Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
Jon's other site:
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TV and more ...
1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Angel fans, Dodger fans - let us not fret over names and places. Let us confine our conflict to the glorious field!
* * *
That was me doing Braveheart. Or Spamalot. Or just waxing exclamatory.
Meanwhile, as far as the numbers go, there's this tidbit from Joe Sheehan on Baseball Prospectus today:
... consider that the A's have played a fairly difficult schedule, but are now almost done with the Red Sox and Yankees until 2006 (or October, if you prefer). The Angels have a 23-17 record and a seven-game lead in the division (over Oakland), but according to BP's Adjusted Standings, are no better than the A's so far, with an indicated record of 16-24 that matches not only the A's actual record, but their indicated one. In other words, the two teams look alike through one lens.
In those adjusted standings, which indicate the expected performance of a team with its current offensive and defensive statistics and are adjusted for strength of schedule, Texas is in first place in the American League West at 20-21, while Seattle, Oakland and the Angels are all at 16-24.
In the National League West, the Padres are 21-20, the Dodgers are 20-20, the Giants are 18-22, the Diamondbacks are 18-24 and the Rockies are 16-22. For what that's worth ...
Update: The nadir for Scott Erickson - four runs, four hits, three walks, four outs. It's all over but the releasing.
Pat Mahomes seems like the best gamble from AAA - a 2.76 ERA - but his strikeout/walk and strikeout/innings pitched ratios discourage. Edwin Jackson is always a possibility, but perhaps the AA Jacksonville roster is the best place to look for a replacement, outside of a trade or converting a current reliever.
May 20, 2000
Just four days after an ugly brawl between players in the Dodgers bullpen and some fans at Wrigley Field, Los Angeles found it much more pleasant in at Pro Player Stadium in Miami. The Dodgers, behind a grand slam home run from Gary Sheffield and a 2-run shot from Eric Karros, pounded Marlins rookie pitcher Brad Penny, 12-6. The Dodgers improved their record to 23-17, 3 games behind leader Arizona.
The Dodgers got hits from all starters in the lineup with the exception of pitcher Carlos Perez, who ran his record to 4-2. Perez lasted six innings and gave up 3 runs, including home runs by Cliff Floyd and Danny Bautista. Perez was in danger of losing his starting role after being hit hard by St. Louis in his previous start. But manager Davey Johnson gave Perez a stay of execution after the performance in Miami. But not for very long as Perez was able to win only one more game in his Dodgers (and major league) career. Perez was 11-22 in his 2 ½ years with the Dodgers.
The 2000 Dodgers had a new addition in Shawn Green, who replaced Raul Mondesi in right field. Others who showed up on the Dodgers that year were Jim Leyritz, who came in exchange for Jose Vizcaino in midseason. Vizcaino would go on to get a World Series ring with the Yankees, while Leyritz batted .200 with one home run. Chris Donnels, Geronimo Berroa, F.P. Santangelo, Bruce Aven, Al Reyes, and Trever Miller all stopped by. One particularly memorable cameo came from shortstop Kevin Elster, who hit three home runs in the first-ever regular season game played at the new Pacific Bell Park in San Francisco. Although the Dodgers enjoyed that first game, the Giants had the last laugh, winning the division handily, by 11 games over the Dodgers. And when the year was over, manager Johnson was sent packing.
One of the sadder stories of 2000 was the return of Orel Hershiser to the Dodgers. The 41-year old right-hander, thrilled the home opener crowd on April 14, when he gave up just one run in six innings against Cincinnati, but it was soon clear that Bulldog had nothing left. On June 26, Hershiser gave up 8 runs in 1 2/3 innings at home against San Diego. The next day, with a record of 1-5 and an ERA of 13.14, Hershiser was released. To take his spot on the roster, the Dodgers called up a young right-handed starter from Albuquerque named Eric Gagne.
Thanks to the Los Angeles Times, BaseballReference.com and Retrosheet
Since he is not a Dodger, I don't believe Weisman's Law of No-Hitters applies.
That is all.
It was an infield single by Ivan Rodriguez.
That is all.
All that said, it should be an interesting series. As always in such interleague games, I'm rooting for the pitchers.
http://tinyurl.com/84d4b
Some of the answers were not posted in the previous thread.
Izzy, SS
Repko, LF
Drew, RF
Kent, 2B
Bradley, CF
Saenz, 1B
Philips, C
Edwards, 3B
Erickson, P
I have been completely satisfied with the production we have gotten from first base between the tandem of Hee-Seop Choi and Olmedo Saenz.
Someone should inform Tracy that Saenz (1.011) and Choi (.960) have the two highest OPS on the team. Perhaps a stronger word than "satisfied" is in order.
His autobiography will be entitled, "How you utilize your potential, in terms of your relationship with the truth, to make, or fabricate, a long answer upon being faced with a short question."
And someone should also point out that sitting one of them each game is probably not optimal.
Padres don't score in the top of the 1st in Seattle.
Beltre struck out in the first against Peavy chasing a breaking pitch that was outside. It seemed eerily familiar.
As far as tonight's game, I'm taking Madison.
Padres 1, Mariners 0 on a Ramon Hernandez homer.
http://tinyurl.com/bjnlu
OK, I'll bite. Huh? This is all I could think of:
James Madison, Federalist 51:
"If men were Angels, no government would be necessary. If Angels were to govern men, neither external nor internal controls on government would be necessary. In framing a government which is to be administered by men over men, the great difficulty lies in this: you must first enable the government to control the governed; and in the next place oblige it to control itself."
This is the philosophical foundation of the American system of checks and balances (ambition countering ambition). I suppose there's some relevance here to the Freeway Series, so I'm with Steve. I'll take Madison too!
How long do you all wait before you hit refresh during the game chat?
Jim asked if I was taking the Ungar -- I instead chose Felix's wacky roommate, Oscar Madison. There would be many reasons for this beside simply the fact that Erickson's going to get killed.
I missed the first inning having fun with my satellite company. I'm glad.
And now Erickson walks the pitcher. That's sorta like Grabowski-squared!
25
If he is still pitching.
Athletics 2, Giants 0 after 4.
"Let's see. Erickson. So we score four runs in the first, then we steal three bases after to give Plaschke and Brown something to write about."
He gave up his first two hits of the game in the 5th and the Padres lead 3-0.
I hate Scott Erickson. Hideo Nomo was a great competitor who just lost his stuff and Tracy wouldn't bench him. Erickson is a whiny jerk.
Doing a little research, the last season that Duaner pitched as a starter was 2001 between A & AA. Unfortunately, he wasn't very effective, which is likely why he was converted into a reliever.
I thought it was much stranger on Wednesday when Edwards started against a RHP and Perez rode the pine. Edwards must be ahead of Perez in Tracy's brownie point lineup system.
Nash
Billups
Ridnour
I fear that Edwards is scrappy.
Seattle shows little ability or inclination to hit against Peavy.
I just benched him on my Fantasy squad (for what that's worth) and I couldn't help but notice that Weaver is the highest paid pitcher at $8,050,000.
He and Washburn are similar pitchers, when they're on their game they're tough to hit, other wise, yikes...
100 - Grabowski.
nice throw by kent.
Oakland-San Francisco tied at 3-3 in the 6th
#106: I would love for it to happen, but I don't think they'll do it. When they made him the 5th starter last year, he got tired / injured and asked to be put back in the pen. This year, he's already suffered through shoulder tendinitis, which can be a nagging injury.
It would be great if they threw him out there every 5th day for 75 or 80 pitches, but if he can't go 100 pitches, I don't think Tracy will make him a Starter (TM).
That's OK. By the time Tracy usually pulls the starter, we don't need middle relievers any more.
that was the point, i think. our valuable assets are being used for something stupid like mop-up work when the game is already out of reach.
gallows humor, indeed. the fact that the angels are the hangman at present doesn't help any, either.
Not a McDonnel-Douglas jet aircraft, but a popfly to the 2B.
C Billingsley - 3.74 ERA; 45.2 IP; 42 H; 2 HR; 17 BB; 48 K
J Broxton - 3.20 ERA; 45.0 IP; 34 H; 2 HR; 20 BB; 39 K
E Stults - 3.86 ERA; 39.2 IP; 44 H; 4 HR; 6 BB; 37 K
D Thompson - 4.04 ERA; 35.2 IP; 39 H; 3 HR; 16 BB; 39 K
E Hull - 4.01 ERA; 33.2 IP; 30 H; 2 HR; 21 BB; 33 K
Stults looks like the best option based on this year's stats. The others are still walking too many batters. Stults' career numbers aren't great, but it's possible he's turned the corner at 25 years old.
Stults' career stats: http://tinyurl.com/9sww3
vr
Xei
I worry about the race for third. Remember if the Dodgers slip to fourth then Steve Phillips would be right!
I can't have that.
vr
Xei
Regarding the Dodgers problem at 3rd base, I see there is a kid down in Vegas hitting .407, with an OPS of 1.478 (OB .515, Slg .963!). His name is Naka-something. Think we should give him a chance?
The gap between AAA and the Majors can't be as wide as Nakamura has made it seem. What could it hurt to give him another chance. At least you know you'll get good D.
vr
Xei
... "Flowers for Algernon".. Indeed.
If they release that loser, are they gonna call up Werth? We need him back, I'm telling you, the guy is primed.
The two leading pitchers are off the charts. First is Radke with an 18.00 K/BB ratio and second is his teammate Santana with a 10.29 K/BB ratio. Minnesota has a major-league leading ratio of 4.18 K/BB, which is 1.55 higher than the Astros, who are in second with a 2.63 K/BB ratio. The worst ratio in the majors is Colorado at 1.10. Thus, Colorado is closer to the Astros than the Astros are to the Twins. Impressive.
Like my LL nephew, he needs to go up to the plate and be agressive, and not look for a walk.
#146: Hi Jeff. A decent portion of that production was from when Nakamura started the season in AAA, though he is still hitting well. Based on how bad (visually) he looked at the plate in the majors, it will likely be a while until he gets called back up. The theory is that in AAA he gets to feast on a lot more junk pitchers who are similar to what he faced in Japan.
And why can't Tracy drop down Drew against lefties. Is there another clause in that 55 $mil deal we don't know about?
Baseball stragegy dictates that a 4 run lead is not "safe" as a grand slam will potentially tie the game.
Let Nakamura win the PCL MVP award.
vr
Xei
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Xei
HEEEEEELLLLLLLLLLLLLPPPPPPPP
Check and Mate.
The Dodgers as a team are 9-3 when the opposing team starts a LHP, but what is the collective record of those pitchers, and who are they?
LHP the Dodgers have beaten, and their current Prospectus Pk-Adjusted ERA:
Kirk Rueter (4.49)
Chris Capuano (3.68)
Joe Kennedy (6.82)
Eric Milton (8.29)
Dontrelle Willis (1.86)
The Dodgers have lost to (0-1):
Mark Mulder (4.05)
So, they're 5-1 against LHP of record, with an average PK_ERA of roughly 5.00. However, opposing pitchers have 5 ND against the Dodgers, listed next to whether the Dodgers eventually won or lost the game:
W Kirk Rueter (5IP 4 ER)
W Jeff Francis (6IP, 3ER)
L Brad Halsey (5IP, 3ER)
W Horacio Ramirez (7IP 2ER)
L Mike Hampton (2.1IP, 0ER, left due to injury)
The Dodgers are 5-1 against LHP with an average ERA of just below 5.00 (counting Mulder), but have scored just 12 runs in 25.1 innings when they've failed to "beat" a starter.
There are a couple problems with my methods here, but I would argue that they're not particularly good against lefties and have been fortunate enough to face lefties on teams with bad bullpens.
I had to unrandomize the 1994 game or else it would have come up in the middle of September.
The season was shorter that year.
Bring Your Own Gas Can?
vr
Xei
vr
Xei
There are a lot of variables: how hard the ball is hit, how good the outfielder's arm is, how good the relay man's arm is, how fast the runner is, etc.
2 outs/7th inning, down by four.
Good fielder/good arm in LF.
Excellent defensive catcher/plate blocker.
Sloooooow runner who almost got thrown out going into second earlier in the game.
Verdict: bad decision.
vr
Xei
I bet if the owners asked for a cap on signing bonuses now, the players union would go for it.
vr
Xei
vr
Xei
vr
Xei
Considering this, might a change at the top (e.g. replacing Tracy with Wallach) be the stimulus this team needs?
How about:
"Importer/Exporter"
"Vandelay Industries"
"Master of your domain"
and.
"Dodger's better start hitting"
1st Place offense; 5th place pitching = 3rd place finish.
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/carter/filmmore/ps_crisis.html
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/carter/peopleevents/e_malaise.html
GRABOWSKI PRINCIPLE! AGAIN!
The Dodgers are down five runs, its 20 past one, and I have work in the morning.
"I Love Lucy"
"MASH"
"Seinfeld"
"Situational"
"Convential Wisdom"
"Sending Saenz"
"Grudzalanek backwords is...."
Can I wear a different shirt tomorrow? I'm afraid to show up in Ghame Over.
it seems our smokejumper idea may be jumping the shark instead.
yhency throws too many fastballs in a row; he needs another out pitch.
0.00000000000000000001235735837593875483
vr
Xei
Radio says Yhency's not throwing so hard tonight. "Only" 94. I wonder how much adreneline plays into it.
Luther 223:
1.Importer/Exporter: yunyunhin/yushutshin
2. same
3. Master of your domain: jubun no shihaichi no danasan
4. Dodgers better start hitting: Dodgers ha, ii batting wo shinakeraba nara nai
When Jon attended: 3-1
When Jon didn't: 8-8 (soon to be 8-9)
Point: Let's click pay pal so Jon can get to more games.
mike edwards for not reaching the grounder, and jason phillips for the passed ball, i'd assume.
the angels drew SEVEN walks tonight. that must be a season high.
May has been a brutal month. Hopefully, I'll get to a few more games in June.
1) We could trade Penny for a boatload.
2) We could trade Weaver for a thimble-full.
3) We could let Jim Tracy move on to new pastures.
If you're still reading, I found a link you may like:
http://tinyurl.com/camrp
It's a Hardball Times article about the different Win Probability based systems out there.
It is for this reason that I prefer the Cincinnati option, so when Dave Miley does extraordinarily stupid things, I welcome it.
If Erickson isn't gone by this weekend, DePo deserves all the cr*p he's been getting from Plaschke and Simers.
Sure, Mr. Lisa. Seriously though, always making excuses and being too optimistic is stupid. Just face it and say you had a bad day, or you just don't deserve to be a no.5 starter.
That being said, Erickson is, to be kind, over the hill. Any comments from him assessing blame to others, diminishes whatever nice career he had in years past. Any future starts by him should be counted as strikes against Tracy.
Aside from Izturis and Bradley, the team seems to have lost its focus and zip. It's a shame, cause they need all they can get to be competitive, even in a weak division. This comes from the top, i.e., Tracy again.
Someone needs to tell the pitchers to throw strikes. If they are hit, so be it. But over 70% of the time, the batter will make out. I like those odds.
The hitters will come around, maybe not averaging 7 or 8 runs a game again, but they will hit okay, at least for now, thru the 7th batter in the lineup (6th when Bako plays).
Third base and manager...aside from that we are fine. Ouch...
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