Baseball Toaster was unplugged on February 4, 2009.
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1) using profanity or any euphemisms for profanity
2) personally attacking other commenters
3) baiting other commenters
4) arguing for the sake of arguing
5) discussing politics
6) using hyperbole when something less will suffice
7) using sarcasm in a way that can be misinterpreted negatively
8) making the same point over and over again
9) typing "no-hitter" or "perfect game" to describe either in progress
10) being annoyed by the existence of this list
11) commenting under the obvious influence
12) claiming your opinion isn't allowed when it's just being disagreed with
"Team meetings" like the one the Dodgers had Saturday? Yeah, I've been in some of those, and isn't the term quaint? Like calling a food fight a "potluck lunch."
The Dodgers' quest hasn't changed - it never changes. The quest is to win baseball games. No matter what kind of losing streak you're on or how much you disrespect the guy next to you, that's always the quest.
What can change is the level of commitment to the quest, the committment that encourages one to work late or work harder, to give beyond what's expected, to trade sleep or family time or what have you for more grindstoning.
Sometimes motivational words help, be they rah rah Lasorda rah rah or quiet encouragement and tips. Sometimes people lead by example, consciously or unconsciously. But that might not be enough. You have to believe that the extra commitment is going to make a difference. A rational person might conclude that working overtime won't mean at thing in the long run. In fact, that person might be right.
And here's the key. Different adults will not only come to different conclusions about what is the proper level of committment - they will each meet their given standard with varying levels of success. And so, it will be rare that, even in the best of circumstances, everyone is on the same page.
Pointing a finger at another person ultimately reveals itself as an act of frustration. It is rage at our inability to control anyone but ourselves.
At my most difficult work environment, which fortunately is receding well into my past, people snapped and caterwauled at each other almost every day. Some people were less talented than others, which said something about the quality of the publication, but didn't explain the constant confrontations. That problem came from everyone thinking they were better than everybody else. Everyone thought they were pulling all the weight, and most of them were wrong. By definition, they had to be wrong.
Have you ever noticed, driving down a major street or even the freeway, how the fast lane can become the slow lane? Cars gather to the left, because they want to get somewhere as quickly as possible, and Drivers Ed told us that's how we do it. But then some drivers' idea of fast is five miles per hour above the speed limit, while for others, it's the speed limit + 25. Drivers who might think they're fast by their own definition are slow in others' eyes - in fact, they're worse than slow, because they're taking up space in the fast lane. Frustration builds. And so you find speeding drivers (like me) zipping into other lanes that are less dense with traffic, passing on the right, to the annoyance of some, just to keep themselves moving at their idea of reasonable speed.
The Dodgers have too many slow movers in the fast lane, and there isn't much to be done. Pointing fingers will not often make a 65-mph driver go 75. And getting 25 drivers going 75 isn't easy, is it, especially when the best of them are injured, and the only destination worth reaching quickly, Titletown, is falling off the map.
All the finger-pointing is honking in traffic. This noise pollution might lead this morning's news, but the Dodgers' biggest problem remains the simple fact that the best drivers can't even get on the road. Rush hour is starting and the team is already late.
i've always found the whole concept of "no passing on the right" a little dubious. are you required to go slower than the lane to your left, or what? because if not, then it's all a matter of semantics which lane you are passing in. consider: you are in the second lane from the right and are behind a slow moving vehicle. there is a slow moving vehicle in the right lane, but it is farther ahead. you could move to the right lane and claim to be passing that second slow car by moving back left, when in reality you were passing the first by moving right. and any move right or left could be legitimately claimed to be passing from the previous lane, i think.
Las Vegas 51s (AAA):
The 51s lost 4 - 2 to Portland.
Third baseman Willy Aybar and first baseman Norihiro Nakamura drove in both runs. Aybar went 1 for 4 with a double, a run scored, and an RBI (.302/.363/.446). Nakamura went 2 for 4 with a double and an RBI (.286/.348/.558). Catcher Dioner Navarro is still out with a strained shoulder.
Starting pitcher Harold Eckert took the loss, allowing 4 runs (all earned) in 5 innings pitched. Eckert allowed 3 hits and 3 walks while striking out 6. Alfredo Gonzalez and Pat Mahomes combined for 3 innings of scoreless relief. Gonzalez, a 25-year old right-hander, pitched 2 innings giving up just a walk while striking out 1.
Jacksonville Suns (AA):
The Suns lost 2 - 1 to Montgomery.
Second baseman Delwyn Young scored the Suns only run in the bottom of the 9th on an error by center fielder Elijah Dukes. Young went 1 for 4 with a double in the game (.290/.337/.460). Third baseman Joel Guzman went 0 for 2 with 2 walks and 2 strikeouts (.284/.352/.492). First baseman James Loney (.276/.356/.394) and right fielder Justin Ruggiano (.385/.467/.615) each went 1 for 4 on the night.
Starting pitcher Justin Orenduff pitched an incredible game. Orenduff threw 7 scoreless innings on 4 hits and 2 walks, while striking out 6. The outing lowered his ERA to 6.20 in 4 appearances with Jacksonville (20.1 innings). Luis Gonzalez was tagged with the loss, allowing 2 runs (both earned) in 2 innings of relief. Gonzalez had trouble finding the strike zone, giving up 1 hit and 4 walks, while striking out 2.
Vero Beach Dodgers (High-A):
No game scheduled.
Columbus Catfish (Low-A):
The Catfish won another slugfest, 13 - 10, over Asheville.
Second baseman Travis Denker is en fuego. Denker went 3 for 5 with 3 homeruns and 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 RBIs (.295/.413/.523). Denker leads the league in walks, is in the top 5 in homeruns, and is just 19 years old. Denker, a 21st round draft pick in 2003, repeated the Rookie league last year, likely due to the presence of Tony Abreu (High-A Vero Beach) above him. Right fielder and leadoff-hitter Ryan Carter went 3 for 6 with a double, a homerun, 3 runs scored and 3 RBIs (.317/.369/.533). Left fielder Lucas May went 2 for 4 with a double, a homerun and 2 runs scored (.236/.275/.357). May is a 20-years old infielder / outfielder drafted by Dodgers in the 8th round of the 2003 draft. Catcher Gabriel Gutierrez went 2 for 5 with a double, a run scored, and an RBI (.263/.337/.375). Third baseman Blake Dewitt was the only Raptor held hitless, going 0 for 5 with a strikeout (.268/.315/.422).
Starting pitcher Scott Elbert got the win with a decent 5 innings performance. Elbert allowed 2 runs (both earned) on 5 hits (2 homeruns) and 4 walks, while striking out 6. Relievers Steve Nelson and Kyle Wilson combined to allow 8 runs (4 earned) over the final 4 innings.
Ogden Raptors (Rookie):
No game scheduled.
GCL Dodgers (Rookie):
No game scheduled.
Not sure if anyone else has mentioned it, but LA Downtown News has a poem on the first half of '05.
http://tinyurl.com/7nok2
Scott Erickson is doing 45 in the #3 lane with the left blinker on.
25-Man Roster:
1: Alvarez, Wilson (RP $2 million)
2: Bradley, Milton (OF $7 million)
3: Brazoban, Yhency (RP $0.35 million)
4: Choi, Hee-Seop (1B $1.75 million)
5: Drew, J.D. (OF $11 million)
6: Gagne, Eric (RP $10 million)
7: Houlton, Dennis (SP $0.33 million)
8: Izturis, Cesar (SS $3.1 million)
9: Kent, Jeff (2B $9 million)
10: Kuo, Hong-chih (RP $0.32 million)
11: Ledee, Ricky (OF $1.5 million)
12: Lowe, Derek (SP $9 million)
13: Osoria, Franquelis (RP $0.32 million)
14: Penny, Brad (SP $5.5 million)
15: Perez, Antonio (2B/3B $0.34 million)
16: Perez, Odalis (SP $9.5 million)
17: Phillips, Jason (C $1.75 million)
18: Repko, Jason (OF $0.35 million)
19: Robles, Oscar (2B/SS $0.34 million)
20: Rose, Mike (C $0.33 million)
21: Sanchez, Duaner (RP $1.25 million)
22: Werth, Jayson (OF $1.75 million)
23: Starting Pitcher (SP ? million)
24: Third Baseman (3B ? million)
25: Left Fielder (OF ? million)
Total Salary: $76.78 million
40-Man Roster Candidates:
1: Aybar, Willy (2B/3B)
2: Broxton, Jonathan (P)
3: Guzman, Joel (SS)
4: Hanrahan, Joel (P)
5: Hu, Chin-lung (SS)
6: Hull, Eric (P)
7: Jackson, Edwin (P)
8: Juarez, William (P)
9: Ketchner, Ryan (P)
10: Loney, James (1B)
11: Martin, Russell (C)
12: Navarro, Dioner (C)
13: Orenduff, Justin (P)
14: Perez, Beltran (P)
15: Ross, Cody (OF)
16: Schmoll, Steve (P)
17: Stults, Eric (P)
18: Thompson, Derek (P)
19: Young, Delwyn (2B)
The Dodgers 2005 salary is approximately $89 million after accounting for cash payouts and insurance payments. Thus, assuming we maintain the same salary level, it would leave about $12 million to sign a starting pitcher, third baseman, and left fielder. Any of these positions could be filled internally if we decide to commit the money to one position over another (Starting pitcher - Derek Thompson / Eric Stutlts, Third baseman - Antonio Perez / Willy Aybar, Left Fielder - Jayson Werth).
Of the 40-man roster candidates, assuming we make no trades, I would leave Joel Hanrahan, William Juarez, Beltran Perez, and Cody Ross exposed to get down to 40.
Same with Penny - $5.5M seems low for him next year.
Starting Lineup:
1. Antonio Perez (3B)
2. Milton Bradley (CF)
3. J.D. Drew (RF)
4. Jeff Kent (2B)
5. Brian Giles (LF)
6. Hee Seop Choi / Jayson Werth (1B)
7. Jason Phillips (C)
8. Cesar Izturis (SS)
Starting Rotation:
1. Brad Penny
2. Derek Lowe
3. Odalis Perez
4. DJ Houlton
5. Derek Thompson / Eric Stults
Bullpen:
1. Eric Gagne
2. Yhency Brazoban
3. Duaner Sanchez
4. Wilson Alvarez
5. Hong-chih Kuo
6. Franquelis Osoria
2005: $3 million
2006: $9.5 million
2007: $10 million
2008: $9 million option or $1.5 million buyout
Since the buyout is guaranteed, the contract is considered to be a 3-year / $24 million contract.
Kuo strikes me like Dreifort without the big contract, but I could be wrong.
Kent will most likely retire to allow Perez to become the starting 2B (assuming he continues to progress offensively).
Our outfield depth will be a lot better with Giles (assuming we get him). Werth as a 4th OF will be good. Given the vulnerabilities of our OF he'd get plenty of playing time. Besides, plucking him away from SD would be doubly good in theory.
I don't mind starting Navarro either. He'll have had an entire year of AAA behind him (and Martin will probably get moved up there anyway next year). He's done reasonably well. Is there any reason to keep him down?
Our bullpen still looks very vulnerable, though. We could definitely use a couple stop gap arms as well.
The only way I see the Dodgers getting back in the race though is to drive on the sidewalk to get around the Padres. And the DBacks.
Also, the Reds may be increasingly motivated to dump Dunn. It may not cost Billingsley. Edwin Jackson maybe?
And he's not as much of an upgrade over Choi (at least, the way we look at it) as he is over Ross/Repko/Grabowski.
Fearing Blue, I hope you're right about the Pen. Gagne is a bit of a risk at the start of the season (and given the way the Dodgers handle injuries, maybe more). Brazoban and Sanchez have sort of fallen back to earth after last season as many of us expected (higher BB/9 than their ERA's would have indicated last season). With many more arms available next season, it seems we'd be in a better position.
You're right as well that, if we fielded this exact same team next season, chances are we'd do much better.
Any idea if DePo is going to re-sign Weaver? It looks there's a good chance he will.
Remember, Choi probably stops being as much of a bargain as he's been next year. Depending in part on whether Tracy is coming back, DePodesta could decide the economics of Choi no longer work out for the playing time he gets, and trade him or even non-tender him.
In that case, I see Kent at first and Perez at second. At third, the Dodgers are where they were when they got Bonilla and were waiting for Beltre. It's going to continue to be stopgaps from elsewhere, at least in April. They'll try to do the Valentin thing one better, I expect.
I got three tickets:
1) unsafe lane change
2) wrong address on my registration
3) wrong address on my license
From the talk, I assume he will be an FA at the end of the season. Otherwise, the only way the Padres trade him to the Dodgers is if half the Jax lineup is offered in return.
The fact that he hasn't been extended could be a telling sign though.
Good point about Choi and arbitration next year. It should be an interesting offseason on that front.
but on the freeway, rules are different, you can pass on either side
Erickson's that guy in the right hand lane going 65, 2 car lengths behind the guy in the fast lane (your lane) going 70. As you try to safely navigate your car in front of Erickson in the already tight 2 car lenghts, Erickson proceeds to drive 71, effectively closing that gap.
Or he could be the guy that waits to the absolute last second to merge onto the 101 from the 405N, cutting off over 400 people who have been driving morally.
Passing on the Right
21754. The driver of a motor vehicle may overtake and pass to the right of another vehicle only under the following conditions:
(a) When the vehicle overtaken is making or about to make a left turn.
(b) Upon a highway within a business or residence district with unobstructed pavement of sufficient width for two or more lines of moving vehicles in the direction of travel.
(c) Upon any highway outside of a business or residence district with unobstructed pavement of sufficient width and clearly marked for two or more lines of moving traffic in the direction of travel.
(d) Upon a one-way street.
(e) Upon a highway divided into two roadways where traffic is restricted to one direction upon each of such roadways.
The provisions of this section shall not relieve the driver of a slow moving vehicle from the duty to drive as closely as practicable to the right hand edge of the roadway.
Pass on Right Safely
21755. The driver of a motor vehicle may overtake and pass another vehicle upon the right only under conditions permitting such movement in safety. In no event shall such movement be made by driving off the paved or main-traveled portion of the roadway.
*Pass traffic on the left. You may pass on the right only when:
An open highway is clearly marked for two or more lanes of travel in your direction.
The driver ahead of you is turning left and you do not drive off the roadway. Never pass on the left if the driver is signaling a left turn.*
As for baseball, it's the All-Star Break so I've got nothing! Nothing!
Except, I would be utterly shocked to see Brian Giles ever wearing a Dodgers uniform.
Thanks!
vr, Xei
See:
http://www.baseballamerica.com/today/help/faq.html#rule5
WWSH
Tracy is like that with his bunting.
Not the response I expected. I may have unrealistic expectations.
or weaver to the orioles for haydeen penn and Nick Markakis
either one would work for me.
My son's 15. I made him watch with me. "My friends aren't like that!" Right.
The idea of trading a Jeff Weaver in July is to get another team to overpay for him. Weaver for Soriano, or Blalock, or Young. Or for Melvin Mora. Those teams have an offensive surplus, but not nearly enough pitching to compete in their divisions.
Which reminds me, when I was in LA last weekend and was going to the Dodgers game, I did go to Philippe's based on the recommendations of people here. It was delicious, and very convenient to get to the game. We did miss the first few batters of the first inning, though, because the line at Philippe's was very long. We'll go again next time, hopefully. (We went to the game where the Dodgers killed the D'Backs 7-0; very enjoyable.)
It also reminded me how much more pleasant the baseball weather is in LA, than in SF.
danks is a 20 yr old lefty pitcher in AA who was 60 something on BAs top 100 prospects.
markakis is a high cieling prep outfielder in high A
sinisi is a polished hitter and outfielder in AA
vr, Xei
I'm too lazy at the moment to look up the rules, but what would the lowest that Weaver could be offered in arbitration? He's making quite a bit this season, and I really doubt that LA thinks he's a $8M+/year starter.
Are we allowed to use his scruffy beard against him in an arbitration hearing?
Perhaps we should stop mentioning Adam Dunn. It's only going to upset myself and a few others (Steve, I presume) when some other team trades B level prospects for him.
No to moving Kent to 1B. Until he can't play 2B anymore, that idea is just crazy. Secondbase is the hardest position to find offense at right now, and he just happens to be about the best there is. Of course, if we resign ourselves to the fact that Choi won't play anymore, perhaps I'd reconsider a little bit. But I think Choi > Perez, and therefore Kent-2B & Choi-1B > Kent-1B & Perez-2B. If I had my pick, I'd want to see if Perez could handle SS, but that's not happening.
Last thought. Anyone else hoping that Choi goes off in the HR contest tonight, just so people will start thinking, "How the hell is this monster sitting on the bench in LA, is Jim Tracy crazy?"
re 1 year deal...isn't that what Erickson was supposed to be?
re Choi tonight...sweetens a deal at 7/31 if he does well?
re Perez at short...he is too hesitant, too unsure of himself as a defender to be at short
alot of your arby numbers are too high.
for example, bradley is making 2.5 mil this year. he wont make 7 mil next year because theres no way arby will bring his salary up close to 300%
more likely, he gets a 2-3 mil raise to around 4.5-5 mil.
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
We're not going to get Dunn. Good things never happen to us. Misery, calumny, defamation is our lot.
No glass half full for you, Steve?
vr, Xei
Does that apply to the Plaschke/Simers/Olney group of writers?
What, pray tell, is your secret plan?
Moving to this area is much better than growing up here, though. It's gotten a lot nicer than it was when I was a wee lad.
Anyone else have a take on Perez at SS? I've read from a couple people that he can't handle the position. Isn't that his natural position; that he's played for like 5 seasons in the minors? And in the limited time in the majors, his stats show him to be only slightly below average.
What about some of the other great Reds players the Dodgers have acquired:
Rafael Landestoy
Kal Daniels
Lenny Harris
on another note, i think the big korean will win the homerun derby.
And then we'd hear reports that Cincinatti knew he was "damaged goods."
I'm hoping Choi goes nuts in the HR derby, only for a different reason. Get another team to be so impressed that they'd be willing to trade for him. When you consider that without Choi's TWO modest hitting streaks this year he'd be well below the Mendoza line, it's sobering.
I was willing to give him a chance not too long ago, but in the last month or so, I've seen enough that I'm not cautiously optimistic anymore.
His defense continues to stink. I was in Houston for the first two games there, and he muffed that easy grounder that Taveras beat out in the 9th--a routine play. As soon as Taveras was aboard, I knew that was it. Choi's occasional hitting streak/power display does not make up for his woeful defense. Dump him if you can get anything for him.
What's wrong with teams saying, "You know, we ran into some trouble this season. We didn't get the performances we had hoped to from these couple of players, and we had these key injuries...We'll just try again next year and hope for better luck"?
Given the relatively high levels of uncertainty in planning a baseball season, I'm surprised more teams don't take this position. There are times where a total demolition of a roster is a positive step, but it's an overused tool, in my opinion.
I've attended about 15 games so far this year, and I've closely watched Choi at first--very poor instincts, moving the wrong way on balls, crossing over with the wrong foot, and just flat-out SLOW! Not to mention that lovely play in Chicago when he blocked Phillips' throw to Kent. The only thing he does above average is handle poor throws. That's not sufficient.
Yes, Choi appears to be streaky. But I can't imagine that spot starting him is helping that in any way. I'm of the opinion that he's got the potential to be a bigtime HR hitter, and will be worth the cold streaks. And given the choices, Choi just makes more sense than most of the other options. Saenz played too good not to give some time to, but then he goes and gets hurt. JT said all along that Saenz couldn't start everyday because he would break down...so then he goes out and plays him everyday. When it means an extra Robles/Edwards/Phillips/etc... in the lineup, Choi is definetly my choice.
No team is going to trade anything for him. Of the teams that might appreciate him, they don't need anyone at 1B.
Regarding Choi's defense, even if he does suck....he plays firstbase. So who cares, really.
Exactly. Like I said. Choi isn't our savior (ahem), but he's better than the our other options.
I'm not saying Saenz is the answer either
but Choi is definitely a liability when he is afield....in my humble opinion...
We know that Tracy doesn't think of Choi as anything other than a back-up 1B... but I wonder how Tracy would respond to that.
I've got to question any system of laws that would let someone off of half its crimes because they were drinking.
Here are Choi's OPS numbers by month:
April - .818
May - .774
June - .774
July - .667
In July, even though Choi's OPS stinks, it is higher than both Saenz (.513) and Werth (.602).
Choi is not a perfect option, but he is almost certainly the best option against all RHP.
137 -- I want to commit my crimes in the State of Barlaw, USA, because no one is ever guilty of anything.
Joe Mays: 4.13 ERA
Terry Mulholland: 4.66 ERA
Carlos Silva: 3.53 ERA
Brad Radke: 4.15 ERA
Runelvys Hernandez: 4.53 ERA
As Steve likes to say when hearing JtD away from SS, "I'm not listening! I have bananas in my ears!"
141. wow, is that a real quote or an impression. if it's an impression, it's dead on.
I agree that Choi is better than what we have, and that Tracy should use him more. I also feel that means we have some serious upgrading to do.
And as far as having no range at 3B, has anyone been watching Edwards? I'd swear Choi has more range and yet, nobody complains about him.
we will belittle them and condemn their abilities...we are sports fans and that is our right, and our responsibility...and we Thank Choi for that very freedom
I'm sure we can find something for you in the Patriot Act :)
I agree with everyone who has written that Saenz is not the answer at 1B. He's not.
But ... at some point, before the towel is thrown in, can we give Aybar or someone a shot at 3B, and have Kent play regularly at 1b and A.Perez 2b?
Every thread is a Choi thread.
Every thread is a Tracy thread.
Every thread is a Dunn thread.
120. If you are out of the running and you have a good player who is going to leave as a FA the next season, why not get something for him?
121. Remove Buntermaker and Choi actually gets to play. Compare Choi's OPS with other Dodger players and the overpaid Dodgers that Plaschkers would've like us to keep (LoDuca, Beltra, Green).
vr, Xei
The number of balls that Choi can't even get to obviously are not considered errors, a result of his slowness and lack of range.
vr, Xei
vr, Xei
What do you suggest we do about the Choi/Saenz/infield issue? Are there any solutions (offensively and defensively) that are better than having Choi at 1st (ie, better with Choi on the bench rather than on the field)?
vr, Xei
https://griddle.baseballtoaster.com/archives/209608.html
vr, Xei
Antonio Perez (29 games): 92 R2; .937 FPCT; 2.81 RF; .847 ZR
Mike Edwards (27 games): 82 R2; .914 FPCT; 2.34 RF; .763 ZR
Jose Valentin (22 games): 84 R2; .918 FPCT; 2.88 RF; .776 ZR
Norihiro Nakamura (10 games): 99 R2; 1.000 FPCT; 3.00 RF; .944 ZR
Olmedo Saenz (10 games): 86 R2; 1.000 FPCT; 2.91 RF; .905 ZR
Oscar Robles (9 games): 99 R2; .982 FPCT; 4.71 RF; .833 ZR
Based on the statistics and observation, I'd say defensively our 3B options rank as follows:
1. Norihiro Nakamura
2. Antonio Perez
3. Oscar Robles
4. Jose Valentin
5. Mike Edwards
6. Olmedo Saenz
I'm chalking Saenz's defensive statistics up to small sample sizes, since reconciling the concept of him being strong defensively at 3B might make my head explode.
After thinking about this, I may be jumping back on the Nakamura bandwagon. Here is the comparison of the Las Vegas / MLB statistics for Edwards and Nakamura:
Edwards (AAA): .284/.366/.444 in 81 ABs
Nakamura (AAA): .286/.348/.558 in 206 ABs
Edwards (MLB): .284/.366/.444 in 126 ABs
Nakamura (MLB): .128/.171/.179 in 39 ABs
vr, Xei
I can't be as thorough as Fearing is with 3B fielding, but BPro has Choi as 3 runs below average at 1B. For his career, he's at the average. Saenz is 5 runs below average this season at 1B and 4 runs below for his career.
For a frame of reference, Green last year was a surprisingly low five runs below average last year at 1B.
For Choi, see:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/dt/choihe01.shtml
For Saenz, see:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/dt/saenzol01.shtml
For Green, see:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/dt/greensh01.shtml
WWSH
Perez has made some very good plays on defense, even at third, where people have questioned his abilities. Whoever they play, though, I'd like to see fewer line-up variations used. This has been a Tracy hallmark through his tenure, and with the astounding injuries this year, it's clearly been more of an issue.
But even that many injuries don't necessitate changing the line-up nightly. Let guys stay in one spot and see how they do for several games. Let them establish some confidence and consistency. Injuries are no excuse for such randomness.
And if a player happens to get three or four hits in a game, don't even consider benching him the next night to keep him fresh or avoid having righty vs. righty, etc. That fries my butt!
I'm out now. See y'all.
Hee Seop Choi (59 games): 95 R2; .998 FPCT; 10.51 RF; .822 ZR
Olmedo Saenz (33 games): 81 R2; 1.000 FPCT; 9.32 RF; .813 ZR
Jason Grabowski (3 games): 101 R2; 1.000 FPCT; 12.38 RF; .000 ZR
Jeff Kent (5 games): 100 R2; 1.000 FPCT; 10.74 RF; .846 ZR
Norihiro Nakamura (4 games): 100 R2; .947 FPCT; 10.80 RF; .667 ZR
Again, based on statistics and observation, I'd rank them as follows:
1. Jeff Kent
2. Hee Seop Choi
3. Jason Grabowski
4. Olmedo Saenz
Fair enough. Yeah. I agree with you about Tracy's micromanaging (as do I'm sure many here).
Edwards (AAA): .284/.366/.444 in 81 ABs
Edwards (MLB): .294/.331/.397 in 126 ABs
Dude, you're like a statistical machine! =) In the time it takes me to look up the numbers for my post 182, you run the stats for BOTH 1B and 3B. DePo needs to give you a job or something.... You can help with nate's secret plan.
WWSH
I still don't like giving up Brazoban with Gagne's status so uncertain. How about Weaver, Izzy, and Saenz to an AL team that can have Saenz DH? That's till too gutsy a trade I think, even for DePo. Izzy has value due to his relatively low cost, which will be enough for DePo I think.
WWSH
a world series championship?
You and Nate can pretend to be one person. With your stat skills and Nate's secret plan, there's no stopping you.
I'd like a job as resident Dodger historian. I'll learn a Korean and write a biography of Choi.
I have seriously considered writing a history book on baseball later in my career after I get tenure--Choi willing.
WWSH
WWSH
I think Tracy played him out of that though. Now he's back to being a washout.
Here are the numbers for our second basemen:
Jeff Kent (80 games): 92 R2; .976 FPCT; 5.28 RF; .810 ZR
Antonio Perez (12 games): 88 R2; .978 FPCT; 5.45 RF; .735 ZR
Rankings:
1. Jeff Kent
2. Antonio Perez
Here are the numbers for our shortstops:
Cesar Izturis (72 games): 104 R2; .976 FPCT; 4.70 RF; .847 ZR
Oscar Robles (15 games): 100 R2; .982 FPCT; 4.71 RF; .833 ZR
Antonio Perez (5 games): 100 R2; .938 FPCT; 3.86 RF; .769 ZR
Rankings:
1. Cesar Izturis
2. Oscar Robles
3. Antonio Perez
For these two positions, it's refreshing to see the rankings match up with the games played.
Yeah, it would've been better to trade Saenz when he still had gaudy offensive numbers and wasn't nursing a bad back from overuse.
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The success they had after acquiring him could be a good prescedent if the Dodgers decide to put Izturis on the market.
Think it was a 3-way with Minnesota to also get Doug M., and I think they had to give up a pretty good prospect--part of the reason why the deal looked somewhat desperate at first. It obviously worked out, though.
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Unfortunately, the BoSox trade doesn't really set a good precedent for us, because the Red Sox had an offense that could mash without Nomar and a rotation with Schilling and Pedro at the top. Epstein gambled that a ring would erase the sting of trading a Boston legend, and it worked. Our underlying team just isn't good enough for DePo to get the one piece that puts us over, no matter how overvalued Izzy is.
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Yeah, he's doing something right. He's playing in AAA.
We want to be on the other side of the equation--the overpaid. The ones saying "step right up here Mr. GM, we've got just what you need: A quality starter, the most exciting young infielder in the majors, a man who Vin Scully himself referred to as a 'thoroughly professional hitter,' and a veteran bullpen presence. Believe me, you won't miss all those home runs from your third baseman/left fielder, when you see our fellows take the field in your uniform!"
His Japan League numbers give him a better resume than Edwards, and he still has more power potential in my view than Perez. Besides, Nori was a gold glover--with all these groundball pitchers, we really need to shore up the IF defense. All he needs to do is have comparable offensive output to Perez and Edwards at 3B, and he'd be a better option next year as a stop gap before LaRoche is ready.
Besides, he's also got a great personal story behind--the man who walked away from millions in Japan and is toiling away in AAA so he can play in the bigs. He and Robles can be the warm-and-fuzzy players we can carry over into next season--some compensation for this year's dismal season.
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Traded by Boston Red Sox with Matt Murton to Chicago Cubs as part of 4-team trade in
which Chicago Cubs sent Brendan Harris, Alex Gonzalez and Francis Beltran to
Montreal Expos; Montreal Expos sent Orlando Cabrera to Boston Red Sox; Minnesota
Twins sent Doug Mientkiewicz to Boston Red Sox; and Chicago Cubs sent Justin Jones
to Minnesota Twins(July 31, 2004).
Yeah I know what you mean. Still, how much do we have to lose? More games I guess...
But if Perez's BABIP numbers indicate he's due for a regression, might he not be overvalued right now? Besides, with Kent, we can only play him at 3B, where we might get similar production out of equivalently inexpensive players like Nori, Edwards, and Robles. Furthermore, we have plenty of depth in the IF long-term. Perez's upside and youth are not as valuable to us in my view as it might be to another team. A package of Weaver and him might really net a decent starter for next season or the OF we need.
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Exactly, what harm is there in bring Nori back up? If he tanks again, so what--we end up dead last instead of in 4th place?
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Hey, considering how long are expectations are, if Nori becomes even a vaguely competent hitter, it'll take some of the season's sting away. And there's a very outside chance he could actually be decent.
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"Steve, Tracy keeps bunting with Antonio Perez. You think he'll let Nakamura bunt?"
"I never looked at it that way. OK, you got it. Trade Perez to the Pirates and bring on the Nak-meister"
Problem solved.
Now that I think about, I wonder if the conventional wisdom about Cabrera being the missing piece is really correct. I can't remember who the BoSox's previous backup SS was. Maybe the BoSox just started playing to their potential, which might have happenned if Nomar was still around? Anyhow, it made Theo look like a genius.
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"long are" should be "low are." I wonder if anyone else makes these sort of odd errors in their writing. Embarassing for a college instructor.
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I do all the time. I type words that sound similar to the word I'm thinking of but mean something completely different. Of course I'm not an expert on the english language.. but I think of myself as above average in the world of engineers at least.
History, 19th century US military--mostly Civil War--at the Naval Academy. For me at least, history is still a humanistic discipline that requires the ability to put together a decent declarative sentence.
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More embarrassing than misspelling "embarrassing"? :-)
Well, that makes me feel better.
Actually, I think the increasing errors in my writing stem from hunger. Off to dinner...
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a trade to the pirates: yhency, izturis, and weaver for lawton and mike gonzalez?
Ack!
I will hang my head in shame now over dinner!
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The Twins have acquired Bret Boone and Tampa Bay has signed Joe Borowski.
Shouldn't it be "low our"?
You're right.
Wow, Borowski fell all the way to Tampa Bay. There but for...
...the grace of Choi go I...
GROOOANNN =)
Not only did Nori put up awful stats with the Dodgers in his small sample size, but he looked awful. He looked like he couldn't hit major league pitching. He was good for a weak groundball down the firstbase line or a line drive into the visitors dugout and not much more. Nice defense, but until he stops swinging like a _____ (insert insult here) what good is it.
vr, Xei
And hope he gets hit by pitch in his throwing wrist?
Actually, I think that would bother plenty of people. Now, it might not bother you, though I'm guessing you have some interest in where the Dodgers finish.
I'm also going to make the assumption that you don't think Nakamura can propel the team into first place, since the height of your expectations in 228 is that "there's a very outside chance he could actually be decent."
There may be no harm in bringing up Nakamura. But is there any point? He's not likely to make a difference, and it's not like he's a prospect. He's a 31-year-old AAA player with knee problems.
228, cont'd. "Hey, considering how long are expectations are, if Nori becomes even a vaguely competent hitter, it'll take some of the season's sting away."
The Dodgers have plenty of vaguely competent hitters. That's not their problem. Mike Edwards and Antonio Perez are very much vaguely competent.
More likely (not definite, but more likely), bringing up Nakamura will add to the season's sting by being another disappointment. And again, you'll have spent at-bats on a non-prospect, for what?
The "what have we got to lose" mentality, as I have said before, is a faulty one. You should be framing your question as "What have we got to gain?" And if your best case scenario is "a vaguely competent or decent hitter," then you should probably re-think the idea.
I guess I wouldn't mind trading for Lawton if we could get him to sign a 2-year extension for $10-11 million. But, I think he's going to be looking for more with the really weak free agent market.
Also, I think Odalis Perez will end up being a bad signing. I'll be very surprised if he'll be here through the end of his contract.
Are there any prospects to play at 3B now?
I see 2 separate big deals coming...maybe a couple OFs coming our way plus prospects
Well, it's not my three million. It would be worth it not to be playing Grabowski and Repko every night. I don't care whether we get Lawton, though he is not on my self-immolation list.
If our systems is so good, why don't we have any of these players?
I really didn't expect 300 comments on an off-day, at least before Hee Seop's swings. And not one comment on the premise of this morning's post (beyond the traffic discussion). Which actually makes me quite happy, as I'm glad this audience recognizes the clubhouse turmoil for the non-story that it is.
269 - I suppose, but what do you think would happen? Let's say Nakamura came up and OPSed .850 in the final 2 1/2 months. I think that's by far a best-case scenario. I still wouldn't feel all that great about banking on him as a stopgap. And it just seems so unlikely he would do that.
The likely story is - Edwards' MLB batting average is somewhat lucky, he's not really that good, and neither is Nakamura.
Remember, Valentin will be back in about a month, taking away some at-bats. I would give the remaining third base at-bats to the one in-house player with growth potential - Perez. (Or someone else from the minors who is young.) Let him work on his fielding and learn to hit as a third baseman, and see where that takes you.
2007 (and maybe the end of 2006). If we don't have any big impact rookies by then, then our farm is overrated. Until then... there's no point judging.
Andy LaRoche - LaBomb
Joel Guzman - JtD (Joel the Destroyer)
Chad Billingsley - C-Bill
Then there are the works in progress:
Jonathan Broxton - K-Brox
Russell Martin - Heart of Canada, Canadian LoDuca, ???
Dodger Thoughts isn't just YOUR outlet for dealing psychologically with the Los Angeles Dodgers and baseball. =)
guzman- joel the destroyer
broxton- the bull (thats his nickname already)
billingsley- c-bills
loney- J-lo
jackson- ejax
2007 can't come too early. I hope there isn't a strike that year.
I felt different about it a few weeks ago, thinking they might turn it around. I haven't completely given up because stranger things have happened. But a lot of things would suddenly have to go right.
On a side note, I heard a ridiculous comment from Ken Dayley a few minutes ago on Lee Hamilton's show. Dayley claimed the Dodgers have neither the minor league depth nor the financial resources to make a deal right now.
let them think that way. then we wont be pressured to trade billingsley or laroche and etc.
James Loney - I'm tiring of the nickname J-Lo. It's too common, and Loney isn't on my top 10 list anyhow :).
Edwin Jackson - I like "Jax" better than "E-Jax". E-Jax sounds too much like the bathroom cleaner.
Russell Martin - Steve was hoping for something with Heart, Soul, or LoDuca to get on Plaschke's good side.
Buster Olney agreed with me.
I would say you look at our team as if all are healthy, and make a trade or two to fix what might be a leak or leaks in that regard.
As far as Lee Hamilton goes, he is no different than Joe McDonald on ESPN, they both speak from authority and know nothing.
all part of the secret master plan
laroche is more polished. but guzman has more raw power and power upside.
both project to hit 40 homeruns in the bigs. guzman will take a little longer to develop than laroche because he is a year younger and is still refining his strike zone.
I like how they posted the year's HR numbers for everyone, then posted that Ivan The Small had "256 Career HRs"
311 -- Berman called them a "good homegrown sound," so Plaschke would approve
Film at Eleven.
All I have to say is, there better be Dodger Thoughts officially licensed and collectable t-shirts for everybody. The Bull, LaBomb, JtD, the Canadian Mountee of Walks... and Heart, Jax, and J-Lo.
maybe i dunno. baseball america seems to think so.
"Mark: They're going global, of course; he's the best HR hitter from his country, and that's more important to MLB this year than picking the best HR hitters. I don't agree with it, but that's the way they're playing it."
What do we think about the Wheaties commercial with the Gibson call?
thats why we are all overly optimistic about the dodgers future :)
if you think about it, look at laroche, he already has 26 homeruns at age 21 lol.
i thought it was awesome because it was vin scully they were using for the commentary
I hope Hee-Seop make us proud....
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They really should have held the Home Run Derby at Tiger Stadium. It would be more fun. I would have actually taped it.
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Well, aren't line drives usually just that?
Chris Berman's voice reminds me of the squawk of a very ill chicken.
How long until Morgan's first reference to himself and his playing days? "Back when I was an All-Star..."
According to mlb.com Tejada won it last year with 27 homers, and Garret Anderson the year before with 22. My tempramental espn.com window tells me that Abreu already has 24 and is not done with the first round. Did they add more outs this year, or is the "home run" total from previous year the highest score from an individual round, or is Abreu just that amazing?
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I burst out laughing at that one!
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A big part of it was he showed great selection on pitches he swung at.
The gold and white C 21 ball distracted him a bit.
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Groan
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Choi brought a Dodger guy. Fearing posted a story that Choi paid for his family to come too.
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Can you really blame him? Everything's anticlimactic after Abreu went on that tear.
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Same here, gotta get some work done tonight. I just want to see how Choi does. Seeing Abreu's show was an unexpected benefit.
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Choi hit 5 total. He didn't get any until after 5 outs, but then he started to swing better. Anyhow, ESPN seems to have missed it. The order of batters went: Abreu, Bay, Carlos Lee, interview with Reggie Jackson while some guy is swinging. Pretty sad.
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It was tough, though, because ESPN decided that an inset of Reggi Jackson was more important than showing Our Boy Choi. Or is it Say Hey Choi? Based on 395, I don't know.
Seriously, they missed a few pitches because they went to a shot of Berman, Morgan, and Jackson in the booth for about 20-30 seconds.
And seriously ESPN, I can HEAR Reggie Jackson just fine without starting at a little picture of him in the top left of the screen. We want to watch the players, preferably in 100% of the TV screen.
Tell the limo driver that you need to go to Romulus.
Michigan is a not very interesting state, but it has cities with cool names.
I was watching the Angels and the Tigers and Percival was pitching. Nothing like watching a guy throw 95 mph and have guys foul them back in a hurry.
Tiger Stadium was almost the antithesis of Dodger Stadium.
Choi should have been taken a lot of pitches the way Abreu and Ortiz did. Maybe he was a little nervous.
The radio announcers keep mentioning how Carlos Lee has been practicing with his personal pitcher all of last week. Choi was added to the home run derby 3 days ago.
Pudge had home field advantage.
Ok, that's it for my Choi defense of the day.
"I caught some of the original Bad News Bears over the weekend and was amazed at the decisions made by manager Morris Buttermaker, even beyond his alarming drinking and occasional manhandling of players. Remember when Buttermaker asked Rudi to lean into a pitch? His reasoning was that with a red-hot Engelberg coming up, the Bears needed baserunners. Fair enough. But at that point in the season, why was Engelberg batting so low in the order given that he was the team's second-best hitter after the great Kelly Leak? Here's betting that Buttermaker isn't a big Moneyball guy."
But he could manage the Reds.
That night, I stayed up to watch one of those 20-overtime Stanley Cup championship games on ESPN.
On my way home the next day, I realized that my layover in Denver almost perfectly coincided with a rare Rockies midweek day game. I changed the second half of my flight and dashed out to Coors Field, where I saw a combined shutout, led by Marvin Freeman, I believe.
Bob Timmermann, for the big jackpot ... what date did Jon Weisman see a game at Tiger Stadium???
1- J Kent .918 - 11 ab- 3 LOB
2- HS Choi .787 - 9 ab 2 LOB
3- A Perez .771 - 4 ab 0 LOB
7 -Repko .642 - 11 ab 6 LOB
8- Phillips .638 - 12 ab 13 LOB
9-Grabowski .554 - 11 ab 2 LOB
Does it make sense that the three best available hitters v. RHers got 24 AB's in the Houston and three worst available hitters got 34 AB's ? Does it make sense that a guy with a .638 OPS v. RHers is hitting cleanup (and 5th) ? 13 LOB says no.
1998: $48.0 million
1999: $70.9 million
2000: $90.4 million
2001: $109.1 million
2002: $94.9 million
2003: $105.9 million
2004: $92.9 million
2005: $83.04 million
Alexander (High-A): 1.71 ERA with 64 Ks, 18 BBs, and 2 HRs in 42 IP
That's a 13.7 K/9, 3.56 K/BB, and 0.43 HR/9!
I only noticed him because he struck out 4 in 1.2 IP tonight to drop his ERA to 1.71. I don't think he'd break our top 25 until he pitches against stronger competition, but those numbers are staggering.
"[Adam] put a helmet on his little brother Andy, told him to run around the backyard and shot BBs at him. I just found out about this when I went to the wedding of one of Adam's friends."
Maybe he's such a good hitter because he had to learn to dodge BBs as a kid? Comparitively, spotting and reacting to a fastball is easy.
Mine was May 5, 1999.
Our Jeffie lost to Steve Sparks of the Angels.
actually, yea they should do that. he is already 24 years old, why not right?
449 - That is incorrect.
http://www.retrosheet.org/boxesetc/B06110DET1996.htm
But, 1996 seems early considering Tiger's Stadium's last year was 1999.
a prospect thats a sleeper and could rise quickly is david sutherland, 20 yr old 1b for ogden. he was a big international signee from australia in 2002.
his plate discipline is excellent and his batting average is excellent. but he has yet shown power. But he is 6'6 and growing into his frame so i am not worried about the power because i think it will come.
he could see a promotion to columbus along with pedroza soon.
Sure, power is often the last tool to develop, especially for tall, lanky types. But we're not talking about a James Loney needing to turn some doubles or warning track fly-outs into over-the-fence bombs. Sutherland does not even have gap power at age 20. He has 33 hits this year in a very hitter-friendly league where every park is a launching pad and only 2 of those 33 hits have been for extra bases. That is just amazing. How many guys could hit for that little power if they tried? And Sutherland is a first baseman, not a shortstop.
Morgan: "One shot (of Choi's) was a monster shot. That's more like Reggie Jackson."
Jackson: "Thanks for the props, Joe." (in all seriousness)
Hey, guess what, Jackson? Your day in the sun has long passed. Don't you have some expensive cars to go and buy or something?
Berman said, "We don't mean to take away from Choi and South Korea..." (yes, you do)
"...but back to your days with the Yankees, Reggie..."
Berman squawked about all of the others' shots except Choi's. I expected them to make some cracks about the Dodgers but I didn't anticipate them virtually disregarding Choi's appearance. Was it also because he wasn't an All-Star?
When Choi hit those three HR's against Minnesota, it took ESPN a full 31 minutes into the show to air clips on Baseball Tonight. If that had been Jeter or Ortiz, he would've been in the opening sequence.
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