he ran out of gas. I think he could pitch 2 innings more often, but I wouldn't want to repeat that experiment.
"There were a couple balls that left the building, and it's hard to make those plays," Tracy said.
---- On Scott Erickson's complaints that the defense let him down.
Both the LAT and the LADN say Sunday is Erickson's "last chance." The Dodgers won't be needing a 5th starter until May 28. During the interim, options will be explored.
As some of you may have noticed, both Steiner and Lyons were off their game last night. Steiner seemed a step behind the action and Lyons seemed like a guy who noticed his partner was struggling. The problem was, Steiner and Lyons were working off of the ESPN feed. I cannot stress enough how difficult this is for the local guys. When doing a game on television, the obligation is to the viewers. Remember the shot earlier in the game of the bored guy looking at the field? Steiner was silent for a few seconds before saying, "I have no idea who that is." That's teh problem in a nutshell; all night, Steiner really didn't know what was coming.
I think Steiner and Lyons are doing a terrific job. I knew Steiner would be good. I had no idea Lyons would be as good as he has been. I hope it continues.
However, I do agree that both Ghame and Game could be extended for more than the customary one inning each. If you give them each 1.5 and get 1 inning out of Wilson or Gio, your 3 rd 4th or 5th starter need only go 5 innings. That is a sweet thing over the long haul of the season.
Yo Morgan embraces new quantitative approach to baseball analysis. In his latest ESPN Chat, Morgan introduced a revolutionary approach to assessing the performance of major league hitters. Baseball Hall of Famer Morgan admitted, "Actually, I've been a SABR member since '86. I was just too shy to talk about my theories until now." His novel approach classifies hitters into one of three categories based on the type of pitches a hitter is able to hit and the situations when a hitter is able to hit those pitches. According to Morgan, there are three types of hitters: pure hitters, power hitters and up-and-coming hitters. When told that those categories don't seem mutually exclusive, he presented the following example to clarify his approach. Morgan identified Miguel Tejada as the best pure hitter in baseball, as long as Barry Bonds remains injured, because "Tejada hits for average and power, and while he might not be the best shortstop defensively, he's outstanding making him the best all-around player overall." Although Morgan's initial categories did not mention defensive performance as part of the ranking criteria when queried about his discussion of defense, he responsed, "Shut up, you're confusing me. As I was saying, Ichiro isn't a pure hitter rather, he's proficient at getting base hits." Morgan would go on to rank Vlad Guerrero as a power hitter, not a pure hitter because "he often goes out of the strike zone and swings at bad pitches (and sometimes he hits those pitches). But that isn't how a pure hitter approaches an at-bat." Even though Morgan did seem to chastise Guerrero's hitting approach, he did later admit that "if I were starting a team, Guerrero would be one of the first players I'd pick." Morgan closed by identifying Derrek Lee as the top up-and-coming hitter.
I would love to go on but am crying from the ridiculous logic (or lack thereof) that Morgan has put out for the world to read.
I can't believe I actually pay for this stuff as an "Insider" but the belly laugh was worth the expense.
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