Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
Today, my 30s are 75 percent over.
In baseball news, the Dodgers aren't alone. In the American League East, the Red Sox could fall to fourth place tonight as well.
If any of you have 10 minutes to kill this is a fascinating little study from 10/04 that I hadn't seen until yesterday:
http://tinyurl.com/ba79j
They test the merits of Small Ball by studying 160 team seasons worth of data. They even obtained first-to-third stats from retrosheet which sounds brutal to dig up.
SPOILER warning-
Not only do they demonstrate that in most cases, small ball reduces scoring... they also show that small ball teams are not any better at winning 1-run games. Something I've always believed but never really saw proven.
1 BOS 86.7%
2 STL 82.6%
3 BAL 82.2%
4 Cubs 81.8%
5 NYY 78.3%
6 CHW 76.6%
7 AZ 76.6%
8 Atl 76.1%
9 DET 75.0%
10 TB 74.5%
11 TEX 73.9%
12 TOR 73.9%
13 Milw 73.9%
14 MIN 73.3%
15 Mets 72.3%
16 Sd 71.7%
17 Col 70.5%
18 Was 70.2%
19 Fla 69.8%
20 SF 68.9%
21 Phi 68.8%
22 ANA 67.4%
23 LA 66.7%
24 Cin 65.2%
25 KC 63.0%
26 Hou 63.0%
27 CLE 62.2%
28 SEA 62.2%
29 Pit 61.4%
30 OAK 60.0%
7.1 IP 5 H 1 ER 2 BB 7 K
(when Vinny referred to `birthday boy' Brad Penny pitching Thursday, my brain made the connection that his birthday was on today. This is the kind of senile dementia you young fellas have to look forward to).
1 BOS 86.7% (4)
2 STL 82.6% (3)
3 BAL 82.2% (5)
4 Cubs 81.8% (22)
5 NYY 78.3% (1)
6 CHW 76.6% (17)
7 AZ 76.6% (14)
8 Atl 76.1% (9)
9 DET 75.0% (21)
10 TB 74.5% (10)
11 TEX 73.9% (2)
12 TOR 73.9% (8)
13 Milw 73.9% (15)
14 MIN 73.3% (18)
15 Mets 72.3% (19)
16 Sd 71.7% (7)
17 Col 70.5% (12)
18 Was 70.2% (26)
19 Fla 69.8% (11)
20 SF 68.9% (13)
21 Phi 68.8% (20)
22 ANA 67.4% (25)
23 LA 66.7% (6)
24 Cin 65.2% (16)
25 KC 63.0% (23)
26 Hou 63.0% (30)
27 CLE 62.2% (28)
28 SEA 62.2% (24)
29 Pit 61.4% (29)
30 OAK 60.0% (27)
May 26, 1976
Despite the loss of ace starter Andy Messersmith to free agency, an event that altered baseball forever, the Dodgers increased their early season lead to 2 games over second place Cincinnati with an 8-0 shutout win from Doug Rau over the Padres at San Diego Stadium.
Rau had spent the previous five days with his ailing father in Texas and was told to return to his team by his father. Rau said after the game that he was distracted at first, but later settled in, temporarily forgot his troubles and held the Padres to just three hits and three walks. Rau retired the first nine batters, before Padres shortstop Enzo Hernandez doubled to lead off the fourth. Hernandez would pick up another hit in the ninth and Rau got Willie Davis to bounce into a double play to end the game.
The Dodgers scored four runs in the third off of Padre starter Ken Reynolds and Joe Ferguson and Steve Yeager added home runs in the 8th off of reliever Rich Folkers.
In other news that day, German existential philosopher Martin Heidegger died on May 26, 1976. Heidegger was responsible for the saying "Sein and Zeit and Two Days of Light."
In addition to the loss of Messersmith, the 1976 Dodgers were full of changes. In the offseason, Willie Crawford was traded to St. Louis for former Dodger Rookie of the Year Ted Sizemore. Before the season, the Dodgers made a rare trade with the Angels, picking up backup catcher Ellie Rodriguez for Orlando Alvarez.
On June 15, the Dodgers made another trade with St. Louis and it was a blockbuster. The Dodgers picked up outfielder Reggie Smith in exchange for Ferguson, Bob Detherage and Fred Tisdale. And eight days later, 1974 Cy Young award winner, Mike Marshall was sent to Atlanta in exchange for Elias Sosa and Lee Lacy. The Dodgers turned the closer job (as it were) to knuckleballer Charlie Hough, who saved 18 games with a 12-8 record and a 2.21 ERA. Future Hall of Famer Don Sutton won 20 games in a season for the only time in his career, going 21-10 with a 3.06 ERA.
But the biggest change was on September 29. That day Tommy Lasorda walked out of the dugout as the Dodgers new manager, replacing Walter Alston, who had been on the job since 1954 with 23, 1-year contracts.
The hero of May 26, Doug Rau had his best season for the Dodgers in 1976, going 16-12 with a 2.57 ERA. And in his comeback from his soon to be eponymous elbow surgery, Tommy John went 10-10 with a 3.09 ERA.
The 1976 Dodgers slowed down after their fast start and the defending World Series champion Reds ended up winning the division by 10 games although the Dodgers did win 92 games. The Dodgers had more victories than homers. The team hit just 91. The Dodgers were hoping that a full year of Reggie Smith could add some power. It might work.
Thanks to the Los Angeles Times, BaseballReference.com and Retrosheet
How often did Ferguson and Yeager homer in the same game?
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And in that game, they BOTH hit TWO.
He's only 37.
Bob's Dodger flashback is great perspective. Joe Ferguson was a "heart and soul" guy. Mike Marshall was "essential to winning a pennant." But Campanis heartlessly traded both of them, and got in return two key cogs to the '77 and '78 NL championships, Reggie Smith and Lee Lacy. I remember when the Smith trade was made. I was glad to see more home runs coming to LA.
Combined with your Beltre post, the omens say we should all visualize J.D. Drew hitting .390 the rest of the way with 32 more home runs, Jeff Kent playing himself onto the All-Star team with a 22-game hitting streak that begins tonight, and D.J. Houlton "finding lightening in a bottle," as Vin Scully might say, in honor of Jon's half birthday, and seizing control of the fifth starter spot. Hey, we Rule 5'd the guy for some reason.
The Dodgers first pick in the 1976 Amateur Draft was Mike Scioscia. That was one week before Ferguson was traded. I think Campanis knew that the Dodgers could get by with Yeager as the primary catcher along with some quality backups.
The Dodgers used Jerry Grote and Johnny Oates as backups in 1977 and then Ferguson returned in the 1978 season.
1)Other than his breakout 73 season, Ferguson always seemed the king of the solo homerun, especially when the team was either far ahead, or behind. To make it worse, Lasorda insisted on getting him back in 78 at the cost of farmhand Jeff Leonard, who ended up being a productive MLB regular outfielder for years;
2)The press was only too happy to get (pitcher) Mike Marshall out of town, since he was the Kevin Brown of his day, and even complained that Vin Scully was criticizing him unfairly on the radio!! Only one unhappy about the deal was Lacy, who had been traded to Atlanta in the offseason and thought he would finally get his shot to be a regular, only to be brought back to the Dodger bench;
3)Willie Davis wasn't the only Dodger who ended his days in Anaheim of Los Angeles. Others included T. Davis, Ron Fairly, Perranoski, Lou Johnson,Jeff Torborg,Jim Brewer,Ferguson,and Mike (General Soreness) Marshall.
Izturis
Werth
Bradley
Kent
Saenz
Drew
Perez
Bako
Penny
vs
Tucker
Vizquel
Snow
Alou
Durham
Alfonzo
Feliz
Torrealba
Rueter
Don't order the veal
Advice?
Stay away from the Sports Page, and Sportstalk radio during extended losing streaks.
I think Marshall still ended up with a Ph.D. from Michigan State.
The day Marshall got traded (June 23, 1976) the Dodgers beat the Astros 1-0. The Dodgers got 2 hits and the Astros had 3. Rick Rhoden threw a shutout and scored the only run.
Ironically, rudeness pays, as Marshall's autograph is considered rare, and he gets a premium now that he does occasional autograph shows.
A few years later, and after having mastered an out pitch with success on the Expos, Marshall was portrayed as an arrogant jerk with the Dodgers, with some justification.
Best(worst)quote was when Marshall told the press that longtime closer Jim Brewer's screwball was absolutely "primitive" compared to his scientifically tested out pitch. Once you start losing games,quotes like that get you shipped to the downtrodden Braves.
Bill James Baseball Abstract 2001
Top 100 Catchers
3. Roy Campanella
5. Mike Piazza
8. Gary Carter - very very tail end for Dodgers
26. Tom Haller
27. John Roseboro - could do much more then take a bat to the head
36. Mike Scoscia-my favorite manager/player for beating the Giants in the WS and for hitting the home run off of Doc Gooden that allowed Kirk Gibson to be a WS hero in 88.
43. Rick Dempsy- tail end for Dodgers
66. Jerry Grote - again tail end for Dodgers
78. Steve Yeager - born on my birthday 11/24
79. Joe Ferguson - 3 run (not solo home run) to beat the Astro's. Who can forget him running the bases with his helmet tucked away like a football?
86. Wilbert Robinson-long time Brooklyn manager
88. Micky Owen - he of the famous passed ball
It caught me off-guard, but I thought it was cool that someone remembered and thought that much of Fergie to wear his jersey.
One of my clearest memories was Fergie rounding the bases after slamming a HR and chucking his helmet in glee as he rounded 3B. I believe Preston Gomez was still the 3B coach at that time, and he was really excited. I think it was one of those crucial games against Houston in 1980 where they eventually fell short with the one-game playoff. But they won that game, as I recall.
It caught me off-guard, but I thought it was cool that someone remembered and thought that much of Fergie to wear his jersey.
One of my clearest memories was Fergie rounding the bases after slamming a HR and chucking his helmet in glee as he rounded 3B. I believe Preston Gomez was still the 3B coach at that time, and he was really excited. I think it was one of those crucial games against Houston in 1980 where they eventually fell short with the one-game playoff. But they won that game he homered in, as I recall.
He now runs a pitching academy and does own multiple doctorate's and probably was the smartest man in baseball and probably didn't give autographs just because the whole idea of an autograph is friggin asinine.
I said this on an earlier thread, but I'm taking the under. I've learned my lesson.
After allegedly being under investigation for sports memorabilia tax fraud, Barry Bonds probably feels the same way.
Are you ready for some foosball?
Derrick Thompson pitching on saturday, Vin just said.
I agree. I was thinking about making the same suggestion (Thompson up, Jackson to AA) earlier today, but I decided to actually do some work instead. Seems to me that Las Vegas isn't doing Jackson any good. Let him straighten out in Jacksonville, and once he's straight, let him jump to the big club. Nice thing about Thompson is that his K/9 seems to be going up every year to where he's over 9.0 now. His WHIP is too high, but if he can fix his control, he could possibly stick.
Oh, THANKS Bob. Why don't you wait for me to ask the question next time? Doesn't make me look so silly.
The Giants announcers didn't seem to care. It would be nice to listen to Vinny, though. (sigh)
I dozed off at the beginning of the game. Why is Tucker playing instead of Ellison? Does Felipe Alou know something?
Nice play, Izzy.
If you said it was Matrioshka Night who would show up?
The Angels are still having Lenticular Cup Night.
You mean it's Scott Erickson?
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I think Adam Everett may take that title to his grave.
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The Padres are up 6-0 now.
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By the way, Charlie Steiner just said "mellifluous." I love it when he goes intellectual like that. It stuns a bewildered Monday into silence.
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Is Mudcat Grant going to be suiting up for the Twins?
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Glaus singled in the 2nd and Green hit into a DP, so Peavy has faced the minimum.
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John Roseboro
Jim Gilliam
Willie Crawford
Don LeJohn
Don Drysdale
Howie Reed
Jim Brewer
Bob Miller
Players on the Twins who have passed on:
Earl Battey
Zoilo Versalles
Bob Allison
Jerry Zimmerman
Johnny Klippstein
Although Walter Alston has passed on, Twins manager Sam Mele is still with us according to sources I've checked. He's 82.
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When's the last time that happened?
(Thx Steve)
Bob, Mele may still be with us, but don't forget that the dear. departed Billy Martin was the Twins 3B coach in 65!
That's two outs on 3-0 counts for Milton. We're turning into the Angels.
Sorry to be the bearer of bad news. Looks like the Nats were busy:
http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ap-nationalsshake-up&prov=ap&type=lgns
I bear no ill-will toward the Nats. Go in peace.
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A guy on my enemies list relieving another member of the list!
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ps - nice range factor by Kent.
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We're also paying for Milton swinging at that 3-0 pitch. Yuck.
We're doomed.
What's wrong with Gagne?
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But he can't be used. It's not a save situation. And since it's tied after 8, the Giants will never have a save situation.
Walker might as well just shower and go home.
But we probably would have seen him if Feliz had hit a three run homerun.
If he's hurt, he's useless. Trade him while nobody knows about it. If he can only pitch with leads in the ninth inning, he's useless because we're never going to have any of those anyway.
Not everything is Tracy's fault. This is.
Steve,
I think your views are known....
WHY IS BAKO HITTING?!
Actually, better question: why is Bako playing?
That's not right.
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I can breathe again.
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Ledee, on the other hand, has been a pleasant surprise this year.
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Did you ever think you'd see the day when Omar Vizquel wasn't even the best Venezualan shortstop in his own Division?
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If the scientists were Japanese, it would swing like Nakamura. But it would field like Izturis.
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(Phew....)
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Oh sorry, my bad. Looks like you may be out of work.
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And GB the Dodgers.
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I wish it were more comforting that the pitchers we COULD'VE had are worse than the pitchers we DO have. But there's not much solace there.
A good win. Penny and Lowe and pray for rain.
Yep. It's a bit late in the season for Penny and Lowe and pray for snow. Maybe if we were the Rockies. Maybe if we make the playoffs against a team in the northeast. I dunno.
Would it have been better than signing Odalis?
In the Las Vegas Twilight Zone, Nakamura is significantly out OPS-ing LaRoche (1.326 OPS vs. 1.102).
Well, he's on an pretty good roll now. If we we need a new #5, why don't we try to get him back?
But, nah, you're right, too risky, and it dilutes the chances for what I think they should really do, which is give their various prospects a try until one sticks.
Not to split hairs too much, but the stadium in Albuquerque is at approx. 5200'... I don't know anything about Vegas, but in ABQ when the East canyon wind blows it is tough place to be a left-handed pull hitter in terms of homeruns.
BTW: I heard Vin saying Derek Thompson gets the start Saturday?
When I saw Nakamura he was in Nashville and he was definitely on the ball. I think he is definitely worth another look. Of course, if Werth just sucks, then I can safely say my scouting prowess stinks and do NOT bring him up.
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